Elgi Equipments Limited (ELGIEQUIP) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 11, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Kamlesh Kotak
analystHi, good morning, everyone. Welcome to Elgi Equipments 3Q and FY '25, 9 Months Earnings Call, hosted by Asian Markets Securities. Inviting Mr. Jairam Varadaraj, Managing Director, representing the company. I request Mr. Jairam to take us through the presentation, giving an overview of the financial performance. And then we shall begin the Q&A session. Over to you, sir. Thank you.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveThank you, Kamlesh. Good morning, everyone. Pleasure to be with you. I will spend the first few moments reconciling our performance relative to the past year and then give you a general overview of the business and then open it up for questions. So let me go straight into the EBITDA reconciliation for the third quarter of the current year. So it looks like it's a disappointing quarter, but I would like to explain this to you. There's been a large increase in fixed cost, to the extent of 15%, and that's primarily onetime expenses. There was an increase in transport costs because of the Red Sea problems and all that. But they are beginning to taper off. So I don't expect that to be a continuing issue. We had some issues with warranty provisioning. It is also onetime. So most of the increases that we are talking about are onetime. So that's one part of it. So I'm quite confident that going forward, we will be reasonably good. As far as the sales growth is concerned, we lost a bit of revenue because the GST portal went down in the last 4, 5 days of December. So we lost a bit of revenue in the cutoff. We had the invoices ready, but we couldn't ship. And as a consequence, the revenue fell over to January. In addition to that, we had some sluggish performance in portables across the world, water well in India as well as the portable business in Europe, Australia and the U.S. Particularly in the U.S., we had a steep fall in the portable business in the third quarter compared to the third quarter of last year. So the growth in our fundamental businesses have been quite positive. So this is not any concern for me at this point in time. Moving forward. There's the sales highlight. We have grown in every region, I would say, even North America, because North America had the portable losses because of -- and the portable business, it's an infrastructure issue. And overall, the markets are down by almost 40%, 45%. So the industrial business in North America has done well. It's grown. And our distribution business, which had issues because of our ERP, we are well past that. It's behind us, and it's beginning to grow. So all the regions have grown except Australia, where the markets are quite sluggish at the moment. Moving on. So this is a snapshot. Our revenue has grown by 3%, whereas our PBT is lower for the reasons that I explained to you. Compressors continue to remain the largest. The ratio between automotive and compressors remains almost the same. Similarly, India versus the rest of the world, the split in our compressor business remains almost the same. So if you look at the consolidated financials, the PAT is better than last year -- I mean sorry, slightly lower than last year. But year-to-date, we are still better than last year. And we are very confident that we will have a very strong fourth quarter. Moving on. Our cash position has been extremely strong this quarter, and it will continue to grow. We have put some very strong controls over our working capital, primarily our inventory, which went a little out of control post the COVID, post the Red Sea issues. There was a lot of chaos. We couldn't get the right ratios of inventory planning. All that is now beginning to get reined in. So we expect in the third quarter -- I mean the fourth quarter, the cash position would be even better. I would like to talk about two developments in the company, which are pretty significant, and then we'll open up for questions. One is a revolutionary new technology that we have launched. We hope the products will start coming out to the market within the month in India and within the next 6 months globally. So this is a revolutionary technology, and I will try my best to explain it in as simple terms as possible. So if you look at a typical compressed air system, on the left-hand side, you see the compressor and the pressure vessel that acts as a buffer. And on the right-hand side, you see various user equipments that have different levels of demand. Just to visualize, it's like an air conditioner. When more people are in the room, the air conditioner comes on. And when the temperature starts dropping, the air conditioner cuts off. So that's very similar to compressed air. The various equipments will come on and off in terms of their demand for air compressors. So this is how it typically works. So what happens when you have a fixed-speed compressor. The demand will fluctuate like this. So the machine will cut in, cut out, cut in and cut out. So this causes a lot of instability that has an impact on the energy efficiency of the compressor as well as the quality of the machine. So today, we supply a compressor with a variable frequency drive, which is like an inverter, the inverter on ACs. But that also is not without its own instability. It does have instability because it speeds up and speeds down. But more importantly, it's 30% more expensive, and there are reliability issues on the electrical. So what have we done? Our technology is pretty simple but very deep at a science level. We recirculate the air and recover. So what happens is the compressor works constantly at the same speed, but the flow to the customer or the end application varies depending upon what the actual demand is. So this is the real innovative part of it. And this is accomplished by having a system which has 2 valves and our own controller that controls these valves where we recover excess air which is not required and recirculate it into the system, thereby