Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. ($IVN)

Earnings Call Transcript · March 31, 2026

TSX CA Materials Metals and Mining Special Calls 50 min

Highlights from the call

In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. reported a significant update regarding its Kamoa-Kakula copper mine, with a revised production forecast that reflects a 20% decrease for 2026 and 2027 due to redevelopment efforts. Revenue and earnings figures were not disclosed, but management emphasized a focus on restoring production levels to over 500,000 tonnes annually by 2028. The company maintained its capital guidance while adjusting cash cost expectations upward by 10% to 20% for the next two years, driven by lower production forecasts and increased operational costs.

Main topics

  • Production Forecast Adjustment: Management revised the copper production forecast for 2026 to between 290,000 and 330,000 tonnes, down from previous expectations. CEO Marna Cloete stated, "This year is moving to 290,000 to 330,000 tonnes of copper anodes," indicating a strategic deferral in ramp-up plans.
  • Cash Cost Guidance Increase: The cash cost guidance for 2026 has been raised to $2.60 to $3.00 per pound, reflecting a 10% to 20% increase from prior estimates. Alex Pickard noted, "The biggest driver here is the lower production forecast and the lower grade through this redevelopment period."
  • Long-Term Production Goals: Management reiterated a long-term goal of achieving over 500,000 tonnes of copper production annually by 2028. Robert Friedland emphasized, "We see extraordinary value... what's going to happen in the Western Forelands," suggesting confidence in future production capabilities.
  • Kamoa-Kakula Mine Redevelopment: The company is undergoing a significant redevelopment of the Kakula mine, which includes new geotechnical assessments and mine design changes. Simon Bottoms stated, "We see this as a positive because overall, it increases the productivity and ultimately, our tonnage production out of the operating mines."
  • Smelter Performance: The Kakula smelter has exceeded expectations, operating at 60% above capacity with 99% pure copper anodes produced. Tom van den Berg mentioned, "Our first shipments are also taking place...due to supply constraints in the various areas across the mine," indicating strong operational performance.

Key metrics mentioned

  • 2026 Production Guidance: 290,000 to 330,000 tonnes (down from previous estimates, reflecting a 20% decrease)
  • 2026 Cash Cost Guidance: $2.60 to $3.00 per pound (increased by 10% to 20% from prior guidance)
  • Long-Term Production Target: 500,000 tonnes (targeted annual production by 2028)
  • Smelter Capacity Utilization: 60% above capacity (indicating strong operational performance)
  • Mineral Reserve Grade Change: decreased (due to new mine design and geotechnical assessments)
  • Capital Guidance: unchanged (despite production forecast adjustments)

The adjustments in production and cash cost guidance present challenges for Ivanhoe Mines in the short term, potentially affecting investor sentiment. However, the long-term strategy to restore and enhance production capabilities at Kamoa-Kakula, alongside strong smelter performance, offers a pathway for recovery. Investors should monitor the progress of redevelopment efforts and global market conditions as key catalysts for future performance.

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

Operator
#1

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Ivanhoe Mines Kamoa-Kakula Technical Report Webinar. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded on Tuesday, March 31, 2026. I would now like to turn the call over to Tommy Horton, Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Development.

Tommy Horton

Executives
#2

Thank you very much, operator, and good evening, everyone. First and foremost, thank you for joining us today, and welcome to the Ivanhoe Mines Kamoa-Kakula 2026 Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource Update. As operator mentioned, this is Tommy Horton. I'm Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development at Ivanhoe Mines. And on the line with me today, we have Founder and Co-Executive Chairman, Robert Friedland; President and Chief Executive Officer, Marna Cloete; Chief Operating Officer, Tom van der Berg; Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Alex Pickard; and Executive Vice President, Technical Services, Simon Bottoms. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that today's event will contain forward-looking statements and will involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. Details of these forward-looking statements are contained in our March 31 news release as well as on SEDAR+ and on our website, www.ivanhoemines.com. So now it is my pleasure to introduce Ivanhoe Mines' Founder and Co-Executive Chairman, Robert Friedland. Robert, over to you for some opening remarks.

