Gubra A/S (GUBRA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 16, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Cailin Mcgurk
analystThank you. Thank you. Thank you. Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for everybody attending and listening to this discussion today with Gubra. My name is Kayla McGurk. I'm a member of the investment banking team at Morgan Stanley. Just before we get started, like other sessions at our conference there are some important disclosures for which you'll need to refer to the Morgan Stanley disclosure research website www.morganstanley.com research disclosures, and if you have any further questions please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. I'm not sure how much outreach we get on the disclosures, but just for good measure. So, Markus, it's a pleasure to have not Gubra for the first time, but you for the first time attending our conference in New York.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystWe were just discussing, it's effectively your 1-year anniversary at Gubra. You know, maybe, and we'll talk a little bit about who Gubra is today, but maybe just 1 or 2 minutes on your background, what attracted you to join this company? And then we've got lots of interesting topics to cover.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveWell, thank you very much for inviting me, Kayla. It's a real pleasure to be here. I have a research background. I'm a scientist, a structural biologist. I spent many years in pharmaceutical research and management, more recently more in the biotech environment before I joined Gubra. What attracted me to Gubra was essentially seeing a unique opportunity to grow a company forward. Gubra has tremendous potential, and it's about realizing this potential and also with a great team and a great board, so I got immediately attracted to the opportunity and after 12 months I can really say Gubra is a unique place.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystAnd it is a unique company and for those listening who may be a little bit more or less familiar, how would you describe Gubra today in terms of, you know, what the company, who you are, what your core competencies are, and, you know, as you joined and were excited about the opportunity, where you see the most potential for value creation going forward?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, in a simple concept, Gubra is a clinical stage bioscience company with a unique business model. We have three units: a biotech unit which discovers and develops novel peptide therapeutics to clinical proof of concept. At this stage, we would partner those assets with pharmaceutical companies. Our discovery platform is validated. We have multiple assets in the clinic. Our partner and business model is validated based on the series of partnership deals the company has done. On top of this, we have a very successful CRO serving external customers, but being an integral part of our innovation platform. And on top of that, we now have a new unit, Gubra Ventures, which enables us to invest our capabilities into high quality science adjacent to our core therapeutic areas. So overall, I see the vast majority of value growth biotech pipeline and that is also our focus.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystWe've had a couple of your partners also attending our conference. For those that are less familiar, you've been very successful in terms of the early development and collaborations that you've struck on the obesity side. You have two phase 2 assets with two very, you know, well-known and well-respected companies being AbbVie and obviously Boehringer Ingelheim. What, you know, what does that tell you, the audience and us, about, you know, Gubra's competence and capabilities. And we'll start in the obesity field because that's obviously very large and important. And certainly you've seen, you know, two of these programs announced to progress in the very recent months.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, I think I can talk a little bit about how the obesity market is developing and how this is reflected in our pipeline. So the obesity market has grown tremendously, and the field has advanced tremendously. Initially, it was about demonstrating a clinical a reasonable loss of weight, how much weight can you lose in a period of time. Now it's more about complementary and additional mode of action which has the promise to deliver additional efficacy, tolerability, or also to particular patient populations. There is additional focus on body composition and muscle health outcomes. And we also believe that combination therapy will be very important to deliver specific to the needs of certain patient populations. So, and if you look at those three areas, I think that is clearly reflected in our current pipeline. We see GGG triple partnered with Boehringer, we see Amylin partnered with AbbVie, and also our own use of the long-acting urocortin-2 agonist.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystWe want to cover all three of those. Maybe we'll start because AbbVie recently announced their intention to progress. It's now called ABBV-295. It had a different name when I remember when you did the deal, you know, they've signaled that they're moving that forward. You know, it's an Amylin as you will go into, as you talked about your view on the evolution of the obesity treatment paradigm, what role do you foresee for Amylin broadly and then obviously ABBV-295? And then after that we'll talk about some of the next steps and updates from your partner on that program. Yes, great.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveI think for the class, the Amylin class has already shown promising clinical efficacy. I see a favorable tolerability and safety profile and potentially also an opportunity for longer treatment cycles, right? So, I think if I look now at ABBV-295 particularly, we have seen great phase 1 data, top line data this year, where the compound demonstrated about 10% weight loss in a period of 12 to 13 weeks, and taking a look at the patient population, which was like 88% male and also with a BMI on average around 30, this is actually very meaningful weight loss data and I think that is very, very promising. And on top of that, the compound achieved similar weight loss, this biweekly or monthly, administration so I think it's a maybe it's going to be a great profile. And there's some important next steps there on.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystABBV-295, I think they've talked about presentation at EASD. Relative to the data that's been put out into the public domain, is there anything, you know, that you can share in terms of what that update may be, you know, what that patient population may look like relative to, you know, the data from earlier this year?