Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG ($P911)
Earnings Call Transcript · March 11, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesHello, and welcome to our analyst and investors conference 2026 of Porsche AG. My name is Björn Scheib, and with me today is our CEO, Dr. Michael Leiters; and our CFO, Dr. Jochen Breckner. Today, we would love to give you an update on our financial results of the last year and we will give you also an update on our outlook. All materials that we have available, such as the investor's deck or the annual and sustainability report are available right now on the Investors section of the Porsche website. Before we begin, as you know, we will remind you that any forward-looking statements that we will make during this call are subject to the risks and uncertainties mentioned in the safe harbor statement included in our materials. This intro will also be governed by this language. With that said, I'd love to hand over to Michael.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesGood morning, ladies and gentlemen, and a very warm welcome. Thank you for joining us today for our analyst and investors conference. At the beginning, a few words regarding my background are, I believe, necessary. My professional career has spanned the automotive industry across many companies. My most recent responsibility was as the CEO of McLaren. This job entailed a significant restructuring of our capital structure, a revamp of the organization and the renewed focus on McLaren's product offerings, leading up to the successful launch of several models. Prior to this, I was the Chief Technology Officer of Ferrari for 8 years. I led the entire research and development, focused capital expenditures and the expansions of the Ferrari's successful product portfolio, which enhanced and sustained the significant margin improvement and a viable shareholder returns. Before moving to Ferrari, I work at this great company for 13 years in various capacities. These were particularly formative. I learn how a largely manufacturing-based production system can be optimized by efficiency, how processes can be improved to drive profitability and how the introduction of new, highly profitable models can reshape a brand, allowing Porsche to grow volumes while still being perceived as a focused and exclusive manufacturer of sports cars. As such, I am returning to my original home with a determined commitment to restore this amazing company's former glory. In all humility, my career today has exposed me to numerous challenges and the related adoption of successful principles that I believe will serve me well at Porsche going forward. A clear focus on the customer and on products that truly excite our customers. A strong focus on cost efficiency. This is a hygiene factor for any company regardless of how profitable it is and an excellent team, rich in talent, held together by a clear vision and a strong set of share values. You can well imagine that over the last 70 days or so, I've worked hard with my team to delve into every detail of our strength and weaknesses, both internally and externally. This comprehensive exercise has allowed us to formulate an initial strategic plan that will be pursued with urgency as the next few months unfold. I do not wish to minimize the challenges we face, but I do take great confidence and our collective ability to address and tackle the issues we confront head-on. This confidence relies on the quality of our people, the culture and the spirit of the organization. Our technological resources, our superior brand equity and consumer loyalty as well as our strong balance sheet and capital structure. This, together with our willingness to take the hard decisions that are both necessary and vital to address our bloated cost structure across the board, revitalize our product offerings and enhance our revenue opportunities. Our clear priority is to fundamentally realign Porsche. Our focus must be on our customers and their expectations on our products, on our sports cars. Parallel to the mentioned strategic planning process, our leadership team has systematically analyzed the current situation, and we have also taken immediate action. We have already initiated a number of targeted measures. These include the consistent application of our value-over-volume principle, particularly in the challenging Chinese market, a quality-driven ramp-up of production for the all-electric high end and a sharper focus on our core business. We are determined to render Porsche significantly more financially resilient and better able to withstand external challenges. We must enhance our profit margins and cash flow generation, as you and many others expect from us, and it is needed to invest in the development of innovative products and to handsomely reward our shareholders. I have no doubt that this can be achieved, but I'm also a realist. It will take time. But rest assured that every effort will be devoted to delivering our objectives as rapidly as possible within the various and obvious constraints that will be inevitable arise. I will further expand our priorities and strategies going forward shortly. But first, Jochen, our CFO, will review our 2025 results and our outlook for this coming fiscal year. This presentation will also highlight the important steps that the team under the leadership of my predecessor, Oliver Blume has already initiated. Jochen, the floor is yours.