Robert Martin Friedland

Executives
#3

Well, welcome to everybody who is joining this call from all over the world. I happen to be in California, and it's my privilege to talk to you about a very narrow subject today, which is putting a floor underneath all expectations for the Kamoa-Kakula copper mine. We have lots of other things that we can talk about in our company in the next month or 2. But as you all know, the stock market has seen a lot of red as a consequence of the war around and with Iran. And for most shareholders, it's like trying to pick up pennies in front of a steam roller, given what's been happening in the financial markets. But all of the selling across the board in mining shares has been done by computers. And we're fortunate that today, we have an opportunity to clarify our total situation and have a solid conservative appraisal of our redevelopment plans to restore Kamoa-Kakula to its justified Tier 1 and very important high-grade status, the highest grade major copper mine in the world, a mine that will be with us for decades and decades to come. And on top of that, we have our Western Foreland development with another 10 million or 12 million tonnes of copper right next door and contained copper. So it's fitting that we start this first slide, which has my picture in the lower left with our solar field. This is our first solar field that will generate 60 megawatts of uninterruptible power backed by batteries, 24 hours a day. We plan to build a second one and then a third one. And this is part of what we're hardening Kamoa-Kakula against disruption from the Middle East. We're going to see, in my opinion, much higher diesel prices. There's going to be diesel availability issues in Australia and other Asian parts of the world. And we've looked at this total situation now, and we're going to give the markets and our stakeholders and our shareholders a very clear picture of what is the bottom line and all the upside in the next 2 years as we bring Kamoa-Kakula to all-time new record production. This is the mining business. It's not for intelligent people. We're some 34 years into this business in the Congo. We've seen lots of ups and downs. I rarely comment on the share price, but we're basically back to the same price we sold shares to a major North American financial institution and to a major sovereign wealth fund in the Middle East, around $12 a share. Here, I think we see extraordinary value, both in what's happening at Kamoa-Kakula in the next 2 years, what's going to happen in the Western Forelands, a very, very healthy copper price north of $5 a pound, an extraordinary turnaround at our Kipushi mine and the great news coming at the largest precious metals mine under development at Platreef. So with those opening remarks and with great optimism and thanks for the hard work done for our thousands of key people working on this project, I'll turn this over to Marna, our CEO. Marna, please go ahead. Thank you.

Martie Cloete

Executives
#4

Thank you, Robert, and good afternoon and good evening, everyone. I would like to open today with welcoming both Simon Bottoms and Mark Sumner to the executive management of Ivanhoe Mines. Simon joined early March as our EVP, Executive Vice President, Technical Services, and he underwent a baptism by fire with having to take the lead on pulling together the study results that we are presenting to you today. Simon was previously with Barrick, and he's a geologist and a mining engineer by trade. So I think we are in capable hands. And Mark Sumner has been a trusted member of our team, and his promotion is a testament to the exceptional work that he has been doing on all our corporate financing initiatives. So if we can move over to the next slide. When you do these updates, I think it's always imperative to take stock of the journey one has been on, and I want to kick off this webinar by reminding the audience of the salient features that makes Kamoa-Kakula such a remarkable generational mine. To date, we have invested in excess of $7 billion in capital, which was largely funded by project cash flows. We have generated a similar EBITDA over the past 5 years since 2021 by producing 1.7 million tonnes of copper in the first 5 years of operation at this mine at the lowest capital cost intensity in the copper industry. 90% of our employees are Congolese, and most of them are trained on site at our training facilities and our center of excellence. And in addition to this, we operate a fully integrated mine, and we have commissioned Africa's largest and greenest copper smelter. So I think that should frame the discussion of today. If we move over into the second slide, in May of 2025, we experienced an event, which required us to completely rethink our approach to mining this generational mine. And over the next 12 months since May of last year, we had to embark on a turnaround initiative that was marked by key milestones, and I will mention a few here today. The seismic event happened on the 18th of May, and we managed to extract all our people safely during this event. We also then started on the 7th of June to reenter cruise into the western side of Kakula and to restart our underground operations. In July of 2025, we appointed our consultants to start the technical report that we are presenting to you today, AMC from Australia and South Africa. We started with the Stage 2 dewatering by commissioning four 650 meters per second pumps that we installed at Kakula in September of 2025. In October and November, we received preliminary findings from Beck Engineering and Mining 3 on the geotechnical incident that occurred at Kamoa-Kakula and the subsequent technical findings. But then in November and December, we commissioned the smelter successfully and managed to also ramp it up successfully. Towards the end of December and the beginning of January, we completed the Stage 2 dewatering and -- the first 2 of the 650 liters per second pumps ran dry in January and December. At the beginning of January, we also started with the development of the new access drives to the northeast and the southeast of Kakula. And in March, our own crews started with the development of the boxcuts at Kahala and Kansoko Sud. We are currently also in the process of establishing a geotechnical review board that will oversee our operations going forward. So a lot has transpired over the past 12 months, and there's still a lot more work to be done that we will discuss with you during this webinar. Today marks the culmination of our initial findings, as I mentioned. And I would like to reiterate from the onset, as Robert also alluded to, that we see multiple areas for refinement and further optimization. Kamoa-Kakula remains a world-class mineral resource. And even though our mineral reserves has decreased with the new mine design and an exclusion zone that Simon will take you through a bit later during this call, it still supports a multigenerational mine life. We had to rethink 2026 and 2027 production, and we will restate -- we've restated our guidance as well as our cash cost as a result as we develop the Kakula mine in order to make way for long-term infrastructure to establish future high productivity stoping. And Alex will take you through our guidance a bit later as well as our cash cost impact. Our capital guidance will remain unchanged. I think it's important to note that all of this work that we are doing, we are doing to create a launch pad for us to restart our production in excess of 500,000 tonnes from 2028 onwards. With that as an introduction, I would now like to hand over to Simon to take you through the results of the study. Thank you, Simon.

