JTL Industries Limited (534600) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 12, 2024

BSE Limited IN Materials Metals and Mining earnings 73 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q3 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call of JTL Industries Limited, hosted by Nuvama Institutional Equities. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Sneha Talreja from Nuvama Institutional Equities. Thank you, and over to you, ma'am.

Sneha Talreja

analyst
#2

Thanks, Michel. Good evening all. On behalf of Nuvama Wealth Management, we welcome you all to the JTL Industries Q3 FY '24 Conference Call. We are joined today by the senior management of JTL Industries represented by Mr. Atul Garg, CFO; Mr. Pranav Singla, Whole-Time Director; Mr. Dhruv Singla, Whole-Time Director. We will now start with the opening remarks from the management, followed by the Q&A. I would like to first hand over the call to Mr. Pranav Singla for his brief opening remarks. Over to you, Pranav.

Pranav Singla

executive
#3

Thanks, Sneha. Thanks, Nuvama, for hosting our quarterly earnings call. Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for joining us today for this conference call. We welcome you all for our Q3 FY '24 earnings call. Let's begin the call with a brief overview about the company. With a rich history over 3 decades, we have evolved into a fast-growing steel to manufacturing company. We specialize in producing a diverse range of products, including ERW black Steel tubes and pre-galvanized and galvanized pipes, large diameter steel tubes and pipes, hollow structures -- and hollow structures. We operate through 4 manufacturing facilities located in Punjab, Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh. Out of which, 2 facilities are in Punjab. And as a total group capacity, we stand at a capacity of 5,86,000 metric tons. All our plants have the capacity to produce the VAP product, which is a galvanized pipe under our radar right now, which gives us access to strength and finishing of products. Additionally, our Chhattisgarh plant is backward integrated and offers us cost synergies and facilitating the procurement of raw materials at competitive prices. At JTL, we have 10 listed brands, offering cumulative of 1,000-plus SKUs. These products find applications across diverse industries such as construction, core infrastructure, heavy vehicles, water distribution, energy and many more. With a network of over 1,000 dealers and distributors, we sectorly serve the entire nation and extend our reach to international markets spanning over 20 countries across 5 continents. Our exports primarily consist of GI pipes constituting of to approximately 90% of the export mix to earn higher revenues and margins. Moreover, we hold the recognition as a Star Export House by the Government of India. I'll give you briefly about the financial performance. Regarding our business performance, we experienced a robust demand for our products, resulting in a noteworthy 76% increase in sales volume to 1,00,905 metric tons in quarter 3 FY '24 compared to quarter '23 FY '24 (sic) [ quarter 3 FY '23 ]. On the product perspective, our 9 months sales volume grew by 62%, reaching to a total of 2,10,933 metric tons on a Y-o-Y basis, which also surpassed our FY '23 sales volume of 2,40,000 metric tons. Furthermore, our sale in the value-added product category witnessed a notable increase, growing by 46% from 54,000 metric tons 9 months in last financial year to 81,000 metric tons in 9 months FY '24. Our revenue grew by 65% to INR 5,674 million in quarter 3 FY '24 and by 46% to INR 15,743 million in 9 months FY '24. It was led by the increase in demand of our product. Our EBITDA grew by 46% to INR 429 million in quarter 3 FY '24 and the 50% to INR 1,154 million in 9 months FY '24, led by increase in scale of operations. However, in Q3 FY '24, our EBITDA margins decreased led by decline in sales of VAT products due to scheduled maintenance of our galvanizing pot. This is a periodic measure taken by us to maintain our product quality and standards. For FY '24, we expect our revenue to increase by 35% from FY '23 and EBITDA margins shall remain in upper trajectory from what we will witness in this year. On the industry front, we expect the demand of structural steel tubes to remain strong for the next few years, surging by approximately 12%, 13% backed by robust infrastructure demand, pushed by the government towards construction, oil and gas and water supply. Going forward to seize the forthcoming opportunities, we are targeting to reach a total manufacturing capacity of 1 million tons by FY '25 moreover to enhance our manufacturing capabilities, we have plans to implement DFT at Mangaon facility by this quarter itself, which will be towards 1 lakh metric tons. This initiative will not only enhance our capacity utilization and manufacturing efficiency but we're also open doors to new geographical markets. This will also increase our SKUs by the range of 500 as well. Right now, the SKUs we stand at around 1,000 and post the installment of DFT, we should be standing at 1,500 SKUs. Simultaneously, we are strategically outlining the significant capacity expansion initiative in our Maharashtra through our facility, JTL Tubes Limited, which will further elevate our manufacturing capability, allowing us to broaden our product portfolio and offer an array of products under one roof. This -- through this capital expenditure, we aim to incorporate additional DFT line, expand the capability to manufacture galvanized steel tubes and pipes, introduce a range of color-coated products and implement backward integration in the facility, which will facilitate the production of 3 galvanizes. In order to meet the desired target, we have proposed to raise a total of INR 1,310 crores through various means. Of this fundraise, we will raise INR 810 crores via fully convertible warrants on preferential basis through promoter and nonpromoter category. The remaining INR 500 crores shall be discussed through QIP route. Post completion of expansion, our VAP products will increase, which will further increase our EBITDA per ton as well. Handing over back to Sneha.

Sneha Talreja

analyst
#4

Sir, should we open the floor for the Q&A session?

Pranav Singla

executive
#5

Sure, sure.

Operator

operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] We'll take the first question from the line of Amit Dixit from ICICI Securities.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#7

I have a couple of questions. The first one is around EBITDA per ton, which has come off slightly compared to the last quarter. While in your prepared remarks, you indicated that this was primarily due to lower proportion of value-added sales, mainly because of maintenance activity. Just wanted to understand, do you also -- did you also see in the last quarter some amount of destocking because of anticipated fall in steel prices? Some of your peers have indicated that. If so, has this destocking ended? And are we likely to see a higher growth in sales volume in the coming quarter?

Unknown Executive

executive
#8

Amitji, thank you for your question. Here, I would like to say that we have witnessed in this quarter our highest ever sales volume of about 1,01,000 tons. And this was -- we didn't face any destocking criteria from the stockist because we are present in both the markets, primary and secondary. So we have a good opportunity to push our materials in either of the markets when the other market is not performing better. Yes, there were certain problems in the primary market due to channel destocking and the prices being corrected over a period of months in the last quarter. But all in all, we've witnessed that we were able to push out more materials than the previous quarter in the previous year as well. Herein, one key factor I would like to mention for a slight correction in EBITDA per ton is due to the change in our value-added product kitty. So since we were able to achieve a higher number of volume, our value-added product due to maintenance schedule and -- was affected. And also, since we were able to push out more quantities, our value-added product did not increase in that fashion. So therein, we had certain correction in the overall EBITDA per ton levels, which was not very substantial, but yes, it was present.

