Fox Corporation (FOXA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 18, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Michael Nathanson
analystWe're excited to start off our Ninth Annual Conference with Lachlan Murdoch. Lachlan has been here for 4 years in a row, 2 years virtually, 2 years live. Thanks for being here.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveThank you, Michael.
Michael Nathanson
analystWe really appreciate it. And for everyone tuning in -- can you turn the echo down a bit. So thanks for being there online as well.
Michael Nathanson
analystSo Lachlan, there's been a ton of changes in the past year, most of them we'd argue not that great. While the key drivers for FOX have stayed the same, streaming strategies fade in and out. Can you share with us how you see the media ecosystem evolving and how you position FOX for that world view?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveGreat. Well, first of all, Michael and Robert, thank you very much for having me. It's great to be here in New York with so many of your clients and partners and friends in person and, of course, everyone that's joining us virtually. So thank you, and I appreciate everyone getting up early in the morning for this as well. So we -- it has been an incredible couple of years. And the media landscape has probably accelerated its rate of change as we've gone through COVID, as people have been forced to think about how we work differently and about how consumers view our products in increasingly diverse way. But I think that, for us, it's been a very positive -- had a very positive impact because we only spun out the new FOX from the older larger FOX when we sold our assets to Disney 3 years ago. And so we rightsized the company from the beginning. We were out of movie studios and expensive -- it was a tough couple of years beyond movie studios and theme parks. So we're really well positioned, I think, going into this. But nevertheless, we used it as an opportunity to continue to kind of refine our strategy and kind of perfect as much as possible our execution. And so where we are today is really a company that's really focused on live news, live sports, entertainment, but entertainment in a focused way. Obviously, the growth in entertainment for us is an acquisition we only made recently in Tubi, which has gone from strength to strength. So all of our assets are really firing on all cylinders, which is a perfect position to be in sort of uncertain choppy times.
Robert Fishman
analystSo because you've chosen not to invest in SVOD after the Disney deal that you mentioned, can you review for us what your priorities are for the company, how you're going to grow EBITDA and cash flow, 2 important metrics that we like to focus on?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveYes, absolutely. And I don't mean to have -- or sort of turn from one of you guys. So I don't mean to be rude.
Michael Nathanson
analystI was thinking like we should sit in front of you almost.
Robert Fishman
analystYes, exactly.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo well, look, in the last quarter, obviously, I think we grew advertising revenues by 9%. We grew our subscription revenue by 5%. And so I think we've proven that we can continue to drive top line revenue growth very aggressively with the asset set that we have. We just -- we have completed our upfront. That upfront kind of process goes for several weeks, but we had our upfront presentation in New York on Monday, which was very successful. And we're really able to highlight the theme of our -- was only FOX. What only FOX is really focused on advertisers and our clients in an ad-supported -- in an entirely ad-supported way. And so whether that's how we serve our clients with -- whether it's in news or entertainment or in sports, it's going to be a massive sport year or coming up for us, which is really, really exciting. Or digitally with Tubi, we're super serving advertising clients. So we think we'll continue to drive those top line advertising revenues. On the subscription side, we are focused on the MVPD ecosystem. We like -- we think it's an economic model that serves consumers and media very well for a long time. So we'll continue to invest in that. We're continuing to keep the biggest sports events exclusive to our broadcast partners and affiliates and our cable distributors. So I think with balancing that strategy, we're going to be able to drive advertising revenue contingent on the ad market and subscription revenue pretty aggressively over the next couple of years.
Michael Nathanson
analystAnd Lachlan, when you think about the company, I think you can boil down strategy and the opportunities and risks as the following. You made a bet on the ecosystem. So the question is, what's the future of sports and news content within that ecosystem, right? So how do you see the prioritization of your content playing out in the next 5 years or so in terms of the ecosystem?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveWell, as you know, so in this last quarter, we grew subscriptions, as I mentioned, 5%. A lot of our growth came from retransmission, from the broadcast side. But having said that, over the next -- we had very -- we did that despite the fact that we had very few renewals this year in the cycle. Whereas over the next 2 years, we have 2/3 of our distribution deals with cable companies, 2/3 of our deals come up over the next 2 years. And I think that puts us in a really good position, particularly in a year when you have the Super Bowl and you have the FIFA World Cup to continue to drive subscription rate at the highest sort of industry level. And so -- but to do that, right, we have to make sure we're super serving those distributors and we're continuing to put an exclusive content. We're not diluting the product that we're giving affiliates or giving cable operators. In fact, we're investing in those products so we can drive those rates.
