HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

April 4, 2022

National Stock Exchange of India IN Financials Banks shareholder_meeting 48 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to an update call on the recent announcement from HDFC Bank Limited and HDFC Limited. [Operator Instructions] Without much ado, I now hand the conference over to Mr. Keki Mistry, Vice Chairman and CEO of HDFC Limited; and Mr. Sashi Jagdishan, MD and CEO, HDFC Bank Limited. Thank you, and over to you.

Keki Mistry;Vice Chairman and CEO

executive
#2

Thank you very much, and good morning, everyone. At the outset, I would like to welcome all of you to this joint call of HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank. I have with me my colleagues from HDFC, Renu Karnad and Rangan, and Sashi and Srini are there from HDFC Bank. As you are aware, the Board of Directors of HDFC and HDFC Bank at their respective meetings held today have approved an all-stock amalgamation of HDFC with HDFC Bank. The amalgamation is subject to the approval of the shareholders of both the companies, the Reserve Bank of India, the stock exchanges, the Competition Commission, SEBI, IRDA and all other regulatory approvals as may be required. Upon obtaining all approvals, the merger will become effective and shareholders of HDFC Limited will receive shares of HDFC Bank in exchange for shares in HDFC Limited at the approved share exchange ratio. Bansi Mehta & Company and Deloitte Touché India LLP have prepared a joint valuation report, which has been accepted by the respective boards. Bank of America Merrill Lynch Securities and Morgan Stanley provided the fairness opinion on the exchange ratio to HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank, respectively. According to the scheme, shareholders of HDFC Limited as on the record date will receive 42 shares each of face value of INR 1 each of HDFC Bank for 25 shares each of face value of INR 2 each held in HDFC Limited. The equity shares held by HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank will be extinguished as per the scheme. As a result of this, upon the scheme becoming effective, HDFC Bank will be 100% owned by public shareholders, and existing shareholders of HDFC Limited will own around 41% of HDFC Bank. The outstanding warrants of HDFC on conversion post the effective date will also convert into shares of HDFC Bank based on the reported share exchange ratio. In the past, the merger would not have been as value accretive as it is at present. The strategic rationale for the proposed merger is as follows. Over the last 2 years, there have been certain regulatory changes for banks and NBFCs, which have considerably reduced the barriers for a potential merger. In 2020, RBI issued guidelines, which laid a road map for conversion of large NBFCs with asset size of over INR 50,000 crores into full-scale commercial banks. This has considerably addressed bottlenecks like semi-urban and rural branching needs. RBI further mandated that within a group, just one entity may be engaged in a specific product line. This would require a reassessment of the group structure. Secondly, RBI has harmonized asset quality reporting between the banks and NBFCs. Thirdly, in addition to the SLR on regulated deposits, HDFC is now also required to maintain a liquidity coverage ratio. Consequently, the gap between the liquidity requirements of a bank and an NBFC have considerably reduced. Also, NBFCs are required to move to a core financial service solution platform, which is akin to the core banking solution of a bank. Scale-based regulations could, in due course, further harmonize regulations between banks and NBFCs in the future. So first is on deregulations. Second is if you look at the CRR, SLR requirements for banks, these have reduced considerably over the years to the current level of 22% of the demand and time liabilities. Also, interest rates are significantly lower today as compared to earlier years, and hence, the negative carry on raising funds to meet the CRR-SLR requirements will be considerably lower today. HDFC currently does not have a priority sector lending requirement. And hence, as a matter -- as a part of the combined entity, HDFC Bank would have had to raise funds and increase its PSL requirement through direct lending in the area of agriculture and micro, small, medium enterprises industries. This would have had operational inefficiencies besides