India Glycols Limited (500201) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 5, 2024

BSE Limited IN Materials Chemicals earnings 69 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. I'm Pelicia, moderator for the conference call. Welcome to India Glycols Limited Q3 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand over the floor to Mr. Rohit Sinha from Sunidhi Securities Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Rohit Sinha

analyst
#2

Thank you. Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us on India Glycols Limited Q3 FY '24 Results Conference Call. We are joined on this call with India Glycols' management represented by Mr. Rupark Sarswat, Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Anand Singhal, Chief Financial Officer; Mr. Rajesh Marwaha, Head Sales and Marketing -- Head in Marketing and Bio-Based Specialities [indiscernible] Division; Mr. SK Shukla, Head of Liquor Business; and Mr. Ankur Jain, Head of Legal and Company Secretary. I would like to invite Mr. Rupark Sarswat to initiate this proceeding with his opening remarks, post which we will have a question-and-answer session. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#3

Yes. So good afternoon, everybody, and thank you for joining us for this investor presentation. As we normally do, I will take you through a quick update on the performance of IGL so far in this quarter and nine months and my quick comments on that. And subsequently, we can take questions. So as you would have seen, it was a strong overall performance with robust growth in revenue and profitability for IGL. Our gross turnover at INR 2,119 crores was up 39% for the quarter. As you know, there is a very high excise component in our gross revenue. Our net turnover of INR 904 crores was up 63% for the quarter. Similarly, EBITDA, at INR 107 crores for the quarter, is up 40.3%; and EBITDA margin at 11.8%. PAT at INR 42 crores, up 90%; and PAT margin at 4.6%, up 68 basis points. As I will talk about it briefly a little a later, all 3 segments for us -- if we classify broadly Bio-based Specialities and Performance Chemicals.

Operator

operator
#4

I'm sorry to interrupt you, sir. Could you speak a bit louder, sir?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#5

Okay. Can you -- is that any better?

Operator

operator
#6

Yes, sir, please go ahead, sir.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#7

Okay. So I was saying that there has been a strong overall performance with robust growth in revenue and profitability in all 3 segments, delivering a strong double-digit revenue as well as profit growth. And there also has been a strong margin growth in all the segments, particularly led by potable spirits for the quarter. If you look at the yearly performance, our gross turnover at INR 5,882 crores is up 17% and our net turnover at INR 2,368 crores for the 9 months is up 16.6% as compared to the same period last year. Our EBITDA at INR 319 crores is up 45.6%. Our EBITDA margin is at 13.3%, which is also up 267 basis points, and our PAT is also up 79% at INR 131 crores. So, on a 9 monthly basis also there is a strong revenue and profitability growth, particularly led by good performance in potable spirits and bio-based chemicals and specialties. And as I mentioned with a positive start in biofuels, we expect to do better in the coming year as well. Amongst other things that we have spoken about, our actions to put in grain-based ethanol plants was timely and has helped us in mitigating the cost increases. And we've also discontinued some low-margin domestic business which has also helped overall performance. So if you look at business performance and drill down a little bit more, our gross revenue is up 39%, net revenue of 63%, which I already said. For the Chemicals segment, which is BSPC, the net revenue grew by 87% in the quarter. For potable spirits, it grew by 30% in the quarter over the same quarter last year, and for Ennature Biopharma it grew by 21.8%. Overall EBITDA growth of 40.3%. And if you look at the 9 monthly basis, it was supported by a strong growth particularly in BSPC and Potable Spirit segments, which is 15.4% and 23%, respectively. As I mentioned to you we have benefited from our actions really, wherein the fact that we are putting grain-based ethanol plants have helped us mitigate cost increases which have been very useful. Ethanol prices have continued to be high, but they have come down compared to the earlier very highs. I have broadly indicated to you that for a long period of time import of ethanol prices have hovered around INR 35-or-so before during the COVID period and the energy crisis and everything coupled together. These went up to even INR 60-plus rupees a liter. They are significantly down and we have been booking imported ethanol for future requirements, and we expect that those cost gains will start to come in Q1 onwards when we start to receive deliveries at those lower prices. What it also means is that the grain-based ethanol that were using for in-house use is something that we can divert to biofuels and use in-house or imported ethanol for our chemicals business. Another small bit of satisfying update from my side is that we have completed part commissioning of the new specialties unit, which is a relatively smaller investment, and we expect to commission the unit completely by around Q1 of the coming financial year. We are seeing a healthy pipeline and good commercialization of new products, and I'm sure in the quarters and years to come you will see this business growing as well. As a part of our strategy to diversify into the biofuel space segment, as we have kind of reported in the media as well that we have got a biofuel supply allocation; I have mentioned order, but I think the correct word that can be here is allocation of -- this is 1,65,490 KL of ethanol, which is to be supplied between November '23 and November '24. It has a potential revenue impact of roughly INR 1,100 crores for the year. So we see this potentially as a growth area for us. Even for the joint venture, there has been a strong recovery in margins driven by reduction of material costs. So for the quarter, the revenue for the joint venture is up 6% and EBITDA is up 118%, essentially because the gap between ethylene oxide price of say competition which is crude based ethylene oxide sold in India and ethylene oxide that we supply to the joint venture has reduced, and we expect that this trend will continue in the subsequent quarters and hope to see further reductions. I'll give a quick highlight by the 3 business segments. So talking about Bio-based Specialties and Performance Chemicals for Q3 revenue at INR 609 crores is up 88%. I must add here that in this top line there is a significant contribution; of course, we are selling to biofuels now as well. EBIT at INR 38 crores is up 26.5%. The 9-month revenue is at INR 1,518 crores up by 15.4%. And we also mentioned that, internally, we also look at businesses from a like-to-like perspective. [Technical Difficulty].

