Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IONS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 16, 2026

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 35 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Michael Ulz

analyst
#1

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. I'm Mike Ulz, one of the biotech analysts, and it's my pleasure to introduce Brett Monia, CEO of Ionis Pharmaceuticals. Just a reminder, the format for today is a fireside chat. But before we start, I just need to read a quick disclosure for important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley Research Disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. And if you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. And with that, I'll hand it over to Brett. Thanks for joining us. And maybe you can start with a couple of introductory comments.

Brett Monia

executive
#2

Thanks, Mike. Good morning, everybody. It's great to be here, Mike. Thanks for the invite. So as expected and not surprising with the pipeline is deep and rich as ours, we were expecting a highly eventful year for Ionis, and that's exactly where we are with a lot more to come in the remaining months of the year. We're on track this year to push 3 breakthrough medicines across the finish line through the FDA, 3 drug approvals. We already have 2 severe hypertriglyceridemia, breakthrough medicine Tryngolza, was approved few days early in June. And just last week, we had the approval of our first wholly owned neurology medicine Zanvastro for Alexander's disease, the first disease modifying treatment ever ever approved by the FDA. And we're expecting a third FDA approval in October with our partner, GSK, for chronic HBV, a real breakthrough that's actually producing unprecedented functional functional cures in this patient population. We've also had expanding our Phase III pipeline. We initiated we completed enrollment in our Phase III Angelman's trial, which is on track for data in the second half of this year. And we're pleased to see new Phase III starts from our partners, [indiscernible], the first follow-on to SPINRAZA for SMA that is on track for -- to produce a medicine with deeper -- even deeper efficacy than SPINRAZA, based on biomarker data with once per year administration and then Sapablursen started Phase III development with our partner, Ono this year, with a profile that has the potential to be best-in-class for polycythemia vera. Mid-stage pipeline continues to produce as well. We are thrilled with the first ever proof of concept for our tau program with Biogen, Diranersen, which showed unprecedented improvements in cognition, and other functional benefits as well. And then our follow-on to Tryngolza proof-of-concept as a once a year or twice a year administration as a follow-on to Tryngolza, ION775 in severe hypertriglyceridemia, which is in Phase II development. With the pipeline as deep and with so many events happening, there's always disappointments. We are disappointed with the negative outcome of the cardio transform study for Eplontersen and TTR cardiomyopathy. Despite the fact that we had remarkable reductions in TTR that were as good as anything that's out there today, approximately 80% reduction with good safety and tolerability, but didn't hit the composite primary end point that was a key focus at ESC a couple of weeks ago where the conclusions were clear. The reason why we didn't hit the primary end point was because there was no added benefit on top of a stabilizer. However, the monotherapy group that is patients that weren't on stabilizer at baseline were a hazard ratio that's as good as anything that's out there in TTR cardiomyopathy, a hazard ratio of approximately 30% reduction. And we're working on potential next steps there. And then last week, we were also disappointed with the outcome of the pelacarsen Phase III trial and Lp(a) cardiomyopathy and we're looking forward to our partner Novartis presenting the full data set there. But on top of those disappointments, we have a really, really pipeline, and we're really proud of all the successes we've had and the launches that are in progress, which are going quite well.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#3

Great. Thanks for that introduction. And a lot going on and a lot to cover here. So maybe we'll start just with the SHTG launch. I think the 2 months in now, still very early here, but maybe just talk about what you're seeing there in terms of trends and how that's all progressing?