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesThank you, Michael, and good morning, everyone. I will now walk you through Porsche's performance in fiscal year 2025. 2025 was an exceptionally challenging year for Porsche. In response, we took decisive action to rescale and recalibrate the business across all key dimensions. As a result, we recognized one-off charges of EUR 3.1 billion. This sum is primarily related to the realignment of our product strategy to the recalibration of our battery activities and to organizational adjustments. These measures weighed on our reported results for the year 2025. There are necessary steps to safeguard Porsche's long-term profitability, resilience and strategic flexibility. Now we are combining these initiatives to develop them further in our strategy 2035. With that, let me briefly update you on our sales development. Last year, customer deliveries declined significantly. Total deliveries amounted to 279,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year decrease of 10%. North America remains our largest market with deliveries stable at 86,000 units. In China, including Hong Kong, deliveries declined by 26% to almost 42,000 units. China was, is and will remain an important strategic market for Porsche. At the same time, we are adjusting our footprint to reflect new market realities. This includes streamlining our dealer network and reinforcing our presence in high-demand regions. Accordingly, the planned reduction of our dealer network has been revised from around 100 points of sales to approximately 80 by the end of 2026. Porsche vehicle sales, the basis of our revenue generation totaled 266,000, down 15% compared to the prior year. Also due to the region-specific supply gaps in the 718 Boxster and Cayman and the combustion engine, Macan. Throughout the year, we deliberately focused on value-oriented sales management. This enabled us to maintain a well-balanced regional mix, while we kept production below both vehicle sales, volumes and customer deliveries. This disciplined approach clearly strengthens Porsche's long-term brand positioning and protects our pricing power. Now let us take a look at the financial figures. Group revenue reached EUR 36.3 billion in 2025, a 9.5% year-on-year decline. Revenues proved more resilient than volumes, reflecting strong brand strength, a favorable product mix and pricing as well as robust demand for individualization. Auto revenue per vehicle sales increased to 121,000 units, up 4,000 units from the prior year. In addition, revenue in the Financial Services segment increased. Porsche faced broad-based operational and external cost pressure throughout the year. From an operational perspective, 3 key cost drivers stood out. First, persistent inflationary pressure across the supply chain; second, costs related to the slower ramp-up of electric mobility, including supplier compensation; and third, higher expense development costs reflecting lower capitalization levels as well as increased depreciation and amortization. These pressures were significantly mitigated through comprehensive countermeasures under our Push to Pass performance program. Together with strict spending discipline, these measures contributed to around EUR 1 billion, offsetting the operational cost increases. However, reported results were significantly impacted by onetime charges related to our strategic realignment amounting to EUR 3.1 billion as well as more than EUR 700 million from the U.S. tariffs. Overall cost of goods sold increased by EUR 1.5 billion year-on-year to EUR 31.2 billion. Group operating profit declined to EUR 413 million, corresponding to an operating return on sales of 1.1%. Excluding onetime charges associated with the strategic realignment and additional U.S. tariffs, our operational performance held up well despite the challenging market geopolitical backdrop. Let us now turn to the automotive net cash flow. Our net cash flow was underpinned by a robust underlying operating business and by disciplined investment activity in the ongoing business. This is reflected in significantly lower cash outflows from reduced capitalized development costs compared with the prior year. On the other hand, at the same time, automotive net cash flow was impacted by extraordinary outflows of approximately EUR 900 million related to our strategic realignment initiatives. Furthermore, we had tariff-related expenses of around EUR 700 million. As a result, automotive net cash flow declined to EUR 1.5 billion, corresponding to a margin of 4.7%. Excluding onetime charges related to the strategic realignment and the increased U.S. tariffs, underlying automotive net cash flow remains strong. The high cash conversion of our underlying business once again underscores the quality and uniqueness of the Porsche asset. Let me now turn to our capital allocation and balance sheet development. In line with our disciplined capital allocation framework, CapEx in 2025 totaled EUR 2.1 billion, flat year-on-year, while R&D expenditure declined by approximately 9% to EUR 2.3 billion. As a result of a conservative capitalization rate of 42% and higher depreciation and amortization, Porsche's asset base was reduced by around EUR 1 billion compared to the previous year. With net liquidity of EUR 7.3 billion, Porsche is in a very strong financial position. Our healthy balance sheet provides a solid foundation for the future. And this brings me straight to our dividend strategy. Our objective is to provide our long-term shareholders with a reliable and predictable dividend both this year and in years to come. Against this backdrop, the Executive Board intends to propose a dividend for last year of EUR 1 per ordinary share and EUR 1.01 per preferred share resulting in a payout ratio significantly above our target level of 50%. However, as you know, the final decision on the dividend amount remains subject to approval by the responsible corporate bodies. With that, let me turn to the outlook. In 2026, Porsche will continue to operate in a quite challenging market environment. In addition, heightened geopolitical uncertainties and headwinds such as U.S. import tariffs and the China's luxury tax continue to affect visibility, cost structures and planning reliability. As a result and reflecting a more selective product offering due to supply constraints, we expect significantly lower vehicle sales this year. This decline is primarily driven by portfolio effects, including the runout of the 718 and the final phase of the ICE Macan. Group revenues in 2026 are expected to range between EUR 35 billion and EUR 36 billion. While revenues will reflect the impact of lower vehicle sales, this will be partially offset by supportive pricing, a stronger 911 mix and a further meaningful increase in the share of battery electric vehicles. As a result, revenue development is expected to outperform the decline in vehicle sales volumes. Now turning to costs. We continue to expect inflationary pressure, particularly in material costs, among others, driven also by memory chips or compensation payments to BEV suppliers. The latter is driven by lower-than-anticipated volumes. In addition, further investments in product quality and customer satisfaction will add to cost headwinds. As we launched numerous new products in recent periods, we also anticipate a sustained high level of depreciation and amortization. Moreover, the temporary gaps in our product portfolio will continue to weigh on fixed cost absorption. On the positive side, our cost base will benefit from the continued execution of our Push to Pass initiatives. This will have a clear focus on operational performance, working capital discipline and cost efficiency. CO2 regulations and foreign exchange rates are expected to trend negatively versus 2025. We continue to pursue a disciplined hedging strategy with a substantial portion of our 2026 FX exposure already secured. While this enhances planning certainty and margin protection, euro appreciation remains a headwind