Operator

operator
#8

Hello, sir. Hello? Dear participants, kindly stay connected, while we connect the management team back on the call. I welcome back the management team. Please go ahead, sir.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#9

Yes. Sorry about slight disruption which happened because of the audio system. I was talking to you about Biobased Specialties and Performance Chemicals, where, I said that some contribution in top line growth has also come from the biofuels that we are selling now. I must also add that we look at our business also on a like-to-like basis. And if I look at the business on a like-to-like basis taking away, particularly, the manufacturing segments, on a like-to-like basis, within BSPC, our sales for the quarter are up by something like 50%, and for 9 months they are up by something like 28%. So that is more to say that whilst we have discontinued some nonprofitable business, some of it is just trading business, our core manufacturing business has seen a decent or a very good recovery and growth in the chemical space as well. As you know, we've developed a new biofuel portfolio which we expect will continue to add to our top line and bottom line in the quarters and years to come, and we have also focused on reducing some low-profit domestic business. Our focus for the years to come will also be the new value-added product or the new specialties unit, which is in the process of getting commissioned. And in the quarters and years to come, we will start to see better numbers in this segment as well. In the Potable Spirit space, there has been a very good quarter for us with revenues up 30% at INR 244 crores and EBIT at INR 41 crores, up 49.9%, and with a good EBIT margin of 17%, up 224 basis points which is essentially on the back of improved portfolio as well as reduction in costs of ethanol packeting material, et cetera. Nine months revenues at INR 700 crores are up 23% and the sales essentially have been driven by country liquor sales growth which is excellent in Uttarakhand, and UP being a big market for us has seen good steady growth as well. IMFL or Indian Made Foreign Liquor growth has been led by sales expansion, mainly in the paramilitary segment, where our presence was relatively low, where we have expanded to 13 states, and also IMFL sales in Delhi, which have been significant contributors in driving the IMFL sales here for this quarter as well as the year. In-house manufacturing of ethanol has not only helped us in the BSPC segment but also in the potable spirit segment, both from a supplier perspective as well as from a cost perspective. We've also been focusing on premiumization and improvement in the width of distribution, which is also yielding results both in terms of top line growth as well as quality of the business. In Ennature Biopharma, we've registered a Q3 revenue of INR 51 crores, up 21.8%; EBIT of INR 12 crores, up 16.2%. Nine months revenues at INR 149 crores, and EBIT margin of 21.2%. We've had continued pressures, particularly on nicotine sales because it's becoming a competitive market with more and more players. However, our efforts have been on building value-added pharma customers, which we believe will start to yield results in the times to come. Fortunately for us, our position on the raw material has been stronger and there has been an upward trajectory in prices, but we have had our bookings which has resulted in better margins for thiocolchicoside and colchicine. Broadly, our focus also has continued to expand nutraceuticals in the key global markets. I will now hand over to my colleague Mr. Anand Singhal to take you to the financial. Anything else you would like to add?

Anand Singhal

executive
#10

We can take the question-and-answers.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#11

Okay. So I think we will leave it for you to then ask us questions on financials or on the business, and we can then take them in the Q&A.

Operator

operator
#12

[Operator Instructions] First question comes from Balasubramanian from Arihant Capital Markets.

Balasubramanian A

analyst
#13

Congratulations for good set of numbers. Sir, on the earlier call, the guidance was around INR 3,500 crores top line by end of this year. Is there any change in that guidance? And we got recently one order of INR 1,164 crores, is that fair to assume around INR 300 crores revenue per quarter from this order we can expect because the order supply period is around November '23 to October '24? And like what's your view on that?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#14

So, Bala, 2 points. One is that we do not generally issue specific guidance, there may have been some discussions. But my broad expectation for the coming quarter and for the year is that we expect the current business performance and the environment to continue and that would guide you towards the kind of results that we would expect. The other small correction I would like to make for the purpose of being precise is on biofuel. It is an allocation and not exactly an order. While we expect that this allocation will translate into supplies, which is what these big oil companies usually do, but I must mention that it is an allocation and not a purchase order for that period. However, from an allocation perspective, obviously it is a contract. And it will be fair to assume that depending on the macroeconomic environment, depending upon the policies of the government and some other factors which sometimes may affect biofuel blending from time-to-time, this kind of top line growth is something that we would like to potentially see from this allocation.

