Entertainment Network (India) Limited (ENIL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 11, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q3 FY '21 Earnings Conference Call of Entertainment Network (India) Limited. Joining us on the call today are Mr. Prashant Panday, Managing Director and CEO; Mr. N. Subramanian, Executive Director and Group CFO; and Mr. Sufal Agarwal, Financial Controller from Entertainment Network (India) Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this call is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Prashant Panaday. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Prashant Panday
executiveThank you, Aisha, and welcome to this investor call, dear Investors. As always, I will be taking the first few minutes in giving you a picture of how the quarter has been, trying to go beyond the numbers, but also covering some of the numbers. To begin immediately, you might have seen the financial presentation, of course, the revenues have grown in this quarter to approximately INR 85 crores, INR 84.5 crores to be precise. This represents an 80% sequential jump. Of course, it is still massively negative 42% compared to the same quarter last year. But what is good to note is that the revenue performance of the company has been improving with every passing quarter, and it is important for us to look at the performance of the company on a quarterly basis because we are emerging out of a pandemic year. And it is important to see how fast we are exiting the pandemic and getting back into a world where we saw growth in the past. So the news over here in my mind is very encouraging. And let me give you some evidence of that. I will now give you some numbers of the first quarter of this year, followed by the second quarter and then the third quarter to show you how there is an improvement in the business continuously. First, talking about revenues, our revenues have grown from INR 36 crores to approximately INR 47 crores to approximately INR 85 crores. If I were to look at the revenue drop compared to last year, in the first quarter, the revenue drop was 72%, in the second quarter it was 59%, and as I mentioned sometime back, in this quarter, in the third quarter, the drop compared to last year is 42%. Now if I were to look at the volume scenario because remember that when a recovery happens in media, it is first led by the volume -- ad volumes. So one keeps a track of ad volumes to know if the recovery is underway or not. Now the volume de-growth in the first quarter was 74%. The volume de-growth in the second quarter was 23%, and the really good news of this quarter is that there has been a volume growth of 12% or 11.5% this quarter compared to the same period last quarter. Now remember, both of these were festive quarters this year as well as last year. And despite that, there is a 12% growth in volume. So when the volume recovers, you feel confident that the pricing will recover and then the revenues of the company will also recover. But moving on, if I were to look at the EBITDA -- reported EBITDA number of the company, it was minus INR 26 crores in the first quarter, it was minus INR 6 crores in the second quarter. And this quarter is plus INR 21 crores approximately. And if I were to come to the profit before tax, and I'm not including the exceptional item, which I will talk about later, the profit before tax in the first quarter was minus INR 36 crores, which improved to minus INR 32 crores. And this quarter, we are close to a PBT breakeven at minus INR 4 crores, or minus INR 3.5 crores to be precise. And if you look at the PAT number, which now includes the exceptional item, again, I will repeat, I will talk about the exceptional item a little later. The first quarter PAT was minus INR 37 crores, second quarter was minus INR 24 crores and this quarter, we reported approximately INR 16.5 crores or INR 17 crores in PAT. So it tells you that the trajectory of the company's revenues, its profit margin, its PAT margins is all upwards. And therefore, we are confident that in the fourth quarter and then most certainly in the coming years, the company will be back on its rapid growth trajectory. But let me give you some more flavor on the revenue performance of the company. First and foremost, surprisingly, or actually not so surprisingly, the solutions business has actually grown slower or has de-grown faster than the radio business. The solution business overall has degrown by 55%, while the radio business has degrown by 36%. And there is one simple explanation for this and that is that the quarter 3 is a very heavy quarter for our solutions business and a very large part of our solutions business includes on-ground activations and on-ground events. That has been reduced to nearly 0, and therefore, the impact on the solutions business is much higher. I will talk about this, again, in a different perspective, slightly down the line. But suffice to say that as and when the on-ground events start, and they're already starting to start, we will see the bounce back in these revenues. To that extent, it is a temporary phenomenon that we are experiencing in the third quarter. Let me give you yet another flavor on the revenue performance. The revenue performance matches very closely how the country's markets are responding to COVID. And as I mentioned in the previous quarter, the top 8 markets are still the most affected by the pandemic effect. And that shows up in our revenue performance. So our revenue drop in the top 8 markets is between 45% and 50%, depending on whether you take only radio or the entire revenue. And the degrowth in the growth 27 market, the original 27 markets, is just 22% in revenue terms. And similarly, the volume degrowth in the top 8 markets is still negative 18%. Remember, I mentioned to you that overall across the network, volumes have actually risen by 12%, but in the top 8 markets, volumes are still down by 18%. So it tells you very clearly that the top 8 markets continue to remain in a severe grip of COVID. If you notice the performance of at least one other radio company, which has declared its results, you will realize that it has declared a revenue degrowth of only 22% de-growth. And the reason is very simply this because that is a network which is largely into small markets. And like I mentioned to you, even our degrowth in the small markets is only 22%. So our performances have to be seen in the right context. Now here is an interesting report that we thought we will share with you. And it is basically the Google Mobility Report. You might have seen and heard about it and seen quoted in various newspapers and websites right through the pandemic. And here is something that should give you a reason as to why the top 8 markets are still underperforming. So if you look at the mobility into retail and recreational areas, in -- across the major markets -- across the country, this number is still approximately about minus 30%, which means that compared to 1 year back, there still are 30% fewer footfalls happening in retail and recreational centers. Now remember, the radio business depends very extensively on retail shop fronts and real estate projects and jewelry stores and educational institutions. So a whole lot of business depends on retail shops and retail establishments. Even the auto sector divides its revenues between brand campaigns and campaigns which promote either trials or footfall generation for the dealership. So the radio business has been affected badly in the top 8 markets because the mobility has still not come to the full level. People who live in Mumbai will understand that the locals have not yet begun in right earnest. And therefore, if you go to the shop -- if you went to the shops in December or January, as soon as the festival season ended, if you went to Monday to Friday, you'd find that the shops were fairly deserted and more people took the effort on a weekend to come and do the shopping. So because shops are affected, those advertisers are reluctant to spend money at this point in time. But as soon as the mobility factor improves, there is absolutely no reason why these people will not come back with, what I would like to call, revenge advertising because remember, there is a huge amount of inventory that they're carrying. There is a huge amount of demand that is there in the public, and the 2 have to match. And I think we in radio can provide the bridge between the 2 metrics. Here is another interesting thing about our performance that while the pricing has fallen, it has recovered from the -- on a sequential basis. It has covered by 7% approximately on a sequential basis. Now it is very, very important that the pricing should recover. Those of you who were tracking our stock after the Lehman crisis will remember that I've been mentioning right since then that pricing recovery is a challenge in the media business. And therefore, the 7% price recovery in the Diwali quarter is a good sign. It will be difficult to sustain this revenue -- this pricing growth. But by the next festive season, which is in the coming August, which is another 4 or 5 months away from now, I think in about 5 months' time, our pricing should recover to within 10% or thereabouts of last year's level. So it's a good sign that the pricing has recovered. But still compared to all our competitors, our pricing has fallen by the least. Our pricing drop was approximately 28% in this quarter compared to last year's. Our competitors, as calculated