DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. (DV) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 20, 2024

New York Stock Exchange US Communication Services Media conference_presentation 33 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Mark Murphy

analyst
#1

Okay. Welcome, everyone. I'm Mark Murphy, software analyst with JPMorgan. And it is a great pleasure, of course, to be here with Mark Zagorski, who is the CEO of DoubleVerify as well as Nicola Allais, who is the CFO of the business. So first off, gentlemen, can't thank you enough for taking the time to be here, and welcome to the conference.

Mark Zagorski

executive
#2

Great. Thanks for having us.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#3

Maybe you could spend a moment just to give us a very brief introduction of yourselves in DoubleVerify just in case there's anyone in the audience who's not familiar yet.

Mark Zagorski

executive
#4

I'm Mark Zagorski, I'm CEO. Nicola here is our CFO. And DoubleVerify provides verification services and solutions to some of the biggest advertisers in the planet. We ensure that their ad spend across digital media is delivered to a real person, it's viewable and is delivered in a brand-safe or brand-suitable environment.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#5

So thinking back on the time of the IPO, the company has grown very successfully. And the customer feedback that we've collected on DoubleVerify, it's always impressed us. We'll hear these comments that we'll run into brand advertisers, let's say we would never run a campaign without this. It's a must-have. It's the most well rounded. There have been a lot of companies that will tell us that the DoubleVerify measurement is second to none. Can you spend a moment or two helping us understand what is it that is unique about the actual platform that it kind of gets that type of an accolade from the customer. So I think maybe just trying to understand what is differentiated about the platform.

Mark Zagorski

executive
#6

Yes. So we've always thought ourselves is where we wanted to end up is become an essential part of an advertiser's playbook. We want them to think of never wanting to spend a single dollar without working with us, right, to ensure that spend is secure, it performs and reaches who they wanted to reach. And I think the way we've built that up over time and how the platform has differentiated itself is really on 3 main areas. The first being trust, we are a measurement company. We're a verification company. They need to trust us. And the way we lean into that is by having more accreditations or more external accreditations than any other platform out there. So A, who scores the scores, groups like the MRC and others do that. So A, trust. The second differentiator is really around performance and the way our tools perform. When we do things like brand suitability measurement, we do so at a much more granular level than any other platform out there. We have more tiers of suitability and more levels of sensitivity than anybody else, which allows us to measure more granularly. On the fraud side, because we use deterministic fraud techniques and have our own fraud lab, which was the first in the industry. And I think it's pretty much the only one that's really at scale out there, we're able to identify fraud 8.5x more effectively in efficiency than our competitors. So if you think of trust, performance and then just basic features like features of the tool set, tools that we have like prebid optimization tools like Scibids, which we now employ. Pre-screen solutions for social that we do across YouTube and others. And even our broader tool set like Attention, which we now have an Attention Solution, an Attention Measurement Solution, that is both in the prebid aspect or the activation aspect of our business and in the measurement aspect of the business, which no one else has in our space. It's very differentiated. And most recently, Attention was leveraged by Netflix. They ran a test with us last quarter to look at the engagement on CTV impressions. So all of these things, performance, trust, differentiation features have allowed us to grow faster than the market, faster than our competitors and put us in a unique position.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#7

And so if we're trying to take that the uniqueness of the product level and try to apply that back to the business model, Nicola, the trajectory for DoubleVerify, when there have been periods of huge volatility, downward volatility in advertising, you've -- at least in the prior cycle of that, you held on to growth that was above 20% through that course of that year. What do you think it is about the business model that makes it more resilient?

