Genmab A/S (GMAB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 9, 2026

CPSE DK Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 35 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#1

Ready for our next panel. I have here with me today, Judith, CDO of Genmab. Thanks so much for joining us.

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#2

Thank you for having me.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#3

Perfect. So maybe we can start with kind of introductory question, give us the lay of the land, how is Genmab past 12 months, next 6 to 12 months? Obviously, it's a huge year for the pipeline.

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#4

Yes. So we are in a great point in our journey with a very nice full development pipeline encompassed with our 3 major Phase III assets, epcoritamab, Rina-S, petosemtamab. And we are very excited because we just guided in Q2 that 3 big Phase IIIs will be disclosed in next quarter. So super excited.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#5

Great. So maybe we can -- lots to discuss today. Maybe we can start with epcoritamab. We got -- in the past few months, we got the EPCOR DLBCL-4 data, so reduced risk of progression by 60%, death by 56% versus R-GemOx. So what does this data mean for EPCOR's market opportunity? And is there any read-through to the upcoming EPCOR DLBCL-2 readout?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#6

And this is a great question. So as you said, DLBCL4 tested EPCOR versus R-GemOx in the relapsed/refractory second-line plus setting. And the study, we disclosed great PFS 0.40 or 0.44. Now what I would say is talk about the versatility of epco in terms of being able to combine with len. Now DLBCL-2 is a different hypothesis, a different combination and a different line. So basically, there is not a read-through, but the fact that all over and over again, we saw -- because the DLBCL-4 is based on NHL-5 Arm 1. So we see how the Phase II translates into solid Phase III behavior. We expect the same for NHL-2 Arm 1[indiscernible] With DLBCL02, but there are separate designs, hypothesis and to be treated independently.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#7

Got it. And in terms of market opportunity, how does this fit to EPCOR's potential?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#8

Yes. So the potential -- the big potential is for the first-line opportunity in combination with R-CHOP, the study that will be read. We have the approval on DLBCL in Phase III plus. So again, everything adds on, but the big commercial opportunity is DLBCLO2.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#9

Got it. So let's talk about this first-line study that's going to read out in the fourth quarter, as you mentioned. So the primary analysis is conducted for the IPI 3 to 5 population, but you do include about, what, 30% of patients that are IPI 2. And so what's the benchmark for these different patient populations? And how should we be thinking about this readout?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#10

Yes. So the primary is for the 3 to 5 INS hierarchical testing. So if we pass the boundary for the 3 to 5, then we will test 2 to 5. So the study has statistical assumptions. So to be positive, it has to cross the boundary for efficacy as the statistical assumptions. Now if you ask me what is the hazard ratio to be an option chosen by physicians or patients, this is a different story, and it's a more nuance because it's not just a hazard ratio, but how the subsets will behave or what convenience means to patients in terms of subcutaneous or -- so it's -- I cannot establish a threshold. But what I would say that if the study is positive and based on what we know from the Phase II, it will be able to offer a tangible benefit for patients and physicians to consider as a good option.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#11

Got it. And the primary endpoint is for PFS, and it's unlikely for us to see mature OS anytime soon. So I guess like -- is PFS alone sufficient to drive meaningful adoption in the first line? Or from your diligence, does it feel like physicians want to see survival benefit?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#12

Yes. So from a regulatory perspective, PFS is an endpoint validated for first-line DLBCL. We know from POLARIX, we know from frontMIND as well that were approved based on PFS with POLARIX 5 years OS is still 0.89 or from minus 0.85, but it's immature. So PFS is a regulatory endpoint. From a clinical perspective, it's the totality of the data, and we will see what is the maturity of OS, but it's not expected to be mature enough to be statistically significant with this short-term follow-up.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#13

Got it. Just to give us a sense, what's the median OS expected for the control arm?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#14

So for the control arm, what we know is that the PFS, 2 years PFS is around 65%, give or take. And for OS, I would say at 2 years would be like 70%, 75%...

