Federal Realty Investment Trust ($FRT)
Earnings Call Transcript · May 1, 2026
Highlights from the call
In the first quarter of 2026, Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) reported strong financial results, with FFO per share of $1.88, reflecting a 10.6% increase year-over-year and exceeding guidance by $0.06. Revenue growth was driven by record leasing activity, with 649,000 square feet leased at a 13% cash rollover. Management raised guidance for core FFO to a range of $7.46 to $7.55 per share, indicating a robust outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year, supported by strong demand in high-quality real estate markets.
Main topics
- Record Leasing Activity: FRT achieved record leasing with over 100 leases and 649,000 square feet leased, resulting in a 13% cash rollover and 23% on a straight-line basis. Donald Wood stated, 'This was more volume than we've ever leased in any first quarter.'
- Increased Guidance: Management raised guidance for core FFO to $7.46 to $7.55 per share, reflecting a 6.3% growth compared to 2025. Daniel Guglielmone noted, 'Our improved guidance reflects stronger-than-expected contribution from the $750 million of dominant high-quality properties acquired in 2025.'
- Strong Portfolio Performance: The overall portfolio was 96.1% leased and 93.8% occupied, with occupancy expected to improve to the mid- to upper 94% range by year-end. Wendy Seher highlighted, 'Every key operating metric delivered continuing the momentum from prior quarters.'
- Capital Recycling Strategy: FRT closed on $159 million in asset sales at a blended cap rate well inside 5% and acquired Congressional North Shopping Center for $72 million at a 7% stabilized yield. Wood emphasized, 'Opportunities for additional accretive acquisitions net of dispositions continue to be a laser-like focus of this team.'
- Impact of K-Shaped Economy: Management discussed the effects of the K-shaped economy, noting that they are benefiting from affluent demographics. Wood stated, 'We expect things to change in the economy... but we do that by the type of real estate that we own.'
Key metrics mentioned
- FFO per Share: $1.88 (vs $1.82 est, +10.6% YoY)
- Revenue Growth: 4.7% (Comparable POI growth for the quarter)
- Occupancy Rate: 93.8% (vs 93% expected)
- Guidance for Core FFO: $7.46 to $7.55 (raised from previous guidance)
- Leasing Volume: 649,000 sq ft (record for any first quarter)
- Cash Basis Min Rent Growth: 3.6% (for the quarter)
Overall, Federal Realty's strong first quarter results and raised guidance suggest a solid investment thesis, driven by effective capital recycling and robust leasing activity. Investors should monitor the impact of weather-related costs and the evolving economic landscape as potential risks, while also looking for continued growth in occupancy and FFO.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
OperatorGood day, and welcome to the Federal Realty Investment Trust First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please also note today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jill Sawyer, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Jill Sawyer
ExecutivesThanks, Rocco, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Federal Realty's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on the call are Donald Wood, Federal's Chief Executive Officer; Daniel Guglielmone, Chief Financial Officer; Wendy Seher, Eastern Region President and Chief Operating Officer; and January Sweetnam, Chief Investment Officer as well as other members of our executive team are available to take your questions at the conclusion of our prepared remarks. A reminder that certain matters discussed on this call may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include any annualized or projected information as well as statements referring to expected or anticipated events or results, including guidance. Although Federal Realty believes expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, Federal Realty's future operations and its actual performance may differ materially from the information in our forward-looking statements, and we can give no assurance that these expectations can be attained. The earnings release and supplemental reporting package that we issued this morning, our annual report filed on Form 10-K and our other financial disclosure documents provide a more incept discussion of risk factors that may affect our financial condition and operational results. Given the number of participants on the call, we kindly ask that you limit yourself to 1 question during the Q&A portion. If you have additional questions, please requeue. And with that, I will turn the call over to Don Wood.