Michael Nathanson
analystOkay. Robert?
Robert Fishman
analystI mean you just mentioned it, so maybe just to expand upon it. Like how does your strategy differ in terms of keeping that premium content and all the sports exclusive and not sharing it with any over-the-top service?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveWell, so it's a really important question and actually goes back to -- it goes back years, right? And so it's sort of -- when we make decisions, I hope we're informed by history and lessons that we've learned and different things we've -- different things that led us to this point. And so when we sold the entertainment assets, the majority of our entertainment assets to Disney, we really were making a decision that we're not going to be in entertainment, video on demand or SVOD, subscription video on demand, in a significant way. We said we're going to sell to Disney to give them scale so that they can beef up Disney+ and have the scale to win with Disney+. But that we were stepping out of that market, right? And so we've been, by the way, very happily on the sidelines watching this sort of blood bath, which is going on in the SVOD market. And what that's meant is, A, we haven't had to spend billions of dollars propping up an SVOD service. But we also haven't felt the need to artificially put sports into an SVOD service to keep subscription levels up, right? And I think that's been very important. So the reason why we're really able to keep sports our highest, our best quality content exclusive to the MVPD ecosystem is really because we haven't had to sort of artificially keep a loss-making SVOD service inflated. And I think that's very important, right? So again, it's not like a strategic decision that's just -- this week's strategy is actually something we've been led to over 3 years and we're very, very carefully and very intentionally being able to put ourselves in this, I think, enviable position.
Michael Nathanson
analystYes. You mentioned how fast you grew last quarter without a lot of big renewals. Do you think the next few years we'll start separating your strategy out in terms of financially from the others? Because we -- that's where our assumption is, right? What your strategy is going to lead to higher affiliate fee growth than people who basically taking their best content will lead you over the top, right, and the markets will show that in terms of the results.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveYes, absolutely. And our argument is, as we continue to invest in the product for our distributors, and frankly we deserve a higher share of wallet from them, if other broadcasters are taking content non-exclusively outside of that bundle, they don't deserve the level of subscription that we do. And so -- and I think that's something we expect to see over the next couple of years.
Michael Nathanson
analystSo later today after you, we have Perry Sook, we'll ask the same question and Chris Ripley, and I think they'll confirm your point of view of that...
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveBy the way, Perry is terrific, and we really do see these guys as our partners in this business. And our job is to provide them with the best quality content and not to see them as a competitor or just a client of some sort. The distributors really are our partners in this ecosystem.
Robert Fishman
analystOkay. So I think we all can agree, sports has been the glue to the pay TV bundle and we continue to believe that. And now that Amazon is making sports a bigger priority, as you very well know, with Thursday Football and Apple reportedly close to Sunday Ticket deal, how should we think about FOX's ability to compete with new digital bidders on sports rights negotiations going forward from here?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveWe are -- how should we think about how we're going to compete with new digital bidders, we're going to let Tom Brady negotiate all our contracts and we're not worried about losing a thing. So we've got on to the NFL negotiation. Obviously, Amazon picked up Thursday Night Football. That was actually a positive for us.
Robert Fishman
analystWe're very sad about that actually.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSure. And we -- so if I look at how that netted out where we finished, we have a long-term extension, which sort of ensures the success, the future of FOX Sports for over the next decade. At the same time, we were able to exit and exit a year early from a loss-making contract in Thursday Night Football. So I think there are more potential competitors in the marketplace, but I think it's in a way. And I think the NFL is being smart in how they've allocated their rights in a way that net and certainly for us has been positive.
