IGO Limited (IGO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 31, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorThank you for standing by, and welcome to the IGO Limited FY '23 Results Webcast. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to Matt Dusci, acting Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Matt Dusci
executiveThank you, Travis. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining the call this morning as we provide a summary of IGO's audited financial results for FY '23. Joining me on the call today is Kath Bozanic, our Chief Financial Officer, who will be available to answer questions during the Q&A session. Also note that we released both of our annual and sustainability reports this morning as well as our FY '23 mineral resource, ore reserve and exploration update. Slide 2 highlights our cautionary statement and disclaimer. Of note, all currency amounts in this presentation today are in Australian dollars, unless otherwise noted. Moving to Slide 3. Before we move to the financials, I want to discuss the important work we are doing to build a more sustainable business and making a positive impact on future generations. I encourage you to refer to our ninth sustainability report issued today. The report provides a snapshot across the multiple facets of sustainability throughout our business, including safety and well-being, our response to climate change, environment, business integrity, our financial contributions, traditional owners and communities and our people. IGO has a prior history in the work we do in sustainability, and this year is no exception, with some highlights, including, we have maintained a strong engagement with our communities to support our ability to do what we do. In FY '23, we made [ committed ] financial contributions of nearly $800,000 to a range of organizations, and our people contributed 370 hours of voluntary work across our community. We continue to strengthen our relationships with traditional owners, including finalization of our reconciliation action plan, which reaffirms our commitment and vision for reconciliation. For FY '23, we spent over $8 million with Aboriginal and Torres Strait-owned or managed businesses. We look forward to ways we can continue to deepen our engagement, support and partner with traditional owners in FY '24. We continue to pursue our response to climate change and decarbonization of our business as we target to be net 0 by 2035. Our internal decarbonization fund generated $8.3 million during FY '23 with nearly $16 million currently available to fund carbon reduction and offset projects and programs. Our people are key enablers to everything we do. We have an amazing team and a great culture. It's something that we are deeply proud of. We understand the importance of diversity, and we continue to work on increasing female and Aboriginal representation in our workforce. Most importantly of us all is our engagement and pride that our people have in working with IGO. An area that we have to and will improve is on safety. It is disappointing to have recorded an increase in our TRIFR over FY '23. Whilst reassuring to have seen a decrease in severity of injuries and harm to our people, we should do better and we can do better. The Board and Management are responding by further boosting resources, training and active leadership to drive better outcomes over FY '24. Turning to Slide 4, which provides a high-level financial and operating summary for the year. We delivered an outstanding set of financial results with record underlying EBITDA, record NPAT, record underlying free cash flow. This result was made possible by the strength of our lithium business. Our interest in the lithium joint venture, TLEA, which was required in 2021 for $1.9 billion has in FY '23 generated over $1.1 billion in dividends back to IGO. This is an exceptional result. Operationally, Greenbushes was a standout in FY '23 delivering record spodumene production, benefit from strong commodity pricing, while Nova also delivered strong margins and free cash flow. The ramping up at our Kwinana lithium hydroxide refinery was delayed. However, we expected to see improved performance over the coming year as rectification work continues. At Cosmos nickel project, while project development progressed over the year, we've commenced a review to understand the risks and opportunities that drive optimal value. As previously flagged, we have recorded an impairment on the assets acquired from Western Areas, which predominantly reflects challenges at Cosmos. I'll discuss this further shortly. Our strong financial performance has put our balance sheet in a fantastic position with a net cash position of $415 million and enabled us to declare record dividends for FY '23, which I'll come to in a moment. Moving to Slide 5, where I'll lay out our financial results in detail. As you can see here, all financial metrics have improved substantially compared to FY '22. Revenue