IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 26, 2025

New York Stock Exchange US Information Technology Technology Hardware, Storage and Peripherals earnings 48 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Greetings. Welcome to the IonQ's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. At this time, it is now my pleasure to introduce Jordan Shapiro, Vice President, FP&A, Head of Investor Relations. Jordan, you may begin.

Jordan Shapiro

executive
#2

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to IonQ's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Call. My name is Jordan Shapiro, and I'm the Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis and Head of Investor Relations here at IonQ. I'm pleased to be joined on today's call by Peter Chapman, IonQ's Executive Chair; Niccolo de Masi, our new President and Chief Executive Officer; Thomas Kramer, our Chief Financial Officer; and Dean Kassmann, our Senior Vice President of Engineering and Technology. By now, everyone should have access to the company's fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings press release issued this afternoon, which is available on the Investor Relations section of our website at investors.ionq.com. Please note that on today's call, management will refer to adjusted EBITDA, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. While the company believes this non-GAAP financial measure provides useful information for investors, the presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. You are directed to our press release for a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA to its closest comparable GAAP measure. During the call, we will discuss our business outlook and make forward-looking statements. These comments are based on our predictions and expectations as of today. Actual events or results could differ materially due to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those mentioned in our 10-K that we have filed with the SEC today. We undertake no obligation to revise any statements to reflect changes that occur after this call, except as required by law. Now I will turn it over to Peter Chapman, Executive Chair of IonQ. Peter?

Peter Chapman

executive
#3

Thank you, Jordan, and thank you to everyone listening. If you take away one thing from this call, let it be this. 2024 was IonQ's best year ever, but we believe 2025 is slated to be the year IonQ drives an inflection in the quantum market. In 2024, we grew our full year bookings by 47% to $95.6 million and nearly doubled our revenue, achieving $43.1 million for the year and $11.7 million for the fourth quarter, both exceeding the high end of our guidance range. To continue our rapid growth rate, last quarter, we announced our acquisition of substantially all the assets of Quantum networking leader, Qubitekk, Inc., which we have since closed. Our interest in quantum networking is multifaceted. It enables IonQ to scale its quantum computers by enabling distributed quantum computing in much the same way classical CPUs and GPUs are networked together today. Our unique architecture allows us to interface with existing telecommunication networks in real-world environments. The second facet is to build the next generation of the Internet, which is secure from the potential threat of classical and quantum computers. Today, I am thrilled to announce that IonQ has signed a definitive agreement to acquire a controlling stake in ID Quantique, a large global player in quantum networking. Once the deal closes, IonQ will consolidate ID Quantique's global book of business, more than 100 team members and gain control of almost 300 quantum networking patents and patent applications. In aggregate, IonQ will shortly control nearly 900 patents and patent applications across quantum key distribution, quantum sensing, quantum networking and quantum computing. With ID Quantique, IonQ furthers its leadership in quantum networking. Our goal is to build a suite of products that enable secure quantum communication in all forms, from satellites to ground stations across existing telecommunication fiber infrastructure to drones on a battlefield. Those following IonQ closely will note that we are building out the key component technologies for the telecom and defense sectors. With the pending addition of ID Quantique and the completed addition of Qubitekk, we will partner with their existing blue-chip customers, which include SK Telecom and the Electric Power Board of Chattanooga. These customer relationships allow us to test new hardware and applications in real-world environments. Switching gears to computing. We delivered our first Forte enterprise system to Quantum Basel in Switzerland as well as our first system to the Air Force Research Lab. IonQ continues to make progress on developing our next-generation varium-based system called Tempo, with the first unit already sold and slated for delivery to Basel. During our Q3 earnings call, we spoke about our partnership with AstraZeneca on drug discovery use cases. Tonight, I can share that our work in chemistry modeling in collaboration with other partners has advanced significantly. We plan to showcase some of the progress before the next earnings call. With ANSYS, we are also continuing our collaboration with ANSYS and are making great progress in computer-aided engineering, a $10 billion industry. This quarter, we also announced a new partnership with General Dynamics Information Technology, a division of General Dynamics, to create quantum solutions that enhance fraud and anomaly detection by identifying irregularities and large data sets with greater speed and accuracy. Not only do these collaborations reflect how Quantum is bringing value to businesses today, they are also emblematic of the breadth of impact that quantum computing will have as IonQ and our partners continue to develop more applications using Forte Enterprise and future systems. We continue to make progress against our technical road map and performance goals. We are reconfirming our confidence in achieving #AQ 64 by the end of this year, which will be demonstrated on our next-generation Varium-based system. Historically, AQ has been the best tool to measure performance across quantum systems. However, since its introduction, quantum applications and compiler technology have been progressing so rapidly that benchmarks defined only 4 years ago can no longer reflect our true pace of innovation and future system capabilities. By the end of this year, we will demonstrate our #AQ64 system capable of circa 3,000 high-quality gate operations. As we gear up for the era of commercial advantage, we will deprecate AQ as a measure of technical progress in favor of a new set of benchmarks. These new metrics will be closely aligned with our customers' application success and will be accompanied by an updated computing and networking road map to match it. Before we turn it over to Thomas for our financials, I want to take a moment to discuss an exciting announcement we made today regarding the future of our leadership team. Our Board has appointed Niccolo de Masi as President and Chief Executive Officer, while I continue my leadership as Executive Chair. This evolution will allow me to spend more time focused on our strategic customer relationships and the development of Quantum AI. Niccolo is originally a physicist and has twice been a public company CEO and a key member of our team since we went public. He has made important contributions to our strategic direction and growth initiatives as a director. We are confident that Niccolo's track record of expertise, insights and leadership will further enable IonQ to accelerate our growth. Today, we are also welcome a new director to IonQ, Gabrielle Toladano. Gabrielle is the former Chief People Officer of Tesla. She has held senior roles at Electronic Arts, Siebold Systems, Microsoft and Oracle. She brings a wealth of experience as an executive on everything from organizational growth to executive compensation. Both of these leadership announcements optimally position IonQ for continued success in the quantum era and quantum AI and quantum commercial advantage. With that, I'll hand this over to Nic for a brief discussion.