we save a lot of energy and the machine is stable. So the net result of that, right, so if you look at a fixed-speed compressor, a compressor with VFD and what we call as our stabilizer, if you see it, there is absolutely flat operation. The reliability and the energy efficiency goes up pretty significantly. So this is an actual field condition where we had installed the machine. These were the kinds of hourly fluctuations that were happening before we installed our system. And this is the flat thing that happened after we installed with this particular customer. So this is the testimonial from the customer, which is pretty dramatic. So the customer is saving close to 4 lakhs and this compressor itself is going to cost maybe about 7.5 lakhs. So in 2 years, with just this device, the customer will get the money back on the entire compressor in 2 years' time. And so this is quite a powerful technology that we have launched. The second one is we've been talking about the lower-tier, low-cost compressors coming from China and our plan to develop it. We have developed a range of machines. And in the next financial year, we will be launching them. They are far more reliable than the Chinese machines and extremely competitive from a cost point of view and far better in performance, in terms of efficiency. So these two changes and shifts in product and technology is going to be a pretty significant game changer for us. So I wanted to share these 2 before we open up for questions. So thank you again for your patience. Thank you very much for being present. Now we can talk about any questions that you may have.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystSure. Thank you, Jairam, sir. [Operator Instructions]
Kamlesh Kotak
analystSir, first question we have is from the line of Mr. Harshit Patel.
Harshit Patel
analystSir, my first question is on our U.S. and Europe markets. I think despite the macroeconomic challenges in Europe, we have still posted a very decent top line growth over there. So what is enabling this? And second, are we on track to break even in both these geographies in FY '26? I think Europe, we will break even for the first time in this new expansion plan, and we were supposed to again turn profitable in the North American market. So if you could update us on this, please.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo Harshit, thank you so much for the question. Yes, the economy in Europe has been challenging for a long time. But things are slowly -- I think it hit the bottom and it's slowly coming back. That's one reason why we are growing. The second reason is we have created a lot more focus in our go-to-market. That is very deliberate actions being taken to identify very strong distributors. We have brought potential channel partners to our plant, showed them what we are capable of doing. So that has been overall deliberate steps that we are doing and we will continue to do to grow the business, grow our share in the business. So that's one part. But that's the reason why we are growing. Yes, we are on our contract to break even this year. So I'm not very concerned about it. It was a concern last year, but this year, I'm not concerned about it. As far as North America is concerned, like I explained to you, all our businesses are doing well in terms of growth and profitability, except our portable business. Now the portable business is very infrastructure related. It's extremely cyclical. If you look at it 2 years ago, last year and the year before, we had some record revenues in our portable business. And as a consequence, both Rotair, which is a supplier for our portable business in the U.S., and the U.S. portable business, did exceedingly well. Now the market is down about 30%, 40%. So correspondingly, our revenues have come down, too. So barring that, I think all our businesses are doing well.
Harshit Patel
analystSo sir, this portables business in the North America, what percentage of our North American revenues it would be?
Jairam Varadaraj
executivePortable business, in a peak time, was close to, let me guess, I'm trying to think, about 20%, 15% to 20% of our revenue. And today, it is probably less than 10%.
Harshit Patel
analystUnderstood. But then combining all 3 businesses, portables, distribution as well as industrials in U.S., we will still make some profits this year. Would that be the right understanding?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveNo. We will probably just break even.
Harshit Patel
analystOkay. Understood. Sure. Sir, my second question is, could you highlight how our market share has progressed in various categories in the domestic market in the last 3 to 4 years, so how in reciprocating screw, both oil-free as well as oil lubricated and centrifugal? Sir, which are the categories where we have gained over the competition, where we are stable and, if at all, we have seeded some ground in some of the categories? So if you could highlight on this aspect, that will be very helpful.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo I don't want to give very specific numbers, Harshit, but I can give you directionally something. As far as recip is concerned, it is a very commoditized business. So we have not increased any share nor have we lost anything. So we're just kind of holding our share at that business. But there is a huge number of unorganized players. We are really evaluating what our strategy should be to be able to get and be a significant player there. We are not ready yet. As far as the screw compressor market is concerned, if you take the bottom tier, which is really the very low-cost imports from Chinese, if you exclude that, our market share has grown this year. If you include that in the total market, our market share actually is strong, right? Now with the new product that we are bringing in, we will be able to enter the bottom of the pyramid, and we will be able to grow our share of the overall business. Oil-free, we continue to hold our share in India. Centrifugal, we are hardly a significant player.