Michael Nathanson
analystDo you think it owes as a liability not to have, even if it's a loss-making, streaming service to go for sports rights and look at what may do with the NHL, where they borrow these rights, they dump the rights that they don't need on ESPN+ or something. So do you think at all as a point we're not having more surface as a problem in bidding for rights?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveI think you can partner with people, right? I think we -- because we're a smaller company and we're -- I think we're pretty flexible and nimble. We can work with people if we need a platform to bid with us on rights. And also because we're not competing on SVOD with a digital player. I think that makes those partnerships easier in many ways. So actually, I think, again, we're positioned. I think net, it's a positive not to have an SVOD service where we have to place those rights. Having said that, I think for the World Cup at the end of the year, we are going to put some -- like a catch-up service with all of the World Cup soccer games on Tubi. So it won't be the live games, but it will be sort of catch-up, as soon as the whistle is blowing at full time for the super fans. So I think we can be pretty flexible in terms of how we sort of super serve our consumers, but at the same time while retaining the most exclusive rights for our distribution partners.
Robert Fishman
analystSo you just mentioned your big announcement that you made in the last quarter. So with the Tom Brady announcement, anything you do want to clarify because there's been a lot reported in terms of the deal? And just more broadly, what this means for FOX and your commitment to the NFL.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo look, the important thing with Tom is that -- and this is what got me really engaged and excited about the opportunity when we started to talk to him about coming over is that he's going to be in addition to being a senior analyst on the America's Game of the Week on Sundays. He -- in addition to that, he's really going to be sort of our partner in sports and in FOX in the NFL, right? And so he's going to be an ambassador to FOX. He's going to be working with advertisers and clients. He's going to be engaged in the marketing. And so I really see Tom as he will be a tremendous analyst, but he's really going to be a partner of ours in the business.
Michael Nathanson
analystSo the question we've been all worrying about is if cord cutting accelerates, you have the fixed cost of sports. Will you be able to properly generate the ROIs that you've thought? So in acceleration of cord cutting, there'll be pressure on ROI. So how do you offset that rate of cord cutting? Maybe you want to talk a bit about the length of your renewal cycle. Because I think you guys are very strategic about trying to pair that up. But the feedback from the market is always, gosh, cord cutting accelerates, what's FOX going to do, right? So how do you think about the ability to offset cord cutting and drive ROI on the sports contract side?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo I think we can -- so as you know, sort of this year or this quarter, the cable penetration dropping by about 5%, right? And at that level and at the levels of sort of most analysts, consensus analyst levels even higher than that, we can absolutely keep pace with that in terms of our renewal cycles and our rate increases. So when we model out and we look at -- and you do when you do a 10-year football deal, you do sort of project out what cable universe is going to be, how much revenue we can achieve and through -- not just to retain it, but to grow through our distribution agreements. And at those levels, we can very easily continue to grow our subscription revenue side.
Michael Nathanson
analystYour cycles are 3- or 4-year cycles, right? So your point is over a 10-year contract, you'll have 2.5, 3 bites at the apple to reset prices.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveThat's right.
Robert Fishman
analystSo on the last quarter earnings call, you sounded pretty pleased with the early performance of USFL. So just wondering if you could talk bigger picture. How does a deal like this strategically help the general sports rights inflation given your interest in relief?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo USFL, as a spring football, it's -- people have tried this before, right, and hasn't always worked out well. And it's early days, right? So we're very pleased with the early success. We've structured it differently than anyone structured springly before. We own -- we brought a couple of partners in to help fund it. We own 100% and control 100% of the league. We control all of the franchises, the teams today. And we've created a hub in Birmingham to play all the games. So we kept costs and the complexity of running a league like this incredibly low. And that's important because you're in this for a few years to really get traction and start to grow. It was important that we partnered with NBC to broadcast the games because that gives us absolutely the most reach possible for these games, for people to start to watch and engage in the sport. This first year, because both for us and for NBC, you have a lot of other programming commitments. So the kickoff times of the games are a bit of a mess, right? They're all over the place to really fit into the schedule so we can show them live. That's something that gets cleaned up next year. And so -- and then ultimately, you move out of Birmingham, you start to play more games in the cities where the franchises are based. So we see this as really a few years in terms of launching the league. We're incredibly pleased with how it started. And obviously, strategically -- and by the way, we've structured it financially that it's not a burden to us. And strategically, obviously, if you can get the ratings that are proven to an NHL rating or some baseball or basketball ratings, I think that's a net positive, right? So -- and we'll actually, frankly, add to the sports choices.
