Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 15, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGood afternoon, everyone. I'm Joshua Pokrzywinski, Morgan Stanley's U.S. electrical equipment and multi-industry analyst. Welcome to Virtual Laguna. With me this afternoon on the virtual fireside chat, it's the management team of Hubbell. We have CEO, Dave Nord; incoming CEO, Gerben Bakker; and CFO, Bill Sperry, joining us from around the horn on the Hubbell ecosystem. Gentlemen, thanks for making the time this afternoon. Before we get started, I do have to read a quick disclaimer before we jump in. Please note that this webcast is for Morgan Stanley's clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. This webcast is not for members of the press. If you are a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. With that, we'll jump right in. Gentleman, thanks for making the time this morning or this afternoon. I guess we're now graced with 2 generations of CEO at Hubbell. So Dave, appreciate you making the time here. Congratulations to both of you. Dave, on a great career and a lot of value unlocked for Hubbell and its shareholders. And Gerben, for the new opportunity that is richly deserved.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystMaybe if you guys wouldn't mind just kind of talking a little bit about some of the -- of what you're seeing out there in the business, big strategic imperatives and then a little bit about the transition, if you don't mind, just to lead-off?
David Nord
executiveSure. All right. Thanks, Josh, and thanks. I mean, this is always a great event. Obviously, it's better in Laguna during sitting at shelter. But the timing of it is always great because it's a great opportunity coming off the summer, getting into the fall to talk about what's coming up. And obviously, for us this time, there's something even bigger coming up. You saw the announcement last week of the conclusion of a long-planned succession process where we named Gerben as the next CEO. Hopefully, he's been the COO for the last year, 15 months. Hopefully, you've got to know him through that as well as some prior meetings, maybe in our Investor Day. But obviously, one of the reasons that he was selected was he's built a very strong track record in our Power business, our legacy Power business, which we now refer to as our Utility Solutions with the addition of Aclara. He's put some really good financial results there. And he's played a critical role as well in our drive for better and stronger execution and operating with discipline. And I think that's something that you've seen the results of even more recently in the last year or so. And I think that's really something that the combination of those 2 elements of his experience are one of the things that I think are -- I'm most optimistic obviously, I have a continuing vested interest in the future success of the organization. I hope I have been able to leave it better than I left it, and that's what I expect Gerben to be able to do as well. But he doesn't do it alone, obviously. We've got a very strong team here, and he's very keen on that. Particularly, one of the guys sitting at the table here is you've all known Bill for a long time, and Bill is a very important strategic partner for Gerben and expected to be going forward. Well, you've also seen, we've added some more senior leadership talent. Most recently, Peter Lau, who's going to head up our Electrical segment. Alexis Bernard, who you had a chance to meet at Investor Day. That's the only time anybody saw him even before he went into lockdown. So he had a very interesting introduction and so -- and more recently, we named a long time employee of Hubbell into a VP of Customer experience, Terry Watson. And so really getting into the elements around our customers and sales. So a lot of good things going on, all set up for future success and for Gerben to continue to drive that. So maybe, Gerben, if you want to comment further on what you see going forward?