listed year-on-year to just over $1 billion, thanks to the first contribution from Forrestania as well as strong commodity prices. Underlying EBITDA of almost $2 billion rose significantly, driven by an outstanding contribution from our lithium business, specifically Greenbushes. Net profit after tax for the year was $549 million, another record and an excellent result despite the impairment -- impact of the noncash impairment recorded against the assets acquired from Western Areas, which has now been finalized at pretax of $968 million. On an underlying basis, this excludes this impairment, net profit after tax exceeded $1.5 billion. Underlying free cash flow was nearly $1.1 billion for the year, a year-on-year increase of more than 3x. This has enabled IGO to repay $540 million in debt over the year and finished the year strongly with $775 million cash available. Moving to Slide 6. On this slide, we set out IGO's performance across key financial metrics over the last 5 years, demonstrating the financial -- the transformational growth that has been delivered to the business over this period of time. As noted today's result represents records across all key financial metrics. IGO is in an outstanding position to move forward in FY '24 and beyond. Moving to Slide 7, where we reconciled the year-on-year change in the group cash position. I draw your attention to the record dividends received from TLEA of over $1.1 billion, the strong free cash flow generation from Nova and solid contribution from Forrestania and the accelerated debt repayment of $540 million. I also note the $53 million received from the sale of investments, which reflects our divestment of our holding in [indiscernible] resources during the year. Moving to Slide 8. We reconciled the underlying net profit after tax variance between the 2022 and 2023 financial years. Of note, we highlighted the $1.4 billion positive contribution to net profit after tax from TLEA joint venture, resulting from strong lithium prices and production at Greenbushes. As shown, underlying net PAT for the year was $1.53 billion reduced to $549 million on a statutory basis, with the application of the $968 million impairment on the Western Areas assets and other minor adjustments. Turning to Slide 9. We recently announced the new capital management policy, which has been approved by the Board. The new framework showed on this slide is designed to provide shareholders parity and transparency of IGO's capital management strategy and seeks to strike a balance between returns to shareholders, balance sheet strength and flexibility to fund growth. Under this new Capital Management Policy, the target range for shareholders' return has increased to between 20% and 40% of underlying free cash flow when liquidity is less than $1 billion. When liquidity exceeds $1 billion, the Board will use its discretion to consider paying above 40% threshold. Moving to Slide 10. In line with the updated policy and reflecting the exceptional cash generation over FY '23, I'm pleased to report that Board has declared a $0.44 per share final dividend plus a $0.16 per share special dividend for FY '23. Both are fully franked. The dividend will be payable on the 28th of September 2023. This final dividend and special dividend brings total FY '23 dividends to $0.74 per share, including the $0.14 per share interim dividend that was paid in March of this year. This represents a greater than sevenfold increase in year-on-year dividend payments and a total of $560 million returned to shareholders in FY '23. We are committed to returning excess capital to shareholders in line with our Capital Management Policy. Turning to Slide 11. I'll take the opportunity to speak briefly to each of the core assets within our portfolio noting that this was discussed in detail at our June quarterly conference call just a few weeks ago. FY '23 saw strong performance in Greenbushes, with total spodumene production of 1.49 million tonnes, up 31% year-on-year, while cash production costs were $244 per tonne. Combined with the elevated spodumene prices we enjoyed during FY '23, Greenbushes delivered a record EBITDA of $9.5 billion on a 100% basis, up sevenfold from FY '22, representing an EBITDA margin of over 90%. As we move into FY '24, our focus is on progressing the construction of CGP3 reaching a final investment decision on CGP4 and continue to realize the potential of this world-class asset. Moving to Slide 12 and on to the Kwinana Refinery. Performance for Train 1 at Kwinana has been disappointing. However, we remain confident that the required engineering and rectifications are being implemented to enable improved performance over FY '24. We are committed to successfully competing rectification works and achieving a 50% of nameplate capacity by the end of this calendar year. In parallel, front-end engineering design will progress on Train 2 with expected completion in early calendar year 2024. This FEED work is required to derisk Train 