through both translation and transaction effects. Our guidance is based on the current EU-U.S. tariff framework and the existing China luxury tax regulation. It further assumes stable geopolitical conditions. The current situation in the Middle East and any further deterioration of the situation could adversely affect supply chains and demand and such potential impacts are not reflected in the current outlook. We expect a group return on sales of 5.5% to 7.5% and an automotive net cash flow margin of 3% to 5%. Our guidance includes approximately EUR 800 million to EUR 900 million of extraordinary expenses. This reflects additional targeted initiatives taken since the beginning of the year to strengthen the group's long-term resilience and profitability, as outlined earlier by Michael. The group return on sales guidance also includes an estimated EUR 700 million impact from U.S. import tariffs, broadly consistent with last year. Automotive net cash flow for the full year is expected to reflect cash out of around EUR 1.4 billion to EUR 1.5 billion, mainly related to strategic realignment measures, including the Audi license payment of around EUR 1 billion. In addition, we expect tariff payments of around EUR 700 million. Adjusted for the cash outs related to the strategic realignment, the underlying operating automotive net cash flow is expected to be significantly higher than in 2025. Our increased focus on the core business may also result in selective adjustments to our portfolio of shareholdings. Limited additional restructuring costs related to battery activities and other noncore areas are already reflected in our outlook. Potential M&A activities relating to the divestment of noncore shareholdings are not included in the outlook due to their uncertain nature. However, if successfully executed, such transactions could result in one-off cash inflows. Looking ahead, our capital allocation strategy will continue to prioritize partnerships and licensing over ownership and vertical integration. While Porsche operates as an independent company, we will continue to benefit from scale effects and the exchange of technologies, procurement and manufacturing assets with the Volkswagen Group across both hardware and software. This approach enhances our agility and strategic flexibility in a fundamentally transformed market environment. As a result of the comprehensive recalibration and strategic refocusing underway, R&D spending is expected to remain broadly in line with 2025 levels. Capital expenditure will be higher year-on-year, driven solely by the previously communicated one-off license payment to Audi of around EUR 1 billion. Taken together, this disciplined approach to R&D, CapEx and liquidity provides the foundation to navigate current headwinds while preserving financial flexibility. Despite structural headwinds including U.S. tariffs of around 150 to 200 basis points and adverse FX effects at current exchange rates, Porsche remains committed to its midterm target of a group return on sales of 10% to 15%. Michael will now outline the strategic framework supporting this trajectory. With that, let me hand over to Michael. Thank you very much.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesThank you, Jochen. As you can see, we are facing major challenges. I would now like to outline at a high level what we are working on and how we intend to address these challenges. The foundation for this is a result to date of a comprehensive situation analysis that is currently underway, we have structured our strategy around 3 pillars. The first pillar focuses on the brand and our customers. Porsche is one of the most desirable brands in the world. The strength in this value brand, we will further pursue our principle of value over volume. The long-term value retention of our vehicles is more important than short-term unit volumes. This strategy will remain in place even in a challenging market environment. This also applies to China, a market we continue to believe in, however, on a different level. Demand for vehicles with internal combustion engines will continue to offer us potential. In contrast, the BEV market is characterized by intense price competition, which we will not follow for economic and brand-related reasons. Market conditions in the United States have also changed as a result of tariff policies. Despite implemented price adjustments, demand remains solid and we currently see stable market development. Porsche's very essence combines leading luxury and premium sports cars, exclusivity combined with approachability, a unique position that provides us with a golden opportunity to generate strong cash flows, high profit margins and increased returns on our investments. All our actions going forward will be dictated by this key feature of our wonderful company. Crucial for realizing this unique price volume equation are the right products and technologies. And that brings me to the second pillar. We stand for unique sports cars you want to drive yourself with true Porsche DNA. The 911 is an iconic vehicle that has broken numerous sales records in the high-price segment, most recently in 2025. Other products beyond the 2-door sports cars, such as 911 and 718 have over the past 2 decades, significantly enriched the brand and our portfolio and have been vital to the strong development of our company. At the same time, it is also true that a large number of derivatives have significantly increased complexity, both from the customer perspective and internally. We will, therefore, streamline our future product portfolio and reduce complexity and variance. Additionally, we are evaluating an expansion of our product portfolio in order to grow in higher-margin segments. As a result, we are assessing models and derivatives, both above our current 2 sports -- 2-door sports cars and above the Cayenne. Expanding into these segments allows us to further grow our high-margin personalization program such as Sonderwunsch, thereby strengthening the exclusivity of our brand. Beside the question of future models, we must also answer the question of the right propulsion technology. With the Taycan, we were a pioneer in electromobility and well ahead of our time. But we are now seeing that market conditions have changed significantly. European customers, in particular, are adopting to the transformation more slowly than expected. Other markets such as U.S. have even created opposing market and regulatory conditions. We are adjusting, therefore, the ramp-up and portfolio of fully electric vehicles, while at the same time, extending the life cycle of our combustion engine and hybrid offerings. We are doing this because we are technology-agnostic and do not simply follow regulations, but above all, aim to meet customer demand. This will enable us to minimize product overlaps and internal cannibalization and thus, increase capital efficiency. As I explained, [indiscernible], high-margin products and technologies are core pillars of our plan. However, rigorous cost discipline is equally critical as the third pillar. To significantly improve our margin structure, we have to establish an overall competitive cost structure. For our products, we need to reduce both initial investments and product costs. Therefore, we are fundamentally rethinking the development of our sports cars. We are analyzing where we can unlock additional synergies across our models. We are reviewing how we can use platforms and industry solutions more flexibly and make greater use of digital technologies. This explicitly includes the intelligent use of group platforms and modules. We have already demonstrated in the past that we can successfully apply this approach with the Macan and Cayenne. This will, by the way, better help us to reduce time to market. Cost work will also pertain to the organization. A program was already initiated prior to my arrival, which we are now adjusting. We will streamline our leadership structure, reduce hierarchies and cut bureaucracy. Our goal is