Diageo plc (DGE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 20, 2021

London Stock Exchange GB Consumer Staples Beverages special 42 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good morning, and welcome to the Diageo Society 2030: Spirit of Progress Q&A call. Your call today will be hosted by Diageo's CEO, Ivan Menezes. [Operator Instructions] We are now ready to start the call. Mr. Menezes, please go ahead.

Ivan Menezes

executive
#2

Thank you, Katie. Hello, everyone. Welcome, and thank you for joining us on our Society 2030: Spirit of Progress Q&A call today. I hope you've had an opportunity to view the webcast this morning, which provides a deeper dive into our 10-year ESG action plan, Society 2030: Spirit of Progress, and lays out how these ambitious goals we've set for ourselves are fundamental to the delivery of our performance ambition. Today, I'm delighted to be joined on the call by Javier Ferrán, our Chairman; Ewan Andrew, who heads our Global Supply Chain and is our Chief Sustainability Officer; Mairéad Nayager, our Chief Human Resources Officer; Kate Gibson, Global Director of Diageo in Society, and Dan Mobley, our Global Head of Corporate Relations. We all look forward to taking your questions. I'm now going to hand over to Dan Mobley, who will moderate our call today. Dan?

Daniel Mobley

executive
#3

Thanks very much, Ivan. Let's get straight to the questions. So Katie, do we have a question waiting?

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from Olivier Nicolai with Goldman Sachs.

Jean-Olivier Nicolai

analyst
#5

I've got two questions, please. First, Ivan, in your presentation, you mentioned about consumer care, about the sustainability of your business and brands. My question is, how do you include your sustainability credentials into your brand building activities? And the tools like catalyst, for instance, help you understand how -- essentially what resonates with consumers from a sustainability perspective. And then second question, on your LTPI (sic) [ LTIP ], 20% of the LTPI for senior executive is now linked to sustainability goals. Is that also being cascaded through the organization, with other senior leaders and middle management also having their incentive linked to these goals?

Daniel Mobley

executive
#6

Thank you for that question. I'm actually going to deal with your second one first and come to Mairéad to discuss the LTIP. I'll then ask Kate Gibson to cover off the brand-building points. And then any further reflections that Ivan would like to add at the end. So Mairéad, over to you first on the LTIP.

Mairéad Nayager

executive
#7

Great. Thanks for your question. On the LTIP, the 20% of the performance share part of LTIP is put in place for the top 100, that's how I would describe who is going to be incentivized against these goals. So those top 100 executives include the managing directors around the business, and we see that as very important as we strive to deliver against our 2030 ambition. Beyond that, we use our AIP scheme to incentivize individuals. So we set goals at an individual level. And on the basis that our top 100 are incentivized in our long-term incentive plan, we very much expect that individual goals will be set against our broad 2030 ambition. I hope that answers your question.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#8

Thank you, Mairéad. And Kate, could you say a little bit around brands and how we view them within our sustainability agenda? And then if there's anything Ivan wishes to add, he can, too.

Kate Gibson

executive
#9

Absolutely. Thanks very much, and that's a great question, and I think it's certainly something that we've seen during the pandemic, a real increase in consumer interest, in authentic action in this space. And I think the approach that we take with it is really to look overall across our portfolio, and there certainly are many corporate commitments that cut across everywhere we operate, and also really to use our brand-building, our insight generation capability, to develop strategies that are very aligned with what the consumers want to see. And we do a lot of cross-functional collaboration across the supply chain organization, the CR and Diageo and Society agenda, and then, obviously, the brand process. Now you may have seen a couple of recent examples. Certainly one quite recent was the Johnnie Walker next steps initiative which has resonated really well, and that's a great example of our commitment in terms of net zero operations translating into that brand lens around net zero across our distilleries, for example. And then also many other actions on the ground in terms of restoring landscapes, for example, through tree planting. And I guess one other example certainly that we know really resonated was the launch last summer of the paper bottle, which is obviously coming to life later on this year. And certainly, in this space, we've really seen a real thirst and hunger for innovation and for new solutions. And I think the response to the innovations that we're bringing through really generates -- is generating a lot of excitement for our brands and real connection and gives us, I think, confidence to do even more.

