Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 10, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Ryan Brinkman
analystOkay. Great. I think we can get going with the next presentation, which is with Gentherm, the world's largest automotive thermal comfort company with a budding battery business as well. Happy to have with us Phil Eyler, President and Chief Executive Officer; as well as Matteo Anversa, Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer, Phil and Matteo, thanks so much for coming to the conference. We appreciate it.
Phillip Eyler
executiveThank you, Ryan. We're excited to be here, live and in person.
Matteo Anversa
executiveAbsolutely.
Ryan Brinkman
analystI thought to start off with some higher-level questions, including one we've been asking a number of companies at the conference to please comment on their latest thoughts on normalized demand in the U.S. We averaged $17 million SAAR for so many years leading up to the pandemic. We're only at $13.7 million year-to-date. And I think that they're the most proper explanation as to why it's supply constraints. And obviously, that's a huge part of it. I wonder, though, if it's maybe more nuanced, vehicles cost $46,000 now versus $35,000 prepandemic. Given that, how likely is it and over what time frame that we might return to pre-pandemic levels of unit volumes or if we are in some sort of period characterized by higher price and lower volumes, how is the supplier like Gentherm positioned for that environment?
Phillip Eyler
executiveWell, it's a little hard to forecast exactly how things are going to play out. But I do sense that once the supply chain starts to open up, especially on the semiconductor side, that we will see some of this pent-up demand start to get released into the market. I do think there's replacement volume that's pent up in the market as well. So I would think that if you look at the current IHS estimates of the $16 million, $16.5 million that feels about right to us. We're certainly prepared if it's lower, but I think that's fairly reasonable. When it comes to our -- where we're positioned with respect to the volume. I think, number one, and of course, your question was do we see things skewing to more expensive vehicles, more luxury vehicles or more mass market vehicles, I think we're really positioned well either way. Number one is on the higher-end vehicles, we certainly see more content of our products, which we're thinking about climate seating, heated and cool -- heated steering wheel, a lot of surfaces that we just acquired Alfmeier. So we now have lumbar and massage in the car. So those high-end vehicles are really spurred by the demand from consumers for comfort, health and wellness solutions. And that really is also scaling to mass market vehicles now, too. And we have enough scalability in our solutions to manage entry-level cars with these -- with a lot of these features as well. There's a lot of tailwinds in terms of demand for those kinds of features across the whole spectrum. So regardless of what happens to vehicle production, I think we're in a great position to see pretty sizable above-market growth.
Ryan Brinkman
analystI wanted to get your latest thoughts, too, on the pace and progress of customer discussions to recover a lot of these premium costs that you've incurred over the past year, including diesel, freight, logistics, natural gas, electricity, et cetera, and the likely impact to Gentherm's margin. Maybe you can address it from a couple of different perspectives. First of all, with regard to opening up contracts that maybe previously didn't anticipate those cost -- contracts currently in production. But then also when it comes to signing new contracts, are you able to gain any more flexibility or better protection should noncommodity supply chain costs track differently again in the future?
Phillip Eyler
executiveI think there's a lot of momentum in terms of the relationships with the OEMs in terms of moving forward on recoveries. Maybe, Matteo, you want to take some of the details there?
Matteo Anversa
executiveSure. So Ryan, the -- so we did -- going after this in that kind of a holistic way, in 3 ways, primarily, a, just a straight reimbursement of onetime costs like the premium freight and the spot buys. We've been doing this now for quite some time, almost 1 year. and we're going to be very successful in doing it. Then the second thing we look at is the really a reduction in the annual price reduction that we have either in the current agreements and/or new awards to your point. And then the third is straight price increases. So I think there has been receptivity more in the recent months compared to, for example, last year, on the side of our customers to the last 2 pieces, which is really the reduction of the APRs and the increase in the prices. And we have been relatively successful. We actually, the second quarter, if you take the second quarter is an indication is the first time where we had positive price. You know that generally, in our business, price is always 2%, 2.5% drag in the margin. It was positive, thanks to this recovery. So I think we are at the beginning, but you will see more in the second half, but I think we're starting to see some good momentum on these aspects.