Donald Wood
ExecutivesWell, thanks, Jill, and good morning, everybody. The combination of stepped-up capital recycling portfolio-wide the strong incremental cash flow, the result of near record leasing in terms of both volume and rate over the past 18 months and the beginnings of meaningful incremental contributions from previous year's development spend are showing up on bottom line results with FFO per share of $1.88, vesting a year ago's quarter by 10.6%, setting the stage for this quarter's earnings beat, enabling us to raise guidance for the balance of the year. More details from Dan in a few minutes. Lease termination fees, direct results, strong landlord-oriented leases and an important part of our business were higher this quarter compared to a year ago by $2.8 million. though higher snow removal and related energy expenses net of recoveries caused by the season's unusually rough winter were also higher this quarter by over $2 million. Of course, we still grew at 9%, even if you eliminate just the termination fee impact. Capital recycling this quarter saw us close on the sales of Misora apartments at Santana Row and Courthouse Shopping Center in Rockville, Maryland, or combined proceeds of $159 million at a combined cap rate well inside 5%. Subsequently, we closed on the acquisition of Congressional North Shopping Center directly adjacent to our long-held A-rated rational Plaza in Rockville, for $72 million at a 7% stabilized yield. Opportunities for additional accretive acquisitions net of dispositions continue to be a laser-like focus of this team and are expected to continue to improve our overall growth. Activity in the form of additional interesting centers coming to market that are worth looking at, has clearly picked up as we come into the spring season. Business is good with strong demand for our assets in both our historical locations as well as the newer markets. We ended the quarter with the overall portfolio 96.1% leased and 93.8% occupied and about 40 basis points higher, excluding newly acquired centers. With the continued strength in new leasing that I'll talk about in a minute, these good times that we're seeing are expected to continue. Specifically, the anchor box leasing and repositioning that has been done and will continue to get done, particularly on the West Coast for us, should provide strong income contributions in '27 and '28. Now I know there hasn't been a lot of obvious evidence over the past few years that great demographics, particularly an affluent customer base, make a demonstrable business difference in the performance of a retail property. And there are a lot of reasons for that including shifting population trends, government subsidies and a favorable supply and demand dynamics, and some of those macro trends will likely continue. But today's economic realities are different. And the divergent day-to-day purchasing decisions of consumers in this K-shaped economy are very real. Periods like this where everyday costs from gas to groceries are elevated and the consumer is more selective, quality demographics matter more -- they matter a lot. Wendy will talk through what we're seeing on the ground specifically. Now it's no surprise that leasing drives these and future results. With over 100 leases and 649,000 feet of comparable deals done in the quarter at 13% cash rollover 23% on a straight-line basis. This was more volume than we've ever leased in any first quarter and the third best ever in any that includes 13 anchored deals for nearly 400,000 square feet at 13% rollover, 21% on a straight-line basis. This is really strong leasing and it looks to be continuing. As we've talked about over the last several quarters, we're also finding opportunities to intensify our properties with developments, usually residential product that's complementary to our shopping centers. With little or no incremental land costs, the math to work in the right locations. 2025 has sought us anything about value is that high-quality appointments adjacent to great shopping environments in strong suburban locations create a more desirable living environment. That translates to higher residential rents higher and stronger growth and ultimately lower cap rates upon sale. 2025-'26 sales of Misora at Santana Row and Palace at Pike & Rose unlocked an unmatched cost of capital for us to reinvest, sub-5% overall. We've also previously disclosed the allocation of a total of $400 million for residential development of the Blair at Bala Kinet, which had 34% leased already. It is well ahead of projections for both timing and rate. 301 Washington Street in Hoboken, which is under construction and will begin lease up in about 9 months. Lot 12 at Santana Row, which is well under construction and will be seen by many of you, if you're coming to our Investor Day in a couple of weeks. And an incremental 261 units at Willow Grove Shopping Center outside of Philadelphia for which demolition part of the adjacent shopping center is happening this week. Together with this densification of our shopping center assets, will add nearly 800 units and $27 million of new operating income to the portfolio once stabilized in the next few years. Our experience with residential development at our retail-centric properties is a skill set developed over 25 years and is certainly a unique differentiator of our business plan. Now with the signing of a lease with PNC Bank a couple of weeks ago for the last remaining 11,000 square feet, Santana West is officially 100% leased. In fact, all of Santana Row's office space is 100% leased. This is particularly impressive given that just a few miles away, Downtown San Jose, California Class A office vacancy stands at 36%. But that thinking for a minute. And it's not an anomaly. Pike & Rose office stands at 100% leased. [indiscernible] office stands at 100% leased, [indiscernible] Row office stands at 97% leased. And Assembly Row office stands at 94% leased. Whole office portfolio, 99% overall leased. Now our office income stream and our nationally recognized mixed-use communities is an extremely high demand and is stable, is solid and is growing. We'll showcase our plan through a comprehensive Investor Day at Santana Row on May 21. It looks like we'll have a great turnover and would love to add a few more, really looking forward to seeing most of you there. Enhanced internal and external growth using all the tools at our disposal is the name of the game. Quarters like this first one, increased my confidence in our ability to do so. Let me now turn it over to Wendy and then Dan to provide additional color. Wen?