Nicola Allais

executive
#8

What's unique about our model is that it's tied to the volume growth, right? So we charge a fixed fee per impression that we measure. And so as the volume of advertising that's coming to digital grows, we grow with it. We're less subject to fluctuations on the CPM side of the business just because we're not a take rate business. So if there is higher volatility around CPMs that are charged in the market based on market condition, we don't feel that as strongly. Neither the upside nor the downside, we have a much steadier business model because we are attached to the MTMs, which we call the Media Transactions Measured.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#9

And so one of the other metrics we've noticed that you do tend to provide that we don't see it too commonly across the rest of our software coverage is where you'll actually comment on the win rates. And you've consistently cited these win rates that have been 80% plus. I feel as though we can see that in the numbers, because when we look back on it, I'm not saying that everything is perfect in the industry right now. But on average, you've grown 10 points faster, right, than kind of your #2 competitor. That's over the last 2 years. And you've actually done that on a slightly larger scale. So can you help us understand where -- I mean, where do you think there is a shortcoming from any of your competitors that are out there, either on the product side or just the strategy vision side?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#10

Yes. I think when we look at our overall vision, it's pretty all-encompassing. We want to verify everywhere. We think it's important for us to be any place where our advertiser partners spend. So that means physically being globally in the markets where they are. So last year, we expanded further into APAC with offices in Vietnam and the Philippines and in Thailand and double down and other markets like Singapore and Southeast Asia. So I think it's important for us to verify everywhere and on every platform. And we leaned very heavily into social over the last several quarters, and that coverage differentiates ourselves versus many in this space, particularly the point solutions that don't have the kind of coverage. But I think when it comes to kind of taking on our larger direct competitors, it comes down to performance of the tool set, how well we filter out fraud, how well we provide granular measurement on a brand suitability level, number one. And then more importantly, the features that we're able to provide or the functions we're able to provide. Our competitors don't have prebid social tools, our competitors don't have prebid optimization tools like Scibids, our competitors are late to market on things like attention and MFA filtering. I think our investments in technology, which have been considerably more than our competitors over the last several quarters, have allowed us to advance, allow us to have strong win ratios and keep that 80% plus target that we've been shooting for on the wins.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#11

So let's talk about then the 20%. Where -- the 20% where you lose the business in a competitive selling situation. What -- is there a commonality -- I mean, if you've got -- if you're identifying fraud 8.5x better and you've got the prebid and all this other tooling that some of the competitors maybe haven't moved as quickly. Why do you lose?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#12

Yes. I would love to make this sound very sophisticated and deep, but this is still a world based on relationships. So in some cases, we'll have a CMO or a media leader who has a relationship with a competitor that sometimes trumps us. There's also cases where geographically, maybe that we may not be as strong. We -- to be very direct, we didn't open an office outside the U.S. until 2018. And some of our competitors have been there long before us. So for some global advertisers, if we're maybe weaker in a market, we may lose because of that. We've caught up very quickly, and we've invested in that over the last several years. So I think that's become less of a factor. And then there's always the issue of price. And I think we've been able to maintain price integrity pretty strongly over the last several quarters. We'll continue to do so. There'll be a price at which we just won't go to. And what we find is, in most cases, those customers will come back to us over time over quality.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#13

So Mark, what -- as we try to understand what inning is this opportunity in, right? Where are we in the kind of the technology adoption curve. I think you said on the Q1 earnings call, 62% of the wins are greenfield. And you're defining that as it's a win where the advertiser wasn't using third-party tools for the business at DoubleVerify one. And I think if we took that in a vacuum, it makes it sound like -- it conveys to us a market that is super early stages, right, in the development. But then I think we look at it, then the flip side is, you already have nearly half of the top -- you have nearly half of the top 1,000 advertisers as customers, I believe. And I think it's something similar to the top 100. So how do those two go together? Like if we said, where are we on a spectrum of it's early stages, low penetration versus like -- versus just maturing and we -- and there's some saturation out there for ad verification?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#14

Yes. I think this is where kind of the basket of goods that we sell really comes into play. So when we say we work with half of the top 1,000 advertisers, they could be working with us with one product in one market. And I think as our customers become more global, we see that there's a huge amount of growth potential to penetrate across their global entities. The upsell capabilities that we have across new solutions, I think, has never been greater as we add new solutions like prescreen social and optimization through Scibids AI. So I think a, we may have engagements with a lot of these customers, but we've got massive upsell capabilities across the board. A couple of things to note, too, only about 30% of our measurement revenue last quarter came from outside the U.S. whereas arguably over 50% of digital ad spend happens outside of the U.S. So we're still underpenetrated on a global basis as well. So we've got great relationships I think those relationships now are the launching point for further penetration for upselling of products, further global penetration with additional solutions around the world.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#15

Okay. So within the customers that you have, you're not all that penetrated when we look at the kind of the broader portfolio that you've crafted. Nicola, is there any alternate method to try to estimate where we are penetration-wise. I mean I think the -- for example, is there any way to estimate like if we said -- here's the total volume of digital advertisements in the world. Do we know what percentage of them are undergoing verification today?

