Dollar General Corporation ($DG)

Earnings Call Transcript · June 2, 2026

NYSE US Consumer Staples Consumer Staples Distribution and Retail Earnings Calls 62 min

Highlights from the call

Dollar General Corporation (DG:US) reported a solid first quarter for fiscal 2026, with net sales increasing 3.4% to $10.8 billion, surpassing expectations. Earnings per share (EPS) rose 12.4% to $2.00, exceeding the high end of internal forecasts. Management raised EPS guidance for the fiscal year to a range of $7.20 to $7.45, reflecting strong Q1 performance and a favorable outlook despite ongoing inflationary pressures.

Main topics

  • Revenue Growth: Net sales increased 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 2% rise in same-store sales, with customer traffic growing 1.4%. Management noted, "this market share growth reflects the essential role Dollar General serves, particularly in small town communities across America."
  • Operating Margin Expansion: Operating profit rose 10.8% to $638.5 million, with operating margin increasing 40 basis points to 5.9%. Management stated, "strong operating margin expansion more than offset the impact of severe weather and higher fuel costs."
  • Customer Demographics: The company reported increased penetration across income segments, particularly among customers earning over $100,000. Management highlighted that "the largest increase in customer count came from the highest income segment."
  • Promotional Strategy: Management indicated a targeted increase in promotional activity to drive traffic, stating, "our promotional activity... has been very targeted and by the way, very proactive, not reactive." This approach aims to retain trade-in customers amid rising inflation.
  • Digital and Delivery Growth: The company is expanding its delivery options, with delivery sales contributing approximately 70 basis points to comp sales growth. Management noted, "more than 80% of the orders were delivered in 1 hour or less," enhancing customer convenience.

Key metrics mentioned

  • Revenue: $10.8B (vs $10.4B last year, +3.4% YoY)
  • EPS: $2.00 (beat by $0.25)
  • Operating Margin: 5.9% (up 40 basis points YoY)
  • Same-store Sales Growth: 2% (driven by 1.4% customer traffic growth)
  • Gross Margin: 31.6% (up 65 basis points YoY)
  • Net Interest Expense: $47.2M (vs $64.6M last year)

Dollar General's strong Q1 performance and raised guidance indicate a resilient business model amid economic pressures. The focus on value and convenience, alongside strategic growth initiatives, positions the company well for continued success. Investors should monitor the effectiveness of promotional strategies and margin sustainability as key factors influencing future performance.

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

Operator
#1

Good morning. My name is Rob, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Dollar General First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. Today is Tuesday, June 2, 2026. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded. Instructions for listening to the replay of the call are available in the company's earnings press release issued this morning. Now I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Kevin Walker, Vice President of Investor Relations. Kevin, you may begin your conference.

Kevin Walker

Executives
#2

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. On the call with me today are Todd Vasos, our CEO; and Donny Lau, our CFO. After our prepared remarks, we'll open the call up for your questions. And Emily Taylor, our Chief Operating Officer, will join us for the Q&A session. [Operator Instructions] Our earnings release issued today can be found on our website at investor.dollargeneral.com under News & Events. Let me caution you that today's comments include forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements about our financial guidance, long-term financial framework, strategy, initiatives, plans, goals, priorities, opportunities, expectations or beliefs about future matters and other statements that are not limited to historical fact. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. These factors include, but are not limited to, those identified in our earnings release issued this morning under Risk Factors in our 2025 Form 10-K filed on March 20, 2026, and any later filed periodic report and in the comments that are made on this call. You should not unduly rely on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of today's date. Dollar General disclaims any obligation to update or revise any information discussed in this call unless required by law. Now it is my pleasure to turn the call over to Todd.