Ivan Menezes

executive
#10

I would just add beyond climate and sustainability, inclusion and diversity, our brands have a big voice. Smirnoff, for a long time, has really pioneered on PRIDE And with the gay community. Guinness right now is doing some pretty pioneering stuff on women in rugby. And then on positive drinking, all our brands do take this very seriously on our messaging on positive drinking and messages of moderation. Actually, some of our best creative work around the world happens here, and this is what inspires our marketers on sustainability, inclusion and positive drinking, to really integrate it into their brands. And what I would say, over time, we believe this is going to become more and more important, and we believe it will be a competitive edge for Diageo.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#11

I would simply add as well that all our marketing around positive drinking, we apply the same metrics to measure its impact and effectiveness as any other marketing campaign. And what we're beginning to see more and more is the work we do on positive drinking or sustainability, the scores are as high or higher than any conventional marketing that we do. So if you take an example like the Guinness Clear campaign, where it ran a moderation campaign that ran around Six Nations in recent years and has phenomenal impact on all the metrics that we would assess any marketing campaign against.

Operator

operator
#12

Our next question comes from Mitch Collett with Deutsche Bank.

Mitchell Collett

analyst
#13

I also have two questions, please. I guess the first one is, given that you make products often with higher alcohol content than some of the products you compete against, can you talk about responsible drinking, particularly in markets where your recruitment of consumers relies heavily on affordability and perhaps the benefits of your brands against some other forms of alcohol, such as beer and illicit alcohol? And I'm conscious, obviously, in some markets, beer is a big part of your portfolio. And then secondly, can I ask about -- given your breadth of products, can you talk about how the carbon footprint of your products varies? And in particular, I'd be really interested to hear how it varies when thinking about both the scope 1 and scope 3 emissions of your range of products.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#14

Thanks very much for both those questions. And I'm going to turn to Ewan first on the carbon footprint question to give you some examples there. And Kate may also want to chip in. And then I'll come back to you on the point around strength of different product range. Ewan?

Ewan Andrew

executive
#15

Yes, so let me bring it to life. I mean, 80% of our carbon footprint comes from heat rather than from renewable energy for electricity. So largely, that comes from our brewing and distilling operations. If you look across scope 1 and -- scope 1 and 2, we published that for the last year, so that's less than 500,000 tons of carbon. But when you get into scope 3, that figure goes up quite significantly, it's about 10x. And ultimately, that all comes through in glass and in agriculture. And I think across our portfolio, as you look at the bias of carbon definitely sits within beer and within spirits.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#16

Thanks, Ewan. On the alcoholic strength of different products question, I mean, you have to remember that alcohol is alcohol. And what matters is how much ethanol you're consuming and how quickly. So you really need to look at what the product is and how it's being consumed. And there's a lot of myths around this ingrained in popular culture. But for instance, gin and tonic ABV 3.5% is not necessarily a stronger product than a beer that can be at 7% or 8%. So what you need to look at is the behaviors when you're considering consumption of alcohol and health rather than the arbitrary product category. We actually see a lot of opportunity and we do a lot of work around getting that point across to both consumers and regulators, that alcohol is alcohol, and trying to educate people on what's in their drink, the strength of their drink and what's safe behaviors when it comes to drinking look like. And what we've actually seen, a strong trend over the last couple of decades, as regulators are beginning to understand that. And you're seeing that the regulation of alcohol should be at alcohol rather than having different sets of regulations or different taxes on the different product categories. And I think we're seeing more and more of it. If you take the example, the introduction of seltzer. Seltzers kind of have a spirits base or a wine base or a beer base. So it becomes very peculiar to tax them differently when they're at the same alcoholic strength based on what the ethanol and the drink is manufactured from. And so regulators are waking up to this point around this alcohol is alcohol. And we're seeing much more proportionate and sensible taxation and regulation of alcohol across a number of different geographies. And we see that trend continuing, and it's something that we obviously want to encourage. I'm going to turn it over to Kate on -- specifically on your point around illicit. And, Kate, you might want to talk, for instance, around Senator Keg and the work that we're doing in Africa to make sure our products can compete with illicit.