resulting in an additional negative carry. This incremental funding would also have carried an additional CRR-SLR requirement. RBI has now permitted banks to hold priority sector lending certificate. These certificates are instruments that enable banks to achieve their priority sector lending targets without actually disbursing those notes. HDFC has nonconvertible bonds of nearly INR 80,000 crores, which have an original maturity of over 7 years. Subject to RBI approval, these bonds would qualify as affordable housing bonds and consequently would not carry CRR-SLR requirements. Real estate over the years has become an increased level of -- has seen an increased level of transparency and regulations. Paramount among these are the Real Estate Regulation Act, 2016, the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code and many other regulations that have been introduced. This has resulted in an increased level of activity by banks in the real estate sector, both retail and wholesale. Mortgages offered by the combined entity can be widely delivered in an efficient and profitable manner. HDFC will benefit from the lower funding cost of the bank and from its very large distribution franchise, while HDFC Bank will benefit from HDFC's expertise in the real estate space and its low and efficient processing of loans, which has enabled an 8.1% cost/income ratio. The amount invested by HDFC Limited in the capital of HDFC Bank currently has to be reduced from HDFC Limited's Tier 1 capital for computing the capital adequacy. This has a negative impact on the return on equity. And consequently, any future infusion of capital by HDFC Limited into HDFC Bank to maintain its stake at over 20% would have resulted in a further negative drag on HDFC's ROE. As per our estimate, 70% of the customers of HDFC and its subsidiaries do not bank with HDFC Bank. And hence, the merger will provide the ability to cross-sell banking products to this very large pool of customers, thereby enhancing the overall business of the combined entity. You will observe from the aforesaid that most bottlenecks of earlier years have been largely addressed. And at this stage, the Boards of both institutions, after evaluating all options, have decided that this is an opportune time to announce the proposed merger of the 2 entities for the mutual benefit of all its stakeholders. The proposed merger will consolidate and leverage the significant complementaries of HDFC, the largest housing finance company in India and HDFC Bank. It will bolster the capital base and balance sheet of HDFC Bank and make it a very large bank even by global standards. The merger is the coming together of equal and will result in mutual benefit to both the institutions and their stakeholders. This strategic merger will bring economies of scale and enable the combined entity to leverage each other's strengths. The customer will be the biggest beneficiary. It is estimated that as of date, over 70% of HDFC bank's customers do not have a mortgage. Further, under the combined entity, cross-sell of the group products and insurance, both life and non-life, asset management and pensions will see significant improvement in efficiencies and in profitability. The proposed merger will dovetail the efficiencies of HDFC as a premium mortgage originator with over 45 years of domain expertise in efficient mortgage processing at a significantly attractive cost-to-income ratio into the lower cost of funds of the bank and its wide distribution capability. Both HDFC and HDFC Bank will continue to operate independently till the effective date so that the mortgage business carries on without any disruption. Let me now quickly explain the structure of the transaction. The transaction involves the amalgamation of HDFC and its 2 wholly-owned subsidiaries, HDFC Holdings and HDFC Investments with HDFC Bank. HDFC Limited, as you know, is a promoter of HDFC Bank and together with its 2 subsidiaries, currently holds approximately 21% of the share capital of the bank. Post the completion of the merger and subject to regulatory approvals, all the subsidiaries and associated companies of HDFC Limited will be owned by HDFC Bank. Based on valuation by the valuers and the fairness opinion, the share exchange ratio has been determined at 42 equity shares of HDFC Bank of face value of INR 1 per share for every 25 equity shares of HDFC Limited of face value of INR 2 per share. The conclusion of the