Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc. (IMDX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 17, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood morning, and welcome to the Insight Molecular Diagnostics virtual KOL event. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this call is being recorded, and a replay will be made available on the website following the conclusion of the event. I'd now like to turn the call over to Josh Riggs, Chief Executive Officer at Insight Molecular Diagnostics. Please go ahead, Josh.
Joshua Riggs
executiveThanks, Sarah, and welcome, everybody. We're going to just do one quick slide on forward-looking statements. Thank you. We can move forward. So last year, we did our first KOL call with Dr. Anthony Langone, Vanderbilt University, about how blood-based DNA tests have made it easier to manage kidney transplant patients. And now our test Graft Assure Dx is working its way through the FDA for exactly that indication. After we finish with kidney, our team is preparing to start work on a claims expansion into heart. Today, we are grateful to have transplant cardiologists, Dr. Max Liebo of Loyola University I want to talk about how these types of tests are used to manage heart transplant patients here in the U.S. Thank you, Dr. Liebo for joining and offering to share some of your time and expertise. Guiding us through the conversation will be our very own Dr. Nick Ioannou, our Vice President of Medical Affairs, to whom I will now turn the call over. Thank you.
Nick Ioannou
executiveThank you, Josh. Well, Josh started by telling us what's happening a year ago with Dr. [indiscernible], who came and talked about kidney transplants. I want to start by telling you what was happening about 10 years ago, when I started talking to my fellow colleagues, transplant nephrologists, transplant cardiologists about these donor-derived cell DNA tests. Ultimately, most of them when I was in there talking to them about these tests, they were saying, these are great tests. Will we be able to do these here in our labs. The answer back then was no. But you know what? Now that answer is yes. So I want to walk you through -- I want to take about 5 minutes and maybe even less, then walk you through some milestones, probably like 7 dates, how heart transplant has evolved. It starts off back in 1967 when the first heart transplant was performed by a fellow South African colleagues, Dr. Christian Barnhart. After that, heart transplant became pretty common. Many heart were transplanted, but the problem is there was a lot of rejection due to the body's immune system protecting itself. It would see a far in heart and he would say, this is not part of me, I have to reject it. In 1993, things changed because net the FDA-approved cyclosporin. And that drug works by suppressing the body's immune system. This led to an increase in heart transplantation rates. The health of the newly transplanted hearts is monitored by performing biopsies. These biopsy is also known as endomyocardial biopsies, where a catheter is inserted from one of the veins and it removes pieces of heart for microscopic examination. There's 3 to 5 samples that are removed and the pathologists look at those and they can tell if there's biopsy or not. Now that first show after a heart transplant, on average, it's between 14 to 18 biopsies. Only in that first year, right? There's a lot of boxes that are happening in that first cut. Between 2019 and 2023, there were prospective multicenter trials that validated donor-derived cell-free DNA as a biomarker for acute rejection. And back in 2022, expert review by the American College of Cardiology highlighted donor-derived cell DNA as a promising noninvasive alternative to endomychorial biopsies. And in 2024, as per the SRTR, the scientific regulatory of transplant recipients, there were 4,636 heart transplants performed in the U.S.A. So Max and I have known each other a while now. And Max, I'm going to ask you a few questions. You're here because you're the expert, so please tell us how you guys are doing these things. So my first question is, at your center prior to [indiscernible] DNA testing, how many protocol boxes were performed, that first year on your patients?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeThank you. Great question, Nick, and thanks for giving me a heads up on it actually was able to pull out our old protocols because it's been a while since we've only performed biopsies where we haven't used some noninvasive form of doing rejection talents. But is about a decade ago, our protocol was -- would entail, I think it was 17 biopsies, heart biopsies within the first year alone. And the protocol continues on through 5 years post-transplant. Ultimately, these are just the surveillance biopsies. Each patient would be subjected to invasive procedures during the first 5 years just by cortical for surveillance. That doesn't include for cause biopsies, biopsies that are indicated by a clinical change in the patient that is concerning for rejection as opposed to just doing surveillance.
Nick Ioannou
executiveGreat, Max, thanks. And especially, thank you for telling us about the forecasts and the surveillance pipes differentiating there. Now most of us, I think you're the only cardiologists on this call. So most of us are not cardiologist. So please help us understand after you get that positive biopsy, what is the process? What is your treatment regimen?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeSo depending on a number of different things, the short of it is we almost will almost always going to treat for rejection. If a biopsy shows that somebody is having a rejection, there's two main forms of acute rejection, both you could either have purely cellular rejection, which is the white blood cells themselves are mounting in a direct attack on the heart muscle or you could have antibody immune rejection, which is another acute form of rejection where it's really the antibodies that are not white blood cells, but are created by white blood cells. If the antibodies themselves that go and basically plant a flag on the heart and notify the body that this is a foreigner. Either one of those forms of rejection can either occur by themself or can be mixed picture and demand which kind of rejection somebody is having -- they're going to be getting trade for at least at a minimum, 3 days in the hospital, but usually it will be closer to a week, especially if they were treating for antibody projection. And they get treated with IV steroids or for antibody rejection, we would be treating with even more invasive things like plasmapheresis, which is essentially like a large dialysis machine that's used to strain all the antibodies out of the patient. That, along with forms of chemotherapy that are used to prevent antibodies from recurring. So the treatments are pretty aggressive, and they're warranted if somebody is having a rejection. But I guess what I would say is the actual number of biopsies that come back positive for rejection is not very high compared to the number of biopsies we do. So ultimately, we do a lot of these invasive procedures to identify surveillance testing rejection that would warrant treatment. And it's really been over the last decade or more now about 13, 15 years now, we've had these different forms of molecular testing that we can use for noninvasive surveillance to really limit the number of biopsies we have to do in order to identify that patient who does warrant treatment.