Wendy Seher
ExecutivesThank you, Don. This was a strong quarter across the board. Every key operating metric delivered continuing the momentum from prior quarters and validating the broad-based demand on our high-quality real estate across all of our formats. As Don mentioned, we had record leasing this quarter with rent rollover at 16% on a trailing 12-month basis keeping in mind that the rollover statistics represents 96% of our reported deals. Comparable POI growth was strong for the quarter at 4.7%, particularly impressive given the challenging winter conditions we faced in the Northeast. I couldn't be more pleased with the results. Our lease rate held firm at 96.1%, a direct reflection of our proactive leasing approach. Foot traffic was up 3% for the quarter and more importantly, 4% in April. Executed but not yet occupied deals will contribute an incremental $36 million of rent over the balance of the year and into 2027. On the small shop side, we're at 93.8% leased with room to push rents further, given the demand we continue to see across our submarkets. The pipeline remains robust at over 1.7 million square feet of space under lease negotiations, providing embedded growth over the next 2 years. Last quarter, I highlighted several of our recent acquisitions, walking you through the early leasing momentum and outsized performance we're seeing relative to our underwriting. What's now coming into focus more clearly is the financial opportunity we're seeing on the operating side. We are operating these properties at a higher level, not only meeting our internal standards but doing so more efficiently and at a lower cost. As we all know, it's not how much you spend, it's how you spend it. Through a combination of internal scaling, vendor management and scope alignment, we expect to continue creating value through more efficient operations. Lastly, there's a great deal of conversation right now about the K-shaped economy and its impact on commercial real estate. When I match that narrative up against what we are actually experiencing across the portfolio, there is no doubt that we are benefiting from the upper end of that K. Traffic is up, sales are up. And not with just value-based retailers as you would expect, but at all price and aspirational concepts like Crate & Barrel, [ Anthropologie Madewell, Aritzia, ] all of which continue to outperform in our centers. Discretionary spending in restaurants is another topic that's getting a lot of air time, so I wanted to share some numbers with you. Our full-service restaurants averaged $723 per square foot in sales, our fast casual restaurants averaged $873 per square foot. Both represent healthy performance, more than double the national averages and both our operating and occupancy cost ratios in the 9% range, leaving meaningful cushion to absorb either consumer fluctuations or a broader economic cycle, durable real estate matters. And with that, I'll turn it over to Dan.
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesThank you, Wendy, and hello, everyone. Our FFO per share of $1.88 for the first quarter reflects almost 11% growth versus last year. and highlights an exceptionally strong quarter operationally. This result came in $0.06 plus, or 3.6% above the midpoint of our guidance range a result which reflects a business plan firing on all cylinders. Drivers for the outperformance include $0.02 from higher revenues through better occupancy, parking revenues and ancillary income $0.01 from expense savings, including efficiencies from our 2025 acquisition pool, as Wendy just highlighted, $0.01 from higher-than-forecast term fees and $0.02 attributed to timing pulling forward some items that were expected later in the year. Comparable POI growth, a GAAP metric was 4.7% for 1Q. Cash basis comparable growth was 5.1% for the quarter. Excluding term fees, the result was still roughly 4%. Cash basis min rent increased 3.6% for the quarter. All variations of this metric were ahead of our expectations, highlighting the strong start to the year. Look to our 8-K for expanded disclosure in this area. Now let's turn to the balance sheet. Subsequent to first quarter end, we closed on a recast our revolving credit facility where we increased the size of the facility to $1.4 billion, extended the initial term to April 2030 with extension options into 2031 and reduced the spread over SOFR by 5 basis points to 72.5%. We repaid our 1.25% notes due in February and now have only $50 million of remaining loan maturities through the balance of 2026. We continue to forecast strong free cash flow after dividends and maintenance capital and expect to exceed $100 million in 2026 and had higher in '27 and '28 as we convert straight-line rent to cash paying rent. During the first quarter, we closed on asset sales of $159 million combined at a blended mid-4s cap rate. We also have an additional $66 million of sales in process with expected closings by quarter end with cap rates targeted in the mid- to upper 5% range. 