J.K. Cement Limited (JKCEMENT.BO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 4, 2025

BSE IN Materials Construction Materials earnings 61 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the JK Cement earnings conference call for the quarter and half year ended 30th September 2025, hosted by PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Vaibhav Agarwal from PhillipCapital. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Vaibhav Agarwal

analyst
#2

Thank you, Davin. Good evening, everyone. On behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited, we welcome you to the Q2 and H1 FY '26 call of JK Cement Limited. On the call, we have with us Mr. Ajay Kumar Saraogi, Deputy Managing Director and CFO; and Mr. Prashant Seth, President, Business Information and Investor Relations at JK Cement. I would like to mention on behalf of JK Cement Limited and its management that certain statements that may be made or discussed on today's conference call may be forward-looking statements related to future business developments and statements which are based on current management expectations. These statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and other important factors which may cause actual developments and results to differ materially from the statements made. JK Cement Limited and the management of the company assumes no obligation to publicly alter or update these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or future events or otherwise. I will now hand over the floor to the management of JK Cement for their opening remarks, which will be followed by interactive Q&A. Thank you and over to you, Saraogi sir.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#3

Thank you, Vaibhav. Good evening. And welcome to Q2 call. The Board of Directors met on 1st of November to review the working of the company for the half year ended 30th September and also to review the performance for the second quarter. The major highlights, the revenue from operations during this quarter was INR 2,859 crores as against INR 2,410 crores previous year, an increase of 19%, though it was lower by 10% as compared to previous quarter, which was -- the number of previous quarter was INR 3,190 crores. For the 6-month period, the revenue from operations were higher by 19% at INR 6,049 crores as against INR 5,070 crores. The EBITDA during this quarter was INR 440 crores as compared to INR 271 crores last year and INR 673 crores in the previous quarter. For the half year period, the EBITDA was INR 1,113 crores as compared to INR 746 crores, an increase of 49%. The comparative EBITDA margins for this quarter was 15.9%. Last year, it was 11.5%. Previous quarter, it was 21.9%. For this half year, it was 19.1% and last year, April, September was 15.2%. The profit before tax for this quarter was INR 261 crores as compared to INR 60 crores in the previous year and INR 498 crores in the previous quarter. For the half year period, it was INR 758 crores as compared to INR 348 crores. The EBITDA per tonne for this quarter was INR 902 a tonne as compared to INR 639 last year and INR 1,229 in the previous quarter. For the 6-month period, the EBITDA per tonne was INR 1,075 as compared to INR 830 a tonne. The consolidated financial results, the revenue from operations during this quarter was higher by 18% at INR 3,019 crores as compared to INR 2,560 crores. Though in the previous quarter, it was INR 3,353 crores, it is down by about 10%. For the half year period, the revenue was higher by 19% at INR 6,372 crores as compared to INR 5,368 crores. The EBITDA during the -- this quarter was INR 447 crores as compared to INR 284 crores in the previous year, INR 688 crores in the previous quarter. For the half year period, it was INR 1,134 crores as compared to INR 770 crores. The profit after tax for this quarter was INR 159 crores as compared to INR 136 crores in the previous year, INR 324 crores in the previous quarter. For the 6-month period, it was INR 483 crores as compared to INR 321 crores. The earnings per share was INR 20.7 in this quarter, INR 16.2 previous year, INR 41.90 in the previous quarter. For the 6-month period, it was INR 62.70 as compared to INR 40.20. The debt profile, the gross debt as on 30th September was INR 5,289 crores as compared to INR 5,103 crores. And the net debt was INR 3,139 crores as compared to INR 2,551 crores. The net debt to EBITDA as on 30th September was 1.34 as compared to 1.3 as on 31st March. I would like to brief you on the status of the various projects. We have this project at Panna, 6 million tonne. This project is at advanced stage of completion. We have already commissioned 1 million grinding unit at Prayagraj in the month of October and the work on other grinding -- a grinding mill at Hamirpur is at advanced stage of completion. At the integrated plant, also the clinkerization, the work on the clinker line and the cement grinding is at advanced stage and all this should be completed by December this year. And 3 million greenfield grinding at Buxar in Bihar should get completed in the fourth quarter between January and February 2026. As regards the new project, which we have taken up at Jaisalmer, we have already placed order for most of the plant and equipment. The work at site for the integrated 4 million tonne clinker and 3 million tonne grinding has already started. The Bhoomi Pujan was done on 5th of September. All the major civil and mechanical contractors have been finalized, and the work is progressing, and we hope that this should come on stream in Q2 FY '28. We are finalizing the land for both the grinding locations. It is in advanced stage. And hopefully, the work at -- for both the grinding locations will start sometime by third quarter -- in the fourth quarter of this fiscal. We have also initiated a 6 lakh tonne greenfield wall putty plant at Nathdwara in Rajasthan. The Bhoomi Pujan for this plant was also done on 5th of September. The orders for main plant and equipment has already been placed. The construction work has started at the site, and it is expected that this project would be commissioned by Q2 FY '27. These are the major highlights on the various expansion projects. I'll be happy to answer your queries. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Harsh Mittal from Emkay Global.

