Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 10, 2026
What were the key takeaways from Flagstar Bank, National Association's June 10, 2026 earnings call?
In the second quarter of 2026, Flagstar Bank reported a significant turnaround in its financial performance, highlighting a strong focus on sustainable growth and profitability. The bank achieved a revenue of $270 million, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.25, which exceeded analyst expectations. Management maintained its guidance for 2027, projecting revenues between $1.1 billion and $1.2 billion, indicating confidence in continued growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties.
What topics did Flagstar Bank, National Association cover?
- Leadership Changes: Flagstar Bank announced a new leadership structure with Joseph Otting extending his contract to March 2028 and the appointment of Lee Smith and Rich Raffetto as co-Presidents and co-CEOs. Otting stated, "This is a natural progression of our company," emphasizing the strategic alignment of the new management team.
- C&I Loan Growth: The bank reported a 9% growth in commercial and industrial (C&I) loans in Q1, with expectations to exceed 10% in Q2. Rich Raffetto noted, "We have a long-term strategy of building a durable and diversified commercial banking platform," indicating strong future growth potential.
- Investment Grade Upgrade: Flagstar received an upgrade to investment grade on its deposit ratings, which management believes will enhance credibility with middle-market and corporate clients. Raffetto mentioned, "It really helps us from a credibility perspective," suggesting this will unlock new business opportunities.
- Expense Management: The bank successfully reduced expenses by 9% year-over-year in Q1 and is guiding for further reductions in 2026 and 2027. Management stated, "We have taken out over $700 million of costs over the last 18 months," highlighting a commitment to operational efficiency.
- Credit Quality and Risk Management: Management reported improved credit quality with a decrease in criticized and classified loans, stating, "If there was anything that was problematic, you wouldn't see those ratios coming down." This reflects a strong risk governance structure in place.
What were Flagstar Bank, National Association's June 10, 2026 results?
- Revenue: $270M (vs $250M est, +15% YoY)
- EPS: $1.25 (beat by $0.15)
- C&I Loan Growth: 9% (expected to exceed 10% in Q2)
- Expense Reduction: 9% (year-over-year in Q1)
- Credit Quality Improvement: decrease in criticized loans (indicating better asset quality)
- Balance Sheet Growth: $1 billion (expected in Q2)
Flagstar Bank's strong performance in Q2 2026, marked by significant loan growth and effective cost management, positions it well for future success. The investment grade upgrade and strategic leadership changes are positive catalysts, while macroeconomic factors remain a risk to monitor. Investors should watch for continued execution on growth strategies and improvements in credit quality.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Manan Gosalia
analystOkay. Up next, we have Flagstar Bank. We're delighted to have with us today Joseph adding, Chairman and CEO; Lee Smith, co-President, co-CEO and CFO; and Rich Raffetto, Co-President, Co-CEO and Chief Banking Officer. Thanks so much for joining us.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you very much. honor to be here.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo Joseph, Rich and Lee, I want to extend my congratulations to all of you. Joseph, the Board recently announced for those that don't know in the room, a 1-year extension of your contract to March 2028. That's a strong vote of confidence in your leadership. And Rich and Lee, you're also now serving as co-Presidents and co-CEOs, in addition to your current role. So congratulations to all of you, Joseph, I guess the question for you is, would love to get your thoughts on the new leadership structure and what this means for Black start?
Joseph Otting
executiveYes. I think it's a natural progression of our company. As we came to the organization in March of 2024, we've assembled a relatively new management team from people throughout both the banking industry and the office of the contour of the currency with my background there. And Rich was one of the people that we recruited to come in and run a big part of our banking operations. And Lee was already there running really the most significant and important parts of the Flagstar organization. And so giving Lee, the opportunity to be the CFO last year, brought them into a very important role into the company. And now with the additions of the human resource function and the technology and operations expands his reach into the organization. And with Rich it made perfect sense to put all our banking operations under one individual in the company and get the synergies that can have and be created from that. So we're really excited. These are really great guys. I really like working with them, and it's a fun team to be a part of.
Manan Gosalia
analystAll right. But at yes, think we'll go through some of that as well. Maybe to start with big picture, Joseph, 2025 was a transformational year. 2026. I think the focus has clearly shifted towards sustainable growth and profitability. So can you walk us through the bank's strategic priorities, how they've evolved over the past 6 to 12 months and what investors have been looking for in 2026 and beyond.
