Edelweiss Financial Services Limited (EDELWEISS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
October 29, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Second Quarter FY '22 Earnings Conference Call of Edelweiss Financial Services Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Priyadeep Chopra, President, Edelweiss Group. Thank you, and over to you.
Priyadeep Chopra
executiveThank you, Sanford. Good evening, everyone, and a very warm welcome to our results call. We hope you and your families are safe. We have with us on the call Mr. Rashesh Shah, Chairman and Managing Director of Edelweiss Group; Mr. Himanshu Kaji, Executive Director and Group COO; and Mr. Rujan Panjwani, Executive Director of the Edelweiss Group. We hope you've had a chance to review the investor presentation as well as the addendum on our Life and General Insurance businesses. We will be making references to these during the discussion today. Please do take a moment and review the safe harbor statements in our presentation. We will be making some statements today that may be forward-looking in nature and, hence, may involve certain risks and uncertainties. With that, I'll hand over the call to Rashesh to begin the proceedings of the call. Thank you all once again for being with us, and over to you, Rashesh.
Rashesh Shah
executiveThank you, Priya, and a very good afternoon to all of you. Welcome to our earnings call for this quarter ended September 2021. First of all, hope you and your families are all keeping well and in good health because I think we are at the last stage of this thing called COVID, but hopefully, it is behind us. But I hope all of you are safe and sound. The last few months, we have seen a renewed confidence and optimism. It's been all over the world, but I think Indian economic confidence and optimism is coming back very strongly. We think it has been largely because the COVID is behind us, the government plan for vaccination. We've touched 1 billion jabs now. It's a phenomenal achievement. Something we should, as Indian, be very proud of, and we have managed it well. Of course, there are always hiccups in this. But I think overall, given the size of the population, the health infrastructure we have, it's a great achievement we have had. And we hope that this continues, and everybody gets the second vaccination, and we have this behind us. Economic activity is now at a pre-COVID level. And in a few sectors, the bounce-back has been even bigger than what it was pre-COVID. We do feel, and we'll talk about it a little bit more, that the economic outlook for India for the next few years and especially corporate profits looks very strong and very healthy. I think we are at the beginning of good earnings, corporate earnings cycle for India and a good economic upcycle for India. And I think there is still going to be a little bit of overhang, and there are some sectors like the informal sector, which are still suffering the after-effects of COVID. I think overall, we do think what was the last about 6 to 7 years slowdown and a slowdown of corporate profit; then last 2 years, even more severe, the ILFS and the liquidity crisis; and obviously, last year, COVID. All 3, the short, medium and long down-cycles are behind us. For Edelweiss also, I think it's been a very interesting quarter in a sense that a lot of it has been business as usual, but the performance of a lot of our businesses have even taken us by a very positive surprise. Some of the key highlights, our ex-Insurance profit after tax. We continue to invest in Insurance. And hence, one of the met prices we watch is the ex-Insurance profit after tax because Insurance incurs a loss, but we are creating a lot of value. But accounting-wise, it will continue to have a loss. We expect to break even by '25, '26 in both our Insurance businesses. So ex-Insurance profit after tax for this quarter was INR 113 crores compared to INR 7 crores last year same quarter, so from INR 7 crores, INR 113 crores. Consolidated PAT, including Insurance, was also healthy at INR 57 crores. We do acknowledge we have a long way to go, and there is a lot of lost ground in terms of profit growth that we need to make up, but it's a good start. And I think, as we have said, the next few quarters are going to be about profitability and growth. The profit improvement has also been driven by the return of profitability in Credit, but more importantly, strong growth in our Asset Management and Wealth Management businesses. Our -- one of the big highlights, and again, we'll speak a little bit, is our retail customers. Now we have reached about 5 million customers. I think 3 years ago, we were under 1 million customers. So we are adding customers. We have added 2 million customers in the last 1 year. In the COVID period, with all this uncertainty around the Credit business degrowth and all, very happy to say the Insurance and Asset Management business have added a lot of customers. And I think we are very thankful to our customers and our employees who have, to the last few years, especially the last 3 years in a very challenging environment, have stood by us and reposed faith in our organization and our offerings. So our customer base and the retailization of Edelweiss is happening in real time. Customer assets also total have crossed