Balasubramanian A

analyst
#15

Got it, sir. Sir, on the second side, like on the Clariant side -- JV Clariant side like what would be the top line? And on the margin side, what kind of opportunities that we have in this business?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#16

See, we have discussed this before. The joint venture actually caters to several consumer markets, which includes personal care, coatings and polymers, top care, textile auxiliary, largely based on [indiscernible]. And we did face some challenges last year like we faced in our business because of raw materials cost for biobased materials going up. However, with the difference in prices between crude and bio-based materials coming down, we expect that the joint venture will continue to grow with the end market, which is what I have mentioned. But it is difficult for me to give you a precise guidance on how the performance would be. Obviously, the joint venture has been formed because these are growth areas in India as well as in the world, and we also supply bio-based products which are considered greener. And on the whole, if I have to not call it a guidance, but see what's happening in future, I think with the cost of materials coming down or the delta between food-based ethylene oxide and bio-based ethylene oxide that we supply reducing and reducing further in the quarters to come, we should see a better performance from the joint venture, not only in the quarter which I just mentioned, but in the quarters to come. That is what we would expect. And given the volatility that we have seen, I would hesitate from giving a longer-term guidance in terms of numbers. But qualitatively, the rationale for the business and the fundamentals of the business, I just mentioned to you, and we are optimistic about how the joint venture will do in the times to come.

Balasubramanian A

analyst
#17

Got it, sir. Sir, on that chemical business side, whether the growth is majorly driven by volume growth, volume-based or price-based? If you could fabricate like segment-wise or like which are the segments are doing good, if you could talk about demand environment on those segments? And like what are the things that are shaping up overall global levels, especially in China and like how the competition is there?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#18

Okay. If you look at the chemical segment for us, the way we have covered it right now, it has biofuels, which I talked about; we are looking at new value-added chemicals, which we talked about; we have a small segment in biopolymers; we also have a segment in industrial gases; and we have segments in glycols and glycol ethers. So there are several factors which [Technical Difficulty]. So he asked me a question on chemicals. As I said, when we talk about chemicals, our big top lines will be driven by the biofuels business, will be driven by the glycols and glycol ethers business, mainly. Also, we have smaller segments, which is biopolymers and industrial gases, etc., within chemicals. We believe that particularly biofuels and new specialty chemicals, value-added chemicals will drive growth in the near future, definitely. As you've seen, I've already given clarity on the biofuel segment in terms of bio-based ethanol, which goes for blending. We are just in the process of commissioning our new specialties unit, where we see that we've got a strong initial pipeline. But as you would realize, these are initial days for the business. I would rather have the numbers speak for them in the quarters, so that we will continue to drive not only in the next year, but hopefully in the next few years. We are quite optimistic about it. We have done some good work, particularly in, say, the oil field segment. And we are looking at some other segments, like biomime, plasticizers, carbon smart products, etc. On the glycols front, bio-based glycols, we expect that we will see a steady increase in growth of bio-based glycols. There was some challenge because the prices of bio-based products had gone quite high. But we are seeing a slightly favorable shift as prices of bio-based ethanol are looking down. So we will continue to see steady growth there as well. On glycol ethers, we have faced some challenges. Okay, coming back to glycol. See, I would like to add a few things that our glycols business, just about 5 years ago, I am talking about, was quite different from how it is today. It is because our bio-based glycols was largely being sold to one customer, which was Coca-Cola and which was a high volume and largely one customer dependent. The good thing is that now we are engaging with 15-plus customers, which we are supplying in various parts of the world. And right now, volumes may have come down. We have -- I think there are some people who are speaking when...

Operator

operator
#19

I'm sorry, sir, disturbance is from Balasubramanian line, sir, he got dropped. Shall we move to next question?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#20

Yes, please. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#21

The next question comes from [ Saket Kapoor ] from Kapoor & Co.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#22

Sir, I just missed some part of your remarks as to the previous participant. So pardon me, if I'm repetitive. Sir, firstly, taking into account the current scenario with respect to the raw materials, we may expect an increase in margin for our Bio-based Specialty and Potable Spirit going ahead? That is a good understanding?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#23

I think that's a fair expectation based on how we at this point in time see imported bio-based ethanol prices coming down. However, I may need to say that with caution as far as biofuels and potable spirits is concerned and the reason I'm saying this, I am not so concerned about the top line. The reason I'm saying this is that the dynamics of the 2 is different. Whilst for chemicals, we can use imported ethanol as well as ethanol produced within India either by ourselves or purchased domestically by us. However, for potable spirits, we can only use ethanol which is produced in India. And for biofuels, there is a predetermined price by the government on various feedstocks, C-heavy molasses, B-heavy molasses, cane juice and damaged rice or FCI-supplied rice and maize, et cetera, which means that our profitability can get affected based on price movements of 2 or 3 things, which is the grain that we buy or the molasses that we buy, as well as sale price of one of the byproducts, DDGS, which is a protein, into the market. So while it is a reasonably fair assumption for bio-based chemicals, and however, it is not something that I can exactly predict for potable spirits as well as for biofuels. Within potable spirits, there is a cost factor which involves cost of ethanol. Yes, this year it has benefited us because instead of buying we have been producing grain-based ethanol. But grain-based ethanol costs can be variable in the future as well. But the larger focus in the potable spirit space for us is about expanding, one, to selected new markets and also improving our product mix. Shuklaji is that a fair...