Gerben Bakker
executiveYes. Great. Thank you, Dave, and thank you, Josh. And Dave, you said you left the company a better company than you inherited. And I thank you for that, a company that's today, 50% larger than when you took it over, almost 50% more profitable, more focused, and I agree with you with a management team that's the strongest that I have seen in my long tenure at Hubbell. So I'm really excited and honored to take this business over for you. You've set a great bar for me to leave it better as well. I've been with Hubbell my entire career, 30-plus years. So certainly, I've seen the great strength of our people, of our products and brands and of our customers, strong customer relationships that we hold. And I've also worked with both Dave and Bill for the last 8 or so years from when I ran the Power business to more recently as COO of setting and executing on our strategy, and it's certainly a strategy that I've been part of and that I believe in. I'd like to provide a couple of comments looking ahead with now a little more than halfway through our year. And the first thing that I have to do is to just recognize and say how proud I am, of all our people and businesses and how we've managed through these very uncertain and very difficult times. And I think you saw that reflected in our second quarter results. But then looking ahead even a little further into our third quarter. We continue to manage our business very well on the cost side. As we start to see the improvements, the incremental improvements quarter-over-quarter as we start to slowly come out of this pandemic. Our utility business continues extremely strong. I think here, the macro trends and the secular trends are helping to drive this growth. We've talked a lot about this at the Investor Day. And when I certainly when I ran the business of the need to upgrade this aged infrastructure the modernization that's happening on this grid that as renewables are coming on the grid, we cannot only help serve the need drive Transmission business, but it puts a lot more strain on the grid and again drives the need to upgrade it. I think these are macro trends that will happen independent of short-term economic or pandemic situation, we continue to see that business do extremely well. The other thing that we saw this quarter was storms. We're able to, fortunately, help our customers to put up the critical infrastructure when hurricanes, and hurricane Laura, in this case, took that down. And as I've stated again in the past, while as a percent of revenue, this tends to be small in a year, maybe it provides some lift in a quarter. More importantly, it shows the value that we bring to our customers and being to help them restore this absolutely critical infrastructure. In the Electrical segment, we've continued to see our markets more challenged, although we are seeing the sequential improvement that we had anticipated earlier in the year. On the resi side, we're seeing particular strength driven by big-box renovations and our e-commerce, and we're actually seeing year-over-year growth in this business. Our supply chains, we talked about this in the second quarter, we had some disruption. At this point, we're fully operational and able to supply our customers as an essential supplier. And we're also continuing to manage our cost very well to the third quarter. We're -- a lot of activity on restructuring, despite the pandemic, we're able to keep those going. Which sets us up very well for the second quarter and going into next year. So overall, I'm very optimistic on how we're managing our business despite still some of the challenges that we're seeing from this pandemic.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. That's a helpful overview. I appreciate that, Gerben. Just digging in a little bit more on the Utility side, I can't remember at what point the switch happened, but utility went from being kind of an end market that people didn't think much about and maybe a GDP proxy to now something that -- getting a lot more questions on even from the ESG crowd. So a very long way from where we were 5 and certainly 10 years ago. But you mentioned 2 things as important drivers there, kind of this whole phenomenon of Grid Hardening, as well as the renewables piece. Obviously, with what's going on in California and much of the Western United States right now, the importance of Grid Hardening is clearly not getting any smaller. And then utility -- on the renewable side, a lot of momentum as well. But maybe frame-up individually, feel free to use a baseball analogy in terms of what inning or importance in terms of a driver how would you think about those 2 things in isolation? Is Grid Hardening driving a lot of the activity and there's a lot of runway? Is it renewables? And visibility there is more of a plateau? I'm making up the scenario, but maybe just try to think about some of those dynamics in isolation for us.
Gerben Bakker
executiveYes, Josh, I think you're thinking about it quite right. They are very intertwined. This concept. Maybe the first thing for us all to just just take a step back to is to reflect on the age of the electrical infrastructure in the United States. And it's really, really aged. There's parts of the grids that are 100-years-plus old. And if you think about the life span of some of these systems, it's clear that the infrastructure needs to be upgraded. We have seen hardening over the last several years, and I think some of these climate change events, whether it's fires or hurricanes or ice storms continue to highlight how fragile this grid is. So I think there is a pretty long window out of the need to harden the grid. The one thing that's adding to the complexity of it is renewables. And when you put renewables on to the grid and the two-way flow of power onto the grid, it puts additional strain on an already aged infrastructure. So it becomes even more important that they harden, but then also, can you do that in a more modernized way. And that's indeed what we're seeing. And we see more of instead of like kind replacement everywhere to say where can you add intelligence onto the grid to help drive greater grid efficiencies. And for us, this is so exciting when Aclara came together with the legacy portfolio and this is that this puts us in such tremendous position to also serve that part of the market. So grid automation -- distribution automation is an area that we very much see longer-term secular growth. And so -- so we see it pretty optimistic over the next few years.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystAnd you mentioned this, so kind of in anticipation of my question that as repairs are being done or proactive hardening is taking place, that is a catalyst for a smarter upgrade as well. So the 2 do go hand-in-hand?
