Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. (GAPB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 4, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveGood morning, and thank you for joining us today. This is Alejandra Soto, the IRO of the company. Today, we will be presenting the proposed integration of the Cross Border Xpress and internalization of the technical assessment agreement into Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico. I am joined by Raul Revuelta, Chief Executive Officer; and Saul Villarreal, Chief Financial Officer, who will walk us through the strategic, operational and financial details of this initiative. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's presentation may include forward-looking statements regarding the proposed transactions, expected synergies, future performance, strategic initiatives future operations and other projections. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. GAP undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required by applicable law. This presentation is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities. For additional information, please refer to the full disclaimer available in today's presentation materials, which are already posted on our website. Thank you, and I will turn the call over to Raul for his remarks. Thank you, Raul.
Raul Musalem
executiveGood morning, and thank you for joining us. Today, we are presenting a transaction that is a key milestone in GAP's trajectory. The simultaneous integration of Cross Border Xpress and the internalization of the technical assistance agreement currently in existence. Together, these steps represent a pivotal moment for GAP accelerating growth, adding diversification to our revenue and asset portfolio and simplifying our ownership structure. This announcement represents more than just a transaction. It is a strategic evolution to diversify and build trust through long-term vision. The transaction aims to support GAP's strategy on 2 fronts. First, integrating CBX with the Tijuana Airport, our second largest and fastest-growing airport, provides GAP with a unique U.S. asset offering direct exposure to California, a major U.S. market with strong cross-border travel demand. CBX is a state-of-the-art asset with a story of attractive growth, has been an important driver for the growth of our Tijuana Airport and brings attractive undeveloped land adjacent to both CBX and Tijuana Airport that is strategic for potential projects in the future. CBX brings U.S. denominated non-aeronautical revenues that provides diversification. CBX generates strong free cash flows and is not subject to minimal investment commitments. CBX is a unique asset and highly strategic for Tijuana Airport and could unlock significant value for GAP shareholders. The second leg of this combined transaction is the internalization of the technical assistance agreement currently in existence in GAP, which also helps simplify GAP ownership structure. GAP will provide technical assistance services directly to its airports, delivering expected pretax annual savings equivalent to approximately 5% of the Mexican airport EBITDA, around $50.8 million in the last 12 months. These transactions will be accomplished by a simultaneous merger of 5 intermediate holding entities into GAP, simplifying its ownership structure. Since some of GAP's strategic shareholders are existing shareholders of CBX and the other entities being merged, it is important to mention that they will receive 100% of their consideration for the transaction in additional GAP Series B shares, increasing their ownership and demonstrating strong support and confidence in GAP's long-term business plan. Breaking down the transaction into the key components. GAP obtains 100% ownership of CBX, including existing U.S. infrastructure adjacent undeveloped land, 75% through the merger and 25% through the ancillary cash transaction. Internalization of the technical assisting agreement and a simplified ownership structure along with approximately $290 million in cash and $74 million in debt from the consolidation transaction. In exchange, GAP delivers roughly 90 million newly issued Series B shares, which represents an increment of approximately 18% to GAP's current total shares outstanding for 75% of CBX and 100% of the internalization of the technical assistance agreement and the cash. We will pay in cash for the remaining 25% of CBX in a separate but cross-conditional transaction. Newly issued share received by strategic shareholders will be subject to 365 days lockup period except for 2 portions. One, up to 25% of their shares may be sold after 90 days; and two, an additional 25% may be sold after 180 days after the closing date. Related with the approval process, the decision by GAP's Board of Directors to submit this proposal to our shareholders for approval is based on an initiative by GAP management and was supported by the Audit and Corporate Practice Committee composed of independent directors, which, in turn, was supported by Morgan Stanley, Deloitte Mexico, Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton and Bufete Robles Miaja as independent external financial and legal advisers. This proposal is part of a comprehensive development, growth and diversification plan to advance GAP to the next level. This plan seeks to benefit all our shareholders. The substantive terms will be outlined in the information statement, which will be made available shortly once GAP's Extraordinary General Shareholders' Meeting is convened to support shareholders in their decision-making process. We expect to call the shareholders' meeting in the following weeks with a meeting anticipated to take place in December. The transaction requires approval by GAP shareholders with an affirmative vote of majority of all shares issued and outstanding and closing is expecting following customary regulatory approvals. The transaction was relevant financial metrics that will enhance GAP's financial profile. The enterprise value to the estimate 2026 EBITDA blended multiple of the transaction will be around 12.2x pre-synergies and the transaction will be immediately accretive on a free cash flow per share basis. We expect mid-teens annual EBITDA growth over the next several years, stemming from strong traffic and revenue growth plus margin expansion. On top, additional cost synergies from CBX are expected in the high single-digit millions of U.S. dollars. The integration of CBX and the merger of the intermediate entities simplifies