Intrusion Inc. (INTZ) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 24, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorHi, everyone. My name is Jeff, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Intrusion Fourth Quarter 2019 Financial Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Michael Paxton. Sir, you may now begin your conference.
Michael L. Paxton
executiveOkay. Thank you. Welcome to this afternoon's conference call to review Intrusion's fourth quarter 2019 financial results. Also participating on the call today is Joe Head, Senior Vice President and Co-Founder of the company. I will go over our financial results, and Joe will go over current projects and give you business update. We will be glad to answer any questions after our prepared remarks. We distributed the earnings release at approximately 3:05 p.m. Central today. A replay of today's call will be available at approximately 6:30 p.m. tonight for a 1-week period. Replay conference call number, (855) 859-2056, conference ID number 2281388. In addition, a live and archived audio webcast of the call is available at our website, intrusion.com. Please be reminded that during this call, including the question-and-answer session, we may make forward-looking statements, which reflects management's expectations regarding future events and operating performance and speak only as of the date hereof. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements include, without limitations, statements regarding expectations of future revenue, product orders from new and existing customers and profitability and are qualified by the inherent difficulties in forecasting future sales caused by current economic conditions, spending patterns of and appropriations to U.S. government departments, the effects of sales and implementation cycles for our products on our quarterly results and difficulties in accurately estimating market growth, the unpredictability of government and corporate spending on information security products as well as other statements. These statements are made under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Act of '95 and involve risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward-looking statements. The factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations are detailed in the company's most recent report on Form 10-K and 10-Q, particularly under the heading Risk Factors. Now let's move to the financial results. Okay, the fourth quarter and annual 2019 financial highlights from the press release. Revenue for the fourth quarter was $2.6 million compared to $3 million for the fourth quarter 2018. For the year 2019, sales were $13.6 million compared to $10.3 million in 2018. Gross profit margin was 61% in the fourth quarter compared to 63% in the quarter last year. For the year 2019, gross margin was 61% compared to 63% in 2018. Gross profit margin can vary based on product mix of deliverables. Intrusion's fourth quarter 2019 operating expenses were $1.3 million compared to $1 million for the comparable quarter in 2018 and $3.8 million for the fourth quarter -- or for the year 2019 compared to $4 million in 2018. Net income for the fourth quarter was $0.3 million compared to a net income of $0.9 million for the fourth quarter 2018. Net income for the year 2019 was $4.5 million compared to $2.3 million in 2018. Thank you, and now I'll turn the call over to Senior Vice President, Vice Chairman and Co-Founder, Joe Head. Joe?
T. Head
executiveThanks, Mike. In the past 2 quarterly calls, I've touched on 3 items: the prospects for renewing the 2 large orders, which were not set to auto-renew; and steps towards the expansion of our business. As I mentioned in November, funds for new projects and nonprogram of record projects have not cascade down -- have not cascaded down to our customers, so we don't know -- yet know what funding of our 2 bonus projects from fallout money last year will be available. We were told that the next round of funding would fall before Thanksgiving, but nothing happened. I presumed at that time, based on previous similar circumstances, that the money for nonprogram of record funds likely were swept away to fund the $2.7 billion for the wall, but this has not been confirmed. It's taken some time to understand the delay and for our customers to pass from despair to seeking a way forward. And as I come along later in the call, I'll give you some good news on that front. But if we reflect back to where we were in October, November, up until last week when we had the good news on 1 of the big 2, we were told that this whole year might not -- might just be skipped over and that the prospects for unfunded requests were not good. So starting back in October, me and our new sales guy have been focused on all 3 items, investing market energy to get new business to grow our base in case the fallout funds for the 2 big ones just didn't come through this year, but also staying in front of the 2 prospects to increase our chances of renewing them as well. Now both of those looks like they'll be successful, but not without a dry spell, while we waited. Recall last time, I reported, over the past year, we've built new capabilities in 3 areas: one, improvements to Savant and Savant Threat Analysis, which is our Hadoop-based analysis system. We can talk about later, if you want, in the question and answer. We built the TraceCop machine learning capabilities into a new platform, along with adding some new TraceCop data sets and started work on novel, new kind of, security solution in the Zero Trust space, which complements Savant and STA without competing with it. We also built cash, paid off our debt and hired some new staff to help our push into the new areas. As you know, I hired a new salesman to push Savant and Savant Threat Analysis into the Department of Defense space and the groups that