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#4

Thank you, Peter, for the kind words. I'm excited to join the team full time for what I view as a once-in-a-generation opportunity to continue scaling the world's first publicly traded pure-play quantum company. As many people know, I've been a quantum computing enthusiast for 25 years, ever since I was both an undergrad and grad physics student at Cambridge University. Early in my career, I worked on novel next-generation solar cells, and I've long believed in the importance of quantum computing to truly realize the advantage in things like renewable energy. I've been a long-time supporter of IonQ's work, both in my role as a director of the last 5 years and as an original sponsor of IonQ's pioneering IPO. We have plenty of groundbreaking work ahead, and I'm absolutely thrilled to have the opportunity to lead IonQ during this pivotal moment for both quantum computing and quantum networking. I've long believed that the mid-2020s will be when quantum computing begins to impact virtually every aspect of Applied science, from chemistry to materials, national security, logistics and financial services. Quantum Networking is expected to be an equally large and impactful market opportunity, and IonQ is well positioned here to be the global leader. I'm honored by Peter and the Board's confidence in me and look forward to working with our industry-leading team to build upon our momentum in 2025 and beyond. Thomas, I'll turn it over to you now to walk through our financials in some more depth.

Thomas Kramer

executive
#5

Thank you, Niccolo, and thank you to everyone joining us today. Let's walk through this quarter's financial results in more detail. As Peter mentioned, we had an excellent fourth quarter, recognizing $11.7 million in revenue. For the full year, we ended up with $43.1 million in revenue, above the high end of our updated guidance range and up 95% year-over-year. We had $22.9 million in bookings in the fourth quarter and ended the year with $95.6 million in total bookings, which was also above the high end of our updated guidance range for 2024 and up over 46% year-over-year. Moving down the income statement. For the fourth quarter 2024, our total operating costs and expenses were $89.2 million, up 47% from $60.6 million in the prior year period. For the full year 2024, that number was $275.5 million, up 53% from $179.8 million in 2023. To break this down further, our research and development costs for the fourth quarter were $40.1 million, up 27% from $31.6 million in the prior year period. For the full year 2024, that number was $136.8 million, up 48% from $92.3 million in 2023. Recall that we are investing heavily in R&D and are investing in the production of our various product lines to meet projected customer demand. Our sales and marketing costs in the fourth quarter were $8.9 million, up 28% from $7 million in the prior year period. For the full year 2024, that number was $28.4 million, up 55% from $18.3 million in the full year 2023. This increase was due to us growing our go-to-market function as we continue the investment in our commercialization efforts, and we expect that trend to continue as we further expand our sales initiatives. Our general and administrative costs in the fourth quarter were $29.7 million, up 94% from $15.3 million in the prior year period. For the full year 2024, that number was $71.1 million, up 40% from $50.7 million in the full year 2023. Stock-based compensation was $106.9 million for the full year 2024, up from $69.7 million in the full year 2023. All of this resulted in a net loss of $202 million in the fourth quarter compared to $41.9 million in the prior year period and a net loss of $331.6 million for the full year 2024 versus $157.8 million in 2023. It is important to note that these results include a noncash loss of $128.5 million for the fourth quarter related to the change in fair value of our warrant liabilities and $117.1 million in noncash loss for the full year 2024. We saw an adjusted EBITDA loss for the fourth quarter of $32.8 million compared to a $20 million loss in the prior year period and a loss of $107.2 million for the full year 2024 versus $77.7 million for 2023. Note that we projected an adjusted EBITDA loss for the full year 2024 of $110.5 million, once