GAP shareholder structure and at scale. CBX is currently 75% owned by entities of our Mexican strategy shareholders. Those shareholders plus AENA owns 100% of AMP, which GAP has the current technical assistance agreement. In a series of mergers, AMP and the other intermediate entities we all merge into GAP. This achieved by issuing around 90 million additional shares. In a separately bought [ cross conditioned ] transaction, GAP will acquire the remaining 25% of CBX from its U.S. shareholder. On a pro forma basis, using 2024 figures, the transaction will increase our EBITDA by approximately $139 million, an uplift of about 14.3%, bringing pro forma EBITDA to an estimate $1.1 billion. In short, this transaction strength GAP financial profile and streamlines its shareholder structure enhancing alignment. The post-transaction ownership structure will not include any change on the rights of the BB Series according to our bylaws. Now let's take a closer look at CBX. CBX is a U.S.-based binational terminal that covers the Mexico-U.S. border and is physically connected to Tijuana Airport. The CBX serves the world's busiest border crossing. It allows passengers to cross the border in an estimate time of 20 minutes compared to the waiting times of over 2 hours of an average crossing. It serves as the link between South California and 38 Mexican international destinations. Since its inauguration in December of 2015, CBX has served more than 20 million passengers, clear evidence of its value propositions to travelers. Looking at its revenue mix, 69% comes from ticket sales, 21% from parking and 10% from ancillary services. All of these revenue streams are not regulated. This makes CBX a stronger driver of GAP's revenue diversification. CBX is a long-life asset operating under a presidential permit with the indefinite term as well as 50 years agreement with U.S. Customs and Border Protection. On this slide, you can see a bird size view of CBX footprint. As this imagine shows, CBX is much more than just a border crossing terminal. It's a fully complex and highly strategic location. It includes parking facility, a rental car center, food and beverage options and about 60 acres of adjacent land for future development. All of this sits at the world business world crossing and is included within the perimeter of the transaction. Who uses CBX? CBX serves passengers that hold a Tijuana Airport boarding pass for a flight that arrives or departs at the same day. Around 75% of CBX users come from the U.S. and the remaining 25% from Mexico. Most travelers use CBX to visit family for leisure and for business trips. To highlight relevance in 2024, roughly 32% of Tijuana Airport passengers use the CBX. So why do customers choose CBX? The model offers fast price competitive connectivity to 35 destination in Mexico, often beating the Los Angeles San Diego airports on total travel time and cost to the Mexican destination. We will go into more detail about this topic on the next slide. And how does it work with border authority? CBX is a U.S. land border crossing operating under agreements with the U.S. customer and Border Protection. It works closely with Mexican National Immigration Institute and U.S. CBP to staff officer based on passenger volumes. CBX reimburse U.S. CBP for the cost of officers working at the facility. Let me expand on why travelers prefer using CBX and why it has become such a popular choice for Southern California travelers related to San Diego Airport, Los Angeles Airport and other land crossing. First, connectivity. CBX Tijuana offers access to more than 35 destinations in Mexico, far more than the San Diego or Los Angeles Airport provides. Second, border crossing time. With CBX travelers can cross about 20 minutes compared to hours at other crossings. Third, the all-in cost. Thank to lower airfares and ground transportation costs, CBX Tijuana is by far the most affordable option. Fourth, route access, CBX -- it's easy to reach with on-site parking and car rentals at reasonable price, while other alternatives tend to be expensive and upside. In summary, CBX offer unmatched connectivity in Mexico, efficiency and seamless border crossing with lower total travel cost and better ground accessibility. This advantage explains why CBX has grown traffic faster than any alternative over the last 5 years with a CAGR of 7% from 2019 to 2024, comfortably outpacing the started growth or even decrease in traffic at the San Diego and Los Angeles Airport. The integration of CBX is an exciting opportunity to create shareholders' value is not just complementary, it's a transformative for GAP's platform and growth strategy. On the table below, we want to highlight how CBX brings unique attributes that will complement and enhance GAP. CBX is based in the U.S., giving GAP direct exposure to the world's largest economy and opening the door for future growth in the U.S. market. Its revenue are fully dollarized, which help us diversify our currency flows even further. CBX revenues are completely unregulated. CBX operates under an open-ended presidential permit, so its economic life is not tied to [Technical Difficulty] concession term. This business is growing faster than GAP with an impressive 18.2% revenue CAGR from 2019 to '24 and slightly higher EBITDA margin, 66.7% versus 66.3% over the past 12 months. Moreover, CBX cash flow generation stand out with a 63.6% free cash flow margins and 95.3% free cash flow conversion rate as of last 12 months. This highlights its strong ability to generate cash and its low CapEx nature. Finally, the asset has low net leverage of 0.4x, giving us flexibility to optimize its capital structure with GAP. Getting into more details about the technical system agreement internalization and ownership structure simplification. Starting with the technical assistant agreement internalization, as a quick reminder, AMP currently provides management and consulting services to GAP until this agreement. Accordingly, GAP is required to pay AMP 5% of the GAP's Mexican airport EBITDA and the agreement is renewed every 5 years unless canceled by shareholders. With the internalization of the technical assistant agreement, GAP will absorb the technical assistance functions and provide them directly to our airports, expecting to yield substantial annual savings. The fee under the technical assistance agreement was approximately $50.8 million last 12 months. As part of the proposed transaction, GAP will streamline its corporate structure by merging 5 entities, creating a simpler and more