Nick Ioannou
executiveWonderful. Thanks for walking us through that. And also thanks for touching on like the second question I was thinking and asking like how long have you been using don't to drive cell-free DNA. So that's good about 12 to 15 years, you said?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeWell -- sorry, Nick. So I would say initially, the molecular testing we were doing was the gene expression profiling. That was really -- when I first came when I first graduated from fellowship and took a job here. That was one of the first things I did was actually not replace our biopsy protocol, but added essentially an [indiscernible] protocol that allowed us to substitute these noninvasive molecular serum-based tests for what otherwise would just be a mandatory biopsy. And if the serum-based test was look normal, that was usually enough to forgo doing a biopsy at that time point. And that was -- initially, we didn't have sulfur DNA to guide us on this. We were using what I consider at the time was the best we had, but what I would consider a less sensitive and less specific assay to try to reduce the boxes or do a patients. But for maybe it's been about a decade in now. I think it was in like was it was around 2017, 2018 is when we really started using the AlloSure, which was kind of the first available sulfur DNA for doing surveillance. So we've been doing that for maybe about a decade, if that.
Nick Ioannou
executiveWonderful. And from what you're saying, it sounds like you're using the self eDNA technology for surveillance, right?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeAbsolutely. I think -- I mean that's really where it's -- in my mind, the made power is, although a lot of that is based on the fact that we don't get the results back super quick. With our current cell-free DNA assays we have. And so from that standpoint, if you're looking to use a test that determines if somebody to make an immediate diagnosis something you'd want to do in the hospital with somebody presenting with a complaint and deciding whether or not we need to do a biopsy. If we had an assay where I could get a [indiscernible] DNA back, let's say, within 24 hours, then that would be a test that will potentially do when the patient presents. I use that as sort of the screening for rejection for somebody when there's this question about whether that they need to move on for a biopsy. That said, right now, our current assays were not available in-house, and they take usually at least probably 3 to 5 days to get the results back. And so by then, if somebody is presenting with clinical concern for rejection, you've either already empirically treated them and they finished the treatment before you can get the answer or you're basically waiting on treatment that ultimately, we could get a biopsy done and get the result back with that quicker. That said, just much the way we use a troponin or a BNP to kind of as a marker for an MI or for heart failure and somebody who's presenting to the ER with complaints that are concerning. I could absolutely foresee using cell-free DNA technology since we've seen that it does actually -- it does start to become abnormal sooner than when the biopsy becomes abnormal. It has a lot of characteristics that would make it a better rule out test for rejection even at the point of care if we could get a rapid result.
Nick Ioannou
executiveSo you touched base on how waiting in those 3 to 5 days affects you, as you said, most of the times these patients are going to be treated empirically, right? Let's talk about the patient now. How does that waiting time the 3 to 5 days affect them.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeSo when we're using it for surveillance, I don't think it's much of an issue. The patient knows even if they were coming for surveillance biopsy, it's usually 24 to 40 hours before we have the results of a biopsy to tell them whether or not this shows any concern for rejection. So the patients are more than happy to just do a blood test. And even if it means waiting an extra day to find out whether or not there's any concern for rejection. If there is concern for rejection, if the assay comes back 3 to 5 days after we sent it and it looks abnormal, then we do need to. Then we have to put it together in the clinical context of that patient about whether or not we are concerned enough that this is rejection that's causing the abnormality with the sulfur DNA that we would then warrant getting a biopsy. I want to be clear, I would not -- the sulfur DNA technology as good as it is, doesn't -- it is not specific for acute rejection. So I don't necessarily treat patients with steroids or plasmapheresis. I don't treat them for acute rejection based off of an [indiscernible] DNA rather that test, lets me know which patient I need to be doing more testing in as opposed to if it's a normal test, then I don't need to go down the path of biopsies or any other kind of invasive testing. But so from a surveillance standpoint, Nick, getting an assay that's drawn in the clinic, whether or not we necessarily get it back 12 hours later or 3 to 5 days that I'll be very honestly, it probably doesn't change anything. But it is the testing we -- how do it. It would be very nice for our patients to be able to get the blood draw with the rest of their labs and they're drawing clinic. So I could absolutely foresee us using that kind of an assay, if we had a way to draw it in our hospital, regardless of how quickly a turnaround is even in those surveillance patients because it's -- frankly, it's a lot nicer than have it to them go to a separate lab to get a blood draw.
Nick Ioannou
executiveGood, good. And Max, you did start off by saying that a lot of the biopsies that were done in the past, the majority of them were coming back as normal. So talk about doing a procedure that really wasn't needed. So with this e-technology what I'm hearing is if it highlights, if it shows that there's possible rejection or some kind of injury, those are the candidate patients that you would move forward to do a biopsy. Am I hearing that right?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeThat's correct. That's correct. The power of this is -- it's a great rule out test for rejection. So if we do -- if we do a cell-free DNA assay and it comes back negative, there's really no reason for us to subject the patient to that biopsy. And so those 17 protocolized biopsies in the first year really get cut down to probably less than 10 anyway. We generally are still using biopsies for the first month or 2 after the transplant since none of the cell-free DNA technology has really been thoroughly evaluated in the early post-transplant period to know whether or not we can safely use that during the first month or so. But after 2 months, we pretty much exclusively just used for surveillance purposes, we just use a sulfur DNA technology now. And if it's only for the minority of patients where it comes back abnormal, will they then have to go and had and do biopsies. The rest of the patients are much happier, much better off not dealing with sort of the pain or the discomfort or the risk of the procedures of those unnecessary biopsies
Nick Ioannou
executiveWonderful. Good. Well, Max, I have told -- and you know that here at IMDX, we do have a [indiscernible] essay that's based on droplet digital PCR technology that does not need to be sent out to the company's laboratory. It can actually be done in-house, and you guys can have the results back within 12 hours. So how do you think this shortened time to results will impact your patience and their quality of life.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeWell, again, so from a surveillance standpoint, I'm not sure we'll change a whole lot other than them being able to get their lab drop at the facility where they get the rest of their labs drawn, which I think that actually shouldn't be understated. That is making patients make a separate trip just to get this one blood test is: One, it's a nuisance to the patient; but two sometimes it means we don't actually get the test done. Whereas when I have them in my office, I can get the lab drag. I have the ability to run the lab, I can do it all on site, which -- so that's a big bonus. But as far as the -- where I do see this in-house and sort of rapid availability of the results, changing, as like I was saying before, in patients that actually get a bit odor, which is not a trivial number of patients per month that are coming in, whether the transplant was within the last year or if it was 20 years ago. But when they show up with shortness of breath and you got some very other nonspecific things in the ER like an X-ray or an EKG and I'm not quite sure if this is -- none of them are really validated to determine whether that somebody is having projection and whether or not you need to keep that person in the hospital for 3 days to treat them empirically or you find out within 24 hours that their cell-free DNA is normal and that their symptoms are very unlikely to be related to rejection, I could see that very much helping the patients and that they won't have to sit around the hospital getting unnecessary treatments, but rather be able to get maybe more appropriate treatment and get out of the hospital quicker. So I do think that there a lot of benefit if we could get the test back quicker. And I'm not sure -- I was really pleased to hear when you're talking about this new product that you guys have that it sounds like we should have the ability to do this. But I don't know that we've necessarily sorted that out -- I'm totally with our lab yet, but that would be the dream would be able to get sell-through technology both for our inpatients and outpatients and be able to get it all done here at Loyola.