Gerben Bakker
executiveThey do. They do. There's absolutely still a need for that a hardware, the bolts and the nuts to put the grid up and that won't go away. But if you can add elements of insights into the grid, and there's data collection points and then utilize that through the software systems that can analyze and act on that, now you get a more intelligent grid and a more efficient grid going forward. The legacy part going necessarily away. But we augment it with part of our portfolio that's more intelligent.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystIs there a way to just kind of frame for folks? And I understand it might be hard to have right on the tip of your fingers, some sort of attachment rate, $1 of hardware spend in the right circumstances can also be worth another dime of software, something like that. There's probably no great example, but any way to just kind of show us what the goalposts look like there?
Gerben Bakker
executiveYes, Josh, that's a good question. I'm not sure if I've thought of it in that way. So I'd probably want to give that some thought before giving an answer on this. But definitely, I would say there is -- there will be an increased spend on the smart side, certainly from where we are today. It's still, I would say, in its infancy to a certain extent, as we think about the future. So I do believe that, that has a higher growth rate going forward than the legacy hardware side of it, which is why we're so interested in investing in this side of the business.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. And I guess related to that, and something that probably is a little bit more concrete. As I think Dave has historically talked about the pipeline for Aclara with some pretty impressive numbers over time. Maybe just kind of update us on where that stands today and what that would have looked like when you bought the business because clearly, has done very well on the growth side.
Gerben Bakker
executiveYes. Yes. So it has, Josh, seen nice growth for us over the last couple of years. I'd say the pipeline is still very solid, probably in line with what we described during the Investor Day. So despite -- no more challenging times to close on contract. This business has continued to maintain a pretty strong backlog during this time. It's still very much something that our customers want and need to invest in, certainly been a little bit challenged right now on deploying some of it. Our installation business, as COVID hit. Came almost a halt for a period of time. We resumed that, fortunately. But the underlying demand here is still there. And so this business to continue to operate where we hoped and expected to. And I think the next upside for this business really is when the large IOU start their replacement cycle on their AMI system, we see that still a couple of years out to the 3 years out. But we have technology that we've developed our RF technology that's not only well suited for an IOU but also well suited for distribution automation, which we believe will play an important part as IOU's upgrade their AMI system of adding that requirement. So we believe we're well positioned to see some upside over the next few years with that.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystNow understanding this has become kind of one of the gems of the Hubbell portfolio. Has that changed the competitive climate as well, where you're starting to see more folks in that space either bidding on larger projects or kind of showing up to call on customers? Or is this still something where Hubbell's kind of existing relationships are getting in the door still as often as they historically would?
Gerben Bakker
executiveYes. I would actually say it's probably strengthened with those 2 businesses coming together because Aclara on its own had very strong relationship and the Power business did and we're really utilizing the combined strength of these business. I'd say we're as well, if not better positioned for the future in this business.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. That's good to hear. Just switching over to the other side of the house on Electrical. I think as much as there's a lot of different submarkets within non-resi, resi, some industrial, some oil and gas in that. I think there's a bit more agita out there in the world on nonresidential markets. As it pertains to kind of just lower demand for new construction, maybe a mature cycle. Is that something you're starting to see in new construction now? Do you think we're kind of living at the market? Or is there a sense that maybe there's still a backlog of existing construction that hasn't been completed. I know Hubbell wouldn't have a lot of backlog in the Electrical business, but maybe your customers or construction firms?
