Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 26, 2020

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care Pharmaceuticals conference_presentation 25 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#1

Okay. I guess we have to start. Okay. Hi. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us. My name is Danielle Antalffy. I'm one of the senior med tech analysts here at SVB Leerink. And we are very lucky for the second year in a row to have Ashley McEvoy from Johnson & Johnson. She's Head of the Devices Group. Before we get started, we also have Matt Stuckley from Investor Relations, and he will read forward-looking statements.

Matt Stuckley

executive
#2

Thanks, Danielle. Good afternoon, everyone. Please be aware that some statements made today may be considered forward-looking or utilize non-GAAP measures. Please refer to our SEC filings, in particular our 10-K, which discuss the risks and uncertainties around forward-looking statements as well as our website at investor.jnj.com for reconciliations to comparable GAAP measures. Finally, any remarks regarding financial performance represent the results through and including the fourth quarter of 2019. Thank you. Danielle?

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#3

Thanks, Matt. Well, Ashley. So now 1.5 years into your role, I believe, as Head of Devices. So maybe a good place to start would be, talk about how you view the current status of J&J's device business and how it's evolved in the 1.5 years that you've been there.

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#4

Yes, sure. Well, it's great to be back. It's amazing. It's been already a year. And I think, wow, what has gotten -- what we've gotten done in the past year. I would say a couple of things. First is the market that we compete is pretty awesome. And it's pretty special. And I always remind people, our 70,000 colleagues at J&J med tech, that we serve patients and many, many, many times, we're actually saving lives. And we like to say we ignite all that's possible in everybody, and it's a really awesome uberpurpose. And I purposely say, no, we're not in the alcohol business, the tobacco business or in Juul. What we do really matters. And so, listen, we had a great foundation, J&J med tech. We have 4 large franchises. You know us as we have DePuy Synthes, which has been our problem child. I'll talk a little bit about how we've been improving that. But the world leader in orthopedics, really preparing for the world of digital there, Ethicon. J&J, we're actually in our 134th year. And you can't say J&J without saying J&J med device because we were really on the ground for over 100 years ago, really the first to sterilize operating theaters. So with that kind of incumbent is that responsibility to kind of have first-in-kind. So our Ethicon trust mark, which is the face of our surgery business -- obviously, we're going to talk a little bit about the future of surgery today. And then we have a smaller, but I would say, very feisty interventional business. And our electrophysiology business is going to cross the $3 billion mark this year, 11 years consecutive double-digit performance. We've entered a nascent space in our neurovascular business, about $0.25 billion business, growing double digit, really committed to building out that area. And then eye health, I know it's been in the news today. Very committed to eye health, very formidable worldwide contact lens business and very committed to building out our vision surgery business. So we've been really making sure we have a highly seasoned leadership team at all the critical levels all around the world. We've been making sure that we are rebuilding our pipeline. We've been really playing to win in digital surgery. You'll hear me talk a little bit about that. We've racked and stacked every kind of end state market in med tech over the past year. We looked at 200 different disease states area, 100 different tech companies to kind of start to map out where do we want to be in year 3 and year 5. So that's just to begin the past 12 months.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#5

You've done like nothing?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#6

No, just in -- I mean yes.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#7

So let's focus specifically -- so actually, I'd like to, if we could, start with Q4 and then take a look at 2020. Because I think in Q4, there was a little bit of disappointment that you've been pretty transparent about the fact that this is not a straight linear trajectory upward.

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#8

That's correct.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#9

So maybe talk a little bit about what transpired in Q4, and what's set up for acceleration in 2020? And where do you see the biggest needs for improvement as we move over the next 12 months? So where will you focus most over the next 12 months on improving?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#10