Harshit Patel
analystI believe we had a tie-up with a Korean company, and our machines were in the field testing. So any progress on that? By when we can expect launching our own machines in this?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveStrategically, our launching our own machine is not a priority. We have other products like vacuum that we are focusing on. Once we are able to -- once we get to finish up the other priorities, we'll get there. In the meantime, we will continue to partner with Hanwha.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystSir, next question is from the line of Mr. [ Chaitanya ].
Unknown Analyst
analystAm I audible?
Kamlesh Kotak
analystYes. You are audible.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, my question is on the after-sales market share. I think if my numbers are correct, 15% to 20% of our business is from the after-sales business that we provide. So any indication on when are we expecting to increase that, if at all? Anything on margin also in that front will be helpful.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo our aftermarket share in India is quite healthy. There is opportunity for maybe a couple of more percentage growth. So that, we continue to do. Our aftermarket percentage outside of India as a percentage is very low. And that's normal because aftermarket as a percentage of revenue grows only when your installed base becomes a certain size. And we are beginning to build that size and we are growing the aftermarket year on year on year. But you will not see that 30%, 35% until such time the installed base has become quite large.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo any indication on when that can happen for like 3 to 5 years down...
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSir, you can't predict it because you have to look at growth of market share of the products, right? And it will continue to grow along with that.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Got it. Also, in the recent update, you guys are targeting to be one of the top 3 players in the world by the next 10 years. So what are our strategy in that terms, any particular product focus? As we all know, on the R&D front, it's very high and very focused. But on that front also, if any road map, sort of what are the thoughts in terms of increasing that market share?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo our strategy is on products and markets. We are focusing on lubricated distance, lubricated screw and oil-free screw as strategic focus for growing the business. And we are focusing on key geographies, which is Australia, Indonesia, Thailand, India, Europe and the U.S., or North America. So these are the markets where we are strategically focusing. What we mean by that is disproportionately allocating our time and resources in these markets for these 3 product categories. So that's really our strategy. So if you look at our investment in technology, what I just explained to you, both the technology as well as the product, it is pertaining to rotary screw compressors. So if you look at the markets that we are talking about and the products that we're talking about, they will constitute close to 60% of the overall opportunity worldwide, right? So that's a pretty significant opportunity, and we are focused on that.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. Also, is there any impact of the new tariff regime that's going on in the U.S.? If at all, are we in any kind of exposed to that particular event that's going on?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSorry, I didn't get your question.
Unknown Analyst
analystThe current U.S. administration after coming off the term, there has been an increase in our tariff across the multiple industries. So are we, as an industry or company, do we fall in that particular category in any way as of now?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveEven during the earlier regime, Trump regime, when there were duties impost, compressors were not in that category. So we don't expect it. So even if it comes, those are business challenges. Those are not going to be game changers. So we got to understand something. Even if 10%, there is a tariff increase, our rupee has depreciated by 10% as well, right? So it's not a one-sided kind of a thing, it's larger, multiple factors involved, yes.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystNext question we have is from the line of Ritwik.
Ritwik Sheth
analystSir, a few questions. Firstly, you mentioned one-off expenses in Q3 of INR 4 crores and INR 18 crores. So safe to say that majority of this is nonrecurring?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveYes. So I said transport is one area where there was a significant increase primarily because we were catching up on some inventory shortfalls and combined with the related increase in transport costs, but they are coming down and, without cutting back on our inventory down to normal levels, our shipment is also going to be less. So I don't expect that to continue. Ritwik, I told you warranty provisioning was done. That is an accounting provisioning that had to be done, so that is there, and a few other things that are all onetime, nothing that is of significance.
Ritwik Sheth
analystGot it. And sir, second question is on the stabilized opportunity that you mentioned. Is there any product like this in the market? Or this is an innovation by...
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveIt's nothing -- this is the first time we've got a patent, which is global, yes.
Ritwik Sheth
analystSo globally, there is no products like this?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveNo.
Ritwik Sheth
analystOkay. And you mentioned that there will be savings of 4 lakhs per annum. So that would be on the power cost, the company savings will be on the power cost?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveThis is purely power cost, but there are a whole host of other savings that are there. We have not really listed that out. But this is something that the customers actually experience.