Kate Gibson

executive
#17

Yes. No, absolutely. And I think that's a great question. And I think just, I guess, building on what Dan was saying, I think one of the things that we've been very focused on for a long time, in line with alcohol is alcohol, is really helping to educate consumers on the practice of moderation. So there is no drink of moderation. And DRINKiQ, for example, which is our consumer information platform is designed to do just that, and it's really taking people on a journey from piquing their interest, perhaps through a brand moderation campaign, and then really building that knowledge base. We know that consumers are keen to live a balanced lifestyle. And as a result, we've upgraded that platform. It's now live in 21 countries, and it's really designed to help consumers and really empower them with the information they need on that practice of moderation. But it's a great question just with regards to illicit and certainly something that we have seen, particularly in emerging markets, was around the need for affordably-priced, high-quality regulated alcohol as a way of addressing the challenge around illicit. And you may have heard of the Senator Keg brand launched by Diageo, which was designed deliberately to be delivered at a price point that will enable consumers that might otherwise be consuming illicit alcohol in order to be able to consume a regulated product. And that's certainly the dynamic that we've observed. And there definitely is a challenge, particularly as we think about regulation and just making sure that regulations and restrictions don't have an unintended consequence of pushing people into the illicit consumption, which has -- obviously doesn't have the quality or the certainty in terms of the formulation and can be very dangerous for health.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#18

Thanks, Kate. And I hope that answers your question. Go on, Mitch.

Mitchell Collett

analyst
#19

Yes. I just wanted to clarify, not a new question. It's just -- did I hear you correctly, Ewan, that for your beer portfolio, more of the emissions or a greater proportion of the emissions lie in scope 3 than scope 1 versus spirits...

Ewan Andrew

executive
#20

Yes, I didn't call out. So obviously we've made a lot of progress reducing our carbon footprint across our network by 50% up to 2020. We've got ambitious targets that are going to close the rest of that gap by 2030. We haven't split out by beer versus spirits. But as you look at it, it's the heat energy is the major part of that kind of scope 1 and 2 that sits within it. When you get out into the broader footprint, we've also gone through a transition with a lot of our vehicles and kegs. We've got a lot going through cans in that can format. Glass is relatively small in beer. So what you said, it wouldn't be the right conclusion to draw from that.

Operator

operator
#21

Our next question comes from Edward Mundy with Jefferies.

Edward Mundy

analyst
#22

I've got 2 questions. The first is, I appreciate the comment that there's no drink in moderation any practice, but I think 0 alcohol and the responsibility agenda does change the goal post slightly. It seems quite good success with the likes of Gordon's 0 and Seedlip, and one of your competitors have launched a light variant of whiskey in Spain. But how much more innovation in the low and no space do you expect over the coming years? And to what extent does it work across different categories as opposed to sort of just the white spirits side of things? That's the first question. And then the second question is around taxes. Specifically in the U.S., and I think, Ivan, you mentioned that it's encouraging that governments and societies understand the crucial importance of the thriving hospitality sector. I was interested in that comment relative to a potential federal excise tax increase, where we haven't seen one for a quite a lot of time. And then the second part of the question on taxes is just the time frame on when you think taxes on seltzers might equalize between malts, wine and also spirits in the U.S.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#23

Great. I'll come first to Ivan on the opportunity we see in no and low, which is obviously a very exciting space. And I should clarify around the volume point I was trying to make which is actually if you're talking about the distinction in beers, spirits and wine, you obviously have to look at the volumes. And beer in most markets, overwhelming the accounts of the volume, not the value. So some of the arbitrariness that we've seen in the tax and regulatory system is shifting because regulators are moving more of the taxation onto where the largest volume is and therefore not focusing on spirits more than they focus on beer or wine. Ivan, do you want to just explain around the opportunities for no and low?