Brett Monia

executive
#4

We're pleased to have delivered the first real breakthrough for severe hypertriglyceridemia with an incredibly strong positive clean label, unprecedented reductions in acute pancreatitis, the -- this is the outcome that patients are most fearful of, that physicians are most fearful of a potentially fatal acute pancreatitis attack. There has been no meaningful treatments for severe hypertriglyceridemia before Tenda emerged and was approved by the FDA. As a reminder to everybody, this is a label expansion, our first indication was familial chylomicronemia syndrome, FCS, a rare population of about 3,000 people in the United States. That launch was going exceptionally well right up to the label expansion right up to the approval for severe hypertriglyceridemia. And then we expanded the label, adjusted the price from a rare disease price to a price that's more suitable for a highly prevalent disease, prevalence of more than 3 million people in the United States. So this has the -- this is positioned to be a blockbuster. And we're on track to achieve our goal of $3 billion-plus pre-peak product sales in the United States. The launch is going well. We're liking what we're seeing on all aspects of the launch to date, the metrics that we're assessing. First of all, we're thrilled with the excitement by the HCP community. I'm sure you've done your research, you've talked to your docs, they're all saying how excited they are about Tryngolza and their enthusiasm to want to treat and write scripts and get their patients on this drug, particularly those patients that are at high risk for acute hepatitis. The launch is going well. We're excited about the enthusiasm. We're excited about the scripts that are coming in. July and August were very good months. And we're excited about what we're seeing from the payer community, the coverage that we're getting for for Tryngolza. Although, of course, at this stage of the launch, most coverage is going through a medical exception process with prior authorizations. But we are getting policies in place. And based on those policies as well as all the other conversations we're having with payers, we're getting coverage to label, right, not just the high-risk patient population, but the label that is anyone that is -- has triglycerides above 500. We have prior -- we expected the patients that were going to be prioritized in this study would be those high-risk patients by physicians, endocrinologists, cardiologists, lipid specialists and that's what we're seeing. These are the patients that have triglycerides through the roof, about 880 milligrams per deciliter, a high risk for acute pancreatitis attack with debilitating effects on the pancreas. Of course, long term, and those that have had a history of acute pancreatitis, about 700,000, 800,000, 900,000 patients that are high risk. Those are the ones that are -- we're seeing the scripts written for first, not surprisingly, could also tell you though, we are seeing some scripts coming in that are in the non-high risk category. Patients that are in the 500 to 800 range without a history of acute pancreatitis. So that's getting out there, too. But the priority for us and the priority with HCPs is the high-risk patient population. I could also say that we're excited -- or we're really pleased how well the dosing is resonating with the HCP community. We are the only medicine that offers dosing flexibility of 50 milligrams or 80 milligrams per month. So administered using a simple auto injector. That dosing flexibility, as I said, has resonated really well. And we're seeing scripts come in with the 50-milligram dose and physicians are looking at the response to 50 milligrams. And seen if their patients are at goal, that is below 500 milligrams per deciliter, they're fine. We're also seeing scripts coming at 80 milligrams right out of the gate. Remember, the 80-milligram dose is what's approved in FCS. We have a lot of docs that are managing FCS patients and are really pleased with the performance of Trengolza in FCS, and they're saying, why start at 50 milligrams, in my SHTG patients, just roll it right through. and bring on the -- and get those patients to the MAX dose. We're also pleased that how the response by the community, the physicians and the patients that -- because we require no monitoring in the study. It's a simple administration, really no significant step edits. Your patients will need to be on a triglyceride drug, like a fibrate or fish oil or something like that before going out to Tryngolza. But all these high-risk patients are already on these drugs, right? There are still not at goal. So it's not really a step edit. It's just getting those patients identified and bringing them on to Tryngolza. So this is a new category. We're developing a new category. We're going to build this market. It's going to take a little bit of time, but we're pleased with the way the enthusiasm for the drug. -- and we're pleased with everything we're seeing with the launch today. We're looking forward to providing a more detailed update at our -- our Q3 earnings in a few weeks.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#5

Great. Sounds like things are on track there. But maybe you could talk about keys to driving the continued success of the launch kind of near term and then longer term.

