Genpact Limited (G) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 4, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Ryan Potter
analystAll right. Welcome to Citi's TMT Conference. And as a reminder, this session is for Citi clients only. I'm Ryan Potter from Citi Research. I'm glad that we're hosting Genpact for this session. And from Genpact, we have CFO, Mike Weiner. Mike, thank you very much.
Michael Weiner
executiveNo, thanks for having us.
Ryan Potter
analystI guess just as a start for new investors, can you kind of give them an idea, a short elevator pitch of who Genpact is, who the competition is? Like what leaves you guys to win in the market? Where are you competitive advantages?
Michael Weiner
executiveSure, sure. Well, thanks for having us here at the conference. I apologize for being a little hoarse today. Lately been in a number of meetings. So let's talk a little bit about what Genpact is. Genpact originated from GE, right? I was, in many cases, the middle and back office operations, first from GE Capital and then from GE in total. And disproportion for many, many years, it was its only client prior to it going public. Still today, GE is still a client in its various forms of it, but the company has grown dramatically and diversified itself away from GE. We're a little over $4.5 billion of revenue. And the interesting thing is about 75% of our revenue we consider annuitized, will repeat year after year as we do large managed services contracts. We have deep experience in business services and being process level optimizers in terms of driving value on behalf of our clients. We have strong partnerships and disproportionately focus our efforts on the Fortune 500 companies. Today, our revenue and really our go-to-market offerings are bifurcated between we consider our Data-Tech-AI offerings, which about half of those are annuitized, about 45%. And 55% of our business is digital operations, which extensively has its roots in what was legacy BPO with a large focus on using advanced technologies to drive substantial amount of productivity on behalf of our clients. We compete -- which is in a unique space. We compete against very large IT players, right? We're not a big systems integrator, right? We're a business management operations company. We have deep domain experience, particularly in Data-Tech-AI, and we offer comprehensive solutions that really drive value on our clients. We have large service lines, including that of finance and accounting. And arguably, we think about ourselves is either one or two in that player as well as in supply chain and procurement offerings to drive that on behalf of it. Our clientele are very large multinational companies, as I said, Fortune 500. And we disproportionately serve the CFO as well as the CIO in terms of what these offerings are.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. Perfect overview. I guess just shifting gears a little bit. Since BK came on as CEO, just been a focus on execution and he has his own 3+1 Execution Framework who seems like partnerships, Data-Tech-AI, simplification, client zero. I guess could you provide further detail in terms of what elements are in each of those? And could you highlight progress that you've made towards each element of that 3+1 Framework?
Michael Weiner
executiveSo we made progress in every one of those 4 things that are in the 3+1. So let me explain what it is. It's an execution framework of the company, right? So the first one is partnerships. And in terms of partnerships, what we're doing is we are partnering with, for lack of a better term, large hyperscalers that the likes of the Microsoft, AWS, Google as well as partners such as ServiceNow and Databricks and Salesforce to go to market with solutions that solve problems on behalf of our clients, right? We're already seeing strong progress in terms of doing that and driving revenue as well as offerings. The interesting thing is that the industry as a whole has a much higher percentage than we do in terms of what revenue they generate from these partnerships. We're in the single digits. Others in the industry arguably are 30%, 40%, 50%. That being said, we're not a large system integrator but we think there's a huge opportunity for us to have deeper penetration with these partnerships. So what have we done to date, as you alluded to, in BK's 8 or so months of being CEO? We have a new leader in the space who's joined the company as well as a team that continues to expand and grow and we've had a tremendous amount of interest in partnership with these large hyperscalers. And the way I'd like to think about it is we disproportionately sit between the client and these tech companies in terms of taking, in many cases, their on-the-shelf, very complicated solutions and clients' problems and trying to adapt them to solve certain things, right? To believe in this model that the industry operates in extensively is that these large hyperscalers are not in the implementation businesses, right, or the consulting type businesses. They want to sell SaaS-based revenue, right, sells many of their products, but we need to be there to customize those solutions using our domain level expertise to solve those problems. So that's partnerships as part of this 3+1. The next is Data-Tech-AI, which is to no surprise to antibody, it's really leveraging the power of AI to effectively drive solutions for our clients. We've already seen tremendous impact in expanding our reach to our clients. We've had a tenfold increase in bookings associated with generative AI and we'll probably talk about it later as AI and generative AI is nothing new to Genpact. We're probably not as known for it as we should be. And early signs are very positive for us to continue the pivot towards becoming a generative AI leader in the space. The next is kind of a simple one, we call simplification, right? How do we make ourselves more effectively internally with our go-to-market strategy, right, to be more client focused. Today, we have 12 business units that are specifically focused on the 12 areas which we focus on with our clients, or everything ranging from high tech and manufacturing, to consumer goods and life sciences and we've organized ourselves there, all centered around meeting the needs of the clients. And then the last one, which is one disproportionately as a functional leader in the organization I'm focused on, is that of what we call client zero, right? We need to be our best reference, right? So as we talk about adopting these new technologies to drive things such as finance and accounting to a CFO, we need to show them proof points that we're doing it ourselves. And then the benefit of that is going to be twofolds, right, will obviously be the test case for us to go to market as well as we think it's going to drive a lot of productivity, expense savings for us in terms of our organization, which we could plow back into our offerings.