Fortis Healthcare Limited (FORTIS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 16, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day, ladies and gentlemen, and a very warm welcome to the Q1 FY '22 Post Results Conference Call of Fortis Healthcare Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Anurag Kalra, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations at Fortis Healthcare Limited. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Kalra.
Anurag Kalra
executiveThank you, Ali. A very good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Fortis Healthcare's Quarter 1 FY '22 Earnings Call. The call is being chaired by Dr. Ashutosh Raghuvanshi, our CEO; with him, we have Mr. Vivek Goyal, our Chief Financial Officer; from SRL, the CEO of SRL, Mr. Anand joins us; and he's accompanied by Mr. Mangesh, who is the Chief Financial Officer of SRL. I hope everyone's got the press release and investor presentation that we had released on Friday evening. And I'm going to request Dr. Raghuvanshi to start with some comments on the business, followed by Anand, who will take you through the highlights of the Diagnostics business, and then we can open the floor for question and answers. Over to Dr. Raghuvanshi.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThank you, Anurag. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our Q1 Financial Year '22 Earnings Call. Thank you for joining us on the call today. I hope you and your families are safe and well in the aftermath of second wave, which has now significantly declined. Before I move on to the performance for the quarter, a word again of thanks to the endless service provided by our doctors, medical staff and nonmedical staff during the second wave. It has been over a year now, and COVID has seen peaks and troughs. This time around, given the intensity of the pandemic, we faced severe challenges in terms of some medical resources like oxygen. Despite these, our workforce made all efforts to ensure that COVID patients were treated and cared for as best as possible. We are also actively supporting the government to accelerate vaccination effort across the country with 24 of our facilities providing COVID vaccinations. I would also advise a word of caution on a possible third wave, which is currently being seen in some nations globally. While we are relatively better prepared having augmented our medical resources, the impact, if any, on the third wave would also depend on its intensity and the spread of transmission. Let me begin by providing you an update on the Supreme Court matter. As you know, all hearings concluded in the first half of May, and the courts were on a summer vacation post that. They have reopened towards the month of July, and we eagerly await a judgment by the honorable court, which is expected some time soon, probably before the end of next month. With this, let me straight away go to the performance for the quarter. I'm pleased to state that despite the first half of the quarter witnessing a serious second wave of the pandemic, the later half has witnessed a speedy recovery with the non-COVID revenues showing greater traction. This is in contrast to the first wave, wherein despite the fall in COVID cases, elective procedures were slow to begin and took a while to [Technical Difficulty]. The performance for the quarter in both the hospitals and the Diagnostics business has been aided both by the volume of tests and patients related to COVID as well as the faster bounce back of the non-COVID business. Coming to the financial performance for the quarter. At a consolidated level, we have recorded healthy revenues of INR 1,410 crores with 70% coming from hospital business and 30% from Diagnostics. The revenue for the quarter are significantly higher than Q1 financial year '21 and also better by 13% versus quarter 4 of financial year '21. Our overall EBITDA margins for the quarter are approximately 20% versus negative margin in Q1 financial year '21 at around 16% margins in quarter 4 of financial year '21. Our profit before tax prior to exceptional item is a robust INR 180 crores versus a loss of INR 209 crores in the Q1 of last fiscal. This is also a 64% increase over quarter 4 of financial year '21. At the PAT level, we have reported a PAT of INR 431 crores versus a loss of INR 188 crores in the Q1 of last fiscal. We continue to maintain a healthy balance sheet with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.9x versus 1.04x at the end of Q4 of financial year '21. Our net debt-to-equity ratio is also similar to quarter 4 of '21 at around 0.14x. A few comments on the hospital business. revenues were at INR 1,006 crore versus INR 488 crores in Q1 last fiscal and versus INR 982 crores in quarter 4 of financial year '21. EBITDA margins were at 15% at INR 50 crores versus a loss of INR 85 crores in Q1 of financial year '21. We saw an overall occupancy of 65% as compared to 37% in Q1 financial year '21 and 64% in quarter 4 of financial year '21. More importantly, non-COVID occupancy improved from 30% in May to 47% in June and continues to become stronger in the month of July, and the trend continues in this month as well. This shows that return to normal is rather quick compared to the first wave. Our ARPOB has also shown a steady improvement with the overall ARPOB at INR 1.62 crores versus INR 1.51 crores in Q1 of financial year '21 and INR 1.7 crores in Q4 of financial year '21. Despite the high COVID volumes, the ARPOB has been robust with the non-COVID ARPOB growing 8.5% to INR 1.97 crore versus Q4 of financial year '21. Our overall COVID revenue contribution to the hospital revenue stood at 27%. In addition to the above, we have maintained our focus on various cost optimization levers and continue to look at a host of matrix, including, amongst other things, pharmacy procurement costs, medical consumables, consumption metrics and other costs related to general and administrative expenses. Cost has continued to be a perineal area of