Falabella S.A. (FALABELLA.SN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 27, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Falabella conference call. My name is Carmen, and I will be your coordinator for today. [Operator Instructions] In the first part, Mr. Juan-Luis Carrasco, Head of Investor Relations, will present a summary of the consolidated for the fourth quarter of 2019. Following this, Gaston Bottazzini, CEO, will present a strategic update of the company, and we will then open a question-and-answer session where Mr. Gaston Bottazzini; and Mr. Alejandro González, CFO, will be available to answer your questions. [Operator Instructions] Now we'll start the conference with Mr. Juan-Luis Carrasco.
Juan-Luis Carrasco
executiveThank you, Carmen. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Falabella's Fourth Quarter 2019 Earnings Call. Joining me today are Gaston Bottazzini, Falabella's Chief Executive Officer; and Alejandro González, Falabella's Chief Financial Officer, along with the rest of the Investor Relations team. I will start the call by going over the key financial highlights of the period. Afterwards, Gaston will share key strategic remarks before opening up the line for questions. I would like to remind you that since January 2019, we began implementing IFRS 16. 2018 figures were not restated, therefore, they're not comparable. To support the analysis, we have included pro forma figures for the consolidated business and by segment at the end of the presentation. Moving over to Slide 3. I would like to highlight our strategic priorities as we continue advancing in transforming Falabella into a digital and physical ecosystem. These are: differentiate our value proposition, scale up logistics, financing and payments, data analytics and business intelligence, technology platform development. Let's turn to Slide 4. We are pleased with the continuous growth on our online channels, which represent 23% of our department store sales, 4% of home improvement and almost 2% of Tottus. Total net merchandise value increased by 28% year-over-year, reaching $399 million (sic) [ $398 million ] over the last quarter. On our financial division, online financial products sales reached $371 million, a 28% (sic) [ 29% ] increase over the last year. During the quarter, we continued growing Linio where NMV grew 83% driven by growth in Peru, Chile and Colombia. Let us turn to Slide 8 to go over the key financial highlights of the period. Consolidated revenue increased by 1.6%, reaching $3.5 billion this quarter. Gross profit decreased 4.7%, totaling $1.2 billion. And operating income contracted 32.8% year-over-year and 37.4% when adjusted by IFRS. Moving on to Slide 11. Here, we take a closer look to our operating income. Operating income for the quarter reached $236 million affected negatively by IAS 29 by $33 million. This was partially offset by a positive impact of $16 million related to IFRS 16. Linio affected the results negatively by $16 million (sic) [ 14 million ]. Moving on to Slide 12. Here, we present our financial leverage ratios. As of December 31, 2019, our net debt-to-EBITDA was 3.48x with a debt duration of 4.9 years. Now I will turn over the call to Gaston. Afterwards, we will open up the line for questions.
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveThank you, Juan-Luis. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. During 2019, we faced a challenging consumption environment in Chile, which put pressure on sales and margins across all our retail formats. As a result of this, we increased markdowns, which had an impact on our margins and, on the other hand, also executed a less aggressive purchasing program, which allowed us to close the year with healthier inventory levels. At the same time, we adapted to this environment by improving our efficiency, both at the management and store level. Toward the end of the year, the events in Chile after October 18 led to the disruption in our retail operations also across all formats. Although we reacted quickly, effectively mitigating damages, the impact on sales and property was considerable. We took safety measures focused on improving our store safety as well as improving protocols to speed up store closings as well as openings. Throughout October and November, our priority was to ensure the safety of our customers and our teams. Losses on property and inventory are completely reflected in our financial statements as well as partial recoveries from insurance claims. As of today, 6 of our 205 stores in Chile remain closed. We continue to closely monitor events in Chile going forward. Outside Chile, we remain focused on expanding, particularly in markets and formats where we see opportunities for growth. In Mexico, we continue committed to expand our footprint with our comprehensive home improvement proposal. Today, we have 6 stores and plan to open 3 to 6 stores yearly in that country. Peru is our core market for growth in the grocery business. We continue expanding our per Hiperbodega format, along with our Tottus format, targeting to add 30 more stores by 2023 on top of our existing 78 stores. We continue advancing to deploy IKEA across Chile, Colombia and Peru and look forward to the first 2 openings in 2021. In