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. Maybe double-clicking on the simplification element and moving to 12 business units. You mentioned being closer to clients, was there any other rationale behind making this move, what benefits you expect to see under 12 business units? And have you started to see proof points of that rationale actually come into fruition?
Michael Weiner
executiveAbsolutely. We have seen our execution, and I would attribute our performance to better than our own internal expectations for the first half of the year a lot towards that. So what does it allow us to do? It's not just resegmenting our business. I don't want people to have that view at all. It was creating these 12 business units to create clear accountability primarily on sales and client execution to drive it. And that clear accountability is really focused on not just historically on potentially pipeline and bookings but the actual pipelines, the bookings to revenue through gross margin in many cases as well as really the quality of revenue that's associated with just not just digital operations, but Data-Tech-AI and then now pivoting to generative AI-related things. The ultimate focus of it is exactly that of focus. It's enhancing our focus with our clients and providing them with the deep level of experience that we have internally to help them with their needs. So traditionally, we had gone to market with a much more broader sales force level approach, having sales folks associated with it without the robust offerings that we have today by being solely focused on these 12 units.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And your earnings results in the past few quarters, especially in 2024, have been relatively solid. How much of this would you attribute to this 3+1 Execution Framework, so execution improving versus be more prudent or cautious or conservative in your outlook or some combination of both? And then also on top of that, I think the outlook raises have been mostly just the outperformance in quarter. You've been flowing that through. Was there any reason you haven't flown that outperformance into more in the second half of the year into the future quarters?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. So if you think about our performance in the first half of the year, it's really a combination of the 2 things that we alluded to. It's improved execution that we have had in our business, all tied to our 3+1 strategy, right? We have a prudent guidance philosophy that we continue to move through the organization. And we've flown through those results through the second half of the year, it may be a little additional to that. Now what the ultimate variable in terms of our performance for the second half of this year, it's really going to be on what ultimately happens with the general business environment that we operate under. We have assumed a relatively benign environment that really started a year ago as the third quarter pivoted to much more flat or benign. We saw that certainly through the fourth quarter and the first 2 quarters of this year. So we're not anticipating anything dramatically improving or deteriorating for the remainder part of the year, and we'll see ultimately where it goes.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. I guess maybe shifting gears to the demand environment. How do you broadly characterize the current state of the demand environment, what you're seeing, I guess, maybe since the end of the quarter? And then given this enterprise spending environment where price is more focused on costs. Has that twofold led to increase in core BPO demand but also has it led to clients, say, perhaps pushing back for more kind of productivity savings?
Michael Weiner
executiveIt's a combination of a lot of things. So if you'd asked me this question a month ago, I would say really 2 things are affecting the buying behavior of our clients in terms of a cloudy business environment. And if you take these 2 large macro things, you'd bucket them into 2 things. One is the general financial and business environment, AKA interest rate environment. And then the second is the macro global environment. So let's double-click on each one of those. I think we're all relatively comfortable, particularly our clients, that they have line of sight on where the interest rate environment is going to be, which helps them in terms of CapEx, helps them in terms of really helping them understand where their demand is going to come from both on a B2B and B2C side. The other component of it, why we haven't seen dramatic acceleration in spending is that we hear from our clients is we need to understand really, for lack for a better term, where the global environment is going to be. And if you really talk to them about it, what they're saying is the elections. So we'll ultimately see what happens in November, right? But that still is an overhanging factor on our clients as particularly, they move into their budgeting cycles that we're seeing right now. So we're assuming that the environment, particularly in our -- as I talked about a minute or so ago, doesn't improve dramatically from their buying behavior or deteriorate. And we'll see what happens.
