Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 29, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Unknown Analyst
analystThanks for joining us for our next presentation, and I appreciate Renee and Kelvin -- Renee Gala, President and Chief Operating Officer; and Kelvin Tan, Chief Medical Officer. Thank you for joining. Also thank [indiscernible] earlier for a lot of the help [indiscernible] get an organized question and so forth. So just to kick us off, Renee and I were just talking saw a brief overview of the program and where you stand right now, maybe -- and then ultimately roll into pipeline and so forth. And just basically, you've raised guidance past couple of quarters, obviously, so I thought it would be helpful just to start out and talk about each of the kind of 3 growth drivers and then we can kind of go into pipeline and evolve from there if that's okay.
Renée Galá
executiveYes, sure. That sounds great. Well, first of all, thank you for having us, Larry. We appreciate the invitation, and thank you all for joining us. Maybe just before we get started though, I'll remind you, we will be making forward-looking statements today. So please see our website and SEC filings for more information about our business, including risk factors. Should we refer to financial guidance. We're not updating or reiterating today this is all as of our third quarter earnings call on November 8. And also, should we make reference to non-GAAP financial measures. You can find full reconciliations on our website. So just a very quick overview for those of you a little less familiar with Jazz, Jazz is a fully integrated global biopharmaceutical company. We have a suite of diverse marketed medicines as well as a robust pipeline of product candidates. We focus primarily in neuroscience and oncology. Within neuroscience, we're a leader in [ Sleep with Xywav ], which is approved the symptoms of narcolepsy, and it's the first and only drug approved for eopathic hypersomnia, another rare sleep disorder. Also within neuroscience, we have Epidolex, which is the first and only cannabinoid-based medicine. It's approved for certain rare forms of epilepsy. And then we have a rapidly growing oncology portfolio for approved medicines. We expect to generate approximately $1 billion of revenue this year at the midpoint of our financial guidance. This commercial portfolio has rapidly transformed over the last few years in 2020. We had approximately $2.4 billion of revenue, 75% of which was coming from a single suite product. And if you fast forward to today, 2023, we are aiming to achieve approximately $3.8 billion in total revenue across the year. And importantly, the composition of that revenue looks very different. We have a diversified set of products. Now no one product is dominating our income statement, and this is a durable product portfolio across sleep epilepsies and oncology. As we think about what the strength of that business has done for us, it's enabled us to be in a strong financial position. We generated over $900 million in cash flow in the first 9 months of this year. We ended the third quarter with $1.6 billion of cash. And importantly, that gives us the flexibility to keep investing in the growth drivers. You'd mentioned, Larry, which we'll go into in a few minutes. We have the ability to invest in our commercial growth drivers, invest in our pipeline and also in corporate development, which has been an important pillar for us in achieving revenue growth, achieving revenue diversification and also continuing to expand our pipeline. Importantly, we've also in the Q3 -- Q2 and Q3 time frame has been buying some of our stock back just based on the belief that there's quite a bit of unrealized value currently in our stock. We purchased about $175 million of our stock, and that has not limited our ability to be able to continue to invest. It hasn't compromised our ability because we're so well capitalized. Moving on to the pipeline. We've also transformed that part of our business. We're now fully capable end-to-end capabilities in research and development. We have a broad early development pipeline. We have a research group now internally that's advancing early work as well as in our late-stage pipeline, '24 is a very exciting year for us. And we expect to have up to 5 late-stage readouts between now and the end of 2024. I think of '24 as being a bit of the year of the pipeline for us. So it's an exciting time for us in general. We think we're very well positioned to achieve Vision 2025, which, of course, has revenue goals, a pipeline goal and operating margin objectives. And with that, I'm happy to turn to Q&A. If you'd like for us to start on some of the growth drivers, we can certainly do that.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, that would be great. Thank you for that introduction [indiscernible] oxybate franchise and [indiscernible] kind of the $2 billion franchise is kind of the goal, I believe, is part of the Vision '25. There's obviously been some competitive -- a little change in the competitive landscape. Can you speak to your vision on that franchise broadly and the transition and where you stand relative to what your expectations have been so far? .
