Jindal Saw Limited (JINDALSAW) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Jindal Saw Q4 FY '25 Earnings Conference Call hosted by PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Vikash Singh. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Vikash Singh
analystThank you, Aushka. Good evening, everyone. From the management's side, we have with us Mr. Neeraj Kumar, Group CEO and Whole Time Director; Mr. Vinay Kumar, sic [ Gupta ] President and Head of Treasury; and Mr. Narendra Mantri, President, Head Commercial and CFO. Without taking any much time, I will hand it over to Mr. Neeraj Kumar for his opening remarks. Over to you, sir.
Neeraj Kumar
executiveGood afternoon, friends. Last Friday, we had our Board Meeting, which was just following the Audit Committee Meeting, and we have announced the annual results as well as the last quarter results. As you would have noticed in this results for the quarter as well as here, there are certain adjustments, I would say, accounting adjustments that have been made based on certain events on the NTPC, JITF arbitration case and subsequent litigation, which is going on in the High Court. Since the Single Bench judge, which was at that point of time being presided by Dinesh Kumar Sharma. D.K. Sharma was the Single Bench judge of High Court who gave this judgment. The judgment actually came as a big surprise to all of us. And therefore, we have taken an expert opinion from one of the top luminaries in the country. He is of the view that the Single Bench judge has probably heard, and he believes it's a very, very strong case for appeal. And therefore, without wasting any time, we have filed the appeal in the single -- from the Single Bench now to the Double Bench judge. One hearing has already happened. The Double Bench judge did appreciate the urgency for hearing such case, there is a merit. So one has happened. The second hearing is on 22nd May. So at this point of time, we are in the middle of scenario where the Single Bench judge, the judgment came as a surprise to us. We have taken an expert opinion which believes that judgment is appealable and we have a very, very strong case to go up the judicial process which is now the Double Bench of High Court. In the meantime, few other things have happened. And I want to cover all of those first before we get into the financial statements because the financial statements impact these or have effect of these in bits and pieces. And therefore, I thought it would be best to cover this upfront. So that's as far as the judicial process is concerned. If you recall, so far, we had received INR 850 crores in 3 tranches. First one was MGQ [indiscernible] crores, then was INR 197 crores and then INR 500 crores. All those money were guaranteed by time guarantees. As of now, all that money has been repaid. JITF used its own sources and the promoter company, which is the promoter holding company, which is the family war chest has provided the financial support and the entire INR 850 crore has been repaid to NTPC as we speak, all the bank guarantees have been returned and so that transaction is also complete. A few important points here. A, INR 850 crores have been repaid within few days of the judgment of Single Bench judge coming. Jindal Saw has not paid a single penny. All bank guarantees have returned. The support came from the promoter company -- promoter group company. Now as far as this arbitration award is concerned, there is everything to gain for JITF, there is nothing to lose. In the sense, assuming the most unlikely, most extreme situations that the Single Bench judgment just carries through the entire judicial process, there is no counterclaim that NTPC has made. So JITF would not be subjected to any incremental financial burden irrespective of what the outcome of the judicial judgments going forward are. However, if the judgment goes in favor of JITF, Double Bench and Supreme Court, then JITF has everything to gain, the entire amount along with interest would be paid to JITF. So JITF will have all the gain, the entire money will come to JITF. That is as far as the cash flow is concerned. So again, to summarize, please now take note that irrespective of whatever is the outcome of the final judgment, there cannot be any financial burden on JITF. All money that was received has been repaid. On the contrary, if decision goes in favor of JITF, it gets back everything, including interest, which is interest even on this INR 850 crores for the date that it is out. That's the cash flow impact. JSAW has not put in a single penny as yet. But if all those money come to JITF, definitely JSAW will be a beneficiary, and I'll come to that in a minute. Now let's look at the accounting of JITF. JITF as you know, once it got into this litigation arbitration did not have a regular or a very high revenue stream because it all got wrapped up into this litigation. There are set of 25 barges which are still floating