Brett Monia

executive
#6

The keys are disease awareness and drug awareness, making the physicians aware of the remarkable profile that Tryngolza offers efficacy, convenience, tolerability and the dosing flexibility that I highlighted with no monitoring in the study or for the drug. That has resonated really well. Launching off of FCS. Well, the FCS -- all the docs that manage FCS patients who also manage SHTG patients. And that experience has been so positive that we've really been able to build off of that leverage. -- focusing in addition to physician HCP awareness and education is patient awareness, now your triglycerides, get them measured. Omnichannel, direct-to-consumer dissemination of information, the risks of high triglycerides. So we're going from the top pushing down, we've gone through the bottom, pushing up patients and as I mentioned already, focusing on payer coverage and ensuring that we have a strong HCP and patient support program. We are emphasizing and prioritizing, making the scripts that docs want to write bringing that all the way through the process in the most seamless, easiest way possible. It's really important to us. And our patient support program is a top priority, and it went -- it served us very well in FCS and off to a good start in SHTG, and we think it will serve us very well in the SHTG launch today. I want to emphasize we remain very confident our peak product sales of $3 billion plus in the U.S. It's going to take a little time to get there, but we're confident we're going to get there, and we're really looking forward to a big, big 2027.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#7

Great. I also wanted to just ask your view on sort of these third-party scripts a lot of people are taking a look at them. What's your sort of sense there?

Brett Monia

executive
#8

Yes. We don't believe that like the Symphony scripts and IQVIA are a good measuring stick for what's happening in the launch. We -- like most companies do, we block our data. And we have several specialty pharmacies now that we're utilizing, not just one that we use for FCS. So you really can't compare the FCS data with the SHTG data and extrapolate. It's dangerous. It's unreliable. We really caution against that. Instead, I'd point you to the color we're looking forward to providing at our end of Q3 earnings and then next year at our end of our full year earnings, I think, in February of next year. So we're very cautious of that. We don't believe the data is reliable.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#9

Yes. Understood. Can you maybe talk about the reaction to the safety profile of Tryngolza that you're seeing? And I guess, liver fat has been one area. Is that an issue, not an issue? What are you hearing?

Brett Monia

executive
#10

We're hearing everything is positive about the safety profile for Tryngolza. Again, I said it twice now, I'll say it again, there's no monitoring for anything, LFTs. We have a very clean profile. Liver enzymes are clean. Everything is clean. We're really pleased with the adherence. Patients are getting on to drug. They're seeing their triglycerides plummet, get to normal and in most cases, in many cases, and the adherence is excellent. he HCPs are enthused about it. Liver fat is small. It's on target, and it wanes with continued treatment while triglycerides are being maintained and highly controlled and AP is being -- continued to be controlled. It's an on-target effect. We know how APOC3 works by inhibiting APOC3 , we're substantially and very rapidly lowering triglycerides in these patients. And one of the pathways that were lowering triglycerides through the liver and the clearance. We see a small increase in liver fat. It's not even statistically significant at 50 in many patients, most patients get to goal at 50 milligrams. And at 80, we saw a slight increase that was statistically significant at the end of the Phase III study. But then with continued dosing, it wanes and comes back to baseline. The liver is adapting to this. We have a competitor program that there's a competitor that is following us. They're behind us by almost about a year or so. We expect to come out on SHTG and get approval. Although they didn't evaluate nearly the number of patients that we did, we evaluated because we really wanted to flesh out the full profile, like what do we need to know for Tryngolza. We evaluated 250 patients by MRI. They evaluated a few dozen. But even with a few dozen at ESC, it was clear that you saw a numerical increase in hepatic fat. So it's an on-target effect. It's completely manageable. Most importantly, by the HCP community, it's a nonissue. It really never was an issue. And now the fact that it's coming -- they see it come back down to baseline with continued treatment, it's even less of an issue.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#11

Yes. Makes sense. You mentioned the competitor. I don't know if you can maybe talk a little bit more about key points of differentiation. And since they might get to the market next year, kind of what impact could that have on your sort of launch?