faster decision-making and consistent execution. Porsche has a highly motivated and committed team with outstanding talent. However, the organization particularly in indirect functions, has grown disproportionately relative to the development of our business. Under the changed conditions, the previously planned reduction will not be sufficient. Also, our corporate culture must adapt to the new environment. What matters is performance, both in teamwork and on an individual level. This performance culture will apply across all areas of our strategy and will help us to deliver to the highest standards. Ladies and gentlemen, with Strategy 2035, we are creating the framework to reposition Porsche. It is a comprehensive program to strengthen competitiveness and financial resilience and the foundation for achieving sustainable strong cash flows, solid results and Porsche appropriate margins. Our program will require difficult decisions and measures, but a crisis is also a great opportunity. Porsche has proven that many times in the past. In the end, we will come out stronger. Porsche represents a compelling recovery story. Strategy 2035 will lead to higher resilience in high-priced segments and highly differentiated portfolio, stronger capital efficiency and higher margins. All this will support cash generation and ultimately attractive shareholder returns. [Foreign Language] that is a core of our brand, a promise, our promise. And now we look forward to your questions. Thank you.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesMichael, Jochen, thank you very much. The operator will now outline the instructions for how to put your questions. And after this, we're going to start with the Q&A session.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] With that, I hand over again to Björn Scheib. Please go ahead.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesThank you very much. So we're going to start the Q&A session with Tim of Deutsche, and he will be followed by Harald of Citi.
Tim Rokossa
AnalystsMichael, I think you did strike a very difficult balance today of not wanting to say too much, obviously, but having to say something already. I think that went down quite well, but I still have to question, obviously, a couple of things that you said there. I understand you don't want to reveal a lot of details yet, but can you give us a glimpse into some of your very fundamental thoughts here? I'm thinking specifically does Porsche needs to be smaller, given that you just really set value over volume multiple times. Does a Macan still fit with the sports car positioning in the Sportwagenschmiede and the higher margin ambition that you have? Do you need to leave China? Is that bouncing back again? Some of these questions are obviously very important to all of us to understand. So any opinion that you can voice there would be really interesting. And then secondly, I guess Jochen this goes to you, but maybe also, Michael, there were some pretty heavy charges on the strategic realignment again in Q4, there's a lot of that planned again for this year. Can you give us any details of what that entails, please? We appreciate that there was a pretty fundamental shift in the powertrain approach. But the total sum of this number is just extremely high particularly as we also need to be able to believe that these are "literally one-timers" as we have now heard it a couple of times already from you guys. Thank you.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesYes. Tim, thank you for recognizing about the level of details that we want to share today. But let me first answer regarding the size of Porsche and how we want to size our company. I have mentioned that we have to go through a cost-cutting program, and this is equal to reduce or this should lead us to reduce our breakeven point, okay? So I think without telling you any number, I think it is clear that Porsche will be, let me call it, more compact than it is today. Regarding your question to the Macan. Regarding the Macan, I have to say I mentioned the unique positioning of the Porsche brand. And the Porsche brand is characterized by exclusivity and approachability. And I think the Macan is an excellent example how we can realize approachability and realize this unique price volume point. So I think that the Macan is fitting very well in our product portfolio. We have to do it right. But I think if you look at the Macan, the actual -- the current version and also the previous version, we have demonstrated we have proven that the Macan is a real portion. Regarding China, you are right, this is a very difficult situation in the market. There is a strong price competition, but we have taken very important actions to reduce our dealer network there and to reduce the, let me say, fixed cost level in China. We still believe that Stock China is especially in the higher segments and for internal combustion engines, there is a market at a lower level, but we think there's potential for us. For the rest, we come back to the first part of your question. I think we have to dimension our company in a way that China for us is an opportunity. It's not a risk. So whatever China is doing better than today should be a risk for -- should be an opportunity for us. And we should be capable to sustain and have good margin in our company, even though China is weaker than in the past. Jochen?
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesTim, your second question that was on the charges. And indeed, 2025 was a rather special year. We had one-off charges of EUR 3.1 billion in the full year. And again, we have taken the decisions deliberately with all these burdens that we had to give the business model of Porsche a more resilient and robust basis for the future, which is the most important part. We were not running -- never running for short-term profits. We try to optimize the midterm and the long term. Now the EUR 3.1 billion is a rather huge number. I would totally agree there. And let me just give you the analysis on that one again. EUR 1.7 billion, we had special write-offs and costs for the suppliers for the stop of the SSP 61 platform that we've postponed well into the 2030s with battery-related activities that we've updated with burdens of around EUR 700 million. And we are also on top investing into the product portfolio and in the restructuring of our company with another almost EUR 600 million. So this is the EUR 3.1 billion, excluding U.S. tariffs, of course, because they are here to stay. Looking at 2026, it's a much lower number, but still a relevant one. We've always communicated that around EUR 500 million to EUR 600 million burdens will stay in the current year coming from the initiatives we've started last year. It's a remainder on the battery activities, it's on product strategy and it's on the restructuring and reorganization on the company. On top of that, what we have added and also included in our guidance is another couple -- few couple of hundreds of millions for an even more value over volume-oriented approach, especially in China, where we see even increased price pressure from competitors, and we will not play that game. We will safeguard our price protection and the brand. And on top of that, with the Cayenne E4, the full electric car, we've also deliberately decided that this will be a car that will hit the market in Porsche adequate, best-in-class quality. And therefore, we just postponed the start of production by a few weeks, fixing everything that this car will be the best Porsche you can imagine of, and of course, that gives us some headwinds in the current year. So these are things that will go in the further future, and more or less, say, yes, the comments and the explanation of the rather huge numbers in 2025 and already reduced burdens that we have in the current fiscal year.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesVery good. So thank you very much. Next in the row will be Harald of Citi and thereafter, we're going to have José of JPMorgan.