Michael Nathanson
analystCan I guess go back a bit to the cord cutting question. I've asked this in the past. Have you been surprised, even at this point, that we've not seen better virtual bundles of sports and news, right? Like you would think that there's a market need for just smaller bundles focused on sports or news? And do you see any signs of that changing where basically there's either YouTube or Hulu or someone's trying to figure out a new virtual bundle because it seems like the bundles we're getting bigger and bigger, more expensive, right, it's kind of defeating the purpose.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo remember a few years ago or longer, 5 or 6 years ago, when we were all talking about the core bundle, skinny bundles, I like to call them. Core bundles, because you can get fewer channels, you can still get 90% of what consumers want to view. And I think if anything, we're disappointed that the digital MVPDs have moved away from those core bundles. And as they've added channels, they've added cost and had to increase pricing. And so we've seen over the last couple of years, obviously, the digital players take price increases, right? And obviously, that has an impact on growth for them. So selfishly, because we have channels that are essential in a core bundle, that's an important part of our positioning. It's impossible to envisage a bundle that doesn't have the #1 news channel in the country and the quality and breadth of our sports content. And so we'd like to see the market come back to a core bundle, if possible. We really haven't seen that as you've said. And it doesn't have to be only news or only sport. There are obviously other channels that would feed into a core bundle that I think would make a pretty compelling consumer proposition. So...
Michael Nathanson
analystYes. In many ways, the decision you made to sell the rest of FOX was, in some part, maybe a bet on. Hey, the world is going to have to change. You don't need all these excess channels focus on the core. We're still waiting for that to happen.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveAnd for us -- and again, it goes back, obviously, to some of the early questions around subscribers and how we're going to drive growth. Because we are so focused on only a core set of assets and sports news, the stations who have entertainment and new business in Hulu, but because we're so focused on that, we don't have legacy cable channels that we're trying to defend, right? And so I think other companies, when they make these strategic decisions rightly trying to defend some of their legacy businesses, we don't have that conundrum. And so -- and I think that puts us in a great position. It's one of the reasons why, again, a few years ago, when Disney bought the RSNs from us and sell them, a lot of people and a lot of smart bankers and even investors, "We should buy RSNs back, and we can get them back at $0.50 on the dollar from what we sold before." And -- but what we realized, being kind of intimately with intimate knowledge of the business is that those RSNs would require the rest of the company defending them, right, and then sort of supporting their distribution and their reach. And that's not the position we want to be. And we can use all of our leverage to drive our subscription fees and advertising for really fees across the stations and across our cable networks.
Robert Fishman
analystAll right. So let's switch over to the biggest driver of your affiliate fees, FOX News. So how do you think FOX News is currently positioned relative to traditional competition and some of the newer networks that caused some of the worries the last election.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveWell, the biggest driver of our affiliate fees is actually our station retransmission group and how we're able to drive retransmission at pricing. And that's what's driven our growth this year even in a year when we've had so few kind of renewals. So -- but having said that, for the cable bundle, FOX News is essential and is now achieving broadcast ratings. And so when we look at how we continue to improve and continue to innovate and refine FOX News, we're not looking at CNN or MSNBC. I think I get these numbers wrong, but I got through ratings every morning. But the other morning, we beat one of the other, MSNBC by 113%. And then the other one, we beat by 160%. So we're so far ahead of them in the market that our competitive set is the broadcast networks. And so when you look at just the innovations that we've done this year with Jesse Watters at 7:00 p.m. has over 3 million -- averaging over 3 million viewers, Gutfeld! and being the new king of late night on a cable channel with 30% -- less than 30% less households than its competitors. The 5, again, achieving -- being the #1 show and cable news at 5:00 when hot levels are down. And so it's a tremendous success of all of the hard work and sort of looking across the different day parts and different hours and just making good decisions and careful decisions in terms of growing our business. So -- and so as the business is -- again, it's more comparable to a broadcast network than a cable news network, we think we deserve broadcast rights fees in terms of subscription and distribution and also, frankly, broadcast level advertising CPMs.