Ivan Menezes

executive
#24

Yes. So Ed, we see no and low as an exciting consumer opportunity. There's a clear trend when people -- what you drink when you don't want to drink or when you want to drink less. And as we mine the consumer and look at where the trends are going, we certainly see this as an additional stream of revenue and business for the company that's very exciting. You've seen some of our players, including the acquisition of Seedlip and what we've done on Tanqueray 0.0% and Gordon’s 0.0%. And we are looking at this across our major markets, certainly in the developed world, and see good growth there. Now we come at this from an additional incremental revenue stream standpoint. It's not a defensive stream because at the same time, within alcohol, what we see is premiumization and people drinking better as a very positive trend. And so we see a lot of room since we're only 5% of the TBA dollars for the premiumization to play well into our spirits and premium beer portfolio as well. So stay tuned to the space on low and no alc. And we are looking at it beyond white spirits.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#25

Thank you, Ivan. And just specifically to tax, I mean we obviously are very familiar with and campaign on tax issues in many countries around the world. You can never predict exactly where finance ministries will go. But what we've seen huge progress on over a number of years in many markets, including the U.S. has been a trend towards equalization or at least reducing the punitive tax burden on spirits versus the other categories. And we see no reason why that would not continue. The U.S. has maintained a fairly proportionate approach to alcohol taxation at both the federal and state level for a long period of time. And actually, in the U.S., we see big opportunity around regulation because there's still plenty of places where spirits can't be purchased, where the other categories can. The consumer doesn't understand that, and a lot of legislators at the state level are looking whether to remove those restrictions, and we think we'll make more progress there over time. In Europe, the discrimination against the spirits category tends to be more in the form of tax. And again, numerous jurisdictions are starting to look at that because it doesn't make sense for either the public finances or public health. For example, the U.K. government is committed to and will soon review alcohol taxation post-Brexit with an aim of injecting what they term fairness into their system, including for spirits. So we expect to see some progress there over time. So that's something we stay very close to in every country where we operate, and we see plenty of opportunity in the medium term to address that. You raised a point finally on hospitality. And I thought, Ivan, you might just want to mention the importance of hospitality to our initiatives and some of the work we're doing there.

Ivan Menezes

executive
#26

Sure. Yes. So the -- one of the positives, as I mentioned on the webcast, coming through this crisis is the appreciation that governments and society at large has of the hospitality industry. I mean it's a $9 trillion sector. It's 1 in 10 jobs. And most of the jobs are young jobs, young people getting their first rung on the ladder of employment. And so we've been working very closely right across the industry and with government to really support the recovery of the hospitality industry. And, Ed, to your point, in that context, I would say, penalizing the hospitality industry with higher taxes, this is not a good time to do it. And that is part of the arguments we are collectively taking to governments right now, because what you really want is the economic recovery and the job recovery coming through.

Operator

operator
#27

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Celine Pannuti with JPMorgan.

Celine Pannuti

analyst
#28

Hello, can you hear me?

Daniel Mobley

executive
#29

Yes, we can hear you. Go ahead, Celine.

Celine Pannuti

analyst
#30

My first question is on scope 1 and 2 versus scope 3. So if I understood correctly, scope 3 is about 90% of your total. Some of the companies in the staple categories are looking at net zero across the full supply chain, and you are -- you kept your ambition short of that. I just wanted to understand, I'm sure you've considered it, what do you think is maybe a stumbling block for you to look at that? That's my first question. And then secondly, is it possible to have an idea in terms of incremental cost, all of those initiatives may bear on the P&L. I'm thinking about whether it's higher cost of packaging or in terms of more A&P for your positive drinking goals. So, yes, if you could give us a bit of an idea of whether -- the magnitude of that and how you are going to pay for it.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#31

Thanks very much, Celine. Those are both very good questions. I'm going to hand to Ewan because we have set a commitment around our scope 3, our supply chain emission. So Ewan can cover that. And then he can also talk about some of the costs associated with our sustainability work. I'll then turn to Kate to talk about some of the wider investment we're making in different programs.