2025 and expected year-to-date 2026 asset sales will stand at a total of $540 million with a blended cash yield in the low to mid-5% range, a very attractive cost of capital. Through this active and disciplined asset recycling program, which has effectively been executed on a leverage-neutral basis. Our debt metrics remain solid. First quarter annualized net debt to EBITDA is 5.5x and should improve over the course of the year. Fixed charge coverage is 3.9x and and should eclipse our target metric of 4x over the balance of 2026. And with that, I will now move on to guidance. As a result of a robust first quarter and more encouraging outlook given the continued resiliency in our portfolio, we are raising guidance for both NAREIT and core FFO to $7.46 to $7.55 per share. At the midpoint, this $0.03 to $0.04 increase represents 6.3% growth for core FFO when compared to 2025. Drivers for the increase in guidance include our comparable POI growth outlook improving to 3.8 to 3.5 from the previous range of 3% to 3.5%. We still expect the trajectory of occupancy in the first 3 quarters of 2026 to be in the mid- to upper 93% range before climbing higher to the mid- to upper 94% range by year-end, powered by leases that have already been signed. Our improved guidance reflects stronger-than-expected contribution from the $750 million of dominant high-quality properties acquired in 2025 driven by expense savings and greater leasing velocity at these dominant assets. We increased our expected incremental POI for redevelopment to $14 million to $15 million as we get tenants open and operating sooner than forecast, and our outlook on term fees also improved to $8 million to $9 million as our strong leasing contracts allow us to leverage underperforming tenants. We refinanced our 1.25% unsecured notes with a combination of a new term loan and availability on our upsized credit facility to assume roughly 4.5% of the effective interest rate reset on those notes in line with prior expectations. Please note that this represents roughly 175 basis points of refinancing headwinds, without which our midpoint core FFO guidance would eclipse 8% growth. Even it's early in the year, we are keeping our credit reserve flat at 60 to 85 basis points of rental income. And additional guidance assumptions will remain unchanged and are outlined on Page 27 of the 8-K. This updated guidance also reflects the $92 million of acquisitions completed to date in '26 as well as the Misora and Courthouse Center asset sales. We continue to be active on recycling with additional acquisition and disposition opportunities targeted for the second half of the year, and we'll adjust our guidance for those likely upwards as we go. To summarize, our $0.03 to $0.04 increase in guidance is driven by better than $0.01 of operational outperformance, $0.01 from acquisitions in total, $0.01 from term fees, primarily in our non-comp pool and roughly from incremental redevelopment POI. All areas of our business plan are exceeding forecast. With respect to our expectations for quarterly FFO cadence over the remainder of 2026, the second quarter is $1.83 to $1.86. The third quarter is $1.84 to $1.87 million with the fourth quarter in the low to mid-$1.90s per share, primarily driven by contractual occupancy growth. And with that, operator, please open the line for questions.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] And today's first question comes from Samir Khanal with Bank of America.
Samir Khanal
AnalystsI guess, Don, maybe a high level to start off. You talked about the K-shaped economy. So if this backdrop continues and given your sort of high-income trade areas, your strategy and tenant mix, I guess how does that all translate into relative strength or outperformance versus your peers?
Donald Wood
ExecutivesThanks, Sameer. There's a lot of time tacking that in that. I think the best way to try to say it. I mean, look, we are a real estate company, high-quality stuff that's not about eliminating things that change in the economy. We expect things to change in the economy. What it is about is limiting effectively the negative impacts on us. And we do that by the type of real estate that we own. We used to give out a metric. I think we're going to dig up again, frankly, based on this question. And it's about purchasing power. What purchasing power is, if you take our household income of $167,000 overall, and you multiply that by the number of households within the 3-mile is the easiest thing to look at. You're talking about $11 billion per shopping center of purchasing at. Now when you think about that, it becomes less about the type of product and more about the real estate and who shops in that real estate. And the -- that's really where we're in the right spot. If you've looked over the past, I don't know, a few weeks ago, I saw a series of articles in the Wall Street Journal, it was all about a growing upper middle class. It was all about where that discretionary income comes from and how it's being spent by consumers. That's the center of our business plan. And it's always been the center of our business plan. It's why during some periods, it doesn't matter as much. You are asking me to look at a crystal ball that's when it matters. So I think I think it's real, the K-shaped economy. I think it's real that we operate in the top part of the K. And I think it's real that the affluents and the number of people effectively combined that are around our shopping centers provides a level of cushion that is really hard to replicate.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Michael Goldsmith at UBS.
Michael Goldsmith
AnalystsYou continue to make progress on the capital recycling and not to spoil what I'm sure will be an excellent Investor Day. But what inning do you think you are in here? And is there any way to quantify how this capital recycling has benefited the current POI this quarter and maybe where that contribution could go over time?
