Ion Beam Applications SA (IBAB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
March 21, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Olivier Lechien
executiveHello, and welcome to IBA's Full Year 2023 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand over to Olivier Legrain, Chief Executive Officer of IBA.
Olivier Legrain
executiveThank you, Olivier. Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for joining us today on our results call. Together with me, we have our CFO, Soumya Chandramouli; and Henri de Romrée, newly appointed Deputy Chief Executive Officer. Before we begin, I would like to draw your attention to the company disclaimer on forward-looking statements. Here is a summary of our call today. I will start with an overview of IBA performance and progress in 2023 as well as the performance of the Proton Therapy and Dosimetry. Henri will discuss the performance of Other Accelerators, and Soumya will provide us with the comments on the financials and the outlook before I open the line for questions. This slide will be familiar. It outlines the growth dynamics within the different business units, which remain unchanged. But as highlighted before, our focus is on backlog delivery, maintaining growth momentum and selective investment to support the growth. We will outline progress on these drivers as we get into the detail of each business unit. The next few slides outline some important figures for 2023 financial results. Starting with revenue. As you can see, we achieved double-digit revenue growth in 2023, with accelerated backlog conversion in the second half of the year. Other Accelerators had a record year with 51% increase in revenue. Dosimetry also saw strong growth with a more modest uptick for Proton Therapy. Next, we have laid out order intake of 2023. It's important to note that the group 2022 comparable is related to one-off boost from Proton Therapy contract in Spain. With that in mind, 2023 order intake is encouraging with Dosimetry performing particularly strong. Moving on to the important topic of backlog. This remains at EUR 1.4 billion at the group level, and you will see here all the split out. The second half of 2023, we saw a strong conversion of backlog across that business. During the period, we made good progress on all four of our sustainability streams. In particular, I'd like to highlight the research launched recently on environmental applications of electron-beam technology, our B Corp recertification now in progress. The ESG mapping exercise started with EcoVadis on our supply chain. And finally, Oncia Community, an employee-inspired initiative to accelerate the expansion of holistic cancer support centers. I will now hand over to Soumya as we take a look at the key financials for 2023.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveGood afternoon, everyone. So as anticipated, 2023 was significantly second half weighted with strong backlog conversion across the board. As a result, a positive REBIT was achieved for the full year. However, on the back of financial and tax expenses, the net result for the year was a loss of EUR 9.1 million. The dividend proposal of EUR 0.17 per share reflects the performance of the year. And on the cash front, we're in a good position and also have undrawn credit lines for EUR 40 million available as needed. Looking more closely at the first versus second half comparator. The strong catch-up is very clear, reflective of the backlog cycle, particularly within PT and Industrial Solutions. Now as we start to look at OpEx year-on-year, investments are key to the growth of the different businesses, and this chart highlights the fact that although there was an absolute increase in OpEx which included, among others, investment in recruitment, digital initiatives and infrastructure, there was a reduction as a percentage of sales as we continue with our targeted investment approach alongside tight control on costs. I now hand over to Olivier for a closer look at Proton Therapy.
