Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

October 31, 2022

New York Stock Exchange US Industrials Machinery conference_presentation 26 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Tod Carpenter

executive
#1

It's a pleasure to be with all of you today. Thanks for hosting us. So maybe we'll just try to make up a little bit of time here. So we have the safe harbor statement, just to let you know that it's all included as a quick reminder. We closed our fiscal year, which is August 1 to July 31 and reported. That's what I'll be referring to. Actually today is the last day of our first quarter. Obviously we'll not be talking about anything with regards to that. So just as a quick overview with messages that I would like to have you take away about our company. Strategies about choices, we choose to be a technology-led filtration company, we choose to have deep customer relationships. We believe that sets us apart within the industry. Overall we have a very diversified global portfolio of businesses and many opportunities for expandable businesses in markets. We have an experienced management team and an experienced Board of Directors team that all has rallied around our long-term strategic goals and targets and have our total commitment and support. Fourth, we are everywhere the customer wants us to be. So we like to say we are global with a localized footprint. And last, we have a culture of ownership. You would -- and we'd like to also have you understand that we have above industry average ownership guidelines for myself, for example. My ownership requirement is 10x my base salary, which is significantly above industry. And we do all of that throughout all the officers and the Board because we like to say, "You want us to act as owners, not as just managers." Just turning quickly and touching on ESG. Within our environmental health and safety, a portion of the activity we did cut out 6,000 metric tons of CO2 last year. So we did meet all of our targets. We recently published our whole new guide relative to where we're headed in that direction. We are strong community advocates, continuing to reach out with the Donaldson Foundation and giving back to all of our local communities of where we are. And we have a strong governance culture across our corporation with a very diverse board, as you can see, and also a nice evenly balanced 10-year board. So I'm getting a little bit deeper into the company. We are $3.3 billion. You can see our split within our 2 reporting segments, our Engine segment and our Industrial segments. But one thing that I'd like to really call attention to is that middle pie there. We are a razors, proprietary razors to sell razor blade company. We do it across all of our portfolio of businesses. And therefore 65% of our revenue is recurring and razor blades. You can see our regional breakdowns in the last pipe. Also of note in the far right, the bars there, as you can note, our top market, if you will, is on our engine business and the second largest is in our industrial-based businesses. So that speaks to the diversity that we have across our corporation. If you look at the latest metrics that we published, they tell you that we reported record revenue at $3.3 billion last year. All the way to the right, we reported record earnings per share at $2.68. And we have opportunity as you look at the 2 in the middle. In the middle, we have our operating margin is at 13.5. I'll talk to you about our latest guidance here in the next slide. But we have opportunity because it's really a gross margin story. That 35% of our business, which is heavy OE base, always lags inflationary-based responses, and this is no different. However we have had expanding gross margins over the last 3 quarters. And when we report the quarter that we're just finishing, we would expect to have expanding gross margins in that quarter, all pushing our operating margin back to where we would expect it to be, in the 14s. Our adjusted free cash flow, you'll see it down last year, that was by choice. We relied heavily based upon the supply chain problems that we were experiencing on our balance sheet, which has a very comfortable net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of below 1. And so we invested in inventory to take care of our customers. Remember that choice of strong customer relationships, and we really used our strategic balance sheet, if you will, to be able to go after that. We'll reverse that this year now as many of the supply chain challenges that we had have cleared. So you'll see that free cash flow really change in this fiscal year. Therefore our guidance is for the fiscal year that we are now in, is to set a record on the top line, to have a strong over 100 basis point operating margin expansion year-over-year and to have a record earnings per share. How we look at capital deployment? On the left chart, we play in a $65 billion filtration industry. $16 billion of our engine business is roughly just over $2 billion of our company in the industrial business is that darker blue. And you can see how we've gone into service for a $3 billion opportunity and that slight slice into food and beverage, you roll that together, that's an $11 billion opportunity. And the gray all the way to the black bar is where we're heading technologically, which through organic opportunities as well as acquisitions. We'll head down that wheel into the medical and pharmaceutical over time, really opening up roughly half of the entire filtration industry as opportunity to our company. Therefore in order to grow our company on the right side, we look to expand our technologies, our technology platforms, our solutions. We have good market opportunity to extend into markets where we're underrepresented and to execute strategic acquisitions. We look at our portfolio much as the way all of you would with Advance and Accelerate, getting the disproportionate share of investments in our corporation. Critical Core would just be probably the most cyclical portion, but it gets strong investments as well. Mature markets, many of you would say, cash cow, fix and reposition, we are in good shape there with only one business at this point in time in that particular box. I do want to call attention though to the right side, where we talk about strategic acquisitions. Purilogics and Solaris Biotech are in that medical space where I told you where we were going. We have organic projects, but specifically in the M&A, we have targeted filtration companies, both of those very unique and really help us get in a strong foothold into that particular medical-based markets. And on TA Industrials, that's really about that $3 billion service opportunity where we continue to test models in the industrial space, and it was a nice small acquisition that we allow to build on. And so you can see, strategically, we say what we do and we do what we say, and that is we're going after those particular strategic choices and our acquisitions aligned with that. Just quickly touching. You could look at this later at how we really break up our portfolio. I do want to call out that 61% of our portfolio is in the Advance and Accelerate portion of our company. Strategically, we have deployed over $1 billion over the last 3 years, as shown here, 7% to M&A, 30% to dividends. We are a proud member of the Dividend Aristocrat's fund, meaning we have increased our dividend for over 20 years in a row, and we continue to look to do that and behave in that consistency of story. 38% has been share repurchases, again, a very consistent behavior where we look to buy back a minimum of 1% to offset any dilution that we may have as a corporation. And in most years, we look to do 2% in order to bring that down by about 1% over time. Within capital expenditures, we have really gone through a reinvestment back into the corporation pretty significantly expanding our capacities, which turned out to be a strategic bull's eye for us over the course of the last 3 years because as we bounced out of the pandemic, we were able to take care of our customers better than all of our competitors. And capacity is not a concern for us, our ability to produce product. We did have the supply chain challenges as most, but we can meet all of our customer demands. So just very quickly, our priorities with capital deployment, our first invest back into the company. Next, M&A portion of our strategy. Dividends remain very important and a consistent story of share repurchases. Our dividends, Scott likes to say, we've paid them for over 66 years and he doesn't want to be the Chief Financial Officer that messes that up. I can tell you it's a very important part of our story, and we will continue to grow this corporation so that we can continue to act consistently for all of you that trust us with your investment. With that as a backdrop of our corporation, [ Brian ], I think I've made up a little bit of time here. So I'll throw the floor open for questions.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#2