Simon Bottoms

Executives
#5

Thanks, Marna. Good afternoon, and good evening, everyone. So I'd like to start today by stepping through a summary and reconciliation of the changes to our updated mineral reserves. So as you can see on the slide here, we've broken out the key changes against the depletion of our previously reported mineral reserve into 5 key components. But each of these, I will talk you through in more detail in upcoming slides in this presentation. Initially, as you will see, as Marna has mentioned a moment ago, we've removed the old Kakula mine from our mineral reserve statement. This in the waterfall, you'll see we've broken down into 2 core components, the first of which we've termed the mature extraction zone, which is excluded and removed from both mineral reserves and mineral resources, and I'll show you in more detail in the upcoming slide. The second, as shown by 1b on the waterfall, it has been reclassified to -- from measured and indicated to inferred mineral resources as we still see the potential for reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction. And as a lot of my focus on the presentation today will be on with upcoming focused and detailed feasibility studies on the different ore bodies and mining areas within the Kamoa-Kakula complex, we fully anticipate that portions of 1b will be coming back into our mine plan and potentially back into our reserve statement with further detailed study work. So then as shown by number 2, the most significant change to our reported mineral reserve is the change in our overall geotechnical regime and pillar width applied to our mine design. These have been extrapolated from the findings of the Kakula seismic zone investigations. And these have resulted in an overall extraction ratio of approximately 60% of the mineral resource. So again, I will go into more detail on that in upcoming slides. Then in 3 and 4, we see these 2 should be very much viewed together. The first of which number 3, as part of our mine redesigns, we've incorporated a significant increase in the proportion of high production stoping fronts within the mine, which inevitably has had the impact of increasing dilution and therefore, has had a significant impact on our reported reserve grade, as you see in the grade reconciliation on the bottom graph on this slide. However, whilst this would be shown as a negative on the waterfall change on the waterfall here, we see this as a positive because overall, it increases the productivity and ultimately, our tonnage production out of the operating mines. The incorporation of these design changes ultimately lowered the grade of various areas of stoping across the mines, which resulted in them falling out of the mineral -- reported mineral reserves, which is why this is reflected as a negative metal change on the upper waterfall. However, when we've relooked at our mineral reserve commodity price assumptions, revising to $4.50 a pound and incorporated the changes in our underlying cost models, particularly around the confidence in our smelter operations, we've been able to reduce our overall operating cutoff and reserve cutoff to a 1.5%. This has effectively balanced out the metal changes that you see in change number 3. Again, this comes with another reduction in the overall reported reserve grade, as you see in the lower grade reconciliation graph. Now again, I will go into this in a lot more detail coming up. And whilst this might be seen as a negative with these 2 changes substantially reducing the reported reserve grade, what it does do is it extends an already long-life mine into a multi-decade mine, continuing the Tier 1 levels of production well out beyond 20 years. The fifth change here on the waterfall being the conversion of our Kamoa 3, 4, 5 and 6 mineral resources into mineral reserves. These conversions have been done through the application of the same mine design principles that we've extrapolated right across the Kamoa-Kakula complex after the geotechnical investigations within Kakula. So now turning to focus on Kakula. The exclusion zones, as I referred to in change 1 -- we can go to the next slide, please. As shown in the image on the right-hand side of the slide, the mature extraction zone of 1a highlighted by the red outline, this is the zone where the seismic event occurred. And inside this zone, previous extraction ratios have exceeded 70%. This is the zone that we've conservatively removed from both our mineral resource and mineral reserve statement based upon guidance from the group of geotechnical experts that have been engaged throughout the process. Then in 1b, we have reclassified the previously measured and indicated mineral resources into inferred mineral resources to highlight the fact that we still see reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction within this zone, particularly once we've reestablished critical mine services and completed the Stage 3 dewatering such that we are unable to have physical access across this inferred extraction zone. So over