Federated Hermes, Inc. (FHI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

June 2, 2021

New York Stock Exchange US Financials Capital Markets conference_presentation 37 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Brian Bedell

analyst
#1

[Audio Gap] And we also have Ray Hanley here, who is the Head of Investor Relations and President of Federated Investors Management, which is the finance and administration arm of Federated. Ray has been with the company since 1985. So we're once again fortunate to have 2 multi-decade veterans with us today. So thanks to both of you for being with us today.

Raymond Hanley

executive
#2

Thanks, Brian.

Thomas Donahue

executive
#3

Thank you, Brian.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#4

Great. So I'll start out with some questions of my own and leave time for questions for the participants as well. And we can even make it interactive as they come in. Just instructions on that, you can ask you questions right on that web portal, or you can feel free to e-mail me at brian.bedell@db.com, whichever is easier for you. So maybe if we can start out a bit high level. So the state of organic growth in the asset management industry has definitely been improving over the past few quarters. And there are several drivers of that, of course, one being strong demand for fixed income. And another being an improvement in active performance relative to passive substitutes, at least the way we're measuring it and since the downturn in the markets in the first quarter of 2020. So a question, I guess, for both of you, what are you seeing from the Federated Hermes side in terms of demand for your long-term products? Clearly, fixed income has been a major bright spot. But what are your sales force and distribution partners saying about the current environment? Which product of yours are you benefiting most from that new sales growth?

Thomas Donahue

executive
#5

Okay, Brian. I'll go first on that. And as you know, we in Q1 was -- things did pick up, and we had exciting news over $200 billion in long-term assets. And by the end of the quarter, we were at $206 billion and it continues because last week, recently, we were at $210 billion in long-term assets. And we're seeing the convergence of strong products in a variety of strategies and strong distribution relationships that served us well and it served us well through the pandemic as well as our regional consultants had the cellphone numbers of their clients and utilized that successfully. And you also know in the first quarter, which you see in the industry, we had great -- we had record gross and net equity sales and total fund sales 15 -- over $15 billion and net of $3.5 billion here in the whole complex. Now looking at Q2 through the end of last week, we have net sales about $1.2 billion so far in our long-term funds and SMA strategies and net sales of about $1.3 billion in fixed income and about $470 million in alternatives, and these are partially offset by equity redemptions of about $600 million or so. Demand for fixed income strategies was very strong in Q1, and it continues to be solidly positive in Q2. And of course, the quarter is not over yet. Some of the things, Brian, that we're emphasizing on the international strategies to our clients, and we're seeing good demand, of course, in the sustainable strategies in the U.K. and some of the products, the Global Equity ESG, the SDG Engagement Equity, Global Equity Emerging Markets, Asia ex Japan and interesting SDG Engagement, high-yield credit and also the unconstrained credit run out of the U.K. We're also seeing some success in our trade finance strategy that we've been working for a long time to raise assets, and we have some nice wins there. So overall, it's still going pretty well.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#6

Yes. No, that's great to hear, especially into the second quarter, which can be sometimes seasonally weaker than the first quarter, at least historically. So it sounds like the momentum is continuing. Maybe let's get into ESG and Hermes, and you talked about those products. I think you've definitely certainly been on the leading edge of this area with the acquisition of Hermes in 2018, literally right before flows into ESG products industry-wide began inflecting up strongly in 2019 in both the U.S. and Europe in terms of the way we were measuring it. In this past quarter, flows into your ESG products, I think were about $2 billion or near $2.5 billion. So that's about 3/4 of your overall flows almost, and I think, obviously, it looks to us like that was the best ESG results on a quarterly basis since the Hermes acquisition. But -- and correct me if I'm wrong on that. But obviously, Hermes has been benefiting from this for a long time. So what drove the sudden surge in inflows versus a more muted pace in prior quarters in those products? And do you think -- it's always hard to predict future flows, of course. But do you think that momentum on those Hermes U.K.-based ESG products are sustainable in the in the near and intermediate term?