Renée Galá
executiveYes, absolutely. So we do have an objective of in 2025, our oxybate sleep franchise generating approximately $2 billion in revenue. Xywav itself is currently the oxybate of choice, and there's a broad recognition within the HCP community of the benefits of low sodium, in particular for diseases like narcolepsy, idiopathic hypersomnia, which tend to carry increased cardiovascular risk, and these are chronic diseases. So patients generally take their medication each and every day. And the sodium load that comes along with all of the other oxybates available on the market, which are high sodium oxybates is remarkably higher and carries additional risk for these patients. So we are confident that Xywav will remain the oxybate of choice for the foreseeable future. Within narcolepsy, we've continued to see strong adoption with Xywav. And then with idiopathic hypersomnia, as I've mentioned, Xywav is the only medicine approved. It's the only oxybate, but the only medicine approved for idiopathic hypersomnia, and it's approved for the entire condition. So we do see that as an important growth opportunity for us. And Xywav has continued to perform quite well, even in the face of competition from authorized generics this year as well as branded compression.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Are you -- in terms of investing in that franchise, where are you today in terms of just investing in that franchise to drive it to $2 billion?
Renée Galá
executiveYes. So absolutely. So Xywav is annualizing today at $1.3 billion. The entire franchise is already annualizing at about $1.9 billion. What comprises our $2 billion objective for 2025 are the sales of branded Xywav, sales of branded Xyrem and then royalties that come from the sales of authorized generics of Xyrem. So we do think we're on track for that goal. And keep in mind with respect to our authorized generic royalties. There's three different royalty structures in place with respect to Hikma, which is the only unlimited authorized generic. We are currently in the second half of 2023 in a structure whereby we and Hikma each receive meaningful revenue -- meaningful economics from the sales of their authorized generic. And then beginning in 2024, the royalty rate to Jazz on the sales of that product increased to a high double-digit percentage fixed royalty, and they stay there through the remainder of the authorized generic period. And that's important because at that point in time, the value of a patient on an authorized generic Hikma product to Jazz is not meaningfully different than the value of patient on high sodium Xyrem. Now keep in mind that we think in a patient that is on a high sodium oxybate is a good candidate for going on low sodium Xywav and that's why we continue to have confidence in that franchise. In terms of specific investments, we are investing behind narcolepsy, we think there's continued growth there. It's very likely that the overall market expands because you have another branded competitor out visiting with HCPs that generally has the impact on markets of the overall market expanding. But most importantly, with being the only medicine approved for IH, we think that is a really important growth driver for Xywav. We did announce in the most recent quarter that we were expanding our investment, in particular, for IH. With that, we've actually -- we're investing in a separate small sales force that will be only targeting idiopathic hypersomnia, some of those sleep specialists that have a lot of IH patients that are currently less familiar with oxybate. So we're excited about that. And then we're also continuing to invest in evidence generation as well as additional data to educate HCPs on the benefits of low sodium. And maybe, Kelvin, you'd like to comment on that.
Kelvin Tan
executiveSure. So specifically with regards to investing in data generation for oxybate and specifically, Xywav, there are two areas that we are focused on. Both of these trials are actually on clinicaltrials.gov. One is looking at blood pressure. So looking to demonstrate that when you transition a patient from Xyrem or a high sodium oxybate to a low sodium Xywav, you get benefits of blood pressure changes, but also looking at the flexibility and the utilization of individualized dosing in particular for Xywav. Now we continue to hear from physicians, from patients, the importance of individualized dosing. And that is a key differentiator for us for Xywav, which is low sodium is that because it is dosed twice nightly because within our label, you can dose in an asymmetric fashion in terms of whether you give a higher or a lower first and second dose, that individualized dosing is becoming -- is increasingly noticed as an important differentiator and important for patients in terms of how they want to live their lives whether they want to adjust their dosing because perhaps we need to get up early in the morning, and that's something that you don't get with a fixed dose oxybate where once you've given that dose, that's it. If you were to wake up, for example, early in the morning, you're unable to take a second dose. So those are the two areas that we're investing in, specifically is around the blood pressure benefits of a low sodium Xywav as well as the individualized dosing.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Great. Can we transition over to Epidiolex? And again, that's -- I believe in the Vision '25, that's roughly, I think, $1 billion goal is ultimately. Can you speak to that as a target reference point and investing in that product and where we are -- we stand today as far as meeting those patterns?