Harald Hendrikse
AnalystsCan you hear me?
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesYes, Harald, we can hear you.
Harald Hendrikse
AnalystsWelcome, Mr. Leiters, thank you for hosting us today. We appreciate all your comments. Always with the new CEO, it's always a nice question to ask. What are the surprises that you found? You've highlighted a lot of the challenges and stuff and investors obviously have had a lot of challenges over the last few years, and I think people are very aware of both the EV and the China issues that we have. But where have you been positively and negatively surprised? And then, obviously, related to that, we've had a lot of packages over the last few years. It feels like it has taken quite a long time now. How far in the sort of restructuring and repositioning process do you think Porsche was already when you arrived? And do you think you're going to be able to fix the future strategic direction within at least the 2026 time frame. And hopefully, we can then get to a situation where Porsche can report the much stronger underlying position without exceptionals going forward. So kind of what are the positives and negatives? And do you think you can fix all the strategic decisions in 2026?
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesYes. Thank you for your question, Harald. Surprises. So I wouldn't call it surprises, but let me point out the most positive and let me say, the most challenging part. Obviously, I know the company still a little bit from my first 13 years here. And the most positive point for me is the talent I found. I think we have a really strong team and I feel also a lot of energy in the organization. So this is very, very positive. A challenge definitely will be that the company has grown a lot and growth brings a lot of opportunities but also a lot of challenges with it. So you need more organizational constraints. You need more rules. You need more procedures. And I think one of the challenges we have is to reduce significant bureaucracy I found here. Regarding the restructuring, let me say that the question from Tim before was, they are big numbers. Yes, these are big numbers, but I think that shows you already the dimension of the restructuring that was thought off already. And I have to say these have been right decisions. I appreciate that. But there will be more to do definitely. And I think also that the world around us is still changing. We are living in a very volatile world. And I think Porsche has to do even more to be prepared for the future.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesJosé, the line is open for you. And after José, we're going to take Patrick of UBS.
Jose Asumendi
AnalystsIt's José from JPMorgan. Two questions please. Michael, can you talk about the keys to restore the momentum in the Chinese market? Which vehicles you think are going to be driving demand in China in the short and medium term? And do you think the tech stack that you currently have in the vehicles, is it competitive? Or do you think you need to do further changes to improve it? And second, to Jochen, can you please comment on CapEx? And why would CapEx come down after 2026, if you are going to go into -- potentially into a product offensive which could broaden the product portfolio and provide additional growth to the company?
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesYes. Thank you, José. Yes, I think to the Chinese market, I think we should repeat what we said before. I think definitely, the market is difficult. I think on the internal combustion segment, there is potential for us. It is decreasing, going down, but there are still good margins, and we have a good positioning there. And the market share itself is good where we are in this segment. On the BEV side, the situation is more difficult. And I think for the moment, we have to understand how we can -- we think our -- and rebalance our cost structure and continue to preserve our brand and not participating in this price competition which is going on there. Value over volume is a very serious initiative and principle of us. And I think that is the best we can do for the moment. Definitely, we have also to think can we answer here in this market with products that are more appealing for the Chinese market. But please understand, this is a question we don't want to answer right now here. And obviously, also the execution of such a idea would take more time and it's not tomorrow.
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesYes, José, I will take your second question. And maybe just as a quick addition to what Michael just outlined, talking about the tech stack in China. Just to give you 1 example. What we are doing there is that we partner with local R&D experts, and we will launch a completely newly developed -- locally developed with China's speeds, China cost structures or infotainment system in our cars in the second half of the current fiscal year. So this will give also some momentum product-wise. Now talking about CapEx. As you rightly outlined in 2026, we have a peak in CapEx also compared to 2025, and this really comes down to huge one-off payment to Audi. It's EUR 1 billion, around EUR 1 billion that we expect for the current year. And this is say, a simple sign of our strategy does we really try to be very synergetic within the group. We share platforms, we share modules, we share drivetrains and we share as much as we can to have in a total period as least as possible R&D and CapEx spending. If you take out the EUR 1 billion in 2026, we would have a first drastic reduction in CapEx. And that is the way forward also for the upcoming years where we want to optimize our strategic capital allocation on both actually CapEx and R&D.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesThank you very much. So the next in the row would be then Patrick and Patrick will be followed by Stephen of Bernstein.
Patrick Hummel
AnalystsI hope you can hear me?
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesWe can hear you.