Ryan Brinkman
analystOkay. Great. And could you maybe revisit the logic behind and the benefits of the Alfmeier acquisition? I mean on the one hand, it seems pretty attractive just on valuation terms. It looks like you're paying, I think, EUR 178 million to buy our $30 million of EBITDA. I guess they were making $20 million, you're targeting $10 million of cost synergies. So only about kind of like 6x, which is a substantial discount to the multiple that your own shares trade at. What other benefits though, do you think there are to the acquisition? Are there revenue synergies as well from customer introductions? Could the benefit from revenue synergies rival even the cost synergies over time? Or what's the right way for investors to think about this acquisition?
Phillip Eyler
executiveWell, for us, it all starts with the mission of the company. And our mission is to develop and deliver solutions that have a positive impact to the consumers in the vehicle of today. And we do that through improved comfort, health, wellness and energy efficiency. And of course, traditionally, we've been a thermal products supplier. But as we looked at how to increase our value proposition with our customers, increase content per vehicle, seemed like a very natural fit that adding physical enhancement of health and wellness through lumbar and massage, integrated into our thermal products was a very natural thing to do for us. And actually, we started discussions with Alfmeier, almost 4 years ago, and it's kind of been a journey in building that relationship. Alfmeier is a small private German technology company. And really, we believe, the clear technology leader in pneumatic lumbar and massage. And the timing kind of all came together, and we were able to put this deal together. You pointed out that we think we got a nice fair deal for the company. When you look at what we think this can do for us, you mentioned the cost synergies, and we're very comfortable with the $10 million that we can make that happen over the next couple of years. But probably the biggest upside, which isn't included in that $10 million is going to be on the growth side. Alfmeier is a company that has done very, very well with premium European OEMs, BMW, Mercedes, Volkswagen/Audi. They do have a good business with one of the very large EV manufacturers, global EV manufacturers as well. And they started to build some business with Ford. But that's pretty much it. Where we see the opportunity is, number one, that we're going to strengthen our relationship with those customers. But more importantly, Gentherm will bring our customer base, which is vast, you look at North America customers, GM, Stellantis, Ford and then you start looking at Asia, our second largest customer as a company is Hyundai Kia. So that -- you start looking at them. Japanese customers were very strong with Japanese customers and then also looking at how to grow in China. So we see significant opportunities to bundle their product with our offerings, but also uniquely grow with their products.
Ryan Brinkman
analystGreat. And maybe you could talk a little bit too about another recent acquisition that of Dacheng Medical on the recent earnings call, you commented that Dacheng has innovative and complementary patient temperature management devices. What are these devices? How do they compare to lane control or other patient thermal management products we might be more familiar with. And you mentioned too, I heard private label opportunities. Could you elaborate on that?
Phillip Eyler
executiveFor those of those who don't know a lot about Gentherm, many are surprised to hear that we're not only in the automotive side of comfort, wellness and health, but we also have a medical division that's relatively small as of right now, kind of in the $40 million to $50 million pace in terms of revenue. But it really is a very unique position in our space to have that medical business. It's a good business anyway. I mean it's generally high-margin business. It's in a space that's growing. It's patient temperature management. But what's really unique from an automotive standpoint is it's that expertise that we can bring around how the human body responds to thermal change. And we do that in the hospitals and ERs and intensive care units. So we can take that knowledge called thermophysiology and build it right into our automotive solutions. And that's put us in -- we believe we're the only supplier in the world that has that capability. So just to give a little background on it. The thing about the business though is we really -- we want to scale it up in order to have critical mass so we can take advantage of the margin profile of the business. So Dacheng Medical is a China-based developer and manufacturer of patient temperature solutions and is actually in the top 3 in terms of market share in China. Granted, this technology in China, patient temperature management is really on the earlier stages as compared to the U.S. We didn't have a lot of access to hospitals in China. So this gives us a really great opportunity to grow in China, and it's a China for China model. On top of that, the company has some very innovative patient warming solutions, mostly air based around the delivery device, so call it the warm air delivery module. But where they're really, really strong is on the consumable side. And so the body covers and the blankets the things that is kind of like the razor blade to the razor model. And that's what that was very attractive. In fact, they were supplier to us in the first place. So we can obviously tap into their product and go directly to hospitals, but this private label business is something we think could really give us an opportunity to scale volume much faster. And that's to supply other players in the market who are also doing patient warming. So you can look at it as competitors, but something they've really established themselves well and we're pretty excited about that opportunity to grow.
Ryan Brinkman
analystMaybe you could just talk a little bit about how having the medical business, together with the automotive business improves the go-to-market. What is the response from the customers because it does make you unique, as you mentioned.
Phillip Eyler
executiveYou mean on the medical side go-to-market or both?