Donald Wood
ExecutivesThanks, Michael. I want to make a couple of points and then -- and I don't know if I can quantify -- I know I can't what Mike's asking. But there's a couple of things to think about this. It's not about what inning it's because what this is all about is continuously forever being able to recycle assets that we have created a ton of value into things and raw material that give us an opportunity for us to do that again. In certain times, in the marketplace, that will be a boon and there'll be lots. And other times, there'll be less, but it's a continuous laser-like focus. And that's to me the most important thing. You should always expect us to buy and build, make a lot of money, recycle into stuff that we could do it all over again, year in, year out. And we'll talk about that with more specificity at the Investor Day, but that's the concept in what you buy when you're buying [indiscernible].
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesYes. And just to add to that, I mean, just to kind of give a little bit of color on the growth in FFO 6.3%. More than half of it is driven by growth in the core portfolio, so at 50% to 60%. And then acquisitions and redevelopment are the other 2 big drivers are in the 20% to 25% of growth, I would expect, going forward, growth in our core portfolio will be a little bit higher. And so the pressure on acquisitions and redevelopment will actually come down a little bit. But 20% to 25% of the overall FFO growth this year was driven by acquisitions.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital Markets.
Juan Sanabria
AnalystsJust hoping you could talk a little bit about the same-store NOI trajectory and cadence we should expect an occupancy as part of that FFO build in the quarterly run rate you gave Dan, again just given some of the noise both in the quarter and with weather and closures, bankruptcies, et cetera?
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesGood question. With regards to -- we mentioned the occupancy which will stay a little bit at this lower level in the mid- to high , that will impact kind of the cadence of comparable growth. And then we'll kind of shoot up in the fourth quarter because we have a lot of rent commencing in kind of late third quarter, early fourth quarter that will really kind of drive and those are with leases that are already signed. So that will dictate. We'll see a little bit of a dip in the second and third quarters from a comparable growth perspective into the 2s, closer to 2 and then a resurgence back up in the fourth quarter up into kind of the 3.5% to 4% range on a comparable GAAP basis. It will be probably about 40 to 50 basis points higher on a cash basis. Cash will be higher this year than kind of our reported GAAP. So that's a little bit of the color there with regards to. And we should see kind of momentum heading into 2027 on that.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Cooper Clark at Wells Fargo.
Cooper Clark
AnalystsCould you provide us with an update on the multifamily dispo pipeline today and how much product you may consider bringing to the market over the course of the year if you're continuing to find attractive opportunities on the acquisition front? And if we should continue to expect strong pricing in the high 4% to low 5% cap rate range.
Donald Wood
ExecutivesOver, let me cover that in a couple of different ways. I don't have any particular residential property on the market as we stand here today. However, the -- what we are looking at doing and thinking about doing is monetizing not only that, but other parts in the form of a joint venture. As we talked about in the past as one potential way. But the notion of being able to do that will be tied certainly with what it is that we're able to find on the acquisition side because there's an important matching that is critical there because, as you know, we've created a lot of value. And so we have big tax gains that we'd like to be able to shelter to the extent we could with 1031. So I can't give you a number that way. It will be largely driven by the by the acquisition pipeline, which Jan can talk about here in a moment. But I do want you to know the reason we sell is because we have created a ton of value and see places where we can reinvest greater with creating greater value going forward. So that's the theory. Jan, what do you see it on the ground?
Jan Sweetnam
ExecutivesWell, here's a couple of things. So it's not new news that it's more competitive now than it was a year ago. But the good news is we're seeing a lot more opportunities today than we were just 3 months ago. So when we look at what we're underwriting, both on market and off market, we are as busy as heck right now. And notwithstanding all the competition out there, properties where we compete best really are just the more complicated probably have more leasing opportunities to them. And more good news really is that larger, more leasing and more complicated assets are still thinning out the crowd. And our ability to compete for those really fits right into our skill set, right, identifying where tenant demand exceeds supply, remerchandising and if applicable place making, where we can lift sales and rents, we've seen it in recent acquisitions. We're seeing it in opportunities looking forward. So it's hard to say what's going to happen, what the volume is going to be, but we like our ability to compete and we've been busier than we've been in a long time. So still pretty optimistic on the second half of the year.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Michael Griffin at Evercore ISI. .
Michael Griffin
AnalystsMaybe following up on the event of acquisitions, Don or Jan, I'm curious if you can give any color on the 2 deals announced year-to-date, the one at Kingstown and Congressional. It seems like the tenant roster there could see some remerchandising as a benefit there. So maybe kind of talk about the opportunity set with those 2? And then maybe on just expanding a bit on your acquisition pipeline comments just a minute ago, would you say more of the deals you're looking at in the hopper are towards a Congressional kind of standard larger open-air retail format versus maybe a town center or a village point that you closed last year? Just kind of talk about the interplay of those 2 as well.