2. A final investment decision will only be made once this work has been completed. Moving to Slide 13 and turning to Nova and the Forrestania operations. Nova And Forrestania, both made a solid contribution over FY '23 with group nickel production of 34,846 tonnes and group's nickel cash cost of $5.63 per pound. Combined, underlying free cash flow for the financial year was $587 million with an EBITDA margin of 56%. This is a strong result. Looking ahead, our priorities are ongoing optimization programs of both operations to improve productivity and reduce costs, while continuing to unlock value through production blending opportunities. Moving to Slide 14 and on to Cosmos, where we continue to progress project development during the year. Key deliverables include completion of paste plant, aerodrome and development of the underground chambers for material handling infrastructure. Further, I'm pleased to say that progressing -- the processing plant and shaft are also approaching completion, bringing total capital expenditure for the financial year to $338 million. As announced previously, we have encountered several challenges during the development of Cosmos. We are currently working through a project review on the current life of mine, capital cost estimates and schedule. We expect the review will be completed during the December quarter, and we'll provide an update to the market accordingly. Moving to Slide 15 and on to our overview of our exploration activities. We are committed to being a supplier of metals critical for the clean energy transition and exploration is a key part in this strategy. Investment in exploration discoveries is essential if we are to source enough critical minerals to enable the decapitalization of the economy. In FY '24, we've allocated $65 million to $75 million to exploration across IGO's portfolio, which is focused on unlocking high-quality nickel, copper and lithium discoveries. We believe we have a fantastic opportunity to deliver significant value through discovery and from this commitment. Turning to Slide 16 for concluding remarks. The 2023 financial year was an exceptional year across our business with record financial results as we continue to pursue our clean energy strategy. Greenbushes continued to perform strongly and as we continue to expand production and further optimize this world-class asset. Production ramp-up at Kwinana Train 1 is anticipated to improve over FY '24 with the financial investment decision on Train 2 expected to be considered after the completion of the front-end engineering and design. We are dedicated to unlocking value at the Cosmos project. Project review is currently underway, and the outcome is expected by December. We have maintained our focus on shareholder return and disciplined capital management. Exceptional cash flows generated over the last 12 months has enabled the declaration of a $0.44 final fully franked dividend and a $0.16 per share special fully franked dividend. Moving into FY '24, We are clear on what we need to do. We need to deliver on our internal projects coupled with safe and reliable delivery from our operating assets. Before concluding this call, I would like to express my gratitude to the IGO, TLEA and Talison teams. You are making a difference. Thank you, everyone, for joining us on this call this morning, and we'll now open up for questions. Thank you.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first phone question today comes from Levi Spry from UBS.
Levi Spry
analystTwo questions. Firstly, just on the capital management, so the new dividend policy. Can you just talk us through what the higher returns piece means in terms of do you have a target gearing level here? Obviously, shareholders are happy with the big divi, but what does this mean around the $1 billion liquidity?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. So I'll hand the cost to Kathleen in a second. But in terms of liquidity, liquidity is cash reserves plus balance of undrawn debt. So at the moment, we have that $775 million of cash, and we have that $360 million of revolver, and that's how we define liquidity. Ultimately, in determining the dividend, it really shows the strength of IGO, both in this -- what has been an exceptional year in FY '23, but also going forward into FY '24 and beyond. Do you want to talk about gearing?
Kathleen Bozanic
executiveYes. Obviously, internally, we have our gearing targets and ratios. And at this point in time, our gearing is quite low. What I would say about that is it's consistent with what you'd expect for an organization like this and what our peers have. And therefore, if we were to actually do something that require debt, we would utilize those targets in order to determine the amount of debt we could take. And hopefully, that answers your question, Levi.
Levi Spry
analystYes. Kind of. I'm just not sure how -- why you can't pay out debt, I guess...
Kathleen Bozanic
executiveyes, I understand the question.