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#15

Very helpful. And maybe just a little bit on the treatment duration and cycles. It seems like the Phase III has -- it employs a shorter like treatment duration for EPKINLY than what we saw with the Phase II. Do you foresee any impact?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#16

So thank you for the question. And we were asked this question before. So the Phase II has 12 cycles of epco. When we discussed the design with the health authorities in order to mimic the duration on both arms, we were asked to limit to 8 cycles. We don't think that this will have any meaningful impact on efficacy because from the Phase II data, we know that responses comes early and MRD negativity come early. And it's pretty standard in aggressive diseases that you treat short and hard. So we don't expect any efficacy compromise.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#17

Got it. And how important are complete responses and MRD activity?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#18

It's very important because there is a correlation between CR and duration. So patients who are in CR are more likely to have sustained and non progress than patients that are on PR. Although PR is still relevant, CR has a better correlation with duration.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#19

Got it. Very helpful. Maybe in terms of -- have you disclosed whether the planned analysis for this first-line pivotal study will be interim? Or is it the final readout?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#20

What -- can you repeat that?

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#21

Can you discuss if this analysis is an interim analysis or it's the final?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#22

It's interim analysis.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#23

Got it. Okay. And maybe just following the March label update, eliminating the 25-hour mandatory hospitalization in the third line, what impact have you seen in the community uptake? And do you expect this impact to continue?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#24

Yes. So we have seen an acceleration on the uptake on the community side, given by the removal of the hospitalization as well as the approval of the FL, too, second-line FL. We -- Brad mentioned at Q2 that most of the new sites are community sites and 91% of our key customers and 2-plus sites which are the big conglomerate sites. So we are very happy that epco different than others,[indiscernible] It doesn't need hospitalization because it makes much more easier on patients and the health system.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#25

Got it. And you mentioned this second quarter growth was both because of the label FL.

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#26

Correct.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#27

So would you say that it's been mostly the FL inclusion or it's been more of the [indiscernible]

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#28

I think that it's very hard to quantify is a combination of everything. And even it's very hard on these later stages to dissect the particular indication. So we see that both DLBCL are contributing, and we see a cross-pollination. So new sites that start prescribing on FL, then they go to LBCL and the other way around. This is a very important strategic value of having the double indication.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#29

Got it. Very helpful. Maybe just moving on to petosemtamab. You have the first-line readout in the fourth quarter this year. Maybe just -- we've discussed before how you increased the enrollment in the first-line study, right, to improve the probability of success. Given the studies were already well powered for response rate, is this more of an OS kind of play? And how should we be thinking about the heterogeneity expected for the control arm?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#30

Yes. So we increased the enrollment to ensure that we have robustness of different subsets prespecified in the study and because enrollment was so ahead of schedule that putting more patients didn't impact time lines on the contrary, accelerated the potential to have OS sooner because the curve is like this. So if we enroll more, we get more events, okay? So in terms of the control arm, so the primary is dual. The interim will be based on ORR and duration of response. So what is expected for the control is 19% ORR with 12 months median overall survival. This is based on pembro alone, KEYNOTE-048. As you well know, in the Phase II proof of concept, Petopembro led to 63% ORR tripling and 12 months 79% OS, where pembro alone is 51% OS. So it's major difference from the Phase II comparing to benchmark and control.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#31

Got it. And last year, from our conversations on petosemtamab, it seemed like for a project frontrunner, it seemed like just doubling the response rate from pembro was enough. Is that still your understanding with regulators for Project Frontrunner? Or are there any changes in the way you view the requirements there?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#32

Yes. So the plan is we will have the results next quarter, we will disclose. We will engage with the health authorities, and we will align on the strategy for filing and submission, including frontrunner.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#33

Got it. And in terms of the patient population, enrolled in the study. I mean you included both HPV-positive patients and HPV negative. Is there any cap to the HPV-positive patients? And can you remind us of the efficacy we've seen for the peto/pembro combination there? And mechanistically, why would it make sense to include this patient population?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#34