Todd Vasos

Executives
#3

Thank you, Kevin, and welcome to everyone joining our call. I want to begin by thanking our teams in our stores, distribution centers, private fleet and store support center for their continued commitment and dedication to serving our customers. Overall, we're pleased with our first quarter performance, particularly our EPS results, which exceeded our expectations as strong operating margin expansion more than offset the impact of severe weather and higher fuel costs. For today's call, I'll start by recapping highlights from our first quarter performance. Donny will then walk through our financial results and outlook, and I'll close with an update on our strategic growth pillars. Turning to our first quarter performance. Net sales for the quarter increased 3.4% to $10.8 billion compared to net sales of $10.4 billion in last year's first quarter. We grew market share in both dollars and units in highly consumable product sales once again during the quarter in addition to growing market share in nonconsumable product sales. Importantly, in an environment where customers are feeling more pressure on their household budgets, we believe this market share growth reflects the essential role Dollar General serves, particularly in small town communities across America. Same-store sales increased 2% during the quarter, primarily driven by customer traffic growth of 1.4% and supported by average basket growth of 0.5 point. Notably, this marks the fourth consecutive quarter of growth in customer traffic as our combination of value and convenience continues to resonate with customers. In addition, all 4 merchandising categories delivered positive comp sales for the fifth consecutive quarter with growth rate in nonconsumables once again outpacing consumables. From a monthly cadence perspective, all 3 periods of the quarters were positive, led by March, which includes a benefit from the Easter holiday shift. And while winter storm activity, including periods of temporary store closures, negatively impacted results during the first 2 weeks of the quarter in February, we were pleased with our sales performance across the balance of the quarter. Looking ahead, we are confident about our plans to drive continued growth in sales and customer traffic. Moving to an update on our core customer. While there are a variety of puts and takes on customer budgets during Q1, our core customer continues to be financially constrained as any benefit from tax benefits was largely offset by higher fuel prices and reductions in SNAP benefit payments. Importantly, while there has been a significant reduction in overall SNAP dollars distributed in 2026, we grew share of wallet with SNAP customers during Q1, further demonstrating the strength and relevance of our value proposition. Notably, during the quarter, many of our core customers reporting cutting back on other household expenses, including food purchases due to rising gas prices. This pressure has been more pronounced on customers in rural communities as they work to minimize trip distance and make trade-offs in their search for everyday affordability and value. And with our expansive real estate footprint of more than 21,000 stores located within 5 miles of 75% of the U.S. population as well as our growing delivery presence, we are uniquely positioned to serve these customers as they further prioritize value and convenience. From a value perspective, we continue to be pleased with our pricing position, which is within 3 or 4 percentage points of mass retailers as well as our extensive offering of more than 2,000 items across the store at or below the $1 price point. As part of our overall approach to this price point, we continue to emphasize and strengthen our Value Valley offering, which is comprised of more than 500 rotating items all at $1. Of note, this offering once again outperformed the chain average in Q1 with a comp sales increase of 18.4%, driven by broad-based performance across many sections and exceptional performance in health and beauty. Beyond our Value Valley program, we also introduced several new $1 private label items during the quarter as well as a new frozen section, which now features a full door dedicated to new frozen items at the $1 price point. We believe this price point continues to be important to our customers and are excited about the opportunity to continue providing tremendous value through these offerings. In addition, we are seeing customer penetration growth across low, middle and high-income segments as customers across all income cohorts seek value at increasing rates. Notably, across these cohorts, the largest increase in customer count came from the highest income segment, which earns more than $100,000 annually, contributing to a significant increase in trade-in customer households during the quarter. We know that value and convenience are always important to our customers, but even more so right now. And as America's neighborhood general store, we are well positioned to help customers across all income levels, save time and money every day. Overall, our consistent and balanced top line performance with both new and existing customers further underscores our belief that Dollar General is a trusted partner in the communities we call home with significant opportunity for ongoing growth. In summary, we are pleased with the start of the year and proud of our team's execution. We are committed to serving our customers while driving profitable sales growth and capturing growth opportunity. With that, let me now turn the call over to Donny.

Donny Lau

Executives
#4

Thank you, Todd, and good morning, everyone. Now that Todd has taken you through the top line results for the quarter, let me take you through some of the other important financial details. Unless we specifically note otherwise, all comparisons are year-over-year. All references to EPS refer to diluted earnings per share, and all years noted refer to the corresponding fiscal year. For Q1, gross profit as a percentage of sales was 31.6%, an increase of 65 basis points. This increase was primarily attributable to higher inventory markups, lower shrink and lower inventory damages, partially offset by an increase in markdowns and transportation costs. Our strength mitigation efforts once again contributed to strong gross margin expansion in the quarter as we delivered a 28 basis point reduction in shrink versus prior year, even while lapping a 61 basis point improvement from Q1 2025. We were also pleased with the improvement in damages during the quarter, which exceeded our expectations and reflects strong in-store execution by the team. Turning to SG&A, which as a percentage of sales was 25.7%, an increase of 25 basis points. The primary expenses that were a greater percentage of sales in the quarter include depreciation and amortization, utilities and property taxes, partially offset by lower incentive compensation. Moving down the income statement. Operating profit for the first quarter increased 10.8% to $638.5 million. As a percentage of sales, operating profit increased 40 basis points to 5.9%, even with higher-than-anticipated fuel costs as we continue to build on our progress towards the annual target of 6% to 7%, as contemplated in our long-term financial framework. Net interest expense for the quarter decreased to $47.2 million compared to $64.6 million in last year's first quarter. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 24.9% compared to 23.4% in the prior year. The increase was primarily due to the expiration of the Work Opportunity Tax Credit on December 31, 2025, partially offset by lower stock-based compensation expense. Finally, EPS for the quarter increased 12.4% to $2, which exceeded the high end of our internal expectations. Turning now to our balance sheet and cash flow, where we continue to make significant progress in strengthening our financial position. Merchandise inventories were $6.6 billion at the end of Q1, essentially flat compared to the prior year and represents a decline of 1.6% on an average per store basis. Importantly, the team has done a terrific job reducing inventory to a level we believe is appropriate to support strong sales growth and higher in-stock levels going forward. Overall, we're pleased with our inventory position, and for fiscal 2026, continue to expect inventory to grow at a rate below our sales curve. In Q1, we generated significant cash flow from operations of $716.2 million, providing flexibility to reinvest in the business and return meaningful cash to shareholders, all while further strengthening our balance sheet and liquidity position. Our capital allocation priorities continue to serve us well and remain unchanged. Our first priority is investing in the business, including our existing store base as well as other high-return growth opportunities such as new store expansion and strategic initiatives. Next, we seek to return cash to shareholders through our quarterly dividend payment and when appropriate, share repurchases, all while maintaining our goal of less than 3x adjusted debt to adjusted EBITDAR in support of our commitment to middle BBB ratings by S&P and Moody's. Moving to an update on our financial outlook for fiscal 2026. Our update reflects our strong Q1 results and outlook for the remainder of the year, while also considering our efforts to mitigate ongoing inflationary pressures as well as the potential for continued uncertainty, particularly in consumer behavior. With all of this in mind, we now expect the following for 2026. Net sales growth in the range of 3.7% to 4.2%, same-store sales growth in the range of 2.2% to 2.7%, and EPS in the range of $7.20 to $7.45, which compares to our previous range of $7.10 to $7.35. Our EPS guidance now assumes an effective tax rate of approximately 24.5%. Our expectations for capital spending in real estate projects are unchanged from what our previously stated amounts. In addition, our Board of Directors recently approved a quarterly cash dividend payment of $0.59 per share for Q2 2026. And while our guidance does not contemplate share repurchases this year, they remain an important part of our broader capital allocation strategy at the appropriate time. Now let me provide some additional context around our updated outlook for 2026. Despite higher-than-anticipated fuel costs, we continue to expect gross margin expansion for the full year, driven by continued progress against our key gross margin initiatives, many of which are still early in their maturity curve. As a reminder, our initiatives include continued improvements in shrink and damages, growth in our DG Media Network, nonconsumables merchandising, supply chain productivity and category management. On the expense side, we still expect modest SG&A deleverage in 2026, even as we plan to accelerate investments in key initiatives, including AI, as we look to build on our momentum and progress towards the achievement of our long-term financial framework grow. Finally, we have received a -- while we have received an immaterial amount of IEEPA tariff refund payments to date, our guidance does not include any impact from tariff refunds as the exact timing and amount of any future potential refunds remains uncertain. In closing, we are pleased with our first quarter results and strong start to the year. Looking ahead, we're excited about our plans to drive continued growth while delivering against our long-term financial framework goals. Overall, we're confident in our business model and approach to driving profitable sales growth, high returns on invested capital, strong operating cash flow and long-term shareholder value. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Todd.