Levi Spry
analystOkay. Maybe just the next question then on Cosmos, while you're talking, I guess. So what are the options that are being considered? And can you just remind us sort of $338 million spent in FY '23. Can you just remind us under the old plan, how much was left to spend to get to 1.1 million tonnes throughput. So it's sort of 2 questions there, I guess. Remaining CapEx under the old plan and what are you -- what's in front of you?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. We -- what's in front of us, I suppose, is we're doing that whole review, including the reassessment of capital costs complete, reassessment of schedule, timing to complete and ultimately, what that production profile ramp-up would be under a new plan. So that's this program of work that we're committed to driving value out of that Cosmos project going forward. So we haven't come out -- as part of that FY '24 guidance, we're able to come out with that capital costs to complete for Cosmos.
Kathleen Bozanic
executiveYes. I actually haven't got what was left on hand at the moment, but it's pretty easy to calculate from the numbers we've previously given you, Levi. I just don't have the exact number to hand right now.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Kate McCutcheon from Citi.
Kate McCutcheon
analystWith this special dividend paid out, would it be premature to read into that around how the timing at Train 2 at Kwinana might play out? Or how you're thinking about the downstream battery or [ PCAM plan ]? Or if I ask it another way, can you remind me on the timing for how we should think about a Train 2 decision and also an update on the PCAM partner study there?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. So I can provide a bit of an update. So I mean, ultimately, when we look at dividend, we also factor in our internal growth. So we're taking that into consideration when we're doing the dividend. So we feel strongly that the business is in such a good shape that we can continue to fund all the internal growth projects we have in our portfolio, which is quite significant. In terms of Train 2, we are doing front-end engineering design. We are scheduled to complete that in the first part of calendar year that will lead into a financial investment decision after that completion. With the completion of that FEED, we'll come out with capital costs and timing to -- on our capital spend and ramp-up profiles, et cetera. In terms of that Integrated Battery Metal (sic) [ Material ] Facility, we continue to have discussions with PCAM partner, and we're advancing feasibility studies on that facility. The idea is that we'll be in a position to announce a PCAM partner sometime this calendar year with the completion of studies around that mid-calendar year '24.
Kate McCutcheon
analystOkay. And then if I can just squeeze in a quick one. After the impairment and the update we're expecting for Cosmos next quarter, will that be underpinned by those FY '23 resources you've announced today with the [ DCS ] more than halving. It looks like reserves have remained flat there, but you've also used higher nickel price assumptions. Any color there?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. So if I -- if you strip back to the -- on the mineral resources and ore reserve for Cosmos, the resources -- sorry, the variance in nickel tonnes you see on the resource is at Mt Goode. So what we've done at Mt Goode in the resource is essentially defined that to an open pit, those previously reported at just above the [ cut-off ] grade. So you ended up with a lot of metal that will never come into a mining shape. So that resource has more confidence than what had previously been reported under Western Areas. And it would be what you would expect to see in an open pit, should we be successful in a completion of the prefeasibility studies, et cetera, at Mt Goode. In terms of the reserve, the reserve fundamentally hasn't changed. Any reserve update on Cosmos will come out as part of this update plan.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Daniel Morgan from Barrenjoey.
Daniel Morgan
analystJust to follow up on that last point. So this reserve announcement today across your assets, which includes Cosmos, there hasn't been any of the review work that's informed that. And so the reserve statement that you put out could still be at some risk via the review process. Is that right?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. Look, I would state that, that reserve is based on previous reserves. We're obviously drilling -- doing a lot of drilling at the moment, et cetera, and updating that whole resource model, and then we'll feed that into the mine plan and life of mine for [ DCS ]. If I was summarizing -- summarizing just generally that resource and reserves, you saw a depletion come out of Nova. Effectively, we depletion out of Forrestania on a reserve basis. Some of the resources have come out just because of their resources back ended. Greenbushes is just a depletion. We're in the process of updating Greenbushes, and we'd expect to see a new update on Greenbushes resource and reserve in start of calendar year '24.
Daniel Morgan
analystSo on the latter point, what is in scope for consideration for the Greenbushes updated resource, reserve? Like what body of work has been done and what is being considered?