transaction is subject to regulatory and statutory approvals. Post the effective date, HDFC shareholding of 21% in HDFC Bank will be canceled, and this will open up a potential leg room of up to 7% of further holding for FPIs in HDFC Bank. The bank has requested RBI for phased compliance in terms of time lines for CRR, SLR and priority sector lending requirements. The bank has also requested RBI to permit the bank to hold equity in the subsidiaries and associated companies of HDFC Limited. These requests are under consideration by RBI in terms of the letter dated April 1. The merger will benefit the shareholders of both HDFC and HDFC Bank as follows: lower cost of funds will be made available for the mortgage business. The bank will have access to the time-tested mortgage origination and loan servicing processes of HDFC. The mortgage business has immense potential and hence, the merger will help the group enhance its market share consequent to further leveraging on the distribution network of HDFC Bank. The merger will mitigate single product risk while at the same time, enhance the diversity of assets for the combined entity. Under the bank structure, the features of the mortgage product can be enhanced in terms of product design, in terms of different products, which are introduced or which are available in the global market. The combined entity will be in a position to offer the mortgage product seamlessly as against the current arrangement between HDFC and HDFC Bank, wherein the bank sources mortgages and requires a predetermined percentage of the loans sourced through the assignment route. HDFC Bank currently has 11% of its assets in mortgages. Post the merger, this percentage would increase to over 30% with the potential to grow even higher. The mortgage product will also increase the asset duration of the bank's retail book. Infusion of capital in the bank will no longer be required and consequently, the drag on the return on equity on the mortgage business will go away. Subject to RBI, SEBI, IRDA and all other regulatory approvals, material subsidiaries and associated companies of HDFC Limited will continue to be owned by HDFC Bank. This will facilitate more efficient cross-selling of banking and financial service products, including insurance and mutual funds. Also the value of HDFC will not be depressed by the holding company discount insofar as it relates to the shares of the bank. The proposed merger of HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank will, therefore, lead to significant synergies for the combined entity and will lead to better returns for our stakeholders. The proposed merger will benefit the economy in more ways than one. A larger balance sheet and capital base will allow greater flow of credit into the economy. It will enable underwriting of larger ticket loans, including infrastructure, which is an urgent need of the country. It will enable the delivery of the home loan offering to a large base of over 68 million customers of HDFC Bank in a seamless manner and inter-alia improve the pace of credit growth in the economy. HDFC is a significant provider of home loans to lower income group and the middle income group segment under the affordable housing initiatives of the Government of India under the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana. Access to housing finance for this category would improve further on account of the low cost funds available to HDFC Bank. A larger balance sheet will also facilitate flow of a larger quantum of credit into priority sector, including agriculture. Subject to regulatory approvals, HDFC will continue to operate on an as-is basis till the effective date. It's important to note that jobs of each and every HDFC employee will be protected and wherever required, roles will be reorganized. It is envisaged that all HDFC branches, offices in India will be retained and mortgages will continue to be offered from these outlets. Over a period of time, these branches would be converted to full service banking branches. HDFC Sales will be a subsidiary of HDFC Bank and HDFC Sales currently sources nearly 52% of HDFC's mortgages. The customer will be the biggest beneficiary and will have access to all financial products under 1 roof. We are confident that the workforce will put in all efforts to make this merger a resounding success. Sashi, do you want to say something?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#3

