HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 28, 2024

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care Health Care Providers and Services conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#1

I'm Whit Mayo. I lead Leerink's efforts covering health care providers in managed care. It's my pleasure this afternoon to have the team from HCA: Erol Akdamar, Frank Morgan, Chris Wyatt, and we've got David that runs the Austin market here. And Chris, I think I saw that's no longer your title anymore. Is it?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#2

Me? No, it's...

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#3

That's the new title?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#4

It's got me correct. Yes.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#5

That's correct. Okay. I thought I was on an 8-K. I was just thinking about that.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#6

Well, guys, maybe just to get into some of the relevant topics, just let's talk about just the volume environment. It's been a fairly positive start to the year, probably 18 months of good demand, as you guys describe it, within the marketplace. Just how durable do you feel like today's volume environment is?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#7

I'll start with that. We're very pleased in the first quarter. We had 6% admission growth, 5% adjusted admission, 7% ER growth. So very pleased, and that was generally ahead of the guidance this year, which was 3% to 4% adjusted admission growth. So pleased at the start. When we look across the demand environment, I think we see some really good trends from our standpoint. When we look at the coverage environment, we think we're in a pretty favorable spot right now with the HICS enhanced subsidies being in place that are helping to catch some of the redetermination activity. We look at population growth in our markets. We look at some of these other drivers of demand, low employment and the like. And so I think we feel pretty good, Whit, about what we saw in the first quarter. We feel good about the guidance we gave in terms of adjusted admission growth for the year, and we think that's a good -- and it will translate through the rest of the year.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#8

What about if you unpack some of the specific service lines? Is there anything that stands out? I know you guys kind of categorize things into a bunch of different buckets. But is there any key observations that pull out of the data that you guys are able to look at?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#9

Erol, do you want to talk a little bit about broad-based view from...

Erol Akdamar

executive
#10

Yes. I think that demand, particularly in the ER, has been particularly strong. And so inpatient surgery is strong. Chris said it's sort of across the continuum. And so I think in the state of Texas, which American Group is mostly Texas, Colorado and in a few other markets, population growth has really helped us. I think in DFW, well in excess of the average growth. I think on a 5-year run, DFW will add 670,000 people. Houston had about 650,000 people. And Austin, a little smaller market, will add 350,000 people, but that's 13% growth compared to 8% and 7.5% in DFW and Houston. So I think population growth really helps drive demand, particularly in the state of Texas.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#11

No, that's helpful. And then looking at the exchange volumes that you reported in the first quarter, I mean just the number just stands out, over 50% increase year-over-year. And the enrollment nationally is up roughly 30%. What do you think -- what do you attribute that outsized outperformance relative to the market?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#12

I think there's a couple of things from our standpoint. One, if you look at that growth -- and you're right, 30% enrollment growth from the last enrollment period across the states in which we operate. But looking at a state like Texas, it was closer to 45%. And so we've got a significant volume of our exchange admissions coming from Texas and Florida. Florida is about the national average. Texas is higher. So one, I think, is just we're located is helping to drive that above the national average that you're seeing in terms of HICS enrollment growth. I think we've got a little bit of additional access to lives as well under contract. So that's increased just a little bit. That's also a contributing factor there of what's helping us outpace.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#13

Are there any additional like outreach education efforts that you have partnering with health plans to try to get out into the community and make people aware of the tax credits that are out there? Maybe just a level of this was just coming from redeterminations?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#14

Yes, certainly...

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#15

There's some strategies you have around it.

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#16

Definitely, as you think about redeterminations, which probably we believe is one of the elements helping to drive some of the exchange growth. We put a significant focus on the redetermination process, both in helping individuals work through the process to requalify for Medicaid coverage, but then also understand what other coverage options may be available to the extent they're not able to requalify for Medicaid.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#17

Okay. Back to Erol. You make comments around the growth in the ER. I think one of the initiatives that HCA has been more vocal about is case management, throughput, trying to invest into transcription stuff and just trying to drive additional throughput. Maybe just unpack a little bit like where you are in that initiative right now and any of the results you've seen.