Patrick Hummel
AnalystsMichael, if I can just follow up in terms of what is the right size for Porsche in the medium term? I would like to get a little bit more color from you. You're obviously thinking about adding product at the higher end of the spectrum. At the same time, you emphasize exclusivity and accessibility or approachability is equally important. So bearing in mind that we had about 265,000 cars last year. Would you say the future Porsche a few years out with the products in the pipeline being launched is going to be larger or smaller volume-wise? And how important do you think volume is when it comes to these 10% to 15% medium-term margin targets that you still maintain. And if I can follow up on your footprint. How important do you think it is to have a footprint in the U.S. to defend your position there in the market. And 1 for Jochen, please. It seems like in your 2026 guide, the further strategic decisions that are yet to be taken aren't factored in and could lead to further charges, I guess, both on the head count front as well as, as far as product decisions are concerned. I'm pretty sure you're not going to give us a number today, but I would be interested in terms of the magnitude of these potential additional charges. Could those be equal in size as what we've already seen larger, smaller? Any kind of soft guidance would be appreciated.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesOkay. Patrick, thank you for your question. Let me go through it in the sequence you asked. Regarding the size, I don't want to say it's small or bigger, I come to the point of the margin, but I think we have to be leaner. That's for sure. And we are not looking at volume. So I prefer to have high margins and the right margin quality instead of volume. And that means definitely, we are not looking out for more volume. We are looking for margin. The margin is -- we spoke about the Cayenne and you touched on that -- the Macan and you touched on that again. I think to realize higher margins, you have to consider the equation of pricing and volume. So there's naturally a limit regarding the volume we are adding for. And that is -- this equation we will solve. And if there is a car in it, we do the car and we take the volume, but only if we can realize the high margin and the exclusivity of our brand for these products. Regarding the footprint, I have to tell you that right now this is not on the table. I think this is much more complicated than people normally think because it's not only about the factory and where is the factory. It's also about the supply chain. So this is something we are looking at, we are always analyzing our opportunities. But right now, there is no decision on the table to decide a different footprint from what we have today.
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesYes. And on the second one, Patrick, you were asking about additional one-timers for restructuring and strategic realignment. And on that, just let me briefly repeat what we have included in our 2026 margin, it's EUR 500 million to EUR 600 million from the programs that you already know that we've started in 2025, and we've added a few couple of hundreds of million for an even stricter value over volume approach, especially in China, given the market situation there and what I just outlined, the quality-driven launch of the Cayenne Electric. Also, a minor budget, let's say, for the focusing on the core activities that we have with one or the other minority shareholding that we are looking at. On top of that, unfortunately, and I hope you understand that even the soft guidance would be something that I would not be able and willing to give today because we are working on strategy 2035, and all the initiatives Michael outlined or talked about, and we take it from there. We will deliberately decide on everything that is helpful for a robust, resilient and bright future for Porsche. If that would come with one-off charges, we would deliberately take these if it makes sense, if not, not. But as I said today, unfortunately, no orientation that I can give in terms of potential size of such potential initiatives.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesThank you very much. Obviously, this call attracts quite high interest, and we still have a couple of gentlemen in the queue. As such, I would love to ask for your discipline that you limit yourself to 1 question to give all the others, also the opportunity to talk to Michael and to Jochen. So next in a row would be then Stephen. And thereafter, we have Horst.
Stephen Reitman
AnalystsSteve Reitman from Bernstein. Michael, with your experience after Porsche, Ferrari and McLaren, you worked in smaller, very fast-moving organizations. I'm wondering how you judge now the speed that Porsche can bring to model development. And I think particularly about the B SUV for which you are paying out even EUR 1 billion for the right of use. Given how the need to speed up development processes and bring these to market quicker, do you feel that there's any ways that you can actually accelerate the process and bring this vehicle to market? And then given the fact that you're spending is a very high amount of money, it seems not for right of use. So it seems that there's a lot of Audi development in that PPC platform, obviously already. So again, 3 years to develop basically a top hat for this platform seems a long time. What are your thoughts on that?
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesSo first of all, I think in general, that is not related now to the Macan, you mentioned. But in general, our company can be quicker. And one of the focus we have is to reduce time to market. Obviously, this needs also to be implemented in the organization, and this is some time. So -- but I'm confident that we can have a quick impact on our development process. But I have also to say that the Macan is already for our organization right now, a very quick development timing we have. We have reduced already significantly what we have done. You are mentioning what is the commonality between the Porsche and the Audi car. And I have to tell you, it is very important on the one hand side, to use these commonalities and synergies. On the other hand side, we have to make sure that this is a real Porsche. And this needs some content, some product substance, some technology, which is new on this car -- will be new on these cars and therefore, a certain time, is necessary to come to industrialization and to come to the launch of this product. Let me also underline that the license Jochen was mentioned -- on the license charge is not only for the Macan. This is for several models we are doing together on both sides, Audi with Porsche and Porsche with Audi. So obviously, this is the part we paid for to Audi, but there is more than only 1 model. Yes, I think that was from my side.
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesI think that was [indiscernible].
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesNext one would be Horst. And after Horst, we have Christian of Goldman.