Thank you all. Thank you, Mr. Mistry, for this wonderful opening remarks. I think this is a very historic moment. Obviously, it's still not sunken, but the proof of the pudding would be how we are able to execute, which is our forte for the next 3 years, and we are very confident for all the remarks that Keki has just mentioned. I think we can now fulfill the demand -- the housing demands of a lot of our customers on a very seamless and efficient basis. Thank you. We open the call for questions now. Thank you very much.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] We take our first question from the line of Suresh Ganapathy from Macquarie.

Suresh Ganapathy

analyst
#5

Congrats Sashi and Keki on this historic development. The first question is on the management structure post the merger. I mean I have a couple of questions. So I just wanted an understanding how exactly it's going to work, if you are the CEO, Sashi will be the CEO of the bank? I mean so just getting the bank to understand a bit better.

Keki Mistry;Vice Chairman and CEO

executive
#6

All right. So logically, HDFC is merging into the bank. The CEO of the bank will continue to be the CEO of the bank. Personally speaking for myself, I am now 67.5 years old. This merger will probably take another 1.5 years by which time I'll be 69 and the retirement age for people in the bank is 70. I also mentioned, Suresh, every single employee of HDFC, including all our senior people, will now occupy positions within the bank.

Suresh Ganapathy

analyst
#7

Okay. The other question is on the treasury shares, which get created and automatically gets canceled. So that's some billions of dollars. The great work in ICICI Bank and limited was that it got created and then ICICI used to keep selling those shares and book those gains in the P&L. Is that the kind of structure which will happen in this case? Or how exactly the monetization will happen here?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#8

Suresh, I agree. That was the case in that -- in that merger, now it's not permitted. So the treasury stock will be canceled. There won't be -- promoter holding will get canceled against the equity shares of the bank.

Keki Mistry;Vice Chairman and CEO

executive
#9

Also, Suresh, I think important to understand that the entire 21% held by HDFC and HDFC Bank is construed as foreign shareholding. So when these shares get canceled, automatically, the foreign ownership limit in the bank has the potential to increase. And I think the increase can be about 7% to 8%.

Suresh Ganapathy

analyst
#10

So the outstanding number will be 65% foreign holding in the bank in the combined entity?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#11

Around 65% to 67%.

Suresh Ganapathy

analyst
#12

65% is post the merger, the combined entity will have a foreign holding of 65% to 67%.

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#13

That's right. Today, I mean, of course, we'll have to check out what happens after the regulatory approvals come through.

Suresh Ganapathy

analyst
#14

Yes. And just final question is on the statutory appropriation because see the problem and the relaxation that you've solved with thought because what's happened, Keki and Sashi, here is that clearly in one of the recent deals without taking names, the regulator was not happy with the bank owning more than 10% stake in the insurance company. Now how confident you are that the RBI will be happy with this kind of a structure? Because clearly, they want to ring-fence and go towards a holding company structure, that's point number one. And the second thing on statutory appropriations. As per my calculations, you'll have to raise INR 70,000 crores on the market to meet the CRR and SLR norm just to meet the 22% requirement, 18% SLR and 4%, even after factoring in 2.5% on your deposits. So how do you plan to do all these things?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#15

So a couple of things, Suresh. Number one, if you look at both our balance sheets, we have been carrying a lot of liquidity, high-quality liquid assets, which have been much in excess of our regulatory requirements. And we will continue to do so because that's a liquidity cushion that we have always patronized as a part of our asset, liability management, number one. Number two is, as you know, we have been ramping up our distribution over the last couple of years. And more so even during the COVID year, we opened about over 750-odd branches or 730-odd branches. We still have a large appetite to grow our distribution over the next couple of years. It may be at a faster pace than what we have done this year. So a combination of the fact that both the entities have been building up the -- or having high-quality liquid assets much in excess of the regulatory requirements. The fact that we have a large number of distribution expansion plans over the next 3 years. The fact that a large portion of our existing branch distribution will migrate from a low vintage to a medium to a high vintage which is when you will start to see the multiples of deposit mobilization going in a geometric progression. I think it's all about execution. I think the combined -- the entity will have the wherewithal to meet the demands of this enhanced regulatory requirements arising out of SLR or CRR or for that matter priority sector.

Keki Mistry;Vice Chairman and CEO

executive
#16

Also...

Suresh Ganapathy

analyst
#17

Yes, go ahead Keki.

Keki Mistry;Vice Chairman and CEO

executive
#18

Suresh to answer your question on the bank -- on the subsidiaries, my sense is that already banks which own equity in insurance companies, and these are not capped, as you said, at 10%. So we will, of course, be having detailed discussions with RBI. At the moment, we have sought that the existing subsidiaries of HDFC and our associated companies will continue to be the subsidiaries and associated companies of the bank.

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#19

And if you -- I believe I just realized that I think last evening, I think the team released the quarter results on the exchange. And if you really look at the momentum on the deposit mobilization, it's been an all-time high, wherein the absolute amount of deposit mobilization has been upwards of INR 1 lakh crores. So the organization has the capability. I think when the merger does happen, the fact that we will also get additional branches, which will be converted, as Keki was mentioning, into full-fledged bank branches, the ability to mobilize more is something that is possible. So we believe that the regulatory costs arising out of this, especially of the reserve requirements will be much lesser -- or is much lesser than what it would have been in a previous date.