Matt Dusci
executiveThere has been quite a significant body of work in terms of drilling resource extensional work on Greenbushes and then ultimately trying to determine where the optimal open pit would fall.
Daniel Morgan
analystIs underground or potential underground in scope? Or is it still too early for them?
Matt Dusci
executiveIt's a Little too early for this -- it will be too early for this [ R&R site ] for calendar year.
Daniel Morgan
analystI also note in the resource, reserve statements that Silver Knight has been removed. I mean, it's not -- there was not a large deposit in any case, but you no longer think that, that can be processed. And so what Nova has got 3 years left.
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. So correct. So Silver Knight has been taken out of resource because at the moment we don't have -- and we're quite tight on resources. So our resources really have to have an economic path to development. At the moment, we don't have that economic path to development obviously overnight. So we've taken that out of our resource statement. Why that case is as we talked to previously is that blending still with Nova reduces recovery at Nova. So the blending is not an option. It is value disruptive. And then if you treat Silver Knight by itself, then it will require capital and it doesn't support that capital.
Daniel Morgan
analystOkay. And last question on your exploration slide in your presentation, I refer to Page 15. You've got in the lithium section of Forrestania project. Is that anything material given that there's a few juniors out there that are multibillion dollar company is on the back of new lithium projects?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. In the -- there's a summary report in the back of the mineral resource on exploration, and I'll talk to some of the lithium opportunities around Forrestania. Forrestania, it's got a [indiscernible] holding that's down stride from Mount Holland, [ covalent ], and there has been very little done on lithium. There's a couple of prospects that we're starting to drill this quarter. Ironcap being one of those, which has some promising lithium. But again, in terms of materiality for us as a business, once it's material, then we'll highlight that to everyone.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Lyndon Fagan from JPMorgan.
Lyndon Fagan
analystJust on the Greenbushes slide where the capacity in FY '27 is slated at 2.5 million tonnes. Are you able to confirm that, that includes the tailings retreatment? And when -- what the latest guidance on when that finishes is?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. Okay. Lyndon, so yes, so that 2.5 million tonnes does include tailings retreatment project. And under the original plan, you should -- if tailings retreatment program doesn't continue beyond the 7 years that it's currently sitting, then production profile would come off. Having said that, we're working through how we better utilize that infrastructure and better see that infrastructure so that we can continue to maximize and utilize all processing capacity at Greenbushes.
Lyndon Fagan
analystBut just to clarify, I had that ending in FY '27. Is that still the latest guidance for when it is meant to finish?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. I would approximate may be another year on top of that. But in terms of [ DCS ] total production capacity at Greenbushes, and we will be striving to ensure that we fill total production capacity at Greenbushes.
Lyndon Fagan
analystOkay. Great. And then on Kwinana, are you able to speak to what the latest kind of conversion metrics look like? So how many tonnes of spodumene per tonne of hydroxide and I mean, can you guide anything on the conversion cost there?
Matt Dusci
executiveNot really. I mean if we do work and probably do a little bit more maybe at the quarter end, but generally in this ramp-up phase, we're trying to keep that working through that ramp-up because of the efficiencies. What we are doing is we're still getting that ramp-up profile right. We're still confident on getting to that 50% of nameplate by the end of this calendar year. I wouldn't -- today because it's not that efficient, you don't get where you think you would be, but everything to date should suggest that conversion is not the issue. The main issue really is associated with these bottlenecks of production of actually getting material through.
Lyndon Fagan
analystOkay. No worries, I might sneak a final one in, if I may. Just with that reserve downgrade or resource downgrade, particularly at Nova, now that it looks like it's ramping up in 3 years. Can you speak to some of what the rehab costs are that we need to have?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. We have that on our books. Can you remember what's that [ funnel ]?
Kathleen Bozanic
executiveYes, it's about 40 million that we've got provided for, and we did a review -- a very bottom-up detailed review in last 12 months of that.
