Insmed Incorporated (INSM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 15, 2020

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 29 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#1

Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining us for the next session. I'm Matthew Harrison, one of the Biotech Analysts here at Morgan Stanley. Pleased to have Insmed with me for the next session. Quickly before we get started, I need to read a disclaimer statement. Please note that this webcast is for Morgan Stanley's clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. This webcast is not for members of the press. If you are a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. And if you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley representative. So with that, very pleased to have Will Lewis, who's the CEO of Insmed with us.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#2

And I thought to get started, well maybe we could just talk about the dynamics related to COVID on your commercialized product, ARIKAYCE. And I think what most people are interested in is how you thought about the revenue last quarter? Was there a bit of a catch-up because there was delays in patient starts due to COVID and how you're thinking about the COVID trajectory for the rest of the year and its impact on revenues?

William Lewis

executive
#3

Yes. Well thanks, Matthew. I think just out of the gate, I would tell you that the ARIKAYCE franchise, which is, of course, only one component of the company, but the commercial aspect of the ARIKAYCE franchise is very much alive and well. I think there was concern and legitimate concern, when COVID hit, none of us really knew what was going to happen. And as you know, this product serves the refractory MAC NTM patient population, which is diagnosed and treated by pulmonologists and infectious disease specialists. And certainly, in the March, April time frame, they were distracted across the country. We all were. But quickly in the midst of COVID-19's arrival, came an awareness that those patients who suffer from really serious conditions like refractory MAC, need to continue to receive treatment and need to continue to be supported. And so while the way in which that was accomplished had to adjust, the demand continued. And that's why in Q2, you saw our revenue number grow. And indeed, even within that quarter, month-to-month, new patients start's starting to tick up. So I think the backdrop of COVID was an adjustment period and now a new normal where people are finding the way for these patients to get treated. And that suggests that while there's still a lot of unpredictability in the world, the second half of the year should continue to be good for us.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#4

And you obviously suspended guidance due to COVID and the uncertainty. I mean, is there thought about bringing guidance back? How do you think about that for the remainder of the year and into next year?

William Lewis

executive
#5

Yes. Well last year, one of the lessons that we learned was the more transparent we became, the more pressure our stock came under. We always laugh because the original estimate for our first year revenue was around $40 million to $50 million, and we ended up doing $136 million and at each quarter, there was an increasing focus on details of the quarter-to-quarter performance. And the simple takeaway, I think, is despite our best intention to be transparent, in a way that would be beneficial to shareholders, it seemed to introduce more complexity and uncertainty than it addressed. And so we think we want to continue demonstrating performance in the form of revenue and revenue growth. And that's really where we're going to be centering our messaging and our dialogue going forward. I wouldn't rule out ever giving people additional information or guidance in the quarters. But when we suspended guidance, we really felt like the right thing to do is to step away from all of the messaging and just show up with performance quarter-over-quarter as the best way moving forward.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#6

Okay. And I guess in that context, I mean, any -- as we think about your ability to grow the product quarter-over-quarter, what do you think are the key things that we should be focused on around that. So for example, obviously, new patient starts are important, but also durability of patients that are on treatment. So maybe you could just talk about the efforts you have on those fronts?

William Lewis

executive
#7

Sure. And I think there are a couple of key drivers for this year that are going to start to really kick in, we believe, in the second half of the year. The first and most important one is, of course, the presence of COVID-19, which had raised awareness of respiratory health generally and really driven pulmonologists and physicians to pay close attention to the respiratory health of their patients and to take a proactive stance in the management of those conditions. That is coupled with the arrival of the new NTM treatment guidelines, where our drug is -- has enjoyed a strong recommendation as the only approved medicine to treat refractory MAC patients for use. And so we're able to take those guidelines out and be responsive to pulmonologists and infectious disease specialists who are looking for help in identifying the appropriate patients and then navigating their treatment with ARIKAYCE. So both of those are positives in the sense that the patients who have this condition need treatment and there's a clear path for how they should go about getting it and we are right there to support them.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#8

Okay. That's helpful. May be it's a good time to transition to expanding the label for ARIKAYCE too. Obviously you're working on starting a frontline pivotal study, so maybe talk a little bit about the PRO that you need to develop there and the status with that study?