Erol Akdamar

executive
#18

I think coming out of the pandemic, capacity was restricted partially due to workforce limitations. I think we're largely in a position now where we significantly decreased contract labor. And at the same time, our hiring is up. Our net hires year-over-year are increasing and allowing us to be at the point now where all of our capacity, by and large, is online. And so I think that is helping us accept transfers in. So 85% of our admissions typically come from within the market. 15% come from what we call outreach or outside of our primary and secondary market. And those end up being some of the higher-end services that you wouldn't have in an outlying or a rural community like transplant, like burn, trauma and the like. And so from a margin standpoint, it ends up being a higher-margin business as well. So I think part of it is just opening our capacity. And then from an ER standpoint, really been focused on 4 things. And I think Chris may have said this, but 75% of our admissions come through the emergency room. So it's critically important. One out of every 2 surgeries are generated out of the emergency room. And so really 4 focuses there, and I'll let David talk a little bit his about experience with operations. But first and foremost was operational excellence. And so we've had initiatives around that, and that's throughput, rival degree, ensuring that we can get the patients out of the ER and up into a hospital bed, which obviously having workforce to open those beds has helped. And then our EMS strategy has been the provider of choice for emergency medical services in the community so that paramedics can come in, their wall time is less than 5 minutes. They can transfer a patient and get back out in the field and deal with the demand out there. And then a couple of other things. There's access points, just ensuring that we have the correct access points. So again, in Texas, we have 109 emergency rooms. 59 of those are freestanding emergency rooms. So they're out in the community, somewhat removed from the hospital and creating access and capacity. And then I'll let David talk a little bit about operational excellence.

Unknown Executive

executive
#19

Yes. Just -- I think it all starts with our improving capacity on the inpatient side because of the improving balance between supply and demand on staffing upstairs. That enables us to get to patients up faster, get more patients through the ER faster, which is critical. Erol mentioned some of the metrics that we're driving. We have monthly operating reviews around ER performance, which help us monitor, measure and continue to drive that effort. We've seen a 30% reduction in our declines year-over-year. We continue to have robust outreach programs. We have 28 care collaboration agreements with 28 hospitals around Central Texas. So that's a great feeder for us. And those are situations where those hospitals don't have either the capacity or the capability to take care of higher level of care patients. And so those really support our ERs. All of those.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#20

So when you say 30% reduction in denials, can you...

Unknown Executive

executive
#21

Yes, in declines.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#22

Declines, sorry.

Unknown Executive

executive
#23

That's right. For our transfers, that truck. So staffing has gotten better, upstairs, that has enabled us to accept more transfers.

Erol Akdamar

executive
#24

The other thing I'll point out is that our offer rate is even higher than it was historically pre-pandemic. So our efforts to be a sort of soft target for the transfer with the rural hospitals even through the pandemic when they were really sort of desperate to get their patients to another level of care, I think, are now paying dividends for us. The fourth point I was going to make was clinical capabilities. And that's around some of the higher-end programs like stroke, for instance, in Denver. Our footprint in Denver is 8 or 9 hospitals, but we have 60 hospitals in multiple states around Denver that transfer neuroscience patients, particularly stroke, into that network.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#25

When you look at your staffing model today, what's different versus 2019? What did you guys maybe adjust? Or are we back to similar staffing levels from 4, 5 years ago?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#26

I think from a staffing standpoint, obviously, you know about some of the challenges that many providers face during and right in the aftermath of the pandemic. And so we've been very focused on addressing nurse turnover. And we think we've made some good progress on it. Hiring is up. And how have we been focused on that? We've been focused on looking at career paths for nursing, looking at technology we're putting around the nurses to make them more efficient, looking at additional skill sets that we can put to allow the nurses to operate at the very top of their license so that we can take administrative tasks off for them. We're looking at virtual nursing opportunities to be able to help from a staffing standpoint as well. So I think that we have looked at a variety of different options and activities to be able to improve staffing. I don't think that the model has a wholesale change from prior to the pandemic, but it's been a focus and level of effort. And these varieties of activities really support our nurses and their efficiency, their experience, their career path that we think has really helped us improve from a turnover and retention standpoint.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#27

Do you think it's possible that maybe with all the hiring efforts across the industry that there are certain pockets where maybe you've overhired or that other health systems may have overhired?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#28

I mean I can't speak to other health systems. From our standpoint, I think the answer to that is no. We still have -- we're very pleased with where we are from a contract labor standpoint in the company. We talked about 20% decline in the first quarter. It's down to about 5% of our SWB. But we still think we've got more opportunity in that area. We've got a little bit of a gap between where we were pre-pandemic as a percent of SWB and where we were in the first quarter. And so we're going to continue to push to see where we can get down to. We're not going to eliminate all contract labor. We're still going to need flexible staffing. But that, to us, would indicate, I don't think we've overhired because I still think we've got opportunity in the contract labor side.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#29

I want to go ahead and address the DPP stuff before I forget. There was a little bit of noise within the quarter, maybe a little bit less DPP earnings, a little less revenue, maybe more expenses. Can you maybe just flesh out kind of what happened, Chris? And I know that it's very complicated, the accounting around each one of these individual programs. But any additional insight would be helpful.