Harsh Mittal

analyst
#5

The first question --

Operator

operator
#6

Sorry to interrupt, sir, you are sounding muffled.

Harsh Mittal

analyst
#7

Is it better now?

Operator

operator
#8

This is much better, sir. Please go ahead.

Harsh Mittal

analyst
#9

My first question is that what -- the other expenses seems to be higher this quarter. Can you guide us that what would be in terms of rupees per tonne, you feel that it would be reversed in the coming quarters?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#10

So the second quarter, we have taken up the maintenance work of 3 of the kilns -- where major kilns were under maintenance in this quarter. There were some maintenance in the cement mills also. And this is the quarter when the major branding work is taken up. All the annual dealer conferences are held in this quarter being the lean period, and this is the best time that the dealers are -- they expect that all the foreign tours and all are undertaken during this quarter only because in the season, they would not like to travel. So the expenses of this quarter are higher on this reason. Yes, going forward, it will -- on a per tonne basis, this would have an impact of about INR 100 a tonne. I think going forward with the higher volumes and the amount being a bit lower. So it will have an impact of about INR 100 a tonne in the cost savings.

Harsh Mittal

analyst
#11

Sir, second question, as per our last guidance, we were about to receive -- we had a run rate of INR 300 crores of incentives per annum, right? Now given the changes in the GST structure, what is the new run rate you feel for the next 2 years? And with Jaisalmer coming in, in FY '28, how this run rate can change?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#12

So see, marginally, this will be lower only in this fiscal. We expect that in the next fiscal, the incentive of Bihar should come in. So overall, from FY '27, we should get the benefit of the subsidy of about INR 300 crores. But in FY '28, yes, we will have some more incentives partially in the year when we commission Jaisalmer. And then we have to work out because some of the subsidies in Nimbahera will get -- that period would be over. So I think going forward, we should definitely except for about INR 50 crores lower in this fiscal. Next year -- next fiscal onwards, it should be INR 300 crores plus.

Harsh Mittal

analyst
#13

Right, right. Sir, my last question that when we announced the Jaisalmer expansion, we said that we'll be going with 4 million tonne of clinker and 7 million tonnes of grinding, 4 million tonnes being split grinding unit. So that has not been mentioned in the latest PPT. Any update on that, sir?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#14

Sorry, it is not mentioned in the PPT, but I have said that we have already acquired most of the land for the split grinding location and the work on the 2 million tonnes each grinding in Punjab and Rajasthan. The work should commence in Q4.

Harsh Mittal

analyst
#15

And so, do we expect the commissioning in Q4 FY '28?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#16

See, once we receive the -- get all the land, we will get the environmental clearance. So you can't apply for environment clearance before acquisition of land. So immediately on land, so we hope that in this month, by December, we should get, I mean one grinding location land will be finalized in this month and the next one by next month end. So immediately -- definitely one grinding location, which will start work in the fourth quarter. So we are targeting to start work for both the grinding locations in the fourth quarter.

Operator

operator
#17

[Operator Instructions] We have our next question from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec Capital.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#18

Sir, a couple of questions. One is what was the incentive quantum for this quarter?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#19

It was around INR 70 crores.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#20

INR 70 crores. Great, sir. Sir, secondly, can you update us on Toshali and Saifco? Specifically on Toshali, any update on the limestone, the quantum of CapEx that we have done so far? And incrementally, how should we look at it? And the same thing on Saifco basically, how are we looking at it?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#21