Donald Wood
ExecutivesSure, Greg. Thanks so much for the question. A couple of things to say. First of all, the last part of your question, it's a wide band. It's a wide swath that we -- a type of things that we look at. And with Congressional North Shopping Center, I mean, stand-alone, that is a power center with a vacant Bed bath and beyond that historically we wouldn't be all that adjusted. Now let's talk about what's around it. And basically, it's on Rocco, one of the most critical retail nodes in D.C., certainly the most critical on the Maryland side. And we control Congressional Plaza, the one we've owned forever, Federal Plaza, Pike & Rose, [ Mid-Pike Plaza, WildwoShopping Center ] all within a few months. This Congressional North was the last center of any kind of size where a box tenant had the opportunity to go. So the notion of being able to buy that and better control, frankly, was a no-brainer. And the reason those type of things do have vacancy is because often private ownership, particularly smaller private ownership, families, stuff don't want to put money in necessary to create the -- to create the return that you can get on the asset. So that's what we were doing there. Similarly, at Kingson, we're simply closing the loop and controlling the entire very big shopping center by taking a hole in the donut and moving that over to our side for a very nominal capital outlay, frankly. So putting that stuff together, we'll always try to do those things. Those are strategic to where it is that we -- where we go. In terms of our love, frankly, for Kansas City and for Omaha. And for Annapolis, you bet we're trying to do more of that stuff. And Jan's point a few minutes ago, we're very active in looking through those and other markets to be able to make sure nothing slips through. Those markets could also be supplemented with smaller centers, grocery anchored, et cetera, that will complement the big assets that that we've already purchased. So those are some of the things that we're working on. I don't know if there's anything to add to that? .
Jan Sweetnam
ExecutivesI would add that there's a good blend between -- I kind of consider Congressional in Kingston. They're both opportunistic acquisitions and strategic at the same time. And when we look at the yields of those it doesn't really count in the leverage that we get in the existing properties, whether it's next door on the Pica or in Kingston itself. So I think we've got a really good mix of opportunistic transactions that we're looking at in our existing markets, maybe with some smaller assets, both in markets we've been in a long time as well as our new markets. And there are a lot of larger assets that we think dominate trade areas that we're not in yet that we're looking at right now. So it's a pretty good mix. .
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Greg McGinniss at Scotiabank.
Greg McGinniss
AnalystsDon, as you mentioned, Santana is now 100% leased on the office side. But you're also entitled to do more there and more broadly across the portfolio, office lease rate is healthy. Are you willing to start more ground-up office development today?
Donald Wood
ExecutivesGreg, yes, I still have scar tissue in case that's really your question. The notion of starting another office building at Santana would not happen on a spec basis. It would only happen to the extent we have a build-to-suit. But by the way, with what's going on out there and the -- I mean, when you juxtapose Santana Row with Downtown San Jose, it is it's incredible, right? And I do want you to -- I really want you to see this because these things are 3 miles away and one is clearly the winner in this situation. And so there may be more opportunities, but I'm not going to.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Craig Mailman at Citi.
Craig Mailman
AnalystsDan, maybe for you, just helpful that you went through kind of some of the benefits to earnings in the first quarter and giving us the quarterly cadence for the next couple of quarters here. But could you just bridge the $1.88 to get to sort of the $1.845 next quarter? And $1.855 in 3Q? Like how much of the $0.02 to the benefit of earlier timing is nonrecurring? I know the lease term fees are lumpy, but can you just kind of walk through what was more nonrecurring this quarter versus recurring to get the sale before the pickup in the back half of the year, especially as you guys are talking more about potential acquisitions ramping up.
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesYes, yes. Again, we have probably some seasonality that is a positive going from the first quarter to the second quarter with less weather-related issues and so forth. There is some -- probably the biggest drag heading into the second quarter and third quarter are -- obviously, we refinanced the refinancing headwind, which is kind of at least $0.01 or so of drag. We are leasing up the Blair, which in the second quarter early lease-up of a residential product is something that will be a drag initially before it turns positive later in the year as we hit the breakeven occupancy levels. I think just some other timing-related things that just happened to be forecasted for later in the year, and we're able to move them forward into the first quarter, lock them in. So there's greater certainty there, but they won't happen a little bit later in the year. So those are kind of the main drivers of a little bit of the cadence there. And then the big kind of spike in performance in terms of FFO is driven by just leases that have already been signed, that have rent commencement dates, that are surprising amount of October 1 rent commencement dates that we feel really, really good about will occur, and that's what drives us up into the $1.90. So that's a little bit of the color on the cadence there.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho.