Renée Galá
executiveYes, absolutely. So Vision 2025 from a revenue perspective, envisions $5 billion revenue in 2025. And we envision that coming from three different places: About $2 billion coming from the oxybate franchise; another $2.5 billion coming from oncology and Epidiolex combined with each of those franchises generating north of $1 billion; and then another $0.5 billion coming from corporate development. Again, we've been very active in that area over the years. So with respect to Epidiolex specifically, I can talk about some of what we're seeing in the commercial franchise and where we're going. And then I'd invite Kelvin to describe a bit about EpiCom, a recent study that we're leaning into. So Epidiolex is a global product for us. So we are seeing nice growth in the U.S. We're also continuing to execute launches throughout Europe. We're approved and reimbursed in the 5 major markets and continue to see additional countries come on and then within countries additional indications come on. So good opportunity for expansion there. And we're also executing a pivotal study that we expect to read out in the second half of next year to support an eventual filing in Japan, which we think will also be another important market for us. In terms of where the growth is coming from, we're seeing growth from a number of different areas. One of the more important areas is related to data generation. So we have a lot of data that is come from different databases that we have currently showing a synergistic effect of the use with Clobazam, the use of Epidiolex with Clobazam. Many epilepsy patients are already on Clobazam. So the effect on seizure reduction has been much more meaningful than physicians are used to seeing with respect to the data that we've shared. So that's driving increased use. We're also through what's called the become data. It's a caregiver survey we executed, Being able to see benefits beyond the seizures and behavioral improvements, also cognition improvements, which is really important to caregivers, for parents in particular of children with these rare severe forms of epilepsy. So that's really creating a lot of momentum. We've also seen uptake in the adult and long term care environment as well as additional dosing. With respect to increased dosing, we're often seeing better efficacy, better results when people actually titrate up to the right dose. So those are all drivers of what is creating the growth with Epidiolex and giving us continued confidence that we're on track for the medicine generating over $1 billion in revenue. Kelvin?
Kelvin Tan
executiveYes. I'll just to add, really. So as Renee was saying, it's well recognized the benefits that Epidolex offers in terms of seizure control, but actually, what's really taken us and really inspired our future evidence generation work is the feedback that we're hearing from caregivers and for physicians that Epidolex not only is giving seizure control, but beyond seizure control is improving higher executive function. And you have to remember, these are typically children and some older patients as well who have significant syndromic disorders, which impairs their higher executive function. And so based upon that information, we actually launched this year a new study, EpiCom or Epidiolex comorbidities, which is specifically looking at patients with tubular sclerosis, and we're dosing patients prospectively and monitoring them in terms of their executive functions, specifically looking at their most worrisome or most bothersome symptoms when it comes to speech, behavior neuropsychiatric disorders as well. So that's a study we're very excited to launch and I think speaks to our confidence around the benefits that you get with Epidiolex beyond just seizure control.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Great. I'm watching the clock. I want to think I want to make sure we get to. I want to ask a kind of [indiscernible] another growth product, but I'd prefer just to transition over the conversation about the pipeline kind of starting with [ Zani ] in particular. It's appears very promising. I believe you've laid out kind of a potential peak revenue target of a couple of billion dollars, which, obviously, is very opportunistic. Can you just talk about the submission and the 2024 readout kind of for us maybe just a little bit of history and just take ups kind of up to speed, not just with [ Zani ] or all the pipeline products, but particularly focusing on [ Zani ] if you could.
Renée Galá
executiveYes. Sure. Well, maybe I'll start, and then Kelvin, you can dig in there. We are incredibly excited about Zanidatamab. This is another example of an excellent corporate development transaction that we were able to execute $15 million upfront to be able to have the option once seeing what was the initial meaningful data set in biliary tract cancer than an opt-in. And so we closed that transaction in 2022 and have only continued to be excited about the data that's come forward. We do believe it has the potential to be a $2-plus billion revenue product for us. It's the most derisked program in our pipeline and one that we're investing heavily in. And in fact, when we raised our R&D guidance, from $700 million to $800 million for the full year of 2023, primarily driven, exactly, by accelerating and expanding that development program.