So we didn't cap. What we do is we stratify for HPV to ensure that we have balance between the 2 arms. And the reason is more than one. So biologically, there is no reason for pembro IO to work on HPV positive or negative. So KEYNOTE didn't differentiate HPV positive or HPV negative, neither EXTREME. So the study that led to cetuximab approval showed benefit of cetuximab, which is an EGFR in HPV positive and HPV negative. This is external data. Most importantly, in peto-pembro, 8% -- 8 patients, not 8%, 8 patients, which is around 20% of 43 were HPV positive, and the response there was 50%, 5-0, which is much more better than 19. So there was no reason for us to exclude those patients that can derive benefit, but we are stratifying to ensure balance. And given the sample size, 700 patients, we expect the percentage of HPV positive to align with the epidemiology of the disease, which is around 20%, 25%.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#35

Got it. Very helpful. Maybe just touching upon the Phase II data that you showed for this first-line opportunity. And it's been a while, right? But there -- the overall survival was still in progress. There were -- we didn't have enough data. Are you planning on sharing any of this data before the Phase III? And how should we be thinking about this?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#36

Yes. So for that study, we will share like more translational data at ESMO. But the reason we think that 12 months is a very good indicator is because of the IO curve, where after 12 months, for example, for 048, the OS at 12 months is 51%. At 3 years is 25%. At 5 years is 18%. And this is the tail effect. So 12 months, 79%, we are very confident that it will be carried to provide potentially a very sustained overall survival benefit long term because IO is in both arms. So we expect the shape of the curve to be an IO curve. So this is why -- and because the Phase III will come imminently, there is no reason. But again, the 79% 12 months overall survival first is best-in-class, above FICERA, above amivantamab, and it's a very, very good predictor of long-term survival benefit.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#37

Got it. And maybe for the first -- the second-line opportunity, I mean you also recently changed the study now primary endpoint is overall survival. Can you just like remind us, does that mean you're not pursuing accelerated approval and you're just going to pursue a full approval there? And how does -- how do you envision peto's market opportunity in first line versus the second line?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#38

Yes. So you just hit the nail on the head. We -- when we assessed the time advantage of filing frontrunner for second line vis-a-vis OS, there was minimal or no time advantage. So there was no reason to have 2 filings 1 month apart. So we decided to allocate all the alpha to OS and have a study that can support full approval in a global manner rather than do 2 cuts to gain 3 weeks didn't make any difference. And of course, the huge unmet medical need and the larger opportunity is the first line. The second line commercially is a much earliest opportunity. Still we could benefit patients and the data is strong. But we -- the data from the Phase II of peto-pembro could transform -- the landscape of head and neck treatment.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#39

Got it. Very helpful. Maybe just in terms of how are we going to see this data? And how should we be thinking about the top line readout for the first line, more importantly, but also the second line? Should we expect any patient subpopulation information? Or is it more going to be like, oh, the study is positive primary endpoint and that's that?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#40

So we will operate according to standard in industry, which is we will have the data we will share with -- because it's material top line data, we will engage with health authorities. And in parallel, we will plan for a full disclosure at a medical congress. And this is pretty standard.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#41

Got it. Should we be expecting the full disclosure before the overall survival?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#42

We haven't guided yet on when overall survival could come because we don't have these projections firm enough to communicate. So as soon as we have this, we will communicate. So I cannot say because we don't have a firm projections.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#43

Got it. Maybe just touching upon the locally advanced opportunity. I mean, how do you see that opportunity for peto in head and neck? And how does it compare given competitive landscape?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#44

In head and neck?

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#45

Head and neck.

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#46

So we think that PO will have not only time advantage in being first in line for the first line, but has the opportunity will be best-in-class as well. So based on, again, cross-study comparison are never very clean. But when we see the data of peto-pembro versus ami-pembro or Fizera-pembro in terms of efficacy, overall survival, safety, convenience, we see as a very, very attractive value proposition potentially for first-line patients with head and neck.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#47

Got it. Maybe just touching upon the competitive landscape. Does the potential approval of amivantamab in later-stage head and neck impact your strategy for peto at all?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#48