Shashi Shukla

executive
#24

Yes.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#25

So does that answer your question, [ Saket ]?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#26

Yes, sir. I got the understanding. So my next question was also pertaining to this policy's framework pertaining to both our potable alcohol as well as bio-ethanol segment. In terms of -- I think, for this sugar season, the levy molasses percentage has also been increased by the Uttar Pradesh government. So how does that gel for us as a company in terms of the purchase of molasses as levy molasses percentage goes up?

Shashi Shukla

executive
#27

See, this is a good part in UP because government is giving the full security in the raw material, availability of raw material as well as the price both to the manufacturer of potable liquor. So this year also as compared to the last year when the reservation percentage was around 19%, now the government has increased from 19% to 26%. So we are assuming that next year would be the very comfortable year for the potable spirit manufacturers in UP as far as the raw material is concerned. So we are hoping that margins should be fair in the coming months from the potable spirit sector.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#28

[Foreign Language] so that will add to our margins only going ahead, since the cost is not going to go up?

Shashi Shukla

executive
#29

Yes, certainly, we are hoping that and now this year new segment of the grain ethanol this government has added in 36 degrees. So we are hoping that the coming years will be the more good months for just evaluating, just increasing our potable production for the grain in UP [indiscernible] category in the 42.8 and 36 degree. So these 2 steps is good for the industry.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#30

Okay. And sir, my question to Rupark, sir. Sir, when we look at our number for the company sequentially, we find that for the bio-based specialty performance and also for our potable alcohol, we see a dip in margins, sir. You were alluding to the fact that margins have improved year-on-year, but how -- so please correct me here, when we look at our September quarter performance with December quarter for both the segments, it is only the Ennature Biopharma wherein we have seen an expansion in margins. Both the other segments, there is a dip in margins. With the commensurate revenue, the margins have taken a hit. So if you could explain the key reason why these 2 segments have not performed with the increase, why there is a reduction in margin?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#31

You mean in margin percentage?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#32

Correct, sir. On a top line of INR 508 crores for September quarter for bio-based, we posted an EBIT of INR 40 crores. Whereas, for this quarter, on a revenue base of INR 610 crores, the EBIT is INR 39 crores. And simultaneously for Potable Spirits also [Foreign Language]?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#33

See as far as this quarter for bio-based chemicals is concerned, [Foreign Language] for the business, all the margins are not only coming from Ennature Biopharma, that is a relatively lower contribution. So if you see, there has been a margin expansion in BSPC at an EBIT level for this quarter from 30 to 38 and for 9 months from 80 to 121, right? [Foreign Language] overall absolute margin. But in terms of percentages, let me just have a look, I have the numbers. In terms of percentages, there is a slight drop for the 9-month period for chemicals and it has also happened because of grain prices going up quite sharply. And for the time being, there is a lag between this before the government acts to revise the prices, et cetera, which also as far as I understand, they have revised efforts. So that eroded some margins, that impacted the percentage margin for us.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#34

Okay. And lastly, sir, for Ennature Biopharma, in your presentation, you have articulated about nicotine sales continue to face pressure, but also you have pointed out to strong raw material position and upward trajectory in thiocolchicoside and another word terminology you have used. So if you could give us the trajectory of what the likelihood should be? Because we are flat on the Ennature Biopharma for the 9 months. So [Foreign Language] depending upon the business environment?

Manish Pant

executive
#35

[ Saket ], Manish this side. So as far as nutraceutical is concerned, first 2 quarter was in stress, no doubt. But in third quarter, we have had recovery, not only in margin, but also in sales volume. And fourth quarter is going to be remained same as third quarter or it could be more than the third quarter. So we are going to end the whole of the year as far as the nutraceutical is concerned at par with the previous year at least, if not less. And with respect to the next year guidelines, so in nicotine, no doubt, it is under pressure as far as the export is concerned, so we are now developing the nicotine derivatives for which we have already bagged some very good orders from the local manufacturing of the tobacco-related and the nicotine patches related companies. So I hope that nicotine will recover somewhere in the second quarter of the next year. And thiocolchicoside, right now the prices are very good and we are having quite raw material already available with us in the lower margins; in the higher margins, with respect to the preview prices. So I think the first 2 quarters would be same as the third and fourth quarter of this year.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#36

Sir, again, if you get the split between nicotine and thiocolchicoside out of this INR 50 crores, what should be the percentage or even for the 9 months, if you could give the split between the 2?