Horst Schneider
AnalystsI hope you can hear me. It's Horst here from Bank of America. I have got a question around top line growth and revenues. You were saying that your guidance is not included in this Middle East crisis. Do you see already any impact on demand on which models you have got at the moment best order visibility? And Michael, you were saying that volumes are not important for you, value over volume has got priority. So how should we think going forward and about top line growth? My understanding was always that 2028 is a year when the top line growth comes back because new models get launched. Is that still valid? Or is that being pushed out because you may take more model decisions?
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesI can take the first one, Horst. Thanks for raising the Middle East topic and situation, which we are concerned about, in general, looking at our order intake, order bank, of course, is robust, but also order intake, we do not see any effects yet. It's much too early. And from my perspective, it really depends on how long that conflict will last, hopefully, and we keep our fingers crossed that a solution can be found rather quickly. But as of now, it's too early to say what impact we might see there. In general, order intake is robust, order bank as well, and that is the basis for 2026 revenue and kind of volume guidance that we are commenting on 2026 will be even lower than 2025. But as you were mentioning with the updated product portfolio we are working on, growth will come back volume-wise, but also mix and pricing wise, which is very important and which you should not forget.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesCost. Yes, I said value over volume that doesn't mean I don't care about volume. So please understand both is important, but value is more important than volume, and that is our key driver here. As we mentioned, we will give you details or more details about the product portfolio in autumn. Anyways, I can tell you that the whole picture is that until the new product comes, and that is, as we said before, around '28, we have to bridge this time frame and the most important thing we have to do in this bridging time is cost work -- hard cost work to rescale our company.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesNext in the row would be then Christian and thereafter, we have Henning.
Christian Frenes
AnalystsI think the key question sort of in the background is always how quickly Porsche can get back to a solid mid-teen margin rather than a medium term, 10% to 15% margin. And in that light, I suppose it's too early to ask you details on that. But presumably, do you think that you'll be able to answer or respond to that in more detail in autumn this year? Or could you give me some color on when we would get more detail on the pathway to a solid 15% margin. That's my first question.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesI think autumn is a very good timing for that to have a solid plan and not only to commit to something, but really have the substance and give you also the confidence and us to reach it.
Christian Frenes
AnalystsThat's great to hear. And then my second question is just going back to your factory footprint, and I think given the tariffs and the currency, it's a valid question despite Porsche's very proud heritage of -- in Zuffenhausen and Germany. The factory footprint question, I suppose, you do have an example of a CKD facility in Kulim, Malaysia, for example, and you do have an ICA or the industrial cooperation agreement with the Volkswagen Group, which you work with, which I think runs through 2040 from memory. And I was just wondering if both on those 2 fronts on the ICA agreement with Volkswagen or on the CKD facility in Kulim, whether those 2 sort of avenues provide you any more flexibility to improve your current margin situation going forward?
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesSo Christian, we are looking at all opportunities. Obviously, we are well aware of the opportunities that are in other countries and other markets. But again, I think it will be -- it will take a lot of time and longer time, so it will take until the autumn to take a decision and have a clearer direction on these things because they are complex. And as I mentioned before, regarding the United States, yes, it looks, let me say, compelling, but it's a huge investment. It takes a lot of time, and there's a lot of, let me say, related things to it, the product portfolio, the supply chain. So give us some time and definitely regarding footprint and competitiveness of our factories, we can update you in autumn.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesSo next in the row would be Henning and thereafter, we've got Sam. And gentlemen, please remember 1 question only.
Henning Cosman
AnalystsIt's Henning from Barclays. I'll stick to 1 question. It's on '27 versus '26. I appreciate it's more appropriate to park some of the midterm things for CMD in the autumn. But are you able to give us a bit of direction for '26? Ultimately, what I'm getting is '26 a down year or up or '27 rather set a down year or up year on '26. And especially after volume, if we could I think we're talking magnitude of 10% down in '26. So is it going to go down further in '27? On the special effect, Jochen, I don't know if we can say they're up or down. I think you don't want to say that given the potential additional effects for portfolio readjustment. But on China specifically, if you could just say what that China charge was and if that would continue or not just the nature of the one-off character of that specifically. And then supplier compensation. I think that's not part of the special effects that you're singling out. If you could just give us an idea of the trajectory there. What was it in 2025? And what do you think that will be in '26 and then again in '27?
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesYes. Henning, thanks for raising a couple of questions, actually. Let me try to answer them as crisp as I can. So first, 2027, it's really too early to talk about 2027. There's so much volatility in the world. And even more importantly, we are working on strategy 2035. We are working an updated plan. And I think as Michael outlined earlier, with the other question, these Capital Markets Day in autumn would be a better point in time to give maybe a first soft guidance, first orientation into 2027 than today. What is clear is we stick to our 10% to 15% midterm margin ambition. That is something that we definitely want to achieve, and for that, the updated product portfolio is key, is the most important lever, and that takes some time in 2027, the huge impact of an updated product portfolio will not be there yet. Now you were talking about a charge in China, just to comment on that one. What we've included in our 2026 guidance is not what I would call the charge on China. It's just a reduction of our supply, given the market situation that we see in the relevant segments, given the situation that we see on the pricing side from competitors, and we are not willing to play that game on the discount side. So therefore, we updated our plan, reduced the volumes in China even a bit further, and that comes with a loss in contribution margin, which we have included in our 2026 numbers. And I think that was that. I hope I have not forgotten something.
Henning Cosman
AnalystsThe supplier compensation question, if you could.