On the contrary, I think that -- so we know that J&J filed and will get priority review, but this will be accelerated approval on the second line plus second, third line, whether the Phase III for the first line will provide the approval on the first line. So it's something will strengthen the hypothesis of EGFR bispecifics, but they are not in direct competition. And we have a very important time advantage vis-a-vis OrigAMI-5, which could potentially will lead to the approval of Ami in first line. In addition, it's a separate strategy. We chose to go with a chemo-free because of the depth of response and the superiority of this combination vis-a-vis chemo or chemo pembro. So it's different, and we will be like 2 years ahead, which is massive.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#49

Got it. And maybe just based on your diligence with physicians, what percentage of patients get treated with -- right now in first line with like pembro alone versus pembro and chemo? Is there any specific patient population that benefits?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#50

Yes. It's a great question. So we -- there is a Flatiron real-world evidence published around 3 years ago, and this is after KEYNOTE-048, both arms were approved 6 years ago that showed 2:1 pembro alone to pembro versus pembro chemo. Of course, this is published 3 years ago based on the U.S. Flatiron data. But when we talk to sites or investigators, it's very individualized based on CPS, frailty or comorbidities of the patients, tumor size or speed of tumor growth. And for example, if the patient is CPS above 20, more likely pembro alone than pembro chemo. If the patient is frail or elderly, more likely, many patients are tobacco consumers or alcohol that have more comorbidities. So for those patients, same thing, more likely, they won't get exposed to chemo, although if the patient is young and has rapidly proliferative, we will take pembro chemo, but it's a very individualized patient and physician decision.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#51

Got it. Do you feel like the due diligence give similar data or provide similar data in the U.S. versus the EU in this sense?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#52

For -- I think I haven't seen the data for the EU. But when we talk with sites, they all say the same is individualized. And just remember, the chemo in combination with pembro is Carbo/5FU. 5FU is IV weekly, it's not very friendly on patients. So there is -- yes, it's an individualized patient by patient. But as per published data is 2: 1 pembro single agent versus pembro chemo.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#53

Got it. Very helpful. Maybe just moving on to CRC. We're going to see some data at ESMO, and you presented also some data towards the end of last year. Can you just remind us what's peto's opportunity there and how you're thinking about the development strategy given that amivantamab is ahead?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#54

Yes. So we think it's the data that showed in the EORTC-NCI meeting is very strong with an ORR of 80% in first line, independent validating by an ORR of 62% in the second line, which is unprecedented and doubles everything published and with a very solid biological foundation. peto was discovered through a library of colorectal organoids and shown in every preclinical model to overcome -- to be superior than cetuximab. So very strong data. Amivantamab is earlier, but we will present more data at ESMO that position the peto combination as potentially best-in-class, not just in terms of efficacy, but also safety.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#55

Got it. And you just initiated the Phase III.

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#56

Two Phase III.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#57

Two Phase IIIs. Can you just remind us which patient populations are you targeting?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#58

So for the first line, we are combining with FOLFOX or FOLFIRI in the KRAS, BRAF wild left side patients. And for second line, same thing, KRAS, BRAF wild, both sites in combination with FOLFOX and FOLFIRI. But the comparator will be bevacizumab plus FOLFOX or FOLFIRI or cetuximab plus FOLFOX or FOLFIRI.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#59

Got it. And in terms of the LGR5 part of peto, I guess like what's the rationale in CRC? I mean this is where, as you mentioned, the molecule was discovered, right, for this indication. What gets you confident that this is not only like a cetuximab molecule?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#60

No. I mean -- so if you look at this paper from Eduard Batlle, it's clear that LGR5 plays a central role. So mechanistically, I mean, 2 very important things. First, the binding to LGR promotes internalization and degradation of EGFR. And in addition, in the context of treatment with peto, LGR is overexpressed and the binding of the bispecifics on LGR strengthens the ADCC and ADCP properties. And so beautifully demonstrated on those paper where in organoids, when they treat the organoids, patient-derived organoids from colorectal cancer with peto, more organoids are stopped because so the LGR is related to stem cells like. So it stopped growth and metastasis. So very strong preclinical and biological foundation that LGR is key for the activity of peto. Now the problem with LGR is that it's the plasticity. So only a few labs can measure it accurately, but it's no question that LGR and peto was discovered among 500 other bispecifics that were tested same organoids panel of colorectal cancer versus normal cells and peto was the winner, killing 100 more times tumor cells than normal cells, 100. So it's clear that LGR is the one to drive. Again, the problem with LGR is that not every lab can measure because of the plasticity of the cells.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#61