INR 3.2 trillion -- INR 3,20,000 crores, and our balance sheet remains strong, I think, on all 3 counts: on equity adequacy, on liquidity and on asset quality. So I think with all the impairments and markdown we have taken, all the equity we have raised and all the liquidity we have amassed, I think our balance sheet has also become stronger. In the investor presentation, you would have seen an update on the Insurance Broking business, which was part of the Wealth Management business. But when we did the PAG deal a year ago, we had carved out the Insurance Broking business because it was a partnership with other Gallagher, and they had indicated that they would be keen to buy this business from us. So as you are aware, we have agreed to sell this business. The transaction has got all the approvals. We have closed the deal. The first tranche has been closed. The second tranche, which is the last 9%, will be closed in March 2022. So I'll briefly touch upon the 4 to 5 key highlights for this quarter, and then more importantly, I will look forward to feedback and questions from you. So as I said, we have seen improvement in profit across all our businesses, with a steady business performance and focus on quality. First, Credit. I think Credit cluster has returned to profitability. NBFC is now strong and well-capitalized balance sheet with a capital adequacy of 26.2%. Collections have been very healthy. We are back to 94%. And disbursements are also now scaling up. Our asset quality has shown a significant improvement because of the workouts and wholesale credit we've been doing. So the gross NPA is 2.7%, and the net NPA is 2.2%. They have fallen by almost -- the gross NPA has come down from 3.3%, so almost about a 50 basis point improvement in that. We hope to continue to keep up the asset quality improvement as we go along. Wholesale portfolio continues to come down, as we have stated. Wholesale portfolio has been coming down by INR 2,000 crores, INR 2,500 crores every year in the last 3 years, and we will continue the same pace. So I think our wholesale portfolio, which is now close to INR 11,000 crores will become close to INR 5,000 crores in the next 2 years and then another 2 years, will go down to 0. Happy to report that disbursements have also picked up. Post-August, I think our retail disbursement both in SME and in housing have picked up, and we have also started co-lending with banks. Our NBFC strategy on the Credit cluster, both NBFC and housing finance, is to be asset-light and have a lot of co-lending arrangements. I know it's now the buzzword and a lot of people are doing it, but we do believe that there are going to be 2 kinds of NBFCs in India. One set of NBFCs will compete with the banks where they have maybe capital advantage or cost of borrowing advantage. The large groups or the large NBFCs may end up doing that. There will be another set of NBFCs, which will be partners with bank, which will use co-lending and asset securitization as a key tool to be asset-light but still post about 15% to 18% ROE. We think the second is also a very important opportunities, and we want to be in that category. So we do look at our Credit business opportunity as asset-light partnership with banks and focusing on SME and home loans. Item 2, on the Asset Management business. Both our Asset Management businesses, the Mutual Fund and the Alternative, has seen breakout quarters. Our total profit for Asset Management now, as you would have seen in the presentation, is an annualized run rate of about INR 100 crores. So where we had Wealth Management about 3 years ago, we have Asset Management now. And I think Asset Management profits have broken out. Even the AUM in Mutual Fund, we now stand at INR 71,000 crores, which has grown by 62% in the last year. Out of this INR 71,000 crores, almost INR 17,000 crores is equity AUM, which has tripled in the last 1 year. So equity AUM has gone from about INR 6,000 crore to INR 17,000 crore in 1 year. Alternatives, we have a lot of dry powder. We have INR 30,000 crores of AUM. But only INR 15,000 crores out of that has been deployed. The remaining INR 15,000 crores is starting to get deployed. In the first half of this year, we have deployed almost INR 1,850 crores. So I think we want to step up and we look to be able to deploy about $1 billion, about INR 7,000 crores to INR 8,000 crores a year, and we are stepping up. As you know, in credit alternative funds, we earn fees only on deployed capital. So as this undeployed dry powder is deployed, the fee income will start accruing, and that will be good for the alternative Asset Management business profit growth. And we also think there is some Alternatives income in -- there's a carry income in the Alternatives, which will start from 2023 when real exits will start. So I think we do look forward to adding the AUM, deploying the dry powder we have, but also realizing the carry from the exits that we will make because ultimately, in the Alternative business, there are only 3 things you do. You raise funds. We have done almost about $1.5 billion in the last year. You deploy money and then you exit and earn your fees and carry. So that is going to be our strategy on Alternatives. Third, ARC has had robust. We had recoveries of INR 900 crores in this quarter. As you know, in