focus and value addition for the team. With the speed recovery witnessed in the later half of the quarter, we have maintained traction on our growth and investment plans. Our bed expansion plans are underway with the current plan to add 1,200 to 1,300 beds over the next couple of years. These would all be brownfield expansions. We have initiated investments in a host of medical equipment, including cath labs, neuro microscopes, new bone marrow transplant units, oxygen generator plants in selected facilities. In addition to the above, we continue to strengthen our clinical workforce by adding in eminent doctors in the specialties of pulmonology, oncology, cardiology and orthopedics. I'm also quite pleased to share with you that our diagnostic business is now on a firm footing. The business recorded robust revenues of INR 441 crores, aided by both COVID and non-COVID test volumes and the consolidation of our SRL DDRC joint venture, in which we have now acquired the balance, 50% stake of the joint venture. Diagnostic business EBITDA margin for the quarter were at a robust 31% versus negative margin in the corresponding previous quarter and margins of 22% in the fourth quarter of financial year '21. While Anand will take through the performance of the business for Q1, I think our diagnostics business is now well poised to further accelerate its growth and profitability. The DDRC SRL JV acquisition has fortified our presence in Kerala as a market leader and also help SRL consolidate its Pan India position as the second largest diagnostic chain in the country by revenue. With this acquisition, we have also significantly strengthened our B2C business contribution, which is now at a healthy 56% versus 45% in Q4 financial year '21. More for Anand to elaborate on later. Just some concluding thoughts before I wrap up. I think we have seen a challenging start to financial year '22, but have seen the business rebound quickly, and I expect the recovery momentum to continue allowing us to show progressively better quarters going forward. The industry has further evolved with the new health care delivery models, a heightened focus on digitalization and increasing opportunities for growth and consolidation. We remain acutely aware of all these and believe are well placed in terms of our infrastructure and capabilities to partake in these, keeping in mind our long-term strategic direction. I would now hand over to Anand to take you through the diagnostic business. Thank you. Over to you, Anand.
Anand K.
executiveThank you. Thank you Dr. Raghuvanshi and a very good morning to everyone on the call. Thank you for joining us today. On behalf of SRL Diagnostics, I warmly welcome you all to our Q1 FY '22 results conference call. Some of you may be experiencing new cases of coronavirus around you or would be coming out of a very difficult period due to the rising cases in some parts of the country. So I wish you all well. And with all humility and hope, I believe the future holds better days for everyone around the country. Looking at our Q1 numbers, I can only say that we are coming off a very strong first quarter where our revenues grew by 214% versus the same quarter last year to reach INR 441 crores, which is our highest ever recorded quarterly revenue. Our EBITDA stood at INR 135 crores in absolute sum and in terms of margin, at 30.6% for the quarter, which is also the highest ever achieved so far. I'm also particularly happy to let you know that we recorded our highest ever non-COVID revenues this quarter. These were primarily driven by higher volumes. Pandemic has made the world realize the importance of diagnostics, not just in terms of advances in technology, but more in terms of public perception of diagnostics as a critical vertical in health care. This has resulted in a growth spurt in preventive packages. We have seen an increase of 2.5x in our preventive care portfolio versus Q1 of FY '21. Being a true PAN India player with equitable geographical distribution, we were able to serve patients across the country and conducted 1.6 million COVID-19 RT-PCR tests, the highest in the private sector. At the same time, SRL recorded the highest ever B2C contribution of 54% in this quarter, driven by digital initiatives and home collections. Throughout the pandemic, SRL also supported its channel partners to grow their businesses by promoting their services via our digital initiatives. On the M&A and partnership front, in Q1 FY '22, we completed the acquisition of our balanced 50% stake in DDRC SRL Diagnostics Private Limited. This was in line with our strategy to increase our market share in the diagnostic space, especially in the southern part of the country. Operationally, DDRC has been fully integrated into SRL. This acquisition has made SRL a leader in the South, amongst national players and the lab chain with the highest number of pathology labs across the country. We also became the official lab diagnostics partner of the Indian Olympic Association for the Tokyo 2020 and Paris 2024 games. As a part of our collaboration, we conducted pathology tests of all players representing India, coaches, media and government officials traveling to Tokyo for the Olympics. The COVID-19 pandemic has no doubt accelerated the adoption of digital efforts industry-wide, making it essential for health care organizations to adopt new technologies. Technology and innovation, however, is not new for SRL, we have always been early adopters of technology in our category. But now we have seen its adoption has increased significantly across the board, and that can be a major growth driver in the coming years. Therefore, to improve our customer experience, we took some digital initiatives, which resulted in significant growth in home collection. We generated approximately INR 30 crores of revenue through home collection channel and conducted 2.35 lakhs home visits in Q1 FY '22, which is also our highest ever quarterly number. We took multiple initiatives to expand our home collection