Todd Vasos

Executives
#5

Thank you, Donny. I'll take the next few minutes to provide an update on our 4 strategic growth pillars, which are supported by targeted initiatives to drive long-term sustainable growth and value creation. As a reminder, these pillars include enhancing the customer experience, elevating our brand, driving greater enterprise-wide efficiencies and extending our reach. First, we remain focused on enhancing the customer experience. Our efforts to improve the nonconsumable product offering continues to resonate with customers as evidenced by the 4.6% increase in combined nonconsumable comp sales during Q1. This performance was led by strong growth in toys, including many on-trend items that are resonating with our customers. In addition, we continue to evolve and expand our successful brand partnerships during the quarter, launching 3 brands, including Holly Williams in our home category. These new brands have been popular with our customers, along with other brands launched last year, such as Dolly Parton as we continue to deliver compelling value while creating a sense of newness and excitement in our discretionary category. Beyond our in-store initiatives, we are also advancing our digital initiatives as we seek to further enhance the omnichannel customer experience at Dollar General. Our robust digital ecosystem, which includes our popular DG app, and a suite of delivery offerings is an important complement to our expansive physical store network and continues to be a key driver of incremental value and convenience for our customers. As we look to drive future growth in this area, we are focused on scaling our delivery options, personalizing the experience for customers and growing the DG Media Network. We continue to grow the reach of our delivery options available to customers and are now delivering from approximately 18,000 stores with our own myDG delivery offering as well as through third-party partners, DoorDash and Uber Eats. Collectively, these delivery options have significantly enhanced the convenience proposition for our customers with the ability to deliver from stores to their homes within minutes. To that point, once again during the quarter, more than 80% of the orders were delivered in 1 hour or less with approximately half of those orders delivered under 30 minutes, further underscoring the strength of our convenience proposition. Our rapidly growing delivery platform are becoming a more meaningful sales driver as we continue to see larger basket sizes than an average in-store transaction and strong repeat visit rate. In fact, we estimate delivery sales contributed approximately 70 basis points to our comp sales growth of 2% in Q1. Looking ahead, we are targeting continued incremental sales growth through customer experience enhancements, increased customer awareness and expanded loyalty opportunities, including the planned pilot of a delivery subscription program later this year. Building on the growth within this ecosystem, one of the most significant components of our digital initiative is our DG Media Network, which enables a more personalized experience for our customers while delivering a higher return on ad spend for our partners. Our DG Media Network strategy is focused on accelerating on-site performance through improved search, sponsored products and a stronger e-commerce experience while expanding our ability to capture emerging off-site spend across social, Connected TV and video. We're also creating more opportunities for advertisers to participate inside our stores, including our recently expanded in-store radio network, ultimately providing better connection between our digital and physical experiences. Overall, we believe this approach positions our advertising network as a strategic lever to drive profitable growth, enhance the customer experience and strengthen loyalty across our digital ecosystem. Overall, digital strategy is an important component to our in-store customer experience and a key driver within our long-term financial framework. Our second strategic growth pillar is elevating our brand. We have a mature store base that uniquely enables us to serve customers in smaller and more rural communities. We continue to make strategic investments in our mature stores, particularly through our Project Renovate and Elevate remodel programs, which we believe can drive significant sales and profit growth. As a reminder, Project Renovate is our traditional remodel program, which impacts the entire store and includes adding or replacing coolers as well as upgrading to our latest store format. These projects are focused primarily on stores that are 7 or more years [ removed ] from opening or their last full remodel. While Project Elevate is designed to further grow sales and market share in portions of our mature store base that are not yet old enough to be part of a full remodel pipeline. These projects include physical asset enhancements, merchandising updates, product adjacency adjustments and category refreshes, all of which generally impact up to 80% of the total store. We continue to expect to execute a total of 2,000 Project Renovate remodels and 2,250 Project Elevate remodels this year. We made significant progress on these goals in the first quarter completing 659 Project Renovate remodels and 711 Project Elevate remodels. We continue to target annualized comp sales lift of approximately 6% in Project Renovate stores and approximately 3% in Project Elevate stores. These projects are not only enhancing the customer experience, but also our store associate experience. In turn, we believe we can continue to improve customer satisfaction, store manager turnover and sales. Our third strategic growth pillar is driving greater enterprise-wide efficiency. We continue to pursue opportunities to drive greater efficiencies while lowering costs across the organization, including increased supply chain productivity, further simplification in our stores, inventory optimization and increased use of artificial intelligence. Within our supply chain, we increased productivity in both our distribution and transportation functions during the quarter, which helped us mitigate a portion of the substantial increase in our fuel costs. Additionally, while we are still early in our AI journey, we are building an AI operating system for the enterprise, focused on reshaping our workflows to improve productivity and enablement. Overall, we are making meaningful progress advancing our AI goals, including creating shared enterprise-wide foundations and building momentum around new AI operating models. These steps have allowed us to accelerate adoption of high-value use cases, and we believe will improve how we engage with customers and how they shop with us as well as drive greater cost efficiencies throughout the business. Our final strategic growth pillar is extending our reach. We continue to extend our unique combination of value and convenience to new communities across the country. In Q1, we opened 190 new stores in the U.S. as part of our continued plan to open a total of 450 new stores in 2026. Importantly, these projects continue to be one of our best uses of capital, delivering healthy returns while also expanding our access to new customers and communities. In addition to our new Dollar General store growth, we continue to test, learn and refine our strategies for international growth in Mexico. As part of our plans to open a total of approximately 10 stores in Mexico in 2026, we opened 5 Mi Súper Dollar General stores in Q1, bringing us to a total of 21 stores in Mexico. While our core business proposition of value and convenience continues to resonate with customers in Mexico, we are leveraging our customer, real estate and merchandising insights to further expand our reach and capture more of those exciting growth opportunities. Overall, we are confident in our strategy and excited about our plans to build on our progress toward these goals laid out in our long-term financial framework. And we are pleased with our Q1 performance and proud of the team's efforts to the start this year. Our people are our greatest strategic advantage, and I want to thank our approximately 195,000 employees for their ongoing commitment and dedication to serving our customers and communities every day. Looking ahead, we believe we are well positioned to continue advancing our progress while fulfilling our mission of serving others. With that, operator, we would now like to open the lines for questions.