Brazil, we remain focused on improving performance for our existing operation. As we continue to see positive developments, we will increase our pace of store openings in that country. Finally, in Colombia, our financial and retail businesses continue to benefit from positive trends. In addition to physical expansion, we continue to make progress in the execution of our digital strategy. We continue working to be closer to our customers every day and serve them better. We are seeing our customers responding positively to these commercial proposals. For example, in Linio, we continued increasing our product assortments as well as bringing in more sellers over time, boosting online traffic by 104% over the year. Click and collect or pick up in store is today our most valuable functionality by online customers through the surveys we run with them. It represents over 60% of our falabella.com orders. We currently have developed 135 cross-format pickup points, which allows customers to pick products from any one of our formats in any one of the stores we operate. And as an example of the impact of this initiative, 22% of customers that pick up products in Tottus make purchases in that grocery store. We have had a very positive Cyber Monday event at the beginning of October with a relevant participation of falabella.com and Linio, which saw 37% of sales conducted through smartphones. Our CMR credit card also continued to be the preferred payment method in that channel, accounting for 70% of sales during the Cyber Monday event. In sum, total NMW (sic) [ NMV ] for our online business reached $1.2 billion in 2019, while online sales of our retailers grew 22% that year. Our financial business continues to expand, particularly leveraging online channels. Online origination of financial products for both CMR and Falabella -- and Banco Falabella, grew 29%, reaching $1.3 billion during 2019. Also, our customers have responded favorably to the 100% onboarding process we have launched during the year. And as of today, 12% of the new openings during 2019 were made 100% online. We look forward to continue expanding our financial services proposal with the upcoming launch of Fpay. Fpay will be our digital wallet aimed to provide a simple, safe and easy-to-use payment method. It will allow our customers to consolidate all of their payment methods, including payment methods from third parties, into one app, allowing them to make online and physical payments while also performing person-to-person money transfers. Fpay will allow us to expand functionalities to our existing customers but will also allow us to attract new customers, particularly nonbank customers, by offering them a free account to make cash transfers and payments. The addition of a digital wallet to our ecosystem will allow us also to increase contact ability with our customers while increasing conversion rates and bring -- in the operational expenses of our physical retailers. In summary, in spite of a challenging 2019, our business fundamentals remain strong, generating $1.5 billion of EBITDA, along with $1.7 billion of consolidated operating cash flow, providing a strong resource generation to fund our organic growth and business building capability plan. As our plan dictates, we will continue improving our IT infrastructure and digital capabilities. However, we expect softer pressure on our margins going forward, considering that most of the key logistics-related spending is completed, and these investments will generate efficiency and enable growth, both of our e-commerce and digital banking, going forward. Thank you very much, and we will open to Q&A.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] First question is from Antonio Hernández with Barclays.
Antonio Hernández Vélez Leija
analystI have 2 questions. The first one is regarding Chile. You -- and of course, it was weaker as expected during the quarter. But could you give more light on how has performance recovered since then? And of course, while -- the trend, while it has been sequentially improving, at least, most of the year, but could you give you more light on your expectations for this country throughout not only this quarter but throughout 2020? And my second question would be regarding revenues in Peru and Colombia. They were strong. And I wanted to know if you can give more breakdown -- and you gave some breakdown in the press release, but could you provide more color on how sustaining is this performance?
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveI'm sorry, Antonio, but you came through very softly, and I couldn't completely grab the question.
Antonio Hernández Vélez Leija
analystSure. The first one is on Chile -- can you hear me there?
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveSo I'm sorry, the question is about margins in Chile or overall sales in Chile or both?
Antonio Hernández Vélez Leija
analystYes, overall performance in Chile, which, of course, have improved sequentially, what -- how do you see performance in this country for the whole year versus last year? And second question would be revenues in Peru and Colombia. They were strong. While you already provided a breakdown in the press release, could you give more color on how sustaining this performance is?
