Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 6, 2020

National Stock Exchange of India IN Consumer Staples Food Products earnings 57 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Kaveri Seed Company Limited Q3 and 9 Months FY '20 Earnings Conference call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Rishab Barar from CDR India. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Rishab Barar;Citigate Dewe Rogerson - India;Executive

attendee
#2

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on Kaveri Seed Company Limited's Conference Call. We are joined today by Mr. Mithun Chand, the Executive Director. Before we get started, I would like to point out that certain statements made or discussed on the conference call today may be forward-looking in nature and must be viewed in conjunction with the risks we face. The company does not undertake to update them. A statement in this regard is available for reference in the presentation. We will begin the call with opening remarks from Mr. Mithun Chand, who will share updates on the market environment and take you through the strategic imperatives of the company. He will also share his thoughts on the performance of the company during the review period. We will then have the forum open for an interactive question-and-answer session. Now I would like to invite Mr. Mithun Chand to share his views. Over to you, sir.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#3

Good day. Thanks, Rishab. Good day, everyone, and a very warm welcome to all of you. The first 9 months I have seen a good performance and strong revenue growth by about almost 15%. And on a quarter 3 financial year '20, the growth was 46.53%. The operating EBITDA margins, excluding other income, stood at 6.82% in quarter 3 '20 versus 0.18% in quarter 3 '19. Operating EBITDA growth for 9 months has also been noticeable and stands at 18.8%. On a consolidated basis, revenue has grown 43.91% in quarter 3 financial year '20 and 14.70% in 9 months '20. Operating EBITDA margin stands at 8.5% compared to a loss in quarter 3 previously. In 9 months for the present year, operating consolidated EBITDA growth stood at 22.1%. Margins were 30.6% for 9 months of '20 compared to 28.78% compared to the previous year 9 months of '19. Coming to the crops, we have witnessed the increase in acreages of cotton over last year. All other crops, including maize, rice, jowar and bajras have shown some increase in acreages. A little details in our main crops of cotton and maize. Overall, the cotton market has remained stable. The rabi, maize area has gone up in some states like Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Bihar, Maharashtra and Karnataka. This is mainly due to good rains and better commodity prices. Where our crop-wise performance is concerned, cotton volumes increased by about 18% in the first 9 months, contribution of new products went up from 14% to 22% of volume. Money Maker was up across the market this year. Two new cotton hybrids are under demonstrations with farmers. Performance of Money Maker was appreciated by farmers across markets. Though maize volume is down by 3% in the first 9 months, the revenue was up 12%, which was due to product mix and price gain. Noncotton business has grown significantly by about 16%. It has been driven by volume growth in new hybrids and also price appreciation in three products. Hybrid rice volumes increased by 57% in the first 9 months. Introduction of new hybrid paddy 468 has helped translate to strong growth. In selection rice, there has been consistent performance across geographies. In Q3 financial year '20, revenue stood at INR 98.44 crores, as against INR 67.18 crores in quarter 3 '19, a growth of 46.53%. We had a strong operational performance. The operating EBITDA margins stood at 6.82% in financial year '20 versus 0.18% in financial year '19. The other income component was low compared to previous corresponding quarters. In quarter 3 financial year '20, the EBITDA, including other income, stood at INR 14.43 crores as against INR 10.71 crores in quarter 3 '19. In quarter 3 '19, PAT was at INR 3.64 crores. In quarter 3 financial year '20, PAT was at INR 6.04 crores. In 9 months financial year '20, revenue stood at INR 931.33 crores as against INR 724.26 crores in the 9 months corresponding to previous year, a growth of 14.78%. The other income component was lower compared to previous 9 months. In 9 months '20, the EBITDA, including other income, stood at INR 266.32 crores as against INR 251.99 crores in 9 months financial year '19. In 9 months financial year '19, PAT was at INR 226.16 crores. In 9 months financial year '20, PAT stood at INR 241.91 crores. The balance sheet continues to remain strong. Total cash on books as on December 31, 2019, is INR 413 crores and as against INR 462 crores as on March 31, 2019, and INR 389 crores as on December 31, 2018. We are happy with the way things are moving forward. We feel that commodity prices will continue to remain higher now, keeping the farmer sentiment happy. We would like to add that our continuous focus on research, we continue to innovate and develop new products for crops. Our outlook for vegetables like hybrid tomato, hot pepper, bitter gourd are positive. On that note, I conclude my opening remarks. We would be happy to give our perspective on any questions that you may have. I would request the operator on this call to open question-and-answer session. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] We take the first question from the line of Viraj Kacharia from Securities Investment Management.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#5

Congratulations for a good set of numbers. Hello?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#6

Yes. Go on.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#7

Just had a couple of...

Operator

operator
#8

Sir, this is the operator, I'm sorry to interrupt. Requesting you to please speak a bit louder, sir. Your audio is not very audible.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#9

Yes. Is it better now?

Operator

operator
#10

Yes. Please go ahead.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#11

Yes. So basically, I had a couple of questions on rice and maize. Starting with maize, just trying to get some idea of how the industry would have grown, say, in Q3 or that's in first 9 months, both in terms of the volume and price, if you can provide some color on that? And second, where is the growth coming for the industry? Is it largely in our core markets? Because we have been introducing new products for quite some time. And even in the first 9 months, we have seen a good acreage increase in our core markets, but somehow the volume performance for us has been quite muted. So just trying to understand where is the difference?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#12

