Dun & Bradstreet Holdings, Inc. (DNB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 20, 2024

NYSE US conference_presentation 32 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#1

Everyone, hi. I'm Ashish Sabadra, and I cover information services companies at RBC. We are excited to host Bryan, CFO of D&B. Bryan, thanks for giving us this opportunity.

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#2

Yes, Ashish. Like I said, it's always a pleasure to be here. We get a lot out of the conference and look forward to the conversation today.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#3

Thank you. So I'll start off with a question that we get a lot from investors. So on the last earnings call, you talked about getting a lot of inquiries from strategic and financial buyers. I was wondering if you could provide any color on that front.

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#4

Yes. I mean it's kind of why we spoke to it in the prepared remarks, right, because it's something that had kind of popped up in Q2 and kind of got out there. And so we just wanted to deliver the messaging that we did that it's ongoing. The team is putting a lot of time and effort behind being responsive from that perspective. We see it as our fiduciary responsibility. And you get the question like were you surprised that happened? And I think we've talked about for a while like the transformation of the business, the acceleration of organic growth, the profitability, the improving free cash flow, right, and the opportunities that we have in front of us, we always thought that there was a pretty significant disconnect between that and where the company had been trading from that perspective. And so was I surprised from that angle? Not really. And so again, we'll do what is expected of us from that perspective and provide an update as things progress from that perspective.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#5

That's very helpful color. So let's get -- let's switch gears and get to the business. And so the question I want to start off with is just if you can provide a state of the union on the demand environment. What are your client conversations like? What are you hearing from a sales perspective? Have you seen any change in the sales cycle for good or bad or worse? And then any early look into fiscal year '25 customer budgets? Any color on those fronts?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#6

Yes. So what I would say, and one of the things we talked about, right, was the general environment, I think, really starting kind of late Q3 of last year and started really rolling through, I would say, especially the first half of this year, was that whole like soft landing, hard landing, no landing, all these different kind of concepts from that perspective, and the first step from that perspective was, is there an interest rate cut? And when is it going to happen, right? So it kind of got delayed, delayed, delayed, delayed. Well, finally, we got one now 50 bps. So I thought that was a little much right out of the gates, but we do that a subsequent 25. And so I think that was something that from a CFO seat, right, which then influences budgets and things like that was a positive thing, right? The next was obviously we were in a pretty significant election cycle, right? And so again, the outcome of it is one way or the other, but just the solving of that ambiguity and understanding, okay, which candidate was going to be in, how do we react and move forward. A lot of times, ambiguity is what lengthens sales cycles. So you heard that on our third quarter call, and I think you heard that a lot in info services in general, right, that there was a little bit of lengthening of sales cycles. But again, I think a lot of that had to do with just the overall ambiguity in the market. And as that gets more and more, I would say, solidified from that perspective. We'll see how that kind of plays into 2025 and beyond.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#7

That's very helpful color. And maybe just as we've seen some of this uncertainty come off and as you talked about rate cuts coming through, have you seen any change in the environment? Or another way to think about it is one of the questions that we get is the potential for any kind of budget flush from customers in the fourth quarter. Any thoughts on that right now?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#8

Always a hard one. Again, with my role in what we do is like you would hope there's never any budget flush from that perspective. But in terms of the utilization, a lot of that tends to occur more, I would say, in sales efforts and marketing efforts, really that push into '25 in terms of the preparedness and really being a little bit more front-footed. And so again, I think as the environment improves, you'll see businesses be more front-footed or a little bit more offensive on that side. And that should lead to those types of activities, right, picking up from -- whether that's later this year or earlier into next year, I mean, we'll see. But definitely, it feels like the environment from that side, if you look back a year ago to where it is today, there's a positive, I would say, trend in terms of the kind of optimism from that perspective.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#9

That's very helpful color. We'll drill down into these segments. Maybe we'll start off first with the North America F&R segment. Can you talk about some of the headwinds on the Finance Solutions side? And I think some of it was timing of revenues, but just if you can elaborate on that, do we think about it?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#10