Operator

Operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] And our first question is from the line of Matthew Boss with JPMorgan.

Matthew Boss

Analysts
#7

Congrats on the nice quarter. So Todd, could you elaborate on the consistency of comps despite the backdrop with positive comps? I think you cited in all 3 periods of the quarter. Have you seen any change in trends in May to kick off the second quarter? And just larger picture, how do you believe gas prices, if they remain elevated, will impact your results and opportunities you see to amplify value if we just use history as a guide for your business.

Todd Vasos

Executives
#8

Thank you, Matt. Yes. So a couple of things. Let's concentrate real quickly on Q1 here. And I would tell you starting out, we were in the hole. We had 2 weeks of negative comp with thousands of stores closed at any given time, especially during week 1. And then as expected, and the team did a great job really in our transportation, warehousing group, our stores, what we saw for the balance of the quarter, so 11 of the 13 weeks was on the upper end of our range. And so that was good to see. And then as we entered and exited May, that trend continued. So here into Q2. So really pleased with where we are on the top line. What we're seeing though is we are seeing an accelerated rate of trade-in. We have seen that the upper end, while all cohorts are trading in, we're seeing that the upper end is trading in the most, and we're seeing that as well. A reminder, that's, that $100,000-plus cohort that's trading in. And I believe that the pressures that had persisted prior to fuel prices. So sustained inflation and now those elevated fuel prices. And we've always said, Matt, that when that price hits that $4 mark and then process it and then sustains for a while, you start to see that trade in come in and you start to see that our core customer needs us most. This is exactly what's happening. So history repeats itself pretty well as you mentioned. So what we do here at Dollar General is we try to capitalize on that because we're here for our customer, and that's the way we work. And so when you think about that, value convenience is paramount all the time, but during this time, especially. And what you're already seeing and what we're doing is we're actually working hard to ensure that value equation is front and center for not only our core customer, but those trade-in customers. So when you think about that, think about things like our everyday price is very strong across all classes of trade. And then we have been targeting promotional activity, very targeted to drive additional traffic into our stores. And you're seeing that at an accelerated rate as well. And then lastly, and I can't emphasize this enough, that $1 price point has turned out to be a real savior for our core customer and is really resonating with the trade-in customer, we're seeing that accelerate at a great rate, 18.4% comp in Value Valley. New entrances into the $1 price point across the store. And in my prepared remarks, you heard we talked about that frozen door that we put in, which is all exclusively $1 in the frozen food area, and it's been doing very well since launch. So a lot to be proud about, but also a lot that we're doing to be here for our customer. Like we always said, when she needs us most, we step up, and that's exactly what we're doing. And then lastly, I'll say that the team has already launched areas where we can ensure that we're grabbing that trade-in customer and actually marketing to her specifically to ensure that as things start to settle out, which they usually -- always do, we want to make sure we retain that customer. So all those retention elements that we know how to do pretty well is already in full bloom for that customer to make sure we continue to engage her as she trades in, but also think about Dollar General when time start to get a little bit better.