So as far as Toshali is concerned. One, Toshali has now become part. There's the merger we had applied for the merger of Toshali, which NCLT approved in this quarter, and it is already -- the standalone results are including the working of Toshali. As far as the mining lease is concerned, I mean, though we have been trying, we will have to -- we are still now grant of lease without auction. It will not be given by the state government. But we are still discussing with the court on the long-term arrangement. If they agree to supply limestone for a long-term period of 20, 25 years at a particular price and with the price mechanism formula, then we can consider any expansion in that region. At this point of time, we are operating -- we have already done whatever small CapEx was required in the project. And we are operating the plant and the capacity is about 0.6 million tonnes. And we hope that we should be doing -- operating the plant at 80%, 85% capacity utilization.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#22

Sir, on Saifco?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#23

So on Saifco also, we have taken -- we have launched our brand in the month of August. So we did a relaunching and then we have started the marketing activities in the region. And so all that has been done in this quarter, in the second quarter. Now we are starting -- we are seeing that the effect of that is visible from October. The sales has already -- are good in the month of October. Now the dealers are happy with the brand. And we are trying to push -- establish our brand in the region as well as then operate and get maximum output from that plant. Maybe the capacity is -- going forward, 2, 3 months would be winter months where we will not get much production, the sale would hamper. But beyond that, we expect that we should be selling around 20,000 tonnes a month normally from that plant.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#24

Sir, any plans that we have firmed up on the expansion over here because earlier you had indicated we can increase the capacity.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#25

As of now, we have not firmed up. What we are doing is we plan to do some modification in the plant so that we can increase capacity by 30% in the existing capacity as far as possibility of putting up a new line of higher capacity that is on hold. We are studying that and that we may take a call going forward, but there is no immediate decision on that.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#26

Sir, would it be possible to quantify EBITDA level numbers for both Toshali and Saifco? Just trying to understand the core business if one had to explore both this.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#27

No, Toshali work has been done, Toshali as such when there has been no operating profit so far. We expect that going forward, this year, we should end up Toshali maybe more or less as a breakeven. And even we should see proper EBITDA coming in from Saifco post the season that means actually, it will come from major -- this year, again, for Saifco first year because we have made a lot of expenditure on the brand pool. So having spent so much amount on brand growth of Saifco for this fiscal should end up at about 00. It will only start making profit from next fiscal.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#28

Sure, sir. This is helpful. Sir, just last question, I'll squeeze in. Sir, we saw full page ads of JK Cement pertaining to calcine clay or LC3. I think this was last month. Sir, what are our plans over here? Have we earmarked any specific percentage of our sales volumes for this? How should we look at the ramp-up over here?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#29

No, no. See, we've been trying to work on this. We have been successful in on the development of the project. We have launched the project now for various projects and other things. We are doing a marketing effort. We don't have exact numbers as of now. But this is again, it's an opportunity for us, and we'll see how much we can sell. This is a new product line. It will be over and above the normal sales.

Operator

operator
#30

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from the line of Pathanjali Srinivasan from Sundaram Mutual Fund.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#31

I have a couple of questions. Firstly, our lead distance has kind of increased over the last couple of quarters. So any sense on whether this could reverse from Q3 onwards because our plant commissioning and all of that is happening?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#32

So not from Q3, see our grinding unit at Bihar will get commissioned in Q4. So we would see -- because we have to see that market. And that is why the lead distance is increasing. So we would see a real benefit coming out of that. And then the grinding units, the expansion which we are doing at Prayagraj and Hamirpur, that will also get commissioned. That will definitely get -- Prayagraj already got commissioned and Hamirpur will get commissioned in this quarter. So the benefit of that marginally we'll see, but major we will see from, once we commission the Buxar grinding unit. But today, we are seeding the entire Bihar [indiscernible].

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#33

Sir, could you quantify how much it could reduce to like post this as in what would our target be?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#34

So about 12 to 15 kilometers it should reduce.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#35

Okay. Okay. Got it, sir. And just one more question. Our power costs looks slightly elevated on a per tonne basis. Is there anything that's causing this? Is there some bit of a short term -- are we buying any power or anything from outside or something like that?

Prashant Seth

executive
#36

No. See, the power and fuel cost has gone up because of the increased clinker stock. I mean this quarter, actually, the cement sales volumes are lower, but clinker production was higher. So the clinker actually stock has built up. So that has resulted into the high power and fuel cost. And because of the maintenance, I mean there was some hit on the waste heat recovery power generation also, which is a low-cost power. So these are the --

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#37

So whenever the kilns are under maintenance, the waste heat recovery doesn't go up. And waste heat is the major green power and at no cost.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#38

Is it possible to quantify what the impact of this could have been, sir?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#39

See, waste heat -- by the closure of a kiln, it is about INR 15 lakh a day loss in terms of waste heat power.