and they are kind of managing themselves. So it's a small income, a small expense, they kind of take care of each other and JITF is -- at this point of time, operations only surrounding those running of -- applying of 25 barges in the Hooghly area, which is happening. On the balance sheet of JITF. To fund this NTPC project and subsequently to fund losses and all of those, there have been some debt, some quasi debt, some instruments were like RPS, et cetera, which had a kind of repayment possibility, but also had a possibility of converting into equity. That's why I call them quasi equity instruments and some debt. Now in terms of the accounting balance, few steps have been taken. INR 146 crores of amortized lease receivable from NTPC which was kept alive in the balance sheet of JITF has been now completely written off which you would see in the consol results, INR 235 crores of deferred tax assets which were created on account of the carryforward losses have, again, all been written back, have all been derecognized. So that makes it an impact of around INR 400 crores on the balance sheet. But it's important again to note both of them are just reversing what had been created in the past. So it has a P&L impact for this year, but it has got 0 cash impact either on JITF or on JSAW. Also, all these instruments that were there, quasi instruments and the debt instruments, we are converting each one of them to equity. It is being done in few steps. The eventual equity shareholding of JITF would be Jindal Saw would own 57%, Siddeshwari would own 42.6% and the foreign partner would have less than 1%. Now once all these conversions have taken place, then there would be minimum debt or any instrument, which has any repayment obligation on the balance sheet of JITF. So it's important for me to explain why did we take all these steps. I repeat, the judgment came as a surprise and therefore, we took it very seriously, took a very firm legal opinion and took immediate legal actions. All cash flow impact, INR 850 crores have been done without Jindal Saw's cash flow getting strained in any manner. It was JITF funds as well as the promoter group fund, which has done. Accounting, we have derecognized the accumulated losses, the deferred tax assets as well as the unamortized lease rental, and we have converted all the quasi into -- quasi instruments into equity. The final equity, as I have told you with this, there would be minimal obligation on part of JITF to pay anything to anybody at any time. All these have been done based on lot of careful thinking, expert advice and to make sure that we take a very appropriate or a situation which can cater to the extreme impossible scenario, but still now it caters to that. And therefore, all these decisions have been taken in one go. We are keeping JSAW as still a parent company of JITF because we are still very hopeful that all this money which is the arbitration amount plus the interest will come to JITF. It's only a matter of going through this legal process. At that point of time, all this money would flow to different shareholders. That is where this 57% becomes important. Jindal Saw will get 57%, Siddeshwari will get 42% and the foreign partner will get less than 1%. So there is no downside for Jindal Saw, but there is every upside of whatever money that JITF receives, it will have a 57% share on that. So that completes very comprehensively our discussion on the litigation, JITF, NTPC, where we stand and what is our future strategy. The impact of all this you would have seen in the consolidated financials. And you would have also noticed that in the stand-alone financials, there's 0 impact. Let me now turn the dimension to the results. The last quarter results, or if you look at the year-on-year results, it would appear that the results are plateauing. They are similar to what we did last year, whether it is turnover, whether it is EBITDA, whether it is PBT, PAT, everything appears in a band, where it can be saying that the performance has been plateauing which is indeed the case, except these comments, which I'm going to make, a, the last quarter usually is the strongest quarter. This year, after the election year, there were not enough budgetary allocations which got released and therefore, the water infra projects, especially in Jal Jeevan Mission got held up. That has impacted the last quarter execution. And that's where you will see there is a dip in the last quarter top line, which is usually not the case. It's an anomaly. Looking at that, we also deliberately slowed down taking of orders because we have enough orders. But as you -- as I have been saying in the past, we want to -- typically, we want to have 9 to 12 months -- 9 to 10 months of order book is where we like because that gives us time for the raw material production, supply, invoicing and collection. So because there was going to be a plateauing in the last quarter, we slowed down the