Operator

Operator
#9

Our next question is from the line of Michael Lasser with UBS.

Michael Lasser

Analysts
#10

Todd, you just mentioned that you're being a little bit more promotional in order to support your overall traffic growth. There's a perception out there based on the commentary from some other consumable retailers that the overall environment in the broader space is becoming more competitive. And there's a prospect that the various players in the space are going to have to sacrifice some profitability in order to maintain or grow market share. So, a, are you seeing any evidence of that? Is that what is driving your decision to be a bit more promotional? And b, how do you expect this to play out over the next couple of quarters, especially as your traffic comparisons will get a little bit more difficult, you may have to work the model a little bit harder in order to drive the top line. Sorry for all the words out there.

Todd Vasos

Executives
#11

No, that's no problem. The crust of your question is the promotional piece. And I would tell you that our promotional activity, while increased during the quarter and will probably continue to increase, has been very targeted and by the way, very proactive, not reactive. So we're really being very prudent on where we promote, how we promote and the value that we're showing. And at this point, the consumer is definitely looking for value, seeking value, all cohorts. You can see it in the everyday business. And you can see it in our seasonal and our discretionary areas as well, which, as you saw, we really did a nice job balancing consumables and nonconsumables. As a matter of fact, nonconsumables is on its fifth consecutive quarter of nice growth. So I think value wins all the time. And I believe that, yes, you'll see some others probably start to play catch-up a little bit because we're already ahead on value every day in really great shape. Now this nice cadence of promotional activity that we layered in should continue to move the needle and promote that traffic that we all look for. Very proud of that 1.4% traffic gain in the quarter. But also that $1 price point. Again, I can't emphasize enough how that is the anchor to a lot of our everyday pricing here at Dollar General.

Operator

Operator
#12

Our next question is from the line of Zhihan Ma with Bernstein.

Zhihan Ma

Analysts
#13

Shifting gears on the margin side of things. Could you help us understand as you start to lap some of the tougher shrink comparisons as the year goes on how to think about the cadence of margins from here? And longer term, I think your long-term algo implies a gross margin level that you haven't really achieved sustainably before outside of a quarter or 2 during COVID. So what gives you the confidence level that, that's going to be sustainable longer term?

Donny Lau

Executives
#14

Yes. No, very much appreciate the question. This is Donny. I'll take that one. I think maybe we'll start with the Q1 gross margin, I think that'll help contextualize a little bit about how we're thinking about the balance of the year and then a little bit from a longer-term perspective. And so from a Q1 perspective, very pleased with our gross margin performance. As you saw in the release, 65 basis points of improvement versus prior year, which exceeded our expectations, and it's even with higher-than-anticipated fuel costs. And I think the primary drivers that we called out are markups as the team continues to do a really great job with category management. I do think it's important to note here that on the markup side of the house, there really wasn't -- price really wasn't a meaningful driver in Q1. And shrink and damages also delivered really nice results better than anticipated, quite frankly. And so -- and Todd alluded to the fact also that we did lean in a little bit with the promotions in spite of all that or even with all that, really strong gross margin performance. And so I think from a Q1 perspective, the thing I'm most excited about is it really does reflect another quarter of what I would say tangible proof points that we're building momentum across a lot of our key gross margin drivers. And that gives us a lot of confidence in our ability to deliver against our long-term framework targets. As you look at Q2 and the back half, I'd say there's really not a lot -- anything I would call out from a Q2 versus back half specifically. From a headwinds perspective, the laps do get a little bit more challenging versus Q1. And we do anticipate fuel cost to remain elevated versus the prior year for the balance of the year. And we're watching the tariff landscape. Right now, our full year guidance reflects current tariff levels that are in place today. But from a tailwinds perspective, we expect continued improvement, a little bit more modest but continued improvement in shrink, which we talked about exceeded our expectations, continued improvement in damages, which was also a meaningful contributor in Q1. And continued growth across a number of our other gross margin drivers, including our DG Media Network, nonconsumables merchandising, supply chain productivity and category management. And so overall, as we look at the back half or the balance of the year, I continue to believe there's more tailwinds and headwinds as we think about gross margin, feel really good about the momentum we're seeing across pretty much all of our gross margin drivers. And so I think when you look out to the long-term framework, our target of 6% to 7%. But what I would tell you is we continue to feel really good about our ability to deliver against our long-term operating margin targets. Again, a number of drivers in place that we expect will contribute to gross margin expansion over time. As we look further out, we continue to expect shrink and damages to contribute approximately 50 basis points of incremental gross margin expansion. And by the way, that's on top of the over 80 basis points of expansion we've delivered in 2025, just from a shrink side of the house. And so shrink continues to improve at a faster and higher rate than initially anticipated. And again, we delivered 28 basis points in Q1, which was better than expected, which is good news. In terms of damages, what I'd tell you here is the improvement in 2025 was in line with our expectations. And as I just noted, Q1 improvement was better than expected. And so overall, we continue to be very pleased with the progress on this front. We also expect DG Media Network will be a meaningful contributor over time, 50 basis points of incremental margin expansion is what we're targeting over the next 3 to 4 years. And the great news is, even though it's still early innings here, we're continuing to build really good momentum here as well. And then we have another 70 basis points of gross margin expansion that we expect from other gross margin drivers. Again, a few proof points. We're continuing to see growth in nonconsumables 5 consecutive quarters in a row, as Todd just alluded to. We're seeing greater efficiencies across the supply chain, a nice contributor to gross margin expansion in Q1 and category management initiatives continue to perform. And again, I'll point to the Value Valley comp of 18.4% in Q1. So again, strong proof points across all our gross margin drivers and feel really good about our ability to deliver against our long-term framework targets.