Lyndon Fagan
analystSo that starts spending when, sorry?
Kathleen Bozanic
executiveWell, with Nova, we'll be looking at whether we pop it into care and maintenance for a short period of time because of the way the rehab works, we need to pull up roads and things like that for the tailings dam. So as we go through the next year, we'll be doing work on what that plan is for closure. And bearing in mind, we're still doing quite a bit of exploration in that region. So it wouldn't make sense to tear up roads as we got good prospectivity there. But I can say that in the next 12 months, we'll be looking at the timing of that in more detail based on what we're finding from an exploration perspective.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Jon Bishop from Jarden Group.
Jon Bishop
analystMatt and Kath, just around intermediary lithium conversion. Sort of we're noting that lithium sulfate is an intermediary products kind of all the rage at the moment. Is it sort of too early to comment on the joint ventures thinking around the commercial outlook for Trains 3 and 4 at Kwinana. And any sort of color as to perhaps what you're thinking around what sort of form they may take?
Matt Dusci
executiveJohn, yes, it's probably a little bit early, but we remain open to the different forms. Having said that, you have to remember that most of the savings you get from going to these intermediates is associated with transportation and other elements for when you have Greenbushes located so close to industrial hubs, then you may not see the same sort of beneficiaries you do where you're going to an intermediate. And that -- and you see -- you also see [indiscernible] to that lithium hydroxide as well close to Greenbushes. So it gives you an idea of where those savings come.
Jon Bishop
analystGot you. So there's no sort of thought perhaps to locate the crystallization part of the conversion elsewhere, say, proximal to European markets or North America or anything like that? Or is that just too early?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. It's very early. I would be talking given theoretically. Theoretically, you can do a sulfate, you can do a beneficiary, if you wanted to somewhere closer, would be 1 option. Again, the variance there on the drivers is transport, et cetera. So you may have actually been more benefit just going straight to hydroxide.
Jon Bishop
analystOkay. And look, just a bit of a lateral one. I noticed that Ian Sandl's title has changed recently. Good day, Ian, if you're listening. He's gone to an Exploration Business Development Manager from GM Exploration. Is that a change in remit or a complete change in title and role? And I guess more broadly, I guess, the high-level question is just around, is there any change in your strategy around organic exploration at all?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. Good observation, Jon. So you are correct. And we have brought in a new Exploration Manager, Suzanne from OZ Minerals. So that is just part of the continuation of what we do in our business and looking at different skill sets within our business. So there's no change in terms of exploration and exploration approach, remain committed to exploration, building a portfolio and a pipeline is really important as part of executing strong exploration programs, ultimately leading to discovery. We'll do a portfolio review of our exploration through December, and we'll continue to make sure that our exploration dollars are wisely spent.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Robert Stein from CLSA.
Robert Stein
analystLook, the first 1 sort of getting on that intermediary question. One of your competitors came out the other day and talked to some pretty low CapEx numbers in [ ASEAN ] as locations for downstream conversion. Just questioning whether you're exploring that at the JV level or even at the IGO level around potentially locating conversion offshore to make use of potentially labor cost advantages. That's the first. I might follow up with a second.
Matt Dusci
executiveYes, look, as a business and as a joint venture, we always explore options to try and create value. So if There's an option to create value, then we will be exploring it. But it's a little bit early to -- it's too early for us to say that we have a preference on which way we're going to go or how do we actually extract that value.
Robert Stein
analystAnd sorry, as a follow-up, is that an alternative for Train 2 that you would look to the Train 2 FID and then compare it with other jurisdictions. And if not, what type of capital synergies or operating cost synergies are you expecting in the Train 2 FID versus, say, what's being executed around Train 1 outside of the typical type of learning synergies that you would get?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. Look, specifically on Train 2, 30% of our capital already is on Train 2 with the major pieces of equipment. And then the way we view that is that ultimately, we're working through the feed to lock down what our capital to complete it. But we are in a huge advantage in terms of having Train 1, understanding what we need to do on Train 1, derisk -- really derisking Train 2 for us to go into a new product and not leverage that advantage on Train 1 -- from Train 1 on to Train 2 would be really lost opportunity, and we actually potentially may introduce further risk in terms of technical risk and engineering risk that we wouldn't want to take on at this point in time.