Pranav Singla

executive
#9

Also Amitji, if you look at the value-added product tonnage, so we have a net tonnage increase over the past year -- over the past quarter 3 financial year '23 as well. Last year, in quarter 3, our VAP product was 14,000 metric tons. But this quarter, our VAP was around 19,800 metric tons. So quantum wise, it has increased. But as the company is growing and expanding their SKUs and grabbing the market in the black pipe market as well. So that's why the percentage where it matters, the percentage seems low. And if you look at the 9 months EBITDA per ton as well, so that somewhere in tune to the last year itself. Last year, our EBITDA per ton of 9 months was around somewhere [ 472 ]. And this year, we are close to INR 4,500. So the exact picture of a company's performance doesn't depend on EBITDA per ton of the quarter. It's more accurate to take the picture of the full year or half yearly. That's a better way to look at the picture. Every quarter, the depend -- rise of EBITDA per ton is very natural and can happen.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#10

Thanks for the elaborate answer. Absolutely appreciate that. The second question is on the expansion plan. So I just wanted to understand if you could first of all, let us know -- you have indicated 4 buckets that is additional DFT line, galv steel tubes and pipes, color coated and the backward integration. If you could break your CapEx into these 4 buckets and also, if you could also highlight some of the milestones that which capacity would be commissioned -- when each capacity would be commissioned so that we get an idea of the overall CapEx plan -- the track of the overall CapEx plan?

Pranav Singla

executive
#11

So as we mentioned before as well, our entire CapEx for the first 1 million ton will be completed before FY '25. So we are well on track for that. As we mentioned in the last con-call as well that we are expected to receive a DFT this quarter. And apart from that 1 lakh tons of additional machinery facility as well. So that is well on track and should be happening this quarter itself. And the production shall we start -- the production will start to flow for the same in the next quarter of the financial year as well. And if you talk about the other capacity expansions, which is the DFT which is supposed to come next year as well and apart from that, 1 lakh tons of machine in Maharashtra to complete a 1 million ton, that's well on track, and we shall be completing that before time. And to discuss about the next expansion that we've planned, so the company had already goes to reach the capacity of 2 million tons by FY '28-FY '29 before. But after the whole fundraise, the management -- the promoters push of money as well, the game plan has changed. And we shall be receiving the capacity of 2 million tons by cutting it to 2 -- by 2 years. So the entire capacity of 2 million tons shall be installed by FY '27. By the end of '27, everything shall be installed and the sector play of everything should be happening in FY '28. So this is a broader picture I can elaborate and tell you that how we're expanding and growing in our network.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#12

Okay. Sure. That's very helpful. I will -- maybe I will get the details off-line in the interest of time and all the best.

Operator

operator
#13

The next question is from the line of Bhavin Pande from Athena Investments.

Bhavin Pande

analyst
#14

I just wanted to understand the trend of our export volumes and just get a sense of why they have behaved the way they have behaved over -- on a comparison with last quarter as well as the year?

Pranav Singla

executive
#15

Hello?

Bhavin Pande

analyst
#16

Hello? Can you hear me, Pranav?

Pranav Singla

executive
#17

Yes. So the export volumes, they have an upper shift this quarter as there was so much abundance, demand of the market -- for the production in the domestic market itself. So the company was more focused on circulating the product in the domestic market itself. So net to net, we didn't have an increase in the domestic -- in the export market, and we were well in line of the last year -- last year's numbers. There's more -- the company has been focusing more on the domestic front for the -- for domestic right now.

Unknown Executive

executive
#18

Additionally, what has happened is like since the last year, certain dynamics of export has changed. Especially in the last quarter, the problems of the red sea had arisen. Due to that, there was certain stoppages in export shipments. So we faced certain problems in receiving the allotment of containers. That is another reason of a slight dip in our exports of the last month.

Bhavin Pande

analyst
#19

Okay. So I'm assuming our export numbers should also be, I think, it will be in the higher growth in the period ahead because of the backlog we had this quarter. Is it safe to assume that?

Unknown Executive

executive
#20

Yes, we are anticipating in the next quarter since it's the first quarter for the rest of the world and its last quarter for India financial. So everybody is in a positive -- pushes the material in a positive manner. From both the directions, we would anticipate that we should have a certain growth in the next quarter.

Bhavin Pande

analyst
#21

Okay. And when we look at our 9-month numbers, our margins have sort of expanded very slightly. So is it because of the efficiency enhancement in our production processes?

Pranav Singla

executive
#22

Yes, it's because of coming scale as well, you can say that. And moreover, the company's production as -- like the production that we did last year so it was for 9 months. So there's some effective benefits the company sees and it's in that scenario itself.

Bhavin Pande

analyst
#23

Okay. And will we see -- as more capacity comes in and our utilization improves, should we see more improvement as the scale improve?

Pranav Singla

executive
#24

We can expect that. The company is also working on mass capacity right now, like we are fully utilized right now. So it's very hard for me to produce more than this quantity given the capacity that I have right now. So one can say that time will tell how is the capacity expansion and the effective would play out.

Bhavin Pande

analyst
#25

Okay. And just last one thing. Could you just help us with the Q-on-Q change in steel prices?

Unknown Executive

executive
#26

Sorry, can you come again with the question?

Bhavin Pande

analyst
#27

Could you help us with the change in steel prices for the quarter, how has the HRC prices behaved?

Unknown Executive

executive
#28

So in the third quarter, as compared to the previous year, there was a good correction in the prices of HRC and also the secondary market had a recorrection in prices, and the difference between the primary and the secondary also had increased this particular quarter. But again, when -- as I mentioned with the earlier question on Mr. Amit that despite all this, we were able to push on more material because of our prices will go to market and perform -- give a better quantity performance this quarter. Having been said that, there was a slight correction in the last quarter for HR coils as compared to the Q2 of this year and certain destocking the channels as well. This quarter, quarter 4, we see an upward correction in the prices happening, people are wanting to push up more material, international prices have also corrected to the upward direction. So we believe in the coming months, there should be a good demand and -- of steel and especially ERW pipes.

Operator

operator
#29

[Operator Instructions] We'll take the next question from the line of CA Garvit Goyal from Nvest Analytics.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#30

Hello? Am I audible?

Operator

operator
#31

Yes, sir. Please proceed.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#32

Congrats for a good set of numbers. You mentioned like we are present in primary market and secondary market both, and that led to improvement in our volumes as compared to our peers. So can you please put some color or give some more understanding on that, like are we using [ Patra ] as a raw material?

Pranav Singla

executive
#33

Yes, [indiscernible] side, we use skelp as a raw material. So we are prevalent in both the markets, primary and secondary both. So in primary, we use HRC and secondary, we use skelp.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#34

And just...