William Lewis

executive
#9

Sure. So on September 30, we're going to have a Research Day where we're going to go over what we consider to be the 3 pillars of the company. One is ARIKAYCE and the global franchise we're building there. The second is brensocatib. And the third is our PAH drug 1009. For ARIKAYCE, obviously, the key components for that franchise and its continued growth, our continued execution in the U.S. refractory market where we already have approval, expanding into Europe, where we also are imminently going to get formal approval but have already received CHMP endorsement. So we anticipate launching in Europe in Britain and Germany this year and then Japan by the middle of next year. So the international expansion of the refractory market opportunity is going to continue and grow in earnest in the next near future. Beyond that is the move in the label expansion, as you referred to, frontline therapy. And this is really moving ARIKAYCE to become the standard of care for any patient diagnosed with NTM. And the way we're going to do that is by launching and completing this Phase III program that we've already discussed publicly, it will be a 1-year long study that will treat patients who are newly diagnosed with NTM MAC lung disease. And we are very excited to get that program underway. It will have a PRO for the U.S. regulatory authorities for the primary end point. And it will have culture conversion for Europe and Japan as the primary endpoint. The PRO in the U.S. is something we've been in close contact with the FDA about. It's a repurposed quality-of-life bronchiectasis questionnaire, which will permit us to move more quickly into the study initiation. Importantly, we're going to have a sentinel study or a second study that will test this questionnaire and it's quantitative readout in parallel to the main study running, so that if we see things about this questionnaire that our research to date has not revealed, we can still make adjustments to the statistical analysis plan of the main approval study. So this parallel study structure, which we'll go into some detail on September 30 in describing, including statistical power or patient numbers, et cetera, is really a -- what we think is a fail-safe design to ensure that not only do we get the PRO in the right form, where we think we have it now, but then to test that in patients prior to unveiling the data from the main study. And that should really give everyone a lot of confidence that this study is going to work and the consequence of it working and getting that frontline approval globally is a fivefold increase in the addressable market for this product. Once again, in NTM, ours is the only approved product in refractory MAC patients. If we get frontline approval and become standard of care, once again, no competition, that's an enormous opportunity for us where we've already proven our commercial capabilities.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#10

Okay. Great. So we'll look forward to the end of the month and maybe get more details there. Thanks for bringing up Japan, too. We didn't touch on that, but it's probably important. Can you just remind people, size of the market you see in Japan? And how you look at your launch there?

William Lewis

executive
#11

Sure. I mean the refractory market in Japan is the largest in the world. And we have built an infrastructure over there under the very capable leadership of Yuji Orihara, who was President of Gilead Japan and launched their Hepatitis C effort. He has done fantastic work in building a core group to be able to enable us to launch ourselves commercially in Japan. That process of regulatory approval is well underway, and we are very confident that, that is going to go our way. Of course, things are always unpredictable, but I would say that the posture of the regulatory authorities in Japan has been very supportive of our efforts. NTM is a serious disease and it's most prevalent in Japan. So the sooner that we can get this drug on the market, I think the better from their point of view. The refractory market, as I said, is the largest in the world in Japan, and it numbers around 17,000 diagnosed patients right now. We would estimate the U.S. in somewhere around the 12,000 to 15,000 range so it's materially larger and we're excited about getting going. We should have our sales force up and running by the end of this calendar year, presuming that the COVID situation resolves itself, those folks will be able to work through a special collaboration we have with the generic NTM antibiotic manufacturer to promote that generic drug that allows us to build relationships with the key prescribers in Japan prior to the approval of our drug. One of the unique things about the Japanese market is you're not allowed to do disease awareness. So this is a very creative way for us to effectively get our presence established and our people known prior to the approval so we can hit the ground running when that approval hits in the middle of next year.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#12

And can you talk about -- obviously, you can't talk about pricing specifically for ARIKAYCE in Japan, but broadly about how products like this are priced in Japan and anything people should think about relative to U.S. pricing?