Sure. In the third quarter, in particular, right, that Finance Solutions business is very strong in North America, very well penetrated, very sticky. Some of it's going through some migration of like legacy platforms onto our modern FA stack and some of the APIs like Direct Plus. This quarter, in particular, the third quarter, it had timing, right? So sometimes when we bring in like a big master data management customer around the finance solutions or sometimes on the sales and marketing, you're giving them some historical files, some baseline data from that side. And that ends up kind of turning some of the rev rec from on delivery, right, more so to on delivery than pure ratable. Now it fixes itself over a 12-month period. And so from that side, we kind of saw first, second, fourth get a little bit of benefit where third got a little bit of detriment. So overall, it's why when we talk about it, we always think about it on an annual basis, even though I know quarterly is always of interest. So again, I think that's a business that will continue to have increased pricing power. And again, it's a really great kind of bedrock solution to that we're able to cross-sell and upsell off of. So especially where you're seeing like third-party risk compliance and that double-digit growth that it's been showing for many, many quarters now, it tends to be under the same purview in that CFO is running the accounting side, is running the trade credit side, also sourcing and procurement tends to be a function in there. And there's a natural extension of the Dun's, right, in the data that we have from a financial risk perspective, regulatory and compliance, climate, ESG, et cetera, really starts to be able to cross-sell off of that core relationship.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#11

No, that's great. And that's a good segue into my next question around third-party risk and compliance. As you mentioned, it's been growing double digit. How do you think about the demand environment there? And maybe taking a step back, does the change in administration or the new policies, does that have any influence on that business?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#12

Yes. No, it's a really interesting one, right? And we'll kind of see how it ultimately evolves from that side because who you're doing business with, right, in that whole parent-child hierarchy and understanding the first derivative, second derivative, third derivative of that supply chain, it's just continuing to be very germane, right, from a leadership perspective. Boards, CEOs, investors, clients, they want to know how is your business operating, who is it being done with? What are the risks from that perspective and relationships? And then just as an operator, you want to know the financial stability, I mean, of that company, you want to know reg compliance, potential fractions of whether or not you're going to have disruption. So I would say continues to be a significant tailwind, both in North America, but also certainly in Europe and throughout the rest of the world. In terms of administration, I think some of the interesting pieces that we'll see that could be instigators are if there is an implementation, right, of certain tariffs, right, on certain countries, then again, who's my supplier, where are they located? Yes, if there's a child entity that is in Europe, are they really owned by an entity that is in another part of the world? And how do those tariffs ultimately interact, right, and present potential risk from that perspective, then we can also show alternatives, right, to areas that don't have that same kind of economic impact. So as we're thinking about continuing to press analytics as we're continuing to press and create demand from that side, that's something that's definitely been spoken about, I think, a lot under President Trump and the incoming administration.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#13

Yes. No, absolutely makes sense. So the value prop actually goes up under the scenarios of data. One other question that I get from the government perspective is the new Department of Government Efficiency or potential new government -- Department of Government Efficiency. Could that have any impact on D&B? You do have a public sector exposure. Maybe if you can explain how much of it is federal versus state or local. And -- but even on the federal side, is it a positive or any headwinds from the...

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#14

Yes. It's interesting. I mean it's mostly, I would say, our government sector is on the federal side. I would say, traditionally, it was more heavier weighted to civilian than it was to the defense side of the equation. And really, if anything, I think there are some certain things that we would press and put in front of maybe the Department of Government Efficiency that would help them become more efficient, right? And so we went through some of the things of the Dun's is still very prevalent and utilized within a lot of federal agencies. The data certainly is, but then they've taken some extra step to tie to another identifier because that was created, right, in some governmental idea, right? And so from that perspective, I think, if anything, we would love to get in front of that and show where there are efficiencies, consolidations and leverage through the use of data analytics to help drive savings and/or more focused spend from the federal side of the equation.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#15

No, that's great. So definitely, it seems like greater opportunities to help them with the efficiency piece.

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#16

Yes. I mean we certainly would think about it from that perspective. I mean there's always a lot of constituents in there that -- but you're looking at it through a fresh set of eyes and somebody who I think is leading that certainly has a lot of business acumen in terms of how they run their organization.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#17

Makes sense. Last question on North American F&R business would be the credibility. We've started to see some turnaround there. Saw some modest progress in the third quarter, which is a step in the right direction. How do you think about the credibility business going forward?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#18

Yes. Look, I think the first thing was really to get that stabilized, right, from that perspective. And you're right, it grew 2% in the quarter, right? And so like I've said, it's not up and to the right from here. But getting that into a stabilized manner in the solutions that we are really still the legacy solutions that we're kind of migrating more to credit insights that we're moving to the new concierge, and we're seeing some good, I would say, kind of green shoots, right, from that perspective. What's interesting over time is how we evolve and not just do business with small businesses that are struggling, right, that may have a lower credit score that may need help from that side, how do we think about expanding the solution set and delivery mechanisms and support in our ecosystem to really go after the tens of millions of good, you know what I mean and stronger small businesses. And so we had to kind of work through these steps, work through the issues that we inherited, but there's a lot of opportunity there and something that I think over time is pretty interesting to D&B.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#19

That's helpful. Talking about another -- switching gears and talking about S&M, digital marketing was another business which was struggling. It seems like you're also turning the corner there. So I was just wondering if you could...