Nicola Allais

executive
#16

We did an analysis at the time we went public to try to estimate the TAM, which is a very large number. And that number at the time we did it was assuming would be $13 billion going to $25 billion. What's important is that the percent served was estimated to go up to 50%. So it's still pretty small percentage of that opportunity being served. I think more practically, to think about what we see as the opportunity for us is to think about just our customer base and our own metrics. We have 120-plus percent NRR over the last 4 or 5 years, which means that we are growing with the customers that we have -- if you think about it, even at the level of a specific product, if we take ABS, for example, which is our premium priced product on the activation side, only 60% of our top 500 clients use it. So that means there's an opportunity even within our base to continue to have more customers using it. And even within the base of customers that use it, this is the part that's hard to evaluate. But even within the piece of the pie that uses our product, there's probably another 40% or 50% of their business that still don't use ABS. So not only do we have customers that don't use it yet, but even the ones that use it don't necessarily use all of their volume.

Mark Zagorski

executive
#17

Because they may have other brands...

Nicola Allais

executive
#18

They may have other brands, and it might take time to get to certain geographies. So the opportunity to continue to penetrate there is pretty high for us.

Mark Zagorski

executive
#19

And let me throw just another kind of data point a stake in the sand. We did some analysis recently on kind of social penetration and what our attach rate in social. And what we estimate is only about 5% of all the social impressions in the U.S. is what we're covering right now. So you think about that. There's 95% of social impressions in the U.S. that were not verifying. So there's -- I mean, there's a ton of volume out there for us to still tackle.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#20

Okay. And I definitely want to come back to that. I want to talk about social in just a moment. But before we do, can I try to get your assessment on the -- just on the current health of the advertising market. And I don't mean for your kind of the small subset, the small handful, I mean, for the -- I mean, for the bulk of the market. Because I seem to recall, if we think back a little over a year we were coming into 2023, it felt kind of soft. I think you thought coming into 2023 that there could be some softness lurking out there. And when we look at what has happened more recently, there's actually been an improvement. I mean, certainly, if we look at advertising growth rates for Google and Meta, right, both of those picked up in Q1 and so that actually feels like it's been kind of resilient in the face of -- there's been consumer softness. There's been a macroeconomic soon. So what is the sense you're getting just on -- if we said business confidence, right, and willingness to lean in and do some advertising. You have -- I believe you've had customers like Mondelez and Colgate and Pfizer. I mean, you've got a lot of very big brands. What are they telling you?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#21

Yes. I think everyone's pretty feels okay. And I know that's not a very technical term, but everyone feels okay about the space. The challenges right now is that no one is willing to bet further than a quarter out. Most advertisers now have total flexibility in their spend. They can move it, especially in the digital space, where they can move it programmatically from platform to platform. I mean upfronts, you can call them commitments, but I can tell you, anybody who's selling upfronts right now know that the commitments are pretty loose. So the reality of it is, I think advertisers are really in a world where they are playing quarter-to-quarter. They feel okay, general economy is fine. They're not pulling back massively on spend and where they're spending, they're spending where they know they can prove an ROI. And that's a key thing. So when you hear people like Google and Meta having great results, is because they've done a lot of work as a platforms like Amazon and Retail Media Networks, which are booming, on trying to ensure that they can prove an ROI from spend. So tying it to an outcome. And I think that's really important, right? So platforms and media that can prove an outcome that can tie to an outcome or a verification companies that can help optimize that outcome like DV, I think you're going to continue to thrive in a market where there's that kind of imbalance.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#22