from data available to us, is -- have lost pricing between 32% and 42%. So that's a bit on the relative competitor thing. But let me talk to you about our strategy and our products that I was mentioning. Now remember solutions overall fell by a larger number than the radio business fell. But let me just remove the effect of the on-ground component and show you what happens. If I remove the on-ground component. And if I also remove TV Today, remember, last year, we were also selling TV Today. And this year, from September, we have not been selling TV Today. So if I were to remove the effects of both of these, and look at just one of my solutions product, which is media solution, my -- or if I look at the solutions -- overall solutions number without these 2 items, then actually, my revenues are 21% up compared to last year. So my revenues this year would be INR 21-odd crore compared to INR 17-odd crore last year. So that shows to you that how important the on-ground events are to our solutions business. But there is a benefit that came to us because the on-ground component went away. And that is that our overall margins improved dramatically. Because remember, the on-ground events come at a lower margin and have always been a bit of a challenge for us. We've seen that this year, our solutions margins have gone up to 48% compared to last year's level of 35%. Now I would like to say over here that these margins will necessarily dip next year as on-ground events start again. But this time, when we start the on-ground event, when we develop our solutions for our clients, we are going to be very careful that we do not package on-ground activation or events in a very large proportion. This time, we are going to package more of our digital products into the solutions that we make for our clients. And therefore, I expect that the margin will not fall back to 35%, but hopefully, will settle at somewhere around 40% or thereabouts. If I were to break up the solutions margin between my different solution products, I would put it like this. So in the media solutions vertical, our margins are now 56% compared to 38% last year. So in my IP solutions business, which is basically all your activations and concerts and all of those kind of things, we did do concerts and activations online. My margin was 39% this year compared to 35% last year. And if I look at my digital solutions business, then the margin this year was 31% compared to 25%. So there has been an all-round improvement in margins in the solutions business, and that's something that is really important because as the market recovers, the demand for solutions is going to remain. And let me just give you one last data point to show how good the strategy has proved to be for us in the pandemic period. In the third quarter, despite the pandemic, the number of clients who have taken a solutions deal from us has gone up to 149 compared to 109 last year. This is a huge 35%, 37% increase in the client base for the solutions business. And I see no reason why every quarter, this number of 149 cannot equal 500 in the near term and 1,000 in the medium term. So I see the solutions business rising really quickly, and we have cracked the margins issue, and I think we are on a very, very sound track to growth on the back of these products. But one other thing I must tell you is that one component of the solution business is our digital product. Now remember I mentioned digital solutions a moment back. Our digital products have started doing exceedingly well, and there is an enormous demand in the market. Remember, digital is a product category that is growing rapidly all over and has been growing for many years and will continue to grow for many years. Our digital products are now accounting for almost 11.5% of our total revenues in this quarter. Now imagine this company's digital profile changing in the years to come and digital products becoming 25% or 30% of our revenues and at an attractive margin of 30% to 35%, I think you get a picture about how the growth trajectory of the company is going to be in the years to come. I just have 2 more points to make before I open the floor up. One is that the cost savings that we started at the beginning of the pandemic period have continued right throughout and the savings in cost in this quarter has been 29% on all costs, not including the DVCs on the event because obviously, when the events stop the DVC stops. So that is a larger number. But even if I leave those out, the operating cost, the genuine operating costs are down 29% compared to last year. And remember, this is despite 2 big heads, which is license fees that we pay to the government is down only 7.5% because the government has not obliged, the government has not cut license fees. They have held their ground and therefore, the license fees are down only in a small way, even though revenues have crashed in a big way. The second cost is the studio transmission cost, which includes the cost of rentals of Prasar Bharati towers and [indiscernible] towers and studio premises at the Prasar Bharati facility, they are down just 3%. Again, government has given no concession at all. So despite these 2 big costs degrowing or reducing by only a small amount, the company has achieved a 29% drop in operating costs. And we believe that going forward, we will retain a large part of this cost reduction, and we will be careful not to add it back when the revenues start to grow starting early next year. Finally, the IPAV order is something that is of interest to the radio business in a very big way. Remember, the earlier order came in 2010 and was valid for 10 years. The order was basically that for sound recording we paid 2% of our revenues. And while that helped us in the crucial period of growing up, and of late, it was becoming a really expensive deal for us because the revenues have grown. But more importantly, a couple of big labels were not covered by the 2% order. So those 2 labels, we had to do private deals, and the cost was so high that the overall sound recording royalty cost in the company was very high. Now what has happened as a result of the IPAV order is that the cost has been fixed on a needle hour basis. It helps us tremendously because it reduces -- it brings all labels on par. This order applies to all labels with no exception. Even those labels who were not giving us the rights to play music are now covered by the order. So we have statutory license, and we can invoke the statutory license and start playing the music. So huge financial advantage. The second advantage is that the IPAV has also set rates for the performance royalty. Now the performance royalty is under challenge in the -- has been under challenge in the Delhi High Court since 2006. Interestingly, even the order for that came out recently, and the order for that says that radio broadcasters are not liable to pay performance royalty. Of course, this order has been challenged by IPRS before the Division Bench, and out of financial conservatism, ENI continues to provide for performance royalties for the past and going forward. However, we have reassessed the performance royalty cost of the past, and we have brought it in line with the order that the IPAV has now passed for performance royalty. And this is the exceptional item that you saw, which has benefited the profit after tax of the company. That amount is approximately INR 27 crores. And that's the write-back of all the extra provisioning that we had done in the past towards performance royalty. There still remains a large chunk of money in the books which is provisioned against performance royalty for the past. And out of fiscal prudence, we have not written everything back, but a substantial amount of that has got released, and you see the benefit of that over here. Now why should you consider this particular exceptional item in evaluating the company? Because this comes out of provisions that we had made in the past and not all companies were making this provision in the past. One of our key competitors who is a listed company never provided for performance royalties in their books, while we kept providing for performance royalties in our books. So we get the benefit of this amount now, but they nor many other radio stations will get that benefit. So it's an item that you have to consider, and it has benefit going forward as well. The total savings in royalties that we expect on a 12-month basis is approximately INR 11 crores per year. That's a huge substantial advantage to the company. I've covered most of the points, and there's just a small point about our expansion in the Middle East. Suffice to say that in another couple of months' time, we will be relaunching in Dubai, and we will be launching for the first time in Qatar and Bahrain. With that, I will open up the floor for questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Jinesh Joshi from Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt Ltd.
Jinesh Joshi
analystI just have one question. Sir, this INR 27 crores of exceptional gain on royalty write-back, is this a provision that was created earlier and now has been written back due to a favorable order? Or does it also have a cash flow impact into it? And secondly -- sir, just one follow-up. And secondly, you also mentioned in the opening remarks that the entire write-back has not happened and something more can be expected. So if you can just state what can be the quantum here?
Prashant Panday
executiveYes. Subbu will answer that.