reach and continue to do so. Currently, we are providing home collection services in 140 cities across the country. Recently, we also revamped our website into an e-commerce website with PWA for a seamless user experience. Our new website comes with features like chatting with experts, searching SRL center near you, booking multiple tests, booking home visits, tracking phlebotomus real time to name a few. We have enrolled ourselves for a national digital health mission and are collaborating with them as a health information partner to collect and verify unique health IDs, link pathology reports with health ID and digitally share pathology reports with other health information users based on patient's consent. All these initiatives are on customer centricity and digital transformation will help us build an organization that is technologically future ready and able to meet the changing expectations of our patients, clinicians and employees in the post-COVID era. All along, we have also worked on improving and retooling our doctor engagement programs, which have helped us forge stronger ties with clinicians. The pandemic has no doubt highlighted the need for extensive RT-PCR testing to contain the virus. And when during the second wave, diagnostic facilities were under severe stress, it only affirmed our confidence that we need to continue our investments in workforce and technology. To cater to the growing demand and prepare ouselves for the third wave, we expanded our existing testing capacity and opened more centers and drive-through sites to collect samples across the length and breadth of the country. We have engaged with corporates in the travel and entertainment sector this quarter to support their safe return to work. As of date, we have built a network of 16 RT-PCR labs across the country. And in Q1, we commenced 111 new customer touch points across the country. Additionally, to support our government in the national COVID vaccination program, we have now started vaccinations for general public in 4 of our centers. Over the last decade, genomics has acquired a prominent position within clinical medicine. We have established an advanced center for genomics at our Mumbai reference laboratory that can provide solutions to clinicians through precision diagnostics in the areas of oncology, reproductive health, infectious diseases and inherited disorders. Apart from this, in Q1, we also launched several new tests like Covinow, Gastro Panel, Mucoreal, Fungi-real, Clinical Exomes, Gene rearrangement studies, to name a few. Looking back at the quarter, I'm happy that we continue to deliver on our mission to contribute to the well-being of the communities we serve by ensuring the continuity of our operations during the COVID-19 second wave. I would like to sincerely thank my colleagues at SRL Diagnostics for their incredible efforts and commitment during these tough times. We also continue to make good progress on our strategy execution by enhancing our development pipelines of both routine and specialized segments, launching new tests, making inroads into newer set of markets, driving productivity and accelerating our innovation agenda. We are committed to improve customer experience through data-driven actionable insights enabling a convenient one-stop shop for all our customers' diagnostic needs. We are well positioned to continue our momentum, delivering profitable and sustainable growth in the coming months. With that, I would like to hand over the call to Mr. Anurag Kalra, Head of our Investor Relations. Thank you for your attention.
Anurag Kalra
executiveThank you, Anand. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now open the floor for question and answers. Moderator, if you could please take that.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of [ Priyank Gupta ] from [ Guardian Advisors ].
Unknown Analyst
analystCongratulations to the team for turning around the business and handling this COVID wave for the whole country. My heartiest congratulations. My short question is regarding the diagnostic business. If the management can help us understand if the diagnostic businesses are getting very good valuations now, so any of the investors or the company is looking at monetizing any of its stake in that business?
Vivek Goyal
executiveSo for us, it remains a very strategic business. So the other private equity investors are there, they may be doing their own study. But from the company perspective, Fortis side, this will remain as a very strategetic asset for us and there is no plan for divestment.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Amit Khetan from Laburnum Capital.
Amit Khetan
analystCan you share a little more granular details on your bed addition plans over the next couple of years? So how many beds are going to be operational in which facilities? And what is the growth and the maintenance CapEx for the next couple of years?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes, I will take this question. So we have [Technical Difficulty] We have choked out around 1,300 beds, which we'll be adding to the facilities in the next 3 to 4 years' time, okay? And most of this beds -- majority part of this beds expansion is coming in the NCR region in all our major facilities in NCR, where the adjacent land parcel is available and the units are operating at 70% plus occupancy, and we are planning to expand it. Apart from that, there will be a couple of other units like in Mumbai and Kolkata, where there are certain building which was under completion, which we are getting completed and making the bed operationalized. As regard your other question of maintenance CapEx every year, so we planned around INR 150 crores every year as a maintenance CapEx. It is slightly on a higher side because the company was not able to spend much prior to 2019 and there is a lot of accumulated maintenance CapEx. And this we are rationalizing based on the priority of the particular unit. I hope I answered your question.