ARC, we have recovered almost INR 25,000 crores in the last 4 years. So it has been a very strong recovery track record. And we think the industry leadership we have is largely because of the recovery focus that we've been able to instill in the business model. Our balance sheet is very strong. From a top gearing of 3:1, we are now close to 1:1. Capital adequacy is at 35%. And retail ARC, we've been buying retail assets in the ARC. As you know, wholesale corporate assets have gone through a cycle. But the retail ARC -- but the retail distressed assets, where collection analytics is very important, is starting to grow, and we are maintaining our leadership position in the retail part of the ARC business also. Fourth, our Insurance business. Both the Insurance businesses have done consistently well, have been the fastest growing in their respective sectors. Our General Insurance business has had a gross premium growth of 52% Q-o-Q and 62% Y-o-Y. And they've been growing at about 5x the industry, of course, because we are a very small business, but we expect to grow at about between 2 to 3x the industry growth rate. On the Life Insurance business, we have witnessed strong growth. Premium -- gross premium is up 59% Q-o-Q. We continue to remain the youngest and the fastest-growing LI player in the industry. And our APE growth has been averaging 3x of the industry for the last 4 years. We have also, this quarter, given addendum to help you understand these businesses better because these are not as well appreciated or well understood businesses. So we have 4 clusters: Asset Management, Wealth Management, Credit and Insurance. And we -- going forward, we would give 1 cluster as addendum and give more color to all of you. We would love your feedback on that. But our idea is that at least 1 cluster a year update to all of you will also be a good idea. So every investor presentation will have an addendum, which will showcase one of the business clusters we have. On the Wealth Management, the Assets under Advice are at INR 1,80,000 crore, grown at 35% Y-o-Y. Also, there has been strong financial performance. The PAT growth is almost 70% quarter-on-quarter. So from quarter 1 to quarter 2, there has been good growth. So overall, friends, the balance sheet is robust, well-capitalized businesses. We have said, given what we have seen in the last few years, we'll go towards building a fortress balance sheet, and we are committed to that. It will take us another 18 months. But by March '23, we expect to have a really very fortressed balance sheet. Every quarter, we are making it stronger and stronger. And this will help us build enough resilience and bounce back from any disruption that would happen in the future. Our equity base is fairly robust. And as we scale back the wholesale book, a lot of equity is expected to get released also. We have been bringing down the D/E ratio, the consolidated D/E, which at the peak was 5.2, now stands at 2.1 as we have reduced borrowings but also increased equity. And liquidity remains comfortable. I know for a lot of people last 2 years, liquidity has been a focus area. I do think going forward, we'll stop talking about liquidity and we'll start talking about growth and profitability. So last 2 years, our focus was on liquidity. Because we are not part of any large conglomerate or any large business house, so we don't have too many fallbacks for any liquidity shortfalls or disruption that happens. So we have been very, very conservative in amassing liquidity, holding a lot more liquidity. It has affected earnings, but I think as we get back to normalcy, that liquidity drag will also come down. But I think our focus for the last 2 years has been liquidity, governance. By making the businesses stronger, by standing the Boards of the businesses, we made sure we have very, very robust governance at -- in each and every business entity that we have. And the third was making sure we had enough equity. So we have raised close to INR 4,000 crores of equity in the last 3 years. So making sure we have a lot of equity, a lot of liquidity and strong governance was the focus for the last 2 years. The next 18 months, from now to March '23, the focus is going to be growth and profitability. And I think having got the first 3 out of the way, we can focus on that. It's going to be slow and steady focus every quarter. And as I said earlier, one big highlight as we go forward is the retailization of our business, 5 million customers added, 3 lakh in this quarter. And both Insurance businesses and Wealth Management and Asset Management are adding customers and strengthening the customer franchise we have. Lastly, the update on the Edelweiss Wealth Management business demerger, going as per plan. A few of you have asked me whether there is any slowdown on that? We are as per plan. We will continue. And as expected, by the third quarter of the next financial year, we should be able to demerge and list the Edelweiss Wealth Management business. It's a 3-stage process. We have to demerge the Asset Management business, then demerge the Wealth Management business and then get it listed. So we are on the schedule for that in spite of the COVID and all that. We are pushing very hard on that. It's an important milestone for all our shareholders. The second focus