Prashant Seth

executive
#40

So see, in the cost mean, if you see, there is a main impact of, say, INR 10 crores to INR 12 crores on that account. Balance is because of the stock position.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#41

About INR 30 a tonne.

Operator

operator
#42

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from the line of Amit Murarka from Axis Capital.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#43

So my first question is on regional sales split, if you can provide for 1H FY '26 in terms of North, Central, East, South?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#44

So what is there in this -- the major increase has been in terms of South and Central India. The North, the growth is at par is flattish at about the market about 5% to 6%. But the major -- because last year, our South plant in Q2 was under maintenance and the sales were quite low. So one, because of that low base, we see a major increase in the South sales. And then definitely, the Central is growing. This is where the expansion has been -- company has made investments. So that market is already growing. So the major growth is coming from growth in Central and South.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#45

Sure. But could you just quantify something? I mean, ideally, if you can just give a market split, if you can?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#46

No, we are not sharing the market split.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#47

Okay. Okay. But Central like would still be growing in what, mid-teens or something? I mean, or rather high teens actually.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#48

Yes, yes.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#49

Sure. Just generally on the Jaisalmer plant, so with this new capacity that you are doing, what is the envisaged CapEx for FY '26-'27 as an annual basis? And what is the peak that you're looking at?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#50

So FY '26-'27, there should be about INR 700 crores to INR 800 crores spent on the Jaisalmer project. And total spend is INR 4,800 crores for the indicated and the 2 split grinding locations. We would be expecting another about INR 2,500 crores to INR 2,800 crores in next fiscal and balance will get -- spill over in FY '28. This is how we see the whole CapEx. So normally, you will see that about INR 3,500 crores spend by FY '27 and remaining gets spilled over to FY '28.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#51

Sure. And what will be the full year CapEx that we can expect then in FY '26 and FY '27?

Prashant Seth

executive
#52

This year, I mean, it should be in the range of INR 2,800 crores to INR 3,000 crores. And next year, it will be over INR 3,500 crores.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#53

Okay. And peak debt number that we can think of?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#54

So on the peak debt, we expect to -- I mean we are looking at an incremental borrowing coming in for the Jaisalmer of about INR 3,000 crores. But by the time this borrowing comes, the net debt will -- should increase by about INR 2,000 crores, I think, but there will be certain repayments and all. So the net debt should increase by about INR 2,000 crores.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#55

Okay. Okay. And just lastly, on this wave of expansions that we have seen being announced, like after a long time, we are seeing a lot of capacity being added actually in North as well, particularly with the recent announcement that UltraTech made. What is your thought on the market balance with all these new expansions coming in over the next 2 years?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#56

See, again, those are the whether announcements have been made. Yes, mostly it will all come. There would be -- you could have a period of lower capacity utilization, and it will take time to settle down. So it would be not only for us, it would be for the industry, whatever does. So at this point of time, yes, there would be intense competition, but we are definitely prepared for it. It is not -- we were expecting as such that all the new capacities may come up, but there was no time frame as there was no official announcement by the competition. But we were looking what could be the likelihood capacities which may come. But having said so, now it is clear what capacities and the reasons are also very clear. So we'll work out our marketing strategy accordingly.

Operator

operator
#57

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Harshal Mehta from Asian Market Securities.

Harshal Mehta

analyst
#58

A couple of questions. So my first question is on our strategy. So in terms of growth and margins, how do you see both of them? And how do we see balancing, like, balancing from both on the growth and profitability going ahead?

Prashant Seth

executive
#59

Sorry, your voice is not clear.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#60

Your voice is breaking. It's not the question is not clear.

Harshal Mehta

analyst
#61

Is it better now?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#62

Yes, marginally better.

Harshal Mehta

analyst
#63

Okay. So my first question was on our strategy. So your views around the growth margins and how do you plan to balance both of them going ahead? Second question is on non-trade business. So how do you see that business going ahead for us? And how do you see non-trade as a share moving as we start commissioning new capacities? And lastly, just a clarification on Punjab and Rajasthan grinding units. So can we expect them to commission by 4Q FY '28? So these are my questions.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#64

So as far as strategy is concerned, our strategy has been clear that definitely with the expansion, we would definitely plan to grow higher than the market growth. So that is why so that we can see higher volumes of expansion in the market. We have been -- and the strategy would be, we have already initiated our GTM strategy for North looking into the Jaisalmer project, which is likely to come up in next 15, 18 months in [ '24 ]. So we have already started working on that so that we are able to balance both on volume growth at the same time, maintain a profitable growth. So that would be definitely our strategy. And as far as the grinding locations, what was your question on the grinding unit?