again beating our expected plan. Turning now to our balance sheet. Cash, cash equivalents and investments as of December 31, 2024, were $363.8 million. I'm excited to share that IonQ is launching a $500 million at-the-market facility to equip IonQ with an even larger war chest. We plan to use the proceeds to accelerate our networking business and create new lines of growth in promising application areas. As the initial amount we raised when we went public was largely sufficient for the computing business, we believe that this new amount of capital will provide us with a critical mass of capital for advancing in the quantum networking and communications business. Our capital needs are finite, and this is a unique moment for long-term investors to build a position at scale as we gear up for the era of quantum advantage. We are generating a strong foundation for what we expect will be another incredible year for IonQ. We aim to continue our growth once again in 2025. We are projecting revenue of between $75 million to $95 million for the full year and $7 million to $8 million in Q1. Our guidance includes all organic momentum and inorganic activity. Because of the early stage of the company's sales organization and the time it takes to turn a sale into revenue, we created the bookings metric back in 2021 to allow investors to gauge our progress. With revenue expected to be in the 9 figures next year 2026, we are sunsetting bookings guidance. We will, of course, continue to update the market on significant commercial milestones. Additionally, we anticipate an adjusted EBITDA loss of $120 million for the full year 2025 at the midpoint of our revenue guidance. And with that, I would like to turn the call back over to Peter for some closing remarks.

Peter Chapman

executive
#6

Thank you, Thomas. Historically, Q1 is a bit of a slow time for IonQ. But this year, we've had a strong start. We closed our Qubitekk acquisition and announced the pending acquisition of a majority stake in ID Quantique today. Looking forward, there are some important events for investors to watch out for. First, look out for Quantum Day at NVIDIA's GCC conference. DARPA will announce Phase 1 awards for its quantum benchmarking initiatives potentially worth $300 million. Investors should be following the legislative updates from the State of Maryland on a potential $1 billion initiative to make Maryland the capital of Quantum. Congressional budget approval for fiscal year 2025; and lastly, the DOE Quantum Leadership Act, a $2.5 billion bill advancing through the Senate that seems to have bipartisan support. Along with UNESCO, we believe that 2025 will, in fact, be the year of quantum, one in which you see both public and private institutions realize that computing and networking game will be forever changed by IonQ systems. With commercial advantage right around the corner, the inflection point that everyone has been waiting for is not far behind it. And with that, operator, I would like to open the line for questions.

Operator

operator
#7

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of David Williams with Benchmark Company.

David Williams

analyst
#8

And first, congratulations, Niccolo, for the CEO role. And Peter, we certainly enjoyed our time with you. So with that, I guess, are there any strategic changes we should be thinking about as we move forward in terms of just how you anticipate the business maybe running or changing here, Niccolo?

Peter Chapman

executive
#9

I'm going to jump in here first, just to let you know, I'm not actually going anywhere. So you'll probably even see me on future earnings calls and all the rest. So this change from my perspective, is one where this is a big job, and there's just too much to do, especially for this company. If you look at all the things we have on an application, we're building a new business in networking, quantum computing itself is really hard enough. So I think what we're doing here is Niccolo is coming on board to be able to offload some of the work in part because the primary reason I came to IonQ was to work on quantum AI. And so I'm also hoping this will free up some time for me to work on that as well, more than I've been able to do so far. So it is a change, but it's not -- I'm not going anywhere. So just as an FYI. But I'll leave it to Nic.