Ryan Brinkman
analystNo, on the automotive side. I can only imagine medical care is very much about the steering wheel...
Phillip Eyler
executiveWell, it's really about -- when you look at Gentherm, Gentherm is an innovation and technology company. And the thing that our OEM customers look to us the most for is the thought leadership on how to enhance the performance of the thermal products when you're talking about thermal in the vehicle. And the way we do that is we build expertise around the human body and thermophysiology. And it's really unique in automotive. I believe there are a few to none who are thinking like we are. We really focus all of our attention around how the body behaves and how to reach comfort and a positive sensation without having to blast heat, warm air or cool air throughout the cabin. So that approach, that human-centric approach is really important. And when you look at the medical business, it's all based on those, the science around that because what you're trying to do is you're trying to warm or cool a body to a really specific level to improve the outcomes of the procedure in the hospital. So you have to understand how the human body reacts and responds to heat, what are the locations of the body to apply, temperature change. The body is a very nuanced machine when it comes to temperature management. It's not uniform. You want to address the neck, vital organs. So you have to be really careful about how this can work. So on the car side, the other advantage we get by understanding that is we can use less energy to bring the consumer to a comfortable level. And that's really what has spurred ClimateSense for us. So at the end, the medical product and the skills that we have in the medical have really come together with this idea of an individual micro climate in the car called ClimateSense. We actually created an algorithm that's part of our offering that's based on the science of thermophysiology. So it's not just applying more of the thermal effectors around the body. It's also managing when, how much heat or cool to provide to what part of the body given a lot of different circumstances in the vehicle. And we couldn't do that. We don't believe without that thermophysiology expertise.
Ryan Brinkman
analystYes. It seems like maybe if you backed it up several years ago, it was more about a credentializing thing, whereas as you transition to ClimateSense, it really is important in order to achieve the moment to have that extra expertise is having the medical business going to be even more important, even more of a differentiating factor as the industry transitions to these more sophisticated micro climate solutions?
Phillip Eyler
executiveI think so. And obviously, it's our medical group is pretty small right now. But as we can grow that, we can get more scale, we can get more horsepower behind the scientists and the expertise in the space. I do think it's going to have a positive effect. I really do. And for those of you who aren't aware on -- EVs are the key in our ClimateSense. With EVs, and this is not really common knowledge either, the second highest drain on a battery in an EV is the HVAC system. And that's what we're looking to address is the huge power consumption of an HVAC system. We've -- our ClimateSense solution, which integrates the thermophysiology that I talked about we've proven in our studies, and this is repeatedly with multiple customers through development projects that we can reduce power consumption of the HVAC system by 70% in many applications. That equates to an -- to use a cold -- let's call it, a cold weather cycle, we can actually extend the vehicle's range by 30-plus percent in the cold weather cycle by applying our -- and by the way, the consumer is actually more comfortable than they would be with the traditional HVAC system.
Ryan Brinkman
analystAnd to follow up on ClimateSense, as you recently announced your second award, right, with the battery electric SUV launching in 2025, follows on the first award announced last year also for an EV, a '24 model year. I know you're limited in terms of what you can say about these. You're not allowed to identify the vehicle or the automaker, but is there anything else you could share, for example, content per vehicle or materiality to your financials or maybe how many more automakers might you possibly be in discussions with or have shown prototypes to.
Phillip Eyler
executiveWell, ClimateSense, I've been very clear on our priorities around ClimateSense. We were excited. Our first win happened last year and launches '24 model year. And that our number one priority is executing that project well that we only get one shot at our first impression on the market. So we want to make sure that's done very well. So we've really pulled the vast majority of our engineering team on that. Our second priority was to get follow-on business with that same customer. That's to me the biggest opportunity to grow, to convince the customer, it's a large OEM. And our second win was, I think, a good proof point that we were able to do that. So there is obviously enough confidence in what we were doing in the first program to get the second award before SOP of the first program. It's kind of a big deal. And third priority then is over time, obviously continue to win with this OEM, but over time, find another OEM or more to bridge this to. And we are in discussions with a handful other OEMs. We could be in discussions with lots, but we just don't have the resources to do all of these. Generally, what happens is if an OEM is interested, they'll give us a development project where we'll do a full-blown implementation in a vehicle, which takes a lot of work, a lot of programming, a lot of tuning and then you do the testing to prove out the comfort performance and the energy savings performance. And so we have a handful of those ongoing, some that are quite interesting and obviously, we're hoping to see some momentum over the course of time.