Ryan Potter
analystSo if we perhaps saw certainty on interest rate reductions, got through election cycle, maybe we're entering next year in a more positive state?
Michael Weiner
executiveI think so. I think we've taken a prudent approach for this year. We'll give guidance as we complete the next year. And the interesting part of our business, what I said in my opening remarks, is that 75% of our business is annuitized. So come January 1, as CFO, makes me feel great about the business. The other 25% of our business, we have to go out and we've converted those bookings into revenue for that period of time. And a lot of that is really all within our Data-Tech-AI business. Some of that work is discretionary short term that could be anywhere from a year or less. And I think if we have a healthier business environment, we hope to see an acceleration of that compounded by the work that we're doing and the investments we're making in both partnerships in Data-Tech-AI.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And you mentioned earlier that maybe Genpact is not as well known for AI capabilities and investor base. So here's your chance to kind of talk up. What are some of your specialty, Genpact specialties, towards AI and ML analytics? Maybe you could talk through some work you've done recently, use cases.
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. So this is a really interesting one. So I joined the company a little over 3 years ago, right? And what I was meaning at my predecessor and we were going over the productivity commitments that we make to our clients. I said, "Oh my gosh, how are we able to do this, right?" And these are not small companies that we're going after. And so you have to believe they have inherent internal capabilities in terms of running their operations officially, right? And it isn't just geographical arbitrage where your staff is located. It's our process domination that we know how to run process using inherent technologies and doing it. So we've been using AI for years, right? We've done and we did an acquisition many years ago called RAGE Frameworks, which has helped us implement AI, not generative AI routes relatively new in November of 2022 into our operations. So A lot of people don't think about Genpact. If you think about 45% of our business is in Data-Tech-AI and using enhanced AI in terms of the analytical work that we do. So I think we're really well positioned as we move into the adoption of generative AI into our service offerings, right? So if you think about generative AI, it's just that it's generating in many, many ways, context or answering questions that is going to be either verbal, textual or visual, right? And we think we'll be in a situation to take that and just intermediate some of the offerings that we have and also help drive productivity. But that's all easier said than done, right? So I have a few facts, right? We talked -- BK talked about it is that we've taken this foundational view on generative AI and what we've said is that we will double invest on it from our perspective in terms of training the whole organization that we have 130,000 team members in becoming GenAI enabled in what we do. So we've done a lot of work, right? We have the 100,000 employees that we're actively learning in the space. 70,000 of them have completed level training, 18,000 more advanced work that we've done. And this doesn't just stop at that. They sent me back to school. I just completed my MIT applied AI-related classes, I'll be doing much more. But it's important for us to signal to our clients and to our organization as a whole. This is the way forward, and we will be a leader in this space, both in the short, medium and long term.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And in terms of GenAI, in particular, have you seen client work moved beyond more of the experimentation, proof-of-concept, pilot stages and some more production stages yet?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. So we've done quite a bit of work in terms of proof of concepts, right? We have done some production level work or institutionalizing generative AI solutions. What I would say is as follows, the work that we've done in proof of concepts using large language models has produced phenomenal results. Where us and others in the industry, I wouldn't say struggle, but look for additional adoption of it is really 2 things. Still, it is costly to implement these models, right? And the business case while others will underwrite, some will not. Fair enough. But fundamentally, a lot has done the unstructured data to implement this on a wholesale basis and many of our clients isn't there. That is what we consider an existential opportunity for us. to help them through our partnership channel, but also to working with them directly to organize that down in a meaningful way so that we can implement these technologies for them on a go-forward basis. I think there's a grave misunderstanding about how structured the data is, particularly in our large multinational companies that we deal with upfront. Born-in-the-cloud companies are completely different but when you're dealing with some down level component companies that we have, their data is very much on structure. And so we think that's a big opportunity for us.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. Would you say most -- like new client work today involves either some type of data management or structuring component or GenAI component? Or is that still starting to slowly poke through the pipeline?