David Nord
executiveYes. I think, Josh, that you're right about the way you're looking at that. So we saw in the second quarter, some contraction in the put in place spending in Electrical side where there is less material going in not a lot of people going to work, right, to be able to installs. And I think when we gave our guidance at the end of our second quarter for the balance of the year, we were embedding in there some sequential improvement, right, from that. And I think that we've seen that. And I think it is likely that, that is finishing projects that had been started. And these projects can go on for a year, right? So before the -- and Hubbell has electrical product that goes in fairly mid-cycle of a building and some that goes in fairly late single of a building. So that -- having that spread out as the put in place kind of gets carried out. But I agree with your comment about maturity we've tended to see nonres cycles for our products last in these 9 to 11-year time frames. And we saw coming out of the Great Recession, the private market expansion kind of began in earnest in about 2010. So you've had sort of a 10-year expansion period, which suggests a pretty mature cycle. And so I think how 2021 sets up for nonres is what's that question still, right? As the projects get finished, do new ones get put on. And certainly, there's been a number of sort of interesting new shifts that the pandemic has certainly raised questions on something like in the vertical of office, and we were speaking before our session, are office workers going to go back to work. If they do, do they need more space, because they're trying to distance themselves. Or is there more flexible work from home? And how does that mix out. Similarly, in retail space, for example, clearly some shrinkage on that side, but is that space all going to be absorbed into warehouse distribution type space to feed e-commerce? I think some of those larger factors is too early to see how those things will play out. But I do very much agree that's a mature point in the nonres cycle.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystAnd I guess in terms of the internals that you can see now, any observation on distributor inventories being particularly low or high? And then anything on kind of pricing yield as we've seen some of these commodities kind of ex-oil move higher here off the bottom?
David Nord
executiveYes. So I would say, as far as inventories go, we experienced with our customers some contraction during the second quarter. And I think as we've talked to our customers, they have acknowledged that we can see it in the data in certain places, especially where we're involved in vendor-managed inventory and so we can see the point-of-sale information. But I think in our conversations with customers, you're also hearing just enough caution, but I think the point is well taken that as sequential demand picks up, there's going to have to be restocking. Obviously, distributor does not want to be in a position of being stocked-out and missing a sale and having a customer go down the street to fulfill that order. So I think that's still ahead of us, that restocking trend and something will welcome pretty generously. I think you also talked about pricing, which is an interesting phenomenon because you really have seen less so steel, but more so copper and aluminum, right? You've seen some very sharp flection points sequentially over the last couple of months, which is consistent with the demand picking up. I think you can expect more of that. And so you have to start looking not just at the sequential increases, but where does that stand year-over-year and starts to get into the pricing discussion, which I think Hubbell feels coming out of the tariff period that we had some very constructive dialogue with all of our customers about how to think about cost increases like that and what that would imply for prices. And so I think we're well positioned with our customers to reopen those discussions and talk about the role commodities are now playing. And so I think you're right to point out that's a sign of some demand growth, which means price will have to go along with that.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystNow distributors, I guess, trying to thread the needle enough to where they say, hey, we might need some inventory anyway, and we know we have a price increase coming probably in the next few months, maybe year-end, if there's a normal pricing cycle. Did they try to get out ahead of that?
David Nord
executiveYes. Year-end is always full of potential distortions. You're describing one of them, another can be -- there might be some incentive programs in place. And if somebody is at the money or near the money, right, they may do a lot of increase in ordering at the end of the quarter. If they're out of the money, they might not and they might save that for next year. And then as you say, they might be thinking about if there's known price increases coming forward, they may try to load up the inventory at the previous price. Some of the businesses like Power systems that Gerben can speak to, there's quite a bit of blanket pricing that happens at the end of the year that dictates a lot of that. I think some of our other Electrical businesses, there's more frequent times during the year where you may go back with a price increase.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. And then I guess, just moving on to some of the cost savings and the longer-term restructuring program, I think you pointed out $25 million of full year savings this year. How would you break that down into kind of permanent versus maybe a bit more temporary build, maybe just to start out?