Matteo Anversa
executiveRyan, in terms of content, we said it's about 2x to 4x a normal climate seat. So it's a pretty substantial financial impact.
Ryan Brinkman
analystMaybe a follow-up on ClimateSense. We discussed at the 2 awards so far, our EVs. And obviously, EV is a great thing to hit your wagon, it's a lot of growth. At the same time, I was curious, we've got the obvious benefits to efficiency, et cetera, for EVs. But there's also it's kind of a luxury feature, too, right? Like it really enhances comfort, just touching the door sales and the neck conditioning, I could almost see this on an internal combustion Maybach or $110,000 Escalade or Denali or something like that, rear seat neck conditioning and a Porsche Panamera, I don't know. Do you see ClimateSense being sold on its luxury as well as on its efficiency? And do you think we may see it equipped on internal combustion engine vehicles in the future?
Phillip Eyler
executiveI do. There's been a lot of benefits to the creation of ClimateSense for us as kind of a scale. On the one hand, what we had to do when we developed ClimateSense was to add more content around the human body. And that conditioner you mentioned, we've got some radiation-based heating, we've got surface -- you mentioned surface. And I know, Ryan, you had a chance to try out ClimateSense. So you've got the luxury of having experienced it, but a lot of OEMs are looking at these ClimateSense prototypes and saying, well, obviously, we want that for electric vehicles, let's look at that, but the neck conditioner that's -- I'm very interested in that for all my cars. Let's find a way to do that. Some of the aspects of the algorithm are also very interesting to OEMs because it not only improves the power consumption of EVs, but also improves fuel efficiency in the car because if you're warming or cooling the human body, the -- and by the way, we've done studies that have proven that you naturally will use the HVAC system less, which improves overall fuel efficiency. So they see that advantage. So I think there's a lot of opportunity to add content. To your point, though, at the beginning, we definitely have seen on the very high end of the space and interest just to differentiate the experience. So I would expect, if not full-blown ClimateSense, definitely more content will continue to roll out on luxury vehicles.
Ryan Brinkman
analystAnd you recently launched a cell connecting solution with BMW, and I think have several other of thin foil cell connecting contracts. Can you review this technology? And maybe talk about how it compares to like a battery management system offered by other suppliers. What is the content per vehicle opportunity for these types of systems and have you seen others try to emulate your lighter weight, more flexible solution that uses less harmful chemicals or do you maybe have some intellectual property rights that can predict your lead in that area?
Phillip Eyler
executiveYes. So just to get to the foundational technology that we created is called MSP or mechanical structuring process. And it basically takes a sheet of foil, which can be different kinds of -- or different materials, could be copper, could be aluminum. And basically, we use this mechanical etching to put the circuit on this thin foil. And that thin foil circuit is what's used to connect pairs of battery terminals. And so actually, just to step back, that product was actually originally developed for cell heating. And we found the application and working with a customer to transition not just to cell heating -- from cell heating, but also to cell connecting because of the advantages that this product brings compared to the competitive space. So this is purely mechanically etched. The state of the art on the market right now is chemical etched product. So it's kind of a similar product, but it goes through this pretty extensive chemical etching. Our product has the advantage of, one, it's the mechanical structure is much faster, which brings down cost very flexible when it comes to material. In fact, this launch that we just announced with BMW on their -- the plug-in hybrid 7 Series is use aluminum, which is -- we think, one of the first on market to do this, which has a lot of advantages. But one thing that we're really excited about is this product is environmentally friendly using the mechanical structuring, there's basically no waste in this process. Everything could be recycled and regenerated and the process itself is very safe. It can be -- you can put it anywhere. Compare that to chemical etching, which obviously you've got some harmful chemicals in there that have to be managed, disposed of, et cetera. And we just work with Fraunhofer Institute. They did an independent study and showed an over 90% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions with our product versus the chemically etch product. And to answer your question, yes, we have intellectual property around this product. Market is, I think, at least a couple of billion because you think about what's going to happen. A lot of it depends on the volume of EVs out there, but you've got -- you're basically connect many cells in a vehicle and one connector is connecting a couple of cells, on cell connector. So I think the volume is pretty significant. We're really excited about this launch with BMW because as with any new technology, a lot of OEMs are waiting to get miles. They want to see, yes, you've been able to prove the benefits of this product and the reliability as it gets out on the road. We expect -- we see a big pipeline of interest from customers both automotive customers, but also battery manufacturers because a lot of the battery manufacturers have been tasked with creating the full battery pack, including the cell connecting. So we'll see how it plays out over time. We're pretty excited about it.