Unknown Executive

executive
#35

Yes, To add to that, Garvitji, we are -- we have divided our plants in such a manner that our production gets divided in this manner. Our plants located at Raipur and Mandi work on secondary market basis. Our plants located in Derabassi and Mangaon work on primary market situations.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#36

Understood. And you mentioned like the gap between the primary steel and the secondary steel increased in this quarter. So that -- I think that helped you people to increase the volume, right, on the secondary market, right?

Unknown Executive

executive
#37

Yes, yes. So the gap keeps on changing on a monthly basis. And at certain points of time, it helps us push the quantity in either of the markets.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#38

And how the scenario will be in Q4? Like how do you look at it?

Unknown Executive

executive
#39

The gap is still prevalent, and we are anticipating that this -- after the correction -- upward correction in the steel prices of HR coils, this gap would still remain as it is -- as it was in the Q3 levels. So there should be a good demand in both the segments in the quarter 4.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#40

Okay. Got it. And you mentioned like on your CapEx size. So you are mentioning about DFT, you were mentioning about the GI backward integration. So I think all these things the entire new CapEx that you are targeting is towards the value-added price. Is that understanding correct?

Unknown Executive

executive
#41

To reach capacity of 1 million tons from current 6 lakh tons -- 2 lakh tons is towards value-added products of DFT, 2 lakh tons is of commercial black pipe production. Apart from that, from increasing capacity from 1 million tons to 2 million tons going from -- for backward integrations and forward integrations, those all capacities will be increasing in the value-added segment. So yes, our endeavor is to increase our majority of our capacities in the value-added segment to be able to achieve about 60% of our product profiles of value added.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#42

Understood. And if we look at...

Pranav Singla

executive
#43

Regarding the next expansion phase in the second million ton, the entire produce would be VAP. So that's something fits as well. The entire produce from the second expansion would be VAP with higher margins.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#44

Understood. And like your current network is around INR 100 crores, right, and capacity we are having around 6 lakhs. So can you help me to understand like this INR 1,300 crores is a huge amount, so how much of it is going to be exactly towards the incremental capacity? And how much is -- how much of it is going to be towards the working capital needs?

Unknown Executive

executive
#45

So our [ rough lock ] is not INR 100 crores right now. It's somewhere tune to the run of INR 140 crores. And if you talk about the gross going ahead, like the CapEx happening, so we would -- the machineries would be somewhere around INR 850 crores, INR 900 crores for the second expansion. And so the entire gross cost will stand around INR 1,200 crores or close to INR 1,200 crores. And, the company would be expecting a top line of INR 10,000 crores plus on that.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#46

Understood. And you are saying this will get -- it will be completed by the end of FY '27. Is that understanding correct?

Pranav Singla

executive
#47

Exactly, exactly. So giving a quarter-wise breakup would be very hard because one really doesn't get to know as and when the machine is ready and plan to arrive at the plant. But the broader picture is that everything shall be installed by FY '27 end.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#48

Understood. And how much time -- or how much time will it take to ramp up the things? Like is there any estimation of that?

Pranav Singla

executive
#49

So it should take around 2, 3 quarters to ramp up everything. And although the effective capacity production in the first quarter of FY '28 should be significant bump as well.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#50

Understood. And what is the overall volume target for FY '24?

Pranav Singla

executive
#51

For FY '24, we are well on track. So we -- as we mentioned last time in the con-call as well, we are expecting a 30% growth over the H1. So we are well on track for that.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#52

Understood. And in Q4, is it likely the realizations will improve because GI plant schedule maintenance is over and you are saying prices of the steel will also increase, so that will continue to increase in realization?

Pranav Singla

executive
#53

Yes. As soon as -- the -- top of the per ton, that might increase because our VAP share will be back on track above the levels. But it's really hard to tell about the average realization of a product because it's totally dependent on the HRC and prices of the raw material in the secondary market.

Operator

operator
#54

The next question is from the line of Vikash Singh from PhillipCapital.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#55

Am I audible?

Pranav Singla

executive
#56

Yes, Vikash.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#57

Sir, my first question pertains to when we will be having our 1 million ton capacity by FY '25, what percentage of our product would be in-house or backward integrated? And what percentage it would be at the 2 million ton by FY '27?

Pranav Singla

executive
#58

Can you please come back with your question? It wasn't clear that much.

Operator

operator
#59

Sir, Mr. Vikash Singh's line has been disconnected. In the meanwhile, we'll move on to the next question, which is from the line of Aditya Welekar from Axis Securities.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#60

Good to hear, Pranav, that we are expanding and you will be reaching 2 million ton capacity by FY '27. So just on that front, what will be our ballpark utilization for FY '27 assuming that we reach 2 million ton by FY '27?

Pranav Singla

executive
#61

So the effective utilization on the 2 million tons, it's very easy to give that year -- for FY '28 50% because that's very easy target to give. Obviously, we aim to increase it as soon as possible as the capacity is installed. But as you know, the production ticks up -- ramping up every quarter-on-quarter, so it's very easy to say that effective production of 2 million tons would be happen 50% in FY '28.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#62

50% in FY '28. Okay.

Pranav Singla

executive
#63

Exactly.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#64

Okay. Okay. And what is your target internally for EBITDA per ton by that time? So if you can just throw some -- a large number, means not a very precise number, but your [indiscernible] number EBITDA per ton by FY '27 and '28?

Pranav Singla

executive
#65

So we are expecting, as we closed last year around INR 5,000 EBITDA per ton. So our projection for FY '28 is a 50% bump over that for the FY '28 numbers. As a value-added product, [ CapEx ] would be expanding, the number should be tuning to the range of that.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#66

Understood. And on the CapEx scheduling, so when will our CapEx kick in to the max from which year, means for FY '25, it's understood that we will -- our CapEx is on schedule. But for the next phase of expansion of 2 million ton -- additional 1 million ton, what will be the CapEx profiling?

Pranav Singla

executive
#67

So it's already undergone process, which is happening to the fact that a part of machinery for the second million ton has also arrived in our Maharashtra unit. So the machine is coming as and when every quarter, every half yearly and the effective installation of everything should be happening, again, as I mentioned, by FY '27 end. So it's the mix of actual machinery, which is happening in the second capacity -- second million ton of capacity is also coming well in time before that. So it's a mix of everything and coming as and when by the quarter-on-quarter.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#68

So by end of FY '27, we can assume majority of our INR 1,300 crore CapEx will be over?

Pranav Singla

executive
#69

Majority -- the entire will be over.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#70

The entire will be over. Okay. Lastly, of our demand perspective, means, it's good that we are expanding, and we have a demand visibility, but we can see that sometimes traders push back and there is a destocking in the system. So from that perspective, do you see that our demand visibility is there, then we have an additional 1 million ton capacity. So effectively, when we have 2 million tons of capacity by FY '27, '28, at that time, because the competitors are also growing their capacity, so from that perspective, will there be any impact from demand side?