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveOkay. So in Chile, the -- what we saw, of course, during the last quarter, has a strong impact of the October 18 incidents and thereafter. And what we saw in -- the performance that you see overall in the quarter really has 2 impacts. One is this impact from the crisis, and the other one is that the Christmas season was actually better than we expected in terms of sales, which gives you an overall performance that is lower obviously than the previous year but overall better than we expected. As we move into January and February, what we see is that overall sales performance are relatively flat with an improvement in margins. And this is a result of basically what I commented in the initial remarks that we have been more conservative in our purchasing programs, particularly during the last part of last year. And therefore, even though we have flat or even slightly lower same-store sales -- and this is also a result of these 5 stores that are not -- that are closed right now as a result of what happened after October 18, basically represent about 2% of the sales depending on the format, and that has an impact on same-store sales this year. So it's relatively lower or flat same-store sales depending on the format with better margins. Regarding Colombia, I would say is that the performance that you see, particularly in department stores but overall in all of retail, has to do, in my opinion, mostly with the commercial activity and the commercial aggressiveness of the team in Colombia, which allowed our operation there to outperform the market. What we see going into this year is continued healthy performance, not significantly improved from previous year. And you also asked about Peru, in Peru, I'd say last year, overall, in spite of uncertainty at the political level, overall economic performance was -- and retail performance was good for us. It's softened a bit towards the end of the year and beginning of this year.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Andrew Ruben with Morgan Stanley.
Andrew Ruben
analystI was wondering if you could provide some more detail on sales by format. In Chile, we were a little surprised to see, really, the resilience of department stores but then underperformance, though, of supermarkets and, to a lesser extent, home improvement. Just any color you could provide on the 3 formats would be very helpful.
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveSo I think on department stores, what you see as resilience is a result of the comment I made. The reality is that all of our -- or most of our department stores are within malls, and they were less affected in terms of property damage from the crisis. And therefore, all of our department stores are in operation today versus what we had in September. And what we had is really an impact during the crisis and then somewhat compensated by a better-than-expected Christmas. In the case of supermarkets, probably the opposite is true. In December, we had 12 of our supermarkets not operating. And during December, we put many of them in operation. Today, we have 3 that are not operating. So what you see during the last quarter is not only the impact of the crisis itself but also the impact of having several stores closed almost until the end of the year. As we go into this year, we see closer same-store sales than to prior year, but the impact of those 3 or so stores is still visible in our same-store sales -- not in our same-store sales, I'm sorry, in our overall sales. In the case of home improvement, the sales again has a similar story, maybe not as severe but a similar story, to supermarkets in the sense that we had several stores closed right after October, and we gradually put stores in operation. Today, we have almost all stores operating in Sodimac except for to Sodimac stores and one Imperial store that are not operating. And therefore, overall sales are closer to last year.
Andrew Ruben
analystGot it. Okay. That's very helpful. And just a quick follow-up on margins here. The color on logistics is interesting. I guess I'm just curious, I think you had mentioned promotional activity at the end of the quarter. Just wondering what segment that was in and if it was more temporary or if that's a negative impact to margins that we should think persisting into 2020.
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveIn terms of promotional activity, overall, 2019 was an exceptionally highly promotional year as a result of, I'd say, consumption dynamics that were lower than expected, which means that we had higher inventories than we have demand. As we finish 2019, we finished the year with much healthier inventory levels. And already today, we are seeing much more normal promotional activity. What we mean by normal is that we still have, of course, promotional activity which is part of the dynamics of the business, but it's in line with the progression of the different collections and seasons rather than strong sales that, in part, also delay or cast a shadow over the new season that's coming in. Today, we are much more in line with what you would expect is a clean store with a new season and not remains of the prior collection still being in sale at the store. And we expect 2020 overall will be more like what we are seeing today.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Nicolas Larrain with JPMorgan.
Nicolas Larrain
analystI had a couple here. I wanted to ask you in terms of the online, I wanted to understand better your efforts in click and collect, understand, in average, what's the delivery time for click and collect. And I know that you normally ship from the DC, but I wanted to understand better how much normally ships from store or -- and versus the distribution center. Also, thinking about the coronavirus outbreak and the comments the companies have made in terms of supply chain, I was wondering if you have seen any effect of this into your inventories, if we should expect some issues if this prolongs. I just wanted to get your color on that.