N. Subramanian
executiveYes. So Jinesh, let me explain what it is, right? We -- as Prashant explained in the introductory remarks, we've been providing for performance royalty for the last several years, right? And we've been providing at a particular rate. Last month or sometime in December, we had the IPAV order and the IPAV order also has the rates for performance royalty, which we have disclosed. So what we have done this time is that we have remeasured the liability at the new rates. And when you remeasure, obviously, the new rates being lower than what we have provided earlier, you have a write-back on account of that. There is a second aspect to it is whether the amount that we are still carrying, remember, we have not -- Prashant said in the call earlier, we have not written back the entire amount, right? We still carry some provisions in the books. Our belief is that even that sum is not payable because we have a favorable order from the Delhi High Court. Since the IPRS body has appealed against the order, we have continued to maintain that provision, and we will also be continuing to provide performance royalty at the new rates determined by the IPAV going forward. So there is a provision on account of that. This is only a P&L impact, and it's not a cash flow impact because we did not pay them, right? So there is no cash flow impact, but there is certainly a P&L impact. Does that answer your question?
Jinesh Joshi
analystYes, sir, but I just wanted that figure, the quantum of write-backs which can be expected going ahead because entire amount has not been written back. So if you can share the quantum?
N. Subramanian
executiveSo that will depend upon what the final order is, right? So if your question is how much provision I'm carrying in my books, it is in excess of INR 13-odd crores. And there is also an additional item in respect of some money that we had paid to them in the past, which is about another INR 11-odd crores. So it could be -- it is between INR 13 to INR 25. INR 12 crores will have a cash impact and INR 13 crores will have only a P&L impact. So the total P&L impact could be INR 25 crores, and the cash impact could be INR 12 crores, if everything goes in our favor, yes, yes.
Jinesh Joshi
analystSure, sir. Sure. And sir, in the opening remarks, you also mentioned that the on-ground events can have a slightly lower margin, and within the solutions business, we are focusing more on digital. So first, can you just explain what is -- what can be the potential difference in margin between the 2? And within the solution business, where can we expect the digital component to be, say, 2 years down the line?
Prashant Panday
executiveSo Jinesh, like I had said in the opening remarks, the margins on on-ground events are lesser. Typically, the events margin would be in the region of 20% to 25%, but on digital, it can be from anywhere from 25% to 50%, depending on what kind of a digital product you're packaging in. So in about 2 years' time, I would imagine that the total value of the digital component should rise from the 11.5% that I mentioned in this quarter to -- I would expect it to be in the region of 20% to 25%.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Swechha Jain Jain from ANS Wealth.
Swechha Jain
analystI just have one question. Earlier, somewhere we had mentioned that we were planning to buy 3 radio stations from TV Today. So just want to know what is the status of that, sir?
Prashant Panday
executiveSubbu, you want to answer that?
N. Subramanian
executiveYes. So Shweta, we had -- Swechha, sorry. We had sort of communicated last time around that the government is not granting the approval, so we are not going ahead with the transaction. We had a marketing arrangement with them, which has also been terminated. And now TVTN continues to sort of market those stations as well.
Swechha Jain
analystOkay, okay, okay. So we -- basically, we're not going to go ahead with it, right?
N. Subramanian
executiveThat's right. Yes. Yes.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Rohit D from [indiscernible] Capital.
Rohit Dokania
analystThank you for the detailed initial commentary. It was really helpful. My first question is on the solutions business. So just curious to know sir, of the 109-odd -- 149-odd clients that you mentioned that we have right now, or I mean let's put it this way, what part of the solutions business is sort of repeat in the sense you have customers or certain solutions being repeated periodically?
Prashant Panday
executiveSo, Rohit, we have a very high repeat rate in our solutions business. We have been having clients for several years who have been doing solutions with us. And almost all of them come back on a repeat basis. I would say that depending on the needs that they have, they come back and tap us for solutions. So yes, the repeat rates are pretty high. Having said that, the base in the past was low. Like I mentioned, last year was only 109 deals in the third quarter, if you go 1 more year behind that, it may have been only 40 or 50 deals. So the base was lower. And therefore, there are a lot more new clients who are coming into the pipeline at this point in time.
Rohit Dokania
analystOkay. That is helpful. So I just wanted a little more clarity. I want to understand the solutions business more. I mean, it's very interesting the numbers that you're throwing up on an annual basis. But let's just say that in the traditional media, one major issue has been measurement, measurement of the impact of whatever the advertiser has spent on the media for, be it radio, be it TV, et cetera. So you don't know who has been reached and whether the spend has actually worked. So is this particular pain point being addressed? I mean, in digital, I understand it's much better, and you can actually show the impact, but in the remaining part of the solutions business, is there any way that you are conveying the measurement to the advertiser much better than, let's say, in the radio business?
Prashant Panday
executiveYes. So that's a good question, and let me attempt to answer that, Rohit. So the first thing is, remember that it is not that the traditional media are difficult to measure. There's a lot of measurement available. But when you say that it's difficult to measure the results of advertising on traditional media, even that is actually not true. And the reason is simply this because traditional media is typically used for brand building or for announcing new products or for announcing new services or for announcing new features, et cetera. Now let me just give you an example. Suppose Vistara starts a new flight from Mumbai to Shillong, right? Now they advertise on television, on radio, on outdoor on print. You read about it or you watch it. And then you're not traveling to Shilong, so you don't act on it, right? But let's say, 6 months later, when you get a chance to travel to Shillong and your travel operator or your online app says, hey, there's a Vistara available from Mumbai to Shillong, you'll say, yes, I like it because they -- I like Vistara, and I remember that they have communicated. So you're actually acting 6 months later. So the difference between traditional media and online media is that online media is used for immediate impact, immediate response, it is not used for brand building. But traditional media is typically used for longer-term benefits, for brand building, for new product launches and not that much for immediate results. Now our solution product actually combines traditional media with modern media, right? So in every multimedia deal that we do, we would have about 1/3 or maybe 25% or 40% of traditional radio because that umbrella that radio provides is very, very critical for the whole idea to work. The remaining 60% to 70% of the deal value is broken up into various components, one component would be on-ground. And I mentioned that that's usually a big component, right? Now why is on-ground important? Because on-ground actually allows clients a touch point between their brand and their customers. They can do sampling, they can do trial generation, they can do test drives, they can do various other -- they can do feedback, they can do contest. So touch points are very, very critical for any marketer. And one part of my solution business provides that. The third part of my solutions business is the digital component, which typically would provide immediate solutions. So if there is, let's say, a real estate person is being given a solution and they want footfalls to happen or inquiries to happen, then my digital solution will typically go in that direction. And by the way, in my digital solution, I may use Facebook and Google as well. Because remember, I am a solution provider. I use my assets, but I also use other external digital assets. So by a combination of traditional on-ground and modern media, I'm able to provide a holistic solution to clients. That is what is so beautiful about the solutions business. And that is what is not available in this country, by the way, nor is it actually available anywhere in the world because most media operators continue to operate only in their domain. And most advertising agencies continue to develop ideas, but they do not -- they don't have the capability, nor do they own the assets to actually execute those ideas. So we fill in the space in between that exists.
Rohit Dokania
analystThat was a really helpful answer, sir. I mean, you're basically are trying to say that the value chain is basically siloed and you're trying to break down the silos within ENIL and provide a combined integrated solution to the customer.
Prashant Panday
executiveCorrect.