Ewan Andrew

executive
#32

Thanks, Dan. Celine, you were right in your interpretation of scope 1 and 2 versus scope 3. And as we sit today, you've got to -- sorry, I just want to check the question, Dan. My line got a bit muffled. I got the first part on the 90%. The second part was around what we're doing on the targets, right?

Daniel Mobley

executive
#33

Yes.

Ewan Andrew

executive
#34

Right. Okay. So we set a target -- we got a lot of progress actually on 1, 2 and 3, as I said, with 50% reduction already delivered. It was about a 34% reduction in our scope 3 during that same period to 2020. We've outlined the commitment and our ambition to sit with a 50% reduction and close that gap in scope 1 and 2 to carbon neutrality by 2030. And we also set that goal for scope 3 to be at net zero by 2050 or earlier. And we'll deliver a 50% reduction in scope 3 in the next 10 years as well through to 2030. So we're looking to continue to accelerate those goals. But clearly, we've been focused on what we directly can control within our own operations in driving innovation in that space. But we're extending out into scope 3 already over the recent years, and we'll continue to accelerate on that. So we've made a big commitment. Our scope 1 and 2 would be up there as a leading commitment amongst others. And our scope 3 would be in that place too, in line with the science-based targets initiative.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#35

And then, Ewan, do you want to touch on some of the costs associated with the investments we're making on sustainability?

Ewan Andrew

executive
#36

Sure. So as you look to -- I mean if I take capital costs, first. We see it it's manageable over the long term, over the 10 years. We expect to invest up to GBP 1 billion of capital costs. We've purposely built an innovation gap. So I think of it as a decade of 2 halves. We've got much more certainty on what we'll do over the next 5 years with known technologies to continue to make year-on-year improvement. And then we expect to drive innovation and technology across the industries and sectors to make sure that, that's investing at the right time for the right technologies for the long-term future because these will be big investments. So we want to get the pace of that right to allow innovation to come through. And we'll manage that in the context of existing capital frameworks. When it comes to the OpEx costs, I think there's actually a little mix of some additional costs, but some opportunity as well. So if I take examples today where we already know that sustainable solutions that can go in with the investment we've made in sub-Saharan Africa, and we'll continue to make -- we know that it's actually cheaper than fossil fuels in some of those locations. So there's a business case to do that much more quickly, and we are continuing to roll that out now. In the longer term will also be the opportunity, as we think about brands and we think about where the consumers go and what their expectations are, that we'll actually see some opportunity to reduce our packaging in line with that and that will drive savings. There's no doubt too, that with kind of resiliency in supply chains, we'll also see some incremental costs come through. But I think on balance, my job is to deliver sustainable profitable growth. I need to make sure that we've got the productivity coming through in line with the investments. And I'm encouraged by the outlook for our pipeline to do that over the next few years.

Kate Gibson

executive
#37

Great. And then I guess just building on that as we -- as we think about the investments that we're making across our efforts to promote positive drinking and also in the hospitality skills arena, I think as we mentioned before, we do see certainly the long-term focus in terms of moderation messaging coming through our brands as that's something that we cover within A&P. So that's covered within existing budgets. We don't have a separate provision for that. And we certainly do see that as a -- as a very effective and very engaging dialogue that we have for consumers. And that also holds true, as Ivan mentioned before, in terms of the work we've done in inclusion and diversity and also in sustainability through our brands. Certainly one thing that we have done this year for 2 reasons, one is moving with pace and agility to be able to reach individuals in the way we want to reach them during COVID, is we -- and also as a means of driving greater scale with our programs, for example, on addressing the harmful use of alcohol and also in the hospitality skills arena. We've pivoted and we've launched online versions of those. So for example, we've launched an online version of Smashed, our award-winning underage drinking program. And the benefit of that we see is having greater impact and also being able to scale within existing budgets. And it's the same approach that we're taking also with Learning For Life, which is our signature hospitality skills program. We've also launched an online version of that. And that really has enabled us to reach -- along with the Diageo Bar Academy, to reach and have a dialogue with hospitality professionals during the pandemic and will help us also to scale our impact as we come out and move into recovery.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#38

Thanks very much.