Michael Nathanson
analystAll right. So my next question is to be your confidence in driving growth. But in that answer, implicit answer is your belief that you should get retranslate fees. So a big part of the growth going forward has to be the renewal cycle on FOX News reaching much higher levels of modernization for affiliates. That's the core. And I've heard Steve Tomsic say too, we should be treated like a broadcast network, right? So when you go out to your distributors, that's going to be -- they ask...
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveYes, absolutely.
Michael Nathanson
analystOkay. And then let me ask you FOX News. When you line up the advertising modernization, it looks under monetized versus other networks. Do you think there is existing advertising like hesitancy due to some of the content and prime time not to advertising FOX News? Like what's -- have you dug into potentially the under-monetization and what closes that?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveNo, I think as a cable network, you historically don't want to use the same with the broadcast networks have been able to monetize their advertising spots. And I think that if you look at -- I think since the new FOX was created, I think it's right to say our advertising revenues and FOX News are up about 30%. And so we've gone from -- really from strength to strength each year. The -- but when you look at FOX News, you have to look at -- we rebranded the business -- the division as FOX News Media a couple of years ago, and that wasn't just a, what's the word, nice name or a brand or a sounding name. Actually, what we've done is we've launched -- the FOX News digital is a growing business. It's incredibly strong. Our audio business, both in cars with SiriusXM and with podcasting has grown huge. We've launched a book business. And so all those other elements of it, we've just launched. Probably I shouldn't forget FOX Weather, which incredibly a powerful brand, it's now distributed in every broadband home in America. You can get it. It will be part of our renewal cycle with traditional cable distributors. That will be a tremendous advertising platform for our partners, a really tremendous platform. So as we see growing FOX News, it's not -- we're not only in the news business. We've broadened that into many other businesses and many other revenue streams and revenue opportunities. And when you talk to our fans in Middle America, people who are heavy FOX News viewers, they don't see us as just a new business here, they see us an American media brand that speaks to them in a unique way.
Robert Fishman
analystSo can you share any update on FOX Nation as part of that strategy in terms of either subscribers or just engagement? And how important is FOX Nation for the future of the FOX News Media segment?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo FOX Nation is going incredibly well. I think there's a point in time when you -- I mean it's always hard to put your finger exactly on that point in time, but when you have an amount of content, fresh content that's ingested in the system every week, but also a library of content or -- that you've built up over a few years at a point in time where it's just tip over to a point where the business starts to hum very well. And what we're seeing in FOX Nation is, I think, industry-leading low churn rates around 7% and industry-leading trial to conversion rates. So people who are on a Tubi trial, free trial, the number of them that are moving over to a paid subscriber is a comp of every metric. And so we're incredibly pleased with how that works. But to put that in context, FOX Nation is a service, which is designed to super serve our most loyal fans. But what that gives us though, it gives us an engagement, a further engagement with the people who are most loyal to FOX News. And it gives us a platform where we can go into new verticals, we can experiment with lifestyle and outdoors and a ton of other sort of content that we can -- which is some of the most successful content on FOX Nation today. So again, it's part of our strategy to diversify away from sort of just a simple core news vertical.