Unknown Executive

executive
#71

Yes. To answer that, I would simply say that we are not expanding our capacities in the time ranges or SKUs that we are currently producing. So currently, if we are producing a range from half existing tenancies, we are bringing in DFT structure, we are bringing in higher dia, higher sized, higher dia pipes. Then for supporting the forward/backward integration, we are bringing in the pre-galvanizing line and then venturing into CRM process as well. So our product -- we are increasing our SKUs, our product line, our product profile. So we don't have to bag only the present dealer network, we are able to expand the dealer network to the persons in the different market segment as well. So that is more of the motive behind the bond realization coming in the next 2 years. So if we were only expanding in the commercial black pipe production, that would have entailed that we would be having this such a problem, as you mentioned, of a demand being stagnant for our product. But since we are increasing SKUs, increasing product profile, we hardly see that happen.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#72

Understood, understood. So our market condition reports are happening parallelly whatever new SKUs we will produce that also [indiscernible] happen for that also with that?

Pranav Singla

executive
#73

And correcting myself again, so the capacity that -- the utilization I mentioned for '28, apologies, that was '27 itself. In '28, we shall be at the level 65% of the desired capacity and not 50%. The 50% target was for FY '27. And FY '28, we shall be operating at 65% levels minimum.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#74

'27, 60% and...

Pranav Singla

executive
#75

No, no. In '28, 65% level. And in FY '27, 50% level.

Operator

operator
#76

The next question is from the line of [ Onkar Ghugardare from Shree Investments ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#77

My question is regarding the EBITDA margin since you are mentioning that you will be reaching a capacity of 2 million tons in FY '27 and utilizing around 1 million ton by FY '27 and around 65% of 2 million by FY '28. So given the EBITDA margins, which are currently standing at around 7.5% and you are telling that EBITDA per ton would be around INR 7,500, so can we expect the margins to a double digits by then?

Pranav Singla

executive
#78

And honestly to give exact picture of the margins is very hard because the net average realization keeps varying every quarter and every year, as we have seen in the past kind as well. But it's very safe to say that definitely we will be entering double digits. But to give a exact number on the percentage is very hard. I can definitely give a close by number on EBITDA per ton, which I've mentioned, but giving exact percentage is very hard.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#79

Yes. But at least, can we start assuming that you will be doing around low double-digit margins -- EBITDA margins of 3, 4 years down the line?

Pranav Singla

executive
#80

Yes. Yes, we can that.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#81

Okay. And since in that 2 million capacity, what is your ballpark estimate of exports and imports since, I guess, export will be higher EBITDA margin business as compared to the domestic one?

Pranav Singla

executive
#82

No, we -- it's nothing that wherein in margins in exports and domestic today. But I think right now, we are operating at 10% of the total sales in export market. Going down the line, we are reaching -- when we're reaching capacity of 2 million tons and on back clocking the 10% volume would be somewhere around 5x from what we're doing right now. So it's very safe for me to say that we'll be in the 10% bracket for exports down the line as well.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#83

So you don't expect any significant jump from export as a percentage?

Pranav Singla

executive
#84

So it can be from 10% to 12% or 15%. But as you -- as I'm saying that the quantum in metric ton is increasing as well. So -- and the demand is itself against -- in the domestic market itself. So there is no stress about we're exporting that much, and I'd rather sell in the domestic market.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#85

Okay. The next question is on the -- whatever is currently going on is going right for the sector in terms of CapEx, government push and everything. So in the next 3, 4 years, since you are bullish on the sector as well as obviously on the company itself, what can go wrong with this?

Pranav Singla

executive
#86

So the bigger push that you're saying for 3, 4 years, we are actually bullish for the next 3, 4 decades. And if you talk about what can go wrong, probably the machinery getting delayed by a quarter, that's something that maybe answering all or more than that, there's nothing that I'm hearing right now.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#87

You don't foresee any risk to the business apart from the delays in getting machinery et cetera?

Pranav Singla

executive
#88

It's hard to -- it's wrong to say, but in a scenario of pandemic as well, the sales picked up. So it's really hard to say that what bad can happen and how -- what can happen.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#89

Okay. Just one clarification. So what kind of sales per ton -- I mean, totally ton, you would have been doing by FY '24, around 4 lakh tons?

Pranav Singla

executive
#90

So in this year itself, as I mentioned, we'll be clocking 50% growth over H1. So if you calculate that, we'll be closing somewhere around 3.4, 3.5 lakh tons.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#91

Okay. And this INR 1,310 crores of expansion, this is only after 1 million -- this is for 1 million to 2 million tons capacity expansion, right?

Pranav Singla

executive
#92

That's right.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#93

This is nothing to do with -- from 5 86 to 1 million?

Pranav Singla

executive
#94

That's right.

Operator

operator
#95

We'll take the next question from the line of Vikash Singh from PhillipCapital.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#96

Sorry, I got dropped out. Sir, my question is the same that currently, if I believe that we have roughly 1 60 kt of our own coil in 5 50 kt production, which is closer to 30% of the capacity. How this metrics is changing at a 1 million ton and 2 million ton of your capacity?

Pranav Singla

executive
#97

Vikash, going down the line, we won't be expanding in the coil segment, and this will remain to this particular capacity itself. Whatever expansions that we're doing in the company is basically happening in HRC. Yes, there is a part of it which is happening in the secondary market as well, but the majority of it is happening in HRC, so that it won't really help us expanding anything in this segment as our major [indiscernible] would be HRC and not [ scale ] that we make at the Raipur facility.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#98

Okay. So just related to this, when we're talking about the mega capacity and backward integration into that, we would be putting an HRC mill in there? So basically, we would be [indiscernible] subsuming the margins of HRC rollout also in our product mix?

Pranav Singla

executive
#99

No, we won't be engaging in any of those activities. We won't be entering the segment of making HRC.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#100

What kind of backward integration then you were talking about in that 1 million tonne mega plant? You said that there would be a backward integration also. So if you could just give us a little bit...

Pranav Singla

executive
#101

Yes. We're doing some forward/backward integrations, but forward/backward integrations we meant in the product profile that will be increased. Currently, what I'm making is really 2 products, the commercial black pipe and the value-added galvanized pipe. By doing the backward integration of making a color -- sorry, pre-coated coil, I would be adding another SKU of pre-galvanized pipes by segment. The pre-galvanized coil can be used for seat manufacturing. So yes, so -- and certain other specialty products. So this is the backward and forward integrations that we're talking about.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#102

Understood, sir. And sir, just one last thing. I don't know if any previous participant has asked. So our capacity, if you look at the industry capacity, it might go up by 3, 3.5 million tonnes in the next 2 to 3 years. Do you expect the demand to catch up in the same pace or there would be some [ dull ] period which we experienced -- which most of the people would experience? And how do you foresee the new product that 1 million tonne, which you are expanding? As of now given the market situation, what is the range of the products which we are going to introduce the EBITDA per tonne in those range of products?