Olivier Legrain
executiveLooking at our delivery within PT, we're pleased to note good progress against our objectives. There are currently 33 projects under construction or installation. On order intake, particularly interesting projects sold in the period was the full restoration at MGH in Boston, which was IBA's first-ever big installation sold in 1992. Progress has also been made within the framework of the ongoing CGN partnership in China. And in terms of technology investments, FLASH research agreement were initiated in 2023. Taking a look at order intake at a geographical level. We see there continues to be global interest in IBA's PT offering with sales in the U.S., Europe and New Zealand. Now looking at all that PT backlog is comprised. We have, as I said, a total of 33 projects globally made up of 9 Proteus PLUS and 24 Proteus ONE systems. IBA remains a market leader in proton therapy in terms of new sales, booms in operation and overall market share, which now stands at 42%. Looking ahead, we are confident in maintaining this market-leading position and the pipeline is strong, particularly in Asia and in the U.S. Looking at overall performance of Proton Therapy over the year. PT benefited from the second half catch-up and the growing service business which contributed to a 4.7% growth in revenue year-on-year. Proton Therapy REBIT decreased to minus EUR 23.4 million. This related to a combination of factors, delays in backlog conversion of some Proteus PLUS project in China; overall project mix, including older lower-margin projects; investing in future growth, particularly into manufacturing capacity and research and development; and costs related to inflation and foreign exchange. Moving on to Dosimetry. We are pleased to be making good progress on gaining market share in Dosimetry with very high order intake for full year of EUR 67 million. This progress has been boosted by several hardware and software product launches during the year. [ Post period ] end, we were pleased to acquire the Californian-based business, Radcal, strengthening our offering in medical imaging quality assurance. You'll note on this slide that we have visualized our 2023 progress, product launches, including DOSE-X, a next-generation reference class electrometer, which has already reached sales of more than 300 units. On the geographical expansion side, this has been achieved both to winning new contracts as well as acquisitions such as Radcal in 2023 and Modus in 2022. In addition, dosimetry expertise in several countries were further strengthened with new hire in particular in India and China. This has been a strong year for Dosimetry with sales increasing by more than 20% order intake, being also REBIT recovered significantly following last year's investment in R&D and supply chain-related cost increases. Backlog also increased in the year, reflecting the high order intake. I will now hand over to Henri, our newly appointed Deputy CEO, with a focus on overseeing the Other Accelerators business and the very exciting growth opportunities we see there.
Henri de Romrée
executiveThanks, Olivier, and great to be here with you today to provide what is my first update on the Other Accelerators performance. It's been indeed another busy year for the Other Accelerators team with continued uptick in sales of existing technologies while also exploring future opportunities. Before deep diving together with you, I think there are two elements that are standing out. First, within the radiopharmacy business. There has been good progress with the theranostic development, including actinium-225. I'll provide you more details on PanTera on the next slide. Within industrial, we have made excellent advances in backlog conversion as well as growing the service side of the offering. Now deep diving on RadioPharma Solutions on the next slide. IBA leads the market for radioisotope production accelerator, placing it in an excellent position to grasp the growing markets for both diagnostic and therapeutic isotopes such as astatine-221 and actinium-225. In 2023, there were a number of important milestones. First, IBA sold its 100th Cyclone KIUBE cyclotron, underlining its world-leading position in the mid energy cyclotron markets. Moreover, AKURACY, a product for cardiac applications, was also launched. On PanTera, the joint venture between IBA and SCK has made significant progress. First, with the supply agreement secured with TerraPower during the year, and postpaid and capacity reservation agreements were signed with Bayer and another undisclosed customer. Active discussions with further partners are ongoing. The construction of PanTera large-scale production facility in Mol, Belgium is expected to begin in 2025. It's important to note that the wider market clearly sees the potential of radiopharmaceuticals. The last few months have seen the acquisition of RayzeBio upon biopharma infusion just yesterday by a large pharma at multibillion product valuations. Moving to industrial. Revenue saw a more than 110% increase year-on-year, driven by increasing equipment and service contracts. Order intake was lower than 2022 related to post-COVID normalization. To prepare for the future larger installed base, ideas focused on the strengthening of the size and expertise of the industrial team, especially on the U.S. It's important to note as well that interest in E-beam and X-ray technologies as an alternative to ethylene oxide and gamma-based sterilization continues to grow. In terms of growth opportunity, IBA is exploring as well, how it might apply its industrial solution to environmental applications, including treating for other chemicals in wastewater. On the next slide, taking a look at the specific performance details. Order intake was EUR 81 million. Revenue increased by over 50%, with equipment seeing a particularly strong increase to EUR 99.1 million. The strong performance was driven by high-value backlog conversion and service growth, resulting in a REBIT of EUR 23.7 million. Now over to Soumya to talk about the numbers in more detail.