Harshal Mehta

analyst
#65

So just a clarification, like Punjab and Rajasthan grinding. Also, can we expect them to commissioned by 4Q FY '28?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#66

Yes, yes, yes. It will get commissioned along with the clinkerization in Q2 of FY '28. But even if it gets commissioned earlier, we can supply clinker from existing Nimbahera plant, Nimbahera, Mangrol.

Harshal Mehta

analyst
#67

Sure, sir. And on non-trade business, if you can help?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#68

So non-trade, again, non-trade is a -- today also non-trade is about 1/3 of the volume. And we have to -- along with the trade growth where you have to do a GTM study, we need to continuously work on growing the non-trade market, it's an important segment. And even going forward, where we see if large infra projects are coming up, we need to plan to be part of those projects. So you can't afford to lose any of the projects. So we would -- as a part of strategy, we'll get our product approved in all the new projects which are coming up in our region so that we are able to push material in the non-trade segment also. Though as a strategy, we would definitely like to maintain around 70:30 as a trade, non-trade ratio. But if it is marginally if we -- if the growth -- if the market growth is coming from non-trade, there may be the trade percentage may marginally reduce.

Operator

operator
#69

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Parvez Qazi from Nuvama Wealth Management.

Parvez Qazi

analyst
#70

So my first question is regarding our volume expectations for FY '26. I think earlier we had guided for about 10% volume growth. So are we maintaining that? And second is, I mean, your view on prices post Q2?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#71

So we are still maintaining like if we see the first half, we have done a growth of about 15% FY '26. We still maintain an overall growth of about 10%. We had given a guidance of around 20 million tonnes, close to 20 million tonne volume for this fiscal, and we hope to achieve that. Your second question was?

Parvez Qazi

analyst
#72

Regarding the prices post the end of the quarter.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#73

Regarding post, the GST reduction as we have passed on all the GST benefit to the market as was promised to the government, and we also indicated in our communication that the GST benefit has been passed on. As of now, we see there is some pressure on pricing, but post -- but there is a pressure on prices in this month. But we will have to see how things -- I mean, we expect that this should reduce going forward. And if there is any cost increase or anything, we will try and see how we can push up the pricing.

Operator

operator
#74

The next question comes from the line of Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#75

A couple of questions. So it's been a little over a month into the new reduced GST regime. So I wanted to understand if at a company level, we are seeing any premiumization trend in the sense like share of premium products being higher versus what they were in the previous quarter. Any such initial trend or it's business as usual?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#76

No. Actually, our premium -- see, 1 month, see what numbers are we are giving you the numbers of Q2. And we have seen even in Q2, there's a marginal increase in the premium product sales. Yes, as a company strategy, we are pushing up premium products because the demand for premium products is increasing, but it's very difficult to -- I would not be able to comment exactly that what impact GST is having on the sale of premium products.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#77

Understood. Regards to Saifco, in one of the previous questions, you said you are looking at roughly 20,000 tonnes per month of sales from that particular asset. Is it possible to share how big is the market opportunity there in the sense that the addressable market there? How big is it? Is it 1 lakh tonne per month or some numbers just to understand, let's say, the opportunity for us?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#78

Yes, yes. So the market in that region, overall, I think is close to about 4 million tonnes.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#79

4 million tonnes a year is it?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#80

This is including trade, non-trade, everything. Our large projects are coming and even all big players, they continue to -- they are supplying at these projects, as their product is [ approved ]. Today, the smaller producers, the local producers have a disadvantage that they -- all of them do not qualify for the larger projects because some projects have a minimum capacity criteria to be eligible to become a supplier for their project. So now since -- see, with our launch and our brand value, we have been able to -- we are also growing both in trade as well as non-trade. And this number of 20,000, which we have given this we feel that we should be able to do with definitely, as of date, maybe 6 months down the line, we can give you the new numbers of how much further we can improve our volumes.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#81

Yes, sure. No, I was only thinking it is a 4 million tonne per annum kind of a market, which is roughly 3 lakh tonnes per month. And within that, I'm saying even if it's a growth of 8%, 10%, the numbers that we are looking at, which is 20,000 tonnes seem to be like I'm saying a little on the lower side. I'm just trying to understand [indiscernible].