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#10

So let me just add to that. Nice to meet you. And thank you for the support over the years. Look, this is a bandwidth expansion for Peter. Peter and I have worked closely together since actually before the IPO. And I proudly have been, I think, one of his most contributory and active Board members the last few years. And so the opportunity to work with Peter full time is obviously one that the Board thought made a lot of sense. There's a lot of continuity, and there's obviously an opportunity for the two of us to tackle two businesses, which are growing at inflection points that are truly historic. So to answer your question in a nutshell, no, there's no changes in strategic direction because Peter and I have been working together closely to set the strategic direction in the last 5 years, and we'll continue to do that.

Peter Chapman

executive
#11

I hope to give up some parts of my job, but I don't like Niccolo is going to go do the TV interviews tomorrow.

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#12

There we go.

David Williams

analyst
#13

That's well understood. And then maybe just secondly, you've made a nice acquisition last quarter. You closed Qubitekk and you've announced the ID Quantique this quarter. Just kind of curious how we should be thinking about going forward, this kind of the consolidation that we should anticipate? And then maybe what are these patents? I mean, 900 patents is significant. How do you think this helps you longer term? And just anything around the strategy from a consolidation or M&A perspective?

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#14

Yes. So this is Niccolo. We obviously care about the patent portfolio. We've been focused on this since the IPO. I think when I first met Peter, we had a low double-digit number of patents. And so it's an investment that we make continually. We make it organically and we make it inorganically as well. We obviously view the quantum space as we head into the era of commercial advantage to be one that is becoming a bigger company's game, if you will. And so that is both a defensive mode and potentially an offensive one to a greater or lesser extent here in both computing and networking. As you've heard in prior calls, there are obviously significant synergies between the networking and the computing business, particularly around our advances and our patents around photonic interconnects. So whilst we have done networking to some extent, organically and internally, we're, of course, accelerating this with Qubitekk and ID Quantique. We're going to aim to, of course, get the best out of both worlds here as we integrate these acquisitions. IDQ is bringing us not just patent capabilities, but it's bringing us, of course, new geographies. And so we will be using these as basis to expand both businesses, both in Europe and Asia and the Middle East, where we've already got our organic presence. So lots of work to do, but we're excited about both the patent position, the team and quality. And we'll continue, of course, doing our best to attract world-class talent on both sides of the computing and networking half of the house.

Operator

operator
#15

Our next question is from the line of Richard Shannon with Craig-Hallum.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#16

This is Tyler on for Richard. Congrats, Niccolo. And Peter, I'm happy you're sticking around at least. How should we think about the timing and market size of the networking market? And when could we start seeing top line impacts from these acquisitions?

Thomas Kramer

executive
#17

So I think that we are... Sorry about that. I misplaced my microphone. Thanks for that question. We are already seeing the impact of our acquisitions. In fact, the first acquisition we made in 2023 is already deeply ingrained in our technology and is a core part of how we design our systems today. We are also seeing the effect of our partnership and acquisition of Qubitekk, where we're already going together to service our clients. And we expect to see the same from IDQ soon, although I should say that we're not acquiring the entire company. We have a majority part of their equity now.

Peter Chapman

executive
#18

And I was just going to add that the outside date for ID Quantique is in September. And so in terms of its impact this year, it won't be as great as it will be next year.

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#19

So... Yes. No, it's exactly I could throw in here as a new guy on the team here is that I've watched IonQ organically grown into networking because customers, both strategic partners and governments are, of course, demanding it, right? So we've been at it organically. We've been increasing our investment inorganically. And I think I'm delighted to be joining a firm that has already the leading position from almost every metric, including, of course, the patent perspective, I could hope for.

Peter Chapman

executive
#20

And I'll just add a little bit more, too, in the sense that for quantum computing, no matter what the qubit methodology that is used to be able to get to scale, you have to network them together. And so where most companies are today is they're still focused on chip. But the next horizon beyond that is to be able to network together systems, QPU to QPU. And here, we are building a strong patent portfolio moat, if you will, in controlling that market. And so -- as well as opening up the TAM for a new market, which is now the Quantum Internet. So it's quite synergistic with quantum computing.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#21

Okay. And then specifics on the technologies that were acquired, you said you only took some of the company. Did you -- were you interested in the QRNG, -- there's some timing instrumentation in there. Is there anything on frequency conversion? What drew you to ID Quantique?