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#20

Yes. Again, we talked about kind of the demand environment, right, in overall spend, and that tends to hit things like digital marketing or just marketing and sales in general. So late Q3, pretty -- started to see it slow down, right? Pretty tough comps as you went through the beginning of this year, started to get a little bit better in 3Q, started to lose some ambiguity in terms of Google, are you going to deprecate their cookie or you not? They decided not to, right, from that side. And so all of those things started to help from that perspective. It's a more transactional business, right? And so we don't have a super long history of this. I was talking with a colleague, an old friend of mine that's at FNF and like there, you see the history, right, of that fluctuation up and down. So for us, I think -- and the same goes for credibility. That 10% of the business that's been a little bit of a headwind we wanted to improve it. We want to then also evaluate it to see because if you've got 90% of the business, you're growing -- it's been growing roughly 6%, right? Is there a need to have that last 10% core into the overall structure of the business? Or is there something else to do from that side? And that's kind of a contemporary evaluation that's going on is improve them, let the medicine work and start to -- but if they tend to have too much transactional cyclicality or seasonality from one side or if the credibility side doesn't kind of pick up, then we can evaluate alternative options for both of those businesses.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#21

That's very helpful color. Focusing on the core business within S&M, which is the master data management, that part of the business has been growing really well. What's driving the growth there?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#22

Yes. I think you've seen businesses just really continue to rely on data and analytics to improve efficiency and effectiveness within an organization, right? And so as technology is proliferating as AI, right, and generative AI strategies are being laid, you're seeing the need for a structured data set around client vendor and then potentially 360, right? So for us to be able to go in and be that trusted responsibly sourced master client master vendor record, it's a really important position for us to get into because then with 4,000-plus data to hang off that, you solve a lot of use cases, and there's a lot of opportunity to incrementally sell and upsell from that side of the equation. And look, when you look at the CRM and the initial interaction from a client or prospect and that journey all the way from prospect to client to circle back to that next prospective upsell, right, that data integrity and consistency across the board is really something that we think is interesting and really powerful within an organization. So while we may get MDM first in, in sales and marketing, for us, the strategy will then be to play that over the enterprise and then drive the organization really keyed off the Dun's and the core structure and then what are the incremental use cases we can solve off the back of that.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#23

That's great. So it's like a land and expand strategy where continue to expand the footprint within the enterprises. Drilling down into the Gen AI initiatives that you talked about. Obviously, you were mentioning the clients initiative, but also your own Chat D&B. And so I was wondering if you can talk about the initial feedback that you might have received on it and also give some flavor around the Gen AI initiatives over the last year, 1.5 years.

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#24

Yes. I'll tell you, it's been really positive, right? We've rolled it out to, I would say, our employee base, right? We've rolled it out to some internal functions, you can imagine, that also would leverage it and then to a select client set. And what's really, I think, been powerful is the utilization of the data and analytics tends to be very much at a functional level. And this is kind of raising that up, right, from that perspective. And it's allowing also more senior individuals within an organization to interplay with that data to get answers almost like real time from that perspective without having to go down into the org to the analyst that feeds it up from that perspective. So it's been very positive received from that perspective. The natural way to interact versus kind of filtering down and having to do a lot of that kind of analytical research on your own is something we think is going to be very powerful and game-changing for us going forward. The rollout has been right now, it's in our data blocks, right, on the kind of the back of our API within interface. Eventually, you'll see it migrate into the UIs, right, and a little bit broader from that perspective. So the ultimate is going to be that enterprise relationship because it's constrained now in terms of when you ask it a question, what are your data rights, right? And what have you engaged from a commercial perspective? And so the more you engage across the use cases, then you can ask it questions in sales, marketing, third-party risk, climate, pretty much anything related to a business from that perspective and be able to return. And for us, that's where the monetization occurs, right, and how we've thought about it in terms of controlling it versus the cost in the background that could scale up, that's where you have to be mindful from a contractual perspective. And again, when I talk about like the back office work we've done, the QTC, the BBO, virtual back office usage reporting, all this, all of that lays the foundation for us being able to capitalize on these trends versus tell you 5 years ago, like that probably wasn't going to happen.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#25