efficient organization. Strategic shareholders are receiving all the transaction consideration in GAP Class B shares, the same class as the publicly traded shares, reinforcing their alignment with GAP's growth objectives and long-term value creation. As mentioned before, the shares from the strategic shareholders, including the new shares will be subject to a lockup period. In the following slides, we will provide additional detail on the merits that this combined transaction brings to GAP across different fronts. CBX has a unique infrastructure asset covering Tijuana Airport sustainable growth, a compelling value proposition for travelers, the enhancement to GAP financial profile, portfolio expansion and diversification, commercial alignment and revenue growth acceleration, actional growth opportunities, profitability uplift through technical assistance agreement internalization and benefits from GAP's share performance. Tijuana Airport led Mexico in passenger growth over the last decade, positioning an impressive 11.1% CAGR from 2015 to 2024, well ahead of the rest of the Mexican airports. A big part of this success has been CBX, which has structurally strength Tijuana Airport's ability to attract airline routes, capture passengers and expand its overall share of U.S. Mexico traffic. To put in this perspective, before CBX, passenger traffic at Tijuana Airport grew at a CAGR of around 5.9% from 2010 to 2015, well below the 11.1% CAGR previously mentioned. Since opening in late 2015, CBX has contributed meaningfully to Tijuana Airport traffic expansion. CBX has delivered impressive double-digit traffic growth, 14.6% CAGR from 2016 to 2024 and steadily increased its capture rate with measured CBX users as a percentage of total Tijuana Airport passengers, reaching 32% in the last 12 months as of September 2025 (sic) [ September 2024 ] . Even during atypical period like COVID and the global engine recall in 2023 and 2024 that heavily impact airlines availability to seat miles, CBX has proven resilience and continue to support Tijuana Airport's growth trajectory. CBX is a clear winner for cross-border travel, offering unmatched convenience and strategic connectivity. Over 4 million passengers crossing in 2024 access to highly affluent California population, it connects to the fifth largest economy in the world by itself, California. CBX catchment area, primarily Southern California and Arizona, includes the largest Mexican America population in the U.S. Fast and hassle-free, average crossing time of just 20 minutes versus 2 to 3 hours at traditional checkpoints at San Ysidro and Otay borders. Additionally, CBX expands regional and international reach. Direct access to 35 destinations in Mexico more than doubled LAX and far beyond San Diego, ground transportation lease to the Northern California, Las Vegas and Phoenix, competitive alternative to congest and slot-limited Southern California airports. CBX also offers the lowest total cost offer for flying between Mexico and Southern California. Traveling through the CBX Tijuana alternative often result in a 50% to 75% lower total cost when we compare to the equivalent routes from San Diego and Los Angeles airports. This advantage come from lower airport fees and access to Mexican low-cost carriers. On top of that, ancillary services make CBX a convenient and affordable choice with easy access to parking and rental cars for travelers. CBX integrated ecosystem included over 6,500 paid parking stalls, shuttle and ride-share options, car rentals plus food and retail, drives both traveler satisfaction and incremental non-aeronautical revenues. CBX attracts significant traffic from key Southern California counties, not just San Diego, but also Los Angeles, Riverside, Orange County and San Bernardino. The map clearly demonstrates that even passengers in the vicinity of Los Angeles Airport up to 4 CBX, showcasing the asset, convenience and relevance as a compelling alternative for American travelers. Congestion South California airports, specific in Los Angeles and San Diego makes CBX a viable solution. A country-by-country view underscores CBX's strong U.S.-Mexico traveler share and growth headroom beyond the immediate San Diego market. Getting into the financial performance, CBX is a high-margin capital-light asset with strong free cash flow conversion. As seen in the graph, CBX historical performance shows an attractive evolution in terms of revenue growth and EBITDA margin. For the last 12 months ending September 2025, revenue exceed $150 million with an impressive EBITDA margin of 66.7%. Moreover, its free cash flow profile is equally compelling, thanks to robust margins and low CapEx requirements. CBS generated approximately $96 million in free cash flow over the same period, representing a 63.6% free cash flow margin. This combination of high profitability and low capital intensity is unique and highly attractive for value creation. At the GAP level, this profile will support flexible strategic capital deployment and enhance consolidated cash generation. CBX is not just a strong performance, it's a cash engine that strength GAP ability to deliver sustainable growth and shareholders' value. As mentioned before, the aggregate value to projected 2026 EBITDA multiple of the transaction is 12.2x post synergies, and the transaction is immediately accretive on a free cash flow per share basis. Turning to the next slide. These transactions advance GAP's long-term strategy to diversify its business beyond regulated Mexican airport concession, creating new revenue streams and reducing exposure to currency risk. On the left side of the slide, you can see how CBX will significantly increase GAP's U.S. dollar-denominated revenues and strengthening our natural currency hedge. GAP's share of U.S. dollar revenue will increase from 20% to 27% on a 2024 pro forma basis. On the right side, we highlight the impact of non-aeronautical revenues, which is 100% unregulated. Approximately 35% of pro forma revenue will come from ancillary services tied to passenger ticket revenue. Non-aero revenues per passenger will increase from MXN 123 to MXN 166 on a 2024 pro forma basis, representing a 35% uplift. On this slide, we illustrate how CBX integration enables GAP to capture additional revenue by combining grossing tickets income with round trips earnings. On the left, you see the scenario of passengers flying directly from Guadalajara Los Angeles or San Diego. In this case, half of the aeronautical revenue from the trip stay at the U.S. airport, limiting