Operator

Operator
#15

Next question comes from the line of Simeon Gutman with Morgan Stanley.

Simeon Gutman

Analysts
#16

Todd, as you prepare to transition away from the business, do you think that the top line growth rate on comp to actually normalize closer back to 3% versus the 2%? And about puts and takes, something that we're noticing the contribution from the fulfillment of last mile step down a little. I know you're going to have tougher compares, but are you still seeing enough incrementality where that could be a unique driver?

Todd Vasos

Executives
#17

Yes. Thank you for the question. And I'm very bullish on that top line and be able to continue to grow that top line. Our goal in the long-term framework that 2% to 3%, the business does very well in that range. And it's evidenced by the 2% comp that we delivered this quarter and the substantial bottom line growth that came with it. So Simeon, I believe that the team has really done a nice job in setting up the future. As I think about the balance of consumables and nonconsumables, even in the face of a very tough macro backdrop, is a real proof point that the team is working hard to ensure that we're showing value and convenience every day to the customer. Now as you think about also the future, that delivery piece is pretty important. And Emily, you may want to just touch on that just a moment.

Emily Taylor

Executives
#18

Sure. So we're excited about what we're seeing from a customer reaction and engagement in our delivery program. Of course, we're still within the first year of full deployment, in particular, on our myDG delivery portion of this business. And of course, for the quarter contributed 70 basis points, which is a nice meaningful contribution to the in-store growth that we saw in the quarter. Just maybe a reminder, delivery for us, it's a highly incremental business, and it's a profitable business for us today. We see that when customers shop our delivery options, they buy a larger basket as part of that transaction versus what we see inside our stores. And in addition to that, we see that our existing customers use delivery to shop us more often. And at the same time, new customers are using delivery to find us. So highly incremental for us. And you heard again in the prepared remarks, 80% of our orders are delivered within an 1.5 hour of those. So 40% of our delivery orders make it to our customers within 30 minutes. And really, that's a function of the proximity of our stores to our customers. And it means that for us, delivery really is showing a very important convenience piece of kind of our proposition here, and it's unique for our rural customers in a very important and meaningful way. The fact that we continue to see really high repeat rates tells us that our customers definitely see the value that we're bringing in this space, and I do see a continued pathway for growth for us. One of the important deliverables that we have this year is going to be that pilot on subscription. So more to come, but excited about bringing that to our customers as well. They tell us they're excited about that and would like us to offer a subscription offer. So I think that could provide additional growth as we move ahead.

Operator

Operator
#19

The next question is from the line of Rupesh Parikh, Oppenheimer.

Rupesh Parikh

Analysts
#20

So as we look at the nonconsumables category for the balance of the year, just curious on the confidence in sustaining momentum there? And then would you expect nonconsumables to continue outpacing consumables even with some of the new macro headwinds out there?

Todd Vasos

Executives
#21

Thanks for the question, Rupesh. Yes, we're confident in our ability to drive both consumables and nonconsumables here at Dollar General. We really prioritize that nonconsumable business. You heard us talk about it about a year ago and how we're going to lean in there and we have. And I would tell you that the team has done a great job. When you think of the value in our nonconsumable business, which I'll talk about in a minute, but also the relevancy and right trend, is so important for not only our customer, but that trade-in customer that's coming in. So we're happy with what we're seeing there. And the value, I'll come back to that, is really the key here. And the value is not only like items that you can find and other retailers that were substantially lower in our retail prices, but also in that lower end $1 price point. As you've heard us talk, Easter, as an example, a very large percentage of our Easter this year on the nonconsumable side was at $1. That trend continues in the spring and summer and will continue into the back half of the year. Again, I keep emphasizing, but I can't emphasize enough that, that $1 price point is so important to not only our core customer, but we're seeing great takeaway because of the value it shows in that middle and upper income as well. So I feel really good about what we've done. We've got a lot of work to do, but I believe that it is very sustainable. And again, if you think about that long-term model, it does model out that we've been the trend on the percentage of consumables and the nonconsumable side of that business. And I believe that showing that we're on our fifth consecutive quarter of showing that bending of the trend, I think that's a nice string to be able to leverage as we move over the next couple of years.

Operator

Operator
#22

The next question is from the line of John Heinbockel with Guggenheim Partners.

John Heinbockel

Analysts
#23

Todd, can you talk about when someone's got $1 item in the basket, so what happens to UPT? And I mean that might go up, what happens to basket size? And then with more $1 items, does that put any pressure on labor hours just in terms of kind of volume throughput on an item -- on a unit basis?