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveYes. Thank you. So in terms of click and collect, click and collect delivery is generally 24 to 48 hours, depending on the product. The way we distribute and the way we combine distribution centers and stores is different by format because of the type of products. So in general, if we had to describe that for the 3 different formats, department stores have a tendency to distribute a lot more from the distribution center, and distribution directly from their store is more exceptional for -- just for certain items. In grocery, we're moving almost 100% through a combination of either dark stores or distribution centers. We are operating dark stores, both in Chile and in Peru, that do both the next day and what we are launching going forward, which is the express delivery distribution. In the case of home improvement, particularly because of the size of the product and our own distribution system, we do a lot more store distributions. Stores in home improvement, number one, hold more inventory. And number two, because a good proportion of the product shipped to customers are bulky products, we ship them directly from the store. There are some categories where we are moving to a more combined distribution, for example, white goods, where what we are doing is using the distribution system -- a single distribution system for all formats. So white goods are being distributed from our distribution centers and transfer centers directly regardless of what format they are being sold to. That would be the overall description of our -- how we're being set up today. And you had another question about the ramp-up of distribution centers and logistics investments. This is quite different by country. And Chile probably is the country where we're more advanced in these investments and actually because of our relative size where these investments are larger and more complex. I would say, last year, we had the impact of the ramp-up of our new department store distribution center as well as the automation of the Sodimac distribution center. If you recall, we launched the department store distribution center in November 2018. But basically, during the first 3 to 4 months of 2019, we were in ramp-up mode, and we had several instances or impacts of this process of ramp-up and integration of systems, et cetera, in terms of our ability to supply the stores in a timely manner with all of the items and supply our customers in a timely manner. That process was completed toward the second half of the year. As we move forward, we will see a similar process in Peru next year. Because of the size, it's actually a much simpler process and also because of the learnings we had in Chile. And we are just now planning investments for Colombia. So that will not happen until at least for probably 18 months to 2 years from now.
Nicolas Larrain
analystAnd regarding your -- the outbreak of coronavirus. Do you foresee any supply chain issues for your department stores or inventory that you normally source or produce from Asia?
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveYes. So we are working very closely with our suppliers. Most of the factories that we work with are not in the critical areas affected by coronavirus. But today, factories in China need government approval to restart operation, and this is a process that is different depending on each one of the factories. So we are monitoring that very closely. Today, we have -- we are quite comfortable with the rhythm at which we are getting the shipments. And I would say, all the way to the end of May, we are -- we don't have significant impact on our supplies. But we are monitoring this, and we may have some impact from June going forward. The good news about that is that our Mother's Day high season is during May, but we could have some impact in June. Still uncertain, we still don't have a concrete problem, but it's something we are working very closely with, with each one of the factories.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Alonso Aramburú with BTG.
Alonso Aramburú
analystI have 2 questions. First, in the case of Brazil, we saw a big gross margin contraction, I was wondering if you can give us some color as to what exactly happened there. And second, in terms of Banco Falabella in Chile, there was also a spike in provisions in the fourth quarter. I'm just wondering what your expectations are for this year in terms of loan growth and provisions in Chile.
Gaston Bottazzini
executiveThank you, Alonso. So in terms of Brazil gross margin, what you see in the last quarter is a bit of an artificial -- not artificial but an accounting impact in the sense that, if you recall, Brazil was the result of an acquisition, and what we did at the end of 2019 is we changed some of the provisions for -- basically, provisions for inventories, which had an impact on margin. Basically, the way we change those provisions is that you recognize the margin actually when the obsolete inventory is sold and not have a provision that accounts for when the time that those inventories will be sold. So that provides a higher incentive for the team to maximize the result of that liquidation of inventories. So that's basically the impact you see in gross margins in Brazil. Overall, margins in Brazil were actually stable during the last quarter with an improvement in sales mostly as a result of the -- a better dynamic, consumer dynamic, in Brazil on one hand but also our conversion of the Dicico stores to Sodimac Dicico stores with an expanded assortment and a better value proposition to the customer. In terms of provisions in Chile, basically, what you see during the third quarter in Banco Falabella is the impact of increased default rate as a result of people not being able to pay or not being able to get closer to our stores during the crisis in October and November. What we see is we had a -- there's always a question mark about which direction that's going to move going forward. What we are seeing today is it's basically stabilizing. So we have some losses as a result of that incident. We are not seeing further deterioration of our provisions so far.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Joe Kogan with Scotiabank.