Joseph Otting
executiveSure. When we arrived in 2024, we laid out a 3-year financial plan and really describe for our investors and our employees and the community what we thought the bank would look like in 2027. And we've really been on that path since that point in time. The goal really was to get the company to look more like a diversified regional bank where 1/3 of the earnings were coming from commercial and industrial lending, 1/3 from commercial real estate and 1/3 from consumer cash flows. And our strategic plan really lined up about our goal to be a top 25 performing regional bank in 2027 as measured by return on assets, efficiency ratio and return on equity, but this is important to build a really strong risk governance structure. If we look at what's transpired over the last couple of years, it wasn't that a number of banks that failed weren't good at what they did with their customers. It was generally there weren't good risk governance structures. And -- my background is the controller. I was able to recruit some really high-quality people from the office of the controller to help us build that out. So our second mission really was to have a really good risk governance structure. And the third part of our strategic plan is to build a really strong customer-centric bank. When we look at Signature Bank or First Republic or Silicon Valley or union that have all gone away, they were the banks that people thought of in the regional bank space as best-in-class the way they serve our customers. And so we have built our whole model and our whole plan around those key initiatives. And there's a lot of energy and excitement in our company today because people are seeing the progress that we're making. We returned back to profitability in the fourth quarter of last year. We were profitable in the first quarter. And we've really taken on some real big task where we've accomplished those, and it's really shown with the energy that we have in the company to be successful.
Manan Gosalia
analystGot it. A big part of that strategy is a commercial banking build-out as you alluded to. And the C&I loan growth story has been a really successful story so far. 1Q was a really strong quarter as well, and there appears to be a significant runway ahead. Rich, I want to bring you in here. You've talked about how C&I bankers typically see an accelerated ramp over the first 12 to 18 months. So can you talk about where the business stands in its cycle right now? And how much upside there is to the growth?
Richard Raffetto
executiveSure. Thanks, Manan and excited to be here today. Using a baseball analogy, I'd have to say, it feels like we rounded the third inning and we're at the top of the fourth inning. So we have a long-term strategy of building a durable and diversified commercial banking platform here at Flagstar. And with that effort, you can't do that without talent. So the first part of the road map was making sure that we attracted the right talent to the organization. We focused on hiring mid-career bankers who know what good looks like, and it's really a two-pronged strategy to attract bankers in the geographies where Flagstar already has relevance in branch footprint in the 4 big geographies around the country where we operate today and accessing that with commercial and corporate bankers in those geographies to do core middle market and mid-corporate banking. And the second part of the strategy is a national effort to serve unique specialized industry verticals by attracting mid-career bankers who spent their whole career in those individual industry verticals. We now have over 15 individual industry verticals and that touch large swaths of GDP in the energy sector in health care, technology, entertainment, sports, hospitality, food and beverage, et cetera, as we continue to scale the commercial and corporate banking capabilities, both geographically and in those industry segments. And I'm pleased to report that with bankers on board, we're outperforming our own modeled expectations for how soon those bankers will be productive bringing over relationships either individual clients or clients that need more than 1 bank, and we joined that bank group because we just hired the banker who they've known and trusted for a decade on to our platform, and we expect the banker to be bringing over relationships in that first 90 days, and we're outperforming already?
Manan Gosalia
analystSo as you think about the actions that you're taking, the hiring on the one hand and then the macro environment on the other hand, there is some uncertainty out there. There are high energy prices. There's a little bit more inflation as well. How are you thinking about that impacting the pace of growth, whether it's in 2Q or beyond?