Peter Chapman

executive
#22

Yes. So it's all of the above. Some of it is obviously opening up a new market for us. And the other -- the underlying technology, there's bits and pieces that we have interesting and interested in our own systems as well, things like single photon detectors and all sorts of those kinds of things. There's quite a bit of overlap between the 2 technologies in terms of their market. So it was those as well. But it's -- honestly, it was also -- we're excited, both Qubitekk and ID Quantique have been going after a different market, which is quantum networking and building a secure quantum Internet. And we're just as excited about that market as well. And we pick up for the first time here some new areas. It's the third area of quantum, which is quantum sensing. So we'll pick up some technology in that area as well. And if quantum sensing is going to take off, it's going to need quantum networking. So we're kind of covering the bases, if you will.

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#23

Just to be clear that we've purchased the super majority, so we will be consolidating them when it closes.

Peter Chapman

executive
#24

Exactly.

Operator

operator
#25

The next questions are from the line of Alex Platt with D.A. Davidson.

Alexander Platt

analyst
#26

Congratulations, Niccolo, on the new role and Peter on the transition. I actually wanted to ask about something you sort of announced last week, which is the sort of completion of this next step with XHB technology. In a blog post, you mentioned you're able to materially reduce energy consumption and the computational energy costs with this innovation. So I guess, could you maybe give us a better idea for where energy consumption was at prior to this sort of just like a baseline and then where we could think of it now? Also maybe how this compares to other systems on the market?

Dean Kassmann

executive
#27

Thanks, Alex. This is Dean Kassmann, running kind of engineering and technology here. So the XHB post kind of highlighted the fact is as we drive our technology road map, as we are investing in basically non-cryogenically enhanced vacuum systems, we have an ability to, one, reduce the overall footprint, the size, weight and power. Right now, the ability to drive that overall piece down drives down energy consumption of the systems. Right now, trapped ions in their current state, even in our current systems, have one of the overall lowest cost per use from a scaling perspective in terms of the amount of computational output you get versus the number of -- amount of energy that you put in. So as we think about scaling qubit count, trapped ions and our systems scale linearly, other systems and other modalities and GPUs, for example, scale exponentially. And so the overall quantum computing offers a huge advantage from an energy scaling perspective. XHB just adds to that. And so the overall effort we have in the road map and the technology is simplification of the engineering design and better scaling.

Peter Chapman

executive
#28

And I'll just add a little bit on top of this, which is today, everyone, there's a great deal of focus on different qubit modalities and there are pros and cons. But it will get to a point where it's about cost per qubit. And ultimately, if one vendor such as IonQ can produce a room temperature qubit, -- that will have significant cost advantages compared to others that have to get down to near 0 degrees. And not just in quantum computing, but also in quantum networking as well because the last thing you want to do is to put cryogenic systems all over the globe that would be prohibitively expensive to do. So it's all about our long-term plans to win here. So it's about reducing our cost per qubit into the future.

Operator

operator
#29

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Shadi Mitwalli with Craig-Hallum.

Shadi Mitwalli

analyst
#30

This is Shadi on for Quinn Bolton at Needham. Congrats on the solid year. Niccolo, congrats on being appointed to CEO. My first question is on the acquisition of IDQ. How does the acquisition fit into IonQ's portfolio, especially with regard to this previous acquisition of Qubitekk? And then can you talk about the similarities and differences in technology between IDQ and Qubitekk?

Peter Chapman

executive
#31

It's a great question. So there's a couple of things here. There is some overlap between them, and then there's pieces that each company has that the other doesn't. So we think there's areas for collaboration between the two groups and areas where we can reduce our expenses by reducing the engineering investments going forward. But as we did mention, we are, at the moment, have a majority stake in IDQ. So we do have to be careful of minority shareholder interests going forward. But it is obviously brings the two companies much closer together. And really, honestly, I think, creates a powerhouse in quantum networking of kind of taking the two companies that had the largest revenue that we knew of and bringing them together with IonQ.