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveThanks, Henri. Looking at the P&L at the group level. Sales grew by 19%, driven by all the factors explained earlier on by Olivier and Henri, including high backlog conversion, Dosimetry sales growth and overall strength in the service business with the Other Accelerators business having a particularly strong year. Gross margin decreased partially driven by product mix, but also reflecting the one-off impact of a customer bankruptcy of 2022. There was an increase in SG&A and R&D as we continue to invest in the future growth of the group, alongside high inflation. Although these expense lines decreased as an overall percentage of top line, demonstrating control of costs. The other expenses line was impacted by stock option costs and reorganizational costs, which were partly offset by a gain on an IP contribution to PanTera. Once again, financial expenses were impacted by currency evolution, in particular, in the USD and in some hyperinflationary environment. The high current tax level was mostly due to increase in business in Asia, while deferred taxes were written off partially in Belgium. As a result of all this, we reported a net loss of EUR 9.1 million compared to a net profit of EUR 6.1 million in 2022. Looking at the consolidated cash flow statement. The swing in operational cash flow reflects the increase in inventory and down payments to suppliers, alongside the increase in backlog conversion. 2022 had included large down payments received from customers on order intake. Cash flow used in investing activities decreased, although CapEx increased on backbone and infrastructure relating to product management, ERP implementation and building improvements. It's also worth noting that 2022 has included acquisitions in Dosimetry. Cash flow in financing activities included the dividend paid on 2022 results and debt repayments. 2022 had also included the early reimbursement of a term loan and the acquisition of treasury shares. Now on the balance sheet, I won't spend too long, but it is worth reiterating that IBA continues to have a strong balance sheet, underpinned by a good net cash position of EUR 68 million and credit lines still available. So this summarizes the financial highlights for the year. We also discussed the details, but just to recap. The strong revenue growth in the year reflects a very good second half with accelerated backlog conversion across the business. Other Accelerators and Dosimetry, in particular, had very strong years. The group net loss reflects the challenges for the Proton Therapy business and the continued investment required for future growth. I'll now pass back to Olivier for outlook.
Olivier Legrain
executiveToday, we have reiterated our midterm guidance. I would also like to highlight the progress against this guidance. We are still targeting 15% CAGR on '22 to '26 revenues. We are well on track to achieve this with 18% increase in revenue in '23. We are aiming to deliver 10% REBIT on sales by '26, which will be heavily weighted after '24. In terms of progress, we expect the REBIT margin to improve in '24 with lower inflation and proportional R&D expenses. Finally, CapEx will remain around EUR 10 million to EUR 12 million per year until '26 to support increased investment for the future. '23 CapEx figures of EUR 12.3 million reflects this. I'll finish by mentioning that the Board will recommend a dividend, as we have already stated, of EUR 0.17 per share to the general assembly in June. Let's -- finally a quick look at what's coming up for IBA this year. Alongside our usual financial calendar events, we are looking forward to attending a range of industry conferences. In addition, we'll keep you posted on plan for the Capital Market Day in the later part of the year. I would like now to open the floor for questions.
Olivier Lechien
executive[Operator Instructions]
Laura Roba
analystLaura Roba, Banque Degroof Petercam. Congratulations on the results. I have three questions to start. So first of all, on Proton Therapy, how do you look at backlog conversion for 2024? And then how should we look at the evolution of the overheads and the R&D expenses in that division as well? So I guess that actually my question is, can we expect to see an improvement in profitability already in 2024? Secondly, a bit of the same question for the Other Accelerators in a sense that we have seen strong growth in '23, but we know that there is this COVID overstocking effect and that the order intake decreased. So what can we expect for 2024? Can we still expect some growth? And then still in the Other Accelerators, what is the likelihood to see new entrants in the high-energy machine segment?