David Nord
executiveYes. The restructuring savings, we think, are going to be permanent. And we've had a really successful restructuring program partially fueled, frankly, by our acquisition program that has taken on manufacturing facilities that are subscale in nature, right? We've been very active over the last 10 years and longer in terms of buying $40 million and $50 million businesses, right, that have great brands and fill in really nice white spots on our card, but maybe don't come with world-class scale and efficiency of manufacturing. So we've been very successful absorbing that volume into our existing square footage. We've been moving the square footage needle down. Our sales per square foot, we've been moving that up. And I would anticipate, Josh, there's still several years of runway for that to carry itself out. I think you are right, though, that there have been some temporary costs. For example, the second quarter, we would have done some furloughs. We would have done some temporary executive salary reductions, for example. Those are examples of temporary savings that moderated our decrementals in the second quarter and managing through those through being quite careful on permanent headcount -- permanent salary headcount is a way we prevent that from becoming a headwind in 2021. And there's also some natural variabilized offsets some of the absorption challenges when the volume was down, we'll help offset some of that temporary headwind as well as we did do some appreciation pay, we actually paid more and spend a lot more on personal protection equipment. So things like that, we'll all provide offsets as long as some -- with some permanent headcount discipline as well. So I think that -- we think of the restructuring savings as permanent and that we've got to manage those temporaries with absorption as well as price cost and productivity management going forward.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. And you mentioned some of the longer-term restructuring program having a bit more runway. I remember, gosh, 4 or 5 years ago, some slides in Investor Day that kind of showed a point in time when we kind of hit run rate on savings, the spend starts to go down. And you guys keep finding more savings, which I think is a good thing. Maybe talk about what was the change in thinking or kind of fresh eyes scenario that unlock that? And if the answer is just look, we bought more companies and it was just from the M&A side, that's fine. But was there anything within the 4 walls that has given this longer legs?
David Nord
executiveYes. I think you're right to point that out. We hired a new VP of Operations, Susan Huppertz. She had a strong passion and vision for where we could become more efficient, and she's worked really hard across our company, across our enterprise, with the operations team and really turned restructuring into a core skillset, how to close facility, how to move a facility, how to analyze an opportunity for a center of excellence. And frankly, I think, has developed it the way I would argue we did with acquisition integration, became a core skill set of ours, something that we do now with a lot of confidence. And I'd say we're at that point now on the restructuring side as well. And some of those charts, you remember, were, frankly, us setting a budget and saying, we'll spend this much and then finding the projects that fill the budget and executing them. And one of the signs of the flywheel really being successful, Josh, is right now, at this time of year, I already have subscriptions above the budget with projects for next year and for 2 years out and 3 years out. So we've created, I think your word of fresh eyes is a good one, but it's become now an enterprise-wide kind of skill set and mindset such that we've got a gain chart going out years that show us that we've still got that runway that I think investors can count on.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystTerrific. And then just one last one as we kind of approach time here. On the M&A front, I think you mentioned earlier that you're looking forward to getting back into the market. Properties that have kind of fallen in the sub-$50 million range, I think Hubbels bread and butter historically. How is that market looking now? Clearly, COVID alters the landscape. But should we expect Hubbell to return to that cadence of some of these kind of small to midsized acquisitions that are just cascading into the business every few quarters?
David Nord
executiveYes. I think that compared to a mindset of a 3, 4, 5 months ago, when we needed to be really mindful of cash and liquidity, right, and just making sure that customers were paying, and we were making collections, right? And that the lifeblood was all flowing. And that feels like a lifetime ago, that those concerns, right, the balance sheet has been very liquid. I think the industry is performing really well in terms of people paying each other, right, and keeping that -- the flow in between counterparties and vendors going very nicely. And so I feel -- we've also delevered in that time despite having less EBITDA, right? And so it feels like we've returned to the point, as you said, of being well positioned to invest. I would say, dialogue-wise out there, it feels like there's a lot of constructive conversations with sellers. I do feel like a COVID income statement can create a bid offer spread, right, that can sometimes be hard to bridge. Same time, you have some sellers thinking that there's an opportunity to put their capital gain in 2019 rather than 2020 -- sorry, 2020 rather than 2021. And so that's motivating, I think, some entrepreneurs to think about selling their business, too. So we found the dialogue in the front end of the M&A side to be very constructive actually right now.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystAwesome. Well, I appreciate you guys taking the time. Congratulations again to both Dave and Gerben looking forward to keeping in touch with both of you. Appreciate the time, as always, sorry, we couldn't do it on the beach. And we'll talk soon. Be well guys.
Gerben Bakker
executiveAll right. Thank you, Josh.
David Nord
executiveThanks, Josh. All right, take care.
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