Thomas Donahue

executive
#7

Yes. Okay. Yes, we like to think we were smart, but we just got lucky with the Hermes acquisition. And the timing -- oh, yes, we're brilliant timers out there. No. We worked 5 years trying to get that transaction, getting to know them, and we're able to close it. And so it's really benefited. And as you know, we've taken what they do over there and integrated into our products here. But back to your question on -- yes, that was the best sales quarter that we've seen since we purchased them. So we're pretty excited about that. And we're seeing a broadening of clients' demand for sustainable strategies. And that's just beyond the historic -- just institutional strength. The wealth managers in the U.K. and EU are more and more seeking sustainable strategies for their customers. So the investors recognize that our international business over there has been offering successful active management and has a long history of the ESG integration across all their product lines. And the Hermes teams do that they really are leading this and invented it a long time ago. So it's pretty exciting. One other interesting thing, why the flows really picked up? So you know about fixed income picking up. And they have been working to build their fixed income team to build their presence, their reputation and their strong performance. And it just started to kind of kick in and is generating now much more meaningful positive flows. In terms of the second quarter, well, we're not predicting 1 more month in the quarter. But as we said before, they're solidly positive, and it continues, and we expect this to continue, and we also expect that the ESG demand for products is going to continue, and we are right in the sweet spot on there, especially the Hermes, the London team, with their background and track record. So we're pretty excited about our positioning.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#8

Yes. No, it's good to see you participating in that growth. The way we're seeing it so far, and we're measuring the growth in ESG-dedicated products, at least on the mutual fund and ETF side, it is tracking -- for the industry is tracking 2021 much better than 2020, but both in passes -- anyway, so I think have to get some background here. So just talking about -- moving back on to ESG products in the U.S. So the Hermes style funds that were launched in the U.S. a couple of years ago. Are you seeing any sizable increases in demand for these U.S.-based products through your distribution channels? And if you can remind us of just how many sustainable funds were launched in the U.S.?

Raymond Hanley

executive
#9

Sure, Brian. We've actually now launched 6 funds and 1 SMA product and these are all based off of, as you pointed out, successful Hermes strategies and actually managed by U.K. teams. And the assets collectively in these products, and many of these are -- really didn't come online until the end of '19. We're really just kind of launching effectively right in advance of the pandemic. So the assets across the suite of those products, about $140 million, and that includes about $38 million that we still have in or seed money. So they have steadily moved along, but in a typical pattern that we've observed for other fund launches, it takes some time to get critical mass to open up additional distribution opportunities. And so we continue to work through that, try to work on broadening the distribution. And certainly, the ESG macro as it takes hold in the U.S. should be helpful. And again, there's a great heritage behind these strategies. So we have high expectations for this group of products, but it will take some time to see them grow substantially.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#10

Yes. And maybe just on that point on the financial adviser side, given that most of these products are sold through FAs. But I know you did a very good survey, I think, a little over a year ago now on ESG initiative -- or ESG opinions within the financial adviser community, and it was very pretty constructive on what FAs were saying about client -- both client desires to invest in ESG product and views on performance. Are you seeing that come to fruition yet? And are those conversations still quite fluid with the financial advisers in terms of at ESG demand? Or like you said, it's moving sort of gradually. And if it's the latter, what do you see as the major friction points?

Raymond Hanley

executive
#11

We're certainly seeing heightened interest on the part of advisers. And one of the key findings in the survey that we published last September was that 90% essentially of the advisers that we surveyed reported being asked by their clients about ESG. And as the ESG is more in the beginning innings, so to speak, compared to the more developed view on ESG in the U.K., EU and in the channels that Hermes has built their distribution through. But nonetheless, we see tightened interest in the U.S. But commensurate with that, we're engaging with the advisers where they are in this process, which tends to be more in the beginning of it. So we recently -- and we just, in a press release on this not too long ago, announced the formation of a responsible investing institute, and that will offer training to the investment community about topics of responsible investing and how ESG factors work in investments. And so the first 3 courses that we're bringing out through this institute is an ESG 101 course to help identify what ESG is and what it's not. And then we'll offer an ESG data and investment implementation course and ESG business implementation course. And we're finding good receptivity. Advisers clearly need to know more about it to the extent that they're getting such a high pull-through from their client base for information on it. And we think we have a differentiated story to tell here. So we think it's a positive macro for us.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#12

Yes. No, that sounds like it could definitely help stimulate more activity. Maybe just to stay with ESG, but switch gears to the investment side. So maybe just talking about ESG integration into the investment process on the Federated side of the business. The legacy Federated side of the business that is. I guess, what portion of long-term assets or number of funds do you -- would you say right now have ESG considerations fully integrated into the investment process? And then what does the investment process integration path look like from here?

Thomas Donahue

executive
#13

Yes, Brian, I'll just give a comment. And then maybe Ray will follow up. This is the classic thing that my brother calls, our Hermes acquisition is a reverse transformational merger where we're going to learn from them. And that's what we've done.