Got it. Maybe just last question on CRC. How are you thinking about the commercial opportunity relative to head and neck?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#62

It's much more bigger. So in terms of population, and I don't know on the top of my head, but I would say it's at least double the commercial opportunity than head and neck.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#63

Got it. Okay. That makes sense. Maybe just with the last few minutes, just switching gears to your folate receptor alpha ADC, Rina-S. I mean you are going to read out the Phase III in the fourth quarter. I guess maybe to start, just -- we've seen a little bit of data in the Phase II, not a lot in terms of follow-up. I mean how should we be thinking -- are we just going to get the Phase III, also the Phase II? How are we going to see this readout? And how much information are we going to get?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#64

Yes. So what we message is that we will have both Arm C, which is the Phase II with around 100 patients and the Phase III in Q4 this year. So a lot of data sets coming like pump and pump. But again, we are very confident on the data that Dr. Lee presented in terms of ORR duration, safety, convenience. So we are looking forward and very enthusiastic about the potential of Rina and PROC. And there is a time advantage because potentially Rina-S will become the first second-generation ADC to show positive data for patients with PROC.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#65

Got it. And maybe just touching upon the study design. I mean, based on our calculations, it seems like the -- like the study is well powered to detect like around 1.5 months and PFS. If we assume control arm around 4 months, that would put it on par with ELAHERE. However, in your view, how much better than ELAHERE would Rina-S need to be?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#66

So when you design a study or your powered, you establish your hazard ratio based on the control. Now it doesn't mean that the data will behave that way, but you need to power to be statistically positive. We know based on the data from Dr. Lee by 12 months, a single patient progress that we expect to be much more better than the minimal assumptions. But again, statistically and the clinical -- the actual data we expect that we will be -- the data will be better than ELAHERE in terms of PFS, duration of response, differentiation on safety with no ocular toxicity or the burden on patients to have this visual test and potentially the double indication in the future for endometrial and nonselective for folate receptor. So we expect to be really differentiated and superior.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#67

Got it. And in terms of like the folate receptor high versus low patients, based on the data we have so far, are there any signs of difference in efficacy?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#68

So what we showed is that in the 20 patients for ovarian in the high, the response rate was 5 out of 6 versus 5 out of 10 in the low. But still, 50% is very good with consistent durability across the board. So this is why we don't believe there is a need to enrich or to have a test that both another burden on patients. So the strategy is in all comers because the efficacy that support it.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#69

Got it. And given that ELAHERE is approaching blockbuster status, how should we be thinking about Rina-S' commercial opportunity given we've seen so much better efficacy in the Phase II?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#70

So thank you, Eva, for the question. So today, our estimate for Rina-S is 2 billion peak sales and the $2 billion include all the [indiscernible] Opportunities, PROC, PSOC and endometrial. So -- but we expect to serve a very -- so today, it's like 27,000 patients in the U.S. with PROC. But again, and this is the number that we estimate for now.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#71

Got it. And based on the early data you have in endometrial and what we've seen for other -- for the receptor alpha ADC in PSOC, like how should we be thinking about indication expansion and Rina-S' progression once we get the PROC?

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#72

Yes. So I think that the breadth of the clinical development plan is -- so we started with PROC and endometrial 03, which is after PD-1 and chemo failure. We expanded to PSOC in second-line maintenance and replacement, and we plan to expand even further in both indications, ovarian and endometrial to cover every setting where Rina can help and to position as the ADC of choice.

Eva Fortea-Verdejo

analyst
#73

Excellent. Well, this was incredibly helpful. Thanks so much for joining us today.

Judith Klimovsky

executive
#74

Thank you, Eva. Thank you.

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