taking of orders as well. Based on the budget -- national budget, all this has been corrected. Jal Jeevan Mission has got INR 60,000 crores to INR 70,000 crores, the project is taking off, and slowly as the money would percolate, we hope that next quarter which is Q2 onwards, we should see the full impact of the growth trajectory for these water projects and oil and gas projects. So Q1 may also see a result which is similar to what we saw in Q4. Going down, foreign exchange has been stable. In fact, dollar has weakened, rupee has strengthened. That had a positive impact on our financial charges and therefore, it did contribute to the improvement in the financial charges. On a stand-alone, if you see the EBITDA, as we have always been saying, now we are going to be in the 19%, 20% range. We maintain that, and we shall be maintaining the 19% to 20% EBITDA in the coming year as well. That is what our estimate is. Luckily, the raw material prices are in a band where the commodity prices seem to be stable and easing out. Going forward, looking at the China scenario. We don't see any disruption in the commodity prices. Because China will have to do a lot of balancing in their supply chain and the commodity sales, so we expect that it should be in a reasonable range only. Coming to the U.S. tariff, the stability in commodity prices is kind of one of the impacts secondary result of the U.S. tariff. But directly, U.S. tariffs doesn't have much impact on us because India has not levied any reciprocal tariff. No other country has gone that way. Only China has put a reciprocal tariff on U.S. So we do not export much to U.S. or it's a very minimal that we export to U.S. So U.S. tariff is not going to impact us. Indian tariffs have not changed. So any import would not. No other country has followed this. So every country that we export to is on status quo. So the direct impact of U.S. tariff on Jindal Saw's performance, the answer is nil. The indirect impact is stability in commodity prices because China will have to make its adjustments. Likewise, now let's shift to the consolidated results. Everything is similar to standalone, except for you would see that in the PBT you would have that impact of INR 146 crores and in the tax which is consolidated results appears as INR 386 crores. You will have that impact of INR 235 crores or deferred tax being. The conversion of other quasi instruments, et cetera, into equity, it's a balance sheet item, it does go up anywhere here, but already I have given you all those details. Otherwise, there is nothing much in the consolidated results, except status quo is plateau performance where everything is kind of moving at a very high capacity utilization, things are happening. There was a little hold back in the last quarter because of the government of India, I would say, budgetary release of funds. Otherwise, there is not much that we can talk about on those consolidated and single results. Sales quantity also, if you compare year-on-year, they seem to be similar. Already we spoke about order book, $1.4 billion last year, $1.325 billion marginal lower -- marginally lower, more of a deliberate strategy because we were seeing some slowdown in the Q4. So it will come back because yesterday only we got a very good order from Saudi. So the order book will come back. The ratio of export to domestic remains similar in the range of 23% to 25%. So it's status quo. This year, also appears to be, by and large, status quo, except for a few comments that I'm going to make. So the year '26 also appears like similar to what was there in '24, what was there in '25 except that some of the CapEx that we have already incurred in the last 1 or 2 years. Capacity expansion in DI in Haresamudram, capacity expansion in seamless in Nashik, cost reduction initiatives like introduction of PCI third coke oven battery in Paragpur, subsequent generation of energy from the waste to heat. So those will have an impact, which will be a positive impact on the 2026 stand-alone financials. Otherwise, we can take it again as a status quo. But once we have the full impact of Nashik, once we have a full impact of the Haresamudram, those capacity is going up, the cost impact, then it would make a visible impact on the financials of '26. As you would have seen, our focus on debt continues to remain very tight and the term loan has gone down to, I would say, now we have repaid some further after what has been shown in the March. So our term loan is now in the vicinity of INR 600 crores to INR 700 crores. Our net worth would be in the vicinity of close to INR 10,000 crores. So INR 10,000 crores of net worth, term loan of close to INR 600 crores, working capital is around INR 1,800 crores which is again an improvement over the last year because last quarter since there was too much focus on collection and that helped us reduce our working capital. The debt profile is well under control and would remain that