Amit Khetan
analystYes. And what is the growth CapEx for the next 2 years?
Vivek Goyal
executiveGrowth CapEx will be in the range of INR 200 crores every year.
Amit Khetan
analystGot it, got it. And can you share the occupancy levels for the month of June and July as well as the non-COVID occupancy for July?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes. So that we can share. So the occupancy for the quarter was just 65%. For July, it is 61% because COVID occupancy has come down. But we are [Technical Difficulty] occupancy level from 61% will go up further because of the surgical and non-COVID work has started coming, and we expect very good growth in that
Amit Khetan
analystGot it, got it. And lastly, your payer mix has improved significantly in the quarter-on-quarter with scheme patients contributing only 16%. How sustainable is this? And would this be the major contributor to the higher non-COVID ARPOB?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes, that will -- our endeavor from beginning was to increase the cash and TPA business. And so we are successful to some extent. And we continue on that line. And mind you this is after taking into account the decline in the international business, which has substantially come down because of the travel restriction and flight restriction in India. So we expect the -- and despite that, we'll be able to achieve this. So there's no reason to doubt that in future we'll not be achieving this.
Amit Khetan
analystSure. So the 16% scheme patients is sustainable?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes, 15% to 17%, as I said, there is a growth plan also to some of the units where we are expanding the capacity. There initially, we may have to take the certain -- the scheme patients.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Rushabh Sharedalal from Pravin Ratilal Share and Stockbrokers.
Rushabh Sharedalal
analystJust 1 question on the exceptional gain of INR 306 crores that you have booked in this quarter. So what is this exactly, if you can explain it in a little bit of details?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes. So we can explain this. So as you might be aware that SRL -- our subsidiary, SRL Limited, whilst having a joint venture in Kerala in the name of DDRC, okay? So this entity, we were owning 50%, and 50% was owned by our JV partner. In April 5, 2021, we have acquired the balance 50% stake from the JV partner. As per accounting standard, the book -- we need to revalue our investment when we are changing JV to the wholly owned subsidiary and as a result of which, we have to value this -- our existing investment, 50% investment in the DDRC at the fair value, which comes to around INR 350 crores fair value, and the difference is the carrying value and the fair value, is coming in the P&L.
Rushabh Sharedalal
analystOkay. So it means that the cost of our acquisition for this 50% -- so we have acquired that less than INR 300 crores. The difference is the INR 300 crores, right?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes. So what I said, for 50% acquisition, we have paid INR 350 crores. Okay? The additional 50% stake, we have paid INR 350 crores. The existing investment -- existing 50% was carrying in the books at around INR 43 crores, which includes the initial investment plus accumulated results. okay? So that value, we need to reevaluate as per accounting standard. And the value -- the difference in the value was recorded as an exceptional gain in the P&L.
Rushabh Sharedalal
analystOkay. So 100% of the revenues of DDRC would now be included in our consolidated finance statement, right?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes. This quarter includes the DDRC revenue also.
Rushabh Sharedalal
analystSo what exactly is that number? And what is the PAT number, if you can share that for DDRC particularly?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes, yes.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveSo the revenues for DDRC in the quarter are about INR 69 crores. The margins at the EBITDA level are more or less in tune with the SRL margins.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Ayush Pansari from Allegro Capital.
Ayush Pansari
analystSo I have a question on the same DDRC acquisition. What I understand was 50% was held by Fortis Hospitals, right? And the additional 50%, which has been acquired, has it been acquired by SRL or has it been acquired by Fortis?
Vivek Goyal
executiveNo, the 50% was owned by the subsidiary of SRL. Existing 50% was also owned by the existing subsidiary of SRLD and that subsidiary only has acquired the balanced 50% stake.
Ayush Pansari
analystOkay. So the entire DDRC acquisition has been made by SRL?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes, yes. The entire DDRC through SRL.
Ayush Pansari
analystOkay. The -- one more question is, what is the additional IndAS impact, IndAS 116 impact because of DDRC? Like I understand the total impact was INR 50 crores, INR 25 crores was hospital and INR 25 crores was diagnostic broadly. What would be the additional impact because of DDRC consolidation?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes, that will be mainly because of -- except this one-off item, which I have explained in detail, there will be -- there are certain leases which need to be having the 116 impact. Mangesh will be able to comment on this.
Mangesh Shirodkar
executiveSo we are evaluating that. This is a preliminary PPA that we have done right now. And we'll be coming up with a [Technical Difficulty] impacted by during the 3 quarters. So this was a premium impact because of the acquisition as per the studies based on PPAs.
Vivek Goyal
executiveEstimate?