Pranav Singla

executive
#103

So to answer your thing in one simple way, so right now, my sales mix is as such in which the government share is only 20%. And if I just sell to the government itself right now as well, I don't have enough capacity. Obviously, I have maintained my ecosystem in such a way that I have to serve the domestic market as well, export market as well and the government as well, so I have a mix of everything, and I maintain that -- and I want to maintain that in the future as well. But to answer your question in a simple way, like even if I just sell to the government as well, my capacity would be fully utilized. So the market is that strong and that bullish. And if you talk about some reforms that are happening everywhere in Maharashtra, especially the scaffoldings that are used for construction activities and right now, they have the black pipes going down the line, the government, as we hear, is introducing to install galvanized pipes as they increase the life of the pipe and anything that is happening in warehousing is just galvanized pipes itself as well and bigger [ DFT ] structures, which segment we are entering and more than expanding the current products, we are expanding our SKUs. So we would be becoming a one-stop solution. Right now, the edge that we get, which shows in our volumes, is that we're prevalent in both primary and secondary market, both of them. So same dealer is the same customer for both the products. And when will -- when I'll have my primary material, secondary material plus the supplement SKU that I'm adding, I'll become a further one-stop solution for all the products. So all these things give us confidence in expanding and plus the -- even the export market has opted for a [ China-less ] model. So again, that -- all those things just add up and give us boost to add capacity.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#104

Understood. And present margin for those future products which you wanted to increase, what is the ballpark range?

Pranav Singla

executive
#105

Can you come up again?

Vikash Singh

analyst
#106

So the galvanized products which you are going to use, including sheet and color-coated sheet, what could be the present EBITDA per tonne in those products basically? Just wanted to understand the shift in the EBITDA per tonne, which can happen because of these production.

Pranav Singla

executive
#107

So there's a tune of 9,000 to 11,000 and -- what we see right now, the margin profile on those items.

Operator

operator
#108

We'll take the next question from the line of [Indiscernible] from RA Investments.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#109

Can you hear me?

Operator

operator
#110

Yes, ma'am, please proceed.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#111

I, first, wanted to ask, what's the capacity utilization be for the quarter?

Pranav Singla

executive
#112

So I think net -- we are working on capacity utilization now of 65%, and that's the math that one can perform in this industry.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#113

All right. And I also wanted to know about the steel price. I think there was a margin pressure because of the volatility in it. So we see the stability in that for now?

Pranav Singla

executive
#114

Yes, in this quarter, we are expecting the steel price to be stable. And in fact, they are on our [ first ] trajectory. So they're more of a stable and going upwards.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#115

Okay. And the last question is that we were given a target that should be like a 30% volume growth in the [ second ] half of the financial year. So are we in line with that?

Pranav Singla

executive
#116

Performance for this quarter speaks for itself, and we are well in line for that.

Operator

operator
#117

We'll take the next question from the line of Vikas Mistry from Moonshot Ventures.

Vikas Mistry

analyst
#118

Sir, what gives you so much confidence that you are increasing your capacity by 4x and you think that you will be utilizing 65% of that capacity and even EBITDA margins should be as high as [ 7,500 ]? This is in the context that every industry player is increasing the capacity by quite a much.

Pranav Singla

executive
#119

Vikas, I think I just answered this question -- one previous question by Vikash. But to answer your question about EBITDA per tonne, as I'm adding my [ QP ] products in [ second ] million tonnes, which is just VAP of 11,000, 12,000 range. And if you do simple math of the entire VAP product of that around 11,000 and the current levels of 5,000, the levels come much higher than [ 7,500 ], but still I'm maintaining a low ballmark figure of INR [ 7,500 ] per, EBITDA, tonne.

Vikas Mistry

analyst
#120

Okay. Sir, another question is the time [ perplex ] that you announced a INR 1,300 crores CapEx 3 years before that and we are already having land with us. So we think that capacity for DFT lines can be put in 18 to 20 months. So why we are so early for the CapEx?

Pranav Singla

executive
#121

If you can come back -- can you repeat your question? It was not clear to me.

Vikas Mistry

analyst
#122

Sir, actually, we already have increased our capacity from 6 million tonnes to -- 6,000 million -- 6,000 to 1 million tonnes. But now we announced a CapEx to 1 million to 2 million tonnes. But DFT lines does not take more than 20 months to be deployed, and we already have land for that capacity expansion. So why we are so early in raising this INR [ 1,300 ] crores?

Pranav Singla

executive
#123

I'm still not getting your question, but I'll answer it some way that so basically from 1 million tonnes to -- from 2 lakh tonnes of capacity to reach the capacity of 1 million tonnes, we took about 4 years some together. So we'll be doing this record-breaking expansion of 1 million tonnes in 2 years. And out of this, DFT would be coming this quarter itself as well and next year, similarly this time as well, the second leg of DFT. And there's not much DFT coming in the second part of the expansion. But yes, everything isn't well in line for that. There is more -- there are a lot more products than DFT which is coming [ second ] million tonnes.

Unknown Executive

executive
#124

I think, Vikas, you are mistaken. You mistook that capacity from 1 million tons to 2 million tons will be solely DFT. That is not going to be DFT. That is going to be -- as what we said, certain forward/backward integrations for enhancing the current productivity. And a part of it, we'll be using DFT, but the entirety of that will not be DFT. You're right to say that DFT can be deployed in 18 going months. That's why by the end of this quarter, we'll be starting to get a first DFT line and that will be up and running by the end of first quarter of next year. So that's the target of that particular machinery.

Vikas Mistry

analyst
#125

Okay. Okay. My last question is working capital cycle. If we are entering into value-added products, then by FY '27, how much we could cash that capital cycle?

Pranav Singla

executive
#126

So if you see the trend of the company, so basically, we've been expanding the dealer network and which will be the [ debtor ] days just to the tune of 7 to 8 days. Earlier when the company was JTL, was just 1 plant in Derabassi, which was fully serving the government sector, where the [ debtor ] days was a little higher. But now as a mix of all 4 plants, we are a majority of producing into the dealer network more than 50%. Our [ debtor ] days net average has come down significantly. So if you see the trend, we've already come down from 75 days of working capital to around 58, 56 already in the half yearly. And when you go down the line -- and this is without trade financings. And when you go down the line when I'm expanding by more network in the dealer network, I expect my working capital days to come down to the tune of 40 days by the end of next financial year and subsequently reducing them as and when -- as the year proceeds.