Kelvin Tan
executiveYes. Thank you, Renee. So absolutely, we do view it as our most derisked program, and we disclosed just a few weeks ago that we'll be initiating a rolling BLA submission for Zanidatamab seeking an accelerated approval in second-line [ biliary ] tract cancer, and we expect to complete that submission by the first half of 2024. We do, as you were describing, have an ongoing trial of frontline pivotal trial in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma, a much bigger opportunity as much as 63,000 patients within our territories. And that study is progressing well, and we expect the data to read out for that in 2024. But as Renee was saying, our confidence around Zanidatamab has continued to increase as we see more and more data being released through this year. Earlier this year at ASCO, some really compelling data in biliary tract cancer, where the confirmed objective response rate was 41.3%. Those data were invited to be best of ASCO in terms of the reception that we got from the community. And then subsequently, ASCO GI, we presented data looking at the combination of Zanidatamab in chemotherapy or so in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma, which demonstrated, at that time, an unprecedented level of confirmed objective response rate of [ 79%. ] And then only recently at ESMO this year, BeiGene presented data looking at the triplet, which is Zanidatamab, chemotherapy, and tislelizumab in terms of treating gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma. And again, that showed a confirmed objective response rate of about 76%. So all of these data, which we've been rolling out through this year has continued to build our confidence around the opportunity that we see for zanidatamab and hence, the increased investment within R&D.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. As we look into '24, what are like the potential catalysts, if you will, you obviously have the readout, but even beyond that, like what are you looking for as kind of hurdles on [ Zani ] going forward?
Kelvin Tan
executiveYes. So within -- in the period of 2024, I just said the most important data that will be coming out will be in GEA we do have other studies which are ongoing. We haven't closed precisely the dates of which those data will be reading out, but we do have programs in breast cancer as well. So we were invited to a very highly prestigious platform, which is the [indiscernible] platform, where we're looking at Zanidatamab in breast cancer as a neoadjuvant treatment again, speaking to the highly differentiated nature of Zanidatamab. It gives the opportunity for patients with breast cancer, particularly those with an early diagnosis, not to require a high chemo payload, which we know can be very caused significant side effect profile for patients. So we do have breast cancer programs ongoing. We also have opportunities in breast cancer, not just early, but later stages and also different lines of therapy. So all of this is continuing to give us confidence around data flow whilst we haven't specifically disclosed exactly when some of these will be coming through, you should be reassured that there will be data flow in the coming years.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Great. just evolving from there, Kelvin and Renee maybe touch on some of the other readouts expected for -- that are forthcoming kind of next 2024 and other opportunities in the pipeline I guess.
Kelvin Tan
executiveAs Renee said, calling it the year of the R&D pipeline, and I couldn't agree more. So in January of 2024, we're expecting to see readout from JZP150, which is our treatment for post-traumatic stress disorder Later in the year, in the first half of '24, JZP385, which is the treatment for essential tremor with [indiscernible] topline data there. And Renee has already spoken to what we're expecting from Epidiolex with our pivotal study in Japan, which we expect in the second half of 2024. Turning to oncology. We also have a trial in which we are partnering with Roche Genentech, where we're looking at [indiscernible] in combination with [indiscernible] in front-line extensive-stage small cell lung cancer. And I've already spoken to opportunities also for Zanidatamab. But I think really coming back to Renee's earlier point, what you will also see is that we do have a combination of end-to-end capabilities within R&D. So we're expecting data also within our early stages as well as our late-stage programs. And we do believe those late-stage programs could be very important catalysts for Jazz.
Renée Galá
executiveAnd maybe just to build on that further. So all of these late-stage readouts that Kelvin is describing are in areas where there's significant unmet medical need. And so when you look at PTSD and essential tremor, for example, decades that have gone by without real innovations for patients here. So we're really excited about the opportunities to not only like look at important markets that really help patients.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. Great. I know we talked on a little bit earlier, there was some headline [indiscernible] we said Phase 1. Can you just maybe make a quick -- brief discussion point on that, if you will, just that it was Phase 1 and it's very early stage and not.
Kelvin Tan
executiveSure. So yesterday, we did a JZP441, which is our orexin-2 receptor agonist. We did achieve proof of concept in healthy volunteers looking at MWT or maintenance [indiscernible] testing. We did also announce yesterday our decision to pause our program as we had identified some emerging information around visual disturbances and cardiovascular effects. Do you want to make clear? This is the Phase I program as you were saying, Larry. So it is early days. And if you look across the board, I think it's fair to say that everyone is at an early stage. And whilst there is a lot of excitement around orexin, this is a complex program. What I would share, though, I think, is that what we're seeing from the data that's emerging is, yes, evidence that it's encouraging that we're seeing proof of concept with orexin-2 receptor agonists. But actually, it's important to get the balance with the therapeutic index right, whether that's safety and tolerability. We're hearing already some reports of if you don't quite get your half-life right, you might get extension into the evening and to get issues with insomnia. So that's something that we know that the community is working through right now is, how do you get -- how do you want to answer some of those questions around PK/PD, half-life, et cetera, to ensure that you're getting that right balance. What I think -- I just finished and I would say what we would generally conclude from the evidence we're seeing so far is that our orexin-2 receptor agonists are likely to be daytime -- use as daytime agents in terms of promoting [indiscernible] and actually, therefore, we use complementary to a backbone of an oxybate therapy. So we see them as something that would complementary will work together.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Great. We only have few minutes here, so I want to see if there's any questions in the audience want to address quickly. .