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesOkay. supplier compensation. Compensation will go down over time because these compensations came with the updated strategy. The stop of the SSP 61 and also the reduced BEV volume. So these improve over time. On top of that material costs, the BOM initiatives are really at the core of our push-to-pass program. So we are really targeting variable costs, especially material costs over time.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesOkay. Now we've got Sam. And after Sam, we've got Mike of HSBC.
Samuel Perry
AnalystsProbably more 1 for Jochen. Just on the one-off charges for 2026. Can you give any indication of how they're likely to fall on a quarterly basis through the year? I think you said EUR 500 million to EUR 600 million from previous plan. Are they more sort of equally weighted than maybe, I think, the additional charges which you brought in today, I think some are related to the ramp-up of the Cayenne, would they fall more in the first quarter, maybe second quarter of the year?
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesYes. I mean, we are not guiding specific quarters. And therefore, also, I would -- yes, just not given an assumption on what we have in our books, how these play out over the various quarters. But give and take, I would expect a rather even situation throughout the quarters because there are some things that we will see in rather early quarters, other in rather late quarters. Just to give you 1 example, the quality-driven ramp-up of the Cayenne is something that will have additional costs in the rather early quarters, first and second quarter and then at the end of the year. We will miss some of the volumes that we had initially planned. So you can see it's spread out throughout the year. No huge specific peaks, I would accept from today's perspective.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesMike, can you hear us?
Michael Tyndall
AnalystsYes, Mike Tyndall from HSBC. A couple of questions -- well, sorry, 1 question. I know the rules. Just the messaging I'm hearing is that we've got to blow the cost base, we need to be leaner and you've also talked about introducing new products in higher-margin segments. I wonder if you can give me some level of comfort in terms of all of that sounds like it's going to require cost. And it doesn't sound like it's necessarily within the current planning. So I know you want to leave this to autumn, but can you give us some sense of the order of magnitude of what those plans are going to cost?
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesMike, thanks for that question. And I think we had a rather similar question just a couple of minutes ago. So therefore, I keep it short. It's too early to comment on that one. We've transparently disclosed what we have included in our plan, especially for 2026. We are working on Strategy 2035. We're especially working on organizational and strategic alignments. And if these would come with additional costs and one-timers, we would deliberately decide on these if they make sense for a more robust business model of Porsche and a brighter future for Porsche. If not, we won't do that, but it's really too early to tell whether we will have these and what a potential magnitude would be.
Michael Tyndall
AnalystsThen can I just sneak in a follow-up, which is when we talk about the higher segment cars or higher-margin segments, are we talking about something like the Mission X? Are we talking about something that is independent of the current lineup? Or are we talking about variance of the current lineup?
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesAgain, please be patient with us, and we will show you at the Capital Markets Day in autumn more information.
Michael Tyndall
AnalystsUnderstood. Can't blame me for trying.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesNo, it's okay.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesThank you very much. Gentlemen, as we have only a couple of minutes left, we would now take Mike of Kepler and would take Anthony. And after this, we would then finish the call. Thank you very much.
Michael Raab
AnalystsYes, Mike Raab from Kepler here. When it -- I know you're not going to give any details on what potential cost in the future or cash equivalents of that could be on the back of the realignment bed. Let's say, if you really faced a tsunami of realignment cost under Strategy 2035, would you also be willing to sacrifice the dividend for that in a specific year?
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesYes. I mean, I commented in my initial introductory comments that we had deliberately decided on a discretionary dividend of EUR 1 for 2025 to be paid out in 2026 if we get final approval by the AGM. And I think that is a clear sign, a positive sign to our shareholders that we take care of total shareholder return. We are, of course, very well aware of our development of our capitalization on the stock market. So therefore, dividends are also key. And we have rather healthy balance sheet with a high net liquidity. So from today's perspective, we want to stick to our dividend policy of distributing 50% of our net earnings. If there are other special years, if there would be other special years, we would look at these and would come up with reasonable decisions as we've done for this year. And also, if you remember last year, we also increased our payout ratio above the 50% with the EUR 2.30 that we had paid out.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesThank you. And last in the row now would be Anthony.
Anthony Dick
AnalystsYes. Anthony Dick from ODDO BHF. Just 1 question on the 718 BEV. So obviously, there's been media reports that the car was under review. I'm assuming, considering there's no further realignment charges today that the car has been maintained. But maybe could you just confirm that and also update us on the industrialization of the car, the time line and also how you're adapting volume expectations to new market demand.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesSo again, we will comment on the product portfolio in autumn. You are -- we have commented on what we have said today and what is on the balance sheet. So there is no change on that. And I just can share with you that we have tested the whole product portfolio last week, and I have driven several times now, 718. And I can tell you that it is a great car and people are doing a great job working on that. So -- but any addition or amendments to the product portfolio will be in -- will be communicated in autumn.
Björn Scheib
ExecutivesMichael, Jochen, thank you very much for taking the time this morning. Gentlemen, thank you very much for raising these questions, obviously reflecting the quite strong interest in our company. We very much look forward to see you in context of our upcoming road show or Investor Relations event. And as Michael and Jochen Breckner outlined, you can expect that this company is going to host its Capital Market Day after the summer break. And we will very much look forward to see you soon. Thank you, and goodbye.
Michael Leiters
ExecutivesThank you.
Jochen Breckner
ExecutivesThanks for dialing in.
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