Operator

operator
#39

Our next question comes from Trevor Stirling with Bernstein.

Trevor Stirling

analyst
#40

Thank you very much to Ivan, Javier, Dan, team, a fantastic presentation this morning. Great to see some progress on some different dimensions. Two questions from my side. One was relating to diversity and inclusion. I think Mairéad mentioned the supply chain and STEM as a particular focus. Another area of the business that's traditionally been very male-dominated has been sales. And I wonder if there's -- what's going on in sales in terms of promoting diversity. Secondly, a little bit of a random question. So forgive me, I'm just probably [ rambling down ]. When I think about the debate around alcohol and health, a lot of it is focused on, is alcohol harmful? Is it not harmful? Do you think there's any chance of shifting towards risk? I'm just thinking about the intelligent debate around AstraZeneca starting to compare the risk of blood clots to other things that you do medically with blood clots rather than say, is it dangerous or is it not? So the intrigue as I think about, is there any chance or do you see any movements in the debate towards risk rather than absolute black and white around alcohol?

Daniel Mobley

executive
#41

Thanks, Trevor. Both excellent questions. I hand initially to Mairéad on the inclusion of diversity piece around supply chains and sales. And she may also want to get input from Ewan on the supply side. And then I'll try and cover your question about risk and health.

Mairéad Nayager

executive
#42

Sure. I'll hand over to Ewan on the supply side. But, yes, in sales, interestingly, we probably think there's a lot of myths around why there are barriers to women's exceeding in sales. Because if you look at some of our most senior roles in the organization, for example in the U.S., our heads of spirits, which is a phenomenal-sized business, is female. In GB, which is probably our single -- a very critical market for us, one of the 2 most senior roles in sales is held by a woman. And they are succeeding and they're very strong talents for the business. As we look at setting targets, we're not doing that differently by function. We're certainly expecting progress across every market and in every functional area. We've seen actually in emerging markets, probably slower progress when it comes to women succeeding in both commercial and supply roles. But again, we're testing that by demonstrating a commitment to placing people in those roles. Even in India where historically the percentage of women in senior roles held by women was very low, we've seen, for example, a role that looks after reserves and key accounts is now held by women. And so I think some myths, some barriers that we can overcome by having flexibility of policy. And I don't think there's really any reason for us not to continue to see current progress accelerate over the next number of years. So I'll hand over to Ewan to talk about supply specifically.

Ewan Andrew

executive
#43

Yes. Thanks, Mairéad. So look, I mean, leadership in this company has to start from the top, and the leadership team across supply is more than 50% female. So there's been some big investment and this is continuing in that space. Other areas that are really important to bring through, if you look at Johnnie Walker, one of our [ best-selling ] brands, 50% of the blenders when we think about your STEM roles, 50% of our blenders are female and driving some brilliant innovation for that brand and more broadly across our scotch portfolio as well. And then we've long been recruiting at around 50%, 50-50 in our graduate intakes and our apprenticeship programs. And really a lot of investment behind increasing the number of women and spend is a big part of -- I'd actually say our employee engagement and our employee resource groups are really focused to deliver in that space. And then there's no doubt that we do have a slightly slower turnover or flow rate within manufacturing operations. People stay on those jobs for a longer time. We're a good employer with highly skilled jobs. But we're also introducing things within traditional shift systems that makes those more attractive to both men and women. So for example, kind of evening shift, early evening where it finishes or starts around 4:45 to 10:00 so that people can take care of family duties and more broadly. But we've got a real mix of people that want to come in. And then that's a pipeline for the future, where people are looking to as they come through their family lives and I guess, the trials, we can then graduate through and from part-time working into full-time roles. And we've got ready, new-skilled workers that are able to drive our business forward. So a lot of activity in supply chain in that space.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#44