way. Still, we are looking at new projects. We are looking at what all we can do on the top of the goodwill and everything that we have created in KSA, especially when we completed our NEOM project. What all we can do in India, already, as I said, the seamless the DI have already been upgraded, capacity is being added. Bhilwara, as you know, we have a commitment and assurance to the Government of Rajasthan for the steel project. So now these things have been brought on the drawing board and we are looking at each one of them carefully. Maybe by next quarter, we have firmed up on a plan of action, and then we would let you know. One thing that, again, I wish to assure you that we would be diligent. So things would be planned in such a manner that there is no cash flow strain, the debt does not go out of that. We keep an eye on our rating, which is AA and it's significant to mention that even after this JITF Single Bench judgment, we repaid everything. The rating has not changed. The rating -- people were not at all worried about anything. So that's an important thing which should be mentioned. So we will keep an eye on our rating. We'll keep an eye on the opportunities and we will examine all these projects and then put them on a time line so that they become or they give the Philip for the next round of quantum growth without impacting the debt structure or the capital structure of the company beyond what we have achieved so far. This year also, since the results were similar, we have maintained the same dividend payout. Idea is to conserve cash as we are looking for now getting into some new projects, as I mentioned, I have given an indication to a few that we are looking at. Next quarter, maybe I would have more to tell you. The Hunting JV is doing well. This year, the proportion of profit which has come in the consolidated financial results, PAT from Hunting is about INR 27 crores. So that would give you -- that in the first year of operations, it has earned a profit of INR 50 crores plus. They are full on order book at this point of time. At this point of time, we do have a first movers advantage. On premium connection, we are the only one currently operating in India and we are doing well. That should continue to do well. That, I think, more or less covers everything that I wanted to tell you in my opening remarks. Let me stop here now and take a few questions. Thank you very much.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Pujan Shah from Molecule Ventures.
Pujan Shah
analystSir, the first question would be on the Jal Jeevan Mission side. So we have seen a slowdown driven from last...
Neeraj Kumar
executiveHold, hold, hold. Please speak a little louder, closer to your mic.
Pujan Shah
analystYes. Is it audible now?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveYes.
Pujan Shah
analystSo my first question would be on the Jal Jeevan Mission. We know that there is a slowdown in Jal Jeevan Mission from last 8, 9 months. So how is the current demand and what is the order book now we have been getting in terms of traction and all that stuff? Did the state or the center has been releasing the funds? And continuing with the same question, we have also listened about the Jal Jeevan fund has been slashed by 50% by the government. So then how the economics will work? Do the projects which has been reliable to complete? So can you just give a broad thought on it?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveOkay. Jal Jeevan Mission what appeared as a budgetary delay of funds has all been restored. This year government released INR 70,000 crores. So that puts the JJM projects on track. The full impact of that would come in Q2 onwards. And you said 50% slash, I don't think that is the case. The state governments as well as JJM put together are going full throttle on water infra projects. Now even the states with the help of multilateral agencies come from their own sources are going ahead. So the demand for the water infrastructure is very good, giving rise to lot of demand for pipe. In fact, now, many of the states have come up with a new business model, which they call HAM, which is a hybrid annuity model where the EPC contractors are expected to participate in a big way wherein they become a partner with the government even in putting equity and then they implement the whole project, do the O&M for a period of time and then hand over. So the term that we use is HAM, which is hybrid annuity model. And it's a mix of PPP, build, operate, transport -- build, operate, transfer. And also earn as you progress in the project.
Pujan Shah
analystSir, just a follow-up question on...
Neeraj Kumar
executiveSorry?
Pujan Shah
analystYes. Just a follow-up question. Voice was not clear on the number. So when do you see the full impact of JJM...
Neeraj Kumar
executiveQ2 FY 2026 will see the full impact of all the water infra projects, including JJM projects coming on the growth trajectory.