Mangesh Shirodkar
executiveEstimate, we don't have estimate right now. So it will be a very small amount. It won't be a big amount.
Ayush Pansari
analystOkay. So no major impact on EBITDA because of DDRC is what...
Mangesh Shirodkar
executiveNo impact. No.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Adi Desai from York Capital.
Adi Desai
analystCongrats again on the excellent quarter and historic highs and EBITDA across both segments. My question is on the SRL. I just wanted to get a sense on, if we on organic revenue and EBITDA growth, if we exclude the impact of the acquisition, what was the real like organic growth we saw both from a year-on-year and Q-on-Q basis, excluding the DDRC kind of acquisition over here?
Anand K.
executiveWithout DDRC, we have actually grown by about 21%.
Adi Desai
analystIs that on a Q-on-Q or year-on-year basis?
Anand K.
executiveThis is actually we are -- on the sequential -- QOQ, by 164%. If you compare it, I was saying more like to compare with Q1 of FY '20, then it will be 20% -- 21%. Because last...
Vivek Goyal
executiveRight.
Adi Desai
analystGot it. Okay. That's useful. And then so on that, I mean, I wanted -- 1 more follow-up question was on the -- sorry, non-COVID volumes, which, as you kind of highlighted, have increased significantly Q-on-Q. What was the non-COVID volumes, excluding DDRC over here?
Anand K.
executiveNon-COVID revenues, excluding DDRC?
Adi Desai
analystSo non-COVID volumes, so non-COVID volumes last year -- last quarter was INR 6.9 million in terms of volumes. And non-COVID volumes for this quarter is INR 9 million. So if I exclude the DDRC volumes, what were the like volumes for non-COVID that we saw this quarter.
Vivek Goyal
executiveRevenue is INR 250 crores.
Adi Desai
analystHappy to take this offline as well. I just wanted to get a sense on organic growth and profitability and revenues and volumes.
Anand K.
executiveRight. It's INR 284 crores. INR 284 crores without DDRC.
Adi Desai
analystINR 284 crores. Got it.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Prateek Mandhana from Nomura.
Prateek Mandhana
analystSir, 1 question on the DDRC, but you told that revenue is INR 69 crores. Is that the gross revenue or the net revenue that...
Vivek Goyal
executiveIt is a gross revenue.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveSo it's the gross revenue.
Prateek Mandhana
analystSo sir, what would be the net revenue number for DDRC, if you can share that?
Anand K.
executiveSo there is no specific -- from the Fortis point of view, there is no specific net revenue there because it's not part of that revenue generated from Fortis. We will only have a net and gross only for the Fortis generated revenues.
Prateek Mandhana
analystAnd what would be the COVID and non-COVID split in the DDRC revenue?
Anand K.
executiveSo 40% of the revenue is from COVID. But this is specifically if you see the pricing of COVID in Kerala was very high in month of April, but in May and June, it has significantly come down. So I think going forward also, it will be much lesser compared to what it is now in terms of percentage everything.
Prateek Mandhana
analystOkay. And sir, on the margin bit, sir, so what should be like the sustainable margin? Because this quarter, we have seen the margin expanded mainly because of operating leverage, it has gone about 30-odd percent. So what should be the sustainable margins for the SRL business?
Anand K.
executiveSo the sustainable steady state margins would be somewhere around 22% to 24%.
Prateek Mandhana
analystOkay. And just some of our peers are having margins somewhere between 25% to 30%. So can we reach those kind of margins maybe some years down the line? Or is this some...
Anand K.
executiveYes, we are moving forward to that in that direction. So I think in the next couple of years, we'll be reaching those kind of margins.
Prateek Mandhana
analystOkay. And sir, sir, 1 question on the vaccine, which was -- so how much revenue was generated in the hospitals from the vaccine -- vaccination?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThe total vaccine revenue for this quarter was INR 45 crores.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Shyam Srinivasan from Goldman Sachs.