Joe Kogan
analystI was wondering if you could comment on the long-term impacts of the social protests and the constitutional changes that are going on in Chile. I mean on one hand, you have negative effects stemming from the fact that people are asking for all kinds of labor reforms, more pension benefits, higher wages and so forth. And I imagine that could impact your costs. On the other hand, people are asking for more disposable income. And I wonder if that will lead to more consumption, more spending growth in your stores.
Alejandro Dale
executiveThank you for your question. This is Alejandro. It's hard to see what the final outcome of this will be. But as you mentioned, this is going to -- the situation that we're going to be seeing for the next 1.5 years, 2 years, is a mix of, on one hand, something that should be negative. I don't know if you're aware, but last Monday was -- approved the new law, the new tax reform that we have that basically has some cost impact. On one hand, on the negative side, we have the increase in land tax that we're still revising what the final income -- because there are some, I would say, bylaws that need to be approved in the way it's going to be implemented. But on the other hand, you have 50% instant depreciation on investments from November last year. So on that hand, you can have a positive impact. But bottom line, there's going to be -- if you see the -- I would say, the different reforms that the government is trying to promote are basically to increase the social -- or say spending, in a way of saying. And as you clearly mentioned, and we agree with you, there's going to be an increase in disposable income. When you have an increase in not only in minimum wage but also in something that is called minimum income, which part will be funded or paid by the employer and part is going to be a subsidy, that's going to have an impact in disposable income. Now what the final outcome of this will be, as I said before, not clear. But in the past, if we see what has happened in other situations, like the earthquake that we had in 2010, that has had a positive net impact in consumption -- there's possibly -- especially in, I would say, retail consumption. We're talking about amounts of money that could go from $100 to $200 for a household. And that's not a sizable amount of money that should, in the past, go for -- I would say, to buy house or something, that should -- usually go to increase the quality of living of different people. And the most, I would say, emerging sectors of the population should have more money to spend on this. So it's a -- I know it's not a solid, clear answer but the outcome that we will see in the next couple of years. And you also mentioned the constitution. Well, probably given the political forces that we have today, we shouldn't expect something very dramatic, neither to the right-wing parties or the left-wing parties, should have enough political power to come out with a drastic constitution. So it should come -- and this is basically what most analysts are basically saying, it should come out with something relatively neutral. So in the U.S., in the, I would say, mid to long term, we see this net-net, assuming what we've seen from experience in the past, as a positive thing for retail consumption. And certainly, Falabella, given the main player, given all the formats that we have, not only department store, home improvement and supermarket but also the online business that we have, we should get our share of that.
Joe Kogan
analystAnd maybe you could comment also on any of the negative implications. So maybe just give us a sense of how many -- what portion of your employees would be earning minimum wage, would be the ones where your costs could go up the most? How large do you expect the increases in cost could be? I know we don't know what the reforms are yet, but any kind of comments around where that's going?
Alejandro Dale
executiveI mean as you mentioned, the -- where this will go, it's uncertain. But what I can tell you is to make sure that at least you and everyone else in the call can take out the doubt, everyone here in the company is over the minimum wage, and there's a safety margin in which we feel comfortable that the impact, at least of that, should not be at all material. We still don't know where it can end. So in the meantime, the increase of CLP 250,000 to CLP 350,000 per month is yet to be determined what -- but in the meantime, a 10% increase in the minimum wage is not something that should have an impact on Falabella in Chile. And -- but that's, I would say, the most relevant part in terms of the negatives and the most tangible thing that has been discussed in Congress today. There are some other things related to hours of operation, but that's really unclear so far. So the only clear thing so far is the minimum wage and the minimum income which, don't forget, that it includes a part of a subsidy which should be paid by the government.
Operator
operatorAnd there is no additional questions in the queue. I would like to turn it back to management for closing remarks.
Juan-Luis Carrasco
executiveWe would like to thank everyone for joining us on Falabella's Fourth Quarter 2019 Earnings Call. Our Investor Relations team will remain available for any follow-up questions you may have. Thank you, and have a nice day.
Operator
operatorThank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.
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