is on scale-back of wholesale book, on track on that, and the growth of Asset Management and Insurance business also. So all 3 priorities we have been focusing and have achieved on that. So along with that, we are confident that given the economic prospects of India, the next few years, I think there is a turnaround that is there. We'll have to do it slowly and steadily. I think profitability and growth will still take another 3, 4 quarters to be showcased slowly and steadily, but every quarter from now onwards, we expect that we will be able to showcase that. We do remain committed to unlocking the value of the Wealth Management. The demerger is one way of unlocking the value. We will continue to build businesses and create value, but we'll also continue to unlock value for the shareholders as we go along. As you know, more -- about 45% of the company is held by insiders. So the good thing is the insiders also think like shareholders to focus on how to create value and how to unlock value. So along with that, thank you very much again for -- all of you for being on this call. And we will now open for questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of [ Praveen Agarwal ], an individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeMr. Shah, thank you so much for laying down the vision board of the business. I have just one question regarding the scale-back of the Credit assets. We noticed that there is a slowdown in the reduction of the wholesale credit. And could you please throw some light and explain for this -- for the reason of the slowdown? And also, how do you plan to achieve the reduction of 50% in the next 2 years?
Rashesh Shah
executiveSo as you know, earlier, we had been focusing on the reduction, and there was a 2 way: one was repayments, and the other was we were also selling some portfolios here and there. On the portfolio sale, though the option is available, we think given the real estate improvement, given the projects have been moving forward, a lot of projects that needed additional last-mile funding, they needed to be sold off. So whoever is buying that portfolio also gives additional funding and helps complete the project because we were not giving additional funding. Now we are finding that additional funding from the SBI, SWAMIH fund and some international funds is also coming through without us having to sell the portfolio. We expect to make at least about 12% to 14% on that portfolio going forward. When we sell the portfolio, the yields that the investors want is about 18% to 20%. So if need be and we need to expedite, we can sell. But we think maintaining the pace of INR 2,000 crores, INR 2,500 crores reduction every year, we can do that organically. This first half, as you know, the real estate sector turned around. A lot of projects are now going towards completion. So we expect that for the next 18 months, we should be able to do about INR 1,000 crores a quarter as we go along. So I think we are on track for that. So organically, we'll be able to because the projects will get completed. And if we need to sell portfolios, we can sell. It's economically not better for us, but we can always do that. That -- we always keep that as Plan B, so that we can achieve the numbers that we want. This first half, because of COVID and all, we ensured that we focus more on projects getting completed, and they are all getting done. So you will see the outcome of that in the next 18 months.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo does that mean -- the follow-up question would be, does that mean that we are shifting our strategy and thinking from selling of the projects towards getting them completed and arranging the last-mile funding also?
Rashesh Shah
executiveYes. It was always there. If you see, we have been doing a lot of the workouts. We have a slide on that, which we are doing workouts on that. Earlier, the workout meant you had to take a larger haircut, sell the project and get somebody else to do the last-mile funding. Now we can do workout organically also. But we will do a combination of 2. We have sold 2, 3 projects also. We'll continue to do that. But I do feel in this first half, we have, I think, reduced the book by about INR 800 crores. I do feel that we will continue to do about -- as I said, about INR 2,500 crores a year. So I think that is our plan going forward. The book is at about INR 11,000 crores. It will be about INR 5,500 crores in 2 years, and then it will go to 0, 2 years after that.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. So ideally if we...
Rashesh Shah
executiveAnd the other good thing about wholesale, I must add, [ Praveen ], is there are no more impairments. We do a quarterly NPV of the portfolio based on the cash flow expectations. As the markets have recovered for the real estate, we expect the cash flows are actually slightly stronger. And we now are committed to making sure the NPV is always higher than the carrying value on the book. So there are no more impairments on that, which is a good thing because it gives us a chance to do things organically and still earlier to the time line that we have. We want to get this book down to 0 by 2025, and that we are very confident on that.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Hitesh Dhawan from Citibank.