Manish Pant

executive
#37

As far as thiocolchicoside, there is a very much price difference in that. Thiocolchicoside is a very high-value item like INR 4.25 lakhs per kg and on the other nicotine is hardly INR 7,000 per kg. So the value comparison would not be there. As far as the EBITDA percentage is required to maintain the overall EBITDA, thiocolchicoside is certainly going to give some very good margin to us. And nicotine, we are trying to recover and trying to increase the margins by adding the new derivatives in the nicotine segment, not pure nicotine.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#38

Okay. And last point to Anand Singhalji is about the finance cost part, sir. If we look at the number again for Q-o-Q also and I think for year-on-year also, there is a significant increase from INR 26 crore to INR 32 crore. So, Anandji, if you could give me, first of all, our current debt numbers, what is our net debt as on 31st December and what has led to this increase in the finance cost?

Anand Singhal

executive
#39

[ Saket ], finance cost has increased because of the recent expansion for which we have raised some term loans, and that is in our radar to reduce the finance cost for which we are taking some measures. As far as the term loan is concerned, net term loan as of 31st December, it is around INR 650 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#40

And our working capital, sir?

Anand Singhal

executive
#41

Working capital, fund-based working capital is INR 350 crores and non-fund-based pension limit is INR 850 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#42

And sir, for the 9 months CapEx [Foreign Language], how much have we spent?

Anand Singhal

executive
#43

Till 9 months, the total work in progress in our book is around INR 400 crores -- INR 414 crores and hopefully, the CapEx is for about INR 300 crores will be completed by 31st March which will be capitalized. And the rest of the funds will be shown under CWIP and which will capitalize in next year when the CapEx will be completed.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#44

If the time permits, just a small observation. We have found that this time, Pragya madam has chaired the meeting. Any particular reason? We generally find Mr. Bhartia there, anything to be mentioned? Succession planning or what could be -- anything to read about it, sir?

Unknown Executive

executive
#45

Please don't make any speculation like that because that Mr. Bhartia was not well at that time, so I think his daughter chaired the meeting. It's that's only.

Anand Singhal

executive
#46

You would have noticed, we have not noticed, [ Saket ] this thing.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#47

Okay, sir. I wish him speedy recovery.

Operator

operator
#48

[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from [ Bala Murali Krishna ] from [ Oman Investment Advisers ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#49

This is my first call. First of all, I would like to say that I've gone through Annual Report and it's a very well described product wise and category wise. This is one of the best annual report I came across. And regarding this distillery segment I have a few questions. So as of now, we have around 340 KLPD capacity and we are going to add 700 KLPD in the coming maybe 3, 4 quarters. Is it right, sir?

Anand Singhal

executive
#50

Right now, in Kashipur we have 400 KLPD grain-based distilleries, which we are further increasing to 500 KLPD. In Gorakhpur, we have 110 KLPD distillery, which is working right now and adding 180 KLPD distillery more in Gorakhpur, which will be completed say in '24-'25.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#51

But sir, in recent [indiscernible] in Kashipur, I think we are showing that existing capacity as 140 KLPD?

Anand Singhal

executive
#52

That is biofuel, not distillery.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#53

Okay. Understood, sir. So my question is regarding this biofuel only.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#54

Just one second. I think it will just be good to understand that we produce ethanol. This ethanol, basically, is produced using various feedstocks which include grain and molasses, both at Kashipur as well as Gorakhpur. This ethanol is then used for potable spirits, biofuels as well as potentially as an intermediate for chemicals, right? So this interlinkage, it is good to keep in mind, and sometimes if we understand that, we will be aligned in terms of our understanding. Okay, please go ahead.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#55

Yes. So regarding capacity additions. So are we planning to sell all the ethanol to OMCs or do we have any plan to use for captive consumption also?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#56

Look, it is a dynamic situation for us where we evaluate, what is the best mix for us to sell into potable, to put it into potable spirits, which obviously gives us good returns per liter of ethanol, to use it as an intermediate for chemicals or to sell it into biofuel segment. The reason I'm saying this is that, for example, when imported ethanol was very expensive, we diverted significant quantities of our grain-based ethanol produced in-house as an intermediate to the chemical segment. Now that imported ethanol prices are correcting, it makes sense for us to start importing ethanol for intermediate use in chemicals and divert higher quantities into biofuel. So it is a combination of demand and allocation that we have got, the price of imported ethanol, the realization that we are getting in potable spirits means what we find is that given the scenario that I more or less see for the years ahead, based on how we see our businesses going, we will be able to place all our excess feedstock in terms of ethanol into the biofuels market. We should not have a problem in filling up our plants there. And that is obviously based on allocation that the government has decided, making some assumptions with respect to grain availability, making some assumptions with respect to imported ethanol. We believe going forward for some time we will be buying, getting back to buying imported ethanol for chemicals and releasing more and more capacity of grain-based ethanol for biofuels, obviously after covering for our potable spirits.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#57

Okay, sir, understood. So sir, regarding this suppose 700 KLPD normally 200 KLPD can contribute approximately INR 500 crores of revenue on an annual basis. So those 700 KLPD can contribute around INR 1,700 crores of revenue with EBIT margins of around 16% to 18% as I compared with the peers, I'm tracking them also. So is it a fair assumption, sir, in your case also?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#58

See, I have already indicated to you the biofuels part of the turnover. I also mentioned to you that it is not as status on calculations for us to assess turnover for our case because our ethanol can go into intermediate use, will go into potable spirit where it will go as intermediate. Now, you are probably making an assumption for a plant which only produces ethanol and sells all the ethanol that it produces. And also, you may yourself need to check your numbers based on the cost which can be very variable in terms of margins which, as far as I understand, that is not the margin that industry is making on selling biofuels at this point in time. It was the case earlier, but not at this point in time.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#59

Okay, sir. And regarding the feedstock for these new capacities, which feedstock we are preferring and are there any sourcings already happened like the long-term contracts of feedstock, raw material?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#60

Can you please repeat your question? I'm not very clear.