Rohit Dokania
analystSo then the follow-up in this sense is how scalable -- I mean on paper, theoretically, it does look very scalable. But if I understand correctly, number one, this is primarily a city-centric or a region-centric solution that you're providing because, as you mentioned, around 40%, 50% is radio in the integrated solution that you provide to a customer. And then you have on-ground activations and certain -- quite a few regional channels that you have on YouTube, et cetera, which you use. So how do you -- I mean, what would be the limiting factor to your scalability? And how scalable do you think this is over, let's say, 5 to 7 years?
Prashant Panday
executiveOkay. Very good question again, Rohit. And again, let me clarify a point. Of course, we do our solutions -- we execute our solutions business at a city-centric level. That's the core strength of my company because I can provide a solution in Bangalore, which is unique and distinct from the solution that I give to the same client in Guwahati because the client has different marketing challenges in the 2 cities. So that's my strength. However, if there is a client who wants to run a pan-India challenge, we are more than equipped to do that. So that's one clarification. But in terms of scalability, there are 2 things which matter over here: one is designing the solution; and two is executing the solution. Now designing the solution is a tricky thing because once you design 100 solutions, maybe you are able to sell 20, and there are 80 which are not sold. Now what we have is a very good mechanism to archive these 80 and make them available nationally to all our sales teams so that when they are pitching to similar clients or similar categories or clients with similar marketing challenges, they first tap into the archive that already exists and try and use those solutions. So the design part of it becomes fast and I can give a solution to a client literally within 24 or 48 hours. The second part of it is the execution challenge. And the more on-ground that we package into the solution, the less scalable it becomes because on-ground takes time, it takes planning, and execution is really difficult in on-ground. And also very often, the product that we deliver on-ground tends to be very difficult because it's not an easy product to execute. So many times, clients get upset and all of those things happen, which is why I said that going forward, we will keep the on-ground component limited, but we will keep the radio and the digital components and any other media that we use -- we often use television and print also, we will keep those components high. Those are easy to execute. So the challenge to scaling up gets reduced very much when you reduce the on-ground and the challenge to designing reduces very much when you have a very active archiving system. I hope that answers the question, Rohit.
Rohit Dokania
analystThat was very helpful. Sir, that was really helpful. And so does this mean that, let's say, you would be open to, let's say, outsourcing the activation component -- the on-ground component after having designed the solution at your end? Is that some...
Prashant Panday
executiveAgain, let me clarify. We usually do not execute ourselves at all. I mean, I would have maybe 10 people in my company who do execution. So there may be 500 people on outside agencies or event companies or media agencies who work in executing a solution. So I don't to -- I don't have any headcount, I don't have any execution [ panel ]. I just have let's say, 2 people who are executing 5 clients, and they are working with 5 different execution agencies and doing the job, which is, by the way, why my on-ground margins are lesser because whatever margins get generated on the on-ground part of the business get shared between me, the idea generator, and whoever is executing the idea. So that's the thing. So we are not executing ourselves at all. Rohit, you can come back later if you need, but I think we should allow others to ask a question.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of [ Deepak Shankar ] from TrustLine PMS.
Unknown Analyst
analystCongratulations for good improvement in results. First of all, wanted to understand this digital revenues contribution that you mentioned during the call at 11.5%. The same thing during FY '20, what was the number?
Prashant Panday
executiveOkay. So [ Deepak ], I will let Subbu give you an answer. We were not tracking this number in this method till last year, but he may have some other benchmarks. But I just want to tell all of you, dear investors, that we actually encourage you to ask the question because we are aware that the business model that we have is not something that you can readily find elsewhere, and therefore, we would encourage you to ask as many questions and if required, we'll keep the questions window open longer today. Subbu, do you want to take that question?
N. Subramanian
executiveSo essentially, in the previous years, what we used to do was that we were only reporting our stand-alone digital revenues. And we were not reporting digital components included in our other revenue streams, like media solutions and also IP solutions. So what you have in the current year is the 10% number is for all the 3 of them. For the previous year, do we have the data with us readily now? No? Okay. We don't have the data with us readily now. What I would suggest is that over the course of next week, you can get in touch with Mr. Sufal Agrawal, and he will be happy to share that data with you.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay, okay. So just to clarify, so these digital components will include digital solutions, which are into YouTube our original content and our client-based video so those kind of solutions, which is made only into digital formats?
Prashant Panday
executiveThat's right. [ Deepak ], so basically, we have a lot of our own social media assets. As you know, we have the largest social media presence amongst any radio operator. We have the largest number of influencers at a local level compared to any other media outlet. We do a lot of videos ourselves. And not only that. We use -- we develop digital solutions which even use the plain old telephone system. We do podcasts, we do original video. So we do a lot of digital products. Like what Subbu said, some of this is packaged into media solutions. Some of this is packaged into IP solutions. Some of this is run as stand-alone digital solutions. So added all together, we get about 11.5%, or approximately INR 9.7 crore of revenues in this quarter. [ Deepak ], feel free to ask any more questions that you may have till you're very clear about this because we are very passionate about talking about our model.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, also in terms of utilization of cash. So we have seen that we have around INR 191 crore cash. So regarding that, so when will be probably Board will be taking decision?
N. Subramanian
executiveSo the number is not INR 191 crore, it is INR 197 crore. As we said in the previous calls too, the Board will take a call at the time of approving the annual accounts. We -- Prashant and I have said this a number of times in conference calls, we do not have major investment plans. And the way we are doing our business, particularly the solutions business, it hardly consumes any cash, the working capital investment in our solutions business in the current quarter, if I recall right, was just INR 7.5 crores. And even when we scale up rapidly, I don't see this number going beyond INR 15 crore, INR 20 crore. The whole of last year, we did not see this number going beyond INR 15 crore, INR 20 crore. So there is no major cash consumption in the business, and the Board will take a call at the time of approving the annual accounts.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions]. The next question is from the line of [ Manish Gandhi ] an individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. My first question is: With the digital growing very fast, can you please throw some light on how do you see business evolve for, say, next 2, 3 years overall? And in terms of the number of people we are planning to have in digital and other things? And just add to that, in connection to digital, so are you exploring any small, say, INR 10 crore, INR 20 crore type of investment in digital media start-ups, which can help us scale even faster?
Prashant Panday
executiveThank you, [ Manish ], for the question. And as always, it's really good to talk to you. You've been a big supporter throughout. And I think it's an honor to answer this question. So digital business is fast-growing. We all know that. And it's something that we have always been wanting to take a big part in. So we've been seeing the growth happening, and we are going to scale it up in a very big way. So if you ask me how I see this business growing, what is INR 9.7 crores in this quarter and possibly, what may be INR 25 crores or INR 27 crores or INR 30 crores in this year, could easily become INR 100 crores in a couple of years and then go beyond that. So there is a big growth ahead for our digital products. Either in the form of digital solutions directly or as part of our media solutions or IP solution. That's one part of the answer. In terms of the people involved, we have said this that we have reduced the headcount in our regular radio business so that we can operate it in a much more streamlined manner. And some amount of that headcount reduction, we have transferred to our solution business. Of course, in the last year in FY '21, we have reduced a lot of headcount even in the solution business because the on-ground business went completely kaput. As we speak, we have 118 people in our solutions business today. About 1/2 of them are in the digital business. The remaining 1/2 are in various other parts of the businesses. But this number used to be about 190 or 200 people till last year. So as a first step, as a solutions and digital businesses scaleup, we will see the headcount return to 200. But beyond that, I don't think that we would like to add too much beyond that because the digital business can also work through outsourcing. A lot of the creative businesses can be contracted on service basis rather than hiring people. So there are different models which work on the digital side. So I think we will see reinstatement of our old headcount in maybe 2 years' time. I don't see that going much beyond that, [ Manish ]. In terms of investment and acquisitions, yes, we are on the lookout. We are in the process of identifying specific verticals of growth and specific technical and expertise gaps we have in our company and our team. And we will be looking at plugging those gaps. But specifically at this point in time, we don't have anything already on the anvil, but we are on the lookout.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeThat's good to hear, Prashant. I'll send some of ideas if I get just [indiscernible].