we didn't know previously, and he got on board in Q3 last year. Far from being a sales -- just a salesman, our new hire has a Bachelor's, Master's and Doctored in Electrical Engineering and is one of the best cybersecurity folks around. As we grow -- have grown into this new area, I've been excited about what we've stirred up in new customer projects and portions of DoD, who I've never worked with. To that end, we compiled a list of DoD entities that we should call on, and we've also compiled a list of programs, where he has connections -- previous connections to, and he began interacting with them for sales opportunities. So today, I'm happy to report that via his efforts, we've developed relationships with 4 new customers who are in the process of putting new contracts in place for us. These 4 represent $6 million to $8 million of potential orders this year. I say potential orders, but we actually haven't forecasted, so not pie in the sky potential. And the first 2 are proceeding to contracts on their first few items to put under contract as we speak. By my count, we took the 16 we were working on in Q4 and turned 4 into the forecasting -- forecasted orders in 2020. In addition to those 4, we're now working on 19 new prospects and expect that pipeline to grow throughout the year. The ratio of larger projects continues to improve. Also as we've pushed hard to develop new relationships, we've built some good ones. And to our surprise, I found a number of teams that already knew us and were looking at solutions right in our sweet spot. So we had 1 of our Savant STA customers refer us to 2 companies in their industry that have suffered breaches, while our customers stayed safe. We see this as a great opportunity, but one where we don't have enough staff to go and engage the wider commercial marketplace, even though we have a few good customers purely in the commercial space, ready to offer good referrals. Further, over the last quarter, we've been pondering how best to expand our marketing and sales. To that end, I've been talking to a few potential partners or those who can introduce us to potential partners as a way to expand the sales of our products outside our normal DoD customer base. No question, we'll find some success in instrumentation of DoD with STA and Savant this year, but we believe the broader commercial market is ready for a more complete solution. So back to our renewal of the 2 non-automatically renewing projects. Last week, our customer for last year's $2.4 million project that ended in September told us that their goal is to have us back under contract in billing by April 1. And toward the larger of the 2, they have 1 data purchase order that they might even get out in March, but we'll see about time whether that gets us to March or -- in billing in March or April. But that will give us back toward the level I guided last time about those 2 combined being about half of last year's run. This project has several elements in the TraceCop and Savant space, which are ongoing and we've discussed before, but one of the prime movers is a new technology we've been working on for about 6 months. If we're going to go through the goals of a defender, his job is to make it harder for an adversary to penetrate, to operate and remain undetected in his infrastructure. So far, our Savant STA and Savant products and TraceCop as well primarily address just 2 of those 3. They help you prevent an adversary from operating and remaining undetected in your network, lets you trace them and attribute them. It doesn't stop them from initially penetrating. So last year, we participated in the conception of a novel way to make it harder for an adversary to penetrate, too. This is the area, which has proven most elusive because a large number of unaddressed threats and realities, which I won't bore you with on this call, but we can talk about that separately if you want. This new thrust will make it much harder to penetrate a network in the first place and harder to spread through an enclave by changing the approach radically. For sure, this is what all antivirus and security products are marketed to do, but the ongoing number of breaches and huge sums of money being paid to ransomware criminals underscore that the world's current enclave of network, desktop and host penetration defenses just aren't working. This new set of solutions will be novel and greatly reduce the number of adversaries and methods that can stay in the compromised game. We've worked out that there will be a free version available to DoD and perhaps others in the federal government, but Intrusion will offer paid subscriptions and services to layer on top of the solution. Independent of that, like I said before, we believe that the $2.4 million will be back under contract and billing in Q2. And they have some funds to commit toward the larger contract that was not auto-renewed from the original team that sponsored it. As I mentioned last time, it looks like the 2 will run about half of last year's revenues initially, but with the net upside -- but with net upside, as we booked the other 4r new businesses -- business opportunities discussed above, plus a few others will increase us above that. We'll make sure to keep our customers happy, as we always do, and continue to add new and ever larger opportunities to our pipeline for next year. We were disappointed that funds our customers would have competed for to renew our 2 nonautomatic renewals went 100% -- I assume, went 100% to the wall, but we doubled our sales efforts to fill that potential hole with new projects only to learn last week that they expect us to back -- have us back under contract in Q2 as well. So we're excited to see that our new sales efforts have stirred up new opportunities as well as seeking a sales partner to further add to our sales channel and optimize shareholder value. Mike?