GAP's ability to capture incremental revenues. Now on the right side, you see the scenario enabled by CBX integration, where passengers flying from Guadalajara to Tijuana and then use CBS to cross into San Diego or Los Angeles, this alternative creates a round trip revenue opportunity for Gaps, including outbound and return aeronautical fees, CBX ticket income and ancillary revenues such as parking for U.S. original travelers and car rental for Mexico region travelers. This model not only strength GAP's revenue stream, but also boost Tijuana Airport market share by positioning it a preferred gateway for cross-border travelers. It is clear example of how commercial alignment with CBX drives incremental revenues and enhance GAP's competitive advantage. The integration of CBX has the potential to unlock several attractive growth opportunities beyond the border crossing. On this slide, we have outlined some potential initiatives that could drive market expansion, customer acquisition, ancillary service and operational efficiency for GAP. We have structured this initiative into 5 key pillars: market expansion and demand consolidation. We aim to capture traffic from alternate border crossing and implement strategic initiatives to attract new international routes. Additionally, we plan to expand the CBX footprint and modernize it through new infrastructure projects such as rental car centers, hotels and food and beverage offerings. Customer acquisition and revenue optimization, we will focus on new partnerships and digital margin increase online travel agencies visibility like Booking or Expedia via the Tijuana Travel Code and enhance revenue management through dynamic prices, bundles and tactical increases. Expansion of ancillary services, we see opportunities to optimize parking with long-term state discounts and local promotion as part car rental and ground transportation option and increase destinations choice and hospitality services. Tech-driven operational efficiencies, we will continue investing in technology to streamline the passenger journey, including automatization and self-service immigration eGates and reduce the cost per passenger of U.S. CBP reimbursement as automatization scales. Finally, long-term projects, we will obtain approximately 60 acres of adjacent land that provides the opportunity to develop hospitality, lodging, parking, additional car rental and/or convention centers. This is a bird view of the current infrastructure and highlights the growth opportunities associated with CBX. In the photo, you can see existing CBX facility strategically located adjacent to Tijuana Airport. You can also see that the 60 acres of undeveloped land in the U.S., which present a significant opportunity for future development and value creation. GAP already owns a land reserve adjacent to the Tijuana Airport, which is outside the scope of the concession title seen here in the lower right corner of the photo. It is essentially directly across the border from the 60 U.S. acres to be obtained in this transaction. Together, these assets provide GAP with a unique strategic opportunity for further strength and monetize its unique location straddling the border, including a potential future pedestrian border crossing or border cargo facilities. Let's now discuss in detail the internalization of the technical assistance agreement and why is this an important step for GAP. First, this initiative will improve GAP cash flow by internalizing the technical assisting agreement, GAP is expected to save approximately 5% of the EBITDA generated by its Mexican airport concession, which represents about 3% of the consolidated EBITDA. For context, during the last 12 months, this represents $50.8 million. Second, this change support continuity in operational excellence, It allows us to foster greater agility, accountability and control across the organization, which is critical as we continue to grow. Third, the internalization is consistent with common practice among several operations globally. It also simplifies GAP's ownership structure and enhance governance transparency, which we believe is positive for all shareholders. On the right side of the slide, you can see the historical technical assistant agreement payments. These payments have grown significantly over the time from MXN 462 million in 2019 to MXN 950 million for the last 12 months ending on September 25. By internalizing the technical assistance agreement, we eliminate these recurring payments, which will directly improve margins and strength profitability. And finally, let's move to this slide, which highlights the favorable backdrop provided by GAP's Share Price Performance for these transactions. Since January 2019, GAP Share Price Performance has outpaced its peers and Mexican index. As you can see in the chart, GAP shares have appreciated by approximately 149%. Currently, GAP shares are trading at about 84% of their all-time high, which provides an attractive environment for equity issuance. All strategic shareholders will receive 100% of their consideration in GAP shares, reinforcing alignment and commitment to the long-term value creation. In summary, the strong Share Price Performance not only validates GAP's track record, but also create a favorable environment for executing these transactions efficiently. Our vision remains unchanged to connect people and destinations through our world-class airports, managed with integrity, innovation, diversification and long-term commitment to excellence. As CEO, I want to spread my deepest appreciation to our Board, our teams and especially to our investors for your continued trust and partnership. To work together, we're also simplifying, aligning and enhancing GAP prepares for the long-term sustainable growth and value creation vision. In the coming days, we will publish the call for our extraordinary shareholders' meeting along with the information statement related to this transaction. Our goal is to ensure that our shareholders should make informed decisions freely and without question. Consistent with our historical practice, we respect and will respect the will of our shareholders as expressed in accordance with the applicable law and our bylaws. Thank you very much. I will open the line for questions.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveThank you, Raul. You are going to be able to raise your hand and we are going to be open the mic for each of you. So we are going to start with the first question and the first hand that it is from Rodolfo Ramos from Bradesco.