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#30

Sure. Let me just take it from an expense side first. In the context of other operating expenses, there are certainly some questions, discussion around other operating expenses in the first quarter. And that's where -- our state supplemental payment programs. From a year-over-year standpoint, we did see some increase in those supplemental payment programs, but it was as we expected, whether it's from starting an accrual methodology in the state of Florida, where we started that in the fourth quarter of last year, and we saw some additional expenses related to it, or a new program related to the state of Nevada that we recorded in the first quarter. We have some, from time to time, certain matters that create a little bit of choppiness. We try to get to an accrual methodology as quickly as we can, which we have confidence and good visibility into the cash flows under these programs. But that caused a little bit of an increase in expense on a year-over-year standpoint under these programs. And it's something that, again, we will -- we continue to feel like there's really a good landscape, good positive movement in these programs. We do think there'll be a small headwind year-over-year in terms of the earnings. We called that out in our annual guidance because of accruing Florida and because of some settlements that we had in the state of Texas. But we generally feel like that's the right spot from a guidance standpoint. We don't see anything structurally concerning in those programs right now, but that's how we're kind of seeing this year.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#31

Tennessee is working on a program. Any additional color around that?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#32

Yes. So we're aware of the program in Tennessee. I just mentioned that, that program has not yet been approved by CMS. And so once it has been approved by CMS, we can further comment on that program. But we are aware of it, and it seems positive, but we need CMS to approve it.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#33

Maybe just to hit on some of the financial resiliency programs, you guys identified 30 of these different programs sort of in different stages. Which are some of the ones that you're the most excited about, Erol, when you look at your division and the success results that we're beginning to see out of those?

Erol Akdamar

executive
#34

I think the case management initiative is particularly exciting given the results that we're seeing already, Whit. I think that we've seen significant improvement in case management when we look at the expected length of stay and then managing to the expected length of stay and ensuring that we don't have sort of excessive days that end up being excessive cost and patients in a hospital longer than they need to be. And so I'd say the case management initiative has come along really at a very good time for us because as demand has gone up, it's been really important that we create capacity within our hospitals, and creating beds by reducing the length of stay is the most efficient way to do that. It also helps you on the labor front as well as you're able to care for more patients with the same nursing staff because the patient isn't there a day longer. So I think David's got some examples of results in Austin on case management.

Unknown Executive

executive
#35

Yes. This is the second year in a row, '23 over '22, length of stay was down. Length of stay is down again '24 over '23. But our intensity, our case mix index really hasn't changed at all. So we still have the intensity, maybe see a little uptick in intensity, but we're seeing greater efficiency. So I think that's important. The other thing that's really helpful for us being part of HCA, with such a large organization in 43 markets, is our benchmarking initiatives. We're able to look at similar types and sizes of facilities in all areas around the country and learn from those and see where we have operating efficiencies. And so that will be big for us. I think there's a lot more to be yielded there.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#36

Maybe just sticking on Austin for a minute since we got you here. What did St. David's look like 5 years ago, where it is today and where it will be in 5 years? Where are you allocating a lot of capital in terms of the areas that you're investing in?

Unknown Executive

executive
#37

Well, we're probably in a phase of the greatest sort of capital investment that we've had as a system, St. David's as a joint venture partnership between HCA and the St. David's Foundation locally. We have about -- the foundation of that is about 7 core hospitals surrounded by 125 sites of care around the market, urgent care centers, freestanding EDs, ASCs, those kinds of things. I would probably focus more, Whit, on 5 years from now. We have planned about $1 billion worth of investment in the market. Some of that is already online. A significant amount of that is sort of in the pipeline. We are planning a new behavioral health hospital in this market, 2 new acute care hospitals, one to the north of the market in Leander, one to the south of the market in Kyle. Those are submarkets that we're really not in at the hospital level. So those will help us capture the significant growth that we're seeing there. And then we have in flight 3 or 4 different large existing asset expansions: Round Rock Medical Center, North Austin Medical Center. One will start in the next year at South Austin Medical Center. So it's important for us to continue to create capacity at our existing assets. It's also important for us to make sure that geographically, we have capabilities in places where we aren't currently in rapidly growing areas. And then, of course, that's all really going to be driven by our ability to staff it, and we're seeing a lot of good news there.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#38

Got it. Chris, is there any difference in the underlying utilization or care activity patterns of Medicare fee-for-service versus MA today when you...