Yes, sure. I mean I will declare again, I don't think growth is ever linear. And we're not a small tiny start-up company. We're a $26 billion, second largest med tech company that while we want to be fast and agile, it takes a lot to move that. So what we've been very deliberate on is accelerating the revenue curve year-over-year. So you saw us post 1.5% growth in '17; and in '18, 2.6% growth; and last year, almost at 4%, 3.9%. All my numbers are excluding M&A. And for me, that's what I think good looks like. And so 2020, I expect us to do better than we did last year. But every quarter is not going to be this perfect linear build. And because the market has ups and downs, there's one-timers in countries, there's tender management timing, there's a thing called the Japan consumption tax, so there are market factors which influence customer buying patterns. And what we always pay keen attention to is what's that operational run rate. And what I was pleased to see exiting '19 are 2 areas that are very large in scale and quite frankly, have been more dilutive to our overall performance, showed meaningful progress. The first is our largest region, which is North America. The largest med tech market, and we posted 2% performance. We actually -- we unfortunately did have some product disruptions in 2019, some supply challenges. That number would have been around 40 basis points higher. So we posted about 100 basis points of improvement operationally in North America. Now clearly, that's not above market yet. So we need to do better this year and the following year. But what really enabled that in North America was getting our Orthopaedics business, U.S. Orthopaedics business, which was down about 0.5 point the prior year to actually up about 1.4 points. So that's a 180 basis point swing year-over-year. And you go through the platforms. That was about where -- we are the world leader in trauma. We have to keep that going. We have a very competitive hips portfolio that performed. We were woefully underperforming in knee. I was very encouraged to see us exiting 2019 with growth in knees and worldwide growth. And our Ethicon business is, in the U.S., more challenged than OUS. 70% of our Ethicon Energy and endocutter business is actually OUS, growing very nicely, high single digit. But in the U.S., it was compressed. So we are looking this year, even ex robotics, to kind of shore up the competitiveness in Ethicon.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#11

And how do you -- so thanks for going there because I wanted to talk about -- ahead of robot, you guys have called out share loss to robotics in that business. How do you stabilize that, shore that up ahead of a general surgical robot launching?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#12

Yes. I mean we posted almost, I'm going to say, 3% total Ethicon last year performance. And some of the things I like to say, we're very fortunate that we have a very strong portfolio. So wound closure, we're the world leader in wound closure. We want to have a moat around that and continue to innovate. That platform, one of our largest platforms -- I mentioned we have actually 11 $1 billion platforms. So we have 13 platforms, 11 of those are over $1 billion. Our wound closure is over $3 billion. So getting that with differentiation -- people say that it's a commodity business. I say absolutely not. I say we have Plus Sutures, which are going well above the market average and barbed sutures. Biosurgery, sealing leaks, treating bleeding, very important for surgical procedures, one of the world leaders in there. That was somewhat depressed last year because we had some product supply challenges. So that was not our friend. I expect that to be our friend coming into this year. As I mentioned, our energy business and endomechanical business grew mid-single digit, really healthier OUS, challenged in the U.S., really due to some portfolio gaps we have in energy, which we are addressing in advanced bipolar, and we are addressing some of the reprocessing trends, but some really strong strength in our endocutter business.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#13

So do you think you can stabilize share? Will 2020 be a year in which you can at least stabilize share and grow with the market again in that business?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#14

I think our core businesses ex the robotics business should absolutely compete with the market.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#15

Okay. Got it. Okay. And then moving on to the -- I mean that's a big launch coming up over the next few years, very much talked about, very much a focus of investors. And first and foremost, what should we expect to see? You have an Analyst Day coming up in May. I mean what can we expect to see? Are we going to see a robot? Are we going to see a picture of a robot?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#16

Well, we're going to be here in New York on May 13, I want to say. So...

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#17

But the robot's transportable.