Nick Ioannou
executiveSo you see -- obviously, there's going to be logistics, getting things into the lab and have training the personnel. But ultimately, do you see that this the contributions of such a test and having that availability to do this in-house would benefit your practice or your transplant center.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeAbsolutely. Yes. I mean [indiscernible] said, we're already using -- we've already largely adopted it as our primary surveillance for these patients. And I could see it becoming a primary way of making a diagnosis in a sort of for caused patients as well.
Nick Ioannou
executiveSo Max, as MDs, we care about our patients, they're our family. I was presenting at [indiscernible] in Scottsdale and [indiscernible] raise his hand and ask the question, and he was from the transplant families. It's a volunteer organization, but he's the chair there. And he actually has a son, a 14-year-old son, who has received a kidney transplant. And he heard about the turnaround time and all that, and he goes, I have to tell you, Dr. Nick waiting in those 3 days, those 5 days, whatever they may be. It's heartbreaking for a parent because here's your baby. And we don't know what's going on. And will they have to go through another kidney transplant now. So from that perspective, it resonate. And then I spoke to more people from his organization, but he says, he's speaking, he's not just speaking for himself. He's representing this transplant families. So that's where we want to go. I mean we know we can make a change in the industry. But when you make that change, one patient at a time, what gives me satisfaction as a medical doctor. And I know you care about your patients, and I know you see that, too.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeWell, I should say we do get a patients 24 hours, 40 hours after test inquiring about the results. I echo what you're saying. Absolutely.
Nick Ioannou
executiveWell, Max, that's all the questions I have for you. Do you have any closing statements or anything like that? Because after that, we can turn it over for questions from our audience.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes. No, I'm happy to just jump right into the other questions if you guys have them. I think that it's a pretty straightforward technology, at least in terms of from the clinical aspect is what it sounds like to me, if we can get this technology we've already learned to sort of be comfortable with and how to use it, but be able to use it more readily and in more patients. I think to me, this is very exciting and see it's this excitement that Max has about the industry and where we're going, that he's here today. He's not getting paid. He's doing it because of the love of the industry, they love for patients and to help advance the science. So with that said, thanks, Max, and I will open it up for some questions.
Operator
operatorAwesome. Thanks, Dr. Nick and Dr. Liebo. Yes. So at this time, we'll be doing a Q&A session with all 3 of our speakers to our analysts who have joined us live to ask a question. I'll just give you guys a quick reminder to please raise your hand to indicate you have a question. So please hold for a brief moment.
Nick Ioannou
executiveWe're still holding? Or is it frozen?
Operator
operatorYes. So we'll be taking the first question from Thomas Flaten at Lake Street.
Thomas Flaten
analystDr. Liebo, thanks for your time. Just one. I just want to clarify. So I mean, is your primary interest here in ruling out or ruling in a rejection depending on specifically in the case of a 4 caused patient?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeSo somebody who is coming in for caused, by that, I mean they're coming in with symptoms or there maybe their echocardiogram suggest that there may be a drop in their ejection fraction. So something to make us concerned they maybe have in rejection. My -- yes, the -- the purpose of it is really to look for both. I mean, we would do the cell-free DNA assay to look to see if there's any evidence that the heart is leaking more DNA than the rest of the body is -- and that's essentially what this technology is, right? It basically looks at the amount of DNA that's coming from non-self. And it compares it to how much DNA is floating on the blood stream that's from your own person. And if that percent that's going -- that's the DNA in your [indiscernible] nonself starts to go up relative to the rest of the DNA that your body is leaking, we become concerned there's some active process attacking the heart, whether it's rejection or vasculopathy or myocarditis or a heart attack, that we don't necessarily know from the results of this test. But what we do know is either that there's a problem at the level of the heart or not. And if that test in the forecast patient comes back, saying there's not a problem at the level of the heart, I'm not going to say I'm going to be completely done testing their heart. We're still -- we've generally sent off what we call donor-specific antibodies to see if there's any evidence that they may -- to help sort of make us discern just how concerned we are about possible antibody media rejection. But ultimately, that sulfur DNA level really does impact sort of our immediate concern about just how severe or whether or not something really is going on at the level of the heart. If it comes back negative, I'm generally fairly reassured that their symptoms may be more pulmonary in nature. There may be -- I have to look for something else. I'm not really too concerned about rejection if that sulfur DNA is normal. Now that said, I'm very interested in that patient. There's a reason I'm doing it is because I'm concerned for us. So I'm very interested in making the diagnosis of rejection if they have it. If that sulfur DNA level comes back abnormal in that forecast patient, then that patient absolutely is going to be getting dosed with IV steroids and then he's going to undergo a biopsy and if that biopsy doesn't confirm that they have rejection that would -- is going to improve from the steroids have given them or warrants antibody treatment. Then the next test, we're probably doing in that patient is an angiogram to see if they've developed any vasculopathy or any corneal lesions that would benefit from a stent. But ultimately, that cell-free DNA assay, whether it's in the surveillance patient or if it's in the patient for cause, it's really helping me determine whether or not I need to continue to look at the heart as a source of the problem or I can look into other organ systems.