Michael Weiner
executiveI think there isn't work that we do today that it does not involve something within our Data-Tech-AI unit, right? People don't come to us to buy digital operations. People don't come to us for human and capital arbitrage, right? It all has to evolve around processes, utilization of technology, right? And that's why we think it's going to be -- what will be a huge benefactor of this. We think of GenAI and technology as a whole as a TAM enhancer for us because in our discussions, particularly with the hyperscalers, that domain level key stroke level information and understanding that we have is key to driving that productivity for our clients, and we think we'll be paid for that.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And I guess, early days of GenAI in early 2023, investors were very quick to put BPO in the loser bucket. Is there any way to kind of frame kind of near-term versus medium-term response mention TAM enhancer, but will not be even kind of half, I guess, to enhance the TAM from GenAI?
Michael Weiner
executiveSo yes. So fundamentally, as I said, it's a TAM enhancer for us. You have to believe that we don't continue to operate the company within a silo. As I alluded to earlier, with some of the metrics that I provided our investment in terms of people, training, upscaling partnerships, so on and so on, that we will continue to pivot to become a leader within the space. So right now, we're in the short term or short duration work that we've done, and that's really been the proof of concept, right? Taking the experience that we have with the teams that we have creating large language models, to solve various problems on behalf of clients. We've had -- now it's coming down to institutionalizing them. And the cost we talked about as well as data security, data cleansing, availability of structured data has been somewhat of a limiting factor to doing that but we're getting there. I don't think that it is going to stop. I think it will increase at a more rapid pace. Then we think about the medium-term adoption of this. And I think about it as from my MIT class perspective, it's human in the loop, right? How do we utilize these technologies with humans in the loop, right? And then ultimately, generative AI and AI-related technologies will be involved in everything that we do on a long-term basis, right? The question I don't have an answer to is how long will this take? What is short, medium and long term, right? I don't know. I don't think it is months. I think this is a multiple year process that these companies will go through. I think of cloud migration, right, and how off people are in terms of how long it has taken to get people there. But one thing I can assure you is that Genpact will not miss the waves that potentially has missed in the past with either cloud or cybersecurity or other big tech waves. We think this one is real sustainable, and we have a competitor actually doing it all based on that demand level experience.
Ryan Potter
analystI'd also like to point investors, you mentioned cloud, but also RPA in terms of disruption of peers, and it being the largest distributors of the technology?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. I mark when you said that dating back to RPA. The fear of it was just dramatically overblown, right? Not just overblown, it was a net TAM enhancer at that period of time, right? How could we use these technologies to solve problems on behalf of our clients. It all fundamentally gets back to the view that what do our clients want to do and focus their time and efforts. There's only so many hours in a day. So the way I'd like to think about it is our clients want to be in the business of designing and implementing products and services on behalf of their clients and marketing those, right? If you think about it from our perspective, they want to allocate more time to that and a heck of a lot less time, capital and resources to the middle back office and to the back office operations that they have, right? And I think one thing that's happened quite nicely and a benefit, which there were very few of per COVID is people's view of remote work, letting work being done halfway around the world. And now with generative AI in terms of language translation on it, I think people are a lot more comfortable in doing that in an outsourced -- and outsource provided well. The one I indexed back to, if you were to tell me 5 years ago, that company now this is not that we don't really operate in the space, we'll be doing outsourcing of tax work, I would have said, you're crazy. But that has evolved. So it all supports the hypothesis I alluded to in terms of what our clients really want to focus on. And we see demand still rising. We're at record level pipeline. And now it's incumbent upon us to convert that pipeline into bookings and into revenue at substantially higher margins where we are today.
Ryan Potter
analystAre there parts of the business to think through or maybe a little more risk in the near term from GenAI where maybe cannibalization has happened first before you get the TAM expansion?