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#18

And you will -- so let's talk about what you're going to see and what you're going to experience. A lot has happened in the past year. So I think it was a year ago, I was sitting here talking about this little acquisition called Auris. And now I can talk about Auris and Verb. We've closed on Verb. We actually had our day 1 integration on Monday. What we've been committed to doing is really the following. We want to make surgeries smarter, more precise, more personalized and to improve outcomes. And we weren't first. So we better come in with something that's very differentiated. And we're going to do so not just in how a classic stand-alone med tech company is going to do so because we're part of J&J. And we have access to disease experts in oncology and immunology, and we have experts -- and I'll give you some -- share what's been fun to see when you start to get kind of an amazing community of experts with tremendous brain power in a room, solving problems. So one example, with Auris, I like to say we are the leader in open. We are the leader in minimal -- but we are now live in endoluminal surgery, which is, in essence, doing surgery from the inside out using the natural orifices. And with the Monarch system, which you will see in hands-on, we've done over 2,000 bronchoscopies. And what we -- the fun thing about this is really to demonstrate how J&J is going to enter this space in -- albeit in a different way than what the precedence has been. And what do I mean by that? So you're going to hear us talk about how we take our lung cancer team. So world experts in oncology and pulmonology, coupled with Dr. Fred Moll, who's a general surgeon, who is one of the founders of intuitive surgery who founded Auris and the team with Monarch and say, "How can we really disrupt how care is delivered in lung cancer?" And let me give you an example. Most people get diagnosed at Stage III or Stage IV. You have less than 5 year -- the vast majority, 80%, have less than 5 years to live. And it's because people don't get diagnosed earlier or in a very minimally invasive way, that could be scaled and really democratized. So now with the advent of Monarch, the Monarch system, it is a very minimally invasive way to access very distal parts of lung lesion. So you're actually getting a diagnostic of the lesion itself. And that's generation 1. Generation 2 is you then -- we bought a little ablation company, NeuWave. You could then couple them, potentially treat at site, at the lesion or potentially disperse oncolytic viruses. We just bought a company on oncolytic viruses. So what I say is, this isn't just a device-only company. It really is how J&J is going to solve big, meaningful needs, and you can take that for lung cancer. We're looking at other areas like bladder cancer, like stomach cancer. Right now, the standard of care, if you have colon cancer, you're basically taking a chunk of your colon out. So imagine, if you could go in a very minimally invasive way to access the colon and really debride the lesion and treat it at the point in the colon without taking a big chunk of the colon out. Very similar to taking a lung dissection, which is really right now the standard of care. So that's what we're playing for. We are going to compete in our general surgery platform on typical indications, but we're going to do so in a different way. You're going to hear about general surgery. You're going to hear about different indications in specialty surgery. I talked about lung cancer. We're looking at endourology, really managing kidney stone treatment. Most people who go get a kidney stone treatment, it takes 2 to 3x, and you have to have repeat procedures. We are looking to get 90% stone removal on the first time as one example. And then we have a big portfolio in orthopedics. And so we are looking to file this year for our orthopedics robot. And again, we were not first so we have the benefit to learn. If you're not going to be first, you better learn how you can come in and really have differentiated value. So it's a very capital-efficient play. It's the size of a shoebox, I say. It attaches to the OR. It doesn't require an X-ray and we're getting really, really nice outcomes. So you're going to see that application in knee, go to hips and we have other applications to come to spine.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#19

What -- just a follow-up on the Orthotaxy robot. What's the regulatory pathway for that? What sort of clinical data are you going to need to collect to file and get approved?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#20

Yes. In the U.S., it's the 510(k), but we all are looking at evidence. Everybody has their own evidence strategy of clinical, preclinical and clinical data. So we are looking at that.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#21

So presumably, when you launch, you'll have some clinical data?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#22

We'll have data, yes.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#23

Okay. And then one of the things that J&J has said in the past to sort of differentiate or set apart its robotics efforts is this whole concept of digital surgery. And I would just love to -- like what does that mean?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#24

Yes, yes, yes. No, I often get asked that. I think what's kind of neat is, we talk a lot about the robots. And we have to have a competitive robot and a robot that's going to complement what surgeons do with our view of the world. But really, technology has really helped enable changes in how that care pathway is delivered. So what do I mean by that? It's about, in a convenient way, getting the patient ready for the procedure in a minimally invasive way, whether through your app on movement and prepping them for surgery. Two, it's really around custom pre-op. So versus having them come in 3 times -- and the example I use is I saw a cranial maxillofacial case with CHOP. And typically, we had to bring that patient in 3 different times. But we were able to, prior to the surgery, do a remote assessment and really do a custom pre-op of exactly what kind of implant that patient needed, let alone, it was 3D printed and customized. That saves that patient half the amount of anesthesia time. So changing that pre-op. And then intra-operatively, I like to say, accessing the highways of the body or complex tissue or could be avoiding tumors or arteries, you want to have smart, live, real-time navigation to know where you are in the body, to know, again, ding, ding, ding, don't go there, go to the right, go to the left. And these are algorithms being built that will really enable surgery to be smarter, reduce variation and have more predictable performance. And the fun thing is both with surgeries and apprenticeship, it's -- you are a confident learner in surgery. And if you can aggregate all that data and share that with surgeons, and you can say, "Surgeon X, you could do X, Y, Z to improve your performance." Again, it's a learning culture, and that can really help reduce variation and improve outcomes.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#25