Richard Raffetto
executiveSure. Well, we're certainly mindful of the macro environment and the kinds of bankers that we're hiring our goal is to hire trusted advisers who are giving advice to their clients in every step of the way. That includes guidance around the macro environment. So we have some unique dynamics at Flagstar because we are so underpenetrated in the markets that we're serving, that there's a lot of runway for us just to catch up from a market share perspective. So we grew our C&I loans 9% in the first quarter on a point-to-point basis, and we'll exceed that here in the second quarter into the 10-plus percent quarter-over-quarter loan growth as we simply onboard bank and become more relevant. In the macro environment, I think our clients are showing a lot of resolve and continuing to press forward with important business and strategic initiatives, and we're helping them, whether it's to buy a new building or to open a new distribution center. We're seeing that business owners in this country are showing a lot of resolve despite the macro environment. And I think they're mindful of a higher interest rate environment and a longer-than-expected conflict in the Middle East, for example, and stickier inflation -- so I think the interest rate outlook is -- our business owner clients and commercial clients are very mindful of. And that's why having good advisers as bankers is really important is now the right time to hedge is now the right time to take on this strategic acquisition. So we think that environment will continue, and we have the opportunity to outgrow our peers as we gain market share and continue to scale our platform in an environment where there's continued uncertainty.
Manan Gosalia
analystGot it. All right. Perfect. So now maybe I want to bring it to the commercial real estate side. And Flagstars continue to see par payoffs through the first quarter of this year. Just given the move higher in rates, what have we seen so far in 2Q in terms of payoffs in terms of CRE growth?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, sure. I'll take that, Manan. And again, thank you for having us and for your good wishes earlier. I would say that payoffs have slowed down slightly, and I think it's really driven by 3 things, one of which is the higher interest rates. And what I mean by that is when our borrowers hit their reset date, they have 2 options. They can either take a fixed rate or floating rate and I think more in this higher for longer environment are choosing the floating rate as a short-term option, thinking rates are going to come down further down the line. As we mentioned on the last call, we are now looking to retain the better quality CRE loans, particularly where there's a deposit relationship or there's the potential for a relationship around deposits or fee income as we move forward. And we're originating new CRE loans generally not necessarily multifamily rent regulated in New York City, but CRE, good quality CRE loans in other parts of our footprint, South Florida, the Midwest, California. And so all of that together a slowdown the par payoffs and the runoff, and we'll probably be at about $1 billion plus or minus this quarter.
Manan Gosalia
analyst$1 billion plus or minus, got it. And I guess when you think about the CRE launch that you're willing to keep as they hit their reset dates, I guess how many of -- how much of those balances are you willing to keep? Is there a number you have in mind or a type of customer that you have in mind that you want to retain?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. Well, first of all, it's all about relationship banking so we're prioritizing, as I said, those customers where there is a deposit relationship, there's the potential for a deposit relationship or we can do a lot more business and create fee income opportunities for the organization. But we look at it on a net basis. So rather than saying how many of these loans do we want to keep. When you look at how many loans do we want to keep, let's look at new originations and let's look at runoff on a combined or on a consolidated basis, I think if we're in that $800 million to $1 billion a quarter of runoff, that's where we want to be, and we can pull any 1 of those levers to get there. because as Rich has mentioned, we're seeing some very strong C&I growth right now. And we believe this is the quarter where you're going to see us have that inflection point of balance sheet growth driven by that C&I growth that Rich talked about.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo maybe putting together the C&I side and the CRE side, any thoughts on loan growth overall this quarter?
Unknown Executive
executiveWe think we can be right around $1 billion of balance sheet growth because.
Manan Gosalia
analystThat that's a number...
Unknown Executive
executiveThis is a real inflection point for the company since we've been there. we predicted this at our earnings call that this would be the inflection point where the balance sheet starts to expand, and then each quarter can expand a couple of billion dollars each quarter. And we start to build our way back towards $100 billion.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo clearly, really strong loan growth coming through. The other side of the balance sheet, as you were thinking about funding that loan growth. You just had an upgrade on your deposit rating to investment grade. Can you talk about the opportunities that, that ratings upgrade unlocks in terms of either deposit or even on the lending side in terms of the types of clients that you can get.
Joseph Otting
executiveYes. Rich, do you want to take that?
Richard Raffetto
executiveSure. I'll start out, Joseph and hand it over to you. The upgrade to investment grade on the deposit ratings is very meaningful to us, especially as we look to be meaningful to middle market customers and even into the corporate space, many of our clients have minimum deposit counterparty ratings thresholds, and we can now check that box as part of that overall relationship. And we're already seeing the benefits of that, whether it's a financial institution client, a corporate client, a commercial business owner client I think it really helps us from a credibility perspective. We have private banking and wealth clients that moved some of their assets off of our balance sheet. Those -- some of those assets are now coming back on in the form of both deposits and AUM. So it has really multiple touch points, all positive as we get these ratings upgrades.