Michael Weiner
executiveWell, listen, I think if you think about where this technology will have its earliest impact, right? And it's going to be in terms of application development that we do, right? And we think we're not big in that space. And we think we'll actually use that as a productivity tool ourselves, right? CX work and customer service work, we're just not that big in that space. But what we're looking to do, we'd love to be able to cannibalize that space. using technology, right, and be able to institutionalize that on a go-forward basis. And then ultimately, where it has a huge amount of benefit now is in content creation, right? And we do some work with that, and that's going to allow for enhanced the democratization of some of the work that our clients do. We have clients that's 4 or 5 years ago, pre-COVID, would demand that certain work being done in certain geos and certain ringed in areas were required. We're able to now use this technology to drive productivity on those functions and those tasks quite dramatically by doing work in many cases halfway around the world at a fraction of the cost.
Ryan Potter
analystIn driving productivity, I guess, one of the tangential impacts of this is potentially clients being more willing to adopt our non-FTE commercial models. So I guess just in terms of color on that front, where is Genpact in terms of non-FTE? Is that something you're pushing and clients are also willing to accept more? Because I mean, clients have been, why they keep all the savings, not offloading of that?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. I think a few things, right? The answer is yes, yes, yes. The non-FTE-related pricing models, we historically noticed you have got a big pushback on. It makes it challenging to compare and contrast offerings and costs amongst other carriers, other providers. also makes it more challenging to compare against your internal benchmarks of it, right? So where we have had success thus far is having an FTE-related pricing model upon renewal converting that into an alternative commercial model that allows us to have that decoupling, right? That decoupling has resulted in thus far, about 20% of our revenue within that cohort of alternative commercial models, and that excludes our fixed fee contracts that we have. The margin on it has been higher from that. And I think it is going to be required for us and others in the industry to move towards these generative AI-related offerings to have that completely being decoupled. And others, including intermediaries in the space, which a lot of people don't talk about, right? In many cases, clients just don't interact with us directly. There's a whole host of intermediaries in the space that act, in many cases, as brokers and advisers are getting there in terms of advising their clients. Last year, we did a large booking, a large deal, it's actually revenue that we've done on a sole non-FTE alternative commercial model basis. So I think we're seeing traction in doing that.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And have the clients, I guess, level of productivity givebacks at edemas normal change at all with AI or the macro in terms of enterprises being more focused on costs like our clients just assuming nonrenewals, there needs to be more proactive as technology?
Michael Weiner
executiveSo it's hard to put your finger on and clients always want and as a buyer of services, I always want to pay less in Right. So we continue to see that and others in the space have continued to see that. We have not seen any irrational behavior, irrational pricing within the industry as a whole. But it is incumbent upon us to make to do that delivery and to meet those productivity commitments being on the forefront of utilizing technologies to drive that level. We just can't -- it has moved far from just having enough FTEs in low-cost locations utilizing, in many cases, rudimentary technology or even technologies of the not-too-distant RPA pass to drive that. So we think we're well positioned to evolve that and compete within that space. We'll ultimately see what happens, but we feel really good about our forecast for this year and our prospects for many years to come from a well of growth and a margin perspective.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And this is meant to be interactive, so I'll stop there and see if there's any questions in the crowd. No, I'll keep going. You touched on the opportunity in strategic partnerships in terms of moving that mix of revenue more towards that. I guess what are you doing on that front to push that? Is it more you're trying to move up partner tiers with all these hyperscalers and even RPA providers out there or software providers? Or is there anything else you're doing internally to push teams more towards partnerships?