Brett Monia

executive
#12

SP1 Yes. So we're first to market by about a year, like I said. And we actually believe that having 2 players like a duopoly is very few in this massive market opportunity. More than 3 million people that are inadequately -- are not adequately being addressed with current treatment. We actually think that that's going to provide an opportunity to grow the market, share of voice, better disease awareness by having 2 players actually expand the market with all of that. But we're going to take advantage of of first-to-market strategy. Our strategy is to build those contracts with payers, build first mover advantage to get to those high-risk patients first, bring them on to Tryngolza, we are confident once they come on to Tryngolza, they're going to be really pleased with the experience that they have, the ACPs as well as the patients. As far as differentiation, the 2 drugs look very similar. Efficacy, very, very highly efficacious AP reductions. We think that we like our data a lot. We are looking forward to more details of our competitors' data. We saw what was presented at ESC, but we really don't want to see the publication. It's really important to really get into the details and that kind of thing. So it's hard to say. But overall, there's no surprises, the 2 drugs should work similarly. We're getting identical reductions of target APOC3, they should translate to similar efficacy. And we welcome 2 players in this in this really large market opportunity.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#13

Yes. Makes sense. Also in your prepared remarks, you mentioned 775, your sort of next-gen program. Maybe talk a little bit more about that, in terms of the data you've seen and time lines and path forward.

Brett Monia

executive
#14

Yes. So when I became the CEO, I guess this is my 7th year now, not only did I commit to fully integrating the company and building our wholly owned pipeline, delivering our medicines. I also committed to expanding and diversifying our technology. ASO, the newest chemistries, like I mentioned, salinersen. That's a ionis chemistry that supporting your dosing for SMA. We have more coming, our [indiscernible] program is using that same chemistry. We've expanded into siRNA. SiRNA is more durable in the liver. We know that. But we've been able to take it to the next level with Ionis experience, the capabilities, chemistries and so on. And we've applied that to a follow-on to Tryngolza, recognizing that a once per year dosing or maybe twice a year dosing at a minimum, we can usually achieve that, but maybe push it to once per year dosing could really matter from a convenience standpoint for HCPs and patients. And we think our Phase I data supports that. We tested 775, an Ionis discovered. We're using our chemistry SI that showed incredibly durable reductions of target APOC3 triglycerides, all good safety and tolerability, dose dependent and we've already -- and that's -- that was a normal volunteer study in patients with mildly elevated triglycerides. That was presented at ESC published now as well, kind of old news, though. We have already launched into Phase II development in the SHTG, and we're enrolling quickly. Our goal is to protect Tryngolza. It's a blockbuster. We're the ones that innovated. We're the ones that came up with this program were the ones that came up with this target for this disease. And we want to make sure that we have waves, next waves of approaches for this market opportunity. It's an open-label study purposely, so that we can look at the data daily and look at target reduction, safety and triglyceride reduction. And so that we can select the dose and dose interval and get into Phase III development as rapidly as possible, potentially next year.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#15

Great. And SP1 What's your thought on the strategy there? Is it a replacement for Tryngolza? Is it for a different patient population? What's the early thinking?

Brett Monia

executive
#16

To To be determined. We'll see what the profile looks like. And we have to do -- our team is going to be doing the market research. It could be complementary to Trina -- or would it be the next best-in-class molecule for SHTG overall, and it could take everything over, we'll see about that. I suspect it will be complementary to Tryngolza, and we may be able to position it in different ways, so that it offers something that Tryngolza doesn't and Tryngolza could offer something that 775 doesn't offer to be determined. We need to get into Phase III and move it quickly. . We're working on the Phase III design now. I expect it won't look that different than our Phase III program for Tryngolza, just FDA has requirements. But we think we'll be able to trim those time lines down and move faster, even faster than what we did for the Phase III program for Tryngolza.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#17

Understood. You mentioned in your starting comments here about cardio transform and data was a little bit disappointing. So maybe you can expand on that and what you think happened there? And then also, what's the latest thinking on next steps. Is that evolving at all? Or where is that currently?