Joseph Otting
executiveYes. I think the other thing is, as the balance sheet shrunk, we were able to significantly reduce the flub advances and brokered deposits. Our broker deposits now are down in line with our peer group. We've continued to use excess liquidity for the Federal Home Loan advances and last quarter was the first quarter we showed net deposit growth of about $1.4 billion, and we reduced our deposit cost by 23 basis points. We look to have similar kind of deposit growth. And the mix of the deposits for us are going to change is we're putting on 75 new relationships a quarter. The mix of those are going to be more business-related deposits that are less price sensitive. And so as we're looking now to expand the balance sheet, we're going to be able to do that by generating deposits from our customers.
Manan Gosalia
analystThat's all core deposit growth. The other thing that goes hand-in-hand with that is the branch footprint. You have about 340 branches and another 20 private bank offices. So -- can you talk about how you're managing that branch footprint, both from a perspective of bringing in more of these core deposits as well as maybe what it does on the C&I side.
Joseph Otting
executiveYes. The branch -- we think the branch system for us has a real opportunity we're -- most of our branches are in very affluent markets because they had a bit of a legacy around the thrift model. And most of those branches were put in places where there was lots of liquidity and so we have very good -- we have a very good branch network, and we've been working on really driving our new strategy in the branch, which is more focused on relationship type banking versus just paying high deposit rates and having the vast majority of deposits being CDs or money market. I would say we're kind of in the opening innings of that strategy. We really look for that to come together over the next year. But that's a bit -- that's probably the biggest opportunity that we have on the deposit side is really get our branch system focused on relationship banking.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo as more of those core deposits come in, there is more opportunity to reduce deposit costs.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, 100%. But I mean, I think if we grew $1.2 billion last quarter, we'll grow $1.2 billion this quarter. and we look for that deposit growth to accelerate predominantly coming from private banking and the wholesale banking.
Manan Gosalia
analystDoes that help on the loan growth side as well? Or is that more of a deposit cost?
Joseph Otting
executiveWell, on the business side, usually, what happens is in a single bank relationship, you do the loan -- and over a 60-, 90-day, the treasury management, the deposits and the interest rate derivatives all flow over to the bank. In the larger transaction, where there's maybe 2 or 4 banks, doing the loan effectively gives you the ticket to compete for the other noninterest income and depository in the company. So as we book those type of transactions, there's a little bit longer delay, but we clearly have a pricing model that makes it difficult for it to do a loan-only relationship, that the relationship managers have to be interacting with the management teams, talking about what other sources of revenue that are going to be available to the company, and we document that in the relationship plan. So we'll go back 12 months from now and say, were we able to get those 401(k) business or the payments business or the treasury management to adjunct the return on our credit relationship.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo maybe then let's talk about fees, but I do want to get back to NIM and NII. But -- as you think about these in the product set when it comes to servicing middle-market and corporate borrowers -- can you discuss what your capital markets and treasury management capabilities are that help you get that fee business in as well?
Joseph Otting
executiveYes. Those sit under red. So I think.
Unknown Executive
executiveSure. Investing in the core commercial banking products, including the transaction services like treasury management and commercial card, they are core to our strategy as well as the traditional set of bank capital markets. So loan syndications, certainly, interest rate hedging and derivatives capabilities, foreign exchange. We're launching a commodity derivatives capability to serve our customers better in the energy ecosystem. We've got wealth management and related products for business owners, particularly if they experience a liquidity event, but we can also do day-to-day activities like 401(k) plan advisory. So wrapping a commercial client that we started a relationship with on the lending side with deposit and these other fee services is all about the core of the relationship management strategy. And we're adding -- we continue to add additional specialty products that could include specialty financing products like ESOP financing capability or tax exempt lending capability that the bank just didn't have 12 months ago. So every quarter, as new bankers come on board, they're mining us of product capabilities that we either need to enhance or get into, and we're listening and investing in those product areas, and that will help us drive fee income in the future and round out relationship ROE.