Ritwik Sheth
analystOkay. And how many pilot testing we would have done for this so far?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveWe've done a few hundred machines and plus few thousands of hours in our own factory.
Ritwik Sheth
analystGot it. And what would be the cost of this stabilizer?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveI don't want to talk specifics, but let's say if the variable frequency drive is 100, this will be 5.
Ritwik Sheth
analystOkay. And sir, sorry, just a few questions on this. So can we sell the stabilizer to our existing installed base?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveYes. There are 2 versions of the stabilizer. There is a light version and a heavy version. The heavy version has to be fitted from the factory, but we can give a kit for retrofitment, whereas the light version can be fitted on the field as well. And the light version can be fitted even in competitors' machine.
Ritwik Sheth
analystOkay, wow. So sir, what kind of opportunity opens up? Hello, am I audible, sir?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveRitwik, Kamlesh, can you hear me?
Unknown Analyst
analystJairam, sir, we can hear you. We can hear Ritwik as well. Jairam, sir, I think there is some problem with your audio.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveHello, can you hear me?
Kamlesh Kotak
analystYes, sir. We can hear you.
Ritwik Sheth
analystSir, so on this stabilizer, when we are taking it to the customer, what kind of feedback are we getting in terms of installation? And what kind of conversions are we seeing?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveWe just launched the technology, Ritwik. We haven't got the product out on a regular basis. Like I said, within the next 1 month is when we'll be putting it into the field.
Ritwik Sheth
analystOkay. So what kind of market opportunities this opens up? Because you mentioned 6, 7 lakhs...
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo right now, if you look at it, 25% to 30% -- in India I'm speaking -- 25% to 30% of the compressors are VFD. 65% to 70% of the customers want the advantages or the energy saving of a VFD, but they don't want to make that investment because they have to spend 30% more. Now that entire 75% is a huge opportunity for us to present significant savings in energy cost, right, where you recover the cost of the compressor itself, not just the investment in the device. The cost of the compressor itself, you get back in a couple of weeks. So that's huge, yes.
Ritwik Sheth
analystRight. This is interesting. Okay. Sir, I have a few more questions, I'll get back in the queue.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystNext question we have is from the line of Manish.
Manish Goyal
analystYes. A couple of questions. First, on the low-end compressor, which you were referring to, which probably is seeing a lot of competition or a lot of imports from China. If you can just provide a perspective as to what could be the size in terms of volume and the value which probably is getting disrupted in terms of market opportunities.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo we believe that the total market size at the low end from the Chinese is about 6,000 to 7,000 machines a year in India, yes. And the market, the value-wise, it's very difficult to make an estimate. But roughly, I would say each machine is probably around 2.5 lakhs, 3 lakhs. So about INR 200 crores is the size of that market, right? We are not playing in that market, yes. So for us, to aspire to get INR 50 crores, INR 60 crores is not unrealistic, yes. So that's only one part of the story. The other part of the story is there is a general shift globally for low-kilowatt machines. What I'm talking about, this 6,000 machines that are coming into India are all low-kilowatt. They are not the high-kilowatt machines. They're all lower than 30, 37 kilowatt, and it's in that range. But we are also seeing a global pattern of customers wanting to shift on lower-kilowatt machines to cheaper machines, not really worried about energy efficiency. Now these are all low-duty cycle applications where customers don't want to pay a premium. Now this product that we have made is a global product. It is not just an India product. The certifications, the standards, this can be sold anywhere in the world. So we are building a much larger opportunity for the future.
Manish Goyal
analystSir, how cheap would it be? Like, say, today, if you would have a product and if there are imports from China, how cheaper would it be, right? And in terms of performance-wise also, that also matters, sir.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveFrom a cost point of view, it's about 40%, 45% lower cost. And from a performance point of view, it's about 15% lower in specific efficiency.
Manish Goyal
analystRight. And in India, like typically, where would this application -- you did mention that low-duty cycle application. But typically, like which industries or which market?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveIt cuts across all. It is not specific to certain industry. Let's say, typically, if you look at it, a spinning mill, which is large, 25,000, 30,000, 50,000 spindles, will look for efficient machine. But let's say, there is a spinning unit, which has got 4,000 or 5,000 spindles, right, they are more capital start, and they are not worried about this additional cost of energy because their overall cost is low because it's only 5,000 spindles. So it's not just one industry, but it cuts across a characteristic segment across all industries.