Raymond Hanley

executive
#14

And in doing so, we've made a commitment to being a global leader in active, responsible investing really across all the asset classes. And so commensurate with that, nearly all of our assets under management are have been fully ESG integrated. And we have the individual investment teams working with our responsible investing office. And they have a formal and customized, for each team, framework of -- to incorporate both proprietary ESG data, analytics and active engagement and the third-party data that we also utilize. And this is really just a natural extension of the primary research that they're doing. So we view this as improving investment performance and being additive to the investment process. We have an extensive in-house capability that differentiates our ESG approach. Our global team, we have 68 ESG subject matter experts spread out across our engagement, stewardship and responsible investing office and the background of these folks ranges from, we have climate change experts, we have ESG data scientists, we have former corporate sustainability officers, attorneys. There's a lot of talent being brought into the different sectors. And that's really been the EOS approach, EOS at Federated Hermes, which has kind of led on the stewardship front going back all the way to 2004. So there's a long history there. And we think it's unmatched in the industry. There's a 16-year database with detailed records on -- from the activity they've had with 20,000 issuers and being able to measure ESG progress and momentum over time to us is an important differentiator.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#15

Yes. No. I mean, I think the -- as we talk to investment managers, and obviously, we had Michael Viehs from Hermes on our ESG panel back in March on this. And that integration process potentially should lead to alpha generation opportunities for active management. I guess, maybe just your thoughts on that for the -- I guess, really for the Federated funds overall because it's being integrated into the process, so that alone should be helpful for the active process. But then separating that from the actual ESG dedicated funds. So those are funds that we think of as other impact funds or funds in which the prospectus has actually changed to that ESG being a part of that investment process. So those funds are typically tagged as sustainable by Morningstar, for example, and we can measure the growth in those funds. We are seeing more demand for those funds even relative to other shops that have ESG integrated in non-ESG funds. So maybe just your thoughts on that. Do you -- the ESG integration is just helping the core legacy Federated funds? Or is there a view internally that you really want to launch more dedicated and branded U.S.-based ESG product?

Raymond Hanley

executive
#16

So it's a bit of both. It clearly is a benefit, we think, to the active in-house investment management process. When you look at the ESG staff that I mentioned with a number of subject matter experts that we have. We -- our investment teams are able to benefit from interacting with the engagement team and what you get as a cross-pollination of fundamental and ESG intelligence, effectively, we get the best of both worlds. And so every PM and analyst now has the proprietary ESG tools on their workstation. And so again, it's additive to the high-quality work that they were already doing. Now to your question, yes, we will look at additional product launches that integrate ESG and including those that do so in a way that has the visibility that you outlined. We're looking at a couple of those now. I think it will be a measured approach, and we would like to get to the point over time that we observed that Hermes was able to get to, which is that ESG integration, responsible investing, is effectively integrated in everything we do. But that said, there -- the specific products that are more closely tied to it in a more thematic way, we have launched a handful of those, and we're looking at opportunities to launch a few more.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#17

Okay. No, that's certainly very exciting, and I think that was a good comprehensive overview of ESG at Federated Hermes. Maybe let's move on to your money market business. We've seen somewhat of a stabilization within your money market flows in the first quarter after significant outflows in the back half of last year. But can you talk about the diversity of these flows and which channels they're coming from? If we talk -- if we think about retail brokerage cash vehicles versus institutional or corporate treasury? And then what portion of the assets do you view as sticky if we enter in more of a sustained equity bull market?

Raymond Hanley

executive
#18

Well, we've observed, just to take the last part first, that historically, up equity markets have been very positive for the money market business, and it's a little counterintuitive. Yes, there is some money that will go to money market and to cash alternatives when markets get choppy, and it's logical to think that, that will return when the markets are doing better. However, for our client base, they tend to have a relatively constant, and I'm talking now about the institutional side, the trust departments, the other institutional investors. They will tend to have a consistent cash allocation to their portfolio. And so to the extent that they have gains in other parts of the portfolio, in this example, in up equity markets, they will tend to rebalance and reset and put additional money back into cash. In addition, in up equity cycles, there's simply more money moving around, money moving into the market, waiting to be invested, going to be invested over time. And so if you look at our charts and look at our history, we, in fact, show the pattern of movement in the S&P 500 and how that has generally correlated with growth in money market assets. Now more recently, it's been more institutional. We have a group that we call internally our capital markets function, which is effectively dealing with institutional brokerages. And that's been the source of the most recent -- a lot of the more recent asset growth. And as you point out, that's in a pretty limited window of time. And so we're hesitant to try to draw trends there. And it's always hard to assess the longevity of those positions. Money market, the money market business tends to have money flow in and flow out. And to the extent that there's more money in the system, higher liquidity levels, more stimulus money, those are all positive macros for the money market part of our business.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#19

Yes. No, that's important. Background feedback again. Just quickly on the money fund flow. So thank you for giving us the long-term product flows. I don't know if you had the money fund flows also second quarter-to-date?