Anand Singhal

executive
#61

I think you are asking about grain supply, no?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#62

Yes.

Shashi Shukla

executive
#63

So, as of now, government is not giving any sorts of guarantee for long-term supply of grain. Though they are very curious and they wanted to divert all the ethanol, grain-based ethanol manufacturer to the maize-based raw material. And for that, the different types of schemes, policies are going to be amended by the central government for promotion of -- the cultivation of maize-based. And we are also aggressively working on that. So as of now, the distilleries are free to take the grain from the open market without any supports of the government. Hope this is clear.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#64

Yes, sir. So, if we assume that there will be no FCI supply -- FCI rice will not be resumed and then do we have maize [indiscernible] to run the maize -- based on maize?

Shashi Shukla

executive
#65

Yes, certainly. So now the central government has already involved the method for the procurement and supply of control-based maize to the distilleries. But it will take another 2 to 3 years because it requires a huge extension of the whole supply chain management. I'm talking about the storage of corn. Right now, it is not available. So it will take certainly 2 to 3 years. But certainly, industry has a better hope. And the government is giving the incentive for the supply of ethanol from the maize base. So still it will take another 18 to 20 months to get the sufficient corn in India. But certainly, the corn would be the future.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#66

Okay, understood. And lastly on CapEx part, sir, for this Gorakhpur...

Operator

operator
#67

Sorry to interrupt, I request you to join the queue, sir. [Operator Instructions] Next question comes from [ Prashant Shah ] from [ AM Investments ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#68

Just want to understand in our JV with Clariant, what is our pricing strategy for selling ethylene oxide, whether it is cost-plus basis or it's a dynamic?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#69

So it is not dynamic. I think the kind of agreement that we have, there is a nominal margin, which has been built in and it is done on that basis. So that's a part of the agreement.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#70

Okay. And sir, recently, we have commissioned the solar plant. So what type of savings can we expect on the energy cost?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#71

So look, it is something where we are in agreement with ReNew Power for hybrid power, which is solar and wind power. It is something that initially was expected to start delivering power to us in a period of 2 years. I think there have also been certain policy changes, et cetera, et cetera, so that is something that needs to be reviewed. However, the expectation at the point of the contract was that it will get started early next year which is probably 2025, and it had a payback of close to 2 to 5 years. I must add there that there is some ongoing discussion based on some policy changes and I am not in a position to completely update, and neither have we built in those savings into any of our future projections as of now. Yes, we did announce that and we are hopeful that, that starts based on the original plan at the original terms. But it is something that we are reviewing based on some policy changes and the way the client company is looking at it.

Operator

operator
#72

Next question comes from [ Ram Mohan Rao ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#73

Thank you for an excellent set of numbers. I just wanted to check whether for potable branded alcohol, do you have any plans for expanding your network beyond UP, Uttarkhand and Delhi?

Shashi Shukla

executive
#74

Yes. Certainly, we are seriously looking to expand our brands in [indiscernible] and paramilitary and Rajasthan. So we are very keen and we are looking sizable increase in the next financial year.

Operator

operator
#75

[Operator Instructions] We have a follow-up question from [ Saket Kapoor ] from [ Kapoor & Co ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#76

Yes, sir. Anandji, as you mentioned that we are keenly looking to reduce our debt. So I think so, sir, noncore assets, we have already disposed of. So it is from the cash flow only? Or what steps are in the anvil? Or if you could give us some understanding what kind of debt reduction are we going to undertake going ahead, sir?

Anand Singhal

executive
#77

[ Saketji ], it's very difficult to give you the numbers right now, but only thing is whatever we are planning that is in process and most of the debt repayment will happen out of the cash flows.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#78

Okay. And sir, probably JV part, Clariant [Foreign Language] amount, that we have received or how much is due from them?

Anand Singhal

executive
#79

I think that number is around INR 90 crores, which will come in the current year. So that will also be used for the debt reduction.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#80

Okay. By March '24, we will be receiving the INR 90 crores?

Anand Singhal

executive
#81

I'm not aware whether they will get till March or '24-'25. But this year, yes, we will get that.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#82

Okay, sir. And current maturities [Foreign Language] as of March? [Foreign Language] in terms of the borrowing?

Anand Singhal

executive
#83

We have to pay, in February and March, the total liability for term loan payment is around INR 45 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#84

INR 45 crores. And that will go from the cash accrued?