Olivier Legrain
executiveThank you, Laura. So I will start by answering your question on overhead and R&D in Proton Therapy. I think we have read the closing altitude when it comes to expense rate for overhead and to a certain extent to R&D as well, even though we'll have the people that we have hired in the course of '23 will be fully in the P&L of '24. So we might see a slight increase but we're close to our, let's say, closing altitude, so we should not expect much more, let's say, OpEx in Proton Therapy in '24. On the backlog conversion, we'll see a progressive increase starting in '24, but really delivering in '25, especially as we will start to execute. In the later part of '25, we are taking a contract in full blast. So in other words, we'll start to ship the first of the machine late '25. So definitely, we'll see a start of the increase in '24 and then a much stronger backlog conversion in '25. The mix will be more favorable as well as we will slowly see the lower-margin products being converted and the new order intake started to kick in, and we were able to normalize the gross margin in this contract. So it will also help, let's say, not only convert but also to improve the gross margin in Proton Therapy. And this will be supported as many sites will go into clinical by a strong increase in service revenue. And there as well, we have at least focus on improving the profitability as we are going to reach a typical milestone, so to speak. So all this will certainly contribute to the guidance in '26, and we will progressively see the impact definitely in '25 and to a certain extent, in '24. When it comes to Other Accelerators, Henri, you want to take the question? I can take the third one, for sure which is, do we expect to see every new entrant in the high energy or the high power -- it's more the high-power machine. I think we keep a very strong hedge on this. There's a number of initiatives going on, but I don't think there is anything really threatening our positioning in the high-end or in the high-power segment, especially in X-ray. So I think we have a minimum 5 years ahead of competition, and we intend to keep that edge alive , especially as we innovate faster, not only we deliver machines or medical device sterilization, but everything we do in theranostic, for instance, also help us to continue to improve the machine. In terms of performance the overall X-ray, it goes beyond the machine as well. We developed additional competence in how to deal with -- how to convert it even to X-ray, which I believe is very unique as well as what to do with E-beam, this kind of very high-power beam. You also need to develop expertise that we do. So I think the innovation flow, let's say, makes me quite comfortable on keeping the competitive edge in that segment. When it comes to numbers, Henri?
Henri de Romrée
executiveI'll comment on the trend and then maybe, Soumya, you can spit out what are the key numbers you feel at ease to share at this stage. But I think if you talk about post-COVID normalization in the sterilization industry, from where I sit, I think we can say this is -- we are over it. So I think we can resume with, I would say, normal growth momentum. And I see, therefore, no reason to think that we will deviate from what has been guided as an overall growth momentum. From a macro perspective, as discussed, we see that IBA is at the forefront of many positive developments of the accelerators business, which gives for me additional assurance that we can meet the set expectations for that business.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveYes. And on OpEx, a little bit like in proton. I think we'll strongly start to reach a plateau where we'll kind of flat out. But in 2024, we will still have some increase, which will come from digital initiatives from the fact that we continue to invest in our service road map for the installed base, which is continuing to grow in industrial and then PS in radiopharma also, and then in the production area where we have to deliver a lot of machines to our customers. And so to support the backlog conversion, we will see some increase in overall production costs, but nothing that will be major versus necessity. So we have David first?
David Vagman
analystSo I've got two questions. So first, on the Other Accelerator, could you come back, break down a bit the improvement in profitability we saw in H2? So if I'm correct, the -- you had like a 50% fall through to the bottom line. So I mean from like the sales improvement and looking at the profitability improvement, so what does it mean for the gross margin? And what does it mean for the -- of you allocate, I guess, the profitability per contract? Maybe to start with this question first.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveI'm not sure I completely understand your question, David, but I can try to explain maybe how the numbers add up from H1 to H2. So basically, our OpEx are pretty reasonably linear between H1 and H2, slightly higher in H2 than H1, but I would say overall half and half. So when there's an improvement of the profitability REBIT level, it's because the overall absolute gross margin is bigger in value and is able to absorb those OpEx better than in other period. And that's exactly what happened in 2023. So basically, we did in the Other Accelerator area, nearly 3x more gross margin in absolute value than in H1, which allowed us, therefore, to much better absorb these OpEx and improve profitability.
Olivier Legrain
executiveOperational leverage.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveExactly. In terms of gross margin, it remained more or less the same between the two periods. So that was not the major driver because as you know, in the Other Accelerator business, we already have good margins, much more market competitive margins.