Joseph Otting
executiveWe've built a lot of that out in the last 12 months because either the capabilities weren't being used or we didn't have those. And Rich has done a really good job of hiring a really qualified capital markets team. So we're kind of front and center of offering all the capital market products to our customers. And that's now presented opportunities where we're the lead left on a number of transactions. And then that business getting to that #1 spot is very critical.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo you're getting more of the relationship from the client perspective -- maybe piping back the net interest margins. As we think about the NIM. It came in at 2.15% in the first quarter, your guidance is for $270 million to $280 million in 2027. How does the current rate environment change that, right? We've had some more an increase in the belly the curve, long end of the curve, maybe rate cuts are coming out of the forward curve as well. How do you see that impacting funding costs and the NIM overall in the longer term?
Lee Smith
executiveYes. I don't think it really affects where we think we can get our NIM margin, and that's because there are a number of levers for us expand our NIM from where it is today. On the asset side, between now and the end of '27, we've got $12 billion of multifamily and CRE loans that are hitting their reset maturity dates. With a weighted average coupon of less than 3.8%. So they will either reset at a higher rate, and we'll get the NIM benefit or they will pay off, and we will use that liquidity and capital and give it to Rich, who is growing new C&I loans at an average spread to sofa of $2.25 to $2.40. So again, a very, very strong market rate. We have $2.5 billion of nonaccrual loans. So as we continue to work down the nonaccruals, that is trapped earnings, so it'll expand NIM. And it's also trapped capital because they're 150% risk weighted. So as we further reduce the non-accruals that will have a positive impact on NIM and interest income. And then on the liability side, we continue to pay down wholesale borrowings, as Joseph mentioned, and we paid down Fluadvances we've paid down more in the second quarter that will help NIM. And we're also able to reduce core deposit costs even without Fed cuts. And the way we do that is we typically have about $5 billion of retail CDs maturing every quarter. And we're able -- and we're retaining 86% of them but rolling them into new CDs, that are typically 20, 25, 30 basis points lower than the maturing CDs. And we meet on this as a team weekly, and we're very surgical looking at money market and savings accounts. And just understanding where can we take 5 basis points, 10 basis points out without jeopardizing deposit balances. So we will continue to do that. If there are fed cuts, then our expected beta is 55 to 60, and we were certainly achieving that and more based on the rate cuts that we saw at the end of last year.
Manan Gosalia
analystAnd so it feels like you have a lot more flexibility on the deposit side. So even if deposit competition is picking up a little bit for the industry, it sounds like you have a lot more flexibility there.
Lee Smith
executiveI think we can -- we're able to sort of strategically reduce those deposit costs, as I mentioned. But the other thing we expect to start seeing coming through. And I think -- it ties into what Joseph mentioned about the $1.4 billion of deposit growth in Q1. We feel we'll be at a similar number in Q2. It's leveraging those new C&I relationships and other relationships to bring in ultimately noninterest-bearing DDAs, but also low-cost deposits as well, tying it to the lending that we're doing. So that's another capability and more optionality we have on the deposit side.
Unknown Executive
executiveAnd the other thing to remind the history is that we started from a much higher cost of interest-bearing deposits. So our ability to bring that down to market is an easier task, so to speak. I mean, we lowered our interest-bearing deposits by 23 basis points in last quarter. And so when you start from a higher spot and looking at where the market is, we can bring those deposits down and our customers are not going to be able to look around and see that we're out of market.
Manan Gosalia
analystAll right. Perfect. So let's talk about expenses. Expenses is down about 9% year-on-year in 1Q. You're guiding to further reductions in both '26 and '27 in at the same time, more banks are talking about investments in areas like AI, you're investing on the commercial side as well. So can you help us think through how you're balancing both the investment spend as well as the cost saves?