Suresh Ganapathy

analyst
#20

Sorry, I'll squeeze in one last final question before I sign off. What will be the role of Mr. Deepak Parekh in the combined entity?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#21

Look, I think these are all issues which will get discussed over a period of time. And we are having a press conference at 11:30. So some of these issues will get addressed there.

Operator

operator
#22

The next question is from the line of Mahrukh Adajania from Edelweiss.

Mahrukh Adajania

analyst
#23

Congratulations to HDFC and HDFC Bank. I had also -- my question is similar to Suresh's. Are you very confident that RBI will not insist on the NOFHC structure for the subsidiary?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#24

Mahrukh, thank you for the question. I mean as of now, we have kept the proposed amalgamation rather elegantly. But in the event that there is a need, we will be delighted to -- we are happy to even sort of go ahead with any structure or an alternate structure that the regulator may want us to do.

Keki Mistry;Vice Chairman and CEO

executive
#25

But Mahrukh immediately, the plan is to continue that HDFC Bank will be an operating bank as well as holder in equity of other businesses like insurance, asset management and so on and so forth. And there is existing precedence to that effect. If and when in future, RBI requires these banks to move to a holding company model, then at that stage, the bank will, of course look at it and would.

Mahrukh Adajania

analyst
#26

Makes sense. My other question was on the priority sector that you mentioned, you of course, mentioned on PSLC, et cetera. So the priority requirement of the merged entity or the merged bank, will that be lower than the current?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#27

No, Mahrukh, the fact that the merged entity will assume the loans of HDFC Limited, which is at this juncture, about INR 5,23,000 crores and probably it will be higher at the time when the regulatory approvals come over. The impact on what is required in terms of priority sector requirement will be much higher at that point in time. What Keki mentioned was that today, we have an avenue or multiple avenues to meet that kind of a requirement. Yes, PSLC allows us the flexibility of meeting those requirements without the need for any incremental funding. So of course, we cannot sort of -- today, if you look at the market, there's almost about INR 5,50,000 crores of PSLCs being traded on an annual basis. And I'm sure as the banks grow this particular market will only increase. In the initial period, we will probably seek a higher proportion of our requirements through the PSLC route. But having said that, if you have seen recent forays into the rural and semi-urban markets, we have been stepping up our -- the MSME businesses over the last year or so. That has been growing pretty strongly even in this quarter, I believe we sort of grew at about 30% year-on-year or a sequential growth of 8%. So this is our -- we have a fair amount of strategies to execute in terms of meeting this enhanced requirement from priority sector. So a combination of what we can do organically, what we can do through the PSLCs is what our thought process is. Yes, it's not easy. It's going to be at a larger scale. But I guess the combined might of this institution once this happens, this transaction gets consummated, the fact that we are not today offering mortgages especially in the semi-urban and rural branches of the country, we can start to do that, that will be an additional benefit arising on the PSL portfolio. So these are some of the thoughts. But it's a lot of hard work, but the entity is well geared to take on this challenge.

Mahrukh Adajania

analyst
#28

I just have 2 more questions. The first one is, you did mention about HDFC DSA, so that will become the subsidiary of the bank now, right?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#29

Right. That is correct.

Mahrukh Adajania

analyst
#30

And that -- will they be only doing home loans or they can do other loans as well now?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#31

That is something which will progress. We will progress over the coming years, we will figure that out. But I guess, they can also then start looking at distributing a much wider range of products for the bank.

Mahrukh Adajania

analyst
#32

Got it. And my last question is a clarification. You said what percentage of HDFC Bank customers don't own mortgages?

Unknown Executive

executive
#33

Bank customers.