David Vagman
analystAnd you don't have also operating leverage at the gross margin level in the sense that the same...
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveYes. To some extent, but it's of a lesser extent in the Other Accelerator business than for PT. Because in PT, we have all of our sites that are across more than 40 countries. And so there, there is much more opportunity for that operational leverage than for the industrial business, where we don't have permanent operations in every country.
David Vagman
analystOkay. And then when we look at the H2 profitability, what kind of conclusion should we draw for the coming years, basically, if you've achieved this? My model is a bit stuck, but I have like more than 20% EBIT margin, I think, in H2?
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveWell, I think you have the midterm guidance, and that's what we are targeting.
Olivier Legrain
executiveI think what it shows, David, is that 12 months is a better cycle than 6 months, unfortunately, so to speak. So I think you should look more at the average than the absolute value for 6 months. I basically get a bit of a reverse message than the one ahead after the first half. First half is not representative. I think second half is not fully representative either. And I think the average is more representative of our business reality today.
David Vagman
analystOkay. And still, that means slightly close to 18% REBIT margin in 2023, so...
Olivier Legrain
executiveOther Accelerators.
David Vagman
analystYes, Other Accelerators. So is that something which you don't have given that, okay, there has been very good backlog conversion or you were saying that it is sort of coming back.? You had a bit of a trough, but it should be coming back? So yes, how should we be thinking about the profitability of Other Accelerator a bit normalized, let's say, 2026 or I mean, going further?
Olivier Legrain
executiveYes. I think the other rate is a good normalization in fact, [ 1 5 ]. But we don't guide on this, but you did a good calculation.
David Vagman
analystOkay. Okay. It's very clear. And my second question then on working capital. If you could guide us a bit or help us to understand how we should be thinking about the working capital development and free cash flow overall for the next 2 to 3 years.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveDavid, I think we've had a very strong cycle over the past couple of years where we had a lot of down payments coming in from customers on the back of the high order intake levels. And I think 2023, as you saw, the working capital has reversed as we start to construct all the equipment and deliver all those machines. And so inventory goes up, and obviously, that means that cash went down. So we should see this trend continuing into 2024 and then stabilizing by end of 2024 and remaining more or less the same, i.e., still negative working cap for the first half of 2024, at least because we actually expect to receive quite a lot of big down payments in second half of 2025. You may remember I had already mentioned that the Spanish 10-room contract is not a very strong one on the down payment terms. And so that does have an effect, especially because we are building 10 machines at the same time. And there, the portion of the cash flow really come in only second half of 2025 as we start to deliver those machines.
David Vagman
analystOkay. And so you said same trend in 2024 then to stabilize sort of in 2025?
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveYes. Yes.
David Vagman
analystOkay. With down payment then coming in H2.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveSecond half of 2025, correct. We have Thomas?
Thomas Vranken
analystThis is Thomas Vranken from KBC Securities filling in for my colleague, Michiel. Two from my side as well. Maybe the first one is on the Proton Therapy side there. I just wanted to have a bit more of a feeling of how you think about pricing power going forward. And we see that market share is slowly increasing with the exit of Varian. How do you think about that, let's say, over the next 2, 3 years?
Olivier Legrain
executiveI think we have there as well, I think the competitive environment is very sufferable. So I expect to see the same kind of market share and same kind of pricing power. I think we continue to improve, let's say, our competitive advantage faster of our value proposal faster than competition. So and I think market share, market share, it's fairly well expected and pricing power should be as well.
Thomas Vranken
analystAnd do you expect an increase on that on the back of that strong market share?
Olivier Legrain
executiveYou mean increase of...
Thomas Vranken
analystPricing power.
Olivier Legrain
executivePricing power? I think it has already significantly improved. Now the question is the right level as well for the customers to be able to swallow it somehow. So taking into account that the inflation has made overall Proton Therapy project more expensive. So I can put it another way. I expect to see our margin going slowly where it should be, which we don't guide. But I think power has dramatically improved over the last couple of years, let's say. I don't think we will see a major change on that. But it will really help us in terms of gross margin recognition going forward, gross margin in proton.