Do you think that's the biggest barrier to surgical robotic adoption, is the variance from user to user?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#26

I think a couple of things. I think we underestimated the uptake. The uptake's been quite nice, but we're still in the early innings. I mean, it still is like less than 2% penetration, obviously more in the U.S., but OUS. And there's a big consumer appeal to be using the latest technology to make surgery more minimally invasive. And there were some constraints, natural constraints to the laparoscopic surgery as it's done today. And so I think that it started with more routine procedures. But I think that you're going to see more hybrid procedures where it becomes almost a combo robotic/laparoscopic procedure. And I think that, that will be the next generation versus the first generation.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#27

Got it. So you do have other products in your pipeline besides the robots. So maybe talk about -- obviously, those are big ones, right? But beyond that, what are the biggest risks in your mind to reaching, achieving in line with market growth this year? Because I think at the last analyst -- med devices analyst meeting, you talked about 2020, hoping to get to that market growth. So what do you see as the biggest risk to the downside?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#28

Yes. I mean, obviously, we -- what have we been focused on is we've gotten the benefit of enhanced revenue performance really through a maniacal focus on end-to-end execution -- commercial execution, innovation and supply chain execution. The next curve, again, to live into that revenue acceleration year-over-year really is innovation. So what I get excited about is this balance of, I like to say, some workhorses with some first-in-kind. So some first-in-kind, you're going to see in our electrophysiology business, our next-generation smart microcatheter under the QDOT over the next 18 months coming out, first in Europe and then the United States. And that allows the procedure to go from 4 hours down to 2 hours. You're going to see HELIOSTAR balloon catheter that has not just a single shot, again, speeds up the efficiency of the procedure. That procedure, less than 4% folks are getting treated of the eligible treated population. So we're not talking about 10%, 20%, 30% penetration, 30 years into electrophysiology. I think of vision. So we are -- you saw our light management lens, you're going to see our first-in-kind allergy lens for people who have sight nearness but also need to -- have allergies. That's going to be coming out this year. We're going to start with Japan first and then following the United States. Those are first-in-kinds. And then I say, like a workhorse, like our OASYS 1-Day is a $0.5 billion brand now in 3 years. So that's what I mean, like always having next-generation materials. If I go to the Ethicon side, it's making sure that we have next-generation powered circular staplers for complex oncology cases, unique buttressing devices to make stapling hold over a longer period of time. Our biosurgery business, we just launched in quarter 4, we'll have the first year, really, the next-generation of fibrin sealants. Not only does it significantly improve OR efficiency time but really has quite a huge effectiveness push on patients on sealing leaks and managing bleeding. And then go to our Orthopaedics business. And so our knee portfolio is rocky. I will tell you, we stand by our 2 knee performance. We're now in revision. We're now in cementless and we'll soon be in robotics. So having that full breadth of portfolio as we go around. So those are just a couple of examples. We -- if I go to neurovascular, I'm very bullish on what we're going to build out in neurovascular. We started with our EMBOTRAP. We now have a flow diverter on BRAVO for aneurysms, sealing aneurysms. You're going to see us have kind of our next generation in ischemic stroke over the next 24 months. We -- those are a couple of examples that -- and then I would say, those are within the next 3 years.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#29

Yes. Got it. Okay. We're in an election year and who knows what's going to happen, but how is the J&J devices -- you, as Head of the J&J Device business, how are you thinking about the potential impact to volume? Should we enter an environment in which it's Medicare for all? Or -- it's a constantly evolving health care environment. So how do you best prepare the business for that and think about the future and plan for the future without necessarily knowing what's actually going to happen?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#30