Dean Kassmann

executive
#32

I can speak a little bit from a hardware perspective. This is Dean again. And so both Qubitekk as well as ID Quantique have deployed quantum networks. Qubitekk has a network that's deployed in Chattanooga as part of EPV there in the city. That's a user network where you can plug different quantum computing devices into the network for development and testing. IDQ has deployed quantum-safe networks around the world. They have implementations in Singapore. There's other networks in South Korea, and they also have kind of projects in Europe. And so they both are in the kind of the overall quantum network deployment game. From a core technology, they both offer QKD solutions. Those solutions rely on slightly different hardware technologies. They have slightly different protocols and software stacks. Qubitekk does not have quantum random number generation. IDQ does. IDQ also has been able to manufacture and engineer component technology in their single nano wire photon detectors and are actually have made that as part of their business. In fact, those photon detection systems are used in many different products. We use them here internally for other work that we're doing on the quantum computing. And so from an overall technology stack, there are some things that are very similar, but there's also things that are quite different and that we'll be looking at as we move forward.

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#33

And all I'd add to that is, obviously, Qubitekk had a great U.S. customer base. IDQ is bringing us Europe, bringing us, obviously, significant partnership with SK Telecom that we also announced today. And we think that the forward-looking nature of markets like Korea, the next-generation secure Internet is going to be obviously fortuitous and lead to much prosperity for our networking business in that market. Qubitekk brought us about 118 patents granted and pending, and IDQs brought us nearly 300. So it's quite a powerhouse of networking moat, as Peter mentioned, globally.

Shadi Mitwalli

analyst
#34

Got it. That makes sense. And then my follow-up is on the revenue guidance for 2025. It's implying very strong year-over-year growth. Can you guys give some of the puts and takes for the revenue guidance, especially with Q1 guidance in mind? It seems like this will be more back half weighted. And maybe how much of this will be hardware sales versus QCA or development revenue?

Niccolo de Masi

executive
#35

So it is correct that it will be more in the back half. Traditionally, Q1 has been a little weaker than other quarters for us, but we have a very strong pipeline, and we now have several product areas that we expect to be able to benefit from. And we really look forward to being able to go to market now with a much fuller set of solutions than when we're only selling compute.

Operator

operator
#36

The next question is from the line of Richard Shannon with Craig-Hallum.

Richard Shannon

analyst
#37

So you mentioned South Korea or just Korea in general. Do you plan on expanding that product into the EU and the U.S. QRNG product?

Peter Chapman

executive
#38

I think it's a little early to do kind of where do we want to take which products. We're still -- we need to complete the acquisition as well. But what I would say is -- and Niccolo kind of signposted to this, which is in the current marketplace, having multiple geographic locations allows us to go into markets, especially if the world is becoming more nationalistic. And we think that the ID Quantique will enable that because it is a European Swiss and South Korean company. They have a number of employees in both locations, and they have strong relationship with companies in South Korea as well. So I think in that sense, it's kind of derisking a little bit of the current potential things which are going on kind of globally and make sure that we're not just a U.S. company now, but now a European and South Korean company as well. And so we think those things -- and now we need to do -- it also depending on what happens with tariffs, well, now you could decide to do manufacturing in different locations and deal with those things in that way as well. So it just kind of helps in a global footprint. We'll also be picking up salespeople, obviously, who have been quite successful. And then the next thing is what kind of co-selling can we do? How can we take advantage of each other's unique advantages. But that's still work ahead of us.

Richard Shannon

analyst
#39

All right. That sounds great. And could you guys give us any guidance on what you expect gross margins and OpEx to look like throughout the year?

Thomas Kramer

executive
#40

So we are not ready to give guidance on that. What we have seen in the past is that we've been lucky enough to benefit from some large government contracts. These tend to have slightly lower gross margin because you're not mass producing a product. But what it does is it pays for R&D that goes into actually generating our next generation of products. So we expect that as the market moves further and further into enterprise commercialization that the gross margins will start trending up in the positive direction quite a lot. So we saw in the past, when we were selling just compute. And we -- whenever we've had a majority of enterprise customers, the gross margin has been around 75%, 77%, and we expect it to go back there. But in the meantime, we also know that we are saving a lot on R&D by taking up projects with customers who are looking into the same areas that we are looking into and that we think are crucial for the development of quantum computing and quantum networking over the longer term.