Anand Singhal

executive
#85

That will go out of the cash accrual.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#86

Okay. And lastly, sir, Ruparkji, for the allocation part for ethanol, have we factored in our expanded capacity in terms of the ethanol allocation that we have got? Or...

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#87

When we get an allocation, there is a commitment from us to supply and we have factored in capacities that we have. And our assessment is that if that allocation is translated to us in terms of concrete orders, which we hope so are -- we should be able to supply. And that is why we spoke about further expansion we are required as well.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#88

Okay. So our expanded capacity will be fully utilized with this allocation for the period mentioned in terms of the deliverables?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#89

I think broadly well utilized. Obviously, it's a function of several factors, including whether we are diverting or whether we are not diverting to intermediary use. But we will be operating and utilizing our capacities going ahead. [ Saketji ], [Foreign Language], you can call me after the con-call.

Operator

operator
#90

Next question comes from Rohit Sinha from Sunidhi Securities.

Rohit Sinha

analyst
#91

Just one clarification I would be looking at. In last call, we have announced this thing on the CapEx side that our capacity of grain-based ethanol would be expanding from 300 KLPD to 400 KLPD and then probably by another 100 KLPD in 6 months. So this Gorakhpur addition is included in that or this is a new one which we are talking? And with this biofuel thing for Kashipur, how we should see this as a different as compared to this blended ethanol side?

Anand Singhal

executive
#92

Rohit, Kashipur, we are making this capacity to 500 and Gorakhpur 180 is over and above that 500, okay? And whatever costs you have taken from us, that doesn't include the cost of 180 KLPD distillery at Gorakhpur. Regarding the biofuel, there is not much investment. That is hardly INR 10 crores, INR 15 crores investment, which will be taken care by the company itself.

Rohit Sinha

analyst
#93

Okay. Okay. And One thing on this tender thing -- from this tender side. Just to understand that how much incremental revenue we should be considering from this tender? And going forward as this is, I think recurring-based or tender-based thing, so that we will be tendering again next year also, it would be a continuous process. So how to make it sure that this size will continue to us or there would be only addition to this kind of tender size?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#94

Rohit, there are 2 questions that you've asked. One is future growth and how assured do we feel about that? And second is what is the top line this will deliver to us broadly? So I think, that's in my presentation as well, in terms, and I said that the contract is on allocation. The estimate potential revenue based on the allocation of close to INR 1,100 crores in the year is already mentioned. As far as the business going forward is concerned, I would say that in a business environment, obviously there are certain uncertainties. But broadly, for us to understand whether we are in the right place and whether this is the right investment, I would like you to consider the following. The government has clearly articulated a plan to move up to close to 20% blending by 2025. And there was hardly any blending by 2014. The track record has been that the government has, by and large, been able to meet its target year-on-year. So if you see, we have moved from nearly very little blending to close to 12% blending, and the government has met its blending targets year-on-year. And they would like to meet the blending targets going forward to 20% and maybe even higher going forward because there is a strategic objective. The strategic objective is to increase farm sector incomes, is to find a way out for sometimes excess grains, to reduce ForEx dependence and dependence on oil for many other companies. So that strategic objective stays. We can only say that so far, the blending program has been on track. And by and large, some ups and downs notwithstanding, it should be on track in the years to come as well. And that is what I would like to believe gives us an assurance that this is a good business to be in. Sometimes there may be some hiccups, sometimes there may be some issues with respect to raw material availability, price, et cetera, et cetera. But the broad policy direction on this government is very clear. In fact, they have a proper paper on this in terms of what they want to do with the blending program. I think there is no other way except to look at that to get an assurance that this is a business which should by and large continue to grow.

Operator

operator
#95

Next question comes from [ Makarand Tilloo ] from [ Makarand Tilloo Investments ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#96

Hearty congratulations for excellent number and as well as excellent website upgradation, displaying company's potential.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#97

Thank you very much.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#98

And now my question is, we have seen that this expansion of capacity of biofuel ethanol plant, the costs are meagerly INR 14 crores. But whether it will in -- so it will increase our profit margin in future?

Anand Singhal

executive
#99

INR 14 crores how you are calculating [ Mr. Tillo ]?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#100

So investment required they have returned...

Anand Singhal

executive
#101

That INR 14 crores is only for biofuel.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#102

For biofuel only. So for biofuel it is INR 14 crores. But with this, our capacity is going to expand very much. So whether it will increase our margins also?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#103

See, you have to -- just to -- I think we need to clarify here. There is a cost which goes in putting up the distillery and there is some cost which goes into further processing of ethanol, if I'm not wrong to convert it into biofuel, which is increasing its purity. And when you look at evaluating the CapEx and its profitability, actually, this may be how we do our CapEx, but we have to take into account the entire cost. A lot of it is actually in the distillery, okay?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#104

Yes, I got it now. Now the second question is that how much maize we are currently utilizing for producing ethanol? Because we have seen on Facebook that we are promoting maize's cultivation in nearby districts also.