the course of time, I have no doubt that 1 areas of mineral resource within that reported 1b zone will form part of our mine plan and potentially come back into our mineral reserve statement. So now turning to the second change and the most significant change on our mineral reserve statement. This is the application of the new geotechnical parameters that I referred to earlier, initially designed as a reaction to the Kakula seismic event and extrapolated across all of the ore bodies within the Kamoa-Kakula complex. To illustrate this, on the right-hand side of the slide here, I've shown the updated Kamoa 1 mine design. We're applying these principles. And as you'll see, the core features of this mine sequences are such that we establish the blue, peripheral access drives and the red, long-term trunk road accesses well ahead of our mining front. The sequence is such that these accesses are designed to be established at least one panel, which is highlighted in orange, which is made up of 3 active mining blocks by -- a grid of 3 by 3 active mining blocks ahead of the current mining truck. These long-term accesses provide critical long-term trunk growth for mine services and materials handling routes. So by resequencing all of our mines into this manner, of course, it has had a substantial change on our mine sequencing. We feel that the application of these geotechnical guidelines is a cautious one. And by doing this across all of the ore bodies in the Kamoa-Kakula complex, this has set us on a solid foundation from which we are confident we will be able to build back up upon from with future detailed geological, geotechnical and hydrological studies. These critical studies will ultimately enable us to develop more bespoke mining sequences and designs to each and every domain within each and every ore body, which we believe will ultimately improve upon the assumptions that we've applied to the reserve today. So now moving on to the third key change, whereby as part of the redesign process, as mentioned by Marna earlier, we've maximized the proportion of the mineable reserve that is extracted through low-cost, high-productivity stoping drifts as illustrated in the upper graphic on this slide. These design changes inevitably do incur more dilution, as you can see by highlighted in the gray areas outside of the representative ore body on the graphic. But our trade-off studies have shown that even incurring this additional dilution, the impacts of that are more than offset by the increase in productivity of our mining rates. And as illustrated on the earlier waterfall, this design change is further complemented by the revision of our operating cutoff grades, which reflects the confidence in our underlying cost profile as well as the changes in our commodity price assumptions for the mineral reserve. And ultimately, as you'll see on the lower graphic, what this has done is enabled us to optimize the extraction of our ore bodies, ensuring that we're not leaving behind high-value mineral resource. And so the lower cutoff grade stopes you see on the right-hand side of the graphic demonstrate exactly how decreasing the cutoff grade does drop our reserve grade. But ultimately, the incremental costs incurred by mining this additional material are more than paid for by the 1.5% to 2% copper that is added to the production profile as a result of this design change. So now turning -- moving on to the fifth change in the waterfall. This has been the inclusion of the additional mineral reserves at Kamoa 3, 4, 5 and 6, which have been converted from mineral resources by again applying these very cautious geotechnical design criteria across all of these ore bodies. This has resulted in a substantial increase in the overall mine life. Albeit again, at a lower grade with these ore bodies. However, when looking at where these ore bodies feature in our mine profile, the majority of them only commence mining some 10 years or more from today. So importantly now, turning to our mineral resource base. You will see that even with these updates, Kamoa-Kakula is still a standout mineral resource within -- that stands amongst the giants of the world-class copper deposits today. Our measured and indicated mineral resources are still very much intact. We've been -- we have updated them with the depletion and with the removal of the mature extraction zone from Kakula, as I showed you on the graphic earlier. Then there is an increase -- associated increase in our inferred mineral resources, which is a direct result of the reclassification of the measured and indicated material from Kakula into the inferred set. Importantly, a lot of additional drilling has taken place since our last underlying mineral resource model update, and we have already started the process of incorporating these into an updated mineral resource model. This resource model will not only reflect an updated geological model and grade estimate, but it will incorporate the multidisciplinary aspects that are required to really optimize our mine design with