Brett Monia

executive
#18

Yes. As I mentioned in my opening comments, we were disappointed that we didn't hit the positive. We didn't have a positive outcome in the primary endpoint in the cardio transform study, Eplontersen for TTR cardiomyopathy -- we had 80% reductions in TTR, which was pretty much the best you can do in this population, not least for current drugs, that are out there that are addressing this disease, good safety, good tolerability, but we didn't hit the primary endpoint. We all had hoped that we all expected that the stabilizer that was primarily used in this study, we had more than 50 -- we have 56% of patients on tafamidis at baseline. Tafamidis the standard of care. That was the only way to really run the study today -- and as a standard of care in the U.S. and as the markets grew in outside the U.S., we saw lots of drop-ins too. But the belief was that tafamidis, there was a lot of room for improvement, right, based on studies that were done 10 years ago, the ATTRACT study. But those patients were very sick and patients are being diagnosed much earlier in their disease today and the tafamidis did better than what most people had expected because patients are being treated earlier in their disease. That was our control group. That would have been okay, had the combination of silencer plus a stabilizer showed added benefit compared to the control, but it didn't. We didn't see any added benefit of combination. That was the conclusion of an independent academic group's meta analysis at ESC last year. There's no evidence that the combination from any study shows added benefit, nothing deleterious, but nothing beneficial. That was the Achilles heel in the study. That's the study that needed to be done. The tafamidis was the standard of care and and we needed to see if we can improve efficacy. Retrospect maybe wasn't surprising. We're targeting the same pathway, stabilizer stabilizing TTR, and we're blocking the production of the TTR. So maybe we've maxed out on efficacy. Silences work great on their own silences. Stabilizers appear to work very well as well on their own. And we think ultimately, it will come down to patient and physician preference, which ones they choose, but we don't think path forward for combination for silencers and stabilizers. With that said, in the group that wasn't on stabilizers at baseline, the efficacy was remarkable. We saw nearly a 30% relative risk reduction in the patients that we call the monotherapy group that weren't on stabilizers at baseline. There was a lot of drop-ins, but still they were not in stablizer baseline. And that was comparable to the other silencer that was approved for TTR cardiomyopathy. So the monotherapy data looks great. Our partner and AstraZeneca and we are weighing next steps, and you probably have more clarity on that by the end of this year on whether or not we will pursue the monotherapy indication or not. So just stay tuned for that.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#19

Okay. And if we just stick with the pipeline and I wanted to get your sort of thoughts on the Angelman program. Maybe just give us a brief background there and obviously, competitor shared some data and read through.

Brett Monia

executive
#20

Yes. It was very disappointing when we learned about the failed Phase III study with the lead program, the program that was in advance utilizing the same mechanism that we're utilizing. This is a mechanism that we created. We first to publish on it. We're basically targeting -- using an antisense strategy to upregulate the paternal paternal UBE3A gene to basically replace a loss of function disease with the missing protein, UBE3 protein. It's a really elegant mechanism. And they're using the same mechanism. They saw what we published and they licensed in a drug. They licensed in a drug from an academic group that did some screening and found a molecule. I'm going to really highlight the fact that it's not routine to find an optimal molecule to do these kinds of things. It takes us years to optimize potency, durability and minimize off-target effects to reduce toxicity. But they in-licensed the molecule and unfortunately, it caused issues on the safety side that caused them to be capped. Their dose was capped. So they couldn't go above 14 milligrams. Our Phase III study program ongoing is 80 milligrams. The 2 drugs are equal potent. So the potencies are the same. So you can imagine that maybe they under dose. That's what we believe. And in fact, when we did our Phase II study called HALS, we evaluated 20 milligrams quarterly, which is kind of in that range of 14 that they looked at in their Phase III program, 40 milligrams and 80 milligrams quarterly. At 20 milligrams, we kind of saw some hints of activity, but we weren't convinced. When we went to 40 milligrams quarterly, we were convinced that we were seeing clear evidence of benefit. And when we got to 80 milligrams, our Phase III dose, we got a little bit better, but it looks like we were maxing out on efficacy. Unfortunately, we think that they underdosed in the study. It's devastating for the community. We've been ensuring the community that's been in such a desperate need for a disease-modifying treatment for this large patient population, the Angelman syndrome population. But we will be the first to test the hypothesis because we believe that we're in the therapeutic range, the doses that are needed. And we believe that our Phase II data HALO study strongly supports that. I also mentioned that our long-term extension data that we're now 18 months. We've got data cuts 18 months and beyond from the Phase II HALO study and the efficacy is holding. We continue to be convinced that we're seeing strong evidence of benefit, and it continues to support Phase III development. And we're going to publish that data soon, the long-term extension data for Angelman's. But we think we've got the right drug, and this is the right mechanism, and this will be the first test of this mechanism to address Angelman syndrome.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#21

Great. And if we stick with the wholly owned pipeline and Alexander's disease, you mentioned that earlier, recently approved ahead of schedule. Maybe talk a little bit about that program and sort of what it means more broadly for your CNS pipeline.