Robert Stein
analystSo if I benchmark that to say like, and I know that take the competition sort of estimates with the grain of salt. But if you say at a USD 6,000 to USD 10,000 capital intensity with the sunk capital and the learning advantages, we'd be expecting a material change or difference to what was executed under Train 1. Can you give us a rough capital intensity there? Or is that the...
Matt Dusci
executiveUltimately, what we're trying to do on Train 2 is really fully derisk it. So when we have a capital number, it will be engineered, we will have all the contracts in place, and we'll have to have commitment on that capital in this sort of environment, with these sort of complexities on these facilities coming out with capital numbers early, not in anyone's favor.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next phone question comes from Matthew Frydman from MST Financial.
Matthew Frydman
analystMaybe just following on there from, I guess, the questions around the downstream and in the context of the number you put out there for Greenbushes production in FY '27 of 2.5 million tonnes per annum. Obviously, IGO is entitled to 24.99% of that, so a little over 600 kilotons there. Even if you had 2 trains at Kwinana fully ramped up, that would only consume maybe a little bit over half of that. So I guess what's your thinking around -- what's the goal there for that spodumene product for that difference? Are you happy to sell that spodumene to Tianqi over the long run? Do you look to place that into some kind of conversion solution down the track, either with Tianqi or within Australia? What's the thinking around that product?
Matt Dusci
executiveUltimately, our objective is value creation. So I mean there's always focused on value creation, how we drive value for both the TLEA as a joint venture entity and then also for IGO shareholders. You're right. So in terms of Greenbushes, we are long from an IGO perspective or from a TLEA perspective, we are long on spodumene, and we'll continue to be long on spodumene as we build out production at Greenbushes. We're comfortable with that. There's margins to be had on just on the spodumene on that side of the business. Coupled with that is a cautious approach to continue to expand our downstream within the TLEA. That can be done through a number of ways, getting Train 1 -- first priority is getting Train 1 up and performing to that 50% and beyond in calendar year '24. Train 2 -- making sure that we derisk Train 2. And then looking at whether Train 3 and 4 or how we drive value add, maybe out of the sulfate, et cetera. In parallel to that, there is options to potentially [indiscernible] if there was options outside of China.
Matthew Frydman
analystGot it. Matt, that's pretty clear. Secondly, can I ask on, I guess, organic and inorganic growth, particularly in the context of the capital management framework you've presented, and I get asked something along these lines at the quarterly. But I guess, how does the Board and management get comfortable with the approach to any sort of major investments in organic or inorganic growth in the future? Obviously, given the learnings from the Western Area's acquisition and impairment, what sort of returns would you be seeking from a major organic or an inorganic project? What returns do you need to clear in order to be more attractive on a risk-weighted basis than simply returning that cash to shareholders through your framework as you've outlined?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. They're all very good questions. And I mean there are questions that are continually get discussed and at a Board level, I'm very cognizant of that. Coming back to us as an organization is, yes, there has -- there is lot learnings. Good organizations take those learnings and improve. So we shouldn't -- and ultimately strengthen ourselves. You saw at the moment for us, really, it's about sort of significant investment that we're putting into the lithium business and into expansion of Greenbushes and then bringing on those Kwinana lines of production. When you look at those returns by themselves, then they dwarf anything else that we could do in terms of return to shareholders.
Matthew Frydman
analystOkay. Sure. I guess maybe thinking about it in the context of the review you're doing on Cosmos. I mean, are you still going to assess that in the framework of, I guess, putting aside the sunk cost and the sunk capital in that project and looking forward at the returns that any sort of future investment that you're going to generate and whether they, again, meet the requirements of that framework?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes.