What is -- what do you read into that kind of mindset that they're in? Is it -- it could just be very simple. They also don't know where the economy is going right now. Is that it? Because when you describe the technologies, right, and what they can do with prebid and programmatic, the -- I mean would it ever go back to really meaningful kind of upfront long-term commitments would you say, if we're going -- if it becomes clear that we're coming into a booming economy, would it go back to that?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#23

It's all a matter of supply and demand dynamics. And right now, there's lots of supply out there, right? And whatever supply is going to work is where advertisers are going to point their ad spend to. So I would be surprised if there is ever a point in the future where people would have to commit to anything. And again, the platforms are making it easier for people to move money and to prove where that money works or doesn't work.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#24

Nicola, what do you think are going to be the swing factors on this? So if you try to think, let's say, between now and the end of the year, what is it that would change the health of the advertising market? Because when I think back on what happened in the last 3, 4, 5 years, the pandemic had a real oscillation, right? There were these -- if there's a supply chain, if you don't have a product, you're not going to go advertise it. The recession fears will seem like they'll trigger it at times, the inflation will have an impact on the consumer. Is that what you think is going to drive it between now and year-end? Or is there anything else you throw into the mix?

Nicola Allais

executive
#25

I think immediately for the -- between the rest of the year, you have the elections, you have the Olympics that will obviously have an impact on the ad spend levels. It won't necessarily have an impact on our business directly because as we said, we're kind of tied to impression level, and we don't really do a lot of political ad spend anyway. But I think overall in the market, those will be more immediate factors that will have an impact on how the market reacts one way or the other in terms of ad spend.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#26

So I think -- so -- and just since you brought up the election, I mean everyone cares about that. Mark, I think there was a point in the past, there was a comment that during election years, your advertisers are going to need to pretty closely monitor like politically charged content and that type of thing and that they need to kind of do it globally, they need to do it in real time. I mean, could there be a bit of a tailwind this year as we get into it or [ not great ] ingredient.

Mark Zagorski

executive
#27

Historically, we haven't seen significant volume tailwinds. What we do see is much more concern from an advertiser perspective, they don't want to be uncovered during political seasons or during any type of heavy events, whether it's political conflicts, someplace around the world or when we saw when Ukraine was invaded, it creates more angst for advertisers. Two years ago, in the midterms, we saw -- we have an election task force. We monitor what happens across sites. We monitor in what we call inflammatory news and politics. Two years ago, in states that had competitive Senate races, we saw hate speech increase by almost 30%. So like politics and political campaigns do create more challenges for advertisers. It creates more incendiary social situations. On the open web, there's more challenges. So yes, there is kind of a more -- a return to quality during those spaces and also a much more of a need, I think, for verification solutions. We don't see volumes go up, but we do see more advertisers kind of leaning and saying, yes, I'm going to make sure that this is running, and I'm going to pay attention to it.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#28

Okay. Well, how about on the topic of pricing? Because we -- I'm sure everyone in the room noticed that you have a competitor IAS that was -- it was seeming to state that there was a competitive pricing situation happening. I guess I'll put it that way earlier in the year. I guess, they didn't use the term pricing war, but situation. I think you've been very adamant that there really is not that kind of a dynamic out there in the marketplace, and we appreciate that. But it's a little odd, right, for one provider to be saying there is and one to be saying that there isn't so how did we end up here?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#29

Yes. I think there is some misinterpretation of their last statement. I mean, basically, they said, look, we're going to ring-fence some customers. And because we didn't want to lose them, we lowered price to maintain those relationships. That's very different than saying, we're going out to the market to attack our competitors with a price war. We've been very clear. We've been competing against the same group of folks for 10 years. The dynamics have not changed much, which is you win deals based on performance, you win deals based on product differentiation. You maintain deals based on service and somewhere in that list of criteria, price plays a role. But it's never number one particularly when you're dealing with things like brand safety, suitability. These are things that can crush a brand if they happen the wrong way. And especially in things like fraud, I mean, a cheaper fraud solution, it's kind of like having a cheaper alarm on your house. Yes, I'm going to save some money, but I'm going to leave 4 windows open, so people can sneak in, right? It just doesn't make sense. So pricing is always a factor, but we don't see it as the factor and we haven't seen any more this year than we've ever had in the past.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#30