Todd Vasos

Executives
#24

Thank you for the question. We watch the basket very closely. The great thing is we saw our ticket go up about 0.5 point in the quarter with transactions up [ 1.4. ] So feel really good about that even with the large comp in our Value Valley area and other $1 price points against that 2,000 items at or below the $1 price point. We've never been very concerned here about the average basket size, the AUR. The concern is more can we give value to the consumer, can she see that value, and that halo effect of $1 and value is so important, not only to our core consumer, but that trade-in. And that's what we've seen as we've leaned into that $1 price point. The $1 price point, what we've seen traditionally has really been an add-on to the basket where they pick up that extra $1 item, especially at the first and the middle of the month. And then at the end of the month, that $1 price point actually fills a different role, and that is to balance our budget at the end of the month, right? Because our core customer, especially right now as we're facing large inflation and gas prices, runs out of money before the month runs out. And that $1 price point bridges that gap. So it's really shopped 2 different ways during each period. And our goal to grow that, I think, is very, very important to the core customer. But again, I think as time goes on, will be very important to that trade-in customer as well.

Operator

Operator
#25

The next question is from the line of Paul Lejuez with Citigroup.

Paul Lejuez

Analysts
#26

You talked a bit about the trade-in customer in the $100,000-plus range. We hear a lot of companies talk about gaining customers trading down in that income level. I'm curious where you think your customer is coming from. And then would love to hear you talk a little bit more about what you saw specifically on the lower income consumer as we moved through the quarter as gas prices stay high or even increase?

Todd Vasos

Executives
#27

Yes. Thank you for the question. I would tell you that the trade-in is really coming from the same areas that we've seen over the years at an accelerated rate right now. And that's really from the drug and the grocery side of the business is where we really see the most trade-in. That continues. As I indicated in my prepared remarks, we saw a very nice trade-in from that upper income that $100,000-plus. And that continues as we moved into Q2 at an, again, accelerated rate. So when you think about that and then when you think about our core customer, the second part of your question, really, the core customer, obviously, is under a lot of distress right now with sustained inflation, now gas prices sustained at or above $4 for the most part, depending on what part of the country you're living in, has really now turned to Dollar General even more. But we're seeing what we normally see, right? And that is, she comes more often. So transactions go up, but basket sizes shrink with that core customer as she balances her budget. Now she's very resilient. That's the other thing that we always have to remember about this customer. It takes her a quarter or so to figure out her budget. And we help with that as I indicated earlier with our value proposition, everyday great prices, the promotional activity that's very targeted to help that core customer, but also that $1 price point. And she figures it out over time. And the great thing is she looks to us to help figure it out, and you can see that in our results. So we'll continue to foster that trade-in, but also take care of that core customer.

Operator

Operator
#28

The next question is from the line of Seth Sigman with Barclays.

Seth Sigman

Analysts
#29

A couple of clarifications. I guess first just on the guidance change. You raised it by $0.10. I just want to confirm, it looks like $0.05 of that comes from the tax rate, seems like the rest of that comes from the Q1 upside. But can you just confirm if and how you changed assumptions for the rest of the year? And then specifically on the promotions being higher, I know there's a lot of talk about this on this call. I'm just curious, is that actually different than you planned or different than you expected? Or is it consistent?

Donny Lau

Executives
#30

Yes. So maybe I'll start off. This is Donny. I think the way you're thinking about the change in full year guidance is correct. I mean I think we're obviously very pleased to be increasing our expectations for EPS to a range of $7.20 to $7.45. I think to your point, a lot of it was driven by strong Q1 outperformance, outlook for balance of the year and reduction in the tax rate to about 24.5%. So you're thinking about that right way in terms of half and half. I think overall, what I would tell you is it reflects the evolving macro environment as well as continued progress against our key initiatives and growing momentum across many aspects of the business. And just keep them on, we're well ahead of several of the goals contemplating in our long-term framework. So adding it up, feel really good about the guidance based on what we know today, but believe it's prudent just in spite of the evolving landscape that we're seeing today.

Todd Vasos

Executives
#31

Yes. And as it relates to the promo activity, it isn't different than what we anticipated. Again, as I indicated, it's very targeted. It's not widespread. It's targeted at that low-end consumer to help her balance her budget but also targeted to -- for retention for that trade-in customer to continue. So very much planned and is very proactive on our part because we've got a very strong everyday price that really is -- that is the lead marker in value for our consumer, and that $1 price point. And that promotional activity is really targeted and planned very, very much each quarter. So that's how I would look at it, to answer your question.

Operator

Operator
#32

The next question is from the line of Scot Ciccarelli with Truist Securities.

Scot Ciccarelli

Analysts
#33

What percent of your $1 mix today is Value Valley or the $1 or less price point at this stage, just so we can better gauge the impact this initiative is having on the total business. And then secondly, on the third-party delivery front, I would think seasonality probably led to the comp contribution decline from 80 basis points in 4Q to 70 in 1Q. But how do you expect your delivery growth to scale? If you can put any numbers around that, that would be really helpful.

Todd Vasos

Executives
#34

I'll do the -- I'll answer the first part and then give it to Emily for the delivery side. But as we look at the $1 price point and especially Value Valley, consider that it's 500 rotating SKUs against the backdrop of over 2,000 SKUs across the store. And while it is a meaningful part of the overall $1 price point comp that we're enjoying, keep in mind that there's a lot of other areas, especially in our private brand areas that come with a $1 price point, that's very meaningful for our customer as well. So it's a meaningful contributor. I think we'll leave it at that. We talk about it a lot, especially in the 18.4% comp that it contributed. But as we continue to move forward, we think it is an area where we can expand and continue to grow that $1 price point against the entire store.