Raymond Hanley

executive
#20

Yes. Well, let's say, quarter -- for the quarter, it's up about $12 billion.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#21

$12 billion. Okay. Yes, very strong.

Raymond Hanley

executive
#22

That would be a combination of funds and separate accounts. And I think you're familiar with the seasonality there. So the April tax payment they got shift into May. And so the funds are up about $3 billion and the separate accounts are up about $9 billion. The funds, of course, have -- tend to have money go out around tax time, people in entities making tax payments. Our separate account business is weighted toward paid cash pools. And so they're on the receiving end of tax payments at this time of year.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#23

Right. Okay. No, that's interesting. It can go from one bucket to the other and stay within the system at Federated. Sticking with money markets. So on your 1Q earnings call, you mentioned that you expect 2Q to be the peak in fee waivers. And I think the guidance there was the net impact of the $35 million to $45 million. Does that depend on the Fed -- the peaking that is. In other words, for those fee waivers to sort of hedge back down in the third quarter. Is that predicated on the Fed raising its rate on interest on excess reserves. And I guess if that doesn't happen, would you think there's some upward lift to that fee waiver estimate in the next subsequent quarters?

Raymond Hanley

executive
#24

Yes, Brian. Well, we still think Q2 would be the peak. And if you talk to our team, they believe that the -- that they will -- that the Fed will increase the rates on the repo and/or on the IOER. And so their forecasts, which we gave $35 million to $45 million in -- for Q2, we're trending, and that includes the current yields and current assets and includes our knowledge of the waivers on April and May. And we are trending to the top of that range, but our team still thinks that they could raise these bricks. They could do it in June. And they could do it in Q3, and they expect them to. And if they do that, that will cement that, that is -- we highly expect that, that would be the peak.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#25

Yes. And if for whatever reason, the Fed doesn't do that, I know there's a lot of debate about if they don't do it then, we have risk going into sort of a negative rate territory. So just clearly to help functioning, it certainly seems like something they would do. But if for whatever reason they didn't, I guess, how would -- how should we think about the risk of that fee waiver number going up?

Thomas Donahue

executive
#26

Well, when we gave our range of $35 million to $45 million, and we put out 3 to 10 basis points. Well, if it's below 3 basis points, then it could go -- waivers could go higher than the $45 million. But it could happen. Sure.

Raymond Hanley

executive
#27

Well, Brian, we don't think the view from the Fed has changed though, which has been pretty clearly not wanting to put negative rates onto the table. It's been observed that, that has not been successful in other places. And so that's just another reason why we think that they won't want to go into that -- go below 0.

Thomas Donahue

executive
#28

The other thing, we're reading the -- our phones just like everybody else. And I guess there's a little talk about inflation somewhere.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#29

Yes, exactly. Yes. It's been probably one of the -- I don't know, aside from crypto, it's probably within the top 3 questions that we've been getting at the conference in terms of subject matter. Maybe I do have an inbound question as you want to get to here, and it was just simply a reiteration of the flow numbers just so that it's clear that you gave, Tom, earlier and that, I think, was a $1.2 billion. Again, this is second quarter to date. So really, April and May combined. I think you -- correct me if I'm right, you said $1.2 billion in long-term inflows, which is comprised of $1.3 billion positive fixed income. You said just under $500 million of alternatives. And then $600 million of equity outflows. Is that correct?

Thomas Donahue

executive
#30

That is correct.

Raymond Hanley

executive
#31

Yes. And Brian, that's as always, when we talk in a period, it's the funds and the SMAs. We don't -- consistent with the flow data that you guys are able to see or extrapolate from data. So we're not jumping into the separate accounts in those numbers. The bigger 7 accounts.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#32

Yes. The bigger 7 accounts. Yes. They can be institutionally lumpy, so to speak. Okay. No. Thank you for just verifying that. And then maybe just to talk on financials a little bit, Tom. How should we think about annual expense growth? I know it's heavily predicated on markets because obviously, compensation has a variable component. But if the current organic growth pace does continue, which has been pretty good on the long-term side, and if you just assume sort of normal market returns, how do you think about balancing -- I guess, how do you think about sort of a normalized expense growth range? And then how do you think about balancing that long-term growth with margin -- with operating margin preservation or expansion?