Okay. So you've -- I want to move on and talk a little bit about what you saw with a handful of your larger customers. And I think trying to keep the full or broader perspective, DoubleVerify has been a top executing company. You've been capital-efficient. It's been -- it's a trusted brand. You have the best list of customers. You've grown rapidly, you've outgrown your competitors. You had -- so you had a little bit of an adverse change in -- which I think you've said is a handful of your larger top 100. So these are big customers, retail in CPG, you described it in February coming off of Q4. And then -- so it seems like it's been kind of anomalous in company specific. Those issues continued into April, right? And that did affect the guidance. Can you walk us through from your perspective, maybe just a bit of the time line, like when were you realizing it? And what were the underlying causes?

Nicola Allais

executive
#31

Yes, I can start. So this all started in January. It is the same cohort of 6 that we've been discussing since the beginning of the year and basically across the 6, you have 3 of those 6 are now on top 10. So they're very large. Our top 100 spends, $3.7 million on average, and that cohort grew 40-plus percent year-on-year since last year. So the top 100 grew 40% on average, it spent 3.7%. But out of this quarter of 6, three of them are in the top 10. That's a much larger spend that one could point there. And there are two items that happened basically. One is they started belt tightening coming out of the gates at the beginning of the year. These are specific issues related to each advertiser. There's really no -- it's not a retail vertical issue or a CPG vertical issue because you're not hearing in the market, and we're not hearing in the market either. We have retail advertisers and CPG advertisers are doing very well against our own expectations. But within that cohort, you had specific issue that led to them tightening their ad spend, which obviously has an impact on our revenue because they're quite large on our top 100, it has an outweighted impact on our revenue. What's good from what we're seeing is that they didn't turn off any product. So it's not as all of a sudden they say, look, we're going to stop doing ABS and we're going to start just focusing on social. And so it's just -- and they remain very large advertisers for us. The mix of where they were spending remains the same. It's just less dollars that's coming through the system.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#32

And can you kind of clarify, Nicola, was -- is it a slowdown in expansion? You said something about they had grown 40%. Or is it an actual reduction? So like the -- maybe you were saying they're going to go from 100 to 120 and it's only going to go to 110. Or is it 100 and it's dropping to 90 or something like that?

Nicola Allais

executive
#33

No. This cohort is spending less than they did last year.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#34

It is actually going to be down.

Nicola Allais

executive
#35

The bigger impact towards -- versus our guidance, we had an expectation this cohort was going to grow, right? Like last year and based on the fact that have been advertisers for us for a very long time, this is a cohort that had been contributing a lot to the growth. So not only are they down spend year-on-year, but they are also, of course, a lot lower than what our expectations were.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#36

So I think, Nicola, you alluded to this a moment ago. But I do want to come back to this. Maybe I'll ask Mark to get his perspective. How do we know? How do we gain confidence that if it's 6 situations that they're idiosyncratic and they're contained versus there's a scenario where that's like the canary in the coal mine on the economic cycle, right? And at least in my mind. I know less about advertising and hopefully a little more about economic cycles, but higher cost of capital, we would think that the consumer could get a little tired from that -- and maybe it would impact those kinds of companies first and then it would kind of fan out from there, right? And so weaker hands that are more exposed to higher interest rates, exposed to consumer, exposed to lending, that kind of thing. And then later, you kind of find yourself in an economic slowdown? How do we get our arms around that?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#37

Yes. I mean I think -- so I think Nicola noted, first off, although we saw this across some retail and CPG companies, we have many other retail and CPG companies that have done according to plan are delivering well and growing year-over-year. So it's not vertical specific. And for these clients, in particular, they are very anomalous types of activity. So one of the clients was rebuilding their entire ad stack and their entire spend and decide to kind of take a slowdown on what they were going to spend, rebuild their team and take several quarters to figure out what they actually want to spend for the rest of the year. So it was very much client-specific another one had a division that they had to pause spending against because it was under a lawsuit and under investigation. So they had to stop spending across it. 1/3 was closing stores across the country and decided to pull back on spend. So these were very kind of client-specific issues. The challenge for DV is 3 of them were in our top 10 customers. So they were quite large. And I think usually, we would be able to -- obviously, we've got lots of customers, lots of top customers and top brands and usually fill in the gaps. These just happen to be quite large. And based on the growth trajectory we expected for the group kind of impacted us much more than we thought.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#38