William Lewis

executive
#13

Yes. So one of the important dynamics is to make sure that there is a good reference price in Japan. They will be using what's called a cost-plus methodology over in Japan, and that will be adjusted upward based on the foreign price index that they cite. Because we are approved in Europe shortly, formally, we will be able to launch in Germany and the United Kingdom, both of which are free pricing environments that allows us to set the price at an appropriate level, and that will be the reference price that Japan index is off of. A consequence of all of this is that we should have an attractive price in Europe and Japan that are appropriate for the narrow populations we serve and will be supportive and not in dramatic disconnect from where we are in the U.S., which obviously nowadays can result in some political challenges.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#14

Okay. Okay. Good. And then maybe we should just touch on Europe. So obviously, as you cited, right, you're close to being able to launch there. Just talk about what your plans are and how you view the market opportunity, especially given that, as you said right there, a couple of countries where you can launch pretty quickly and then there are others, it's going to take a while to get pricing and reimbursement?

William Lewis

executive
#15

Sure. And Europe is always a slow ramp because of what you just described, it's a series of countries, and each one has to do its own processes for setting price, we've enjoyed some success commercially, albeit at a small level in Europe, to date. And you've seen that in our quarterly numbers as our international has done reasonably well, given that we don't have approval there yet. So that's largely under the ATU program in France, where we're reimbursed. We've had about a 150 patients that we've been able to serve with the drug. Now that we are expecting approval imminently, we should be able to launch, as I said, in Germany and France -- pardon me, Germany and the United Kingdom and then move to these other countries. It will take several quarters to get their reimbursement completed. So -- and the addressable market in Europe is significantly smaller. The diagnosed population is about 1,400 refractory patients. We think that's probably understated pretty significantly, but it's going to take a while for that to build and that ramp to grow as that awareness expands. It's a modest commercial infrastructure in Europe because it's a center of excellence model. So we can have impact in the main countries in Europe with a relatively small group. And I think we feel very good about where we are, albeit a modest market opportunity that we hope will grow over time.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#16

Okay. Okay, great. I think that's probably a good point. Maybe we'll transition to from brensocatib. And I guess, maybe for everybody's benefit to just set the context, talk about what you think of key points that you achieved in Phase II? And then what kind of Phase III program you're considering?

William Lewis

executive
#17

Yes. So I want to just take a moment here. If there's one big attention grabbing moment, I would like to put out there for investors, it's to turn your attention to brensocatib. The ARIKAYCE franchise is a very compelling franchise. It is without competition, it is global, it is growing. We have a very strong position there and a very high probability of success in expanding our label, as I said, fivefold. Brensocatib addresses, based on the WILLOW data, the bronchiectasis market as a first disease state, where you're looking at an addressable population at the low end of 0.25 million people in the U.S. nothing approved to treat it. And a price point that is probably -- we don't know, we have a lot of work to do there, but probably somewhere near where Fasenra is for AstraZeneca, that's $30,000 to $40,000 a year. And we think that the addressable market is actually much larger than the 0.25 million that are suggested right now. And that's because both COPD and asthma patients, especially at the severe end, are bronchiectatic. And the literature would suggest that somewhere between 4% and north of 50% of those markets. So if we just take COPD alone, that's 12 million people in the U.S., somewhere between 4% and 50% of that market could be diagnosed and on label for bronchiectasis. Should we secure approval with brensocatib, we are looking at a blockbuster drug. This is a monster of an opportunity and not just because of bronchiectasis, but because the pathway of DPP1 inhibition, we believe, is unlocking something that is similar to complement at Alexion. This is a very significant pathway that directly addresses neutrophil immunomodulation and unlocks the treatment of the inflammatory cascade in a number of diseases, the first of which is bronchiectasis, but which, as we have been studying and we have been learning more and doing more preclinical work, we're seeing positive signs in CF, GPA, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, certainly in models like Crohn's and other inflammatory conditions. We are just at the tip of the iceberg of what DPP1 inhibition can unlock. And so I think this Phase III program, just like the frontline program for ARIKAYCE, both will start by the end of this year. We need to get this started and completed in a quality way, but as fast as possible because what we unlock at the other end of this is a monstrous amount of investor value. And I think we talk often at the company about the importance of treating patients, and that is clearly our focus but for investors who are looking for an opportunity that is going to reveal itself over the coming years that is substantial, it's going to be very hard to find something that is going to unlock the scale of what we are looking at.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#18

Okay. Good point. And yes, I think the commercial opportunity here is obviously quite large. I guess there are a couple of things that are worth touching on. So first, can we talk about the safety profile, right? That's obviously been something that has hurt this class in the past. You obviously did a lot of work in Phase II to make sure that you looked at those events. And I think you feel pretty comfortable about that, but maybe just address that for everybody, so they understand.