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#39

Yes. I mean in terms of utilization, you know the backdrop. Obviously, there's more lives moving to Medicare Advantage. We got more Medicare beneficiaries covered under Medicare Advantage now than we do under traditional. And we're seeing that dynamic in our business as well. In the first quarter, 14% of our volume growth was in Medicare -- or we had 14% volume growth, admissions in Medicare Advantage versus we're fairly flat from a traditional standpoint. We did move into this new 2-midnight rule in Medicare Advantage during the first quarter of this year. That's something that in the traditional Medicare side has been in place for over a decade now. But we are seeing a little bit of an increase in admissions greater than 2 midnights under the 2-midnight rule. We think they're appropriate underneath this 2-midnight rule that we're operating under from an MA standpoint. So yes, we're seeing a little bit higher increase in admissions over to 2 midnight. It's not a significant portion driving that 14%. It's a relatively minor piece of it. So is there some slight increase in admissions because of the 2-midnight rule? Yes, but it's still a very small a portion of what's driving the growth overall in Medicare Advantage.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#40

Yes. Just sticking on the topic of Medicare Advantage given that the plans are feeling their own strains right now. It's been described by others in the industry that they're seeing behavior change with some of the plans and -- whether it's post discharge denials or just making things more administrative cumbersome. I know just maybe elaborate more on kind of the friction that you see growing with some of the MA plans today.

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#41

I'll say from a Medicare Advantage standpoint, the 2-midnight rule, our early returns have been somewhat positive. Again, it's very early. We don't have a lot of claims that have been adjudicated. We've actually seen a slight decline in pre-authorization denials for our facilities at least. There is -- you're right. There's certainly friction in the process that we have with our payers, but we've seen it at a slightly lower level. But I will caution that, again, it's fairly early. We've not seen a lot of claims adjudicated. We had a bit of a disruption in claims adjudication with the change event during the first quarter that further challenges us seeing a significant volume of adjudicated claims. But the early returns are modestly positive for us.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#42

Okay. There's been organizational change at HCA for the last few years. I think as Sam likes to tell me, he said to repopulate the talent pool. But I think that's also created like this desire to increase the speed to market, the agility. I don't know. Erol, do you just want to comment a little bit on some of the kind of broader organizational changes over the last 2 or 3 years?

Erol Akdamar

executive
#43

Sure, sure. So with -- the change that happened about 1.5 years ago was going from 2 groups to 3 groups. One of the group presidents retired. Jon Foster moved to be the COO of the company. And so you had 3 new -- had 3 former division presidents moving up to a group level. And so that created somewhat of a trickle down throughout the other divisions. So in the American group, I have basically 4 new divisions -- 3 new division presidents. David is a veteran and been in his position a while. So it really created the need to pull folks up and have them maybe play up a little bit. I think the beauty of HCA is -- and I've been with the company for 31 years. A little bit of product of this is just the ongoing development sort of along the way, if you will. I think when I started 31 years ago, it was a little less formal and a little more just get the next job and sort of lean on the corporate resources and develop. But it got way more structured with graduate students coming out of masters in health care or MBA programs coming into a formalized structure of residency within HCA, where they're developed and they're sort of assimilated into both the company and the industry. And then a couple -- 3 years in for a Chief Operating Officer, maybe a little longer for a Chief Nursing Officer or even a CFO. There's a development program that's more formal for more of early careers where we're developing the talent. We're exposing them to corporate learnings. They're learning in the field. They're moving around the company. A fair amount of us have moved around quite a bit. So what I would say is I think HCA does a tremendous job of growing its own talent, developing that talent, promoting it and supporting through that promotion. The most recent transition really necessitated some pretty formalized orientation training, particularly for 3 new group presidents. So I mean the whole company hospital structure had new people managing it. Jon was there to support, and Sam's always there to support. And so we really formalized the orientation process, both to the field, but also from a corporate resource standpoint. We've taken that learning now. We're starting to use that on our large hospital CEOs, what we call E, F and G hospitals. They end up being our larger earners. And that worked so well. Now we're doing a version of that program for all new CEOs. And so I think the depth of development training, the opportunity to play up, I think one of the things unique about HCA is when you promote within this company, you tend to -- you're leaning on the same people you knew in your prior role from a corporate support function. You've got the same systems in your hospital. You have the same operating reports and discipline. And so it really creates, I think, for quicker transition for the ability to hit the ground running faster. But with the move and the shift that you discussed, I think it just necessitated getting more formal and learning. Sam likes to say we're a learning organization. And that level of disruption has created a learning and a discipline that I think we'll be able to carry forward.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#44

Got it. Let me just see if there are any questions from the audience. I can keep going. Maybe just spend a minute talking about just the broader physician strategy and how that's evolved and the desire, willingness to employ, how you're partnering. Each market is going to be different in terms of like the pace of play and everything like that. But just like where you're spending a lot of your time in terms of developing that physician strategy.