Emily Taylor

Executives
#35

Yes. And then from a delivery perspective, I would just say we do, as I mentioned earlier, expect continued growth out of that business. Now one thing I'll just remind you guys to have is the fact that we rolled out in scale delivery over 2025, and so that is a factor. But when you look at what we're doing to improve the shopping experience from a digital perspective in combination with new offers like the subscription program that will pilot this year, that will continue to drive growth really beyond -- this year and beyond.

Operator

Operator
#36

The next question is from the line of Spencer Hanus with Wolfe Research.

Spencer Hanus

Analysts
#37

Just on the Remodel program, I'm just curious how that's been tracking relative to expectations and what you've seen in the latest cohort of stores and also how you're thinking about the year or 2 lifts there? And then you just also mentioned the pilot for the delivery initiative. Just curious if there's any more color on that and what that's going to look like later this year.

Emily Taylor

Executives
#38

Okay. So I'll jump in on Renovate and Elevate. And just for context, right, we've got the 2 elements of our remodel program. Renovate is our full remodel, touches 100% of the stores and we are planning 2,000 projects this year. We also have to Elevate, our lighter remodel project, touches about 80% of the store. And what we really like using these 2 projects in combination is that it puts us in a really great position to update our store base in an accelerated manner, which ultimately supports really a higher brand standard both for customers and employees. So our target continues to be a 6% lift out of Renovate on an annualized basis, and a 3% annualized lift out of Elevate, and feel good about where we're tracking. From a 2-year perspective, we really started the Elevate last year. So we're early on in being able to read that. But our expectation is that this repositions the store and helps us to continue to drive accelerated growth out of our mature store base overall. And then I think you had another question, that third piece? What I'll tell you about subscription is just a fact that we are excited about what we are hearing from our customers in terms of their interest level, specifically in subscription from Dollar General. And I think our team has done a really outstanding job of putting together the right value for that program that will include in our pilot, which combines benefits at Dollar General with other offers and other benefits for our customers that are specifically targeted and chosen for our customer base. So I'm really excited to be able to report on those results as we get a pilot up and running.

Operator

Operator
#39

The next question is from the line of Peter Keith with Piper Sandler.

Peter Keith

Analysts
#40

Nice results, guys. With the gas prices, you talked about the impact on the consumer. I was thinking more on the supply chain, if we're in an environment where gas prices continue to go higher. Donny, the gross margin outlook, it doesn't feel like it's changed. Have you contemplated higher gas prices, and perhaps if you have, are those being offset by other things that are perhaps coming in better than you expected on the gross margin line?

Donny Lau

Executives
#41

Yes, you're thinking about it the right way, Peter. I mean I think from a gas price perspective, we do anticipate fuel costs to remain elevated versus prior year for the balance of the year, but we'll look to mitigate any additional pressure above and beyond our forecasted rates. But so far, the team has done a really nice job of being able to offset those pressures, particularly in Q1, and that's our expectation balance of the year as well.

Operator

Operator
#42

The next question is from the line of Robby Ohmes with Bank of America.

Robert Ohmes

Analysts
#43

I was hoping, Todd and maybe Emily, can you guys talk about the SKU reduction initiatives, where you guys are at in that? And what kind of benefits you expect to see from that for the balance of the year?

Todd Vasos

Executives
#44

Yes, it's a great question. We continue to work hard on SKU rationalization. And as we have stated, we have moved out about 1,200 SKUs, maybe a little bit more at this point over the last couple of years to be more productive in the store. I think the way to think about it is it's more productive in our DCs. It's more productive in our stores. It adds to gross margin in a very meaningful manner as well. And it helps the stores be able to manage freight and in-stock levels at a higher rate. So we like the reduction. It is very methodical. It's done, making sure that trade-off to the customer is the right trade-off. And we've done, I believe, a very good job of that. And you can tell that in our comps that we've enjoyed since the reductions have taken place. I think the way to think about it into the future, I think there's still opportunity the team is looking at. And that's why we're pretty confident that we'll grow sales at a rate above inventory growth, at least for this year and then looking at how we are targeted in our ability to reduce SKUs into the future as well because we believe that there's opportunity. And again, that grows both the top line, if you do it right, it helps mitigate expense at store in DC, and it adds to gross margin.

Operator

Operator
#45

Our last question is from the line of Corey Tarlowe with Jefferies.

Corey Tarlowe

Analysts
#46

Great. Donny, I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the margin cadence for the year. You comped a 2 in Q1 and EBIT margins leveraged about 40 basis points. The compares do get tougher and the revised guide would imply that Q1 would be the most substantial EBIT margin expansion in the quarter. Curious about kind of how you're thinking around that?

Donny Lau

Executives
#47

Yes. No, Corey, I appreciate the question. I think you're thinking about it the right way, Corey. I mean I think as I alluded to a little bit earlier, I think from a balance of your perspective on the gross margin side, you touched on it, the compares do get a little bit more challenging. We are anticipating, right, the higher fuel cost to remain elevated. But again, we feel really good about the tailwinds, but it's early in the year, right? And so we feel really good about the gross margin drivers, how we're performing against them, for the most part, how a lot of them are delivering ahead of our expectations, but there's a lot of year left. And overall, we feel really good about the guidance we provided.

Operator

Operator
#48

Thank you. This will conclude our question-and-answer session, and will also conclude today's call. We thank you for your participation. Have a wonderful day.

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Dollar General Corporation earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.