Yes. I mean if you focus on what you can control, I mean we are -- obviously, J&J's a health care company, not just a med tech company. So we're actively engaged in -- we're actually for people to have access to affordable health care. And we do think, from a med tech point of view, we know that there is still a lot of improvement for efficiency. There's still a lot of fragmentation in the health care systems, 70% of costs in health care are labor related. So we are working with our customers to always have very strong clinical value in our portfolio of solutions, but help them while getting some of the efficiencies out there, getting the waste out of the system and really helping their labor force be at their best. We're doing human energy for life to get -- address the labor burnout. So we're really going after from where the problem resides. I think there's a lot of focus. Med technology is 5% of the total cost in the health care system. So we're -- again, labor being the big one. How can we partner with our customers to make them as efficient as possible and really do -- we've started to do some performance-based contracts with them. We have a hip fracture program. We have a program in electrophysiology. We have a program on infection management with sutures where we jointly hold to certain outcomes. So we do have some archetypes of customers who are engaging. But I would -- by no means is that the mass right now in the United States.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#31

Okay. Got it. As it relates to the portfolio and thinking about the portfolio holistically, do you feel that the device business today has all the right pieces in place to be a leading competitor? And in an ever-evolving medical devices market, there are clearly some gaps in the portfolio. I think I ask you this every time I see you. So just curious if your views have changed on the need to fill certain gaps and how you're thinking about deployment of capital to do it organically and inorganically.

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#32

Yes. I mean, you saw us sell a lot. We sold, I think, over $7 billion of business over the past couple of years and we went shopping. We spent $12 billion over the past 3 years. And you can look at those capital deployment decision criteria, so one was getting into the cataract surgery, #1 medical procedure done around the world, really re-anchoring surgical vision. A second big deployment was in digital surgery. And then we went to those 11 platforms that are $1 billion and said, "How do we do good life cycle management of that?" So their pipelines are incremental, substantial and transformational. And then we entered some adjacent spaces, so like neurovascular as an example. Like we got into ablation as an example. So I think that criteria, we're always looking to say, how do we feed our core? What are those adjacencies that are fast-growing that can benefit synergistically from our core? The example I do use is our electrophysiology and our neurovascular business, there's a commonality there, although different call points. And then what are some of these spaces? And we're looking at all the spaces at the high-growth end-state markets. And we're going to be aggressive on the M&A. We just have to have value-creating cases, and we work on it every month in the leadership team and every week on the leadership team. And there's not a lot of things that we haven't seen. So I think we have a cure -- ears to the ground. We just have to make sure that it makes sense for our shareholders and J&J.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#33

Right. And I think for the last few years, you guys have been saying, sticking with the messaging that, for example, the biggest gap is probably relative to the rest of your business in cardiology. As it relates -- so you play in some high-growth markets there, but relatively smaller markets versus the broader cardio markets. Do you feel that you're at a place or getting closer to a place where you need scale in cardio to better compete? Or is it still so innovation driven that you're not running into that?

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#34

No. For us, it's -- we always get asked, I'd say, a scale question. We do benefit. We've got about 1/3 of our contracts in North America that are multi-line. And that number probably is going to go to about 40%. So we do benefit, but you also have to have clinical differentiation. So that by itself doesn't really deliver. So for us, in our -- in our interventional business, they are very differentiated and strong. So we're going to continue to nurture that going forward. I do look at where we've been putting investment in digital surgery. Interventional is going to grow. We're going to look at that. We also have an active program -- we bought a company called Coherex for left atrial appendage closure. We are on active clinical trials on that. So we have active businesses that are large, $3 billion, small start-ups. And then we are looking in congestive heart failure, structural heart, interventional peripheral interventions. We are obviously looking at those areas.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#35

All right. With that, we're out of time.

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#36

Thank you.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#37

Thank you, Ashley, so much.

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#38

Thanks for having me. A pleasure.

Danielle Antalffy

analyst
#39

Thanks, everyone.

Ashley McEvoy

executive
#40

Yes, thanks for coming.

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