William Lewis

executive
#19

Yes. And to go to your earlier question, I didn't address it specifically. We saw primary endpoint was time to pulmonary exacerbation, secondary endpoint was frequency of pulmonary exacerbation. We were statistically significant at the 10-milligram dose on both of those and at the 25-milligram dose on x2 with directionally very strong data on frequency of. What I would say about our data is that it was, to our minds, unbelievably strong and unexpectedly so. We've put out the forest plots to show people that despite the heterogeneity of this patient population, we were effective on almost every measure almost without exception. So the breadth and consistency of the impact of this drug was remarkable. The safety profile, in summary, I would simply say, the dropout rate was higher in placebo than it was in either the 10- or 25-milligram arm. And as we look at the adverse events of special interest, probably the most important thing about DPP1 is a pathway and inhibitor in that class is that we saw impact on the clinical endpoints we wanted to affect in the inflammatory cascade of bronchiectasis, but we did not see an impairment in any way of the importance of the neutrophil and fighting infection. And that's always been the historic concern. But because we didn't see that, it's a really strong outcome. There are some other adverse events of special interest we tracked, nothing that rose to the level of concern. I think we feel very good, and we'll go into this in great detail on September 30 when we do our research day, where we will talk about the Phase III program and how we think about safety and how the regulatory dialogue we've had to date has gone. I would say, overall, probably the best punctuation for this is, as you know, last week, we were published in the New England Journal of Medicine, the results of this study. And there are a handful of drugs that in Phase II get published in the New England Journal. This is the first time in 20 years that the New England Journal has published in bronchiectasis. So this is this is a big deal. One of the spokespeople at the American Thoracic Society, referred to this drug is the holy grail of pulmonary medicine. So although we are enthusiastic in counting the Phase II trial results, I think people can look to the third-party perspectives in the form of these commentators in the New England Journal publication and understand that the industry of and community of physicians thinks this could be a game changer for this disease.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#20

And Will, can you just talk a little bit about scope, size, scale, time lines for Phase III, just broadly? I know you can't maybe talk about details, but just give some -- people some perspective on what this may look like. And then I think second point as you obviously talked about other indications where this drug could be useful. How are you thinking about potentially pursuing them in the near term?

William Lewis

executive
#21

Yes. So what I would say about the Phase III program is we're going to go into great detail on September 30 and describing exactly what that program is and what it's going to look like, number of patients, powering all those sorts of details. Generally speaking, if you look at the historic trials in the treatment of bronchiectasis, they've been twin Phase III programs that have focused on treating bacterial infections. And those have not played out well because reducing the bacterial burden does not link directly to the clinical impact that's needed, which is reducing exacerbations, either in frequency or time till the exacerbation. And what is important about this drug is that the mechanism of action addresses the inflammation that gives rise to those exacerbations, and we demonstrated a statistically significant impact in Phase II already. Historic studies have not done that, and that is one of the major distinctions between our program and the others and why we got published in the New England Journal. I would say that going forward, we intend to power this study in a way to ensure that it is successful. And what I mean by that is, it is always my belief that enrolling in a program in a fulsome way is the surest path to proving out the thesis that underlines the medicine and its use in disease. You saw that in our ARIKAYCE Phase III program, where we had a p-value that was less than 0.0001. And I think we're going to look for the same kind of definitive answer here because we are trying to address all bronchiectasis patients who had 2 or more exacerbations in the last year. Those would be fairly described as moderate-to-severe patients and that's a very big population. So we want a robust study that can address that and secure a label for the treatment of that group.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#22

And one other thing maybe before we move on to 1009. Commercial opportunity, you obviously talked about U.S., and I think people understand the commercial opportunity there. Differences in the commercial opportunity in Japan and Europe, where you're also going to have infrastructure already?