Vikas Mistry

analyst
#127

That's great to hear. My last question is that what are the SKUs we are adding in value-added products, whether size of that will be how much and whether they are rectangular or hollow section tubes? And can you explain a bit on that?

Pranav Singla

executive
#128

So I'm already in rectangular, hollow section and [indiscernible] that you mentioned. The products that I'm entering is color-coated segment, and I'll be adding pre-galvanized lines and some [ HRC ] process as well. So the -- there will be ample number of SKUs. A detailed list of SKUs shall be out very soon. But to the tune of -- the company shall be having SKUs to the tune of [ 4,000 ] post the entire expansion of FY '27.

Vikas Mistry

analyst
#129

Congrats for that heavy -- massive CapEx announcement.

Pranav Singla

executive
#130

Thank you.

Operator

operator
#131

We'll take the next question from the line of Mahek Talati from YellowJersey Investment Advisors.

Mahek Talati

analyst
#132

Congratulations on the good set of numbers. So a couple of questions. So if we see our EBITDA per tonne trajectory, it has been on a downside for the last 2 to 3 quarters. And then new capacity which we are heading of the new 4 lakh tonnes, around 2 lakh tonnes is coming in the black pipe, which is a commodity segment. So how will this help in further improvement of EBITDA per tonne?

Pranav Singla

executive
#133

So out of the 4 lakh tonnes of capacity that we're adding this year and next year for the pipe itself, so out of that, 2 lakh tonnes is DFT. So DFT is although black in nature, but commands EBITDA per tonne of around 9,000 levels. So that product -- produce is solely included in VAP. And to answer your question about my trajectory of EBITDA per tonne going down every quarter, so if you look at the 9-month picture, as I mentioned earlier as well, it's well in line. Like last year, 9 months, my EBITDA per tonne was INR 4,700. And this year, it's INR 4,500. So as expanding and reaching my produce of black pipes in the domestic market itself as well and grabbing the market share, so this much of INR 200 fluctuation is something the company can tolerate as well for a quarter -- like for a growth period. The company's aim to increase EBITDA per tone well impact is well intact as we -- whatever we are adding in the future is VAP. So INR 200 up/down quarter doesn't really effect.

Mahek Talati

analyst
#134

Understood. And is galvanized pipe part of value-added or a commodity product?

Pranav Singla

executive
#135

The value-added product includes galvanized pipes. Anything above which is commanding EBITDA per tonne of around INR 7,000, INR 8,000-plus is the product which I included in my VAP [ kitty ]. That's the difference. I don't include any product, which is higher than EBITDA of INR 5,000 -- like any product, which is higher than INR 5,000, I have [ galvanized ] the figure to INR 7,500. That's where I included the products in VAP.

Mahek Talati

analyst
#136

Okay. And if you could provide a broad range of EBITDA per tone for our commodity as well as VAP -- for our commodity and VAP products currently, like for the 9 months FY '24? Broader range, like where are we in terms of EBITDA per tonne?

Pranav Singla

executive
#137

For the black pipe, EBITDA per tonne is around INR 2,000, INR 2,500 range. And for the galvanized pipe, which is the VAP segment, it's around INR 7,500 range. So the [ blended ] stands around INR 4,500, INR 4,600.

Operator

operator
#138

[Operator Instructions] We'll take the next question from the line of Aniruddha Kekatpure from JM Financial.

Aniruddha Kekatpure

analyst
#139

Pranav and Dhruv, congratulations on a good set of numbers. Can you just kind of help in terms of for '26 and '27, how will this capacity move from -- tentatively from 1 million to 2 million? And what will be the kind of CapEx which will be required for '26, '27?

Pranav Singla

executive
#140

Aniruddha, to answer your question, so it's very hard for us to tell in which quarter, which particular machinery would be coming...

Aniruddha Kekatpure

analyst
#141

No, no, on an annual basis.

Pranav Singla

executive
#142

Yes. So on an annual basis, by FY '25, we should be clocking -- we should be reaching the capacity of 1 million tonnes plus because now that we have announced secondary as well. So earlier, the plan was the company shall be using around INR 250 crores to INR 300 crores by FY '25 for the CapEx. But now, the things have changed and the scenario has changed, and the company should be having the capacity of tune around 1 million plus, 2 lakh tons, 3 lakh tons. And the entire CapEx for FY '26 -- till FY '26 should be around INR 450 crores, INR 500 crores. And the subsequent CapEx of around INR 650 crores to [indiscernible] crores will be happening in -- by FY '27.

Aniruddha Kekatpure

analyst
#143

Okay. And how -- by '26, what will be the capacity from 1 million to -- where should it reach? What are the plans?

Pranav Singla

executive
#144

So in FY '26, the capacity should be reaching around 1.4, 1.3 lakh tonnes. And like it's again, a very hard question for me to answer because the machinery can come well and before as well because it's already been ordered and orders are being placed as well. So we're expecting the machinery should come early, but I'm just giving you a ballpark figure of 1.4 lakh tonnes.

Aniruddha Kekatpure

analyst
#145

So assuming it's 1.3 by '26, so by '27 from 1.3, it will move to 2?

Pranav Singla

executive
#146

Exactly. Because it's the very [ phased ] by expansion which is happening. So I'm expected the machinery should be reaching much before than that. But to give you a ballpark figure, 1.4 is the easy number to say that I'll be having in FY '26.

Aniruddha Kekatpure

analyst
#147

Okay. And where -- largely, which brand? Will it -- everything will be at Mangaon?

Pranav Singla

executive
#148

Yes, everything will be happening at Mangaon. Only the expansion from this particular CapEx which is going on for reaching a capacity of 1 million tonne, 2 lakh tonnes is going in Raipur. Other than that, my entire capacity addition is happening in Mangaon. So solely, Mangaon would be at a capacity of 1.4 million tonnes down the line.

Aniruddha Kekatpure

analyst
#149

Got it. So 1.4 million tonnes will be at Mangaon and the rest -- okay.

Pranav Singla

executive
#150

The benefit that I get from Mangaon is that I'm just next to [indiscernible], which is my main raw material supplier. So anything close to my raw material suppliers gives a lot of benefit. Also, I'm in close proximately to [indiscernible] port, from where I can add time for better pricing at port for all the dealers as well, my coil, for exporting, for -- and same can be done for the export as well.

Aniruddha Kekatpure

analyst
#151

And what's the capacity at Raipur, if 1.4 will be at Mangaon then?

Pranav Singla

executive
#152

Raipur capacity would be total of 3 lakh tonnes down the line. This is only for pipes. Apart from that, obviously, we have a capacity for coils as well over there.

Operator

operator
#153

The next question is from the line of Prathamesh Dhiwar from Tiger Assets.

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#154

Am I audible?

Operator

operator
#155

Yes, sir. Please proceed.