Michael Nathanson
analystIf I can switch over to broadcast FOX Network for a second, I know this may be a question for Charlie Collier and you. But in the new FOX, there's been a debate in the investment community about what role does scripted entertainment play on FOX. So what's your current view of kind of the ideal programming mix in broadcast? And I know you had a $30 million write-down last quarter, but even that, how's that factored into your view of the optimal mix of scripted content versus reality program versus sports on the network just given the economic pressures in the business?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo I think -- first of all, let me deal with the $30 million write-down first because the reality is that doesn't factor in our kind of long-term thinking about scripted entertainment. And that's really because the $30 million write-down is specifically due to COVID delays in production and having to shift the schedule and broadcast shows later in the year and with different lead-ins and things. So that was, I think, a prudent write-down but really related specifically to sort of COVID delays in production schedules. I should say though that, as an industry, we are still operating on the entertainment side, certainly in Los Angeles, but we're really across all our productions with protocols -- COVID protocols that were designed at the height of the pandemic, before vaccinations, right, with potentially stronger strains of COVID-19. And so they were absolutely the right protocols to put in place, but we're still operating with them now, and it does cause tremendous disruptions in production schedules when someone gets sick. And so hopefully, that changes and those protocols start to reflect the COVID -- the evolved COVID world that we're in today. But -- so -- but those right, that don't have an effect on our long-term thinking about our entertainment schedule. Having said that, you're certainly going to see a mix of entertainment with unscripted program, reality programming. Rob Wade is doing a tremendous job there as Michael Thorn is doing in entertainment. I think through all of the different programming decisions that Charlie's made over the last few years, the entertainment network has remained profitable through all of that, which I'm not sure everyone can say. And so we've been very careful on our cost base and the shows that we're airing. And it does become a mix of shows, a mix of more expensive scripted entertainment and less expensive on scripted. It's also one of the reasons why we acquired TMZ this year. They have a tremendous product brand. We know that they operate very efficiently. Also one of the reasons why we bought MarVista, who are experts in lower-cost, efficient programming. And then obviously, Bento Box on the animation side helps us develop animation in a cost-effective way.
Robert Fishman
analystOkay. So given that it's upfront week, we'll ask our obligated advertising question here, but -- how is FOX approaching ad sales in this probably more challenging environment or not for you because of the sports and news focus? And then maybe also just touch on how Tubi plays into your broader advertising strategy.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveYes. So we look -- obviously, there's the national advertising and local advertising. Advertising is very healthy. And so we -- this last quarter, with 9% gain, we've been able to drive really rate CPM pretty effectively. I think the areas -- if there's any areas of concerns, automotive is still down, I think, across for everyone, right across the board with supply chain issues and other issues that they've faced, but that's been made up for in other categories. So that's a background to the upfront. The upfront, and again we had our presentation on Monday, but these negotiations are going on already for weeks. It's very, very strong. But it's hard to say, well, that's just also over the market because, for us, we have a schedule where this year we have a Super Bowl. This year, we have the FIFA World Cup. We also, on Thanksgiving weekend, we have, I think, a Texas game on Thursday Night, [indiscernible] game on Thursday Night. We have U.S. versus England on Friday night, the FIFA World Cup. We have Ohio versus Michigan on Saturday, College Football. And on Sunday, we have the Americas Game of the Week. And in total, we project will be over 85 million Americans that weekend in the biggest shopping weekend over the year. So it's a second Super Bowl, right? So effectively, we have 2 Super Bowls or 1.85 Super Bowls this year. So it's a tremendous position to be in. And frankly, our clients and our partners understand that and understand the unique power of the assets that we have this year. And then I should also say this, the other thing -- sorry, Michael, to interrupt. But the other thing that's, I wouldn't say exciting, but this happens every couple of years is obviously the mid-term elections coming up. The last mid-term election had a record $180 million dollars in advertising revenue for mid-term, right? The regulation cycle is much higher than that. But we expect from what we've already seen with primary spending. In the primaries, we expect this mid-term election to blow through that $180 million record in revenue pretty significantly, pretty substantially.
Michael Nathanson
analystAnd what I was going to say is while you avoided SVOD, you focused on AVOD about Tubi, right? So you want to talk a bit about your strategy for Tubi and how Tubi is or is not integrated into how FOX goes to market in advertising.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveYes. I mean, sorry, and Robert, that was the last part of your question I didn't answer. So Tubi is integrated and is a part of all of our advertising conversations. But it's not a forced sale. And so what I mean by that is that we know because it's an important add-on that gives our clients more reach. It gives them younger audiences, diverse audiences. It's a tremendous sort of incremental buy for our clients. But it's not forced together. And because of that, we know that the revenue in Tubi, which we project to be over $1 billion within the next couple of years is truly incremental to FOX's revenue. We're not taking revenue out of one pocket and putting it in another pocket. This is truly new revenue for us and revenue we would not have been able to enjoy have we not acquired and now run Tubi. So I think that's really important. We're not -- it's not a shell game where we want to allocate revenue. And so it's truly incremental. It's incredibly sophisticated in terms of the AI and the ad stack that Farhad and his team have created really over like a decade, right? So they're way ahead in terms of sophistication and how they can manage their ad load, how they target their advertising, how they actually can increase or decrease the ad load, depending on the actual viewer, right? And so -- and that viewer's propensity or openness to the advertising. So it's an incredibly sophisticated system. We think we're way ahead of our competitors and the pack in terms of the service with 42,000 titles and the technology. So it's -- so going back to the advertising question, when we presented to our clients, they are very attractive to it and it's growing very strongly. I think in the last quarter, 50% up in revenue.