Rodolfo Ramos
analystCan you hear me? Can you hear me?
Raul Musalem
executiveYes.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveYes, yes, we can.
Rodolfo Ramos
analystPerfect. You know the asset very well. There's no asymmetry here of information. But can you comment a little bit about how this transaction came to be? I mean, who started these discussions? And what about the timing? I asked because we recently saw weaker performance of traffic at CBX, has to do a lot with these U.S. policies and whatnot. But why do this transaction now? So that would be my first question. And second, I mean, from a capital allocation perspective, I mean, how does this transaction impact your appetite for opportunities that you may be currently pursuing or later decide to pursue?
Raul Musalem
executiveThank you, Rodolfo. This is Raul. I mean, we have taken more than a year to structure this new vision of GAP to the -- our Board. We begin with this view, what we call GAP 2.0 that I presented 1 year ago in our Board meeting. And the idea is mainly diversify our business, not only geographical but also in currency. And we just began with that view that were presented by the management. As you know and a lot remember that, I used to be the CEO a couple of years ago, the CEO of CBX. So I really have a really deep understanding of this asset. And that's why I think that is the correct base for the company, completely a possible way of additional value creation for the shareholders. And on the second part, how this decision could change other possible transaction in the future. At the end of the day, what we are seeing on this transaction is mainly equity additional shares. So our position in net debt will still almost the same. So we will have enough room for other additional transaction. The idea here is to align all the shareholders in the same page for a long-term view of our company.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveSo the next one will be from Fernanda Recchia.
Fernanda Recchia
analystTwo topics here from our side. So the first, I just wanted to understand when you internalize the technical assistance fee, are you going to incur any additional cost to do so? Or is it 100% synergy in the savings of expenses? This is the first. And the second, maybe could you elaborate a little bit further on the cost synergy that you expect from CBX integration. Maybe if you could comment on long-term margins profitability that you see or what kind of cost synergy do you consider in the single-digit millions that you mentioned?
Raul Musalem
executiveFernanda, in terms of the -- I will begin with the cost -- possible synergies on CBX. I mean, for the moment, CBX as a stand-alone business, they have all, I would say, a corporate office that includes everything, accounting, administrative and all these kind of things. So for sure, as all our subsidiaries, we will run all that part from our headquarters in Guadalajara. So we are seeing there some sorts of synergies for sure. But also, we have other kind of synergies related with how we can bundle package, for instance, in commercial. As you know, when we negotiate for a car rental, we also make different package of different airports. So it will also have the opportunity to have unique negotiations, for instance, for Cabos, Guadalajara, Vallarta and CBX for car rental companies. That is the kind of synergies that we are also looking on the revenue side that we consider that we can bring even much better revenues and much better ratios to this business.
Saúl García
executiveHi, Fernanda. This is Saul. Regarding your question related with the internalization, this is very important to understand that it is a transition that will take some time for this internalization. But we are sure that at the end, we will continue providing the same level of services that we had before with a strategic partner. It is important to mention that these costs and these services will be provided to the airports, and we will be collecting the revenues from the airports and also will be part of our cost of operation and our maximum tariff.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveI don't know if you can hear us and the mic, it doesn't seem that it is open. You are on mute Gui. Gui, we cannot hear you. So we are going to put you on standby and we will come back to you. So now we are going to take the question from Pablo Monsivais from Barclays. So can you please open the mic to Pablo? Sorry, Pablo, we cannot hear you either. So let me check if it is our mic. Give us a second because the same thing happened with Guilherme. Okay, can we open again the mic for Guilherme. I believe that he's sending a message that his mic is working now. So maybe we can open again the mic to Guilherme until Pablo is ready as well. Guilherme, we cannot hear you. I can see that your mic is open. No, we cannot hear you either. Okay. Well, let us try with another analyst to see if it is our problem or it is the mics from them. So now we are going to open the mic to Jens Spiess from Morgan Stanley. So Jens, can you please open your mic and ask your question please -- yes, we can hear you Jens. Yes. We can hear you.
Jens Spiess
analystPerfect. Okay. So just a few questions in general, just to understand the deal structure fully. What is the implied EBITDA you are using for the blended transaction multiple for 2026? And how much synergies are you assuming there? Secondly, how much are you paying in cash for the 25% stake in CBX? Is it EUR 260 million? I'm not sure if I got it right, just to like understand it correctly. And lastly, on the shareholder vote, who will be voting? Only the B Class shares? And will you be excluding the involved parties? Or will they also be considered for the majority?