Yes. Yes. No, that's very exciting. And when you think about monetization, you mentioned monetization briefly, but the way you think about it, is it going to be more usage-based, consumption-based? Or is there -- sorry, opportunity to roll out new products?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#26

Yes. No, it's a mix, right? I think there's going to be things like we just rolled out today D&B Ask Procurement, right, alongside IBM and Watson. And that's a very specific tool, right, for a procurement and sourcing organization, right? And so from that side, it's fine-tuned right from that and the functionality and utilization is really fit for purpose from that side of the equation. That's going to be then monetized individually, right, as a stand-alone asset. When you talk about like Chat D&B, you do have -- again, you're going to have a subscription amount, but then you've built in that kind of tier pricing mechanism to allow them to flex up. Now we'll have to be mindful in terms of we'd rather keep raising the bar on the minimum than having overage right from that side. But that's the idea is to maintain that subscription. Some of it, of course, is going to be incremental functionality to differentiate versus other platforms. And so that then helps you rationalize pricing and expansion from that perspective. But we're going to come at it from a couple of different ways. But definitely, it's something that you want embedded, you want people using, you want them to kind of get hooked on it from that side. And then you can really start to come in and create the monetization on the back side.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#27

That's very helpful color. Maybe switching gears, talking about international. Can you talk about -- again, international has been on a good growth trajectory. Can you talk about what's driving the growth there? And then if you can split up between certain -- are there certain geographies which are growing much faster or -- and also highlight what's going on with the worldwide network?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#28

Yes. Neeraj and his team have been doing a really nice job in continuing to improve, right, and accelerate the growth across the board in the international regions. The same thematics are playing out, right, master data management, third-party risk and compliance, data blocks, right, and API delivery. And then clearly, the localization of the products that Ginny and team roll out from North America roll into there, and they make a lot more sense, right, for the Swiss market or the Swedish market or the German market, et cetera. And so what I would say there is that while they had more medium and smaller-sized businesses as clients before, the focus has really been on winning with the winners, right? So the large-scale automotive manufacturers, the large-scale tech and production manufacturer, I mean, Siemens is a great example, right? I mean you can't call them technology manufacturer, they're everything, right? But multinational customer set, multinational vendor set. And so that's where our strength really comes to bear from that perspective. We talked about IKEA up in Scandi. So you can imagine vendor network, you can imagine customers, right? MDM and third-party risk compliance are really foundational from that side, and we're seeing that continue to drive growth in those regions. UKI, really nice growth, I would say, up to this point, kind of in that high singles range. Europe, right, which you remember when we bought Bisnode, minus 2% grower, now it's in the 4-ish percent range, right? So really improved from that side and margins are almost double what they were before. So that's been very positive. China and Greater China in the Asia area have a lot of opportunity, a little bit much smaller, right, but we're starting to build some momentum there, too. So it's been great, I would say, really across the different regions. Worldwide network, we've continued to optimize some of those contracts and drive our products into their regions from that perspective, too. It's one of those areas that I think there's continued opportunity in some of those regions performing very well. Some of them maybe better for data acquisition than they are for pure distribution from that side. But the team has been doing a nice job continuing to see uplift from royalties and the worldwide network in general.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#29

That's great. That's great. Maybe just talking about partnerships. You announced 2 partnerships last quarter, one with LSE and another one with ICE. Can you talk about those partnerships, but also how you think about those, like how do you think about expanding your addressable market or revenue growth opportunities with those partnerships?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#30