Hitesh Dhawan
analystMr. Shah, you mentioned your Mutual Fund and Alts business are being strong growth in AUM. And I also noticed that profits have jumped in this current quarter in that segment. At an absolute level, they still remain low as a percentage, profitability of the whole firm. When can we expect these businesses to be substantial contributor to your overall profitability, sir?
Rashesh Shah
executiveSo as you know, about our assets under -- and it's an important question. Thank you for asking this. As you know, our total AUM has now crossed INR 100,000 crores, about INR 70,000 crores in Mutual Fund and INR 30,000 crores in Alternative. Now in Alternative, there are 3 sources of profitability. One is the deployed capital. One is that when you deploy undeployed capital, it increases profit because your costs don't go up, but your fee income goes up. And third is the carry. So we do expect that carry income will start coming in from '23/'24 onwards. And if there is a significant carry by some estimates on the investments we already made and the funds we have, the carry itself should be INR 800 crores to INR 1,000 crores. So the Alternative business has a lot of profitability, but some of it is back-ended because of the carry income. And some of it also is slightly back-ended because you always have undeployed. So out of the INR 30,000 crores we have, only INR 15,000 crores is deployed. So we're earning fee only on INR 15,000 crores. The other INR 15,000 crores, when it gets deployed, we will earn fee, but our cost will not go up because the fund team and all are already in place, and they are getting paid on that. And as and when we get carry, the fund team has a carry share also, but our share of the carry, as I said, should be at least INR 800 crores to INR 1,000 crores, which will come over 3 years from '23/'24 to '25/'26. So in a way, that is where the real profitability takeoff will happen. On the Mutual Fund, the key driver for profitability are our equity assets. And currently, we are still growing much faster, so we are front-loading some of the costs on building distribution and onboarding IFAs and others. So our equity assets have jumped from INR 6,000 crores to almost INR 17,000 crores. They now constitute of more than 25% of the AUM. We think long term, we'll have over 35% to 40% of the AUM, which will be from equity assets. So equity assets will also drive profitability. So I think one way to look at it is currently, we make -- the annualized run rate is about INR 100 crore on an AUM of INR 1 lakh crore. So as we increase AUM but as we increase deployment and carry income comes in, the profitability should double, which is maybe currently what is 10 basis points should go to 20 basis points, is what I would feel. And I think being in the range of 20 to 25 basis points on a long-term basis should be steady state for Asset Management business, which is a mix of Alternatives and Mutual Fund that we have.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Ravi Kumar ] from [ Sahni Partners ].
Unknown Analyst
analystMr. Shah, I have a pretty [indiscernible]. I think you said that profitability is returning in the Credit business. So I just want to know, is it fair to assume that the worst in terms of impairment is over now? And if you can give some guidance on the credit cost and the PAT outlook for the business for the next couple of years.
Rashesh Shah
executiveYes. I think the worst in terms of impairment is definitely over. In fact, I think now the reversals will start because from what we have provided by our estimate with the caveat that this is based on the cash flow estimates that we do, our estimates, we should get back about INR 700 crores to INR 800 crores more out of the impairment and provision we have made. And assuming this comes over 4 years, that's about INR 150 crores to INR 200 crores a year should start coming back from the over-provisioning or over-impairment that has been done because in order to be conservative in last 2 years, we have taken actually front-loaded a lot of impairment. But in terms of further impairment, that is -- as you very correctly said, it is definitely over at a portfolio level. A couple of accounts might slip, and you might have to provide for that, but there'll be 3, 4 others where the flowback and the write-back will happen. So at a portfolio level, we are now in the reversal cycle, not in the impairment cycle. Now we have to start growing because, as you know, we have not grown our retail books, also SME and end market, and the home loan. They have started to grow from August onwards. To just give you a little bit of color, in our retail and SME, pre-ILFS crisis, we were doing about INR 700 crores to INR 800 crores of disbursements a month. We had come down to about INR 100 crores a month in both these businesses. We are now back to INR 250 crores. By March, we should be at about INR 400 crores to INR 500 crores of disbursements in the Credit -- Retail Credit business. So I think now growth and the impairment cycle is over. We are carrying excess liquidity, which is still holding back profits a little bit, but that will also get over in the next couple of quarters. And thirdly, as the retail growth starts, I think the profit -- because we're carrying the operating cost of that business, capacity is almost 4 to 5x what we are currently disbursing, but even that will get used up. So I think the U-turn has happened. It started happening about 3 quarters ago, but then COVID wave 2 happened, and we all pulled back a little bit. So it has got, in a way, delayed by 3 quarters, the scale-up on the Credit business in retail. But I think that, that is now ahead of us. So on all 3 accounts, the markdown on wholesale; the drag because of liquidity and higher cost liquidity, which is also the cost is also coming down; and thirdly, the retail growth, all 3 should ensure that at least some normalcy in profitability for the Credit business should come back.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Vivek Ramakrishnan from DSP Mutual Fund.