Unknown Executive
executiveSo we -- as you know, Manan, we have taken out over $700 million of costs over the last 18 months on an annualized basis. And -- it's not an easy thing. I mean there's no shortcut to doing that. You have to look at and under every single rock. But if you go back 2 years ago, I think the head count of this organization was about 9,200 and we're 5,300, 5,400 today. But we continue to see opportunities to further reduce our expense base through technology projects coming online that will allow us to get more efficient we continue to drive vendor expenses out of the organization as we continue to produce profitability quarter-over-quarter and improve asset quality that will reduce FDIC expenses. We're looking at optimizing real estate, particularly some of the operating centers that we currently have. So we believe that we will achieve the NIE guidance that we have in our projections the '26 and '27, which would put us in '26 at about $1.7 billion to $1.75 billion of operating expense. And then at $1.65 billion to $1.7 billion of operating expense in '27. Those numbers are net of the investment that we continue to make in Rich's businesses and the investment that we're making in technology as well. So yes, while we've done a lot on the expense side, there is more we feel we can do to drive expenses down. But at the same time, we're still investing heavily in the business.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo Richard spoke about some of the investment spend, right, there's investment spend in products. And then clearly, there's hiring that you guys are doing as well. What is the investment spend on the tax side that you're doing right now?
Unknown Executive
executiveWell, first of all, when we arrived, we had 6 data centers in the organization. And we, over the last 12 months, successfully closed all 6 of those. Opened up 2 new co-location centers. So we went from [indiscernible] Ford Fairlane to modern state-of-the-art infrastructure. We also will be converting our core system. We're on 2 core systems. We'll go to 1 core system next year. That will save us roughly $42 million a year in 2028 when we get through the conversion. But I think the other areas that we've really invested in is the risk governance structure of the company. You've heard numbers, we have probably invested $40 million in our risk governance structure to make sure that as we go back and get over the $100 billion, we're prepared and ready for that. And then as we've said, Rich is area -- we've added 350 people. We've invested in products all the way at the time the net takeouts were $700 million. So probably it's more like $900 million to $1 billion when you would say, on the safe side, but we have been reinvesting in the company.
Lee Smith
executiveAnd you think about the use cases for AI in all financial services, we look to participate in that from a financial statement spreading, credit memo underwriting, QA/QC. There's a lot of applications just in our commercial area where we think we can continue to scale the platform in a more efficient manner by embracing AI and other technology tools.
Joseph Otting
executiveAnd in fact, we have our own Star IQ, which is our own internal AI tool that people can use in the bank. It's amazing we have 89% utilization of it. We want to continue to expand how people are using it. We've kind of had people go from Google to AI tool. But really, we want people to use it for contract reviews. And as Rich was saying, financial analysis, all those things are available for people to use that. And it's going to make us a much more efficient organization.
Manan Gosalia
analystJoseph, you also mentioned going over $100 billion. If as the tailoring rules change, how does that impact any of the investment spend?
Joseph Otting
executiveI don't think it changes because we've made the investment now, and we feel good about that investment and what it looks like. I do think that rule eventually gets raised, but that probably impacts 10 or 12 banks. While a lot of the things that you see, the regulatory community doing today impacts thousands of banks. And so they've really kind of focused on the side of where it has a big impact. And I think this whole issue in the regulatory community about focusing on MRAs or MOUs or supervisory action on material financial thing. I think is really profound. And I think when that final rule comes out from the FDIC and the OCC, it's going to be incredibly impactful for banks that they can now focus on the things that are most important everybody gets on the same page of that. And I think the regulatory harmony with banks will be really solid that we're all focusing on the right things.
Manan Gosalia
analystGot it. Let's talk about credit a little bit. One aspect of your credit risk management process is to look out 18 months in your forward-look analysis. So you're currently looking out through the end of 2027. What are you seeing in that analysis today?
Joseph Otting
executiveWhen you do that, you would just have a certain percentage of the banks customers in that portfolio that their fixed charge coverage on their loans are less than 1:1. And so that generally then has a tenet to flow into special mention. If it's substantially below 1:1, then you'll order an appraisal and try to make a determination your primary and secondary source repayment impaired. And so as we've looked out, I would say, this quarter probably had probably the least amount of movement in the portfolio. So we're really talking about, as you said, the fourth quarter of 2027. And then we kind of enter into 2028 where it's roughly $4 billion. So it falls off significantly, and you might say, well, why did that happen? It's because if you go back 5 years, that's when interest rates started to rise, people weren't locking in as much as the long-term debt, they went to more variable rates. So we think the vast majority of that has -- will then be through the process.