Nick Ioannou
executiveSorry, Thomas. Max, allow me to chime in here real quick. So Thomas, the way the industry has trained us -- many doctors practicing transplant physicians is to use these tests as rule out because they've got high negative predictive values. So with that, that's what you're doing, you're ruling something out. What we have seen in kidney, we've got a very high positive predictive value. And that's what will give confidence to the physicians to go, okay, now I'm seeing high positive value. So when I see this above the threshold, now I can start trusting it that I can rule it in that something is going on. That trust will eventually happen. But right now, the industry is exactly like how Max explained it. He has to use his judgment as the physician there, but ultimately, they're all rule out high rollouts.
Thomas Flaten
analystAnd just one more follow-on, if I may. Does it matter to you Dr. Liebo, if the test has a specific ability to discriminate between cell-mediated versus antibody-mediated rejection or does it not matter at that kind of initial case. You just want to know if there's a rejection period?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeThat's correct. The short of it is there's -- it cannot tell me with any kind of certainty, whether it's cell-mediated or antibody mediated. We do have some idea there the literature has suggested that antibody [indiscernible] rejection generally presents with a bit higher of a cell-free DNA elevation than the self-media rejection, but there's a lot of overlap. So at the end of the day, it's -- this test is basically to let us know whether or not as Nick put it, it's a rule out test. If it comes back negative, it's we -- that's very powerful in sort of my in my clinical assessment then about helping me shape my clinical assessment about what is going on and where an invasive test as needed and where it's not. And the -- but if it's abnormal they if it's elevated, then it's just letting me know that I need to go ahead and do that biopsy to determine which form of rejection this is, I need to follow. I need to get -- if it hasn't been sent already, we need to send off antibodies for this heart to see if there's any suggestion that the patient has now formed antibodies to his own heart. And we would then use that information to determine whether or not we need to be treated for further treated for rejection or we need to continue to look within geography or an MRI or look with other things to figure out why the heart is leaking if it doesn't look like it's actually a rejection.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Mark Massaro at BTIG.
Mark Massaro
analystGreat. Thank you. So doctor, this is a great presentation. I just wanted to get a sense, it sounds like my impression is that you might have been using the CareDx products based on your remarks earlier. And if you were to make a change, would this be something that you would have a significant influence in making for your entire health system? Or would this be something that maybe you might start using, but maybe can you walk me through how a change in your health system would work across multiple clinicians?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes, I will do my best with this. As far as -- I have experience using both the CareDx product as well as the Natera. And in fact, that's really where we've kind of grown to become very comfortable using sulfur DNA technology is because we've -- we participated in both of those registries previously, the SHORE registry as well as the PROTECT registry. And so we've accumulated a lot of our patients even when they were still getting their biopsy protocols for protocol as part of the registry, they were getting these assays. And so I was able to then sort of see how the assays are matching up with biopsies or in those patients who then had graduated out of our biopsy protocol was able just to get used to managing these patients based off of their whether -- whichever product, whichever self-port DNA product we were using. As a health system, we do not necessarily. We are not beholden to either one of the companies. And I would say, I think we probably do about 50-50 in terms of sending out Prospera's versus [indiscernible] when it comes to our current available sulfur DNA products that we're using. I personally can't say much about how things would go with the whole health system. What I could speak for would be loyal itself. And to be fair, Loyola is, I believe, the only at least for heart transplant, the only facility in our health system. Trinity health, I don't believe has another heart transplant center. If they do it, there's just 1 or 2 on the East Coast. It's not much. But I would assume that they would -- they need transplants in or would kind of adopt this the same way that I foresee myself and my other 2 colleagues here at Loyola using it and saying, we don't really have a preference over the cell-free DNA technology terms of there's not been one study showing that one is superior to the other but rather what's the most convenient for our patients and what can we -- and what's the most clinically helpful, useful. And in this case, that's why I say I would foresee us using this exclusively Ultimately, if we got -- if we had the ability to drive this and run it in our own hospital and we're getting results back, 3 to 5x faster than we do other -- our current whatever call logistics,
Mark Massaro
analystOkay. That makes -- that's really helpful. And then I would love to ask about the economics of testing, and this might not be something that you have to deal with because you're caring for patients, which I really appreciate. But if you could perhaps take a stab at this. So in the event that your system was able to benefit in the favorable economics of surveillance testing,is that something that you think about? Or is that maybe the CFO of your health system or our program director because as an analyst, sometimes we -- of course, we think about how -- some clinicians could be financially motivated to make a switch. And if you took it in-house, I think you could benefit from the economics yourself rather than sending it to CareDx or Natera. So maybe just walk me through maybe the economic argument, if that even is something you think about? Or maybe it's something that someone else that your system thinks about.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes. Thank you for the question, Mark. I would say -- I personally, as you alluded to, I really more in the exam with the patient, and I'm kind of more focused on medical decision-making and what is best for the patient in terms of their medical care and their comfort and their convenience. So the financial side of it doesn't cross my mind all that much. I tried not to let that sort of sway me from doing the right tests on patients. That said, absolutely, there's somebody here at Loyola, Minette Trinity, who would very much, I'm sure be in favor of if this was something that was financially better for us than using another product or if this was financially better for the health care system or for our system than doing a biopsy, I'm sure they would only further encourage this is to get accepted as a tool here, we could hear at Loyola. But I'm not sure, Nick, you may actually have a better feel for -- to be host, there was a point when I first started over a decade ago where I think I did know what the cost of a biopsy was and how much the hospital made from a biopsy versus what it cost for AlloMap or an AlloSure back then. But I'm not -- I don't have those numbers off the top of my head right now.