Michael Weiner
executiveSo yes and yes, right? So we're working aggressively to display and move up within the tiers. And we've had, quite frankly, really nice reception amongst particularly hyperscalers as well as those other companies that I mentioned earlier. I hate the term, hyperscalers. And I think what's so unique about it is why, right? And they're impressed with 2 things, a, our client list of who those clients are, but our competitors have brand name clients, right? But particularly in finance and accounting, supply chain and procurement, they are really surprised at -- we use the term internally, the domain level experience that we have. I like to think about it as keystroke level work that we have. So to drive enhancements in productivity, you have to know where the opportunities lie, where things break, where today there is a human exception in terms of the process, right? Because that has impressed, in my opinion, these hyperscalers to allow us to co-invest in going after clients to utilize that. And that can be everything from copilots to a whole host of other technologies.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And I guess shifting and focus on Data-Tech-AI in particular. Can you comment on where you're seeing most demand, most pressure in this environment? And I guess, historically, would have been some of the faster growing areas in there. Maybe you could talk about more historical growth rates for you in the segment in terms of supply chain, sales and commercial, financial risk and crime, stuff like that?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. So if we think about the business as a whole, right, our Data-Tech-AI business has a huge analytics business, a huge data business in it and also as a customer experience business in it, right? So where that business has done very well, has been in the consulting side. It's been in the data and also in the asset, but it's small where it hasn't grown as much as we would like based on the past has really been our customers now into growth-based initiatives and disproportionately focused to the cost takeout agenda, right? So if you think about just the not-too-distant future of 2001 and -- '21 and '22, right, people had that grow at any mindset mantra in their organization. And we did a lot of work supporting them and sales growth operation work that they do. They pulled back from some of that work in terms of everything from digital lead monetization, content creation work. We still do it, right? But I'm cautiously optimistic that, that cycle will improve in the not-too-distant future, I'll be able to fire on all cylinders. But in the absence of it, we'll still continue to invest dramatically and grow our offerings, particularly in data and also our AI offerings that we alluded to earlier. Everything has to be a package solution to drive large things. I mean, so at the end of the day, we think about our business is we go into clients and we solve problems. We design solutions. We blueprint those solutions. We'll implement technologies to effectuate that change. We hope we would also effectuate and we say we'll do all that, and now let us try to run it for you. at a lower cost than you can do yourself. So I think the future is quite bright from all those perspectives.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And then shifting to digital operations. We're seeing the most pressure, more strength. Is there any opportunity to potentially accelerate that growth going forward, especially given this cost-focused demand environment?
Michael Weiner
executiveWe've seen, again, that's reflected in our robust pipeline. We've continued to see that business demand really remain consistently strong, longer lead cycles, large deals, right? There's a great line that one of our competitors had, and I have it on my desk. I won't say the name of the competitor, but he had the CFOs back at the table. What he was alluding to is that buying behavior in the '21, '22 vintage was the sales leader or the CIO is really dictating a lot of buying behavior and that cost takeout agenda really came back strong. And we have continuously seen that in terms of client demand, right? And then you think about it still today, I was at a CFO event this weekend and everyone talks about what they do. There isn't many companies who don't have a blueprint to go forward to utilize some of the services that we have, right? What was the exception of using a BPO provider if you weren't a large multi-cap company or had your own cap is inevitable. So we feel really good about that, but it's still massively underpenetrated. So some are using it for certain functions, but not others, right? And we continue to sell into that, and that continues to expand our offerings and our talent.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And a theme across PPO in recent years has been on capital carve-outs a little bit. And I know last year, you comment a little bit more on some of the large deals having rebadged elements a little bit different. But in terms of some of the large deals you're seeing today, is rebadge still an element of it?
Michael Weiner
executiveVery much so. So we're seeing 2 things, right? We are seeing rebadge and I would call it, rebadge enhancements, right? A lot of the clients we operate have various either have multiple vendors, right, BPO vendors that they want to consolidate where they have captives, which they've established themselves that do pieces of the business. We have a -- we do a lot of work in helping companies establish captives, putting in best practices for it. But at the end of the day, I think we continuously get captives coming back to us for us to move them for us in the sense of you need such scale and efficiencies in a captive in a particular business unit to drive that value that only the industry itself can generate. And we feel good about it. In addition to it is the retention, quality of talent, right? I use the term in many of these meetings is people don't want to be an accountant working an accounting firm. They want to be an accountant working on behalf of clients. And we offer that us and others in the industry, but these people are the front office in what we do. And that's meaningful in terms of the quality of the talent that we have where a human capital-intensive business, and we need some more people who want to work here. And I'm not saying you don't get that in a captive, but it disproportionately we're able to attract and retain that talent better than others.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And maybe shifting gears a little bit to margins when you have the CFO. Can you talk about, I guess, 2024, where some of the margin levers, puts and takes to think through what's driving margins in 2024? And then moving forward and know like what was said at the Investor Day a couple years ago, so you not as relevant, but you talked about maybe accelerated margin opportunity. over the medium term. Is that still on the table? And I guess how should we think about the margin expansion and opportunity moving beyond this year?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. So we'll talk about this year, right? So in terms of what our guide this year, to the extent that we continue to deliver better than anticipated margins, where we have needs to reinvest that money back in the business. We'll continue to do that all within the parameter within the 3+1 Execution Framework disproportionately in terms of what we need to do to be enhance our genre capabilities and offerings, right? I think -- and as far as taking that off the table, no, but we'll talk about our guide in the preceding quarters for next year, but we're not thinking about taking off margin expansion on the table or more importantly, we're not thinking about taking margins back.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. In the past, you've talked about moving more from Tier 1 cities into Tier 2 cities and some of your geographies. Does that come with higher market -- is that still a focus and does that come with also higher margins?