Pujan Shah
analystRight. Got it, sir. And in terms of funds, there is no challenge as of now but do you see after 2028, when the Jal Jeevan Mission will get completed, there will be lead of that mission or any other missions which will have the facility for the aggregate supply of quarter or it will restore through like any other mission out there?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveSee, if you look at today, the water grid system in every state, there is still a lot of headroom to go because there is a lot of flooding still. If you look at the aggregate amount of rainfall in our country, for the full year aggregate all over geography, and if you add up all your consumption of water again full year aggregate, they get balanced. But still, there are places where there is no water, and there are places where there is flooding. There are places where all the excess good water flows into the sea. So this water management grid, there is a lot of scope to do this management wherein the sources, the storage, the distribution and the time line is such that all this mismatches on a timely basis, seasonal basis can be met. And therefore, there is a lot of scope which still can be seen river diversion. A few announcements that government has recently made may also give rise to a lot of opportunities. So there is a lot of options or a lot of opportunities going to come in water infra projects for at least next 5 to 7 years.
Pujan Shah
analystGot it. And then my last question would be on the DI side. So we know that many companies are expanding their capacity. And even we are getting some better optionality products like OPVC. So do you think there will be a challenging part in terms of DI pricing and realizations coming years ahead?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveNo. See, the demand -- the growth in demand will take care of all the capacity. Number two, even if there is this incremental capacity, we would always at the core because we have a cost advantage, we have a locational advantage and we have an advantage of being an established player in the market. So any newcomer will have a higher burden of interest depreciation, their cost of production, manpower, everything for them would be a challenge, and we would be sitting in our leadership position. So therefore, those additional capacity, et cetera, does not bother us much.
Pujan Shah
analystIn terms of optionality products like OPVC, do you see the replacement of DI would be -- like there would be any replacement for it? Or it won't exist because of the quality of product?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveDI has not been replaced anywhere in the world. If you look at Europe, in fact, what we expect as the country develops at the people, the government and everybody becomes more cautious towards portable water, we expect that DI should be used even in the smaller diameter where HDPE, et cetera, is being used because from a health perspective, from a quality perspective, from a product life cycle if you take the full life cycle, a DI pipe can last up to 40, 50 years, no HDPE pipe lasts for that long. So if you see the -- during the life cycle, the redigging and the relaying then those options become much more expensive option. In some cases, they'll become an impossible option because if you have an urbanization, then keep on digging all over the city becomes that much of a problem. So as these realizations come into government and the users, we expect DI to not only stay, but to also replace others even in the smaller diameter.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Vedant Sarda from Nirmal Bang Securities Private Limited.
Unknown Analyst
analystAm I audible?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveYes.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, my query is regarding the cash losses we have faced in our subsidiaries? Like in current year, INR 357 crores and in last year, it was INR 157 crores JITF funds?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveCan you come again?
Unknown Analyst
analystIn the JITF of INR 345 crores of cash losses in the current year and INR 157 crore cash loss in previous year?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveINR 157 crores of cash loss, 57...
Unknown Analyst
analystIn the previous year, and INR 345 crores in current year?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveSee, I don't have those figures in front of me. So why don't I suggest that please write to us. Rajeev Goyal, today he is not joining us on this call. He is not in office. He would answer that very specific accounting entry because broadly, I have given you everything in terms of the adjustments. But if you really want to know that specific thing or have you found one?
Unknown Analyst
analystIt is reported in [indiscernible] report.
Neeraj Kumar
executiveJust hold, Mantri would like to answer that. Narendra Mantri is our CFO, so he just got that.
Narendra Mantri
executiveCurrent year numbers which you are seeing is inclusive of this INR 146 crores, which we have explained earlier.
Unknown Analyst
analystDeferred tax impact?
Narendra Mantri
executiveIf you exclude that number, then both the numbers are at the same range.
Unknown Analyst
analystThat INR 345 crores is impact of deferred tax?