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, I think we have seen the top line data. There will be a fuller data set. We get nuances on efficacy and on also on the safety and the tolerability profile. So that will be important to understand the drug in the full context of this trial. On top of that, there is phase 1b trial up is running in the U.S. in a more representative study population with BMI between 30 and 45. There's also much larger portion of female study participants and this trial runs a little bit longer, 20 weeks. So I think that was going to be a very important data set to inform the further development of the drug on top of, of course, the ongoing phase 2 trial. But I think taking together those two trials, that will give us a good indication on how this particular compound will translate into clinical efficacy and safety.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystMaybe one more last question on ABBV-295. Obviously with the very intriguing data that has come out in relation to the broader Amylin class, there's some debates about DACRAs versus selective, you know, where do you, based on, you know, the work that you had done at Gubra, think that the collaboration that you have with AbbVie has the potential to differentiate versus other approaches that are out there.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, I think at the moment that would be speculation. Okay. And I probably don't want to go there. What we know for sure is that we have a very long-acting molecule with proven efficacy and I think the ongoing trials will definitely show what the profile of the drug will be.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystShould we maybe change tack to the other phase 2 program that you have with one of your partners, Boehringer Ingelheim? In the era and with all of the excitement about triples. This is also a triple, but a slightly different triple. So maybe talk about the sort of target selection there and, you know, the NPY2 biology. Yes.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveSo a different triple but equally exciting. Yes. So the concept behind this, basically to combine the well-established incretin biology with a central regulator of food intake, an anti-biotic. And taking together, you double down on food intake, and that should provide the basis, the fundamental basis demonstrate deeper and more durable weight loss. So that's basically the concept behind it and phase 2 has now started and so, hopefully this exciting complementary mechanism will show great clinical efficacy and safety give us an indication on the positioning of the drug.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystMore importantly, or as importantly, moving on to your third, you probably have more, but at least the next most advanced obesity program at Gubra, which is against a very exciting new target area of biology, which is UCN2. So, you know, you've made great progress here. I think there's, you know, we've seen some activity very recently in the UCN2 space. What makes you excited about the target and maybe link that back to, you know, some of the trends that you foresee in obesity and where the remaining unmet need is.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveSo our long-acting Urocortin-2 agonist has exciting biology, you know, preservation of muscle and muscle health is becoming a more important topic. Substantially lose weight you not only lose fat mass but you also lose lean mass and a part of that is skeletal muscle. Skeletal muscle is very important and it is a determinant of physical function and mobility and the metabolic health and also. So for the elderly population, the maintenance of muscle mass and function is super critical. So I think this is exactly where UCN2 comes in. In preclinical studies we have demonstrated substantial reduction of fat mass and at the same time UCN2 prevent the loss of lean mass and even to some extent increases lean body mass. So I think this is a very promising. And in our ongoing phase 1/2A trial, we use this in a comprehensive way to explore the biology both as a monocompound but also in combination with incretin-based therapies for myeloma. Maximum impact for patients in different populations. So the trial is quite exciting, a lot with the classical SAD trial in a healthy population followed by an MAD trial in overweight and obese patients for 6 weeks of treatment with multiple doses. Where we have 16 weeks of treatment with multiple doses as a monotherapy and in combination. So the overall package, on the 2A study plus our preclinical studies evidence in totality will be a very rich data set. So we are very excited about this compound. Now moving into obesity is sort of the clear first step, but we believe there is substantially more potential beyond obesity in areas where muscle health and muscle function is important, it will also have substantial commercial potential. So that's an exciting area for us where we will invest significantly going forward. I think you mentioned the recent deal between Genentech and Hanmi. Obviously, that is very exciting to see because it validates the potential of the biology. Pharma Company has made a strategic move into the field. We of course welcome additional science into the field. We are among the front runners on the UCN2 biology. And I mean, we as a company, we have made a deliberate decision not to partner UCN2 and to complete our phase 2A program to maximize the potential of the asset for Gubra when we partner.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystOne last question and we'll move on to some of the other business areas outside of Western management and obesity. Perhaps it's still early days as you say you've seen validation of the approach through the recent deal between Hanmi and Genentech. As you sort of scan the competitive landscape for your cohort, do you think there's likely to be differences as we've seen in the sort of GLP-1 space or more similar than different and it's going to boil down to the quality of the package and the quality of the development or possibly just too soon to tell?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, it's a little bit too soon because there is no clinical data published on any of those compounds. Yes. I think the field is getting more competitive as more people realize the value of the biology. I think we certainly have focused on the quality of our package. And I think this is how, for Gubra at least, that is the best way to deliver high quality to a potential partner.