Erol Akdamar

executive
#45

Well, I presented this at the investor conference, so it's familiar to me, and it's -- it really is an important strategy for the company. Our physicians are our key partners, and they are differentiators in terms of what we're able to do as a health system. So we approach them as partners. There's about 45,000 physicians on our collective active medical staffs. And so one of the differences, I think, from an HCA perspective to some of our system competitors is they've migrated more to an employee-first sort of approach to their medical staffs, more of kind of a closed medical staff. We've sort of approached the market as being a bias towards independents. But there are certainly pockets of specialties like cardiology. They're more procedural and heavily weighted towards a hospital, where they've desired to be employed, and so we've employed more in that space as well. But I think it's -- less than 20% of our medical staff is employed, and so it's predominantly still independent. I think graduate medical education has been a big differentiator for us. We've been active in that space for 4 or 5 years now. We're the largest trainer of graduate medical education physicians in the country. That is both helping us support our hospitals but also creating a workforce for the future. And so we're partnering with physicians in that way as well. We don't employ a lot of primary care. Some of our competitors do. I think a surrogate, if you will, for primary care is our urgent care platform, which has proliferated in the last 4 or 5 years, really started materially in Dallas with the acquisition of the CareNow chain there. And now I think we're going to be, at the end of the year, 330 or so urgent cares across the country. And so that's sort of our way to step into a little more of the urgent sort of hospital-centric episodes of care that then feed downstream. And we talked about kind of our whole network offering and how that really -- each of our hospitals has a network around it that operates in their space. And then in a market like Austin, all those come together to be the St. David's HealthCare system. One of the things we focus deeply on is navigating patients across that continuum. So if a patient comes into an urgent care or freestanding emergency room, we can leverage that encounter to get them either upstream or downstream to an aligned physician that works within our health system. Good for the system but also good for the patient and their continuity of care.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#46

I feel like I get a lot of e-mails from CareNow.

Erol Akdamar

executive
#47

Yes. I'm glad you're a patient.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#48

Many visits this year. Many visits this year. Just maybe talk about capital priorities this year. You've been kind of quiet on -- well, not too quiet. You closed a handful of acquisitions in the fourth quarter. Maybe more than I thought. But aside from that, I feel like some of the acute care activity has been a little quiet. Do you think we see maybe more development activity pick up?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#49

Capital -- I'll just speak to capital priorities first. I mean we've said CapEx is going to be our first option in terms of our capital deployment, $5.1 billion to $5.3 billion this year. We're operating under a $6 billion share repurchase program and then trying to provide a reasonable growth in our dividend. From an M&A standpoint, we have found some of these what we call tuck-in acquisitions inside our existing markets. We haven't had anything in terms of a new market acquisition since Mission and then Savannah before that. So -- but we're finding opportunities within our existing markets, and Erol can speak to you because several of the recent ones have been in side of, say, the North Texas division, for instance, in Dallas, where we've been able to add some assets there. So we continue to look for those opportunities and execute them as we can.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#50

Okay. With that, we've got about a minute left. I can just cut you guys loose. Is there any questions?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#51

I probably should know this, but I don't, so I apologize. Within your capital allocation, can you discuss the amount of funds going to behavioral? Is that something that you're going to be using or employing a lot more? And what's the breakdown of behavioral versus -- I'm sorry, percentage of revenue, roughly?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#52

So from a behavioral health standpoint, I would say we do have a few new behavioral health facilities that are coming online, a couple within Erol's markets in which he operates. So we are investing periodically in behavioral health capacity. I don't have a revenue number for you. I think to size it as a percentage of our emissions, it's about 5% or 6% of our -- the company's admissions overall. So that gives you some perspective on the size of behavioral health.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#53

And just to be clear, this is not something that you would prioritize relative to other needs of the acute care hospital?

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#54

Well, I think it goes into the mix of considerations for us as we think about, for instance, our ER strategies. There's a linkage there between ER and behavioral health and making sure we have the right amount of capacity there. So it is certainly in our sights and in our thinking as we think about our capital allocation.

Benjamin Mayo

analyst
#55

Okay. Well, guys, I'll get you guys out of here. All right. Appreciate all the time.

Christopher Wyatt

executive
#56

All right. Thank you.

Erol Akdamar

executive
#57

Thank you. Appreciate it.

Unknown Executive

executive
#58

Thank you, Whit.

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