obvious focuses on geotechnical modeling, and hydrological modeling and incorporating those into our mine designs and sequences such that we can progress from what has currently been a standardized approach across all of the ore bodies to a bespoke design and sequence designed to each and every ore body across the complex. So now turning to focus on Kakula. Throughout the course of this year and next year, we are very much focused on resetting the Kakula mine to establish Kakula 2.0, very similar to how I described to you with Kamoa earlier. This initially starts with the development of safe, long-term peripheral accesses around the perimeter of the ore body, as you see highlighted by the green-dash outlined on the ore body -- on the mine design map. As part of this, we're also establishing a stability pillar to separate the historic mining area of the original Kakula mine from the new mine, as shown by the blue line, which separates the new eastern section of Kakula. Critically, these peripheral accesses will be used to locate critical infrastructure and mine services, including ventilation, dewatering and electrical reticulation and provide important egress access for all of our personnel. This will ensure that going forward, as Kakula ramps back up to be the Tier 1 ore body that it truly is. We will always be able to rely on consistency of operation of those services and facilities within the mine by establishing them in the safe foundational pillars around the periphery of the ore body. Then as Kakula progresses and as the development progresses towards 2028, as we progress to the next slide, you will see, particularly in the eastern section of the mine, this becomes a high productivity, long-hole stoping front for the new Kakula complex. This restores the high-grade production that everyone well knows from the Kakula ore body. Ultimately, that eastern section of the mine is developing at a faster rate than that of the western section of the mine because the dip of the ore body is a much shallower dip in the eastern section. The western section, whilst it may look flat on this diagram, is actually more representative of a bowl shape. And so a large amount of the development, as you will see in the design, runs in perimeter rings circling around the rim of that bowl, enabling us to then establish stoping drift fronts in between each of those levels. These design improvements not only provide significant improvements in productivity, but also guarantee operational safety and predictability for our operations. And ultimately, we are confident that this will be the key pin that returns the Kamoa-Kakula complex back to a plus 500,000 tonne per annum steady-state producer. So in the interim, whilst we reset Kakula over the next 2 years, Kamoa is very much going to become the core backbone of the complex. And this is as the development in Kamoa accelerates from the 2 newly established boxcuts and positions the mine for long-term steady-state production. To illustrate this, the image on the right shows the position of the Kamoa 1 mine only 10 years from today. And whilst you can see that the key trunk roads and peripheral access development drifts that I mentioned earlier are very well established far ahead of the stoping fronts. These stoping and mining drifts only cover what is 1/4 of the footprint of the overall ore body. This reflects the truly world-class multi-decade mine life of the Kamoa ore body. And as we stand today, Kamoa is currently achieving some of the highest mining production rates of the complex, which solidifies its importance within the complex as one of the longest life and most consistent production profiles. So as I mentioned earlier, the key within the next 12 months will be undertaking a set of detailed optimization studies for which we are commencing drilling in the immediate coming months, not just on our geological resources, but also to obtain information well ahead of our development to get our detailed rock mass and geotechnical classifications and hydrological mine designs. We plan to incorporate all of these detailed drill programs into updated models and through an iterative process over the course of the next 12 months, utilize that upgraded resolution of data to improve our overall ore body knowledge, which ultimately will underpin the success of our ramp-up of the mining profile. This will then lead to another round of updates of our mine design and infrastructure with a more bespoke application to different domains and areas of the ore bodies within the complex as we get that high resolution information. And overall, we are targeting putting together a detailed feasibility update for the immediate 5-year production profile together with an updated pre-feasibility on the life of mine schedule with additional long-term trade-offs, particularly as we have now brought in additional mineral resources, as highlighted earlier, through Kamoa 3 to 6 into the mineral reserve plan. So I'd like to hand over now to Tom, who will take you through the operational update.