Yes. Can you hear me, Tod?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#3

Yes, I can.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#4

Okay. Great. And thank you. You did a terrific job of catching some tailwinds, and we've got a couple of minutes after the end of the half hour that we can go into. I want to talk -- you spoke to something that I think from a stock perspective isn't necessarily priced in. Is that 100 basis points of margin expansion that you're targeting for 2023 or your fiscal year ending in July. How much of that do you think is under your control versus external factors that have impacted you to this point?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#5

Yes, that's a great question. We believe all of it is under our control, just simply because of the fact that we've now started to see the pace of inflation actually start to abate. While there is a little bit of inflation, it would be starting to plateau a bit, which means then what we have to do is get the pricing opportunities reflected across all of our businesses. Some of them lag, OEs are pretty fantastic at dragging their feet on that. We still have some work ahead of us. However we're very proud of the fact that over the last 3 quarters, we were at 31.1, 31.5, 32.9 on the overall operating margin, our gross margin expansion. And so we look to build on that. And we have confidence with all of our teams working around the world to get that pricing action normalized as well as our supply chain issues. I would tell you, our supply chain, one year ago, we probably were chasing between 100 and 125 very critical parts. We were looking all the time for the golden screw, I call it. We would have 9 out of 10 parts, when the golden crew came in, we produced. Now I would tell you we're back to pretty much normal. We're under 10 items that we're chasing, and they're the same 10 in more normal type of environment. So we would tell you that the majority of that is under our control.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#6

Yes. Let's talk about this though as well from a sourcing perspective. Given the amount of aftermarket business that you have, have you changed any sort of thoughts on where you're sourcing your materials, whether they're raw, whether they're purchased, whether subcomponents, et cetera?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#7