Michael L. Paxton
executiveOkay, Joe. Thank you for your business update. You covered a lot of ground, and we have a lot of work and challenges in front of us. Thank you for your attendance today and for your continued support of Intrusion, and special thanks to our dedicated employees. We have a tremendous team here at Intrusion. I'd like to go ahead and end the prepared remarks, so we could get on to the questions. Operator, could you please remind the participants how to queue up for questions?
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have one question from [ Howard Brous ].
Unknown Analyst
analystMike, Joe, basically, this whole issue for the first quarter, and this was not a surprise, was the United States budget. Is that a fair comment?
T. Head
executiveAbsolutely.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd personally, I believe your wall is more important than the other wall that people are talking about, but that's just my own personal opinion. Just going through a few items that I'd like to address given the budget the way it is. Going back to discussions we've had in the past, there have been several Savant and Savant STA orders that you believe were in the pipeline. Can you discuss those in particular? There was one for $2 million to $3 million and one for maybe $6 million or $8 million. Where do you stand on those, in particular?
T. Head
executiveThe one $6 million or $8 million has not -- I'm still interacting with the team, but it hadn't gotten down to plans. I don't know if they've delayed. It was moving into a new facility, and I'm not sure of their time line, but I'm still talking to those guys about every 2 weeks. If not dead, but it's not kind of imminent. At first, I thought they were going to be moving in by June and will be placing the order about now. And it looks like they're placing orders maybe by June. So not dead, but not as hot as I wanted it to be. On the other one that was going to be a couple of million, that one is actually one that's developed pretty well. We've got -- we're engaged with a couple of outfits in DoD that are charged with a wider responsibility to basically chase down problems as they occur in real time by sending teams on the ground to go sniff out what's happened, when something happens. And then there's also some proactive elements that go out and instruments, DoD contractors or help them with what to do. And that's kind of in the middle of what we've been working on for the last quarter, and that actually looks pretty decent. But what's interesting, Howard, is that what I didn't expect is I thought we would be only instrumenting with our Savant and adding basically our own data and our analysis only. And the teams that we're working with actually have a lot of history and a lot of instrumentation already there. And so there are actually a number of these new opportunities in that $5 million to $8 million I mentioned. Of the new stuff, it's actually going to be us enriching on our -- with our STA enrichment products to their data and then do an analysis of the combination of our data plus their data, which is better for us in lots of ways.
Unknown Analyst
analystI absolutely understand that. When we looked at the third quarter, it was about $3.5 million in procurement and the $6.5 million hope to go into procurement. Where do we stand, not on the $3.5 million, but on the potential, the $6.5 million in procurement? And that's without these 2 large orders. Is that a correct statement?
T. Head
executiveI think I was still hoping that the $2.4 million would come in, in the fourth quarter, which it did not. And so what was the bookings fourth quarter, Mike?
Michael L. Paxton
executiveI don't have that right in front of me. Let's see.
T. Head
executiveSo I think the delta between that number and what we booked was the $2.4 million, Howard. That's more by Joe's mind, and Mike's the financial wizard. I'm the techie engineer guy.
Michael L. Paxton
executiveMaybe it's $4.4 million.
T. Head
executiveYes. So I think we've got $4.4 million, so the delta is the $2.4 million that didn't come in on the one renewal.
Michael L. Paxton
executiveYes.
Unknown Analyst
analystHas anything come in from January 1 through today that you haven't announced?
Michael L. Paxton
executiveI can't recall the exact-- which ones came in and...
T. Head
executiveWe've had some, but we haven't announced any of the new ones yet. But as I've thought -- inferred here, we've been holding our breath waiting on some of the…
Michael L. Paxton
executiveNo, we haven't had any of these new customer orders come in.