Raul Musalem
executiveThank you, Jens. In the case of the voting, all the details would be included in the information statement that we will make public in the next week that there's all the details about voting date, tower and all the rules for the voting in terms of our bylaws. Related to the valuation, we are presenting an EBITDA of 2026 of 12.2x as what we are seeing the 2026. And as we saw, we are -- our forecast showing us that 2026, it will be accretive for the first moment, be accretive on free cash flow this transaction.
Jens Spiess
analystYes. And if you could comment on how much you're paying in cash for the 25% stake, I would appreciate it. [Audio Gap]
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveSo we are going to open the mic now to Edson Murguia.
Edson Murguia
analystI have 2. Could you elaborate or could you give us more color about this $74 million of debt that's going to be part of the GAP structure? And my second question will be if you have a number of the new amount of shares that will be in total issue. I mean I know it's $90 million, but in total amount, I mean, not necessarily referring to the float, but how can we analyze that number?
Saúl García
executiveThis is Saul. Well, about the $74 million debt is part of the financial debt in the CBX balance sheet. So it will be assumed at the moment of the merge. So it's important to consider that it's part of the transaction. We will assume that. That doesn't change our net debt-to-EBITDA ratio. It basically is not significant to the debt that we have integrated in GAP already. So it won't move our debt in general.
Raul Musalem
executiveAnd talking about the numbers of the total shares outstanding. Today, as you know, we have 505 million shares. The idea is with this around roughly 90 million new issue shares will arrive to 595 million shares. That is, I mean, the rough numbers that we are expecting to issue.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveThey are telling me that they couldn't listen to the answer about the 25% that we are going to have in a separate transaction of the CBX. Can you please repeat it?
Raul Musalem
executiveYes. The specific number of the transaction of the 25% of -- for the CBX would be informed on the information statement. At that moment, we will make public this specific figure.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveThank you, Raul. Well, now we are going to pass the call to Pablo Ricalde from Itaú. So Pablo, now you can open your mic.
Pablo Ricalde Martinez
analystCan you hear me or no?
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveYes, we can, Pablo.
Pablo Ricalde Martinez
analystSo I have 2 questions. The first one is like after this, AENA will have shares B and BB, if there's any intention for maybe AMP, the other shareholders to buy out the BB that AENA has and then AENA only keeping the B shares? And the other one, just trying to confirm that the holding of GAP will be the one buying the CBX.
Raul Musalem
executiveYes. Thank you, Pablo. On the first part related with the AMP shareholders, after the mergers, AMP will be part of GAP. So the shareholders -- it is going to be the shareholders of the BB Series. They could sell any of the stakes on Series BB or Series B just as the lockup pass in the coming days. So we don't have any kind of specific information about AENA, but any of the shareholders could sell their shares just after the lockup pass in the terms that we just said the 365 days for -- that's a complete lockup at 25% of the total shares on the first 90 days and additional 25% after the 190 days. That is related with the lockup.
Pablo Ricalde Martinez
analystPerfect. And on the holding...
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveCan you repeat that question, Pablo, please?
Pablo Ricalde Martinez
analystYes. Just wanted to confirm that if the Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico the holding company will be the one buying the CBX.
Raul Musalem
executiveYes. I mean, just to make it clear, the 5 entities that will be merged are some vehicle that owns the shares of CBX. So CBX would be a subsidiary of GAP, but CBX by itself would not be merged. The merge would come from the different vehicles that today have the shares of CBX.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveThank you, Pablo. So now we are going to open the mic to Francisco Suarez from Scotiabank.
Francisco Suarez
analystCongrats on this strategic move. I think that I value how you crafted this in the sense of how aligned it is by paying this in stock. However, for the sake of to understand how accretive or not is in year 1, can you walk us a little bit on how -- any tax considerations that we have to incorporate in our models to understand the accretiveness of this transaction? And the second question goes much more as a follow-up from an IRR perspective from an investor's perspective. That is what is the IRR that you expect or you have modeled on this transaction for the investor?
Saúl García
executiveHi, Francisco. This is Saul. Well, related to the -- if it will be accretive, we believe since the first year we have on free cash flow per share will be increasing. It will be accretive for our shareholders. So it is important to see that this transaction and as you know, we are very prudent in the case of expansion inorganically as this transaction is. And we are expecting accretive transaction. So that's the first. Your second question related to the IRR. We have a discount rate according to the level of risk, considering the currency and according to the returns that GAP has. So I can say that it is aligned to our discount rate that we have just considering the important asset that we have in U.S. dollar-denominated revenues and that is in another country with a very strong market as is California. So from the first moment, we believe will be accretive for us.