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystMoving on maybe to just sort of more broadly where Gubra sort of sees the opportunity from a development standpoint. Your legacy and strength has clearly been in weight management, metabolic disease, clearly validated by the partners that you've attracted, but I think you're increasingly talking about the potential and the interest of Gubra as being more agnostic around therapy area. How should we sort of think about your intention or ambitions to move out of obesity into other areas?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveI think over almost 20 years, Gubra has built tremendous experience in metabolic diseases and obesity. So there's no question that this is an important area for us and also will continue to be an important area for us. Having said this, our streamlined discovery platform, our translational capabilities and clinical capabilities are relatively disease agnostic. So we can enter in spaces where peptides have high value beyond obesity as well. Of course, we will look at this selectively and it will be kept capability-led, right? But we certainly have the capabilities to enter in other disease areas, and that is one aspect we'll also cover in our upcoming R&D day on October 27 in London.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystI'll come back to that just so that we can dig into at the end what the full agenda we can expect at that event will be. Moving on to the CRO business. This was part of the foundation of the company, has been an incredibly important and successful business for you historically. But I guess in the context of today's environment, you know, with some of the headwinds we had faced from a budgetary of broader spend standpoint, what is your perspective on, you know, the environment in which your CRO business is operating today?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, the CRO unit has been very successful. Over the last 10 years, the CRO has delivered about 14% average growth every year, which is quite impressive. We are very specialized in metabolic models, and have those standards in different aspects of metabolic disease. In the last 12 to 18 months, the CRO market was relatively challenging, and we have seen that directly in 2023, for example. Over the last 6 months, we have seen 11% revenue growth compared to the previous 6 months. So I think quite confident that revenue will continue to grow, profitability will stabilize, so the overall aspiration for the year. Long term I think this will remain a very attractive business. The pharma companies tend to source early preclinical work substantially and focus on areas where they can deliver focus on compete with our innovative in vivo models very well. So, but I, you know, aside from the CRO being a successful commercial unit of Gubra, I really value the strategic aspect of the CRO as it relates to our innovation model and also into developing drugs because only because the CRO has the relevant in vivo models today, we can develop drugs from sort of a peptide backbone towards a drug development candidate in approximately 18 months, which is very competitive. So I see the combination of the CRO and the biotech business and the future ventures actually as very synergistic and it's part of our unique model differentiating us from other biotech companies. That's sort of.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystLargely answered my last question on CRO, which was, you know, this is clearly a very different business from, you know, proprietary biotech or proprietary pipeline development, but I think what you were saying is, you know, the capabilities and the competency and the expertise is both incredibly important, but also synergistic with the broader business.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYeah, absolutely.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystWhen you, in the first couple of minutes, you sort of talked about the expansion into ventures and your ability to look externally as well as internally for future innovation. Yes. Talk a little bit, you know, for those less familiar about Gubra Ventures. What is the strategy? How do you look to create value? And, you know, what types of opportunities are going to be most relevant, most interesting for you going forward? Yes.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveSo again, Gubra Ventures is an opportunity to invest our capabilities in assets, that's adjacent to our core areas. I think this will give us additional opportunity and to basically leverage what we have today as capabilities, at the scale which in the past we were not able to do. And we can use this in a collaboration model with strategic and financial investors to quickly advance assets into clinical proof of concept and then long-term share economics on those assets. We are particularly interested in assets with exciting translational biology, so we can design early clinical trials which are truly clinical-oriented. Proof of concept. So that is important. And it is also important that we as Gubra can add more than just capital to those ventures so that our preclinical and translation biology expertise can be fully leveraged. We will talk a little bit more about what we are currently focusing on and how the interaction between the units and the ventures will work at the R&D day. But essentially at the moment we are building an opportunity funnel. We are have not necessarily set a specific point where we will do the first venture but it is important that it's the right quality of venture and that we do the right first deal for Gubra where we can add most value and also generate additional value for the company into long run.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystAnd any hints or insights into you know when we might be able to hear some specific news or something more tangible in terms of what you've been up to at Gubra Ventures.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYeah, my lips are sealed.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystOkay. Maybe October we'll come back to that. By next year, definitely. Perfect. As you think about, you know, I think we've covered the outlicensed programs with your partners, your proprietary. Key proprietary program, UCN2, we haven't talked about everything there, Ventures, CRO. How do you sort of think about the optimal configuration between clearly having the ability to secure very attractive partners with the financial and other expertise to drive development versus continuing your own on your own and sort of developing, you know, developing your own pipeline further. You did allude to this when we were talking about UCN2 and the sort of clear intention and desire to progress that forward. How far do you want to go? Is this UCN2 specific case by case? How are you just thinking about that as you build your own pipeline going forward?