T. Head
executiveNo. So we just -- after this call, I'll -- we'll end up finishing the proposal for the first of the 4, which we'll submit tonight. And they'll have us under contract by March 2.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo I understand that, basically, the shortfall isn't your business, it's procurement from the United States government.
T. Head
executiveCorrect.
Unknown Analyst
analystThat's -- has that process -- wrong word. But basically, you're seeing it open up and having the ability once you get the contracts to put them into procurement and have them accept. Is that a fair comment?
T. Head
executiveCorrect. And then -- and further, some I didn't say in the prepared remarks, but is nonetheless true. I haven't had anybody tell me that all this money got swept for the wall, but where did they get $2.7 billion other than stealing everybody else's lunch money? And so what we did starting in October is we actually hunted down programs that were already funded that couldn't get their money stolen because they were too important. You can kind ask them, do they have the budget and then we engaged with the guys that had the money, sort of like the old Jesse James stories. You rob banks because that was where the money was. We've been prospecting people that we knew had money and wouldn't have to wait until next September to get some.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo when you're looking, notwithstanding the issue of timing, which obviously isn't hitting the first quarter. But basically, if I add up all of these contracts that you expect the one -- the $2.4 million, the -- all of these, you're talking about $18 million in contracts. Does that sound about right for this year?
T. Head
executiveI don't know if we...
Michael L. Paxton
executiveI don't have a reason to doubt your numbers there, Howard.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay.
Michael L. Paxton
executiveYes. So I think, straight add up of the potentials plus the run rate, I might -- it might be a little less than that. But that's roughly, right.
T. Head
executiveYes.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have one next question from [ Ross Taylor ].
Unknown Analyst
analystGentlemen, as Howard said, I am not surprised by the fact that you won't be able to really kind of kick the top line into gear this quarter since it does seem that we are playing politics with our national security again, but that's editorial comment. R&D and sales increased fairly significantly year-over-year in the fourth quarter. I assume the R&D is the new product initiatives. Can you talk about how long you think it takes to get that R&D money into sales revenues? And how big the market opportunity is that you see in these new products?
Michael L. Paxton
executiveWell, the R&D increase was because we normally had those folks under cost of sales working on billable projects. And they weren't working billable projects as normal last year in the fourth quarter.
T. Head
executiveYes. And I would take that one step to more extreme. The amount of R&D we had last year was smaller than we would have otherwise wanted it to be because we just -- we're out of people. So we've got those 2 big ones, we basically stole all of our R&D. Right now, as Mike said, we've got more on R&D than we would wish just because they're not billing on these contracts that will have them yet. But to your point about the size of the market and what are we spending money on, there's a number of brand new things that we're doing that I'm pretty excited about. For example, one that we've pondered for a long time and have not done as much of it as I expected to do is monitoring multilevel networks where you can have top secret and secret and unclassified in the same building to actually put together instrumentation on all 3 networks to see if something happened. And you can have a bad guy move a file by hand from the top secret to the secret network by mistake, and we like our instrumentation to be able to catch that. So the R&D we've been doing is to address some broad problems that just don't have viable solutions. We've had that in Savant to do check sums, but then the ability to compare them. We're adding a bunch of functions to expand our market. The other piece I think is substantial, Ross, is the automatic creation of reports. As we've done relatively a few amount of customers, and we're looking at suddenly doing reports for up to 7,000 or so customers, you can't do that by hand because there's just not that many wizards. So we've spent a good part of the last 2 years doing machine-generated auto reports, so that when the gusher occurs and we hit that elbow, we won't be out trying to hire people that don't exist. So there's so much out there.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And -- so it sounds like you have a lot of really strong opportunities. You're looking at what should be another year that generate you some nice top line growth. Obviously, you have a wildcard with some projects because of the way the feds are spending money. But you also now have paid off your debt, and you're generating pretty substantial free cash flow going forward. Have you guys retained anyone to help you advise on strategic alternatives, whether it would be the sale of the company or the buying back of stock or things of that nature? And 3 answers, that could be a yes, a no or a no comment, which means, yes, by the way.