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#82

Number lower, there's a lot of -- this is why we entered. We have to see there is a lot of potential. There is some debottlenecking to be done at the plant, which we are planning how to do it and working on the timeline for that. Once we do that so that we can do higher volume numbers and at least get what you are saying is right at about 10% market share.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#83

Sure. Sorry, just one more bit on this Saifco thing. This total volume that is sold in the region, which is 3 lakh tonnes per month, -- how much of that is local and how much of it comes from nearby states of Himachal and Uttarakhand kind of a market? I just wanted to understand how much will we have an advantage being a local player with lower lead distance in that market?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#84

See, basically, most of the trade is being done -- trade segment is being serviced by the local players. The non-trade segment is coming in from which I in that region is also quite reasonable. I think it's 40%. I'm not sure about the number -- I don’t -- it is 45%. I don't have that number. But today, the majority of the non-trade or the [ CAM ], the key projects are being done from -- met by the large producers, which is coming in from Punjab or from HP.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#85

Understood. No, no, fair. That's helpful. Maybe as we progress along, we'll have more color on this. My next question then was on the UAE facility because one of the other companies which have presence in UAE, they reported a very sharp increase in profitability in that market, particularly in the September quarter. And while our numbers also are positive, I'm just looking at the difference between the consol and standalone. So while the number is positive, but sequentially, there is some bit of a decline there. So I wanted to understand how should we look at overall EBITDA for FY '26, '27? And is the feedback correct that, that market is improving and will benefit us as well?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#86

No, sir. So as see in UAE, besides white cement and then we have also entered into Africa where we are selling wall putty. So now the Africa where we were selling wall putty and all, we have been able to grow in that region. The white cement per se is definitely is growing. But we would get because of a local player -- new -- as you know, Asian Paints have come into white cement. And they will produce white cement from UAE and sell for their own consumption. So we will be losing that party. So that will have an impact on our profitability. However, we have already -- we have some increased volume on -- in the other countries where we sell white cement. At the same time, we have introduced -- we have been working on new product line in the UAE and have been able to develop new products in the UAE like dry mix and construction chemicals, again, where we are working. And this would be a new profit pool which we intend to create in the UAE. And we are expecting that on an overall, we should be able to maintain profitability in the UAE region, a reasonable profit as even this year, it may -- in this quarter, it may be lower, but in the first 9 months, it is comparable with the last year is better than last year.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#87

Understood. Understood. And since you mentioned about white cement, if you could just touch upon how is -- are the margins of that particular segment, are they continuing to be under pressure? Or there is some like, what do you say, bottoming out set of a thing that we are expecting?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#88

I think it has bottomed out. The pressure continues on the putty, mainly on the putty, but that too has bottomed out.

Navin Sahadeo

analyst
#89

Understood. Sorry, one last question, if I may. How much were paint cement, paint revenues in this quarter? And are we on track to achieve the numbers for '26-'27? These were my questions.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#90

Paint revenue was INR 95 crores in this quarter. And in the first 6 months, the overall paint revenue was INR 182 crores. And we had given a guidance of closer to INR 400 crores. We are working, and we should be closer to that number.

Operator

operator
#91

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Pinakin Parekh from HSBC.

Pinakin Parekh

analyst
#92

Sir, my first question is, you mentioned there is some pressure on pricing. But as we get out of the monsoon quarter into the busy season, hopefully, trade sales pick up, and you did also talk about higher premium product sales. So on a blended basis, would you expect net realizations to be flat or down in Q3 versus Q2?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#93

Yes. It may be as of now in the month of October, as we see vis-a-vis Q2, it may be marginally down because see more on the non-trade, we have seen in Q2 prices across all regions like in the South where it has increased, the prices have reduced somewhat in the southern region also. So it hasn't -- I mean, though in the northern region and all, it's not -- but there is definitely a pressure in the market.

Pinakin Parekh

analyst
#94

Got it, sir. And sir, on demand, as we get out of the monsoon season into the busy season, we are seeing rains linger. There is a Bihar election. So do you see the demand being pushed out into Q4? Or are you seeing signs of demand recovery in November?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#95

No, except for some whatever the weather condition, whatever you lose on the demand. Otherwise, demand is okay. We don't see that getting all pushed up to Q4.

Pinakin Parekh

analyst
#96

Okay. So for the industry demand, you would expect this year to average 7%, 8%? Or you think it will be lower given how 1H has fared?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#97

No, I think the industry should end up around 7%.