Thomas Vranken
analystOkay. And my second question was with regards to the rollout of the new industrial applications like, for example, those forever chemicals. Just to have a bit of a feeling in terms of how you think about time lines here. Do you already anticipate material contributions in the course of the next 3 years?
Olivier Legrain
executiveI think the -- maybe I'll take it over here. So what we have done now is a proof of concept. So we have taken some ongoing carbon filters. And we have demonstrated that using an electron beam multi-radiation of -- I don't remember if we do it, either it's called [ MIMO ] kind of an X-ray, but it has shown some promising results on being able to break the forever chemicals molecule. We start to understand the economics of it, which tend to show that it's not going to be more expensive than the actual technology. So now what we are looking at is building, let's say, a first real size treatment center somewhere in Europe, which will take a couple of years. So I think 3 years is maybe on the low side. The third year, maybe we'll start to see some material effectively. So I will say the next will be used to build, let's say, real size treatment center, show to the world and help the industry or to test it and then we see what will be the business model that we will pursue.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveWe have [ Carlos ] from the line.
Unknown Analyst
analystI mean I'm just playing with the numbers really. I mean it's fabulous, the Other Accelerators performance. Obviously, I can see the book-to-bill, I mean, talking about the long-term growth in Other Accelerators. But if you were to presume that you can deliver sales of similar magnitude in 2024, let's say it's a quiet year but you hold your profitability, which is kind of what you're implying. And the growth comes through in Proton Therapy with an improving gross margin for all the things we've talked about and relatively flat costs at a higher level, fully annualizing 2023. You're going to see a dramatic improvement in -- I mean, these results show you're very sensitive to marginal sales at this higher level of costs and you're talking a much more stable level of costs. So surely, if you have a decent year when it comes to selling proton therapy, we're going to get a dramatic improvement in 2024 in the profits from Proton Therapy. I don't know what I'm missing really. Are you being very conservative? Because I mean, ultimately, you've got to sign deals, right? That's something I don't really get, why we're not going to see a dramatic improvement in Proton Therapy. And with the other businesses holding their profitability, why 2024 isn't going to be a great year for the group? What am I missing?
Olivier Legrain
executiveI think you're overoptimistic about the -- I fully agree with you, except that I say it will start to happen in '25. I think we'll see some improvement in Proton Therapy in '24. But once again, I think as we will start to fully execute on the Ortega contract, that's where we're going to see the growth. And the Ortega contract remains, will start to be executed late '25. So we'll see some impact in '24, but it will be -- even though we don't guide on '24, we estimate it's going to be, let's say, on the low side. But as of '25, I think your reasoning is pretty right.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveMaybe I can add on that, Carlos, because I think there are two things which you probably are not taking into account in which we take into account, which are on the one side, backlog conversion. I mean you saw that we've had backlog conversion delays in 2023 in China. And there's really not much you can do about it when there's a customer-related delay. It doesn't mean that you lose that margin, but it just means that the timing of that margin backlog conversion is hard to predict. And so we expect that then could be seeing more of the same in 2024. It's not that we are planning on it, but that's one element. The other element is we still do have some low-margin projects in the backlog, and those will continue to deliver lower margins in 2024 and even a little bit into H1 2025. But as we go forward in time, the effect will be diluted by the higher-margin contracts. And then finally, and I think Olivier mentioned it earlier on, we do continue to invest in 2024 also. So we will see some R&D increase in 2024 also, and a lot of it will be in PT. So when you put all of these three together, you still see that 2024 will continue to be affected, to some extent, by proton. And we're not saying how much, but yes. On the other hand, we didn't speak about group results and that we're not guiding on for the year.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd then if I have just a quick follow-up question just on margins. I mean the performance in Other Accelerators is absolutely sparkling, and so CMS was doing really well. You just seem so dominant. Another way of talking about pricing power, you just seem so dominant in Proton Therapy. And it just seems 10% for the group is incredibly low because it presumes a kind of mid- to high single digit in Proton Therapy, which considering half the business as service seems a very, very modest medium-term target. I mean is 10% do you think the maximum that you can get to for the group? And what am I missing there? It just seems very low margins for Proton Therapy into the long term.