Tom van den Berg

Executives
#6

Thank you, Simon, and welcome to all the audience. I think it's important just to say thank you to the technical teams. There's been a lot of work, a lot of hours put in over the last month to get to where we are today. It certainly isn't where we are going to stop. There's further iterations that will take place and further improvements that will take place as we get -- so we haven't applied some of the new technologies into these ore bodies yet. And as we progress, there will be further optimism and we'll take on an improvement as we go forward. So it is an iterative process, and we do believe that it will be improved as we go along. And thanks again to the technical teams and the subject matter experts, Beck Engineering, AMC and all of them for the work that [indiscernible]. Getting to the next slide, maximizing our concentrator assets. So Project 95 is where we've been building on Phase 1 and Phase 2, and we've been taking that construction up to 87% currently. What that does is it increases the recoveries at the 2 Phase 1 and Phase 2 contractors up to 87% and then up to 92%, depending on the feed grade of the ore. That will obviously give us further efficiency improvements at the concentrators. And then alternate operations of Phase 1, Phase 2 of the concentrators in half 1 2026, and that will be processing and processing it through with various processing efficiencies as we don't have a bottleneck at those particular concentrators at this stage. So maximizing our recoveries in that particular area. As you see in the slide on the right, the capacity is 17 million tonnes. We have spare capacity available in 2026. We will be looking for opportunities, and we are looking for those opportunities, as you heard, with respect to filling it with further areas that we're opening up like the Kahala boxcut that we are obviously and actively busy working on that and opening up more mining space in that area to fill that spare capacity where as far as possible. And you'll see the run-of-mine Kakula and the run-of-mine Kamoa with the various grades as well. And then it goes into 2027. You see it goes up and we still got a bit of spare capacity. And then in 2028, we should be having the mills becoming nameplate and milling at nameplate capacity. Thank you. Next slide. Our smelter, which has started in the -- and you'll see the first pour that took place here in December 2025, 99% pure copper anodes coming out of the Kakula smelter and the green ones at that from a point of view, generated to a large extent by hydropower. So the ramp-up continues to exceed expectations. We are 60% above capacity at the moment at the smelter. It's progressed well. There's always learnings, and we're applying those learnings as we go into the operation of the smelter. Our first shipments are also taking place in the Lobito Rail Corridor, and that gives you that ultra-load carbon anodes that are completed and then heading to the international markets. Realized price for asset sales is currently at $500 a tonne. That's obviously due to supply constraints in the various areas across the mine -- sorry, across the supply chain disruptions that we've seen and continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which also may drive prices higher. And then the evaluation of toll treatments, purchase of third-party copper concentrates to further improve the margins in our smelter. Thank you. Last slide you're seeing here that I'll be talking to is the contingency planning for the current global events. We've gone through scenario planning. We've done quite a bit of extensive scenario planning to understand the current global macro events, how it affects our diesel price and the availability issues of diesel. So we have been deprioritizing diesel genset consumptions to cover the DRC grid instability for concentrators. And we've also then got significant on-site stocks of diesel and orders in place. So we've got strategic orders that are being held at this stage. Commissioning of the 60-megawatt solar plant, as Robert referred to earlier, these give us the photovoltaic facilities that are expected mid-2026 and then we'll further reduce our diesel consumption as well and give us further greener copper as we will be able to take it further forward. And then finalizing the negotiations on the further 60-megawatt expansion targeting mid-2027 completion. Thank you. I'm going to hand over to Alex.