Nick Ioannou
executiveMax, I'm with you on that. When it comes to economics and numbers, I respond to those questions. If I'm out with sales, they can answer them. Now we've got our CEO. So Josh, I don't know if you want to take that?
Joshua Riggs
executiveNo, I think the answer was perfect. Clinicians decide if it's useful for patients. And that's the first question that has to be answered once that question has been satisfied, then it becomes a CFO question. Can they afford to bring it in-house? Does it make sense for their system. But the first hurdle is always convincing clinicians that this is the right thing for their patients.
Mark Massaro
analystMaybe last question for me, Dr. Liebo. I know there's been -- at least in the last couple of years, there's been uncertainty with respect to surveillance testing in heart and kidney and lung testing. And that, I think, is because there's been some discussions with the Medicare group and some other groups in the government. But I just wanted to get a sense for: One, were you aware of any of that Medicare limbo? And two, did you make any changes to your surveillance protocol? And then three, now that, that Medicare is clarified and finalized? Maybe can you walk me through how important developing a surveillance protocol is in your practice?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes. Thank you, Mark. It sounds like you could maybe educate me some on this because I'm actually not real -- I'm not real familiar with the issues with Medicare and surveillance right now other than I can tell you I've -- for as long as I've been doing this, especially when it's covering for one of my colleagues, the fit there are definitely things on our surveillance protocol not usually about the heart itself. It's usually more about the surveillance we're doing for cancer or for other infections, things like that and the interpatient with transplants. But there are definitely some testing we have on our current protocols that routinely lead to us having to do sort of peer-to-peers or appeals to the insurance companies to pay for it. But for a concern about is there's really not data that supports a lot of this stuff that's in the servant testing of patients post transplant. So I guess I would say I'm not -- I wouldn't be totally surprised to hear that there's -- this has been coming up about whether or not this is a good use of resources that patients are getting full body CTs every year and things like that. But as far as when it comes to the surveillance of the allograft, I'm not -- I wasn't aware that there was a whole lot of issues with saying that we're not sure that there's actually value and I think that all the guidelines are pretty clear. That at least for the first 5 years after a heart transplant, the risk of acute rejection isn't insignificant and it's time and again in the guideline documents, it's been recommended that we're monitoring patients like weekly for the first couple of months after a heart transplant and then starting to reduce the frequency after that, but still relatively frequent like monthly assessments for the bulk of the first year and then at least quarterly for the next few years. So I don't think that we're going to see surveillance testing of the -- for rejection going away. I think that what we're seeing is a big change in the modalities we're using instead of being these Frankly, I say this with all respect, I'm the one who does the procedures here, but the biopsies are fairly barbaric, and they do come with the risk of complications not necessarily a high risk of life-threatening things, but you can actually damage the heart and you just gave somebody. And you guys are all aware -- Nick mentioned how there's only about 4,000 transplants a year. And there's probably like 0.5 million people that would potentially be better off with one here. So ultimately, these aren't things that are easy to come by. And when you get one, the last thing you want to do is run it. And so I think that for surveillance, at least for the heart rejection, I think that we -- I don't foresee a problem getting -- having -- I think these assays, whether it's IMD or if it's the ones that are already presently in commercial use, I don't see them going anywhere. I think that they're actually just going to more and more take over the biopsies and reduce the risk. The unnecessary biopsies we've been subject in our patients to over the years.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from [ Alex Nowak ] at Lusin Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Alex.
Unknown Analyst
analystAll right. Great. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for the call and the discussion. Multimodality testing has been a really big thing in the heart transplant community for a while now, combining derm-driver DNA and gene expression. Is there a potential to do multi-modality testing here with Droplet Digital PCR or would you say that's largely unnecessary just given digital PCR sensitivity?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeThank you, Alex. So I don't know enough about the sort of technology by MDX about whether or not there is any discussion about trying to create a gene expression profile product to go along with the sulfur DNA. So I mean, I leave that to Dr. Nick and Josh to answer that. But I will tell you that while gene expression profiling was obviously the first of the like testing coming and that was validated as a reasonable substitute for [indiscernible] is to at least in -- to screen for cellular rejection over a decade ago now, and so that's been a use for a while. It's -- I can tell you just clinically from my own experience over. It seems like over half the time we get 1 of those assays, the result comes back elevated. And in it's so nonspecific for rejection. And pretty much anything that is causing inflammation or causing any kind of infection, any kind of stress on the body seems to perturb that. We've really kind of -- I really almost stopped looking at that. We still -- when we do order a CareDx study to get an AlloSure, we always end up getting AlloMap with it, and there is -- there's a recent document out about a year ago now, I think it was Dr. Tueterberg maybe was 1 published on this. But it did show there was some strength in combining an abnormal AlloMap with an AlloSure in terms of further sort of refining this is something you actually have to be worried about versus somebody who has that high AlloMap like we commonly experience but their AlloSure is low, that's somebody that we basically can kind of throw away the AlloMap result, the gene expression profile result because ultimately, it seems like most of the power of these molecular testing is coming from that sulfur DNA. And that's -- we kind of see that with this other company with Natera who they are not -- I understand they're not looking at gene friction prevolume at all, but rather, they're all in on the in DNA, and that does seem to be -- they published on their using their -- both the percent sulfur DNA and the quantity, the absolute quantity of sulfur DNA using that as sort of their discriminator to help them further enhance their ability to sort of rule in or rule out rejection. But that said, I don't know if there's been any discussion at IMD, but my understanding was that the Droplet Digital was purely self-free DNA right now. And again, that's really the test that we are predominantly using for surveillance at this point. So to me, this is still a potential replacement for what we're currently using.