Yes. So we have had in order to meet this supply and demand, particularly when the horrible Texas weather event happened last year, that forced us to build things in Europe to bring it back to the U.S. And for us, normally, the United States is a net exporter. So we usually like to build within region to support that region. And with all the supply chain problems, it really pressured us to take care of our customers and do really use the available capacity where it was where we can get supply in order to do that. That is all renormalizing now. So it's another -- one of those factors that give us confidence that we can really fix our gross margins.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#8

If we're thinking about the aftermarket component of your business, which is about 50-50, and it's one of the reasons why you're such a great company and such just terrific stock to own. It's usually one of the earlier -- earliest indicators of any sort of economic trouble or any sort of economic recovery. Can you talk about what you're seeing there and whether that really translates to any sort of thoughts on the slowdown upcoming from broader economic activity?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#9

Yes, it's interesting, right? Because if you go and look at the previous recessions, what would happen is you'd have a significant step-down event and the destocking as a result of all of the independent and OE aftermarket channels, all the replacement parts. However, this time, it was never able to get to the inventory levels that they ever made to independent channels or the OE channel comfortable, right? So when we're looking through what we're seeing today on the order intake levels, we're suggesting that it's more pull through. And we go out and visit our -- we're back to visiting our dealers in all regions of the world, except for China. China is obviously difficult. You know all about that. But all the other regions of the world, we're able to touch our customers more. And so we would tell you that if there is a pullback, it is not going to be of the levels of step-down that we've seen in the past simply because no one was able to build the inventory to their liking.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#10

That makes a great deal of sense. And one of the other pieces of this aftermarket business that you have is the ability to pass on price. So we've discussed maybe some of the inflationary issues on the OE side that you've had to deal with. Talk about how you've handled that from an aftermarket perspective and how that's -- go ahead.

Tod Carpenter

executive
#11

Yes. So on the independent channel of the aftermarket, we control our own price, right? So we've been able to push the pricing as quickly as we see the need to. So you -- what we like to do is be more normal and predictable on our pricing actions, which typically take place January 1. There are businesses we had 4 pricing actions last year. As steel continued to, for example, to ramp up far quicker than anyone would expect, we went out and we changed prices 4x. So across the independent channel, we would tell you we're in good shape. We're actually back to normal in a large part of the company, whereby our pricing behaviors will go back to annual. Where we're still lagging a little bit is we still have some stubborn OEs that have not come all the way through. And frankly, what we're doing there is just telling them, listen, we're going to be reallocating our capacity to those that we feel proper and fair relative to the pricing. And so that's the way we've handled the situation. So we're almost through all of it, as you can see by the fact that our gross margins have expanded over the last 3 quarters. A little bit more work to do, but we're pretty happy with the progress. Independent channel, it's kind of business as usual right now.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#12

There are no questions in the audience, I want to ask one about some of the growth channels that you have going forward, whether it be on the medical side or within food and beverage. The slide is terrific about what the opportunity is. Maybe talk about the pipeline of what might be behind what you've already purchased and how that blends with your strategy?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#13

Yes. So when we talk about going from food and beverage over to semiconductor into the medical and biopharmaceutical space, it's really for us at the foundation of it all is filtration technology. And what you do in food and beverage, you just need to ratchet that same type of the filtration product up to that next level of quality in order to be able to get into the medical. So we have many organic projects inside our corporation to give opportunity of invention to enter those types of the markets, but we also are supplementing that with a new team that we've built in the last 3 years to attack specifically the M&A portion. If you look at Solaris, for example, Solaris is the maker of bioreactors and fermenters. And so what that means is we'll be able to filter everything that goes into this large bioreactor. The bioreactor, for example, that we are selling today is helping companies grow proteins. So think of meats and fish and that whole food industry type of application. It's a wonderful product for us, but we can also then filter out essentially what comes out of the bioreactor so that it can be disposed of properly. When you look at Purilogics, Purilogics for us today, it's about chromatography. So just think about there's a column. So think about of a cylindrical column, it could be, say, 5 feet in diameter and say maybe 6 feet tall, it's full of a solution. Well, you filter it before it goes in. But then after you put the solution in, everybody's played marbles. The way they describe this mentally is, we used to call them [ pears leaves ] as a kid. They're the ones that look like they had cracks in them. So these are the resin beads that they put inside this chromatography column and the cracks in them are coated with a particular coating of choice that attracts the protein that you want to get out of there, right? And so this takes quite some time. What Purilogics does is take away all the resin beads. You don't need it anymore. And so you just take your solution and you then take it through tangential flow, which is a different type of the filtration product for us. And it's 10x faster of any way in the marketplace today. It's been proven that it works. We're working with all the large mRNA and dRNA type of companies out there. And today it is a pre-revenue company. We're excited about the technology. We have teams of people looking to manufacture that as quickly as we can. And so you can see we're going pre-revenue, we're going project-based, but where filtration technology really matters and filtration media-based separations matter, we're attacking that. And we're really excited about the opportunities that we have within the medical space.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#14