Vivek Ramakrishnan
analystSo my usual question on the real estate rollback has been asked. But I also noticed that you've put an addendum, which covers the Life Insurance and General Insurance businesses in greater detail. And Edelweiss, you have mentioned earlier, nurtures certain businesses and if there's value, then able to monetize it as well. So why have you done that? And what value do you aspire to these businesses over the next few years? I mean what can we expect from these businesses?
Rashesh Shah
executiveYes. So as I said, if you remember, Vivek, about last -- couple of quarters ago, we had given an addendum on ECL Finance also. So now based on the feedback from all of you, we have decided to give more color to individual clusters also. And as I said, we'll appreciate your feedback because we do think that, last 2 years, the Credit story overpowered all the other parts of Edelweiss. Asset Management has grown well. Wealth Management has grown well. Even Insurance is doing well. So I'm happy that you had a chance to go through that. On the Insurance business, to give you an idea, on the Life Insurance business, we have invested about INR 500 crores from Edelweiss up until now. That is the investment we have made. Our current embedded value is about INR 1,400 crores. We do think that given the growth rate and the quality of business we have that the business today should be valued, though we are not in the market to sell or even monetize or IPO that business, [ with needing ] another 2, 3 years of growing that business. We think that business is currently worth about INR 4,000 crores to INR 5,000 crores in its -- as the intrinsic value. We calculate intrinsic value of all the businesses. We have a very elaborate model. So our internal model is showing the intrinsic value of the Insurance business at between INR 4,000 crores to INR 5,000 crores. And we own half of that. So our shares should be worth about between INR 2,000 crores to INR 2,500 crores. And we have invested INR 500 crores over the last 10 years in that business. Same thing in the General Insurance business, we invested about INR 400 crores. Our gross premium in that business of this year should be an annualized run rate of INR 400 crores. That business is growing very well. It's growing at 5x the industry size. And if we wanted to raise money, we own 100% of that. We are not currently looking to raise money in that business. We think we can value that business also at between INR 2,000 crores to INR 2,500 crores. But both the Insurance businesses need capital. In Life Insurance, we and our partners have allocated capital. So we will -- it will need about INR 400 crores to INR 500 crores in the next 3 years, and we'll be able to allocate that. The General Insurance business consumes about INR 100 crores a year, and we have enough allocation for that also. Both the businesses will break even in '25/'26. And we think the businesses should double in terms of the top line from here. And the -- I think the value of the businesses should also at least double from here, is what we are hoping for.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Sanjay Pandit from 1729 Capital.
Sanjay Pandit
analystRashesh, I was wondering if you look out 3 to 4 years, what kind of return on equity target you're thinking of for Edelweiss Financial as a whole? I think there's been a good transition from asset-heavy to asset-light businesses, and that ought to eventually result in a more attractive sort of return on equity profile looking out 3 to 4 years. So question number one is, what might that look like in a range? And the second thing is, if, indeed, a lot of value will accrue to the business in the next 3 to 4 years as businesses have achieved scale and as excess liquidity in the business today on account of earlier cautiousness, then why the share repurchase makes sense to take advantage of today's prices relative to book value and relative to your long-term ROE target?