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#34

Okay. We have 68 million customers today, and it's growing at a clip of about -- on an annualized basis, about 10 million customers. Annualized run rate is about 10 million. The reality is that the penetration of mortgages in our book currently is very low. Once you open up, as Keki mentioned, once you open up a distribution where we are able to offer mortgages across all our branches, across all our virtual channels, across our digital platforms, and it -- and the friction that is there today in the processes of lead origination and sanctions and disbursals will come down significantly, that will sort of help us to be very competitive in the market for distributing the home loans product once this transaction comes through. We believe that the moment you start to penetrate more into your base, which is very similar to what we have done in any other retail asset product, if you look at it, we are reasonably a strong market player of retail assets ex mortgages. So this is something that is lacking in us in this particular distribution of ours. I think once this product comes on to the Board easily to all the branches and our other platforms, the penetration levels moving up at several power the growth engine of the bank.

Operator

operator
#35

The next question is from Adarsh Parasrampuria from CLSA.

Adarsh Parasrampuria

analyst
#36

Big congrats to both the teams. I have one question. When would you like call the merger like a resounding success, right? What would be the metrics you would use to judge that? I just thought from a -- there will be initial cost to the P&L for the transition, but there's still a big gap between cost of funds is limited versus the bank. Would that be the direction over the course of next 2 years where you get a lot of benefits to say that, that would be a metric that would use to judge?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#37

So what will happen, Adarsh is as HDFC branches start mobilizing other products and savings and current account deposits, the overall funding cost of the bank would -- would come down. The present HDFC structure does not permit us, as you know, to accept current account and savings account money. And effectively, what will happen is because of the merger, the overall cost of funds will come down. As the overall cost of funds will come down, to my mind, it will offset any additional cost that is entailed in terms of CRR, SLR, priority sector [indiscernible].

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#38

And just to add to what Keki is saying, this is a very sticky product, okay? And the lifetime value of our customer's relationship with that bank just enhances when you start to put a mortgage into his product offering. The -- one of the metrics that we would like to watch is what are the penetration levels of mortgage to our customer base. The moment that starts to move that from a low percentage that is there currently to -- even to higher levels that itself will demonstrate the ways our balance sheet will start to move. As I mentioned in the earlier conversation, this is going to be powering the moment we start to expand our penetration to our customer base.

Adarsh Parasrampuria

analyst
#39

Got it. And Sashi, you did mention that the structure has been done elegantly for the holding of subsidiaries. Anything that you could share? I understand that you are -- you seek regulatory permissions. But is it like just all the percentage of stake will be held under the bank right? That would be the current proposed structure, I believe? Or is there something more than...

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#40

Yes, that will be the current. That is the envisaged structure.

Adarsh Parasrampuria

analyst
#41

And congrats again, quite a big moment.

Operator

operator
#42

The next question is from Anand Dama from Emkay Global.

Anand Dama

analyst
#43

Sir, how will the tech integration happen? And what will be the overall integration cost? Any thoughts over there?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#44

See, fortunately -- on our company, which is getting -- which will be integrated into the technology architecture of the bank. It is not as complicated as a transaction system where you have very high levels of velocity in that particular technology system. So this is like any other retail asset system that we would have. So all that needs to be done is to sort of integrate it into our main core system or the GL system. That's the first. But once -- since this is not many people have been socialized on this particular aspect during the course of now to the effective date, we will examine the scalability, the resiliency and the robustness of the system of home loans and other surround systems as well. And we will sort of take adequate calls in terms of what is required, whether there's any change required, whether there's a change in the architecture or whether if it is good enough for us to continue with the same. So these are decisions that we will probably look at it as we start to engage more and more from now to the effective date.

Anand Dama

analyst
#45

Integration cost. Hello?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#46

Yes, yes sorry.

Anand Dama

analyst
#47

Can you put some figure to the integration costs that you will incur?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#48

It's too early for us to even estimate that at this juncture. But considering the fact that we are already expanding our investments, whether it's in distribution, whether it's in technology, whether it's in people, I don't see this to be a very significant proportion of our merger expenditure.

Anand Dama

analyst
#49

And you said the affordable housing bond that you have is about INR 70,000-odd crores?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#50

It's about INR 80,000 crores using bonds, which have a maturity of 7 years, original maturity.