Olivier Legrain
executiveI mean 3 years in Proton Therapy is long term. We -- it's not long term. We sometimes you can say a Proton Therapy year is 5 years human years. And let's take it a step at a time. Let's get to 10% and then let's see what's the potential.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveJust maybe I wanted to add, our service contracts, our O&M contracts, and so a big chunk of the cost in there is labor and of course, labor is affected by labor indexes. Now you may remember that most of our contracts are protected because we have labor indexation. So on an annual basis, we are able to neutralize that to a large extent, but not always completely. And you do still have overheads related to service and to the service business because we are present in so many countries and so that has a little bit of an impact. So you can't expect the same kind of service margins that you might expect in a pure spare parts or service on call type of business, which is more the case for our industrial and radiopharmaceutical businesses and Other Accelerators, often Dosimetry. Let's have them online, Simon.
Simon Vlaminck
analystJust quickly on the Other Accelerators. Do you have an idea, absolutely, in absolute numbers, will your profitability grow in 2024? And can you say something about 2025? I'm just struggling a little bit by this weaker year 2023 in terms of Other Accelerators taken in, and it takes about 12 to 18 months to cycle through the pre P&L. So just a bit of visibility on that. Have -- is it now step up from where we have been or sterilization and no lag down anymore? That's the first question.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveSo you're trying to make me guide then.
Simon Vlaminck
analystNot really because -- I mean not really, just is it...
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveNo. So I mean some converted all the backlog that was built up in 2021 and '22. So we should continue to see nice strong sales for the Other Accelerator business into 2024 and '25 also. Now you're right that, I mean, to some extent, the backlog conversion does depend on new sales. And indeed, the sales for 2023 were more modest than '21 and '22. But at the same time, it's such a big increase in terms of sales in '21 and '22. But I think we still have space to compensate for the lower order intake in 2023. And hopefully, as Henri was saying, some of the effects that you are seeing on the industrial business are now weaning out and we should start to see more return to, let's say, the previous normal as mentioned also help.
Olivier Legrain
executiveIt will depend on the book-to-bill of '24. And we're pretty confident we'll be able to [ fully book-to-bill ] in '24.
Simon Vlaminck
analystOkay. So the market is recovering like you said in the beginning. And then on Proton Therapy, taking a step back, if you would be able to have a very low profitability in Proton Therapy by 2025. You basically are at your targets of 2026, already I have the feeling, which would be around EUR 60 million in EBIT. But can you give maybe the market a little bit more granularity on the EUR 22 million loss? The building blocks, there was a delay of a big contract, I understand, a big step-up in R&D. Can you quantify that a little bit? So we get a little bit more comfortable that the path to that profitability is really there, because I was also surprised 50% of your -- you explained a little bit that 50% of the sales is in maintenance revenues here, and you would almost assume that the equipment part made almost EUR 30 million in loss, and that's probably not the way how to look at it. But could you give your thoughts?
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveYes. So indeed, we don't split out the margins between service and equipment. But I can give you an overall idea of where the biggest chunks of reduced REBIT come from versus what solution could have expected. So first of all, I think a couple of -- already 3 major projects, all 3 Proteus PLUS projects in PT which were either delayed or had a little bit of an over-cost have had an impact. One of those projects, indeed, you're absolutely right. We had already spoken about it, has been delayed completely, and that had more than 50% of an impact on the loss of 2023 for PT and probably go up to 60%, maybe even coming from that. Then you have the inflation. And a lot of our production is done in Belgium. We have a lot of people in Belgium, and so on the production manufacturing cost increases to ramp up activity as well. The inflation of 11% didn't have an impact in 2023. So there also, we probably see around EUR 5 million impact overall between the labor inflation and also some inflation on parts, which have been directly induced by that labor inflation coming from our suppliers. And then finally, we have the investments and again, Henri talked that about quite a bit. And we have made a conscious decision to make quite some investments to support future growth. That's both on the product but also on our overall capacity. And I would say that, that is also probably another 20% or so of the overall loss. So basically, that gives you an idea of the three components that make up the major portion of the 2023 loss.