And so that -- this is going to drag your growth down to it feels as though we're going to have a couple of quarters, I think, which is going to be around 17% kind of -- that kind of exit trajectory coming out of the year. So there these customers are so large that it's like you could almost compare this to what was happening temporarily in the pandemic, right, in terms of overall impact.

Mark Zagorski

executive
#39

Yes. I mean, it's interesting because the pandemic was 3 or 4 years ago, where these customers -- we were significantly smaller. So the size of these customers is actually -- some of them as large as entire lines of business were 3 or 4 years ago. But the challenge for us now is we got to refill that pipe and make sure that other customers start moving into that top tier. We closed deals this year like Pepsi, like Haleon, like Uber, all of these guys, once they're scaled up, we'll be in our top 100 customers and some of them maybe even roll into the top 10. So for us, it's about making sure the pipeline is robust, diversified, nonconcentrated, but as our customers get bigger and more global, which is a good thing, we're going to have some of these $20 million, $30 million year customers.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#40

Okay. Thank you for the clarification. I appreciate that. We're down about 3 minutes. I thought I would just check and see if there are any questions in the audience. If you do, raise your hand, and we'll run a microphone to you. Okay. Then why don't we spend the last couple of moments here talking about the social growth opportunity. And this is something we've been bullish on this aspect of it in particular. You're kind of cracking into the social walled garden. You gave us a stat a moment ago that I think it's only 5% of that volume that's getting verified. And then we look in Q1, your social revenue grew 51%. And you said it was led by Meta and YouTube. So it's simultaneously, it feels like that is succeeding. I don't know how we could have asked for more growth out of that. And yet, it also as a kind of a secondary factor maybe that was weighing on things a little bit. Can you help us understand how that goes...

Mark Zagorski

executive
#41

Yes. I mean social right now is still under-weighted in our total revenue mix. So I think we're only around 17% of our total revenue or so is from social. So that growth obviously needs to -- even though it is extraordinary and we've had over 50% growth in the last 3 quarters. It still needs to catch up to the rest of the size of the business. So once that gets to be bulky, right, I think the impact of that type of growth is going to be even more exceptional. The launch across short-form video, whether it's reels or shorts or TikTok is driving that growth. Plus News Feed, which we just launched in January. We launched in 7 languages. We launched in 18 more languages since. There are now 25 languages doing brand safety and suitability in Meta's News Feed, hasn't even caught traction yet. Like we literally -- we're testing now with 40 new customers, 40-plus new customers on the news feed. We think that will be a growth driver for us down the road. So look, social is going to be a significant growth driver across short-form video, across the news feed. And as we become more global, our business become more global. A vast majority of ad spend outside the U.S. is social. So those two things go together. And for the first time in Q1 in the company's history, over 30% of our measurement revenue came from outside the U.S. So those things are all kind of running in tandem right now.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#42

And Mark, we're down to the last 45 seconds. Let me ask you one more because I think this could be a great note to end on, what are your aspirations in social? What I mean by that is when we -- if you look at the market share that you could have in social and then you compare it to what your -- market share is very strong and very robust in your kind of pre-existing markets. Is there any way to think that through? Or even just to think about how much of the social kind of walled garden inventory they would expose to you? Like where could this be in 5 or 10 years?

Mark Zagorski

executive
#43

I mean, look, if you look at digital ad spend, something like 70% of it is social, right now 17% of our revenue is social. So we would like our business at some point to look like the ad spend business. If we're verifying everywhere, then we see a significant amount of upside coming from social, and I think we're just scratching the surface there.

Mark Murphy

analyst
#44

Okay. Great note to end on Mark and Nicola, I can't thank you enough for taking the time to be with us here.

Nicola Allais

executive
#45

Thanks for having us.

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