Ryan Brinkman
analystInteresting. And I wanted to ask on growth over market or the degree to which your organic change in automotive revenue can exceed the year-over-year change in industry production weighted for the geographies in which you were situated last year. I think you outperformed on that metric by an extremely strong 13 percentage points over the industry. This year so far in 1Q, I think you were maybe a little bit more in line in 2Q, 6 points stronger. Just considering the growthiness of many of the products we've discussed thus far today, what do you think is normalized growth over market for Gentherm? And do you see a ClimateSense, which really starts to contribute in a couple of years, as positively contributing for that outgrowth? Or maybe just like maintaining outgrowth consistent with the current strong level as some of the other core products progress along their maturation curves in terms of penetration rates, et cetera?
Phillip Eyler
executiveYes, yes. We've -- I think if you look over the last several years, we've been in the 5 to 10 points of outgrowth. If you kind of normalize everything out, there's some are high and some bounce and a lot of it is timing based on launches and vehicle changeovers and things like that. But I certainly wouldn't expect it to go down from there. And if you look at the vectors of growth that we have, I think they're pretty unique in our space. One is the tailwinds in the market in terms of the demand for health, wellness and comfort solutions in the car, that's not going down. That demand is still very high. We see it today in orders for our product. If there are more semiconductors, we'd be in much better shape as a company, but also the market. Also, just on the -- so that's a kind of a take rate play. We see more take rate happening over time. Content per vehicle, we certainly expect to see continued increases. Just as an example, we're seeing a lot more rear seats start to offer heating and the cooling and lumbar. And I think that's going to keep going up over time. From our perspective, we also look at EVs as a big upside. With the added enhancement of power consumption, both with just our basic product, the Climate Control Seat product and Steering Wheel and so forth all the way up to ClimateSense, we believe there's and we've seen this through the EVs that we've been able to win on, there's a higher content per vehicle on an EV and a higher take rate on EVs. So that's really good tailwinds for us as well. And then you start to add the new technologies that we're adding to the vehicle. So kind of more content in our own products, which is more electronics and software. I mentioned the Alfmeier additions, we're going to have lumbar and massage to add in terms of content per vehicle, the follow-on effects of having ClimateSense, with neck conditioning, surface heating, things like that. We're definitely seeing a trend across the full spectrum of vehicles and more content. And then finally, add to that battery performance solutions, the cell connecting we just talked about and then medical, I think we've got a lot of areas to capitalize on in terms of our growth.
Ryan Brinkman
analystYes, absolutely. And maybe switching gears a little bit. Gentherm was one of the companies in our supplier coverage with the most direct exposure to the conflict in Ukraine. You experienced some disruption there early on in the conflict. But I read that the plant may now be more or less fully back up and running. Is that the case? I didn't even hear it discussed on your last earnings call. Curious what your experience has been in operating in Ukraine this year.
Phillip Eyler
executiveDo you want to take that one?
Matteo Anversa
executiveSo actually, our plant has been running pretty well and insulated from what happened in the conflict also because we are in the Transcarpathian region, so we're close to Hungary. So we haven't seen -- actually, we've seen an influx of people in the region coming from the Eastern part of the country. But overall, the plant is running perfectly fine, actually. We have a very low level of , people have been extremely supportive, really a great plant. And we obviously -- we prepared ourselves for the wars. So we built a little bit of inventory buffer to protect ourselves and customers. We have been creating some duplicate capacity in some of the newer facilities that we have, North Macedonia, Hungary, primarily and -- but I have to say also the customers have been tremendously supportive. We're incurring some costs. We are being completely reimbursed. So I think has been -- as a partnership with OEMs, Tier 1s, things have been going pretty well and knock on wood, things will continue that way.
Ryan Brinkman
analystGreat. Are there any questions in the audience? One here in the middle of the room, please.
Unknown Analyst
analystRelative to the 2 contracts that you've won, how is the dynamic from your standpoint in terms of truly leveraging the efficiency of the HVAC system with your product? And are you in discussions with HVAC? There's a couple of dominant players globally, especially on the compressor side, the optimal fit between your product and the HVAC system for the vehicle, is that kind of even further out and right now, it's just the efficiency you bring to the energy use of the standard HVAC system that we're seeing? I'm just kind of curious how you see that evolving. And if those discussions be preliminary with HVAC leaders, there's 3 or 4, right, that you'd be talking to. Can you kind of let us know how that's going to evolve from your standpoint?