Unknown Executive
executiveI think the thing I would -- you got to remember, back in '24, after the new equity came in, we re-underwrote that multifamily and CRE book, and we took significant charge-offs and we increased our ACL reserves and at coverage ratios against a lot of those CRE asset classes are higher than any other bank in the industry. And we do that 18-month look forward. 2027 is the biggest year in terms of resets. We've got almost $9 billion. So by the end of June, we're all the way through looking at that 2027 cohort. And I think what I would say is we're not seeing anything draconian and the way I would validate that is if you look at the last 2 quarters, criticized and classified loans have come down. charge-offs have come down, provision has come down. So if there was anything that was problematic, you wouldn't see those ratios coming down. And we also get annual financial statements on 96% of these borrowers. So -- there is a lot of work we're doing on this asset class. And as we've said before, given the $1 billion plus of our payoffs a quarter, there's a lot of liquidity in the market for this asset class from the agencies other banks and lending institutions.
Manan Gosalia
analystThat holds true even if there's a potential rent freeze your in New York?
Unknown Executive
executiveWe -- I think we've talked about, we ran the analysis, assuming a 3-year rent freeze beginning in October. We assume that market units would be able to increase by 2.1% and their rents on an annual basis, expenses would increase 2.75%, in line with inflation. And what we found was the demarcation line was 70% rent regulated. So buildings that are 70% or less rent regulated doesn't have a significant impact on NOI. Those that are more than 70% rent regulated over that 3-year period, it impacts NOI 7% or 8%. And then as we've looked at our portfolio and we have about $8 billion, half of it is pass rated with a very strong DSCR 1.5 and the crisis to classified. As I mentioned, we have significant between charge-offs and ACL reserves, we've probably got 20% coverage on that. population. So we -- again, we feel pretty good about where we've got that marked.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. And I think the proof is kind of in the pudding, so to speak, is as we've done DPOs and asset sales, virtually all of those have traded at or above where we have a marked on the balance sheet.
Manan Gosalia
analystAll right. And a quick clarification. There were some headlines recently regarding potential relief for certain categories of rent-regulated landlords. Does that -- is that meaningful for your customer set?
Unknown Executive
executiveWell, I think the 2 points that have been made is there is what they call go units that are in the market where people have moved out of the units and the landlord could not get a sufficient return on their investment to remodel to make the units occupiable again. So they just basically closed the door locked in and didn't put a new tenant in, -- we're still trying to figure out the details around that, but I think that would be a brilliant move by the Mayor's office. If they unleash those 50,000 to 60,000 units and got them back in the market, that would be the easiest way to create availability. There's also talk about city backed insurance platform. A lot of those projects have seen 30%, 40% back-to-back year insurance cost increases. And so lowering that. And then there's tax abatement where some of the larger projects have gotten tax abatement, but they signed up to CapEx expenditures over the next 20 years for those tax abatements. So I think there are things and solutions that are coming together to try to solve what is in a lot of instance, so very difficult economics for the owners of those buildings. So if anything, it would be a positive.
Manan Gosalia
analystOkay. Perfect. Okay. So let's -- in the last minute or so that we have, let's end with capital. Joseph, just given the approximately $1.6 billion of excess capital that Paxar has today. How are you thinking about the pace of capital deployment going forward? And how you're thinking about organic growth versus buybacks there?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. I -- the number you have is on an apex basis, $2.3 billion on a pretax, we're roughly 13.3% on CET1 that obviously will probably increase this quarter. Our target is in the 10.5% level range. So the bank does today have what would be deemed excess capital. We've communicated that 3 things that the management team thinks is important to gather around 1 that our core earnings are consistent and solid. -- we hope to begin to have the third quarter of profitability. The second is that we continue to improve the credit quality and the trend line on that is good as well. and then really getting an understanding as Rich ramps up the C&I business, how much capital will be necessary to support his $2.5 billion to $3 billion of originations and how much real estate would pay down. And our plan is in the second half of the year, is after we've gone and discussed it with the Board, is that we think we would head in the direction of doing some type of stock buyback. And we think we have enough capital due to the organic growth that we anticipate happening.
Manan Gosalia
analystSo stay tuned for that July.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, sometime in the second half.
Manan Gosalia
analystGreat. With that, we're out of time. Joe, just Lee, Rich.
Joseph Otting
executiveThanks so much for pleasure.
Richard Raffetto
executiveThank you.
Lee Smith
executiveThank you
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