Haendel St. Juste
AnalystsDon, I can hear the clear excitement in your voice about the the earnings growth set up the momentum that seems to be improving with the leasing tailwinds and capital rotation. It looks like better maybe mid, upper single-digit growth the next couple of years, [indiscernible] So maybe -- what can you share with us about the earnings trajectory that you think you're setting up here? How sustainable it is? And then remind us what the long-term plan for the green bond refinancing here is, I think it's on the revolver at the moment.
Donald Wood
ExecutivesAnd I hope -- I think you're on the list. I know you're playing golf when you come out on May 20 or so with Jay. But that is the purpose. I don't want to steal the thunder for the Investor Day. Look, we're going to talk about earnings trajectory. We're going to talk about those opportunities on those 2 days. So I'm going to leave it at that, if you don't mind.
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesYes. And with regards to the -- the second part of your question with regards to the 1.25% bond. We put longer term, $250 million on a 5-year , 5-plus-year term loan that gets us into 2031. The balance is on the line. And we will be opportunistic in either hitting the bond market or the convert market as we see the opportunity, we have the capacity to look to do this at the most opportune moment, and that's when we'll do it. I'd love to do a bond and do a long-term bond. And so stay tuned on that front. .
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Alexander Goldfarb at Piper Sandler.
Alexander Goldfarb
AnalystsDon, just a question on the new governor in Virginia. Certainly, you guys are used to operating in some other very deep blue states, but Virginia has taken a noticeable shift. That said, you have more defense spending, cyber investment, et cetera. But as you look at what's going on in the Mid-Atlantic and your 2 Maryland and Virginia markets, do you -- are you concerned at all that Virginia could sort of mirror Maryland and become sort of anti-development or enact policies that sort of slow down what has otherwise been a very good path? Or your view is whatever the governor is talking about and the change in politics not much of it you see interfering with your shopping centers and the customer base and the reason why businesses want to locate in Northern Virginia?
Donald Wood
ExecutivesYes, Alex, it's the latter. I mean you're -- take a look at federal and understand the markets that we operate in, understand not only the incomes that I talked about here, but we don't talk about, it's the wealth, the wealth of those families and how that continues the spending throughout ups and downs and all kinds of changes in the political atmosphere. I get worried about the political atmosphere. I'm effectively not running my company as well. And the diversity of these marketplaces are really important. Now on the Virginia side, which happens to be where I live. Have you seen the defense budget that's being proposed. And I don't know if $1.5 trillion is going to happen or not. But boy I know who the beneficiary is going to be to the extent it does, and it's going to be a lot of the consumers around our properties. Do I think that will be a measurable difference? Probably not. But overall, when you buy into this company, you're buying a diversified group of geographies and types of assets or massive assets, tenant based, et cetera, with an awful lot of room effectively in its occupancy cost ratios to be able to continue and continue the path that we're on. That's my focus.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Omotayo Okusanya with Deutsche Bank.
Omotayo Okusanya
AnalystsCongrats on the results. Clearly, momentum is on your side. Then just quick comments around the the occupancy rates again in 1Q for the comparable occupancy 94.1%, and I think we're all kind of expecting something in the mid-80s clearly, again, better leasing. But also curious if there was kind of like leases you were expecting to fall out that didn't that maybe we kind of see in 2Q and 3Q, which kind of explains some of the momentum for the rest of the year?
Donald Wood
ExecutivesYes. Look, I think that we're kind of -- we did better from an occupancy perspective that we had talked about. I mean we had expected the overall occupancy rate to dip down into the low to mid 93%. I think first quarter, we held in the occupancy better than we expected, and we're at 93.8%. It should stay fairly constant at that level with some timing and puts and takes of tenants coming in and so forth and leaving and then seeing that spike in the fourth quarter up into the mid- to upper 94% range. . That's consistent with what we talked about, although it will be a little bit higher in the second and third quarter than I think we had originally had forecasted because we did so well maintaining occupancy in the first quarter. Hopefully, that answers your question.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Floris Van Dijkum with[indiscernible]
Floris Gerbrand Van Dijkum
AnalystsWe talked a little bit about San Jose. We've talked a lot about some of your acquisitions, Congressional, which looks very good. I haven't really talked about Boston and Assembly Row much. Could you guys give us a little bit an update on what's happening there? And what your plans are for that asset going forward in terms of the -- particularly the row aspect of that property?