Narendra Mantri
executiveNo, no. Deferred taxes after this, I'm saying INR 146 crores, the reversal of JITF unamortized assets, that is inclusive of -- that INR 350 crores is inclusive of that if you exclude INR 146 crores out of that.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Deepak Lalwani from Unifi Capital.
Deepak Lalwani
analystSir, on the order inflow your comment that you expect JJM to come back in Q2, have you seen any green shoots in terms of what the bidding for the projects or any tender for the water projects that have already started? Have you seen that in April month? And on the inflow side -- yes, sir. That was my question.
Neeraj Kumar
executiveThe answer is yes, that's why I'm telling you, our confidence of it picking up in Q2 comes from that, yes, things have begun to happen in terms of tenders, in terms of discussions and all of those we have seen in many states.
Deepak Lalwani
analystOkay. Relative question to that, sir, in this environment of weak demand, has there been any corrections in terms of the DI pricing?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveSo where there's a weak demand -- see that's why we slowed down our order and what we are executing is order which has already been taken. You must understand DI once you bid that price more or less holds true for the next 6 to 7 months. So these kind of temporary connections do not impact the DI prices or margins in the long run. There are a few because today, what we would be bidding, we would be running with those prices for the next 6 to 8 months. But it will not impact my Q1 if there is a certain drop in the raw material price or there is a slowdown on anything.
Deepak Lalwani
analystUnderstood. And sir, under DI...
Neeraj Kumar
executiveWe are concerned, we are confident of maintaining our EBITDA margin around -- between 90% and 20%, that EBITDA margin would be maintained on a full, all product basis.
Deepak Lalwani
analystGot it. Sir, in the order book that you mentioned that we have 13 lakh tonnes of order book in terms of pipe, how much would be the DI pipe segment?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveProbably, you've got that wrong. I said we have an order book of $1.3 billion, not lakh tonnes.
Deepak Lalwani
analystSo there's a mention of 13 lakh tonnes in your PPT, hence that question?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveYes, that's 13 lakhs is there, but I did not mention it in my speech. So you are referring to the PPT, then it's fine. I just wanted to make sure that you...
Deepak Lalwani
analystIn that, how much would be for DI pipes?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveThat's about 9 months.
Deepak Lalwani
analystHow much would be DIs out of the 13 lakh?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveDI pipe would be around 6.25 lakhs.
Deepak Lalwani
analystOkay. Got it. And this number sequentially, how has that moved, sir, that INR 6.25 lakh?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveThis number?
Deepak Lalwani
analystHow is it sequentially moved between Q3 and Q4, sir?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveAs I told you, the order book has come down. So it has come down from 6.8 to 6.3.
Deepak Lalwani
analystUnderstood. Got it. Sir, last question from my side. The debottlenecking CapEx that we're taking in DIs and the seamless, some minor capacity addition that we're doing in Nashik, how much should these 2 initiatives add to our volumes in FY '26?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveNashik capacity would go to 4.5 lakh tonnes, and we would add about 1 lakh tonne in Haresamudram. Total capacity in Nashik 4.5, and Haresamudram, old capacity plus 1 lakh tonne.
Deepak Lalwani
analystGot it. Sir, I was trying to gauge the utilization that you can achieve...
Operator
operatorMr. Deepak?
Deepak Lalwani
analystYes, I just wanted to complete this question. Can I go ahead?
Operator
operatorSir, I would request you to return to the question queue for follow-up questions. The next question is from the line of Radha from B&K Securities.
Radha Agarwalla
analystAnd I wanted to thank you specifically for the detailed opening remarks, especially on JITF. And my first question was you mentioned in your opening remarks that current capacity are already running at full utilization. So from a base of FY '25 on the pipe front, how much volume growth are you expecting in the next 2 to 3 years? Basically, my question was regarding -- I wanted to understand what is the road map to achieve INR 5,000 crores of EBITDA from a current base of INR 3,400 crores of EBITDA?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveYou have put a lot of many questions, including a speculative question, which is the EBITDA going to INR 5,000 crores from INR 3,000 crores. Where did you get this 5,000 number from?