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#156

Sir, just wanted to know that you have given guidance of INR 7,500 EBITDA per tonne. At what time this -- you will achieve this INR 7,500?

Pranav Singla

executive
#157

Can you please come up again?

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#158

You have -- I think you have given guidance of INR 7,500 EBITDA per tonne. So I just wanted to know, by when you're going to reach this EBITDA per tonne?

Pranav Singla

executive
#159

So in FY '28, I should be crossing INR 7,000 mark. And subsequently, I should be reaching INR 7,500 mark by the later quarters of FY '28 itself. So to begin the year of FY '28, I should be in this range. But I shall be definitely ending my year with this range of INR 7,500.

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#160

Okay. Okay. Now I just wanted to know about the industry. What's the current demand? Like how many million tonnes are needed for the year?

Pranav Singla

executive
#161

So the ERW pipe segment itself is around 13 million tonnes, 14 million tonnes and -- which is growing at a rapid rate of around 12%, 13% every year. So that's the market demand we can talk about. And other than that, you know how the government is pushing its capital towards Jal Jeevan Mission and infra projects and railway stations and airports. So all these are our target customers and where our pipes will be used. So this is at 2027 as India is a growing economy. So it's very -- we are very glad to be part of the growing economy story and serving the demand as well.

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#162

Okay. I think you have told 13 million to 14 million, right?

Pranav Singla

executive
#163

Sorry?

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#164

Industry, you have told 13 million to 14 million, right, for the year?

Pranav Singla

executive
#165

Yes. It's -- which is growing -- so 14 million was previous year and -- which is growing at a rate of 12%, 13% every year.

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#166

Okay. Okay. And sir, where we stand at the market share? How much market share do we have currently? And going forward, how much it will be?

Pranav Singla

executive
#167

So we are close to around 9% market share right now. And going down the line, we should be capturing more than 20% market share.

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#168

20% -- by when, sir, are you looking for the 20%?

Pranav Singla

executive
#169

So we should be doubling up our market share as we double our capacity, which will happen in the year or 2 years. And after that, it's -- by FY '25, we should be around 15%, 16%. And by FY '28, we should be around 25% market share.

Prathamesh Dhiwar

analyst
#170

Okay. Okay. Got it. And sir, for coming quarter, any guidance for the realization per tonne?

Pranav Singla

executive
#171

Again, I can give a guidance for my sales tonnage, which would be similar to what I clocked this quarter itself. But average realization is totally dependant on prices. I really can't comment on that.

Operator

operator
#172

The next question is from the line of Arpit Shah from Stallion Asset Management.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#173

Hello?

Operator

operator
#174

Sir, please proceed. yes.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#175

Just wanted to understand whether the Raipur facility is a primary facility or a secondary facility? Or is it a mix of both?

Pranav Singla

executive
#176

So all the facilities are fungible. They can either be primary or secondary, both. But to talk about the Raipur facility, as we are one step backward integrated over there, we procure billets and roll our own narrowed coils over there. So it is a secondary facility.

Unknown Executive

executive
#177

Currently, it is a secondary facility. But going forward, where you are increasing our capacities at Raipur plant, we'll be bringing in the DFT at the Raipur plant as well. So -- and with the onset of DFT and certain higher [ tier ] pipes, so we'll be producing those sections in a primary produce market as well.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#178

Got it. Can you help me with volume at Raipur facility this quarter?

Unknown Executive

executive
#179

This quarter...

Pranav Singla

executive
#180

Can you come up again?

Arpit Shah

analyst
#181

The Raipur facility volumes this quarter?

Unknown Executive

executive
#182

I'll have to check the exact number, but basically at the tune of 65%. It's the standard across all the 4 plants.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#183

So that number we've got 25,000 tonnes this quarter? Or how would that number look like?

Unknown Executive

executive
#184

No, that would be the tune of 15,000 to 18,000 tonns.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#185

15,000 to 18,000 tonnes. Okay. Got it. And I just wanted to understand, since we have about 600,000 tonnes of capacity and we are almost speaking at, let's say, 100,000 capacity on a quarterly basis, so the whole DFT change that peak capacity utilization from -- let's say, from 65% to 80%?

Pranav Singla

executive
#186

We should be clocking from [ 65% to 75% ]. That's the math one can do. But I'd rather like to give a target of 65% because in [ duct steel ] as well, we are well in line to double the volume from 4x the volume of what we're doing right now.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#187

Got it. And do you -- by any chance, do you have the mix of the primary and the secondary you did this quarter?

Pranav Singla

executive
#188

In this, the secondary would be slightly higher than primary.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#189

But what Y-o-Y volumes for, let's say, primary and secondary -- let's say primary -- what about -- would primary be flat or would primary also see some growth Y-o-Y basis?

Pranav Singla

executive
#190

Can you just come back again? I don't understand it clear.

Arpit Shah

analyst
#191

Yes. Would primary has growth on a Y-o-Y basis?

Pranav Singla

executive
#192

Yes, the primary was more stagnant on Y-o-Y and the increase happened majorly in the secondary.

Operator

operator
#193

We'll take the next question from the line of Harsh Vasa from SBI Capital Securities.

Harsh Vasa

analyst
#194

Am I audible?

Pranav Singla

executive
#195

Yes.

Operator

operator
#196

Yes, sir.

Harsh Vasa

analyst
#197

Sir, my first question was that like we have been guided for 40% of value-added products for FY '24. But like as of now 9 months, we've reached at 30%. So what kind of value-added product sales volume do we expect for Q4, right? Will it be equal to commercial land value-added, will be in the range of 50 -- so 50% or something?

Pranav Singla

executive
#198

And so we should be reaching the previous VAP maximum. So our highest VAP products, this was around 49,000 mark, I think, in quarter 2 or I think I quarter 1, I'm not really sure, but we should be crossing that figure in this quarter. That's what the company's goal is as the maintenance is also over now. And if we reach that, we should be somewhere in the range of 35%, 36% of the total VAP sales. Not exactly 40%, but yes, towards 30%, 40%, around 36%, 35%.

Harsh Vasa

analyst
#199

Okay. Okay. And if I could just squeeze in one more question. Actually, I just [ found ] out on CapEx, what was the CapEx which you had guided for FY '25, '26 and '27?

Unknown Executive

executive
#200

So the CapEx for those years, so it's going to happen in the yearly phased manner, quarterly based manner. So the exact picture is very difficult to say. But to answer your question, by FY '27, everything should be installed with a gross block of around INR [ 1,200 ] crores. And on that, we should be clocking a top line of INR 10,000 crores.

Operator

operator
#201

We'll take the next question from the line of Darshil Pandya from Finterest Capital.

Darshil Pandya

analyst
#202

My question is already answered.

Operator

operator
#203

We'll take the next question from the line of Omkar [ Kookardaray ] from Shree Investments.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#204

So this INR 10,000 crore top line you are saying is after considering the 65% of 2 million tonnes, right?