Anand Dama

analyst
#51

Okay. So on that, you don't have to maintain CRR, SLR?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#52

That is as per the guidelines of covering this particular regulation from RBI. But obviously, everything is ultimately subject to approval from RBI.

Anand Dama

analyst
#53

And sir, lastly, will you also have to merge the HDB Financial Services because I think one of the rationale that you gave for this merger was that you expect at some point of time, the holding company such norms would come and the lending business will have to fit into the bank. So does that mean that the HDB Financial Services also could be merged?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#54

We will await some regulatory clarifications on the same, and we will abide by whatever is the regulatory directions on that particular aspect.

Operator

operator
#55

The next question is from the line of Seshadri Sen from Alchemy Capital.

Seshadri Sen

analyst
#56

Congrats Keki and Sashi on game-changing deal. I have a couple of questions. One is a follow-up to Suresh's question on the CRR, SLR. So is it now that the bank will start to build up on this excess liquidity leading up to the say, the 1.5 to 2 years that we get on the merger so that at the time of the merger, you are ready to fulfill all the CRR, SLR requirements. So this excess liquidity that is there on your balance sheet will go up from here?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#57

I would say yes. We need to sort of have a very planned approach, a phased-in approach, so that we don't sort of really -- are not caught up to sort of mobilize it in the shorter end. So I think we have enough -- this transaction time for this particular regulatory approvals, I believe, will be anywhere between 15 and 18 months. So we have enough time for us to start mobilizing the reserves, the extra reserves and also in terms of the profit.

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#58

Also, I would add that we had -- the bank has sought time from RBI to meet these requirements of CRR, SLR and priority sector. And let's wait for them to come back to us with their final decision.

Seshadri Sen

analyst
#59

Understood. The second question is, how will the merged entity approach the developer business? It's something that HDFC Bank has traditionally stayed away. Now you're sort of inheriting a developer business. Will you continue to grow it as long as it stays within the RBI designated limits? Or is it something that you will choose over a period of time to run off?

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#60

So one of the ways, Seshadri, to garner individual retail business is to also give construction finance loans to property developers. So the bank would probably continue to give developer loans, but let Sashi answer that.

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#61

So Sesha, the very fact that this is going to be a lift and shift in terms of dovetailing into the bank, obviously, we will sort of -- you're right, we don't have that expertise currently. But the -- as Keki mentioned, we will be -- the entire on the human capital will all sort of seamlessly integrate with that of the bank. So will the expertise on the construction finance, even that will also sort of get embedded in the bank as well. So we will ride on that expertise. And then later on, I'm sure that expertise will be socialized to a larger proportion of our credit verticals as well. So this is a thought process. And as Keki mentioned since this is extremely important in terms of -- for the mortgage business, we will have to sort of do this. But having said that, we are very clear that once this becomes a bank, the -- this will be in compliant with all the regulations that is expected out of a bank, even on the construction finance.

Seshadri Sen

analyst
#62

Understood. And if I could slip in a third jumping the gun here a little bit, but you -- the bank is now open architecture, a little bit of open architecture on insurance distribution. Once the insurance company becomes your subsidiary, is that a situation that you can or the thinking of revisiting?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#63

Not really. The rationale for open architecture is to offer the choice and options to multiple -- to our customer base. That philosophy continues to be there and will be there. So we will continue to patronize open architecture even post the merger.

Seshadri Sen

analyst
#64

And congrats again for a great shareholder-friendly decision.

Operator

operator
#65

The next question is from Nitin Aggarwal from Motilal Oswal.

Nitin Aggarwal

analyst
#66

Am I Audible?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#67

Yes, yes. You are.

Nitin Aggarwal

analyst
#68

So sir, congratulations on our merger. It's really a big historic moment. I want to understand on the OpEx part. Like in this quarter, we have added as a bank over 560 branches. And now as we look to absorb all the employees of HDFC Limited and also gain from the branches -- branch network of HDFC Limited. So will that mean that we would like to go slow in terms of our own branch expansion? And how will that change our like medium-term cost ratios like outlook, which we have earlier indicated at times to be like -- to reach 35% cost to income.