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, I think that's a very good question. The partnership model is working very well for Gubra and we have been able to capture substantial value for our partner programs. That is the right business model for Gubra today. I mean, what has changed recently is that we have a better financial foundation, that we have more expertise in early clinical development. So we can decide how long or how far do we push our our own development versus partnering early. And we will do that based on our portfolio consideration. Risk considerations, capital allocation, and also what the potential partner can bring in. Today we have the option to be, you know, more driven towards keeping some of the high value assets longer and UCN2 is a great example because we are investing towards phase 2, be ready asset to be partnered, right? It's very different from other deals we have done and I think, you know, we have It will probably not be for every asset, and for some asset, maybe that it is actually good to partner a little bit early, but we will look at this in an asset by asset decision for sure, yes. But we will focus on what we are good at. We are good at discovering drugs, doing the translational biology, moving assets towards clinical proof of concept, and our model, our partners bring in the late stage development expertise, the commercial expertise, and we profit from those partnerships with long-term economics, which we are reinvesting into our portfolio. And I think that's which is working for Gubra today and will also be working for Gubra in the coming years. The difference will be that we try to capture as much value as possible by keeping some assets a little bit longer.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystLast question on that and then I do want to talk about, you know, what we we're going to see over the next 12 to 18 months and maybe wrap up on your upcoming investor R&D event. I had the privilege of hosting another one of your collaboration partners yesterday. We've done much earlier sort of scientific collaborations, which was with the team at Amylx. I guess for these earlier stage discovery type collaborations, will those remain interesting, more on a case-by-case basis?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveAre you thinking about those going forward? Yes, first let me say that the Amylx team are fantastic collaborators. We love to work with them and they're great people and the collaboration is spectacular actually. In principle, the highest value which we can generate is to focus on proprietary assets and bring them forward. However, where there is scientific synergy and where we believe we can add additional value and we can learn something, those type of scientific collaborations will always be an opportunity for Gubra and all sorts of interesting things develop out of those collaborations. So I think they have a place in our heart.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystAnd I spoke equally highly of you as a collaboration partner during my session with them yesterday. Maybe just two topics in the last few minutes that we have. 12 to 18 months. Obviously we potentially plenty of news and updates from some of your partnered programs. But what should investors be most focused on in terms of news flow? Yes.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveI expect quite some news flow in that period. Of course, central to us is the Gubra UCN2 program. We will see the first data from the program, results from the SAD part of the trial, so some PK data, we will start the MAD trial. So, and maybe there's also some external data around Urocortin-2 agonists, so that will also be supportive for the class. Then on ABBV-295, certainly, phase 1b, top line data, we would expect that you know, within the first half of next year. That will be exciting. I mean the fact that we now have two phase 2 programs partnered and successful continued development is already another validation that our compounds can reach late stage development and hopefully soon commercialization. So overall, I think you know, investors may have looked at us a year ago in terms of, oh, it's a promising company, unique business model. Interesting early compound versus next year hopefully we'll see some exciting clinical evidence in on our molecules and I think that hopefully will show the value of the company and what we can deliver. Obviously only as a team across and I think Gubra has a great leadership team and all of our 300 Gubra employees are fantastic. Our secret sauce.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystVery good. And maybe just one last one. Hopefully investors will have the opportunity to attend in person. You're going to hold an investor R&D event in London, October 27, and I understand part of the agenda there will be to talk more specifically about your long-term strategy and ambitions towards the end of the decade in 2030. Clearly you can't pre-wire everything and give all the good stuff away at our conference as much as we would love you to, but anything further to add in terms of what's going to be interesting and exciting in terms of the updates you provide there?
Markus Rohrwild
executiveYes, so it will be first on the day, and I hope for investors it will be exciting to hear. Some more tangible description of our long-term strategy is correct, so we'll describe our strategy towards 2030. Talk a little bit about our discovery focus and elements of what we talked before also beyond obesity. We'll talk, of course, about our Gubra UCN2 program, the trial and the potential we see on this biology. We'll talk more about ventures and our CRO and our whole concept on capital allocation. So we'll be hopefully hopefully exciting and informative for investors.
Cailin Mcgurk
analystVery good, and the Morgan Stanley team will certainly be there. So, look, Markus, with that, I'll wrap up. Oh, we're bang on time. Thank you so much for attending. I appreciate you and the team making the trip across from Europe, as always, and very much looking forward to having you back next year. It's going to be an exciting 12 to 18 months and even more, so watch this space. Thank you very much.
Markus Rohrwild
executiveThank you, Kayla, for the invitation. This live transcript is auto-generated without human intervention or review.
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