And Trevor, on your question on risk. I mean we could -- this would be a very long conversation, but I'll try and answer it simply. It's a very well-established body of scientific evidence that alcohol consumption is a J-shaped curve when it comes to mortality. And so what I mean by that is heavier drinkers, they're the highest risk of premature death from all causes. But because it's J-shaped, moderate drinkers have the lowest likelihood of death from all causes of mortality. And that is lower actually than people who choose not to drink at all. And that is very well-established and understood from the epidemiology. The exact shape of that curve is hotly debated and new studies all the time shift it in different directions, but the logic holds very clear. So looking at individual factors or individual causes of mortality often drives kind of quite lurid headlines, but it doesn't explain very much. You have to look at all causes, and that J-shaped curve relationship continues to hold. So within that, I completely agree, the more that we and regulators and those that care about public health can communicate risk effectively, the more likely we are to protect people. However, as you all know, communication around risk is extremely difficult and complex to break down and it leads to a lot of misunderstanding across a very broad range of public health debates, including around vaccination, as we're seeing at the moment. What we are trying to do is, through our new website, drinkiq.com, that Kate mentioned is rolling out in every country where we operate. And if you go on there, there's a wealth of independently sourced information about alcohol and health, including around risk. And one thing I'd encourage you to look at there is a new screening tool that we put on. It's a very simple audit tool that the World Health Organization had created in the past, which you answer a series of simple questions on your own behalf or on behalf of a loved one, and it will tell you what level of risk you're drinking at and whether you should be concerned about the level of risk that you're taking on and where you can seek help if you are drinking at higher risk levels. And we're putting a lot of time and effort behind getting people, consumers, but also journalists, regulators and others to use that tool to understand this very complex debate so they can understand their own risks and the risks for society around them. So it's a challenge to communicate risk effectively. But we think DRINKiQ is absolutely industry-leading in trying to do that communication to our consumers.

Operator

operator
#45

Yes, our final question today comes from James Edwards Jones with RBC.

James Jones

analyst
#46

Two for me as well, please. How much of this have you actually got nailed down? How far towards your 2030 goals can you get to on the base of what you know and have planned and, I suppose, had budgeted today? And secondly, following Ed's question on taxes, I suppose, but thinking more about corporate taxes. You had a low corporation tax for a long time, in part due to clever tax planning and use of royalties. Are you conscious of the perception that Diageo doesn't pay enough corporation tax as opposed to excise tax?

Daniel Mobley

executive
#47

Great. I'm going to take the first question around how confident we are in our plans in getting from A to B. I'm going to start with Ewan, I think, because he can talk already a little bit about the innovation gap. And then maybe bringing also Mairéad and Kate just around their specific areas. And then I think, Ivan, if you'd like to cover the point of around the very large amount of tax that we pay around the world. So I'll start with Ewan.

Ewan Andrew

executive
#48

Yes. So I think there's a number of different targets, as you know, that we've set. So if I take some of the big ones. I think when you look at water and that 30% reduction that we've committed to our customer operations, 40% in water stress. I'd say there's a more linear pathway towards that with a more solid road map with existing technologies and the ability to take decisions as we go through over the period in a rigorous and robust way. On carbon, I'd say that -- as I said, it's a gain [ more essential ] to us. In the first half, there's lots of technology I can put in that will bring us through. If I continue that, it will get more and more expensive and have more and more impact. And with the work that we've done in some really exciting areas of our launch of Diageo Sustainable Solutions that we launched last November, we're into the first 6 pilots now, and some of the technology that's coming through there is fantastic and really exciting. And we also hope that hydrogen plays a big role. Again, investment project from the Cromarty Firth in Scotland. So some of those areas that we set goals, we already felt that the innovation gap was an [ infinity thing ], we're already seeing that bold ambition. And that excitement is gravitating people towards us to help us with some of those solutions and that's got real kind of cross-sector support as well. And I think one of the biggest challenges, as I look at it, what I'd say that there's more to figure out, is definitely around that recycled content. And particularly you put market context into it as well, it's much easier in some markets where the maturity of that recycled material is much better and already moving with an accelerated pace. There are other markets like the U.S., for example, where recycling rates are not as high. And clearly, you're balancing that recycling need with not wanting to move waste around too much to create a different type of carbon footprint of the transport. So that's how I bring it to light, Dan, and seeing you can give good examples. Some of it much more set than ours. We can't hear you, unfortunately.