Matthew Frydman
analystOkay. short answer.
Matt Dusci
executiveThe answer is yes. Look, I mean, that's part of -- that's why we're doing this work. Also I'd like get to a good answer and a good outcome. We remain confident in the value to be extracted, and we will be able to extract that value, but that has to be assessed against the framework of how do we deploy capital through our business.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Hugo Nicolaci from Goldman Sachs.
Hugo Nicolaci
analystCongrats on the special. Maybe just 1 following up on previous question just around Kwinana, noting that you're aiming to get 50% of nameplate by the end of the year. Some of your peers have kind of highlighted that they didn't see the need to ramp up production until they're fully battery qualified. Do you want to just remind us where you're at through the battery-grade qualification process with your offtake partners?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes, we are confident of getting battery-grade qualification, and we expect that to be shortly. And that's not a consideration to getting production profiles ramped up. The consideration of getting our production profile is not -- is about how we debottleneck the processing plant and continue with rectifications.
Hugo Nicolaci
analystGreat. That's clear. And then maybe just another 1 following on from an earlier question around the lithium exploration at Forrestania. Understand in the JV that you have to offer new lithium opportunities into the JV first. Does that still apply to assets you already had, if you find lithium? Does that still have to be offered into the JV?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes, you're right. So what would happen under a scenario like that is that at some point, we would offer that into the JV at some form of market rate at market terms.
Hugo Nicolaci
analystGreat. And then just last one, just around Greenbushes. Are you able to -- just update us, are you still seeing any absentee issues now that [ McMahon ] has been on site for a couple of months? And could you broadly maybe just comment on how you're seeing labor broadly across the WA assets?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. Okay. Specifically at Greenbushes, we continue to ramp up mining production with that change within the mines, so that's going on track. Some short-term absenteeism, which you'd expect, but nothing material. Labor for WA and the market remains tight, and then each area has different challenges. One of the biggest challenges specifically at Greenbush level really comes down to accommodation and accommodation ability to actually accommodate the workforce, hence the investment in mine village at Greenbushes. Within the rest of our business, it really depends on what skill set we're chasing. And what we've seen is a different skill sets that have different scarcity and that kind of moves around, doesn't stay still in one discipline.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Tim Hoff from Canaccord.
Timothy Hoff
analystJust in regards to the TLEA JV. Is it correct the lithium M&A opportunities ex China have to come into the JV before the individual companies can assess them? If that's correct, how does IGO start to deal with if [indiscernible] brings in African, South American projects or projects ex China around the world?
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. Okay. So under the -- it's a global joint venture. So correct, we -- and it's all related to lithium. It's related to lithium and lithium products. How that joint venture works for new projects is, a party has to offer it into the joint venture. So then the other counterparty, the other shareholder has a right to say whether I'd want it into the joint venture or not. You can see -- you will be able to see potentially that different lithium opportunities may or may not go into that joint venture, depending on different returns and different financial considerations or different investment criteria. That's not the joint venture not working. It's actually the joint venture working.
Timothy Hoff
analystAnd so does that stand to reason that IGO is going to maintain its Australia focus? Or will you start to look out to these other jurisdictions?
Matt Dusci
executiveIGO will remain focused on value creation at the end. And so that -- that's the underlying thesis for us is to really have to see value and ensure that it fits within our capital management and our risk appetite.
Timothy Hoff
analystExcellent. And then I'm not sure if I missed it earlier, my phone line dropped down. But at Forrestania, is there any guidance to, I guess, how much mine life that has got left? The reserve indicates that about a year.
Matt Dusci
executiveYes. So under the current reserves, we've got about 1.5 years.
Operator
operatorAt this time, we're showing no further questions. I'll hand the conference back to Matt for closing remarks.
Matt Dusci
executiveThank you, everyone, for joining the call. We appreciate everyone's participation. And thank you again. Have a safe and wonderful day.
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