Manish Goyal
analystOkay. And sir, on our new product, on the stabilizer, what could be -- say, like if existing machine, existing compressors need to get retrofitted, so what could be like time involved and potential cost incurred? And what would be the downtime? So is it worth for someone who's operating on a daily basis to probably take this retrofitment and do it? That was the first question. And like what would be the potentially market opportunity you see for you in next 3 to 4 years?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo in terms of retrofitting in the field, it's only a few hours. It won't take more than that. I'm talking about retrofitting the heavy version, which means there is a significant removal of our air end and fitment of a new air end, right? So that's a few hours of work. So it's not a big downtime. The retrofitting of the light version will be probably less than an hour, right? So that's from a downtime point of view. From a cost point of view, it depends on the size of the machine, right? The smaller the machine, the lesser the cost; the larger the machine, the more the cost. So I don't have one number to give you, which says this will be the cost. So if it's a 22 kilowatt, it will be different; 45 kilowatt, it will be different. But the point here that you need to understand is for a new machine, compared to a VFD, if VFD costs 100 more, this will cost 5 for a new application. This logic applies for all kilowatts. But for retrofit, you can't apply the same logic because we are removing one part of the compressor and fitting another one, yes. And as far as the opportunity is concerned, like I said, if you take a total market size of 30,000 or 35,000 compressors in India, only 25% are VFD, right? So close to 22,000, 23,000 machines are running without VFD because the customer doesn't want to pay that money, the additional money, which is 30% of the cost of the compressor. Now what we are going to give is a fraction of the cost, but the same functionality, not only the same functionality, but the reliability factor, which is night and day different, yes? So this is a huge value proposition for the customer.
Manish Goyal
analystAnd sir, on other expenses, sorry, I probably missed that earlier. This INR 4 crores was pertaining to freight onetime and INR 18 crores was for warranty, am I right?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveNo, I didn't give INR 4 crores. Transport is about INR 5 crores. And warranty is about INR 2 crores. Then there is a whole host of small, small things like building, repair and maintenance, which are all -- it is a timing issue, right? It's not something that is going to get repeated.
Manish Goyal
analystAnd you did mention in your initial remarks, just last question, and I'll come back. How much sales we would have missed, sir, because of downtime of the GST portal?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveWe have lost about I think about 150 million, INR 15 crores.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystNext question we have is from the line of Mr. Bhavin Vithlani.
Bhavin Vithlani
analystSir, this question is more on the India market. And we were just adding the revenues of all the India players and Elgi's India revenue. And we saw from 2019 to now, it's gone up from about INR 6,000-odd crores to INR 11,000 crores. This includes services. What I want to understand is some of the market internals, how are you seeing the share of oil-free move up? Within that, how has Elgi moved up in terms of market share for the oil-free? How has the centrifugal move up? And within that, how has Elgi moved up in centrifugal? Because I think the Chinese is something where, as your company graduates, I think that's something you'll have to leave it and the focus has to be in the higher-margin products like oil-free, centrifugal, et cetera. So I just want to get the perspective a little bit on the higher level on the market size. And how has Elgi been able to capture incremental market on a slightly longer last 5-year basis?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo let me take it category-wise. So if you look at oil-lubricated screw, let me start there, oil-lubricated screw compressors. There are 2 segments, the premium segment and then there is the discount segment, where the Chinese are playing. Now if you take the combined market share, we have lost market, but primarily because of the low end. In the premium segment, we have held our market share, but in this year, we have grown it, right? And we hope -- we are confident that we will continue to grow it in the coming years, not only because of our new technologies that I talked about, the stabilizer, but also because our enhanced go-to-market presence and strategy. So that's on the lubricated stuff. Now in the lubricated stuff, we believe we have a lot of depth and expertise of compressors. So we can't just say, oh, the Chinese are coming in with cheap machines, and therefore, we should vacate that space. We need to use our technology and our capability to come up with a product, which at a quality level is at an Elgi standard, but from a price point of view to a customer's expectation from a Chinese machine, performance also to Elgi standard. Now it took us about 1.5 years to engineer that solution. Now when we engineer it, we have the ability and the right to win in this segment. So we're not going to vacate that and run away. So that's on the lubricated screw. On the oil-free in the last 5 years, the market has grown. Our share of the market has grown. Absolutely, it has grown. So I'm very confident that our presence compared to 5 years ago, we have a much more stronger presence and a growing presence in that segment. Centrifugal, like I explained, we are representing Hanwha, and there are challenges on delivery. There are challenges on pricing. To the extent that we are able to meet the customers' requirement on pricing and delivery, we are able to play in some way. So strategically, we are not there in that market. Besides that, compared to the rest, the oil-free and the oil-lubricated screw, that's a relatively small market. So we'll get there, but one step at a time.