Yes. No, it's really interesting. I mean LSEG is interesting because that's got Refinitiv clearly from that side. We've been doing business with them for a while. But it's always kind of been like this legacy relationship that has kind of kept going, but like we weren't really taking more advantage of it than we should have. And so we tweaked the relationship, went a little bit deeper on some use cases. Clearly, we're not giving away, what I mean, too much of the data, too much of the use cases, right, because there's going to be some things that we'll talk about like in private markets and capital markets that the opportunity for us is massive, right? And we're going to want to go take the lion's share of that from our own perspective. But that was a good example. ICE has some really nice climate data, right? Our private company data primarily used to be more on the public side. We're pushing some private climate scores that make a lot of sense from that side. Again, we've constricted it from a data perspective, from a use case perspective, even from a vertical perspective because as we want to kind of start seeding into this capital markets space and starting to use some of the distribution platforms and capabilities and partnerships that make sense within LSE and within ICE, which are 2 great companies that have really strong platforms and certain data sets. We also want to think about the fact that our data in that area is ahead of where our products and sales force are, right, which in some ways is good, right? But you have to balance like how fast can I move to monetize? Because, look, I mean, you know that private company data, private credits in private markets is really raising in its importance, I think, in an opportunity over the last 12 to 18 months, right? And so we want to be selective in the partners that we choose. And then we want to go after the areas that we think we have great opportunity to, which would also include thinking about not just the data and analytics, but delivery through platforms, right, and also our own platforms. And then also like what's the data out there, right, that's complementary to what we're doing that we don't collect today that we could go on and get and then really bring something that's really exciting.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#31

That's very helpful color. If there are any questions, please raise your hands or I'll go ahead with mine. So maybe shifting gears and talking about margins. We've seen some pretty good margin expansion this year, 60 basis points, if I'm not mistaken. How do we think about margins going forward? Is there further room for margin expansion?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#32

Yes, there absolutely is, right? And I think what we're always balancing is like the opportunities, right? So if you said, hey, look, you could double the size of the business in private and capital markets, but you have to stay flat on margins for a year or 2, like that's -- and I'm not saying that that's the case, but we're always analyzing each and every year kind of that balance of flow-through, right, naturally from a leverage perspective, which you said is that 50 to 100 bps, right, from that side. Clearly, the higher the organic growth, the more flow-through comes through. We've always tried to operate to say, look, while the contribution margin is higher than that 50%, 60%, some of that does come back in investment, right? And so we should be able to do both, right, which is continue to invest in these areas we think that are great opportunities, but see the natural operating leverage from the organic revenue acceleration.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#33

That's helpful. A question on free cash flow and capital allocation. Can you talk about the trajectory of getting to the midterm 80% free cash flow conversion? How should we think about it? And now that your leverage has started to come down, how do you think about capital allocation priorities?

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#34

Yes. I mean part of it was we had a business that for 10 years before we owned it was flat organically, I mean, maybe even slightly down, right? And they had invested maybe 2% I mean, of cap as a percentage of revenue, and most of that was replatform, right? So for us, we had to take that data supply chain infrastructure and then some of the product interfaces to really go after in data, right? And so from that side, we ramped up cap, right? And what ends up happening is there's just a mathematical derivation between CapEx and depreciation and amortization. So you're seeing those 2 things start to converge. One, cap is starting to come down. We talked about $15 million of annualized reduction coming out of the back of September. But -- and then D&A, obviously, is going to be coming up, which all supports why organic growth went from nothing to where it's been roughly 4% for the last couple of years and on the 90% north of that, right? So from that perspective, I think that's the journey we're on, continuing to see free cash flow as a percentage of adjusted net income raise up. And 80% is not the end game, right? But knowing where we were coming from to where we were going, we wanted to lay out kind of what a reasonable midterm target was on that side. Post that, as you said, leverage coming down, we said 3, 3.25. If we got to get to 2.94x, I mean to make everybody happy, like we'll be in that ZIP code, right, as we continue to progress, we'll be roughly 3.5x by the end of the year. Then it's going to come down to where we're at from that perspective. So we've got organic growth. We talked about that. We talked about deleveraging the balance sheet, both through increased EBITDA, but also having the ability to pay back some of that Term Loan B. And then you're in a position where if the company is trading where it is today, I mean, clearly, we think that, that's a significant buyback opportunity, right? It's hard to go on and look at M&A and say, I want to pay X times this when we're Y times that, and there's a disjointment from that perspective. But you would imagine those 2 things ultimately resolve itself as we continue to post fundamental improvement plus the deleveraging. Then it comes down to thinking about where to deploy in terms of a more, I would say, structural buyback versus strategic buyback and then where M&A opportunities start to arise from tuck-ins and/or other kind of regions to pick up, et cetera.

Ashish Sabadra

analyst
#35

That was very helpful. We are top of 30 minutes. So thank you again, Bryan.

Bryan Hipsher

executive
#36

Absolutely. Thanks a lot Ashish.

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