Prashant Panday
executiveYes, please do that. We will really appreciate it.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. And my second question is: Please explain about Mirchi Brewery And its significance for the solution business.
Prashant Panday
executiveOkay. See, the Mirchi Brewery is an internal team, which we have called brewery because it brews great solutions, right? It's like you brew great coffee, you brew great solutions. So we just decided to call it Mirchi Brewery. There are approximately about 55 -- 50, 55 people in the brewery team right now. But again, this is a team I see scaling up as we create more solutions. Now here is how the team works. As soon as my sales team meets a client, the first thing they ask the client or the agencies, tell us your marketing challenge, okay? And allow us to come back with a solution. Now the team comes back to the office. It meets with the brewery team, it meets with a couple of other sales members, they brainstorm. And the solution -- and the brewery team comes out with a multimedia solution. Depending on the requirement of the client, either the brewery team member can also visit the client or the sales team member presents the clients, solutions are tweaked, et cetera. And then it's given to the execution team to execute. That's how the brewery team actually is the backbone of our solutions business.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Siddharth Agarwal ] from Prudent Value Partners.
Unknown Analyst
analystFirst of all, congratulations for a decent set of results given the circumstances. Sir, my first question is now how do we see the trend in the volume -- ad volume's growth in our metro cities in this quarter? Or how has it trended over the last quarter, month on month? Are we seeing improvement? The reason I ask this is because, sir, as we follow the results of several companies, we see most of the companies -- listed companies are posting record volumes and even the GST collections are -- have recovered to pre-COVID levels, which kind of signal that the economy is sort of there at the pre-COVID level. So do we also see some signs of volume growth recovery in our metro top 8 cities also now? What is the trend that you are seeing, sir?
Prashant Panday
executiveWell, let me answer this in 2 questions -- 2 parts. First is that the metros very rightly, you said, will see a major recovery in volumes because like I mentioned in this quarter, our volumes in the top 8 cities are 18% down compared to last year. So first, this 18% recovery will happen. Now let me also tell you that we always ran less volume than our competitors. And clearly, that extra headroom that is available to us to bridge the gap with our competitors is also available to us. So we see that there is enough room for expansion in the metro business and the metros are the biggest contributor of radio revenues, and therefore, I see that expanding. I think, like I mentioned earlier, that by August, September of the coming year, which is 6 months from now, when the second season -- when the season again begins, by that time, I think, hopefully, COVID would be behind us, and there would be a lot of revenge advertising that will happen. So I think that we will be running full up on inventory by in the coming season. When the volume recovers, after that, the pricing will recover. So pricing always trails volume recovery in the media business. And let me -- then now give you another interesting statistic, and Sufal can give you the exact real numbers. But in my batch 1 and batch 2 stations of Phase 3, there is huge amount of volume still left. We are operating at maybe 30% or 40% level. So therefore, there is huge room there left for volume expansion. And like I mentioned, the markets over there actually are not so badly affected. So after the next 5 years and the importance of radio over there is so high, I see radio growing very dramatically in all the markets of batch 1 and batch 2. Sufal, what are the exact numbers, please?
Sufal Agrawal
executiveSo batch 1, we are currently at 34% capacity utilization. In batch 2 at 29%. So there is still a lot of scope in the improvement in few, where, on overall basis, we are at 55%.
Prashant Panday
executiveOkay. Siddharth, anything else?
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, sir. Sir, one more question, just a bookkeeping question. Sir, as of September end, our net cash position was roughly INR 240 crores. And this quarter, we had some decent sales as well. But our net cash has gone down to INR 197 crores. So does that mean that we weren't able to convert a lot of our sales into cash this quarter and because of the operating expenses, some of our cash has gone down. What has happened, Subbu sir?
N. Subramanian
executiveSo let me answer the question. As Prashant explained earlier in the call, the sequential growth rate has been very, very strong, right? When you have a strong growth rate, with a typically 90- to 100-day collection cycle, there is also a working capital buildup, right? So that is one part of the reason for the decline in the cash. The other is also something that Prashant explained earlier in the introductory remarks is that the government has not given any concessions. So we had actually pay up all the accumulated license fee. In fact, this is for the entire radio industry, all the accumulated license fee for the first half, all had to be paid in the third quarter. So consequently, the cash position has declined from INR 240 crores to INR 197 crores. So the split between -- on account of the accumulated payables being paid in the current quarter and the increase in receivables, which is on account of the buildup in sales is about INR 30 crores to -- INR 30 crores on account of receivables and other INR 24 crores on account of accumulated payables. And then that is sort of supported by an EBITDA collection of INR 13-odd crores, if you knock out the rental receivable. So that gives you broadly the INR 42 crore number that you are seeing in the cash position.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Sanjesh Jain from ICICI Securities.
Sanjesh Jain
analystFirst, on the programming side in the radio, now that all the labels are covered in the new order, do we plan to change the programming content with a different label, which is now available completely at the same price as others? Do we plan to change any of our radio programming style there?
Prashant Panday
executiveSanjesh, it's really a very good question, and I'll tell you why. Because I mentioned to you that with a couple of labels earlier, we had a separate deal. They were not covered by the 2% order. And the deal structure was such that it encouraged us to play more of their music because the amount was fixed. So invariably, what happened is that we -- in order to save overall royalty costs, we would play more of their music, and therefore, we would play less of the music of the people who were represented by the 2% order. So that will change. And therefore, I do expect that there will be a certain rebalancing which will happen. However, don't forget that these 2 labels are also the ones who are most active in new music. And therefore, there is no reason really for their share to drop dramatically. Maybe if their share was 60%, it may drop to 50%, but I don't see it changing very much beyond that.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Sharad Tripathi from Edelweiss.
Prashant Panday
executiveNo, we can't hear Sharad. We should move on and let Sharad get back in later.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Himanshu Upadhyay from PGIM Mutual Fund.
Himanshu Upadhyay
analystMy first question was on the main business only. We have said in the last quarter, the ad volume growth has been 11.5%, okay? But realizations have gone down. And even this quarter, the ad volume is getting better. But can you just give an idea how -- by when or how do you think or what would be your strategy to take up the realizations up? Because if -- and how much time does it take? Because there has been a pretty dramatic fall in the realizations also. And secondly, even in the last year, at this period of time, we were seeing slowdown in the economy and people were reducing ad spends, okay? But with now recovery being much more stronger, what are the media planners and companies saying? Do we think that overall ad spend will start increasing and will get back to the FY '18,'19, like trend? Just these 2 questions, it would be helpful.