William Lewis

executive
#23

The opportunity is proportionate to the populations over there. It numbers in the hundreds of thousands, if not above, and it will be very dependent on how much we're able to discern that the COPD patients at the severe end are bronchiectatic perhaps a point on that because I think that's going to be the subject of some study in the coming months and years. Unlocking the percentage of asthmatic and COPD patients that are truly bronchiectatic is key to expanding the addressable market and being on label for the treatment of bronchiectasis in these populations. We think those numbers are substantial. Our initial work suggests that they are. If you look at Europe and Japan, there are significant populations of patients who will benefit from this drug if Phase III looks like Phase II. The other place where there is a massive opportunity, and one we're going to be looking at addressing, is China. COPD is epidemic in China. Our estimates put the addressable market for that at over 150 million in patients. And so how we might approach that and what partner we might work with to unlock China is to be determined. But that is a market where we're unlikely to build our own capabilities, obviously. And in the current circumstance, there are some significant challenges to doing so. But over the course of the next period of time, we're going to find the right partner and the right pathway to unlock the substantial value that we think exists over there. All of these markets -- as you pointed out, we've built our own infrastructure in Europe and Japan. We will have experience, having launched refractory NTM and frontline NTM and add to that bronchiectasis. There is a 40% overlap in the call point here in these populations. So we have very little additional infrastructure to add to be able to launch this ourselves. And I think the proof of what we're able to do with ARIKAYCE suggests we'll be commercially successful with brensocatib as well.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#24

Okay, great. For 1009, not an asset that people have historically talked a lot about. I think people are familiar with treprostinil and derivatives. So maybe just talk a little bit about what you're trying to achieve there and how you're progressing that product?

William Lewis

executive
#25

Sure. While it's early, it's exciting. This is a third pillar that we're going to be pursuing at the company, and we want to sort of have the coming-out party at the September 30 event. So we'll be bringing in a KOL to talk about what he sees in this program and where it might have a role to play. I want to be really clear with investors. This is a modest amount of additional capital to move this program through and into Phase II, where we'll have human data next year. My expectation is that this description will profile its potential target product profile, it will give you a very good sense of what this drug, what role it can play. This is a dry powder inhaled version of treprostinil, but it is significantly reformulated. And the consequence of that is localized delivery and benefits that actually go downstream in the animal models and demonstrate remodeling of the disease. And we want to talk about that in detail and validate that in a human model and produce that data next year. So people understand, this is not just a drug that will be improving side effects and be more convenient. Both of those things are going to be true, and they are very important, but it's even more than that in our mind. And as that plays out, I think this drug will begin to have significant intrinsic value. And we have some real expertise inside the company in this arena. Our Chief Product Strategy Officer, Gene Sullivan, who is the former Deputy Director of the Pulmonary division of the FDA, he's also the former Chief Medical Officer of United Therapeutics. So he knows the PAH space well. He's been an important guide as we've looked at this program and validated in our minds that it has something very substantial to contribute to the PAH market, notwithstanding all the products that are already approved.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#26

Okay. All right. Well great. I guess maybe just last -- just touch on the financial profile briefly. In terms of your relative spend and your cash position and how you're thinking about your ability to prosecute what are a large amount of significant studies.

William Lewis

executive
#27

Yes. And so we're going to be focused on execution and moving these studies forward under the very capable leadership of Sara Bonstein, who's our Chief Financial Officer. We currently have over $641 million in cash as of the end of the second quarter. That is very focused on driving these 3 priorities: 1009, brensocatib and the ARIKAYCE franchise. The revenue from the ARIKAYCE franchise is obviously going toward offsetting our cash burn in an important degree, and that will continue as we expand abroad. So I think we feel very good about our current financial profile. And I think in the past, we had said that we had cash that would take us forward several years, we'll have more to say about that at the September Analyst Day, but you can expect that we are in a place where a lot of this work is already accounted for in our planning and resourcing. And that puts us in a very enviable position to be able to produce important data and progress on what are very disruptively large opportunities.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#28

Well great. Well I think that's a great place to end. Thanks for being here. I appreciate the time.

William Lewis

executive
#29

It's a great pleasure. Thanks very much, Matthew.

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