Brett Monia

executive
#22

Yes. We believe that I think the evidence is clear that we have led the way. We continue to lead the way in developing oligonucleotide therapeutics, ASO and now siRNA, we're doing a lot of work there, too, for CNS diseases. I mean it's proven. We have 3 approved medicines now. You mentioned Zanvastro for Alexander disease. Preceding those were, of course SPINRAZA, the first ever treatment for SMA and then QALSODY, the first disease-modifying treatment for cause of ALS and now Zanvastra. And we have a rich wholly owned and partnered pipeline of CNS drugs following this. And we're expecting quite a number of readouts next year in addition to the Angelman's Phase III program, our mid-stage neuro program, we'll have several readouts next year, too. We're very proud of having delivered the first ever disease-modifying treatment for this devastating neurodegenerative disease, Alexander disease, it's caused by the overproduction of a protein called GFAP. We're normalizing GFAP. We're lowering GFAP. We've shown that, and we're having a disease-modifying impact on clinical outcomes in this study. This is an ultra-rare indication. It's estimated to be 300, 400 patients in the United States with Alexander disease. The prevalence is really not well understood. When we unblinded our Phase III study, we saw the efficacy. We opened up an expanded access program immediately. And that expanded access program has actually enrolled pretty -- we were surprised how many patients actually enrolled in that expanded access program. Our focus is to convert our clinical trial patients and our expanded access patients over to commercial as quickly as possible. We're in the process of doing that. We're launched. And of course, patient identification. It's a difficult disease to identify. It's a long patient journey. Every day, these patients aren't on a treatment like Zanvastro. They're one day closer to usually to death. So patient identification, disease awareness is a big focus for us, and it's going well. Strategically, this is very important for Ionis because we're leaders in CNS diseases. We have a rich wholly owned pipeline that's growing in addition to our partner pipeline. And -- this is strategic because it's our first wholly owned launch in neurology. And we have so many more neurology drugs, Angelman's, we talked about. And then many other programs that are reading out next year that can go to Phase III if they're successful. So strategically important for the company. And we're very proud of the fact that we are first -- once again, we are first in delivering a breakthrough treatment for a patient population that is in desperate need.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#23

Great. And maybe last few minutes here, I want to focus back on your commercial assets and DAWNZERA and HAE. You launched it last year, I think. And maybe just talk about how that launch is going. It seems like you're getting more traction more recently and things are accelerating there.

Brett Monia

executive
#24

Yes. DAWNZERA is going well. I mean this is very different than any of the medicines I just talked about, right? This is a highly competitive market in the sense of their existing prophylactic treatments for HAE that were already on the market when we arrived, when we were approved last August, we're 1 year into the launch and more have been coming, right, after that. So this is our first test in commercializing our own medicines, not just being first to market, which usually are, have been, but in a competitive space. I'm proud of the team. I really am. I'm also proud of the drug. It has a real differentiating profile compared to other treatments that are out there with respect to not only efficacy, which is as good as anything that's out there today. So that's -- we've achieved that. The tolerability and the convenience of being able to self-administer once a month or every 2 months using a simple auto-injector that -- in which the drug is stable for 6 weeks at a time, longer than that, but the label says 6 weeks. So you could put -- you could take it with you on vacation and not be worried about having to refrigerate or to reconstitute. It's a real easy drug to work with. And that profile, along with the outstanding effort that our team has done to educate HCPs and patients on the opportunity that DAWNZERA offers, launch is going well. I mean it's a steady growth. We're having a good year for DAWNZERA, and we expect next year for it to continue to grow.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#25

All right. Great. Looks like we're out of time here. So why don't we wrap it up. Brett, thanks so much for your time. We really appreciate it.

Brett Monia

executive
#26

Thank you, Mike. It was a pleasure.

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