Shyam Srinivasan
analystJust the first 1 on the hospital business. I think in the opening remarks, Dr. Ashutosh said that July, August we're starting to see non-COVID come back, more surgical work come back. So what's the outlook in terms of one occupancy and revenue mix as we look forward? I know there is a -- you also cautioned us about a potential third wave. But -- If you were to look at over the next 9 months, what should we be keeping in mind? And a related question on the hospital is on the margins. I think if I -- as per your presentation, if I were to check even the Chennai part, margins came off Q-o-Q between 4Q and 1Q of 14.7%. So does it have an element of -- you called out INR 45 crores, but is the EBITDA lower there from a margin perspective? Also COVID in the mix, has it also diluted margin?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes. So as far as the occupancy levels currently are concerned are in the ranges of between 60% and 70% fluctuating. So I expect that to stabilize to 65-plus within this month and certainly from next month over. Now as compared to the previous wave, it was very different this time, and it is likely to remain different even if there was to be a third wave. And we believe that the occupancy levels should remain generally within those ranges [Technical Difficulty]. So with that in mind, and I think from the numbers we've been able to achieve during this quarter, our belief is that even though there may be a third wave, but it will not have too much impact on our business unless until there is something which is totally, totally unusual. That is regards to the possibility for the next few months. And also, we should see the gradual resumption of the international business, which should also give us upside during the third quarter for sure. And then if there is no third wave, then the fourth quarter should make it even better. As far as the profitability from COVID is concerned, it's certainly lower because of the fact that there are price controls, et cetera, and our ARPOBs typically are lower in the corporate business. However, if we were to take out just the vaccine part of it, then within that, the margins, the profitability is about to the tune of about 28% to 30%. So that itself is not a bad business. However, there is a lot of problem in terms of supply of vaccines to the private sector now. And demand in private sector for vaccines has also come down. that is why it may not be a significant number going forward, both either in terms of top line or bottom line as far as the COVID is concerned.
Shyam Srinivasan
analystJust want to get the margin outlook on a longer-term basis. I guess in the past, we have talked about it moving towards 16% to 18%. So can you highlight us whether that trajectory can come through? And what would be some of the drivers for that?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes. No, absolutely. You see if we compare with, say, sequential quarters and from quarter 4 to quarter 1, because of the COVID wave, we have seen that our profitability has not grown. However, in spite of the fact that 27%, 28% business came from COVID, the profitability has remained more or less in the same range. So we believe that this is only as the things normalize, the profitability profile will only improve from here on. As far as the triggers for that are concerned, one of them was mentioned earlier, which is a favorable patient mix kept our scheme business always limited, below 17%. And we tend to -- we aim to keep it between 15% and 17%, except when we are having some hospitals where the new capacities may be created. But on a blended basis, we always like to keep it at that level. So that is one of the things. The second thing is for last 1.5 years because of the uncertainties, there were no pricing levers used at all. So there would be some bit of pricing initiatives, which we will be doing. Other than that, we are working on some of the supply chain initiatives that would bring in some things on the savings side.
Shyam Srinivasan
analystJust 1 last question on the SRL piece. So if we look at the COVID contribution, about 25%, 26%, so about INR 150 crores, if we just back it out. So we're seeing in this quarter may be volumes -- cases may have come down, testing still continues. So just based on that 2Q, 3Q, how should we -- at least 2Q how should we think about COVID contribution? And when you guide from 50% today to say, 22% on a normal term or a more sustainable business, where is the thing that comes off, right? I'm just curious. Is it the COVID revenue significantly higher margin, and that is where you're trying to now strip out?
Anand K.
executiveSo the 2 parts to your question, Shyam. So first is on the -- whether the COVID as a percentage of total revenue contribution will come down? Yes, it's definitely coming down and it will come down. So we think that it will be somewhere in the range of 14% to 15% of our total revenues. In terms of, as you rightly said, there is an operating leverage that has taken our EBITDA to higher levels in this quarter. We hope this on a steady-state basis, we'll be able to be somewhere between 22% to 24% for the rest of the month. This is primarily not just driven by COVID related stuff because what happens in COVID is that it's not that -- COVID also has operating leverage. The volumes are high. So we get a higher EBITDA from there. But we also have to understand that we are overall -- we have -- we are going back to our original rate of how many centers that we have and all the centers coming up to their optimal performance.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Rakesh Jhunjhunwala from Rare Enterprises.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystCongrats to fine results. So I wanted to ask that in normalized circumstances, what kind of occupancy we aim for? So there is no COVID, and foreign travel is allowed. So what kind of occupancy we can target, 75%, 80%, 85%? What will be reasonable?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveAbsolutely. We are targeting anything around 75% as an optimal occupancy level. Beyond that, I think the hospitals get overcrowded, but 75% is what we are targeting in the next 3 quarters.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystAnd in your bed addition you have 2 main capital expenditures. One is you're adding beds and adding equipment, which are not related to [Technical Difficulty]. So what is the kind of -- how many beds expansion have you planned for the next 2, 3 years?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThe total bed expansion, we have planned is about 1,300 beds, which will come over a period of 2 to 3 years. Some of that may go into the third year. And some of it, if we get any delays on the project side might go up to the fourth year. But all this should conclude within next 3 years. Now this is spread across some of our hospitals, mainly a few hospitals where significant capacities are coming, like, for example, in FMRI hospital in Gurgaon, we will have about 50 beds added; in the Noida facility, we would have about 160 beds added; we would have, in Vashi -- sorry, we would have in Mulund about 80 beds; and about 90 beds in Anandapur in Calcutta. These are some of the larger capacities. And in some of the other hospices like Shalimar Bagh, et cetera, also there will be better. Now as far as the major equipment is concerned, it is primarily focused towards oncology specialty. We are looking for some newer technologies as well which we intend to do within this year. We want to develop our FMRI center as a destination oncology center. So we are looking at focusing on cellular therapies as well as advanced radiation therapies, which are relatively new.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystSo oncology is a very profitable field. Sir, out of this 1,300 beds, how many beds will go into existing premises?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveAll these are in existing premises, sir.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystSo that all will allow you to expand in lower cost at a faster time. And because hospitals treat patients fast?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThat is correct. That is correct.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystAnd last month it was -- how much is the bed inflation a year? Last month -- last quarter, I think the average realization was INR 1.62 crores per bed, occupied bed?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes, sir.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystIt is growing by about 5 times a year?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveSo for the non-COVID segment, our ARPOB actually improved by about 8.5%. Like in the fourth quarter, our non-COVID...