Bhavin Vithlani
analystJust a follow-up, I think we had the product-related challenges earlier on the water well, which we have now been able to mitigate. So along with that, so we just want to understand how has Elgi's market share moved up? Because in our view, it has moved up. We want to understand whether we are correct or not because the gaps in the water well and in the oil-free segments that you have bridged, the market share, let's say, 5 years ago versus today. And how do you see it going forward?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveIn water well, see, water well is a cyclical business. Like, right now, last year was a phenomenal year. This year is a down year, right? Now our share of the market continues to grow, but the size of the business goes up and down depending on the cyclicality of that segment. Net-net, if I have to average out what is our share of the market, it's somewhere around 40%, right? We think that's where our share of the market is. Is there an opportunity to grow that? Yes. But in terms of the impact on our business, it's going to be incremental because the overall market has shrunk at the moment. Oil-free, like I explained to you, Bhavin, we are growing. The market, as long as it continues to grow, we will grow. And we have some exciting products there as well. It's too early to talk about it. Once we have that, then our ability to win more also goes up.
Bhavin Vithlani
analystSure. Just last question, given the way we have seen the budget and the overall, when you talk to your customer side, on a 3-year basis, if you were to hazard a guess on the growth in the domestic market, what would that be?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveI will talk about steady state as well as the non-steady state. On a steady-state basis, we should be able to -- in the current circumstances, current market conditions, anywhere between 9% to 10% growth is possible. And with the introduction of our stabilizer technology and the low-end product, I think adding another 3, 4 percentage points to that growth is not unrealistic.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystNext question we have is from the line of Mr. [ Vipulkumar Shah ]. Next question we have is from the line of Mr. Amit Anwani.
Amit Anwani
analystSir, am I audible?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveYes.
Amit Anwani
analystMy first question is on the low-end product, which you highlighted. And you said that both the products incrementally can bring 3%, 4% extra growth. I wanted to understand, this low-end Chinese product, are we going to cater to the U.S. market? Is there any Chinese imported low-end there? And are we not going to face any competition? Because I understand, I think Kirloskar also talked about kind of low-end product, correct me if I'm wrong. Is there a comparison between these 2 products? And which specific markets we are first going to target?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo our first target is the Indian market because that's really where we are seeing a significant presence or an influx of the Chinese machines. So that will be our focus. But the product is ready to be sold in most of the 50-cycle markets. As far as the 60 cycles, which is the U.S., right now, we don't see as much of that behavior in the U.S. market as we are seeing, let's say, in Australia, in Southeast Asia and probably in some markets in Europe, right? So we'll take a measured progression, but India will be our first focus.
Amit Anwani
analystSure. Second, on Europe, you highlighted we are expecting a turnaround. Any further investment required there, if you could highlight us with respect to kind of manpower distribution or any other aspect where we'll be doing more CapEx in Europe. And what could be the peak revenue we are targeting from Europe in next 2, 3 years?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo see, Europe was an incubation that started 6 years ago. We invested upfront, and we declared that we are going to. We have completed all that. So we have gained traction in the market. Now it's a time to produce profits, right? And we will begin to see that from the next financial year onwards. In terms of growth, I would say low double digit is what is possible. But with these new products that we have, we could realistically expect a lot more.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystNext question, we'll have it from the line of Manish.
Manish Goyal
analystContinuing on the Europe operations, and probably when I'm looking at last year's annual report, so the subsidiary level at Belgium was probably a loss of nearly INR 50 crores. So when we are talking of breakeven, sir, are we probably looking at EBITDA-level breakeven or PAT-level breakeven? And do you expect that PAT-level losses to come down? And similar observations were for even our U.S. operations where, if you probably look at all the 2, 3 entities, we had reported PAT loss. So just if you can clarify on both aspects.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo our breakeven is at an EBITDA level, Manish. Now the only reason why we have a PAT-level loss in Europe is because of the interest cost that was there. And today, with tighter controls over our working capital, we expect progressive reduction, on one hand, cash generation; and on the other hand, progressive reduction in our working capital. Net-net, the capital employed will start coming down, and therefore, the interest is going to come down as well. The same thing with the U.S., right? If you look at it, we have a huge portable inventory because we expected the market to continue, but it just kind of nosedived all of a sudden. So we have that inventory that was shipped from Rotair. So all that is getting tightened now. And we have capital employed because of that for which we are paying interest. And the U.S. interest rates are pretty high compared to Europe. So all this will come down.