Michael Weiner
executiveWell, by definition, it comes with higher margins. if you couple that, particularly that with non-FTE-related pricing models and you think about some of the offerings we do in a factory type conceptual setting due to our ability to generate higher returns will ignore to us, right? But again, these are open discussions that we have with our clients from that perspective. But that is still something very much we're focused on. But at the end of the day, it's not just about the cost of that talent. It's about the quality of that talent and the accessibility of the talent, particularly in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, in many places such as India. I think the talent base is massively underestimated of what their skill set is and what they're able to do. And if you then layer on top generative AI related and the ability to democratize education, skills training and now language, well, we really have a leading edge in being able to tap that talent base. We were one of the predominant companies and still are places like India in terms of our ability to recruit and retain. And that's really been the secret sauce of the company every year. I also get the question, you guys have a 25% or 20% retention or attrition rate. You have 130,000 players. Are you hiring and training and moving through your pipeline, not many people? And the answer is yes. We do it very, very effectively. We manage a very effective pyramid to our organization. And as we grow, we look to decouple that revenue, that FTE growth with our revenue by using different technologies to really focus on that decoupling.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And in terms of investments, I would assume most of your investment focus is geared towards the 3+1 Execution Framework, but just broadly where you're making the most incremental investments?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. So we have a much more disciplined approach under BK's financial management, stewardship of the organization. to look at the ROI of our investments that we do in Triage accordingly, right? We just can't do everything that everybody wants. They all have to fit within the 3+1 framework of that being partnerships. And we've hired and brought on a whole bunch of people, Data-Tech-AI both from a leadership and from a training perspective. Client zero has to show both a return for us internally and making us that proof point or eat our own lunch. And simplification, well, it doesn't have a tremendous amount of investments to it. It is a focus of ours. So I would disproportionately say, it's going to be on our partnership investments as well as our Data-Tech-AI with the vast majority of our investment focus has been.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And just generally on capital allocation, did you walk through Genpact's strategy? And I guess M&A, you haven't been as active in M&A as maybe you've done in the past. So how is that pipeline looking?
Michael Weiner
executiveSure. So what we've done, certainly as my stewardship of the business as CFO of the company, has put together a fairly simplistic capital allocation strategy. The wonderful thing about the company is that not just that it's got 75% of annuitized revenue, it's generating a tremendous amount of cash. Our cash flow forecast for this year, free cash flow from operations of about $525 million. We have said that we will return half of our free cash flow from operations through a combination of dividends and share buybacks. And to the extent and the other remaining piece will be used primarily to fund inorganic growth of the company. And to the extent we don't use that to fund M&A, I'll address M&A in a second, we'll return that additional capital to the extent we can in a most tax efficient way to our to our investors. Last year, we did a little over 65% return of that free cash flow. As far as M&A, we see every deal out there. We are focused wholeheartedly on acquiring capabilities that we don't have. We don't buy businesses or buy revenue that really is just to synergize it. So we will continue to seek out predominantly tech-related offerings associated with generative AI inorganically. And we have more to come on that in the future.
Ryan Potter
analystGot it. And right up on time. So I guess I'll just end with what keeps you up at night question in terms of focus on execution, what is one of the biggest risks that you think through in hypo mitigate through them? And also just in terms of macro uncertainties still out there, how are you thinking through that?
Michael Weiner
executiveYes. So black swan events always keep us up at night, right, but we mitigate them to the best extent possible. What keeps me up at night is that we have to just continue to focus on our internal execution and our execution strategy and keep the 130,000 team members that we have engaged every single day and be client-focused.
Ryan Potter
analystPerfect. All right. Thanks again, Mike.
Michael Weiner
executiveThank you, and thank you, Citi, for having us.
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