Mairéad Nayager

executive
#49

Sorry. I was on mute. Apologies, that's my fault. I was just saying, we're confident because of the commitment of the Board, the Executive Committee and the fact that we have a culture at the company that is very inclusive. And for that reason, we're confident. I would say we're daunted because they're stretching ambitions, but that's not new to Diageo. And for that reason, I'd say overall confidence would be my answer.

Kate Gibson

executive
#50

Yes, and I think building on that, as we think about -- and you heard it from Ivan in the webcast earlier, in crafting the strategy which was a year in the making, we looked at where we were today, we looked at what we knew we could achieve, and then we looked at what was necessary in this decade of action to deliver the UN Sustainable Development Goals, and that's -- and deliberately built in that innovation gap. So I think -- as I think about the positive drinking space, for example, I think that there is an innovation gap, but we have a lot of learning. So on the moderation space, we know that the ambition and creativity and boldness of our marketeers is second to none and the ability to craft really compelling campaigns is there. It's around really stretching that. And then as we think about the programs that target the harmful use of alcohol, so our 10 million target around underage drinking and the target also around changing the attitudes of 5 million people to drink driving, there, it was -- the innovation gap really is around pivoting and program design around attitude change and then really scaling that up through all of our markets and also through partnerships. And so I think that this year has been around getting those programs launched. Our new drink driving program just launched last Friday, the WRONG SIDE OF THE ROAD. It's on diageo.com, if you want to have a look at that, DRINKiQ, which Dan mentioned before. So I think it's really around scaling them up and then also using those data-driven insights to identify the best practice to amplify and then also areas of challenge to address. And then likewise, in the hospitality skills space, it's this online pivot and then creating a career journey between those coming into the industry and then also those wanting to continue to build their skills, which we'll do through the Diageo Bar Academy. So it's a similar philosophy, and I think Mairéad framed it well in terms of we're very bold, but we're confident in our ability to deliver.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#51

Ivan, would you like to answer the tax question?

Ivan Menezes

executive
#52

Yes. Sorry, I was on mute. Yes, James, I would say Diageo stands for a free and fair and globally competitive tax system. We support what the OECD and governments are doing right now to get to a fair and transparent place. We pay 21%, 22% corporate tax. We pay a huge pool of indirect tax, billions of pounds. And I would say, I feel very confident about our approach, the way our business is set up. We don't have any brass plate operations. And we're extremely transparent and work very closely with tax authorities around the world. And we see the direction this is heading, and we support it because a well-aligned global system of taxation, corporate taxation, is something we're for.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#53

Thank you, Ivan. Katie, do we have any final questions?

Operator

operator
#54

At this time, I am showing no questions in the queue.

Daniel Mobley

executive
#55

Fantastic. So I'm just going to hand back to you, Ivan, if there's any closing remarks you'd like to make before we formally finish today.

Ivan Menezes

executive
#56

No. Thank you, everyone, and I really appreciate the questions. I hope you got value out of it. So I'll just leave you with this summarizing thought of, for us at Diageo, ESG, as it's labeled, is fully integrated into our business strategy and our performance ambition and is led by our senior leadership right across the business. And I hope you got a flavor of that listening to the senior leaders on this call. So thank you for your interest in the company and appreciate you spending this time with us. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#57

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's teleconference. You may now disconnect.

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