Raul Musalem
executiveYes. And complement -- this is Raul. Complementing the answer of Saul, for sure, as he says, we are expecting immediately that it will be accretive on free cash flow per share and dividend per share and will be neutral on GPA and earnings per share. But also, it's important to have in mind that the last 2 years has -- Tijuana Airport has been deeply affected by the problem of the P&W engines, mainly from Volaris. So one of the things that we think is the correct moment for doing that is that we are still seeing the robust, I would say, fundamental of Tijuana and California area. So as soon as the engines problem ends and Volaris reactivates, there are almost 40 planes rounded in -- that they have -- to they have rounded, we will not see a really important and robust increase in passengers on coming years. So it will, for sure, accelerate any of these numbers that we are running with, I would say, with the information that historical information that we have that is affected over the last 2 years due to the fact of the Pratt & Whitney engine. So we, for sure, are optimistic on the performance of the asset on the coming years, just taking as a base that the recovery of the engines is something coming for the pretty short future.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveWell, now we are going to open the mic to [ Anton Mortenkotter from JBM ].
Unknown Analyst
analystJust trying to understand a little bit better the structure. I mean I understand that AMP was the one holding the BB shares. So it would be really useful if you could further explain the integration structure there. I mean, what's going to happen with the rights that the BB shares used to have? Are those going to remain on AENA and the Mexican shareholders? Just trying to better understand how that integration will play? And also, what kind of approvals are needed for the transaction?
Raul Musalem
executiveThank you, Anton. This is Raul. I mean the first and more important is the Series BB is still exactly with the same rights in terms of our bylaws and exactly the same amount of shares that we have today. All the new shares will be Series B all the new issued shares will be Series B. So there's no changes in the ownership of the Series BB. So the owners of the Series BB still being the same with exactly the same amount of shares and exactly with the same rights that are included in bylaws. In terms of the authorizations, as we were talking, it was regulated -- it will happen all the approvals to the shareholders -- extraordinary shareholders' meeting. After that, we have to go to this customary governance and regulatory approvals, mainly all the approvals that we need to pass for a merger in Mexico, mainly from the SAT, mainly from the Cyprus and U.S. government, all the different approvals that we made to have, and it will happen as soon as the shareholders' meeting would give us the green light about this transaction.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveThank you, Anton. I am going -- before I open the mic again, I am going to read 2 questions from Pablo Monsivais because his mic was not working. He was asking, what was the main rationale of AMP to carry out this transaction? And the second one, what are the synergies you are expecting to achieve from this transaction?
Raul Musalem
executiveOkay. First, in terms of the synergies, for sure, we are talking at 2 different ways of synergy. The first related with the assistant agreement, the technical assistant agreement, for sure, we will have important savings from that specific fee. For sure, as Saul says, the assistance to the airports will continue happening from GAP to the airports. So for sure, it will have some sort of cost. But for sure, mainly, we will have a big, big increase on the fees that today we are paying to -- for the technical assistance. In terms of CBX, the synergies is related for how we managed the CBX, how we -- how our headquarters on Guadalajara could take control some different, I would say, the administrative decisions. But also we have other kind of synergies related with the maintenance, with the cleaning and the operation of the bridge and all the area of CBX in Mexico side, for instance. And the other part that was related with the main strategy or the main intention for this transaction from AMP, I would say that first, GAP is always looking for different opportunities on different markets for continued value creation for the company. And for us, the first one that was really just in front of us was related with the CBX. It's an asset that we perfectly know that has a completely, I would say, fundamental alignment with Tijuana Airport and with the rest of our airports. Just think for a second that the origin destination routes in the rest of our net, the Tijuana route is the second most important just after Mexico City route. So we see the CBX as a complete alignment on that. And related with what was the first thing for that create value on the bank of [indiscernible] related with the technical assistance fee is that, I mean, after 25 days -- 25 years as an operator, we think that we are really -- we have developed a lot of knowledge inside the company, but it's important thinking on the future to have this know-how, expertise, systems, software inside our company and don't be -- I would say, in some way having a third party that all those knowledge owns. So we prefer to bring them to the company. For sure, it will take a transition. We are talking about systems. We are talking about know-how. We are talking about documents. So it will bring some transition. But after all, all this know-how, all this expertise of how to create value on an airport will be at GAP and will be like long-term know-how to continue creation value for our shareholders.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveThank you, Raul. So we are going to open again the mics. So Alberto Valerio from UBS.
Alberto Valerio
analystCongrats for the transaction. One very quick -- about MVP. Anything changed for you from the transactions in terms of capital structure as well as [ technical assistance fee ] if there is some different way that we see for the next MVP.
Raul Musalem
executiveI mean in terms of the regulatory framework and specific about the airports, it will not be changed because at the end of the day, as you remember, all our concession is related to each one of our airports. So it's not considered in any way GAP's as a holding. So we will not have any kind of change not either, I would say, composition of capital and debt for the maximum tariff and not neither in the case of the -- of the technical system fee that will be continued including happening from GAP to the airport. So we are not foreseeing any kind of change related with regulation on maximum tariffs.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveThank you, Alberto. So now we are going to open the mic to Julia Orsi from JPMorgan as well. Julia?
Guilherme Mendes
analystGuilherme Mendes here. Sorry about my mic...
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveDon't worry, Guilherme.