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#69

Nitin, we have a strong appetite to continue to invest in distribution, continue to invest in technology, continue to invest in human capital. With this product advantage that the bank will now get, we probably will be stepping up our distribution even more. So our investments will be even more. We will be happy to make these investments. I'm happy even if the cost to income for a while even deteriorates. But definitely, we are very sure that once the investments have plateaued, the operating efficiencies will kick in and the glide path that we have given that what from the time of the peak of the investments too and when you start to get the efficiencies on the operating leverage kick in, we will start to see the cost to earnings come down even further from that level. So on a merged entity today, I think we are about 36% to 38% or 37%. As Keki mentioned, is just about 8%. So on a merged basis, it could be somewhere around the 32% or 33% or in that range. Happy to even take it even further just to ensure that we are not sort of cringing on investments, even if that were to go, but we are sure in the medium to long term, we will see a glide path of the operating cost to earnings coming down.

Operator

operator
#70

The next question is from Jai Mundhra from B&K Securities.

Jai Mundhra

analyst
#71

I wanted to check if you have calculated and broadly by which year the merger could be EPS accretive? Because clearly, as per the pro forma number, as shown in the slide, there is a 3% accretion. But of course, there will be some drag on CRR, SLR, PSL front. So I just wanted to check your thoughts on when -- by when the merger should be EPS accretive.

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan

executive
#72

Well, to my mind, the merger will be EPS accretive from year 1 from the first year itself because 21% of these shares automatically get canceled.

Jai Mundhra

analyst
#73

Okay. And any ballpark number on Tier 1 impact -- sorry, CET1 impact of the merged entity apart from the other investment, which is there in the limited, which will be extinguished.

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#74

So it will be a positive impact because HDFC's Tier 1 capital currently stands at over 22%. And this 22% is also calculated after reducing the investments made by HDFC in the bank. So when that gets canceled, the capital will go up. And therefore, overall, from a capital adequacy perspective, it will be positive. It will be higher.

Jai Mundhra

analyst
#75

Sure. And the last thing, sir, you have mentioned that in the meanwhile, in the run-up to the transaction, there would be some adjustment to the banking model. So just wanted to check, I mean what it could be? Would it be in terms of limited getting more -- sourcing more PSL assets or let us say, moving to external benchmarks sort of a regime? Or what all could it entail?

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#76

No, nothing. Everything remains the same until the effective date. And upon the effective date, the branches of HDFC will then, over a period of time, start becoming full-fledged branches of the bank. Otherwise, nothing else changes. It's business as usual.

Jai Mundhra

analyst
#77

Right. It's just that it seems that there would be some opportunity to normalize for adjustment to the banking model. So I was thinking if there is something that you...

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#78

No, there is nothing significant difference in terms of regulations between NBFC and bank. Whatever little differences might be there, we will, of course, do things going forward, which will be compliant with the banking model. But that does not have any material impact on our balance sheet or our profit and loss account.

Operator

operator
#79

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Keki Mistry and Mr. Sashi Jagdishan for closing comments.

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#80

So I just wanted to say at the end that to our minds, this is very accretive from the perspective of shareholders of both HDFC and HDFC Bank. We will now be able to leverage the lower cost of funds of the bank together with its huge distribution platform and its huge distribution reach, with the efficiency in the mortgage product, which HDFC has developed over the last 40-plus years. And also the fact that cost-to-income ratio currently stands at 8.1%. So I think in terms of combination, to my mind, this is probably one of the best combinations we could have had. Earlier, this did not make as accretive a sense as it does today because of some of the reasons that I mentioned in the beginning, higher CRR, SLR requirement, priority sector, you actually had to go and borrow money and so on and so forth. But today, it makes -- it's as we believe EPS accretive from year 1.

Keki Mistry;Vice Chairman and CEO

executive
#81

Thank you all. Thank you very much.

Sashidhar Jagdishan

executive
#82

Thank you. Thank you, everyone. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#83

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, with that, we conclude this conference call. We thank you all for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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