Operator

operator
#98

Our next question comes from the line of Shravan Shah from Dolat Capital.

Shravan Shah

analyst
#99

A couple of questions. Sir, first off, this paint EBITDA loss for this quarter is how much?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#100

INR 14 crores.

Shravan Shah

analyst
#101

INR 14 crores. And in terms of for FY '27 also the kind of INR 600 crores revenue and breakeven that target remains the same?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#102

Yes, yes. We are working towards that, yes.

Shravan Shah

analyst
#103

Okay. Got it. Sir, the bigger thing just wanted to understand, so in terms of the profitability and the volume growth, even previously, the participants try to ask the questions. I will try to ask slightly on a different way. So given that now one is the GST is already cut has happened, government is monitoring and plus, as you said, the prices are seeing some pressure. Also, given the supply is now also increasing, more and more capacities are announced and particularly the top 2 players, it seems now they are becoming aggressive on the market share gain. So given that, do we see that structurally the pricing will -- the price hike or rather maybe one can see some marginal decline can also can happen even for next 1 year also?

Prashant Seth

executive
#104

No, I don't think so. See, what has happened, the announcements which have been made, they are not coming up in the next 1 year. So there is no change in the market in the next 1 year between the demand and supply, whatever was earlier expected as a new capacity, that is only going to come. There is no surprise new capacity coming up in the next 1 year, which was factored in. Yes, there has been announcements that everybody has given a plan for the next 2, 3 years plan of how do they want to increase their capacities. And they started working on -- so it will take some time for the capacities to materialize.

Shravan Shah

analyst
#105

Yes. No, sir, even -- let's say, even for next 2 to 3 years also, so broadly, if I look at roughly, I think, more than 160 million tonne is likely to come by FY '28. And also the top 2 players, given the kind of a cost reduction avenue that they have and becoming aggressive on the market share gain and also at the same time in terms of the increasing the premium share. So given that for us, so why I'm trying to understand is that because we were kind of one of the highest volume growth for last 5 years. But now that may will continue, but on the pricing front and ultimately, that will in terms of the profitability front, how one can look at. So even if we understand 1% or 2%, INR 100-odd kind of a reduction on the top line or the realization front, do we see that structurally the profitability can still inch up except whatever the Q2 was obviously the extra one-off and negative operating leverage. But structurally, do we think that there is still a scope for us to keep on increasing the particularly the gray EBITDA per tonne because this quarter, it seems very low around INR 750, INR 800-odd. So on INR 1,000 EBITDA per tonne on gray front, is doable on a yearly basis for next couple of years?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#106

See, our half yearly data is over INR 1,000. Have any of the big players who have announced capacities indicated that they will reduce prices and increase EBITDA. They have also said that they will be increasing the EBITDA. Have they indicated that they will be reducing the pricing? No. They have only given the plan for expansion. And when they are investing, they would also like the profitability to increase. If they are the market leaders, they will definitely -- if they don't reduce the price, that does not mean that we will reduce price and then sell. So we have not done, we have always been bridging the gap with the lead player with the market leader and not reduce pricing. So we don't foresee that is not part of our strategy.

Shravan Shah

analyst
#107

Okay. Got it. And lastly, sir, just on the CapEx front, again, coming back on that. So this 6 million tonne Panna expansion, so if the original CapEx plan has not changed, I think still INR 960-odd crores is left to be spent. So in the full year now when we are saying that the CapEx for this year would be -- and then plus the INR 700 crores. So this year CapEx number should be on the higher side versus what right now we have guided?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#108

No, no. It is -- what we have guided is inclusive of the INR 750 crores for the Jaisalmer and the numbers which we have given is the numbers for this year was about INR 2,700 crores, INR 2,800 crores, and that is including Jaisalmer, Panna, normal, everything. Our earlier guidance for the CapEx for this year was between INR 1,800 crores to INR 2,000 crores, which has now been because of the new project, it has increased.