I appreciate the color there. One of the businesses that has been maybe one that you've had to talk to more than you would have liked over the course of the last 5 or 6 years is the gas turbine business. Maybe just give an update on where you are there and how that business has improved to the point where it's moved from one category to the other as far as how you classify?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#15

Yes. Gas Turbine is really now, we would say, fixed. It's definitely at -- today, actually, it's really solid operating margins, and we walked away from the large base of peak load projects. If we win a project like that today, it's on our terms. It's not on the OE's terms. We're still doing a lot of moving gas up and down the pipelines, for example, natural gas or oils or whatever the case may be. So those smaller projects, we do that, but it's largely an aftermarket business. And so therefore it really relies on our filtration technologies and gives us a solid base in that power generation need.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#16

Last couple of questions here, and we'll bump over on time. It's okay. Electrification is something we talk about a lot as a manufacturer of filtration systems that often go into internal combustion engines. What is the Donaldson position on how they fit within electrification and what potential challenges or opportunities exist?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#17

3 outcomes of electrification. Number one, you go with a hybrid. So a 15-liter diesel engine becomes a 10-liter diesel engine, but it's still a diesel engine. If that's the outcome, and you believe that's the outcome, I would tell you, bet on us. The reason is we got the best customer relationships. We already have all the relationships in that industry. If that's the outcome, the industry will grow, and we have the best technology to meet it. Second possible outcome. Hydrogen. Hydrogen; 2 ways. One, you use hydrogen internal to the combustion engine, much like people talked about natural gas 10 and 15 years ago. But you use it the way Cummins is, for example, looking at it. If that's the case, it's just a different fuel source for combustion, nothing changes in the air cycle. Diesel fuel goes to a gas. Gas has to be pristine in order to be able to help that. And so consequently I would tell you, bet on us, because we're working with the companies that are doing all of that. We have the best technologies, and we have the best customer relationships. If it goes to fuel cells, what happens is the lubrication portion of the engine goes away, fine with us, that's the most commoditized filter in that whole market that we sell. But it goes to really pristine gas and the technologies that we have come from our disk-drive business, the chemical absorption skill sets that we have are being applied as we work with all of the companies in the fuel cell sector. No matter which hydrogen-based solution you think is going to happen, whether it's a combustion engine or it's fuel cells, I would tell you, we get some expansion in the marketplace, bet on us because we've got the best technology. We've got the best customer relationships. If it goes 100% electric; construction, agriculture, mining and long-haul trucks, if they go all batteries all the time, then it's a conversation of time. Does that take a decade, 2 decades, 3 decades, all the way before the markets actually start to compress, it's going to be some time. Everybody knows it's going to be time, which means we only have share between 15% and 18% in this marketplace. We've got a whole bunch of expansion. We have the best customer relationships. We have the best technologies. Bet on us. What we think is going to happen over time. It's going to be not one single solution. It will be a combination of the 3. And so therefore, no matter what the outcome, we think we come into a strong position with our technologies and customer relationships.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#18

Tod, I really appreciate that. Last question is Kirk Cousins are right quarter back for the Vikings?

Tod Carpenter

executive
#19

I'm a Bears fan.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#20

I appreciate. Thank you very much for your patience, Tod, and waiting those 5 minutes. They took 15 minutes in my head here. I really appreciate it. We missed you here this year, and we hope to get you back in Las Vegas next year. So thank you very, very much.

Tod Carpenter

executive
#21

Yes, I look forward to it. Thanks, Brian. Take care all.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#22

Take care.

Tod Carpenter

executive
#23

Bye.

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