Radha Agarwalla
analystNo, sir, I -- for that only I wanted the road map. So currently, we are doing INR 2,400 crores of EBITDA. So I wanted to better visibility to...
Neeraj Kumar
executiveMadam hold. 5 is not a number that company has ever put out in the public domain. The way you asked your question, it looked like somebody somewhere from the company side has put the 5 in public domain. So that is not so. Simple question, 5 or 4 or 3 or 6, at this point of time, the company is in the range of INR 3,300 crores, INR 3,400 crores. As you said, the road map for next 2 to 3 years is seamless going from the present to 4.5 lakhs. DI adding 1 lakh tonne. On large dia, we expect that maybe there is a headroom because as you know, in large dia pipes because of the changeover, the thickness, et cetera, there is a headroom we can expect 10% to 15% growth. So these are the 3 that we are going to get in terms of volume growth over the next 2 to 3 years. We will be getting cost reduction on account of cocoburn or on account of PCI, or on account of other, then we would get incremental margin on account of things like trading premium connection, OCTG, value-added products, stainless steel and all of those. So next 2 to 3 years, you will see the growth and improvement from 3 buckets. A, moving towards value add, more coating, more stainless, higher grades, some volume because of this capacity and improvement in EBITDA because of the reduction in the cost because of the initiatives that have already been taken. That's what the impact is going to be over the next 3 years and that is for you to make your assessment of where that current INR 3,300 crores or INR 3,400 crores EBITDA reaches.
Radha Agarwalla
analystYes, sir. Just wanted to clarify, this INR 5,000 crores was my estimate and was not stated by the company. And to achieve this number, I basically wanted to understand whether over the next 3 years, achieving 13% to 15% volume growth is possible considering the capacities that we have?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveYes, I've given you all the guidelines and now I would leave it to your judgment. And still if you need some more inputs, I would encourage you please write to the company, we will get back to you and we can have a longer discussion so that it gives you whatever more inputs that you need.
Radha Agarwalla
analystThe second question, sir, in...
Operator
operatorSorry to interrupt. I would request you to get back into the question queue.
Radha Agarwalla
analystSir, the response -- the second response was actually to clarify that it was not a guidance from the management. It was the question. So is it okay if I go on with the second question?
Operator
operatorI would request you to return to the queue. The next question is from the line of Surbhi Saraogi from [indiscernible] Capital.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, my question is regarding the fall in selling prices of DI pipes. When do you expect the prices to correct?
Neeraj Kumar
executiveAgain, madam, you have also asked another speculative question. Where have we ever said that our DI prices are falling? Our DI prices is stable, and we don't expect any fall in our DI price. And therefore, the correction or whatever that you are talking about is not relevant to as far as Jindal Saw is concerned.
Unknown Analyst
analystNo, sir, I was talking about the market prices, not regarding our order book.
Neeraj Kumar
executiveMadam, market price, what constitutes market price? The order book constitutes the market price. Jindal Saw is not reducing any of its DI price full stop. We don't expect the price to be reduced. In the near future, we are getting orders at the prices. We are maintaining our NSR, we are maintaining our margins.
Operator
operatorThat was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Vikash Singh for closing comments.
Vikash Singh
analystThank you, operator. I would like to thank Jindal Saw management, for giving us the opportunity to host the con call. Now I will hand over to Mr. Neeraj Kumar for his closing remarks. Over to you, sir.
Neeraj Kumar
executiveThank you, all the investors. Probably, I expect -- I thought that there were a few more questions that you wanted to ask. But as I said, I encourage all of you that please write to us. We would encourage a one-to-one discussion or maybe even a group discussion so that all your questions get answered. Some of the detailed accounting ones where I don't have the detail, we will answer you. And just thank you all very much with that comment. Enjoy. See you next quarter. We continue to do well, and we will continue to put in our efforts. Thank you. Bye.
Operator
operatorOn behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining our disconnect your lines.
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