Rashesh Shah
executiveSo I think excellent question. I would say, I think there are 3 parts of this. I think one is, as you know, we are going to demerge and distribute the shares of the Wealth Management business to investors. And the Wealth Management business is currently at a quarterly profit rate of about INR 100 crores a quarter, give or take a little bit. And I think it is -- it will continue to grow. We hope to grow it at about at least 25%, 30% for the next year also. So even if it has an annualized run rate of about INR 500-odd crores of profit after tax, we will distribute our shares, and the investors will participate in that. So that will be one thing. It will not affect the return on equity, but it will be in a way of distribution in kind for the shareholders. The other is, if I look at 4 years down the line and if I keep Insurance outside of that because, as I said, by '25/'26, Insurance will break even, after that, they will start throwing out profit. But on Credit and Asset Management, Credit, we're expecting a 14%, 15% ROE; and Asset Management, as you know, is a very asset-light, capital-light business. So combined, Edelweiss, we should aim for a 20% ROE kind of a target on that, keeping the Wealth Management business has been distributed by then and Insurance is being kept aside because that's a different cluster. So if I look at Edelweiss Asset Management and Credit or if I can give another answer, on Credit, we should make about 14%, 15% ROE; and on Asset Management, we should make -- I mean the ROE is unimportant because if you make even INR 400 crore profit on INR 300 crores, INR 400 crores of equity, it will be 100% of ROE. So that is how we see the businesses in this. And the other answer on share buyback that you asked, I think we have excess liquidity. We want to be conservative on capital. As you know, we have -- our capital adequacy is fairly good. I think we would like to use that first for growth. And as I said, from '23 onwards, as the profit growth also steps up significantly, we can always look at a buyback. But for us, a buyback comes after growth. We've been holding back on liquidity and capital because we wanted to strengthen the balance sheet and all, which has all got done. We would now like to step up on growth. And after the growth needs are met, any excess capital we have, we would look at buyback. And I think maybe the time will be right a year, 1.5 years, if so, at all.
Operator
operatorMr. Pandit, do you have any further questions?
Sanjay Pandit
analystYes. So I was wondering what kind of hurdle rate you think about when you reinvest in the business sort of...
Rashesh Shah
executiveSo we look at what we have our own model of what is called intrinsic value. And we look at 18% intrinsic value IRR. So over -- we used to look at 10 years. Now we look at both 10 years and 25 years for all the businesses. So we have an intrinsic value calculator for each of our businesses, saying over 10 years and over 25 years can we make this kind of intrinsic value return. So if you invest x amount of money and you can make that return, I think 18% is our internal hurdle or trying to calculate the return on capital invested in terms of intrinsic value. Unfortunately, in financial services like insurance and all, you invest a lot of money upfront. So using only profit, accounting profit or cash flow is not the only way, but using intrinsic value is [ the best way ]. We've been adopting that for last about couple of years. And I'm happy to say that in most of our businesses, except in the Credit business, given what happened in the last 2 years, we have been hitting that 18% target. In things like Wealth Management, Asset Management, we've exceeded that. In Credit also, as we get back, we have not done badly over 14, 15 years. But I think maybe our intrinsic value return would have been about 8% or 9% up until now. It is not 18%. But as we grow this and get the flowbacks and all that, we hope that in Credit also by '25, when we look back, as we calculate the actual value realized, we will be able to hit our 18% target.
Sanjay Pandit
analystOkay. So I think intrinsic value is a great way to look at it. So that's very helpful.
Rashesh Shah
executiveAnd any input or any feedback, any of our stakeholders will have, we will truly appreciate that. But I think intrinsic value calculation is an important way we use for allocating capital.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I now hand the conference back to Priyadeep Chopra for closing comments.
Priyadeep Chopra
executiveThank you, Sanford, and thank you, everyone, for your time today and joining us for this call. Thank you, Rashesh. Please do write into us at Edelweiss Investor Relations for any questions or any additional information you may need. Once again, thank you. Have a good weekend and a great Diwali ahead. Thank you, all.
Rashesh Shah
executiveThank you. Bye-bye.
Operator
operatorThank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Edelweiss Financial Services, that concludes this conference. We thank you all for joining us. And you may now disconnect your lines.
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