Prashant Panday
executiveAll right. So Himanshu, first, the ER question or the effective rate question. The effective rate has dropped for us by approximately 30% in this quarter. It is sequentially 7% up from the last quarter. It is 30% down from the last year. I mentioned during the call that the pickup will happen towards -- 6 months later towards the August, September season as when the season begins. And also, hopefully, by that time, the COVID thing would have been -- would be even more behind us and the government restriction would be completely lifted on business and on travel. So typically, when the volumes pick up, the next step is for the pricing to pick up. Let me give an example. In the television business, in the second quarter, the pricing was down quite significantly. However, volumes picked up with cricket and with the festive season, and the pricing is now, I'm told, just about 4% or 5% down compared to last year. For some people, it may even be on par with last year. So this is a typical phenomenon that happens, and I would expect no different for radio either. Now I did mention earlier in the call that after the Lehman crisis, the pricing recovery never actually fully happened. And let me explain, in my view, why that was the case. When Lehman happened in 2008, '09, radio stations -- many, many radio stations' Phase 2 had just been launched a year back before that. There was a huge amount of inventory, which was available with radio stations. And therefore, radio stations preferred to fill volume rather than actually chase the previous price. So they let the price remain low because they had 3x, 4x more volume still available at that time. This time, the scenario is very different. This time, in the -- in all the major markets, the volumes were already running very full before the COVID hit. And therefore, when the volumes go back to that level, there isn't much -- too much to -- maybe volumes can grow by another 20% or 25% compared to pre-COVID levels, but it's not like they can go 300% or 400%. And therefore, I believe that this time the price recovery will be faster on -- compared -- maybe in the next 12 months, if we are all lucky and economy does impact -- bounce back like you're mentioning, then we should see the full price getting recovered by the next time when we are speaking at this time. That's the first question. The second question is about whether you see ad spends growing rapidly. See, let's go back to fundamentals. India is an underserved market with respect to advertising. The old number of ad GDP ratio continues to remain very, very low. And I think one of the reasons for that has been that, at least in the last 4 years, since the demonetization phase, the economy has been going up and down. And typically, the last 12 quarters, it's been on a slow slide down. So there's a lot of gap which has got created between what advertising can be and what advertising is. Now I think the government is fairly determined in revising the economy. And I mean, people are generally saying, commending the government on the budget and on their ambition. I mean, I don't see any reason why India should not get back up on the economic growth charts. And if that happens, I don't see any reason why the advertising industry should not start growing as fast as it was growing 5 years back or thereabouts. But when it grows, Himanshu, the composition of the media vehicles we grow will be different. And traditional media will grow slower compared to new media. We have to be very clear about it. And that is the reason why this company is positioning itself to maybe move 50% of itself into the new media in the next 3 or 4 years' time. So by the time the advertising industry starts growing rapidly and segments of that will grow rapidly, we would be well represented in those segments. I hope that answers your question, Himanshu.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Pavneet Singh Keer from Skyline Equity Managers.
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystMy question is regarding the solutions business, the number of clients you were speaking about, roughly in the range of 150, is that right?
Prashant Panday
executive149 we had in the third quarter. In just one part of the business, for our media solutions business.
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystOkay. And would you like to quantify as to what is the broad range of the solutions business? Like the deal size of the highest and the lowest client?
Prashant Panday
executiveWell, I have seen a solution deal which is INR 5 crores burnt in less than a month. I've seen a solutions deal which is INR 3.25 crores burnt in 15 days. And I've seen -- so there are many, many deals, which are in the INR 3 crores to INR 5 crores region. But typically, the deal sizes would be -- would vary between INR 25 lakhs and INR 50 lakhs, or sometimes they are even just INR 10 lakh. So there's a whole spectrum, but there are all sizes.
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystSo, is this like annual deal or you're talking about just the exertion of the quantum of the deal?
Prashant Panday
executiveNo, no, no. These are campaigns. These are typical campaigns that clients run, let's say, if a client wants to run a campaign for Holi. And they start a -- and Holi is on 29th of March, and they run a campaign from 15th March to 29th March. That's a campaign. Now instead of doing radio with us and digital somewhere else and on-ground somewhere else and God knows what somewhere else, we will pitch to them that we will do the whole thing for them. And when different media vehicles work together in tandem on a common strategy, then the results for the client are better. So we take all of that money into our kitty.
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystSo, Prashant, I would not go round in circles. What my specific question is like we have these deal sizes in software companies. We would like -- to like have a flavor of how do we quantify the number of clients to such an extent that they over a period of, say, 4, 5, 6, 7 years, they keep on building upon the deals with you and they are formidable enough for the basic benchmarking of the particular segment of your business?
Prashant Panday
executiveI understand where you're coming from on this. I don't think we have looked at it -- Subbu, any insight into this, any comments on this? Like developing a template for...
N. Subramanian
executiveBut a lot of it is customized, Pavneet. So these are all bespoke solutions in the solutions business. So it's not a standard solution like radio that we do or some of the IT companies do. Going back to your earlier question on the 149 clients that Prashant gave you was on media solutions. But if you look at all our solutions business, that number was about 177 during the quarter. So -- but what we are seeing is more and more clients liking our solutions business, and that number is increasing year after year. And hopefully, the ticket size today is not as high as what we would want it to be. But over a period of time, we see that increasing, and we also see a lot more clients repeating what they are doing with us because it's campaign-specific, right? So it will never be the same solution.
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystSo like we can never ever have a specific list of customers, those who are going to sustain in this particular media solutions category for the eternal period. Like let us talk about, say, FMCG companies, say Dabur. And if they want to like use your campaign for promoting a particular kind of ayurvedic recipe or whatsoever. So if they have to do that campaign over a period of, say, 2 months, it is not necessary that they would like to keep running that campaign once it is successful and they would like to relaunch it in like -- to reinvigorate their launch. So it is not like...
N. Subramanian
executiveit is campaign-specific. Prashant, you may want to take that. Because if Dabur is doing a overall broader campaign, then this will come in, yes. Prashant?
Prashant Panday
executiveSo because Pavneet, you took the name of Dabur, so I'll just take the example of Dabur myself. So Dabur, as an example, is associated with our YouTube show and also -- which runs on radio called What Women Want, right, the Kareena Kapoor show, right? So Dabur -- we are in our third season, and Dabur has been with us in all the 3 seasons. And it's a repeat customer, very happy with the association. And they do -- this period -- this show runs for typically about 2 months, and they associate with us for this campaign for 2 months on one of their product categories. But they have 20 brands, and 20 brands have 20 different challenges, and we want to get all 20 brands, but we have so far got basically only 2 or 3 brands. So there's a big room left to expand over there with Dabur itself. Now the way I would advise you to do the modeling is not at a client level, actually in advertising, even in my company internally, we never build our plans on a client-by-client basis. Because often clients cut on advertising, often they suddenly shoot up on advertising, so it's impossible to do that. So what we do is we do it broadly at a category-by-category level and then at an aggregate level. And I would advise you to do the same thing. So like I mentioned, that there were 109 clients in the media solutions business last year. In this quarter, there are 149. I also mentioned, I don't see any reason why this can't go to 500 and 1,000 in the months and years to come. So I would request you to build a model on those lines, which says that the number of clients will keep increasing, and at the same time, the revenue profile will also keep increasing. So what is INR 17 crores last year became INR 21 crores this year and then will keep rising. I think the important number to focus on would be the share of solutions in the total revenue of the company. By and large, that's in the region of 1/3, 33% last year. We have stated this publicly that we expect it to go beyond 50% in the couple -- in the next 3 years or so. So I would advise you to use that kind of a template rather than a client-by-client level template.