Thomas Donahue

executive
#33

Yes, Brian. That's my job. That's all of ours job. So we -- it's it. How do we invest and decide whether this is worth it? And -- versus the margin and I'd rephrase the margin as to what's our EPS going to look like? And so to kind of look at it, hey, we're going to continue to do 2 types of investing, so the sustainable investing, like our technology, investment in technology, investment in our sales force and client management, our enterprise data stuff, business continuity, our core cyber stuff. So those are all sustainable investing we're going to continue to do and we have been doing them. And the growth investing, we're going to continue doing that. Hermes -- on the Hermes side, the people, the products, Ray mentioned the ESG and the EOS people. So we're going to continue to do that. On the fixed income side over at Hermes, it's a good example of investing, investing, investing, and it's finally paying off in bigger ways with the reputation and performance and actual asset growth that we're getting there. We're going to invest in the ETF business. We've talked about that. I don't know that this is investing, but I guess it is investing. Sometime our sales force is going to get back on the road and increase our travel expenses. And that will be a good thing. It will be a particularly good thing over in Hermes as it's been harder for them to the deal -- to get new clients, they aren't out there meeting them. But basically, real answer to how do we look at margin versus investing. We sure know what the margin is. We sure know what the earnings are going to be and the impact and how we look through it. And I'm sorry for the answer, but it's both.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#34

Yes. No that's fine.

Thomas Donahue

executive
#35

And we continue to look to do -- make decisions on a long-term view and we're going to grow and -- but we also want to make sure we're earning money for the shareholders. So yes, the dual job. It's like -- Brian, it's like when I joined the company, and I had my dad and my brother. My dad was the Chairman and my brother was the President and they go, who do you report to? Well, both of them.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#36

Yes. Yes. No, it's definitely exactly. It keeps you on your toes, for sure. I'd want to get to -- maybe we only have a couple of minutes here, but I do want to finish up with an acquisition question. But just one quick one. You mentioned travel again? And just real quickly, are you seeing demand from your sales force to go out to start going traveling like now, given that we're halfway through vaccinations and -- or is that still more like later this year?

Thomas Donahue

executive
#37

They're inkling they're driving and doing -- the problem is that the customers won't let them in to any -- they're not seeing them at lunch or at an event or something. So it's going to take time to get that back going.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#38

Yes. No, that makes sense. And maybe just to finish up with the last minute or so we have here, just on acquisitions, obviously, very busy with Hermes. But appetite for any other money market deals? Obviously, this industry always remains ripe for consolidation, and you're in a great position. Just thoughts on that. And then you did mention on the first quarter call about that option that BT has to sell some or all of that remaining Hermes stake to Federated? Just I guess where do we stand in that process currently? And I mean on that if you can -- yes.

Thomas Donahue

executive
#39

All right, I'll do it. I'll do it quickly. Well, to the BT, that's easy. I don't have much of an update. They initiated evaluation and then that leads to hiring somebody to value take, and then decision after we get that will be, does somebody want to put it? Or does somebody else want to call it? Or do we want to get another valuation? And where is it in the range and what happens. So there's not much of an update. We're working with our -- with Hermes biggest client in there. So this is going to go well because we want to make sure our client remains our great client. And that's why it's nice having an outside party that will value it. So we're in the process of that. It will take some time here. On the -- if that's good there. Then on the M&A money market business, thank you for the way you phrased that. We have great teams. We have a great investment management team, great sales team. Ray talked about them earlier. We have a great M&A team, and we're out there ready to do deals. We have a great reputation. We have great client relationships, great service and we survived and thrived through the thick and thin of pandemic, regulatory changes, 0 rates one time, 0 rates another time, impeditive stuff, and we will continue to consider doing make little, any kind of size money market deals. They have to be structured right to work for us and to work for our clients who when we're buying it, they end up being our client, if they aren't already, and so they all have to work to keep everybody satisfied. And yes, we'll do more of them.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#40

Yes. No, that makes sense. Is a great note to end on because we are out of time. Once again, thanks so much, Tom and Ray for doing this again. And hopefully, next year, we can just have you live in-person like the old days. So we're hoping for that, obviously.

Raymond Hanley

executive
#41

Human interaction is great. Thank you.

Thomas Donahue

executive
#42

Thanks, Brian.

Brian Bedell

analyst
#43

Yes. Yes. Thanks. Have a great day, guys.

Thomas Donahue

executive
#44

Bye.

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