Manish Goyal
analystOkay. Is this the only factor which is probably -- but sir, that amount doesn't seem to be quite large in terms of the interest outflow. If I probably look at your consolidated interest outflow, which probably 9 months is just INR 22 crores...
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveManish, consolidated, we are earning interest in India, please remember that. We have surplus cash in India, and we are earning interest in the treasury operation.
Manish Goyal
analystBut that is anyways reflected in other income, sir, which is INR 41 crores in 9 months, and interest expense is INR 22 crores. So maybe if you can clarify that interest expense is net of other income.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveI need to get back to you. I don't have those numbers in front of me. We can take it off-line, and I can explain to you.
Manish Goyal
analystBecause even in the first 9 months of the current year, probably we see that at EBITDA level, there is probably a slight decline in the margins for our international operations, on a rough cut calculation. Probably, at PAT level, it is a very marginal profit, so just wanted to get your perspective as to how should we look at it.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveWe'll take that off-line and we can give you the details, Manish.
Kamlesh Kotak
analyst[Operator Instructions]
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveThere was one person, [ Salil ], who had raised his hand, but I don't know whether he has disappeared.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystYes, sir. So I couldn't see his hand up again, and that's the reason I had to...
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveAnd [ Vipul ], of course, continues to have his hand up.
Manish Goyal
analystCan I ask 1 or 2 more questions, sir?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSure.
Unknown Analyst
analystOnce again, Manish, we'll just check with [ Vipul ] in case if his line is audible. Otherwise, we'll allow you to ask. [ Vipul ], do you have a question to ask to Mr. Jairam? I don't think [ Vipul ] is around, sir, but [ Salil ] happens to have come in.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveI don't hear you, [ Salil ].
Unknown Analyst
analystIs this any better?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveNo.
Unknown Analyst
analystI'll come back.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystWe have a question from [ Uttam Kumar ].
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, am I audible?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveYes.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, firstly, on the domestic market, just want to get further understanding with regards to, are we seeing any challenges from any particular sectors? Is there any kind of slowdown in infra side? Or are all these sectors doing well? Could you just give more color on that.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo the Indian market definitely is exhibiting signs of slowing down. There is no doubt about that. But it's not something that I would get worried about. It's not like significant. But there are signs of customers delaying decisions. The number of inquiries coming in, the rate of it has come down. So these are signs that things are slowing down a bit. And you can see it. The automotive sector in most parts is beginning to slow down. Some of the infrastructure, like cement and all that, are slowing down. So it's part of the game. I mean, it will come and go.
Unknown Analyst
analystRight. Sir, second thing with continuation to that is, are we seeing a more aggressive kind of a move by the competitors in the domestic market? And also, could you just throw some understanding on pricing? Have you taken any price increases? Or have we lowered down lately?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveYes. We have not increased our prices, [ Uttam ]. We have kept our prices constant. Competition continues to be as intense as before. I wouldn't say there is any specific resurgence or surge in competitive intensity. We are all aggressive and fighting, which makes it interesting in the market, but I would not call out anything that is concerning.
Unknown Analyst
analystRight. Sir, and final question is with regards to, I think in 1Q of the financial year, I think we were talking about the go-to strategy in the domestic market, and we had also brought in some consultants to do it. So any update on that, how things are progressing? Has that been able to gain some market share?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo like I said in one of my commentary that we are looking at growing our share of the market. We have already grown a little bit this year, and we'll continue to see that process, giving us that growth in the next year as well. And that's a result of our go-to-market initiative that we have done.
Unknown Analyst
analystRight. Sir, just a bookkeeping question, on the CapEx spend. So how much have we spent for the 9 months? And what is the CapEx guidance for the next financial year?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveLet me see if I have those numbers in front of me. I don't think I have the numbers. But we have probably spent around, from a cash point of view, maybe about INR 60-odd crores.