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystCan I squeeze in one just small question?
Prashant Panday
executiveSure, Pavneet.
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystYes. What exactly you specified about like this FMCG company, my question still stands there that why don't we like increase the outlay for hiring such people, those who can market our product in such a manner that the immediate [indiscernible] in the business comes in? Because it's already been too late. We are almost like breaking down on all the parameters for the past 3, 4 years since the demonetization thing happened. Now why don't we hire such people, those who are so efficiently positioned in the market, those who have like high regard? And the client definitely would like to hear what that person -- marketing officer has to say.
Prashant Panday
executivePavneet, a small correction. Actually, my solutions business has been growing quite rapidly in the last few years. We often forget, but we have had nearly INR 200 crores of solutions business last year, which was the 35% kind of a number that I mentioned to you. And all the people that we hire are basically people with marketing background, people who understand marketing and brand requirements and brand solutions, right? In fact, we have now rebranded our team as a solutions team. So we don't call them salespeople, we call them solutions people. My earlier Sales Head is now for Solutions Director. So basically, the whole orientation of the team has been changing, and now all of them actually come with a -- wear a solutions hat. So I don't think that we have any shortage of such people. You have to understand that what is a real challenge for us. The real challenge is that many advertisers still see us as a radio company, right? Because then you say, hey, I'm here for Mirchi and that's our Radio Mirchi. So we are beyond radio. I said, [Foreign Language], who are you, you're not television. you're not print, you're not TVF, you're not Wizcraft. No, no, we are not any of that, but we are actually the guys who can develop a solution for your marketing problem and execute it also. So is there any benchmark like that? No, no, no. Try it out once. There's nobody else who can do who does this work that we do. So that process takes time. It's mostly a concept-selling challenge more than anything else. That's why the repeats are high. But -- and that's why the number of 109 to 149 is exciting because...
Pavneet Singh Keer
analystPrashant, actually my question is not invalidated because, see, on one side, when you say that you have a customer who is almost like paying you INR 5 crores for a campaign, be it a 90-day campaign or a 1-month campaign. It doesn't matter to me as far as I'm an investor because what I'm saying is that why can't we have multi-divisional like sources of such clients, those who keep on pumping in such huge deals with you and are able to strike such big deals with you. The kind of...
Prashant Panday
executiveI'm so happy, Pavneet, that you're pushing us so hard on this direction because that's what our attempt is. And at some -- it's not easy because of a fundamental issue, but then looking at us as a radio company and us breaking that wall down. But once that wall breaks down, then the client comes repeat and the client comes with bigger budgets. So I see that flood happening in the future. But at this point in time, there are a handful of clients who have come to that stage and many others are trying us for the first time.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Sidhant Mattha from B&K Securities.
Sidhant Mattha
analystI'm audible?
Prashant Panday
executiveYes.
Sidhant Mattha
analystSir, just wanted to know because you've seen around INR 110 crores of cost in the third quarter, in the 9 months FY '21, how much of this cost is sustainable? Just wanted to, for modeling.
Prashant Panday
executiveSubbu, you want to take that? Or should I? Subbu? Okay. Sidhant, let me just take that while Subbu is out there. So like I mentioned, a lot of the attempt is very simple. We have cut down this cost looking at the value that the cost was generating. Now there are many things that we have deferred, we can live without, right? So many of these costs, like I'll give you an example. I'll give you a simple example. As many as 40 of our radio stations, we are now shutting in the night at 12:00, and they come back alive at 6:00. So earlier, we were -- we thought this was taboo because we have to be a 24-hour station. Today, for the last 6, 8 months now, we have been shutting off at 12:00 and opening at 6:00 a.m. There is no problem technologically. We can remotely shut off, remotely switch on, save a lot of electricity. We save an extra shift on security or maintenance. So a lot of the costs get saved, and it really affects nothing at all in terms of listenership or revenue or client perception. So no problem. Then there are a lot of -- like I mentioned to you earlier, we were doing a lot more of on-ground. And today and in the future, when we do solutions, we will keep the -- relatively the on-ground component lesser. So that means that I need lesser people in my execution team, lesser people in my overall -- in my on-ground or IP solutions team. So again, that headcount, I will not add back in the full strength. But I will add back this strength in my solutions team to -- which are the brewery team, which design solutions, I will add back people in my digital team because that business is growing rapidly. And I will cut back on the radio team because I can run radio far more efficiently than I'm doing -- even today, I can do far better with even lesser people. So people cost, I expect we will keep a tight lid on it. People costs have gone up to about 25%, 27% of revenues before COVID. I think we will be operating at -- our target is to operate at 21%, 22% in the next 3 to 4 years' time. So on people cost, I don't see that growing very much. And likewise, on office rental, we have reduced 1/3 office space in Delhi, 1/3 office space in Mumbai. We are looking at reducing office space in Bangalore. We have shifted, at least, I think, about a dozen offices from bigger premises to smaller premises because, again, big office spaces don't add value. So we have cut that out. We see savings in rental happening. Again, our office designs are such that we save on electricity. So many, many, many, things. If you go housekeeping, security. We provide security guards with guns. But come on, any terrorist comes, these guns are useless. I mean, this is just a show that we put up, right? So we are now looking at the whole thing and saying, is there a better way to get security. Better security at lesser cost. So there are solutions available there as well. So there are many, many things that are there. So to answer your question, out of INR 110 crores, how much do I see coming -- adding back? I would think that approximately less than 50% would be added back. Subbu, anything that you want to add?
N. Subramanian
executiveLet me give you a breakdown of the total cost of last year. Approximately INR 450 crores was our total operating expenses, right? Out of that INR 270 crores was the overhead component. The balance INR 180 crores was license fee, royalty and the DVC that we incur for all our solutions business. The second and the third item is essentially a function of the activity level. The DVCs will go up when the solution business goes up, right? And the license fee and the royalty is also in a sense semi-variable. So the number that we have to look at closely is the other operating expenses. That number was INR 270 crores last year. This year, we will be at least about INR 80 crores, INR 85 crores down by the time we post our full year numbers. So that's INR 85 crores saving in the current year. To specifically answer your question about what would this number of INR 85 crores be next year. As Prashant said, 50% of it, we would be able to save. So we will be able to save at least INR 45 crores next year. Sidhant, does that answer your question?