Olivier Legrain
executive2/3 gross margin, 1/3 OpEx, yes. So -- and gross margin is a mix of building up capacity, [indiscernible] inflation, and the third on OpEx is being driven by investment in R&D.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveAnd some inflation.
Olivier Legrain
executiveAnd inflation as well, of course. Remember, we have -- sometimes, I like to compete that way. We were entering '23 with a big question mark on our capacity to deliver. I mean the global supply chain was upside down and we have resolved that. We were potentially facing a huge multiyear inflation, and we have seen that in 2023 with 11% salary increase in Belgium, for instance. So we did swallow all this, but it did require some investment and reduction of profitability. But once again, I think this is kind of behind us.
Simon Vlaminck
analystAnd you might recoup some of that or not?
Olivier Legrain
executiveSome of it, indeed. I think was pretty -- well, can I say that discipline on going after penalties when we deserve some? So that's indeed...
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveOr is it a...
Olivier Legrain
executiveYes.
Simon Vlaminck
analystOkay. Good to hear that. And then maybe a last one. You mentioned in your press release, I think, that we get to the targets on a couple of conditions and one of them is access to the markets. Curious on which markets you are speaking there.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveI'm not sure what you're referring to, Simon. Were you talking about the geographical expansion maybe for Dosimetry, which has been going into new markets also? Maybe that is what you're...
Simon Vlaminck
analystI think on the conditions to get to the 15% CAGR and 10% by 2026, you mentioned access to certain markets. Probably it's China, just -- yes.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveWell, it's just -- yes, indeed, China is part of it, Russia is part of it. We have operations in a couple of hyperinflationary countries where it's not easy to operate because we have to install machines where the costs go up like crazy and some of you manage that indeed. That's what we're talking about already.
Olivier Legrain
executiveRussia is a bit -- I mean it's not a question mark anymore, but it's -- the potential for us in Russia was very big. It's gone. So should this happen with -- I don't know. I don't want to give it to you, we'll have trouble. But you know what I'm talking about. So I think let's put it that way. Geopolitics is bad enough, and we are confident with the guidance in the bad geopolitics environment. Should the geopolitics get worst, then it will be more challenging to reach our guidance.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveTo give you an example, you may remember we had mentioned it last year, but Dosimetry had a huge potential in Russia. And we expected, I would say, mid- to high single-digit growth of Dosimetry top line in Russia. Now of course, it's still done great, given the 22% increase of the Dosimetry sales, but it could have been even greater with Russia, for example. So that's one example of where that has an impact on the overall numbers.
Simon Vlaminck
analystVery good. And last one on China. CGNNT is opening their facility. Are you more enthusiastic about that and on the prospects? Because so far, they didn't bring a lot since the deal in 2020, I think, no?
Olivier Legrain
executiveOverall, our market share in China is pretty good. So I think it's a bit tough to say that CGN under-delivered. We're quite enthusiastic about China. You know that the new 5-year plan, they call it, I think, or the country plan as a law for 41 proton therapy licenses. And I believe the mix between CGN and the new factory and the technology center that we've been able to deliver, and us continuing going direct in China with Proteus ONE, will allow us to claim our fair market share in China. So I think overall, we're in good shape in China, if I may say so.
Simon Vlaminck
analystGood to hear that. No, no. I just had expected that it would go faster with CGNNT. It's true that there has not been a lot signed, but I hope it will accelerate once their facility is open.
Olivier Legrain
executiveOkay. I don't think we have any more questions. Thank you very much. And on behalf of everyone here at IBA, I would like to thank you for your continued interest and support of our company. And we look forward to updating you on our progress as we [ inform ] 2024. Thank you very much, and have a nice day. Bye.
Soumya Chandramouli
executiveBye.
Henri de Romrée
executiveThank you. Bye-bye.
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