T. Head
executiveI mean obviously, we think the same things you guys think, and we're sentient. So as I've said a couple of times, the shape of which I'm lobbying for is I see a huge commercial opportunity, and growing that inside is just not an option. And so you can view that as partnering by various methods. And obviously, we're looking at those. And that's also kind of an interesting time-related challenge is you don't always want to wait for the next horizon. But in this particular case, dang, going from government DoD to commercial is a huge swing in addressable market and potential sales and market cap that you don't want to give up on or you see that elbow. But that is essentially our largest challenge, is how do you find. We've played in the past, and I don't know if you've been on previous calls a couple of years ago, but we had one kind of dream large partner a few years ago and then it initially went out at about 50 customers. But then they turned around and stabbed us and took the potential business in-house and just did it with their own staff. And so we found that while they were doing it, they sort of sucked at it and didn't quite develop the stuff that you would wish to be sold. And they didn't position it well nor push it very well. And one of their dreams was actually to go to all of their customers, which was tens of thousands and give an option to push a button and get a $5,000 report. And we had that coded over 2 years ago, and it's sitting there waiting for somebody to care. And so that's not one of those things that falls out as quickly as I would like my horizon. If you can't do it in 2 weeks, it's infinite. And so we've been working that for a while of trying to see who would be a suitable partner from a trust and a scale perspective. And certainly, we're talking to other people. That's my comment in the last paragraph of efforts to stir up as well as seeking a sales partner to further add to our channel and optimize shareholder value.
Michael L. Paxton
executiveYes.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo when you -- yes, when you look at it, so yes, so it would -- to me, it would make sense, a couple of things. One is that if you choose to stay independent, I believe you should list, on a significant exchange, you should probably be retiring shares because you're going to generate free cash flow. And the other side is it looks to me that you're probably sitting in a situation where it's not unrealistic to see you potentially doubling your top line over the next 2 to 3 years with that is -- I mean it just seems that's probably fairly achievable given the penetration of commercial and the other government business. So -- and with your ability to drop revenues through to free cash flow and to drop revenues through to EPS, it strikes me as this is an incredibly -- would be a lucrative time to -- as I said, if you were going to be independent, if you plan on being independent in 2 or 3 years to actually take advantage of what seems like a pretty significant dislocation in the market.
Michael L. Paxton
executiveAgreed. It just didn't make quarters like last quarter any less awful. When you're just our size or the big one, if you don't renew, you just feel like you're awl.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. Patience is not a virtue I was born with, but I think that in the case of working with this administration, one has to. I mean obviously, you're not losing business. You're simply not getting it right now. It sounds like from the comments you're making, the need and the recognition of the need is greater today than it was a year ago.
T. Head
executiveYes. And I was -- and honestly, I was sort of purposely understating. I wanted to be -- the reason I read a few more words than I usually do is this new product that we've ginned up is not yet as important as TraceCop and Savant and STA, but it is. And I'm kind of modeling it sort of like a red hat thing where you have this wonderful thing that you give away to DoD for free because that was the deal I made with the guy that he and I figured it out together. But it has some nice potential that I would really like to see come along because, right now, as we described security market now, it's like taking puppies to a sword fight with gladiators. They're just -- that's the way we are with all of our computers. They're all made in China. Anything the Chinese want on it, they put on it when they made the damn thing. And so that -- we wonder why we got eaten by everybody. We're going to a battle of wits unarmed in the security space. And so that's the business we've been in, is to help make it much harder to get not detected and make it easier to trace, but that's a highly specialized niche. I think when we get to the point where you can say, "Here's a thing you can download and add to your mix," and it makes it fundamentally, you take off the table the vast majority of enemies and leave yourself with a few, and that makes your day easier. And I'd say there is nothing like that right now. Everybody says they do, but it's sort of like stone age solutions to warfare. You find out later they didn't work that well.
Unknown Analyst
analystI would agree with you. I have a family member in cyber in the Pentagon, and I would definitely agree that what you're saying is very true, and the needs you're addressing are very real. I will only comment you haven't met my puppy. Yes. I'll let someone else ask some questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. Please continue.
Michael L. Paxton
executiveAll right. Operator, we'll wrap up the call at this time. Thank you for participating in today's call. If you did not receive a copy of the press release or if you have further questions, you can contact me at (972) 301-3658, email mpaxton@intrusion.com. Thanks a lot.
Operator
operatorThat concludes today's conference. Thank you, everyone, for participating. You may now disconnect.
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