Unknown Executive

executive
#205

Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#206

Okay. Another thing is that what kind of ROCE and ROE you will be targeting since you are currently doing upwards of 30%, what kind of targets you have after 3, 4 years after assuming all this capacity expansion?

Pranav Singla

executive
#207

So exact calculations are not out because it's really hard for me to pinpoint as and when the capacity is added every quarter. But what brief calculations that we have done right now, so all of them should be to the tune of 27% to 32%.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#208

Yes. So somewhere in the 30% kind of range you're expecting, right?

Pranav Singla

executive
#209

Exactly, exactly, exactly.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#210

Which is currently what it is, right? 30%?

Pranav Singla

executive
#211

Exactly, exactly.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#212

Okay. Another question is that it would b interesting to know from the promoters, so that the conversion of warrants you are target -- you are doing at around INR 2.70 per share, and by the time you announced, the share price was around 13%, 14% less. So I mean what gives promoter the confidence to pump more money at a higher valuation?

Pranav Singla

executive
#213

So actually to answer your question, it was much higher than it was 13%. The floor price that was at that time was INR [ 200 ]. But the promoters are looking at the [ threefold ] valuation of the company and -- which seemingly shows, and we put the money on that. So that's what the promoters are confident about. And that's why the INR 60 premium was happily given by the promoters.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#214

Okay. So the promoters basically expect the valuation of company at that time, they thought that it was cheaper and the valuation should have been higher, right?

Pranav Singla

executive
#215

No, it's forward -- I put the money as a forward valuation, not at the current valuation. It's the forward valuation, calculation around that and put money according to that.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#216

Okay. Okay. All right. And just one thing is that what kind of equity dilution that -- 1 million to 2 million capacity will happen at that time, what kind of equity dilution will take this?

Pranav Singla

executive
#217

I'll have to see that. I haven't really calculated those things.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#218

Okay. All right. Any ballpark number you have?

Pranav Singla

executive
#219

I anything -- I think there is around INR 17 crores [ shares ] of the company right now. And going down the line, INR 3 crores, INR 4 cores shares have been added. So I really don't know how this calculates, myself. So I'll probably ask my team to do it calculate and probably revert to you.

Operator

operator
#220

The next question is from the line of Rahil Shah from Crown Capital.

Rahil Shah

analyst
#221

Hello? Hello? Am I audible?

Operator

operator
#222

Yes, sir. Please proceed.

Rahil Shah

analyst
#223

Is it -- sir, you mentioned you will be functioning at the new capacity of 1 million tonnes in FY '25? Or you'll be reaching at that capacity at some point in FY '25? Just for clarification.

Pranav Singla

executive
#224

I'll be reaching the capacity marked by FY '25. And although the second expansion is also undergoing and happening at the same time as well, so the capacity would be standing maybe at -- a little slightly higher than that, but the volume should be well in line of around 60% to 1.2 million tonnes.

Rahil Shah

analyst
#225

So that is end of FY '25 or during like the course of FY '25?

Pranav Singla

executive
#226

During, during, during.

Rahil Shah

analyst
#227

During. Okay. And it's fair to say you'll be...

Pranav Singla

executive
#228

So I'll be actually doing a 35% growth in the next year itself as well, if you look at the...

Rahil Shah

analyst
#229

Yes, that's what I was getting at. Okay. And any outlook on the margins as well? Will it again stay in the same region or you see some expansion there?

Pranav Singla

executive
#230

As DFT is coming and fully VAP, so my margins shall be expanding.

Rahil Shah

analyst
#231

Any -- like any general number one can...

Pranav Singla

executive
#232

Very hard for me to say a number right now. Once the DFT is in a place and I see how it's working, I'll be in a better picture to give the exact number.

Rahil Shah

analyst
#233

But surely an increment over there?

Pranav Singla

executive
#234

Surely an increment. We should expect, to be honest, 15% increment. 1-5% increment. 1-5%.

Operator

operator
#235

The next question is from the line of CA Garvit Goyal from Nvest Analytics.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#236

Just to get the visibility on revenue, can you share any ballpark number for FY '25 and FY '26 for top line?

Pranav Singla

executive
#237

I can tell you for the volumes top line. Again, it's not in my hand, it's totally in HRC's relation. So -- but the volumes would be again 35%, 40% growth in FY '25.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#238

Okay. And for FY '26, any visibility?

Pranav Singla

executive
#239

Again, a 35%, 40% growth.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#240

Okay. For next 2 to 3 years, we are going to witness a decent growth.

Pranav Singla

executive
#241

No. In FY ''28, I'll grow to the tune of 40%, 45%.

Operator

operator
#242

The next question is from the line of Sumit Joshi, an individual Investor.

Sumit Joshi

attendee
#243

Can you hear me?

Operator

operator
#244

Yes, sir. Please proceed.

Sumit Joshi

attendee
#245

First of all, congratulations to the management for the great set of numbers. And my question is, are we working in the research and development, creating any new product portfolio for our future growth in upcoming 3 to 4 years?

Pranav Singla

executive
#246

So I think I've been repeating this several times in the call that my entire expansion what I'm doing is just expanding our product. I'm not expanding my current product, I'm expanding my SKUs of products. So from 1,000 SKUs, I'll be reaching 4,000 SKUs by FY '28. So the whole scenario was just expanding products.

Operator

operator
#247

The next question is from the line of Omkar [ Kookardaray ] from Shree Investments.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#248

Just wanted to confirm whether from 1 million to 2 million capacity expansion in that entire thing will be value-added product, which will be around INR 11,000 to INR 12,000, right?

Pranav Singla

executive
#249

INR 9,000 to INR 11,000.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#250

Okay, INR 9,000 to INR 11,000. Entire thing will be value-added products?

Pranav Singla

executive
#251

Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#252

Okay. And from current FY '24, 3.3 to 3.4 million tonnes, so you will be doing in the next 4 years by FY '28, that means around upwards of 13 lakh tonnes, right? So that is around 4x the current FY '24, right?

Pranav Singla

executive
#253

Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#254

So this is bare minimum 65% capacity utilization you are talking about or like you can go higher also?

Pranav Singla

executive
#255

Yes, it's safe number to say -- for me to say.

Operator

operator
#256

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for the closing remarks. Over to you, sir.

Pranav Singla

executive
#257

Thanks, Nuvama. Thanks, everybody, for coming in and joining us for the conference call of the company for quarter 3. I would like to express my sincere appreciation to all the shareholders, employees, customers and partners. Your trust and dedication have been instrumental in our journey so far, and we're excited to embark on the road ahead together. Thank you, everybody.

Operator

operator
#258

Thank you, members of the management. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Nuvama Institutional Equities, that concludes this conference. We thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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