Alex Pickard

Executives
#7

Thank you, Tom. It's Alex Pickard here. I'm going to close out the presentation today by taking you through our updated production and cash cost guidance, give a little bit more context on the plan going forward, and then we will have time for Q&A. What you can see here in the photo is one of the very large thickeners for Project 95, which is very close to construction completion. Thanks, Tommy. So firstly, looking at the production forecast, what we are showing here is the historical performance of Kamoa-Kakula in the gray. So that's around 1.7 million tonnes of copper in concentrate produced in the last 5 years or 4 years and change really. Going forward, we've changed the methodology slightly. We are going to be reporting copper production in anodes, which is basically going to be the main form of production that we expect at least until our smelter is exceeding its capacity of 500,000 tonnes per annum from 2028. But even in the eventuality that the smelter exceeds capacity, we see toll treatment capacity to basically continue to produce and sell blister above 500,000 tonnes per annum going forward. So zooming in on the guidance, I mean, I think in short, we think of the guidance more as a 1-year deferral on our previous ramp-up forecast. So this year is moving to 290,000 to 330,000 tonnes of copper anodes. And then next year, looking at increasing that up to 380,000 to 420,000 tonnes before ramping back up to 500,000 tonnes and above over a long mine life from 2028 onwards. So if you look at this overall, it's around a 20% decrease across those 2 years, '26 and '27. Approximately 70% of that decrease is coming from the reestablishment and the work that we will be doing to redevelop the Kakula mine that Simon took you through. And then the remaining decrease is coming from increased development at the Kamoa mines. As Simon mentioned, we are moving immediately into a phase of optimization. So I think there is some opportunity within these numbers, particularly as we are completing the dewatering and reaccessing the full extent of the old Kakula mine. And in terms of what 2028 looks like moving into the long term, next year, we will come back with a much more detailed plan on that life of mine that will have a much higher degree of definition. Moving to the cash cost guidance for 2026 and 2027. So this is really taking into consideration all of the factors that we've described. But really, the biggest driver here is the lower production forecast and the lower grade through this redevelopment period. So the cash cost in round numbers has increased from the previous range by 10% to 20%. So the updated guidance is around $2.60 to $3 per pound for 2026. And then we expect a material decline to $2.10 to $2.50 for 2027. Taking a more long-term view for 2028 and beyond, I think we're targeting a cash cost of $2 per pound. That's once we've reached the steady-state production rate again. And I think, hopefully, we are targeting below that target, and there are a number of cost optimization initiatives that we are also looking into as part of the study process. The other thing that we've taken into consideration here is an updated view of the diesel pricing for 2026 and to an extent, 2027, given the disruptive global environment that we are currently facing. But the good news is that I think the diesel price is well offset by the higher sulfuric acid prices that we will be receiving from the smelter. And then looking at the pie chart on the right-hand side, what we want to highlight is the breakdown of C1 cash costs over the next 2 years. So really, where you see the impact of the lower tonnes and the lower grade is on the mine site cash cost. So that's the categories of mining, processing and G&A because we're effectively spreading our fixed costs over only 60% to 80% of our true capacity. And so this is where we are really targeting the 25% reduction in costs on a per pound basis once we get past 2027. And then what is also interesting to see here is if you look at the little sliver in the pie, which is the C1 cash cost of the smelter, where we are deducting from that C1 cash cost the byproducts from the acid credit. So what you can see effectively is that the asset credits basically pay for the operating cost of the smelter. And the other benefit of the smelter is those logistics and TC/RCs are now a much, much smaller part of the pie chart than they were previously where they were up to sort of 30% to 40% of the overall pie. Thanks, Tommy. So finally, this slide is really just to take you through some of the upcoming delivery milestones so that investors can expect what to see as we continue this journey over the next 2 years. So we're sitting here today with the updated reserve and resource on the tape. I think as Simon and Marna alluded to, we really see this as more of an interim update and a new baseline to build from. I think as evidence of that, and we're not sitting back after this new study, we actually have a kickoff meeting in 2 weeks' time, which is basically going to kick off the much more detailed feasibility study and PFS process. So the beginning of that process will trigger a lot of additional drilling work and information gathering to improve the definition of the geology, geotechnical and hydrological bases. Looking more from an operations side, I think we've got a lot of great detail from Simon in terms of the ramp-up plan, but some of the key things that we will see is the imminent completion and ramp-up of Project 95 to boost the recoveries, as Tom mentioned, that's coming from next month. This quarter, we will also complete the new boxcut, which we call Kahala. Kahala is actually already in the ore body and Kansoko Sud. So those are the new accesses into the Kamoa mining areas. and then the completion of the Phase 1 and 2 solar project by midyear, as Tom mentioned, for 60 megawatts of uninterruptible clean power, which is a great derisking event in an environment with a global fuel shortage. Then finally, towards the end of this year or early next year, we will be completing the 5-year detailed feasibility study in the life of mine PFS. I think it's safe to say we see a very big opportunity to crystallize significant upside from the results that we presented today. And then we will move into 2027, which will really be a breakout year where we will start to commence the higher productivity, low-cost stoping at Kakula for sort of Kakula 2.0, as we call it. And then that will support increasing the mining rates to reach our full milling capacity at 17 million tonnes per annum by year-end and ultimately move into 500,000 tonnes or more of production over a very long life. And then finally, maybe just to conclude and closing on how Robert opened the call, we do have very exciting upcoming news to report on the other projects. So the Western Forelands next door to Kamoa-Kakula. We will be announcing a significantly enlarged updated mineral resource estimate during what is now the coming quarter or this quarter, starting tomorrow. And then at Platreef, we will very soon be commissioning a major shaft expansion, which quadruples the hoisting capacity and prepares the road for the Phase 2 expansion. And the Phase 2 expansion will actually be completed on basically the same time line as what we see here for Kakula by the end of 2027, that will be in the commissioning phase. So a lot of exciting milestones to come. And I think with that, I'll pass back to Tommy to chair the Q&A.