Michael Nathanson
analystAnd whenever -- the question I have is like steady state, what kind of business model or what kind of margin business do you think AVOD is? We debate SVOD all the time. We're not really focused on what's AVOD steady state. Do you think margins would be -- if SVOD's 20%, do you think it's a better business than SVOD?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveIt's definitely a better business than SVOD. So that's the easy part of the answer. What the margins will be? It's interesting, we had profitable quarters and breaking quarters in Tubi. We've chosen to invest in it because we think it's a really important business and really is part of the future of how people are going to watch television and television entertainment. And so it's the right thing to be investing in. Having said that, you can tip into profitability tomorrow if you wanted to. But I think overall, steady state, I think you're talking in that 20% to maybe 30% margin range.
Robert Fishman
analystOkay. Just following up on the Tubi piece. There's clearly some new entrants coming into the broader streaming market with Disney+ and Netflix. So how do you see that impacting Tubi's position to continue to take share of that streaming advertising play?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveSo again, part of our upfront piece was this line Only FOX, right? And again, the -- when you have a sales line, when we come up with a slogan, right, for lack of a better term without more coffee, when you come up with a slogan, it's important to think for a slogan is it's got to be true and it's got to actually speak to different constituents and stakeholders within the business. And so what we talked about when we're talking about Only FOX is that Only FOX is like entirely focused on our advertisers and our clients. And what that means in terms of strategically for us as well is that we are not kind of confusing the consumer message, right, the consumer proposition with different tiers. With, hey, here's a subscription tier that there's no advertising and you can pay a few dollars less and get advertising and not quite clear what that ad load is. And by the way, if you're in one tier, we'll try to push you into the other tier. Or some content will be in one tier and some will be in another. It's a very confusing and, I think, frustrating proposition to the ultimate viewer, the ultimate consumer, but also to advertisers and clients. We are the only company that's 100% focused on kind of serving our viewers, but serving our advertising clients. And then we're partners in their business. We want them to succeed, and we want to offer them the best advertising platform for them. And so I think that's an important differentiator with Tubi. Because of that as well and because Tubi is not the primary viewing, like 98% of the viewing is on-demand viewing, the ad load is very low, right, and then purposely. So it's a great consumer experience. Again, that's a positive for advertisers and a positive for the viewers as well. So we think Tubi is in a tremendous position. We talked a little bit before about the technology that they've created, and they're a tech company first and proudly so. I think as other players enter the market, again, I think there'll be more -- they'll have hybrid models, which are not great, but I think it will increase the overall kind of marketplace for digital advertising. And if you can be streaming advertising and if you can be at the top of that business, I think it will actually ultimately help you.
Michael Nathanson
analystDrilling down a bit more on that. What I wonder is as you see people like Roku and Amazon, who own operating systems and platforms, realize the need to get even stronger in the AVOD market, do you see that potentially as a risk for Tubi's growth where you no longer have distribution partners who are friends, but potential frenemies, they need to grow the advertising parts of their business?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveFrom a distributor's point of view, we've been able to work pretty closely with them all and they get a share of revenue on different platforms. So -- and actually, they've been tremendous partners and been part of Tubi's growth. So I don't see that. And I also -- going back to Robert's question, I think the -- when we -- it was interesting when we had a piece of Hulu and we're watching Hulu's growth and when Hulu launched the ad-free tier, we were worried that everyone will take the ad-free tier because actually you're making enough money with the advertising. And while we were there, I'm not sure it's done with sense, only about 1/3 of people took the ad-free tier, right? 2/3 of people were happy to keep the advertising. And what that certainly taught me and taught us kind of corporately is that free is a pretty good proposition for people, right? And so it's a great proposition for -- maybe people in Manhattan or Los Angeles or San Francisco don't understand that, but particularly going into a potentially recessionary period or certainly a high inflation period, free is a tremendous proposition. And so some of these hybrid models, if you're -- I'm making this up, if you're $19 with no ads and your $12 but you have some ads, well, why don't you just have some ads and be 0 and be free? Our proposition is the simplest, and I think it's really most attractive to most Americans.