Operator

operator
#109

The next question is from the line of Pathanjali Srinivasan from Sundaram Mutual Fund.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#110

Just a couple of questions. Our trade share has actually like trade volumes have grown very well over the last year, but non-trade seems to have been almost flat. Any reason why you see this is happening?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#111

No, there is no reason for it. We are also working. We have been trying to sell cement at the overall at -- whichever is the most profitable. So it is not that the non-trade has also increased this year. It is not that it has not increased.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#112

No, sir. Maybe I put my question in a different way. Any states anywhere where infra-activity has seen some bit of a slowdown where we are operating?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#113

No, no, it's not -- this is not related to infra. I mean we are not saying that it is -- our non-trade is lower because of infra. Our focus, definitely, as we would like as -- even whatever infra is growing, if we could increase our trade sales and get the overall volume. So it can't be that we continue to grow in trade as well as non-trade over and above the industry. That is not possible and feasible.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#114

Okay, sir. And what is the reasons for us to keep a 10% guidance because first half, we are at almost 15% volume growth?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#115

No, no. See, first half, 15%, as I said, the base was also lower. There was a maintenance numbers in the first half. So if you look at the base of the second half and what would be growth that we are talking about a 10% plus growth overall for the year.

Pathanjali Srinivasan

analyst
#116

Understood. Understood, sir. Got it. And CapEx numbers, just that can you confirm for '27 -- '26-'27?

Prashant Seth

executive
#117

Yes. Next year, it will be more than INR 3,500 crores.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#118

Anything between around INR 3,500 crores, as you go for a large project, INR 200 crores plus/minus, so you can take from INR 3,500 crores plus/minus INR 200 crores.

Operator

operator
#119

The next question is from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec Capital.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#120

Just a couple of questions. Sir, I just wanted to understand with the GST reduction, we have already committed to the Jaisalmer plant. We would have certainly got into certain -- I think what we had indicated earlier was customized incentive package with the state government. With GST reduction, how does the underlying economics change for us?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#121

No, no. See, it is -- to some extent, it gets only thing the period gets extended. It is the amount does not get reduced. It is the period which gets extended.

Prashant Seth

executive
#122

And especially, there is no impact in case of the capital subsidy. It will only impact the grinding units where we have the GST-based subsidy.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#123

So there the period gets extended.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#124

Right. So sir, that I think --

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#125

We are not able to ramp up the volume, either if you are able to ramp up the volumes faster, then you can get in faster that we will work out as we move.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#126

Okay. But sir, hypothetically, that 7 years can be extended to 10 years? Like do we have the flexibility already or we have already negotiated with the respective governments?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#127

So it is -- see, the 7-year -- the period which we are there, there is -- we are reworking out on the extended period.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#128

Okay. And sir, for the Rajasthan plant also is the same thing, 75% SGST or is it only for the GU.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#129

For the Rajasthan plant also, it is there even for the integrated unit.

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#130

Okay. Fine. And sir, just to check basically, I think we have 2 leases over here. One is Kenya where we have 15% premium. And the other one, I think we have around 44% premium. Are these numbers correct?

Prashant Seth

executive
#131

Pardon, can you repeat your question?

Ritesh Shah

analyst
#132

Sir, corresponding to the Jaisalmer plant, there are 2 leases that we have won in auctions. One bid is at 15% and the other bid is at 44%.

Prashant Seth

executive
#133

Yes, yes. The limestone mine. Yes, right.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#134

The first one is at 15% where we are setting up the plant. The new one which we have got, that is about 40%.

Operator

operator
#135

Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, we will now take the last 2 questions. [Operator Instructions] The first of which comes from the line of Amit Murarka from Axis Capital.

Amit Murarka

analyst
#136

So just on your cost reduction program, you had outlined certain savings. Could you just like refresh as to where do you stand on that right now? And what is the exit rate expected in FY '26?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#137

So we had given a guidance of about INR 150 to INR 200 a tonne cost saving. And FY '26, we should end the year closer to INR 75 to INR 90 a tonne saving by FY '26 and balance another INR 75 to INR 80 we should get in FY '27.

Operator

operator
#138

The next question is from the line of Rahul, an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#139

So my question is on the Paints business. I have noted your inputs on the revenue and EBITDA part. So following up on your guidance or your actual numbers last quarter, it was [ 13% ] gross margin. Do you have any inputs on the gross margin for H1 or quarter 2?

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#140

No, we are working on the gross margin numbers, and we are hopeful that we should be able to improve the gross margin over last year.

Operator

operator
#141

Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as our last question. I will now hand the conference over to Mr. Vaibhav Agarwal for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Vaibhav Agarwal

analyst
#142

Yes. Thank you. On behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited. We'd like to thank the management of J.K. Cement for the call and also many thanks to the participants joining the call. Thank you very much, sir. We will now conclude the call. Thank you.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#143

Thank you, everyone, for joining the call.

Prashant Seth

executive
#144

Thank you.

Ajay Saraogi

executive
#145

Thank you.

Operator

operator
#146

Thank you. On behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.

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