Peter Chapman

executive
#41

As an example of that, we have a contract with AR4L to build an optical switch. And so the margin on that one might not be as good, but we're working with them to build that and they're helping pay for the development cost, which we would have otherwise paid for directly out of our pocket. So we don't use the same lens, if you will, that we would in terms of a product that we're kind of shipping in volume. Hopefully, that helps.

Richard Shannon

analyst
#42

That does. Do you guys have any insight as to any expected milestones or just cadence of revenue recognition for those contracts?

Thomas Kramer

executive
#43

Which contract are we talking about, the AFRL contract?

Richard Shannon

analyst
#44

I mean we could go on an overall basis, if you don't want to break anything out.

Thomas Kramer

executive
#45

So overall, our contracts tend to come in different flavors. We will do projects that are application mined that they tend to be on a 6- to 18-month platform. And if -- there are contracts that we have with entities such as AFRL. These have been on 18 months, but sometimes up to 48 months, which was the large $54.5 million contract we announced last year. So it all depends on which project that we're looking at. If we sell a system, the lead time on delivering a system is around 12 to 18 months, and we expect that to go closer to 12 and even shorter as we get more volume up.

Operator

operator
#46

Our next question is from David Williams with Benchmark Company.

David Williams

analyst
#47

I just -- I wanted to ask a little bit -- I mean in the first quarter, we haven't heard -- you mentioned kind of the pipeline strength of hardware sales, but I imagine that's still fairly healthy. Just any color on what you're seeing in terms of the hardware sales and any activity around that, I think, would be helpful.

Peter Chapman

executive
#48

Yes. This is Peter. I can help with that. So it's a particularly busy time right now. And when we say hardware sales here, I'm going to assume you mean compute in quantum computers. And I will just mention, too, it seems to me that from what I can see on the networking side versus the compute side, the networking side is not -- doesn't seem to be quite as lumpy. It seems to be a lot more sales in smaller dollar amounts, which is nice because it kind of offsets the lumpiness of the quantum compute side, which is -- that will be nice just going forward. I'll be looking forward to not having to say and our sales are lumpy. So on the compute side, things are right now at a really interesting time. There's a bunch of RFPs we're competing in and for systems. And we'll know in the next couple of months, I guess, probably within 6 to 9 months, whether or not those systems will be awarded to us. And so I don't think the world has kind of quite picked up, but there's -- internationally, there's quite a bit right now, which is going on in the quantum compute side and up for grabs. And then I mentioned also at the close of the kind of the remarks, some of the things that are going on in terms of the quantum compute marketplace that I think is fairly large events. The DARPA benchmarking initiative is a huge reward per company. And so those things have the potential to have an outsized impact.

David Williams

analyst
#49

Okay. Great. Great color there. And then maybe just one last one, if I may, on the $500 million that you announced today, is that target for in particular? Or is it more just about having the dry powder as you move forward here and not have constraints around your job experience?

Peter Chapman

executive
#50

It's really -- it's twofold. One is to -- we see an entirely new TAM, which is in quantum networking. And so it's supporting that. We have said that, that will be the first business that becomes cash flow positive for us. And I could see that happening not too far off in the future. The other aspect, which is just as exciting is our applications business. The work we're doing with ANSYS and AstraZeneca and some other things we haven't announced yet are compelling businesses to themselves and that have the potential to generate billions of dollars. but we just didn't have the resources to do quantum computing, quantum networking, chemistry applications, optimization. There's just -- if you go on quantum AI, each one of these things, unfortunately needs its own investment to be successful. And so while we had sufficient funds to do the quantum computing side, we didn't have the funds to be a leading player in some of these application areas or again, in the networking space. So that's where this money is going to get used. I will say we thought about doing -- going out and doing venture for some of these and doing some as one way, but that means you're giving up the piece of the action in exchange for that. And we're pretty excited about what the future holds for some of these other markets that we're going into.

Operator

operator
#51

Thank you. At this time, I'll turn the floor back to Peter Chapman for closing remarks.

Peter Chapman

executive
#52

Great. Well, thanks, everyone. Thank you for joining the call. I just want to say thank you, as I always do at this time to the company and to our investors and everyone that supports us. This work wouldn't happen without the hard work of all of our employees and also the management team. And so just thank you. Thanks for a great 2024, and we look forward to a fantastic 2025. And thanks, everyone, for joining us today.

Operator

operator
#53

Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.

This call discussed

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to IonQ, Inc. earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.