Nick Ioannou
executiveAnd Max, very well said. Thank you. Look, folks, we're at the infancy of our heart trans monitoring program. And right now with digital droplet PCR technology, that's where we are, right? There's no way I can tell you where we'll go with it in the future and what capabilities will have. I mean ultimately, we're learning. But I have been part of Natera in the past, and I know with their test like I mentioned, too, that's where they are, that's where they're comfortable. And that's what we see right now, we can make a big impact in the industry and help patients and the physicians who monitor those patients.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. Super helpful and very clear. And I agree that the literature or drive sulfide is super strong in both kidney and heart transplant testing. What do you think the unanswered questions that are out there by your transplant colleagues though? Like why would they not adopt don't drive sulfur DNA testing more within their practice, more to reduce the unnecessary biopsies. Does it really come down to the logistics side -- or is there more data that can be accumulated here that perhaps even the graft to sure drop with digital PCR could help kind of resolve some of those questions.
Nick Ioannou
executiveMax, do you want to take that or do you want me to take that one?
Michael Matson
analystI mean, I'll take a quick stab at it so as far as there's -- it's hard to say exactly what motivates one person, one cardiologist versus another, how much of it is inertia and some of these protocols have been written years ago and the they're fine. I feel like things aren't broken, so we're not necessarily trying to revamp things. But I don't I don't think there's going to be a whole lot of -- there should be a whole lot of resistance to these taking over the coming years. There are more every meeting I go to that I read through is just more and more abstracts and present oral presentations on this. The most recent transplant guidelines just a couple of years ago, dedicate the first few paragraphs of the discussion about rejection, about screening for rejection to basically say that these tests are -- this is going to be the future of it about rejection screening. So I think as far as how to get other people to start utilizing it more, I think it's going to come down to -- just a little more experience in getting more -- potentially, there -- I know there are a few studies that are currently being looked at right now are being completed. Well, we're actually taking patients and showing that you can actually start using the sulfur DNA to treat in patients that show a rise in the sulfur DNA that you would treat them potentially before you then go ahead and get their biopsy within the next few months and ultimately determine whether or not that those follow-up patches look like they're better after the treatment. And this is all based off of data that shows that the sulfur DNA often goes up early in somebody you have in rejection before you'll actually see that on biopsy. So all too often, and this has happened to me at least once where I've had a patient who had a little jump in their self for DNA. Our protocol said, let's go ahead and get a biopsy within a week. We did it, but I have to look totally normal. So then we waited, I think it was about 4 weeks before we recheck the sulfur DNA, and it was going back down. So we thought, "Oh, this all looks great. This was -- it was probably nothing. And unfortunately, A few months later, the patient presented with actually having more clinical signs of rejection. And at that point, we did the biopsy, we see that he's got pretty severe, both cellular and antibody need rejection. And so more and more, I think the transplant community is becoming aware of this, although it depends how closely you're following the literature if you're actually seeing this. And then, frankly, a lot of this I'm seeing because I've been part of these other registry studies where we then go back and can review our own patients and all the data from our -- just from our own single institution and look and see what the molecular assays showed in our patients that we also have all the clinical data, and we know what their outcomes are. We know when their biopsies showed rejection. And so what we've kind of found is that there are these patients who are -- [indiscernible] DNA is greatly better than the biopsy and figuring out when there's diagnosed in the rejection early. And it then helps -- it can help us in those situations they decide to treat them a little bit earlier even before you have a biopsy. That's what's currently being studied. And I think if that study comes back positive and that will show up in a big journal. I think that potentially does fundamentally change the way that we sort of approach these. And that -- that more [indiscernible] will have to come along -- come in line with it because it's not just sort of a substitute, but it's actually superior as opposed to being noninferior in that situation. But it's -- I think it's just time. I think there's still a lot of cardiologists in the field that have been practicing for a long time and are not necessarily changing their strategies the moment they see a new technology come out, but they kind of wait a little bit longer.
Nick Ioannou
executiveMax, very well. I just want to add one thing. Back in 2019, when I was talking to cardiologists, quite many of them. The main thing was the old ladies and guys out there who have been practicing for many, many years, those were a little harder to persuade about the technology of DNA, cell- technology. But with time, even they became adopters utilizing notes and cardiac products. There are some out there, they're still holding on. But ultimately, I foresee them retiring in the next few years. Because, as Max said, the literature, all these conferences we go to, that is -- it's pointing the industry, the cardiology, transplant energy to utilize these tests as an extra tool.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes. Yes. And my colleague, the one who had kind of the most resistance to using this sort of technology. And although he did come around, they start using the protocols once we saw that my patients weren't all dropping dead. Even he came around to [indiscernible] but he's also -- like he said, he actually just retired. So now in my group, it's just me and 2 other guys who are basically the same or earlier career than I am. And so everybody is very much in line. This is the way we're all practicing now. And I mean I could see how financially from a physician standpoint, it is -- it does take away a procedure from me. The biopsies are procedures that is money I can make by doing procedures. But again, it's just, to me, there's other ways to make my money. I can be using that time to see patients in clinic instead. And I can spare patients is what is not a necessary procedure for the vast majority.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Mike Matson at Needham.