Guilherme Mendes
analystBut I have 2 follow-up questions, if I may. The first is on the deal structure. I'm just wondering the fact that you're doing this issuing shares and not raising leverage or using that, it's only because you want to pursue other growth opportunities or any other reason? And the second point, it's about the CBX business itself. I understand this is an unregulated business that works under a presidential decree. This presidential decree establishes by the U.S. And if that's the case, if you see any risks on that changing? I'm asking because we have been seeing a lot of news regarding cross-border and the relationship between the U.S. and Mexico. I'm wondering what is the risk associated with the business if the U.S. President decide to change something there?
Raul Musalem
executiveI mean the first part of why we go to equity and not debt, for sure, we want to continue bringing additional assets and continue our diversification as a company on one hand. So the debt will be the leverage -- the possible leverage to have enough space for possible leverage and bring other assets is something important. But the second and really important is from the view of our strategic partner, they are bringing even more state demonstrating commitment in the company and the view on the long term. At the end of the day, they are saying in some way, bringing this asset with this great value asset to the company to see and align the view for the long term. So I would say that part of this transaction is directly related with a long-term view with a really demonstrating commitment from the strategic shareholders or the strategic partner to continue in the long term in the company. The second part related with the U.S. presidential, yes, CBX has a U.S. presidential permit on limited one. We passed through the notification process and they support the transaction. For sure, in the coming weeks, as soon as we have the authorization for the shareholders' meeting, we have to continue with several, I would say, steps for obtaining all the permits for this transaction. But on the first, I would say, notification, the U.S. government show us supportive on the transaction.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveAnd then we have another one from [ Federico Galassi ].
Unknown Analyst
analystCongrats for the acquisition. Two questions. The first one is both with CBX. What's your idea of the land beside the CBX in the future? And the second one, this is a unregulated business in U.S. How was at least in the past, the strategy to increase prices for the tickets to [indiscernible] the tunnel and for the retail business?
Raul Musalem
executiveThank you, [ Federico Galassi ]. In terms of the land and the reserve of land, we are seeing, I would say, different is a big piece of land. So I mean, 60 acres. We are seeing, for sure, some business directly related to CBX now that is mainly parking lots, maybe a hotel. But also we are seeing a potential other business related for future developments on border crossing. That is mainly a pedestrian and cargo bridge. I mean, as you know, today, the CBX only could be used by someone that have a boarding pass from Tijuana Airport and arriving to Tijuana Airport or leaving Tijuana Airport. So for sure, it's a big opportunity for instance to develop an additional bridge, pedestrian general use bridge, just taking in account that for anyone that lives in Tijuana or San Diego that need to cross, they could spend 2 to 3 hours in the car or 2 hours crossing by the pedestrian bridges on San Ysidro and Otay. So for sure, there are some other potential uses of have a pedestrian bridge -- private bridge on this land. So for sure, we are seeing different ways and different opportunity for create value on that land. And for sure, we are seeing that in the last 10 years, that has land receive a great appreciation and increase on value just for the developments that are happening outside that area or over this side on the U.S. So for sure, there are definitely different ways of bringing value to the land. For sure, we are thinking that some additional business related with border crossing would be interesting for us, and that is an important part on the case for the future. The second part related with the unregulated business, I just say, the revenues and the tariffs are not regulated. So we have or CBX has complete freedom for determine their price. When we saw what has happened in the last 10 years from the beginning, they have really robust double-digit increases CAGR on the last 10 years related with revenues per user. So what we are seeing is that the demand is almost with 0 elasticity in these crossing services, at least what the studies on the demand show us is that there has not been even any reaction for the increases on the prices of the past. So I think that for the future, for sure, the different -- there are different ways to bring additional value in terms of the prices, dynamic prices, seasonal prices and different ways that to really optimize the result on the revenues for this company.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveAnd we have a last question that was sent by message that they are asking if with all these new mergers that may happen at GAP Holding, will that help with the tax shield that we were looking for?
Saúl García
executiveWell, thank you for your question. This is Saul. Yes, it is important to mention that we are taking care is at the GAP's level, the tax shield, and we are making different actions and different projects to do this. In this case, basically, through the merger, we have no leverage. But for the other 25% to be paid in cash, we are considering to leverage the 100% of that transaction. That's good because we are considering that we could leverage in 1 or 2 or 3 different subsidiaries trying to get 100% of the tax shield of that transaction. As you may know, since 2023 with the changes in the regulated basis in GAP for the airports, we changed our strategy, but it's not -- it's only for the airports level. At the holding level, we have to take care and to try to convert and take the benefit of the tax shield for any transaction. So the way we are thinking this is to 100% leverage in the cash portion and take the tax shield.
Alejandra Soto Ayech
executiveWell, this was the last question that we have. So thank you very much to all the investors and the analysts that were connected today into this call. Just a reminder that we will publish the call for our extraordinary shareholder meeting in the following days with the information statement related with this transaction. So you will find a lot of additional information. And thank you for being connected today, and we will keep in touch. Thank you very much.
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