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. I apologize [indiscernible] $2 million stock [indiscernible] market share, both for the IH and for the insomnia.
Renée Galá
executiveSo you're asking for specific assumptions relative to the competitive environment for the $2 billion in revenue that's assumed in 2025 for our oxybate franchise. So certainly, we've made assumptions around [ LUMRYZ ] uptake as well as what sort of market share you might see from the authorized generics. We have not provided a specific breakout of Xywav and narcolepsy versus IH or the breakout specific to our authorized generic royalties or branded Xyrem, but what I will say is we expect the vast majority of that $2 billion revenue target to come from Xywav the combination of narcolepsy and IH. We do see IH as an important growth driver for us. Again, Xywav is the only medicine approved. We currently -- for this condition, we currently have approximately 2,550 patients on therapy coming out of the third quarter for IH, and there are approximately 37,000 patients in the system that are diagnosed and actively seeking treatment for idiopathic hypersomnia. So we do see that as an important growth driver. With respect to LUMRYZ's uptake, we do expect that some patients are going to want to try a fixed dose, high sodium competitor, and we have seen some uptake there. But broadly speaking, what we've seen across 2023 to date, has been exactly in line with or even better than our overall expectations. In the second quarter, we increased our overall revenue guidance, Chimera and the neuroscience guidance, primarily driven by the strength of our oxybate franchise. And then in the third quarter, we reiterated our neuroscience guidance and then, once again, raised our total revenue guidance this time underpinned by our oncology franchise. So while we don't have specifics to share on our assumptions, I would just say we do assume there will be some market uptake, and that is all going according to our expectations.
Unknown Analyst
analystI think we're about the end, but I feel like I have to ask this question, the strategic options question. I don't know what you're sharing -- what you could share with the audience, but there's any thoughts on maybe timing or where this could -- or just where your head is at as it relates to strategic options and kind of that messaging?
Renée Galá
executiveYes. So to clarify, I think you're asking about the Bloomberg article that was published, which, to be clear, was not informed by any comments that we, Jazz, have made. And we -- of course, you won't be surprised to hear me say, we don't comment on market speculation or rumors, but our focus is on continuing to grow and diversify our business. Our focus is on executing Vision 2025, growing our topline, investing in the pipeline to continue to create a durable sustainable business, and we're in an incredible position to be able to continue to invest in that business given our financial strength we've deleveraged our balance sheet coming out of the GW acquisition, delevered ahead of schedule as many know, and feel that we're very well positioned to be able to execute on our current strategy.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd to that end, you clearly delevered ahead of what was laid out at the transaction with GW. Is there -- today, I know you've talk about potential acquisitions could come into the fold at some point. Is there a leverage profile in your mindset? Obviously, we're kind of low 5s, I guess, at the time the GW deal materially lower type huge cash balances. Is there a leverage profile is a peak leverage for you, if you will? Is the GW level kind of a peak leverage metric for you in the way of -- if you did the next acquisition? So the way to think about it, is that a fair assessment?
Renée Galá
executiveIt's -- yes, it's relatively fair. But I think it needs a bit of context in the sense that at the time we did the GW transaction, we were comfortable going up to that leverage ratio because we felt what was right for the business was to do a transformational transaction at that time. We acquired a growing product. We acquired a pipeline, we acquired incredible capabilities coming from our GW colleagues, and that met our needs at the time. We were thrilled with the transaction. We were also comfortable leveraging up because we felt confident that we could delever quickly based on the EBITDA that GW is bringing. So when we think about leverage ratios, it's also how quickly do we expect we can pull different levers in our business. We're not in a place right now where we feel we need to do a transformative transaction. We do think that we could do a transaction for several billion dollars and stay within our credit ratings do that comfortably with respect to the strength of our balance sheet. We are prioritizing commercial assets where we can continue to leverage that global footprint, but we're also active in the pipeline space.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Great. Well, thank you. Thank you, Nate. Thank you, Kelvin. Thanks to the team as well for joining us.
Renée Galá
executiveThanks for having us.
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