Michael Matson
analystYes. So Dr. Liebo, I was wondering just with your current transplant patients. How many -- what portion of them are you currently using the donor-derived cell-free DNA test on or using it on basically 100%? Or does it depend on things like the patient's insurance or other factors?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes. it's 100%. I use it on everybody. We've been fortunate. I would say I've been fortunate. I've got a great office. My got a great support from our assistants and my nurses and everybody. So they make it happen. And I think the company so far have also been very helpful about trying to figure out how to get these tests if -- even if the insurance does give us any kind of a pushback. But I haven't heard about that being a problem. And I generally use it in like all my patients. I think for those who have never had a history of rejection, they're great. As long as the test, it looks negative as long as that self-redeem is low and below the threshold I feel super comfortable letting those patients go, frankly, biopsy free after a couple of months, and they may never get a biopsy again. For patients who have had a history of rejection, it's the same thing. Well, once they've been treated for rejection and once the biopsy shows up the rejection is cleared, we go right back to just using the cell-free DNA surveillance before instead of making them continue to do biopsies just because they had enough sort of rejection in the past. And then frankly, I use it even in my patients who have ongoing rejection. There's -- unfortunately, there are some patients who they do develop the sort of antibody at rejection, their body creates antibodies even with the treatment for acute antibody rejection with steroids and IVIG and plasmapheresis and rituximab. Even with all that, the antibodies don't completely clear, and the patient may still have kind of a low-level cell-free DNA leak that's just sort of chronic. And we still will -- and I don't necessarily make them continue to go through aggressive treatment for acute rejection, if they're essentially clinically stable, even though we can see there's some smoldering rejection going on. But in those patients, we will then use the noninvasive assays, both for the cell-free DNA as well as for their donor-specific antibodies to help guide as to when is it time to treat them again. So I mean, the short of it is, basically, I figured out a way to use this with just about every patient. And I assume -- maybe I shouldn't assume, but I assume that any other kind of forward thinking cardiologist sort of first half of their career, anyway, a cardiologist is thinking very similar to the way I mean is using these, frankly, probably even beyond a little bit of what they've sort of clinically been validated for just for the need, look, because we want to take care of our patients.
Michael Matson
analystYes. Okay. That's helpful. And then just -- it sounds like you'd be a big proponent of graft Assure when it became available to you, and it sounds like you'd probably switch to using it for most patients. But -- what about the transition time frame you to switch over to [indiscernible] and would you sort of need to do your own kind of mini head-to-head study where you sort of do send outs and then do grab the share at the same time to compare the results to get comfortable with it? Or would you just be comfortable kind of using 0-relying on like third-party data that is accurate enough?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeSo I think actually -- so I mean, Nick, you correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe that's what this -- we're actually talking about initiating a study here now where we're going to start collecting the data along with our patients with their sort of current standard clinical care. And so I believe we're basically in the process of this point of confirming that this test could replace the ones that we're currently using, the ones that are logistically less favorable to the patients.
Michael Matson
analystGot it. Got it. Sorry, I missed that.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYou're good. There needs to be some data that shows [indiscernible].
Michael Matson
analystYes. But do you think your peers in other transplant centers would be comfortable relying on that? The study that you're going to run versus just needing to kind of do it and see it for themselves that compares to the other tests?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeI think most would not. But again, there's the -- everybody is a little bit different. I think I said my colleague, you took him probably 5 years before he started right is first prescriptions for [indiscernible] just because even I just want to make sure that it was going to be okay. So there's going to be earlier adopters and there's going to be later adopters. But I think -- yes. I mean, honestly, to me, as long as the technology works, as long as it's shown that it gives us a reading similar to what we're getting with our other assays I don't think that people are going to -- every facility is going to want to do their own single institution trial of it to make sure that it works.
Michael Matson
analystYes. Okay. And then finally, it sounds like the send-out test, the patients have to go elsewhere to have their blood drawn. Did I hear you correctly on that? Why is that?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes. Yes, great question. So my interstates primarily has to do with the logistics of the actual preparing the specimen. We're a little bit more than our lab was willing to sort of take on clinically -- that is -- it's not just a simple blood draw and then drop it in an envelope and send it to California or wherever the testing center is -- but rather, there's a -- they have to take time to center fuse it. You've got -- it has to be done. It has to be handled in a very particular way to make sure that the SA isn't wasted. And in fact, even with that, at times, we do get a nonresult. We'll end up getting a result from CareDx or from Natera saying that the sample thought or some issue with it. And so we actually have to then redraw. But as far as where the patients go to get it, historically, they were going to -- there were like 3 or 4 different outpatient labs around Illinois that they could go to and we knew where they were, and they go to their closest one. More recently, the companies have been sending -- they basically send a mobile draw, a nurse to their house to draw the labs. But it's still a bit clunky because the patients describe it as they get something in the mail from the company essentially the test tube. And then that can come anywhere they can come a week before a nurse is going to show up for their house. But then eventually, those two pieces show up to their house, they get the lab dry it goes off and then it takes like is it takes probably at least 3 days for us to get the results on it. But so at this point, the patients aren't necessarily having to go small, but they are having a water out of their house and have get a separate needle stick and they have to port all this with a home health company and with the test company. to get it all done. So I guess what I've said as far as what was the barrier to getting them in, I think some of it was cost and some of it was also just the technology wasn't easy enough for our lab to take over. I don't know that we necessarily have that IMD mentally has a solution to us, but that's sort of what Nick and when he approached me about it not too long ago, had suggested that this was something that we could get done here in our own lab at our own hospital.
Nick Ioannou
executiveSorry, Mike. And just to tell you, so Mike mentioned that there was a procedure that would have to spin it and then put it on ice whatever to send it out with our assay, no spinning is needed, no ice to ship it out. If they had to send it as a send-out because we have the portion of our lift of our tests that can be sent out. So that aspect wouldn't be there. And therefore, centers can actually draw it at the facility. Now once they get the DX portion of it where they can run the test [indiscernible], get results within 12 hours. Of course, [indiscernible] will be required there, but the lab will be set up for it and the training will be done, too.