Tommy Horton

Executives
#8

Thank you, Alex. As mentioned, we will be doing a question-and-answer session. We will first go to the phone lines. So covering analysts, you are able to submit your questions via the operator on the phone lines. If anyone has any questions that are not addressed during the call, please do reach out to our IR team, and we can go back to you and answer those. We are also running Q&A sessions after the end of this webinar. So please do reach out to us directly for those. So with that, I'll hand over to the operator. Do we have anyone on the phone lines?

Operator

Operator
#9

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Andrew Mikitchook with BMO.

Andrew Mikitchook

Analysts
#10

I know you touched on it already, but maybe Tom or someone else would be giving us a little bit more sense of how this dewatering and rehabilitation is going. Specifically, I guess, a lot of large portions of this area they are working and have been removed from the near-term mine plan. But when your teams are in there, what are they seeing? Are you seeing areas of material disruption or non-rehabilitatable? Any color would be helpful, I think, so people could understand what you guys are dealing with, please?

Tom van den Berg

Executives
#11

Sure. Tommy, should I go ahead and talk...

Tommy Horton

Executives
#12

Go ahead, Tom.

Tom van den Berg

Executives
#13

So what we're seeing at the moment is 72% dewatered. The pumps are currently running in a maintenance mode where we maintain the levels. We're seeing the inflow is the same as what it's always been. So that's been maintained currently. In the bottom southeast portion, we've entered that area. We're busy building new pump stations for the Stage 3 pumping at this stage. There appears to be scaling that's taken place, but we haven't got massive collapses. So when I say scaling, you're talking about its onion scale coming off the pillars on the side. That's been loaded out, and we're using remote operated LHDs, so load haul dumps to go and load it out. So people aren't putting at risk, and we are able to access certain areas. So there is access that's taking place. We are able to rehabilitate the areas and we are able to access them. What we haven't been able to do at this stage because it's still battling with water on the northeast side and battling with water in the southeast side. When I say battling with water is there's groundwater as you develop, and it is holding us up as we're trying to get through that groundwater. But it's not to say that we can't get through. We should be -- in the next month, we should be through in the northeast, the same as we are in the southeast. We haven't been able to get into the top of the northeast portion of the mine, and that would then give us a view as to what the top of the northeast looks like. So the southeast, I told you what it looks like, what we currently are achieving. We are busy rehabilitating and we have rehabilitated all the areas that we've gone into, busy reestablishing the pump stations and then starting the development around the front. And it is -- the rehabilitation is taking place. It is successful at this stage, and we are making progress in terms of getting to the Stage 3 dewatering. We've got a Stage 4 dewatering that we're looking at and planning at the moment as well, and we'll talk to that in the next call or if whenever we get to update again. Tommy, back to you.

Tommy Horton

Executives
#14

Thanks, operator. Thanks, Tom. Operator, any further people on the line?

Operator

Operator
#15

No, there are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call to -- Mr. Horton.

Tommy Horton

Executives
#16

Okay. Thank you, operator. So if there are no other questions on the line, we will conclude the call. As mentioned, if you do have questions and you wish to follow up with the company, then please contact the IR team at Ivanhoe Mines. So with that, I will now end the meeting. So thank you, everyone, for attending our webinar. Thank you, everyone at the company, and we wish you a lovely evening. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator
#17

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.

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