Sidhant Mattha
analystYes, yes, yes. That answers. And the second question I had was basically, the fourth quarter last year was a low base effect because there were no ground events in March and also. Do you expect a flattish top line growth or flattish top line in the fourth quarter? Specifically, on...
Prashant Panday
executiveSorry, even in the fourth quarter this year, on-ground and all that is going to be very limited. So the fourth quarter will continue to remain muted. And I would say there would be a fairly -- a high double-digit degrowth, as I see it. But from April onwards, assuming that the...
Sidhant Mattha
analyst[indiscernible] goes down and as the -- no, I just wanted to basically just want to know specifically for radio because solution business, the mix has changed because on-ground events are less in media, and other events are more.
Prashant Panday
executiveOkay. So sorry, what's your question Sidhant?
Sidhant Mattha
analystWe've seen a 12% volume in January, February, March also. So just wanted to know whether the -- because we are in pressure. So the total top line for radio will that match the fourth quarter number?
Prashant Panday
executiveNo, I don't see the radio line coming up to the level of last year fourth quarter. Because like I mentioned earlier in the call, the impact on retail establishment is still very substantial. So radio will see a substantial degrowth in the fourth quarter compared to last year.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of C. Thacker from ASK Investment Managers.
Chetan Thacker
analystSir, the question is on the radio side. The amount of money that we've invested. And given the changed circumstances now, what is the kind of IRR that one should expect from that business given the remainder license fee?
Prashant Panday
executiveSubbu, do you want to take that? Or should I turn to answer it? Okay, before Subbu comes in and adds, see conceptually, we did a review of all the stations recently. And we believe that the IRR that we had planned at the time of the bidding took a beating because in the immediacy of the launch, the slowdown happened and then the RERA and GST and demonetization and now the pandemic. So unfortunately, a lot of the bad periods of -- or rather the negative growth periods, which we had factored in happening at regular intervals in a 15-year license period all got front-loaded. So at least in the beginning, the IRR -- the planned IRRs have taken a dip. But remember that the strategy is different now. And remember also, I mentioned that I do expect that the economy will recover and the business will therefore follow suit. So when we did our review recently, we still believe that we should be able to recover from this point on, but the IRRs that we planned at 15%, 16% may not happen uniformly across the network, but will probably dip a few percentage points. Subbu, you want to add to that?
Sufal Agrawal
executivePrashant, Subbu has moved out. So I think you're right, it will not be at the same level of 15%, 16%. We will see a dip. We should see a recovery to the tune of 10% to 12% IRR.
Prashant Panday
executiveOkay. So that was...
Chetan Thacker
analystYes because the amount of money that we put into the, I think the market value today is probably almost about dead. So that is an amount that can be recovered, then aptly so that should get reflected at some point, plus your digital will add to that. So, I just wanted to get a sense on what is the IRR that you are still factoring in even with what we've seen.
Prashant Panday
executiveYes. So basically, what Sufal said is about the radio business, and you rightly identified that with the solutions business growing rapidly and solutions and digital being operated at station level and in a way, all of that will improve the overall return -- return on equity at the company. Specifically, in the radio business, the IRR, unfortunately, will be lesser than what we had budgeted for at the time being.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Dhruvesh Sanghvi from Prospero Tree.
Dhruvesh Sanghvi
analystI just wanted to delve a little bit deeper on the digital side. On the radio side, for example, there are a set of radio players. But when they come to digital, what happens is that anybody with a single laptop is also competing with you in one or the other form. So how do we grow there and maintain consistency? Or what will be the right to win in that business?
Prashant Panday
executiveYes. Dhruvesh, good question, and it's something that we have thought about through and through. Very, very clear in our mind about how we approach this business. We are not competing with anybody. We do not compete with TVF when it comes to original content. We do not compete with Wizcraft when it comes to events. We do not compete with anybody. Because what we give is a solution which comprises multiple different media. So the guy who operates on a single computer and creates either a social media account or content cannot do on-ground at the same time and also print and also some podcast. He cannot do all of that. Nor can Wizcraft do enough of the other stuff, nor anybody else can do. But we are -- we find solutions which basically comprise -- so to answer the question, we will be a generalist, while the others are more vertical. We will work with them. We will avail of the service of this single-computer operator, we will enlist him as a vendor for us in providing solutions to a client. So that's one part of the answer. The second part of the answer is that remember, we will do it at a city-centric level. Now think about it like this, if I have to do this activity in Ahmedabad, I have my digital presence in Ahmedabad. I have my influencers in Ahmedabad, I have my radio station in Ahmedabad. I have my event skills in Ahmedabad. So I can do stuff in Ahmedabad which nobody else can do. That's the strength that we bring to the table. We do not compete with these service providers, we enlist them.
Dhruvesh Sanghvi
analystRight. Right. I mean, I get it, and that was wonderful. And one more -- I mean, though this is -- I would love to have a bigger, longer discussion, but you do the time. One ancillary to this is that suppose if we -- I mean, I understand we are looking at multichannel pitch that, okay, you can join us as a customer across -- and we can provide solution across all form of media spend that you can bring. But are we not losing out on the digital opportunity in itself? I mean, let's say, where is the analytics piece? Where is the tech piece? And we are not there in most of those. I mean, we are trying to create our real estate.
Prashant Panday
executiveYes, Dhruvesh, let me interrupt you. I fully understand what you're saying. Basically, what you're talking is that why are we not a platform owner. And why don't we have customers directly which you can analyze, get profiles of and sell to advertisers on a programmatic buying kind of mode. I get that. Now first and foremost, I think there are very well-established players already in the market, including in my own group. So there is an MX Player. There's a Gaana. There's a Indiatimes, and then there are a dozen or 2 dozen or 5 dozen other players already in the market who are doing that. So I'm not in that piece at all. However, on the podcast side, there are very few players, and we are looking at podcast as a platform going forward. If we do something, we will do on the podcast side. And there, we will start owning customers, and we will get all the information about customers, and we'll be able to use that to basically sell digital inventory directly to advertisers. We will be able to do that -- on the -- hopefully on the podcast side. And then -- and obviously, on the web itself, we are now getting into building a stronger presence on the web, which again, will be our own platform. And our target is to hit 25 million users in the next 2 or 3 years' time. It's not easy to do. And therefore, I didn't talk about it, but -- well, that's a goal. And if you could do 25 million, if you had 25 million users today, we would be making INR 30 crore, INR 40 crores. But we don't have 25 million users today, but hopefully, we'll get to 25 million users in the future. But it's relatively a smaller part of the game. But the podcast is a bigger piece of the game. And the rest of it all, as I mentioned to you, is content. So we do see us as a platform owner, we see ourselves as content creators and solutions provider. That's the difference in the -- in our vision from what you're referring to.
Operator
operatorDue to time constraints, that was the last question. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Panday for closing comments.
Prashant Panday
executiveOkay. Thank you, dear investors. And like I said at the beginning, I really wanted to engage and interact and explain the model. And if there are any more questions, we will be very, very, very happy to sit one-on-one with you. So kindly do reach out to Sufal, and we will set up meetings at a time convenient to you. Thank you very much, and thank you very much, Aisha, for moderating this.
Operator
operatorThank you. On behalf of Entertainment Network (India) Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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