Robert Fishman
analystSo it's taken us this long to get to sports gambling. So given the importance of sports in your traditional media portfolio, can you update us on how FOX is positioned in online sports betting? And I mean, clearly, you guys were very early to this with the Stars Group deal all the way back in 2019. So why has this been a focus of yours for so long?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveAll the way back in 2019, that seem like a lot.
Michael Nathanson
analystBefore the pandemic, before the inflation.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveYes, pre pandemic. So look, we were early to it. Part of our overall strategy is we have the largest reach and the best engagement certainly in news and sport and also to a large degree in entertainment. But how do we take that reach and that engagement and how do we monetize it in new ways, in ways that are potentially very, very significant, right, very, very substantial? And so clearly, in sports and with the legalization of sports wagering state by state, clearly, that was something we saw very early as a huge opportunity for us. And so we did the deal with the Stars Group. I think we structured our part of that very well, but obviously, we're not licensed. So we structured sort of options into the business. But what our -- what we were charged with delivering was a huge audience that's engaged with waging. We do that in a fun way, right? We do that with a free-to-play game, which is FOX Bet Super 6. And now it's over 6.6 million, I think, users who downloaded the app and use it particularly in -- it goes through, obviously, a different cycle, depending on the sports cycle, but it's obviously tremendously popular, particularly with the -- in the football -- football season. And so that's worked incredibly well. We're frustrated with the fact that there are piece of that. We have a big option in FanDuel, 18.6%. But then our -- but the FOX Bet joint venture is only rolled out in 4 markets. So we're frustrated that, that hasn't been rolled out in more markets. It's not something that we operate as not being a licensed player, and that's sort of the basis of part of the arbitration we're going through it now with Flutter. And we expect to be through that arbitration in the summer.
Michael Nathanson
analystSo we have two closing questions. Let me ask you the first, which is, is there a growing frustration internally about not receiving credit for your growth, your assets, which can lead to a reevaluation of the company as a public stand-alone entity?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveNo. So we -- I'm going to use an Australian phrase, but you probably wouldn't understand it.
Robert Fishman
analystWe'll translate.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveTo say, we have big raps on ourselves, which means that we are -- we like our story. We can see the growth that's within the company. And so -- and we're excited for the next few years. The management team as a whole is engaged, is energized and really focused on driving both revenue growth and EBITDA growth. I think particularly this next year, with the sports that we've outlined, the political cycle that we've outlined, our renewals in our -- with our distributors, 2/3 over the next few years. So we're incredibly excited by the prospects for that company over the next few years. And so I think that's what we're focused on, and it's really up to -- it's up to us to tell the story, to come thank you for having me here this morning to be able to tell us because that's a really important part of getting people to understand the potential of FOX.
Michael Nathanson
analystRobert, the last one.
Robert Fishman
analystSo the last one to follow up on that. Is there maybe one big surprise or something that you think investors aren't giving you credit for today that we should be focused on?
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveI thought we did that on the earnings call at the end. So look, I think it shouldn't be a surprise. We've talked about really the breadth of the company today. I think you'll continue to see Tubi win in the AVOD market. I think we can monetize some of our businesses better. I think if you look at FOX News Media, it's the new businesses, again, outside of the kind of linear channel in digital, in audio, lesser example, smaller -- books and things like we can monetize the FOX News Media brands better. That's pretty clear to me. And so there are all these things that we do on a day-to-day basis as we manage the business. And again, as I said, we're tremendously focused on excited about. So there shouldn't be surprises because we're pretty transparent about them. But we just have to keep telling the story. So thank you very much.
Robert Fishman
analystThank you.
Michael Nathanson
analystThanks a lot. Thank you. Thank you.
Lachlan Murdoch
executiveThank you, everyone. Thank you.
For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Fox Corporation earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.