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystForget about COVID. COVID is not there. Forget about COVID.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes. So if COVID is not there, we should expect an ARPOB of about INR 1.9 crores approximately.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystIn what time?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveWe are already running at that rate, sir.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystAnd if you -- I have 1 last question that I have. How many beds do you have as we talk?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executive3,800. PNL beds, 3,800.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystSo it will go to 5,100 in 2 to 3 years.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThat's right.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystAnd sir, what happened is the Escorts matter?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveSo one of the case is there still on the litigation, and we have to wait for the high court level, sir.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystSir, what about the income tax matter?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes, that has not been resolved yet.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystAnd I have a very big...
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveWe have won in the lower court.
Vivek Goyal
executiveDepartment has gone for appeal.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveDepartment has gone for an appeal. So that's why it is not resolved.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystEven if we lose, we don't pay anything. And we win, we don't get anything, its all Escorts liability.
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes. So for this income tax case, sir, you might be knowing it is disclosed in the balance sheet also. [Technical Difficulty] kept the deposit from the consideration paid to Escorts earlier. So we will not get however.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystEscorts has paid the [ balance fees ] to your department?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThat's correct. That's correct, sir. And at the time of transaction, monies were paid from Escorts, which have been kept as a deposit, escrow deposits for the tax litigations.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystEscorts, if we win the case in the higher courts, Escorts will get the refund?
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes, sir.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThat's right.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystLast question, sir. It is my deep wish as a shareholder that increase by the 43% of the other investors in the diagnostic business, and you please demerge it, sir. I have a arm-length relationship with Fortis and the diagnostics business. And I'm also ready to buy the 43%, I can also make a contribution. If my wish is -- I don't want that IHH buys those shares and then IHH becomes a major part of the diagnostics business, I as a shareholder also would like to participate. And I also participate either by participating in the buying process or you buy them out, merge them into the company and reemerge this. That's my wish as shareholder. Convey to your board.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes, sir. All the possible point of views have -- will be conveyed to our Board, and they will evaluate all these issues and certainly we'll take the right step for all the stakeholders.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystHope that it turns out right with the right corporate governance.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes, sir.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystAnd really congratulations on fine performance. I think you will do really, really, really well. I bought Fortis shares for every member of my families. And sir, you're not expanding at Raheja in Bombay
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThank you. There is no space there, but we are modifying a couple of floors and making some deluxe rooms, et cetera, available over there.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
analystBecause very well located and big hospital. Now on [ second wave ], I think we can really -- I have been treated there for a long time. So I think you can really increase the ARPOBs and all that there.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Ritesh Rathod from Nippon India Mutual Fund.
Ritesh Rathod
analystFirst of all, heart-felt thanks for your supporting in the second COVID wave, most of the team members are available. So a very heart-felt thanks. My question is more on the long-term margin profitability, which you spoke about 16% to 18%, and you spoke about payer mix, pricing mix, cost optimization. But surprisingly, you've not spoken about your hospital margin metrics, your 900 beds are below 15% margins with 62% occupancy. And within that 900, 670 beds or below 10% EBITDA margin with 62% occupancy. This I'm talking from your Q4 FY '21 presentation, where you have given your hospital margin metrics. Can this be a big believer on a long-term basis and your long-term profitability target can have further upside because a decent chunk of your hospital beds are, at a very low occupancy and at a very low profitability?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes. There are 2 sides of this, and you have correctly pointed out that there are certain assets which are underperforming assets at the moment. So now they are both an opportunity as well as we need to be evaluated continuously whether as a portfolio, whether those assets make sense for us. And we will always be evaluating every business for its performance and what are the various steps we can take in order to bring it to the desired profitability profile. So certain assets would go towards that, and we can see a lot of progress happening in a few of our hospitals like, for example, in Jaipur where there has been a real turnaround, and we have good hope for making it even better. However, our Chennai, Mulund facility has underperformed consistently for some time, and we are taking the necessary steps to improve that. However, we will be open to considering other alternatives in case we do not see proper progress there.