Phillip Eyler
executiveWith this OEM, it's mainly the OEM that is orchestrating that collaboration. Of course, we're working with them, but it's in there -- it's kind of a whole system approach. But this -- definitely, the ClimateSense system is integrated with how the HVAC system is operating through software. So it's using our ClimateSense algorithm and the HVAC software and managing to minimize the amount of use of the HVAC in the system. That's exactly the value proposition. So with the goal of really only using the HVAC when you have to and so that's happening with these first platforms. I think it's going to -- over time, you'll start to see the physical redesign of HVACs. We're probably not there yet because that's more of a complete architecture change. But I think to get the maximum cost efficiency out of it, that's where the OEM is going to have to bring the parties together to try to downsize compressors and inducting and that's going to give the advantage of weight reduction, space reduction in the instrument panel and so forth. So that's, I think, to come. But definitely, it's the value proposition of optimizing the use of the microclimate, our ClimateSense with the HVAC as a huge part of the project.
Unknown Analyst
analystYou mentioned you have a pretty important focus on ClimateSense right now this year focused on EV right now effort in medical and speaking of balancing these properly both the capital and distribution, they are [indiscernible].
Phillip Eyler
executiveYes. We've been doing that for the last several years. And the medical business is relatively small, and we have kind of a focused go-to-market plan in specific regions. In North America, or in the U.S., as an example, we do have a direct sales force that's not huge. And then most other markets, we're using distribution, so it keeps that overall cost pretty low, and that's actually our plan. We'll have a little bit of sales force in China, but mostly we'll do it through distribution. And of course, as we can grow the private label business, that, of course, makes go-to-market much easier because then you're going through a different and larger OEM. So we're definitely mindful of that. We're very, very careful about work on new products between the 2, trying to use common technologies where we can and really focus on only new developments that we really see significant return on investment in the medical side.
Matteo Anversa
executiveI would also add that the thermal -- patient thermal management in terms of business is actually much asset lighter in terms of business model than automotive.
Ryan Brinkman
analystI wanted to ask what the latest is in terms of your ability to source some of the more esoteric electronic components. I remember you ran into an issue last fall with some of the, I guess, electronic control units for GM seat heaters, I know a number of years ago, you vertically integrated some of this production, I believe, in Mexico in Acuna or whatnot, does that make it any easier producing some of the stuff in-house? Or are you more responsible for the components? And then also some other suppliers have signaled perhaps it could be 2 steps forward 1 step back. Maybe in the back half of the year in Europe, it could be more difficult. Just curious I know you do source a lot of those components. What you guys are seeing on the comps at the moment?
Phillip Eyler
executiveYes. It's been -- we expected the second half to be far better than last year in the early stages of this year. Unfortunately, it's still pretty volatile when it comes to semiconductor supply. Early on, it was more about some of the higher order processors where we had a struggle. Those suppliers have done a really good job of starting to recover. And in the second half, the ones where we really had problems that you mentioned are kind of coming back, and we're looking pretty good. But there's a lot of surprises that are happening in the space. The analog ICs and parts you just wouldn't expect to be a big problem. Those we've really -- especially in Q2 have been a real headache. And as I understand, through discussions with our customers, a headache across many of their suppliers. So we're expecting that to continue, definitely Q3. We don't have a solid reason to assume that it's going to get better -- a whole lot better in Q4. So we've kind of built that into our plan. Obviously, we're seeing a lot of news about softening on the consumer market side and other streams of business for semiconductor manufacturer side. That could be good for automotive, if it frees up some capacity. We'll just have to see how it plays out. But I think if you look at the number in terms of volume of shortages, it is getting better, but all it takes is one part and a pretty low volume to put you in the big challenging situation. And that's the kind of thing we're seeing right now, has the effect of our own shortages, but it's also showing up in a big way with other components that OEMs buy that creates order stoppages. Where we're stuck with a plant full of people, and we don't ship anything for that customer for a couple of days because they have an outage. That creates a lot of inefficiencies and a lot of cost.
Ryan Brinkman
analystGreat. Looks like we're out of time. So please join me in thanking Phil and Matteo.
Phillip Eyler
executiveThanks, Ryan.
Matteo Anversa
executiveThank you.
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