Donald Wood
ExecutivesYou bet, Floris. And it's actually -- it's a very good question from the standpoint of understanding that big asset. So first of all, clearly, Assembly Row has become the center of that not only a media area, but larger area from the standpoint of shopping and entertainment and food and all of that. . Clearly, the residential product that we've built. They're adjacent to the Avalon stuff. We've got our own 1,000 units that does extremely well and continues to do extremely well. The notion of building out the rest of Assemble is it clearly took a back seat when life science imploded. I'm very proud of the fact that we didn't move forward on that, but it does not change the fact that there is great opportunity for the existing remaining 3 lots that are there. We don't fully entitled can't get them to pencil yet at this point. But while we're doing that, we're also entitling the entire Assembly Square marketplace, which is the power center that is adjacent to it a very, very powerful power center at that, but we're in the process of getting entitled, $3 million, $4 million square feet. In other words, the notion of continuing that the Assembly Row property through the power center at some point, well into the future. But we're going to have that entitled this year we expected. And if that's entitled this year, even if the numbers don't work effectively at this point, think about the future value of that entire 50-acre piece of land. And so when you look at Assembly, you ought to be thinking about value banking there that I don't expect to be paid for in stock price today. But certainly, anybody that looks at that property will see the long-term value to be created. In the meantime, income keeps rising, rents keep going up, residential keeps staying filled, really, really powerful property of Federal.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question today comes from Mike Mueller at JPMorgan.
Michael Mueller
AnalystsI know it was a small sale at just $10 million, but can you talk about selling Courthouse Center in Rockville considering it's part of critical mass and scale that you kind of built up over decades there? And would you have sold a more consequential center there?
Donald Wood
ExecutivesYes, Mike. It's not part of the critical staff at all. Basically, you may remember, a couple of years ago, we sold Rockville Town Square. This is an adjacent kind of small unanchored strip next to it, that really had nothing to do with the rest of our properties at all. If we could have, we would have simply sold it at the same time we sold Rockville Town Square, but there was the local buyer here that stepped up to pay us a number that there's no way we're saying no to. So that's all that is. That really is not -- I don't want a map, it looks close to the rest of our properties on Rockville site, but it's a different world away. So no, it's not at all important.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] Our next question is the follow-up from Samir Khanal at Bank of America.
Samir Khanal
AnalystsDan, I'm sorry if I missed this, but you mentioned there were some items that were pulled forward in the quarter. Was that term fees or something else? Maybe just some clarification.
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesYes. Look, there was some 141 benefits that we were expecting kind of later in the year and second and third quarter that was in our budget that we pulled forward into the first quarter. That was the primary driver of that. So yes, it's something that -- yes, it's good we got it locked in, in the first quarter, but it's in just the timing. .
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question is a follow-up from Omotayo Okusanya with Deutsche Bank.
Omotayo Okusanya
AnalystsJust a very quick one on cost reimbursement rates. It felt a little elevated in 1Q '26. I'm curious if anything kind of pulled forward? Is there a timing thing that kind of happened? And how do we think about that for the rest of the year?
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesYes. Look, there was a huge amount of weather impacts in the Northeast, particularly anywhere from our D.C. Metro all the way up to Boston. So snow removal and utility expense was highly elevated for the quarter. And obviously, our cost reimbursements are elevated as a result from that perspective. That's all that was in terms of -- that was well above kind of our initial expectations and then ended up working out as we expected in terms of -- but that's the driver there.
Operator
OperatorAnd our next question for today is a follow-up from Alexander Goldfarb at Piper Sandler.
Alexander Goldfarb
AnalystsDan, I think in your opening comments, you made a reference that you expect some positive revision to guidance later this year but I didn't -- I want to make sure one I heard that correctly into what were the factors? I think you said there were some things that could happen that would cause that. And I just wanted to understand more about that.
Daniel Guglielmone
ExecutivesLooking at my prepared -- I don't recall in my prepared remarks, making that comment. I am optimistic with regards to the balance of the year. And I am optimistic with how we're being set up for 2027. So I feel good about kind of our positioning. We're only here in the first quarter. But yes, I don't think I referred to a positive -- forecasting a positive revision going forward.
Operator
OperatorThank you. That concludes our question-and-answer session for today. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Jill Sawyer for any closing remarks.
Jill Sawyer
ExecutivesThanks for joining us today. We look forward to seeing many of you at our upcoming Investor Day in a few weeks. Thanks.
Operator
OperatorThank you. That concludes today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.
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