Shashi Shukla

executive
#105

Yes, we are aggressively to increase the cultivation in our catchment area. We have started this journey in the last November and probably in the next month, I think March and February swing, we are putting our efforts to increase our maize production in our catchment area. So we are very ahead. And hopefully this year, next coming year, our catchment, we will develop around 50 to 100 acres maize farming in our catchment area.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#106

Okay. And currently, we are looking at utilizing how much of capacity of -- by maize?

Shashi Shukla

executive
#107

Not much. I think most probably 1,000 to 1,015 tons in the last couple of months.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#108

Okay. But when maize will be utilized more, for that purpose, do we need to have additional -- some cost for that?

Shashi Shukla

executive
#109

Not too much. Some cost may be required for the enzymes and nothing else. So it may be hardly INR 0.10, INR 0.15, but not much. Because certainly, the output of DDGS will get more and prices of DDGS will reduce as compared to the rice DDGS.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#110

Okay. That means whenever maize will be more available, our margin expansion will be more also, correct?

Shashi Shukla

executive
#111

Correct. Correct.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#112

Okay, sir. And now the second point is, sir, in that you have written that NSU, there is a growth potential, part commissioning is done. Can you elaborate more on that, sir?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#113

See, I have mentioned to you that part commissioning is done. We'll have complete commissioning by Q1. We have a good pipeline, we have -- commercial supplies have started, and we are already doing, starting to do close to 150 metric tons of business per month. And we see this -- we have further, I would not say contracts, but we have got further business development done with a few customers. And largely, they are in several spaces in the oil field chemical space, they are in the carbon smart space, and we expect that we will have significant volume coming from the new specialty unit in the next financial year definitely. Let me -- you may be wondering why I'm not giving you numbers. In a new business, our approach has been kind of entrepreneurial. For a business where you are developing the initial pipeline, trying to get the initial contracts going, we are very happy with the pipeline. We are very happy with some of the order indications which have already come. For a plant which has relatively just been commissioned, starting to do 150 tons to 200 tons per month is a good start. But as you can understand, for a new business like -- it is not an ethanol business or a cement business that you can say, "I have this much capacity, I will start sending that into the market." Once you have the plant, you start working, you start working with your customers and you start doing application and development projects and this is a business which has a gestation period, and every product is customized and that is how you build this business. It is very different from biofuels. In biofuels, we have already told you capacity and what kind of potentially top line we can expect. But I can only tell you there is a good pipeline, I am happy with that the fact. That we are supplying 150 tons to 200 tons per month is a good start for a new project with not that much investment.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#114

Fantastic. So if it is customized, then whenever the orders will be fixed from the customer, you will get more orders in future also, correct?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#115

We are very much hoping so. Our salespeople obviously have internal targets. We obviously have internal numbers as to how we would like to see this year and next year's panning out. But it is something that I would like to go ahead and give a commitment here. I would rather have a set of numbers that will give you confidence and for you to see the growth.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#116

Correct. Sir, last question is that internationally, MEG prices are again increasing, correct?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#117

Yes, I heard.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#118

So whether it will also help us bio MEG?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#119

In a small way, yes. We are not so dependent on MEG prices. To some extent, yes. See, what happens is that our customers are already paying a significant premium for bio MEG, okay? And sometimes, when they are using MEG, their shift -- green shift is affected if the crude-based MEG prices are much lower. So if MEG prices or crude-based MEG prices goes up, the incentive for them to invest in greener products is higher. In that sense, yes. So the bigger is the gap, the bigger is our challenge.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#120

Okay. So in future, their offtake will also increase if the regular MEG prices are increasing?

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#121

I think the viability of our business, new businesses will be better, but it is very difficult for me to immediately start saying that you'll see volume pick ups. I think we'll be better positioned. And hopefully, it will translate into more sales.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#122

And all the best to you. Within 2 years, we hope to see the company INR 5,000-crore mark on net basis.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#123

Great. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#124

There are no further questions. Now I hand over the floor to management for closing comments.

Rupark Sarswat

executive
#125

So thank you, Rohit, and special thank you for [ Saket ] [indiscernible]. He does so much reading up on our company that he's more well informed than many of us in terms of numbers. So [ Saket ], thank you for taking that much interest. That was on a lighter note. I think it feels good if there are people who are taking that much interest in everything that is happening. And many of you do, not only in terms of what the company is doing, but I'm also very impressed to see how you have a good idea of what is happening in the marketplace. I was thinking how much reading you do on the potable spirits space, how much you do on the biofuel space, on the blending space, international MEG prices, et cetera, considering you are covering so many chemical companies. So it feels good to have your interest. It is also good that so many of you have come to attend our investor call. Some of you encourage us. Thank you for that. Some of you congratulate us and then ask us difficult questions. That's also fine. Hopefully, we've answered them. So with that, and on behalf of my colleagues here, I would like to thank you and wish you a good day and a good week ahead.

Operator

operator
#126

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference for today. Thank you for your participation and for using Door Sabha's conference call service. You may disconnect your lines now. Thank you, and have a pleasant day.

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