Ritesh Rathod
analystIn that case, is that a possibility there? And your long-term profitability kind of further upside from 16% to 18% range? Because I assume you divest both underperforming assets, 2 or 3 assets, which you are pointing at.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveThat is absolutely would be the assumption at the moment because you see the idea is to make the entire portfolio [Technical Difficulty] as possible. So every hospital should have a viability on its own, that is extremely important. And other than that, important that overall, the group is not dragged by the underperformers. So certainly, that possibility is there.
Ritesh Rathod
analystAnd your decision making on this would get accelerated post the Supreme Court verdict, which may be out in whatever time period, if you can give more color over there?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes, absolutely. Supreme Court verdict, though, does not affect us operationally, but many such decisions will become easier for us post the verdict. So that time we can think of both the growth as well as realigning some of the assets is something which we can consider very actively and in an accelerated manner post Supreme Court verdict.
Ritesh Rathod
analystAny time line for Supreme Court verdict?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveSo we expect it to -- because as I said earlier that it was over in May, the hearings were open over in the first half of May. So we expect that the verdict should come certainly before the end of this month.
Ritesh Rathod
analystAnd just 1 last -- since you mentioned about the brownfield expansion of 1,300 beds, I presume those are not happening in these underperforming assets, which you highlighted or in this 900 beds which have a very low frequency?
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveNo, no. They are not those beds.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Saion Mukherjee from Nomura.
Saion Mukherjee
analystSir, any comments you have on M&A.? I think you mentioned some time back, you were looking at assets. How is the market looking possibilities of adding beds inorganically at this point?
Vivek Goyal
executive[Technical Difficulty] hence it is very much supportive of any acquisition. But having said that, we have ample opportunity available within our network itself. So we first want to utilize that. And then if some opportunity comes we are open for it.
Saion Mukherjee
analystOn the -- the second question was on the SRL, one question is on the pricing environment in general. Now you have some of the e-pharmacy players getting aggressive in that space. What is your sense as to what could be the pricing environment going forward, anything you'd like to comment on? And also secondly, on the test mix, I mean, you mentioned about certain innovation programs that you're running, so-called esoteric tests contribute to your revenues? And how should we think about that going forward?
Anand K.
executiveRight. So on the pricing pressure, so what I see except for the few tests which have been controlled by government through price capping, so other tests don't fall under this. And when you talk about competition from the digital players, so they play mostly in the wellness segment, so which is directly consumed by the customer. So what is being prescribed by the doctor and the specialized tests and other packages, which are not coming under the purview of these players. So they will not be -- will not be under pressure from those kind of tests. So it will be a very limited play on competition from the digital side.
Vivek Goyal
executiveYes. And the case -- and the test mix?
Anand K.
executiveOn the test mix, test mix, currently, we are at - what is our diagnostic -- our test mix is currently on about -- 26% is from COVID and the balance 74% is from non-COVID. Out of this, almost about 50% is from routine and rest is some specialized. So the specialized non-COVID primarily will have the growth which is happening there because of our renewed focus on esoteric testing as well as next-generation diagnostics.
Saion Mukherjee
analystThe 50% you said is routine, right?
Anand K.
executiveYes.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Neelam Punjabi from Perpetuity Limited.
Neelam Punjabi
analystMy question pertains to the hospital business. So you mentioned that the non-COVID ARPOB is at around INR 1.97 crores. So how sustainable is this number? And if you can please comment on your long-term sustainable ARPOB.
Ashutosh Raghuvanshi
executiveYes. So as I said earlier, the ARPOB is approximately INR 1.9 crores is what we can expect to be a sustainable number. We have already achieved it in the month of -- in the first quarter it's typically higher because maybe the procedures were more complicated during this phase, but this is a sustainable number. Other thing fact, which I mentioned is that there has been no pricing intervention for almost more than a year or so. So some of that intervention is also likely to happen. So this is a sustainable number.
Operator
operatorAs there are no further questions in queue, I now hand the conference over to Mr. Kalra for closing comments.
Anurag Kalra
executiveThanks, Ali. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for taking the time to be with us on the call today. I hope we've been able to provide you all the answers. If there's anything more Gordon, my colleague and myself are available over the phone or by e-mail, so do let us know. Thank you again, and have a good day.
Operator
operatorThank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Fortis Healthcare Limited, that concludes this conference call for today. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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