Michael Matson
analystOkay. Great. And just given the factor? I mean, is this something where doing it in-house will have a noticeable impact on compliance, like will it increase patient compliance with the test? Do you think?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes, I think it will. I think one of the main things about it that actually frustrates our patients in my office is that the test is supposed to be run ideally within like a few days of when they get an echocardiogram. They get -- it's -- the payer of the echo and the blood test together are what really reassure us that there's no rejection or on the other hand, make us concerned there may be a rejection. And when we -- if we -- the patient generally gets their echocardiogram in the same day they come and see me in the clinic, which is also the same day that we will often draw the rest of their labs. So I think we would do a lot better even if it's -- even if the patients are getting their studies done, when they're separated by more than a week or 2, we start to either we start to lose a little confidence in the results or maybe even more importantly, the patients start to lose a little confidence in the results. So the idea of being able to get it all done simultaneously, I think we'll improve we'll definitely not have issues with us not getting results or either the draw didn't get done because we couldn't get it set up outside or something got lost in transport to another state. But ultimately, I think there will be -- probably at least a slight increase in adherence. And again, I just think with -- we're focused in sort of that -- these assessments are doing -- are being done appropriately that we're able to use those results and that the patients can get it all done with the least amount of sort of stress on their part about having to arrange for things. I think it kind of helps with all of those situations.
Nick Ioannou
executive[indiscernible] Health with their shale test has shown how doing that blood test there at the center instead of sending them the kids doing them home, how that has improved the compliance or the adherence, it's synonymous to 96% to 98%. And -- so normally, when people receive their kids at home, this is for colorectal cancer screening, 60% to 65% are adherent to actually finish the test and send it back in or go to the whatever is required, whereas if the blood tests have been there at the center, 96%, 98%, I mean, it depends on which study that you look at, but above 96% every single time. So big studies are done there, too. So we foresee it, yes, adherence will increase.
Joshua Riggs
executiveSorry to interrupt, Dr. Liebo, you've been so generous with your time. We are at the hour. If you're able to continue on, we'd be happy to ask you more questions. I think we have a few more analysts and some questions in the chat. But I understand you have a very important job to get back to. So let us know if we can take it?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeI'll get a few more minutes this one, if you guys -- if there's -- if you guys have a few more questions.
Operator
operatorYes. Thank you, Dr. Liebo, and thanks, Mike, for the question. So our next question comes from Ben Mee at Stephens.
Benjamin Mee
analystThank you for taking the question and taking the time this morning. I'll just keep the one quick here. Could you expand on sort of the logistical barriers that might exist today for bringing a test in-house at your center versus continuing to use the maillot providers.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeYes. honestly, Ben, I can't. I don't have a great feel for exactly what's going on in the administrative level with our lab. I'm sure we could -- I could get Josh and Nick in touch with somebody from that aspect of loyal to sort of see if we can get a straightforward answer to your question. But I know the general barriers is usually just money in manpower and take the cost. So I think -- that was clearly the issue with the other 2 vendors that have -- that we're currently using there exam their test, but we're just doing it in a way that's -- that our hospital could most afford. So I don't know. I think hopefully -- Nick, I'm happy to try to put you in touch with whoever might be able to help you from that.
Nick Ioannou
executiveIn time, we'll get to that. Yes. Thanks, Max.
Operator
operatorGreat. Thanks for the questions, Ben. So we're now going to turn to the written questions, and we'll prioritize medical questions as several of the questions that coming in are concerning the business strategy, and we're answered substantially on the company's earnings call a week ago. So please visit investors.imdxinc.com to read the shareholder letter and transcript and see a replay of the week ago earnings call. So our first question, how did an in-house test need to perform relative to an established centralized test for clinicians to feel comfortable adopting it? and would comparable analytical and clinical performance be enough? Or would it need to demonstrate an additional advantage.
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeIt's a great question. I think just to take the last part of it, I don't think we would have to demonstrate any additional advantage. I think the advantage would be that we could get it done in-house and get the results back quickly. So I think that the additional advantage is already kind of baked into it. The -- as far as do we need to validate that we would get -- that the results we get from a -- I guess the way I'm reading this is the results we would be getting from our own machine in our lab here. Would they be the same as if we sent that sample to a centralized to the IMDX-centralized lab, that would be important. We want to make sure that the machine that we are running our test on was giving us the same kind of results as what we would expect from the central lab. So that would be something we'd have to confirm.
Operator
operatorGreat. Thanks, Dr. Liebo. Next question, will the assay be available on NGS.
Nick Ioannou
executiveI apologize. What does NGS remind me?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendee[indiscernible], and the answer is no. Yes, because this technology is based on droplet digital PCR technology.
Operator
operatorGreat. And our final question comes from a doctor. So they talk to transplant caregivers and partners that state the DDC F DNA testing, they have had is not always approved for insurance coverage of charges. How do we ensure this test is getting paid for as our patients need it?
Max Jacob Liebo
attendeeThat's a really great question. And I'd have to consult my nurses, the ones who actually take care of all these phone calls and usually put them through all the paperwork. The long story short from when I understand it is at least the current vendors we've been working with, they've generally I think if it's -- if for some reason, a test we ordered and Drew wasn't covered by the insurance, I believe they were either just waving the cost of the test. I'm not sure if that's just because we were participating in the registry studies or exactly how that was working. But I do know that this was not -- if that was an issue, it really wasn't a very frequent issue. I believe these are all being covered fairly well by insurance. But I could definitely query my nurses are the ones who would deal with it here when there's pushback. I personally haven't had any patients come to my clinic and my head off about some bill they got in the mail for this investigational test I just did, their insurance company on that I'm just a quack of a doc. We haven't I have had that personal experience.
Operator
operatorGreat. Thanks, Dr. Liebo. So that's all the time we have for questions. So I'll turn it back to Josh for some quick closing remarks.
Joshua Riggs
executiveThanks. Again, Dr. Liebo, I think we're very excited to work on this head-to-head study with you and show that you can get equivalent results with Graft [indiscernible] technology. Really appreciate the time and the straightforward answers on how you use done drive cell for DNA in your clinic on a daily basis. And thank you again, and appreciate everybody for showing up with very thoughtful questions.
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