Unknown Analyst
analystFor the 9 months, sir?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveYes, 9 months. New projects, we have budgeted about INR 250 crores. So the new buildings, that will happen, part of it, in the fourth quarter and then into the next year.
Unknown Analyst
analystNext question, we'll take from the line of Mr. [ Prathamesh ].
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveLet's go with [ Salil ].
Unknown Analyst
analystI hope this is better now, sir.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveIt's better now.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Sir, on this new product, right, the patent that we filed, so if you can give us a sense of how tight it is in terms of protection against competition coming in and trying to offer something similar in some pockets in some markets.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveWell, that's a tough question to answer, [ Salil ]. When we make our patent, we make it as watertight as possible, as wide as possible and as deep as possible. But there is always an opportunity for somebody to challenge it, and then we need to figure out, go to a court of law and try and find out. But the most important thing, one, is the patent. The other is how effectively you're able to make it. Understand the why of the technology. It is not about just having some valves and some software algorithm, but it is more at the level of science that you have to understand to get the result, right? So that science part is not necessarily revealed in the patent, right? So those are the scientific pieces that we retain to ourselves. So I'm reasonably confident that we have a pretty strong position.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, if I understand this as a layman, what you're saying is that although concept might seem simple, that you just add a stabilizer to a compressor, but the engineering behind it and the price at which you deliver is something which not everybody could replicate, irrespective of the...
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveAbsolutely.
Unknown Analyst
analystIt is very heartening to see the product. Sir, all the very best.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveThank you.
Unknown Analyst
analystIn the interest of time, we'll take one last question from [ Prathamesh ].
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveI think he's posted the question on the chat. So he says, I need to understand about exports. As we understand, except for Rotair, all other subsidiaries manufactured in India and distributed rest of the world. However, the stand-alone exports and related-party sales do not match. So I want to understand the accounting procedure followed for the same. So [ Prathamesh ], yes, the industrial machines are all made in India. So when we do sales from the stand-alone exports, it has 2 components. Sales to independent distributors, like, for instance, some distributors in Southeast Asia, some distributors in Latin America, some distributors in Africa, some distributors even in Middle East, they buy directly from us. So that is also booked as exports in the stand-alone. And the stand-alone books also has exports to our subsidiaries, which are related parties. So they will never match, right? And it will fluctuate because when it is a matter of inventory management in the subsidiaries. So when the inventory starts going down, the revenues are coming down, the stand-alone revenues to subsidiaries. And we are in the middle of controlling that inventory. Therefore, there will be a reduction.
Unknown Analyst
analystI think that is what we have right now, sir. Kamlesh, would you want to give a vote of thanks before we end this call?
Kamlesh Kotak
analystYes, before that, just one question. If you can provide some more insight about our tie-up with a [ giant company ] for vacuum products. How has been the progress and when we see that commercialized?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo thanks for bringing that up, Kamlesh. So we have completed the technology transfer. Our team has visited, brought it in. The indigenization has started. So from April, May onwards, we will have completely Indian-made products into the market. So that's on the product side. On the organization side, we have assembled the sales and service team. They are already in contact with customers. We have already started gaining one-off orders in the market. So we expect to see next year as a full year by which we'll be able to come back and report our performance on that.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystAny revenue targets, sir?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveNot yet, Kamlesh. Not yet. It's our metrics right now are to look at distributor appointment and OEM connects, yes.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystAnd this will be more India-specific, right, sir?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSorry?
Kamlesh Kotak
analystMore India-specific markets.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveYes. It will be India, India-like markets, neighboring. That's it.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystRight. Great. Okay. That's it from our side. Sir, any closing comment you want to make?
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveThank you very much. I think Manish has got a question again.
Manish Goyal
analystSir, probably I'll take 2 questions, sir.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystManish, we might have to end this call because we have already crossed our time limit. You can take it off-line with the team and Mr. Jairam.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveSo thank you very much, Kamlesh and Asian Market Securities for organizing it. Thank you for your continued support on that. And I thank everyone for your time and your insightful questions, and I look forward to speaking with you during the investor analyst meet in February this month and also our call sometime in May for our fourth quarter and annual results. Thank you very much, and I look forward to it.
Unknown Analyst
analystThank you, sir.
Kamlesh Kotak
analystThank you so much, sir. Thank you to all the participants.
Jairam Varadaraj
executiveThank you.
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