So if you take -- you have asked for the 2 crops, basically rice and maize. If you take rice, as an industry, it has gone up by 7%, 8% in terms of the hybrid rice market, and not in terms of the acreages, but in terms of hybrid rice market, it has gone up by 7%, 8%. Whereas, as a company, Kaveri, we have grown by more than 65% in hybrid rice. So that's a very good growth. We have increased our market share. Basically, the hybrids are performing well. And going forward, also, we have introduced 2 more hybrids in 2 more segments, which is in demonstration level, and we are pretty confident that beating more than the market -- more than the growth of the industry is quite possible with us with the pipeline in hybrids and present set of hybrids. Coming back to maize, yes, the maize acreages has increased this year, basically in the second half when compared to the first half as the monsoon was good and then the rabi acreages have come up very well. Even though it looks like we are down by 3% in terms of the volumes, but in fact, we have reduced our government business. Compared to previous year, we had reduced our government business by more than 60%. I mean to say the government businesses is like we participate in some tenders, which is a onetime fee. And this time, we have not participated cautiously because we were not having those type of inventories to participate in it. So if you take the normal trade market in the areas where we operate leaving the government business but we have increased our market shares. And most importantly, we have increased our market shares in areas like Maharashtra, Bihar, parts of U.P. and the other part where we are not strong. That's the reason you see the increase in the -- you'll see a change in the product mix. And the other important point to notice is that, like, we have increased our revenue by 12%, even we are down by 3%. That's where we have seen the entire margin shifts.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#13

So for maize. Just 2 follow-ups. For maize, is the effect of government business completely out now? Or do you still have some government business? And how big is the government tender market typically?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#14

No. It's a big market, but that all depends on the company whether to participate in it or not. Because that's not a continuous business, that's a onetime business. Sometimes you get a couple of years or 3 years based on your terms and your offerings, but this time, we thought that we'll not go. And it's a low-margin business, actually, when compared to the local market. And we'll -- as a company, we take a call in the season based on our inventory, based on the size.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#15

Okay. How would the industry would have grown in maize, into the price...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#16

Industry should have been -- overall, the acreages -- by seeing the acreages and the industry, it should have gone between 8% to 10%.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#17

Overall, value terms?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#18

Not value terms, in terms of the volumes. Value that -- we don't track value assets, we track volume because most of them -- it is a mix of those 2 things.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#19

Okay. And on rice, you said that we have got a good traction for the new launch, the new hybrid variety we launched. So how does it differentiate the value proposition versus existing offerings vis-à-vis ours or other market offerings? And which target states where we're kind of gaining this traction?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#20

So in terms of the rice, basically, when you have been the -- hybrid is gaining its market shares. It clearly shows that we are ahead of the existing hybrids, basically they measure through yeast. So we have one of the best-performing hybrids there. That's the reason we're increasing market shares. I mean if you take the entire hybrid market, basically, the hybrid market is in there with U.P., Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh. These are the markets where most of hybrid markets are -- hybrid rice markets are concentrated. And we are having the market shares in those areas. Even though we are selling in all of the parts, but these are the major areas which contributed to majority of the hybrid rice markets.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#21

Okay. So has there been any further progress in terms of new launches in tapping the Punjab or Haryana market, either by us or any other players in the industry?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#22

Research is a continuous activity. We always launch new hybrids in different segments and where we are not present. And we try to improvise our own hybrids for -- to increase the yield in the segments where we operate. But like, for example, like Punjab or Andhra, we are still trying it, but these are much matured markets. But if you take out the other markets making these 2 markets, there are 3 new markets to grow. If you take overall hybrid rice, only 3 million to 3.5 million hectares is hybrid out of 44 million hectares. So there is a huge scope to grow. We are working on that company, not only Kaveri, entire industry is working in that segment, and that's the reason we see a decent growth in hybrid rice market. And we are -- and I think the growth will continue going forward.

Operator

operator
#23

[Operator Instructions] We take the next question from the line of Viraj Kacharia from Securities Investment Management.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#24

So, on rice, just to follow-up, this new variety, which has given -- which we have seen a good traction. Basically, I tried to ask earlier as well, I'm just trying to understand where is the value proposition? What we -- what the product does differently than the other existing offerings?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#25

Basically, it all -- when you're talking about the product, they measure in terms of the yield. In terms of the yield it needs to withstand the present conditions, sometimes it needs to be disease resistant or drought tolerant -- I mean, that's not exactly a drought tolerant and maybe it should be a drought tolerant. Whereas, we're by withstanding the conditions by the disease resistant, and you need to get more yields. Basically, in the present conditions, if one of the -- if some of the hybrid is performing better than the existing one, then the farmer prefers to go for the hybrid which is giving a more yield. In our case, in those segments, our hybrid is really doing well. That's the reason that farmers are adopting it.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#26

Okay. And even the 2 new hybrids, which you talked about this -- they also primarily targeted towards the existing hybrid markets, right, the U.P., Bihar and underlying...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#27

Existing hybrid markets, but there are different segments. I mean to say, different segments in the sense, their value maturity, media maturity, late maturity, slender, bold. There are different segments in that. So the new hybrid what we are launching are not from the same segment. They are from the different segment.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#28

Okay. Got it, got it, got it. And for maize, just had 2 more questions there. So what we understand, typically, the rabi or the spring is the area where we have a gap in the portfolio. So now how would our market share been now?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#29

Because -- I don't think it will change significantly. But yes, to some extent, if you see the contribution from quarter 3 compared to last year, it has gone by more than 45%, 50%. But we need to understand the fact that the first quarter will be a major quarter, as it's a -- most of the India is under rain-fed conditions and most of the cotton crop comes in the first quarter itself. So that dominance will be there. But if you divide -- if you take out cotton and if you only compare maize, the maize contribution in the first half or you can say the first quarter to second, third to fourth -- first half to second half, it will be -- it can be comparable.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#30

Yes. So basically, that's what my question was. I can see the whole idea is that we are trying to move -- trying to also build a noncotton portfolio and these rices are one of the 4 pillars of this.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#31

And even the vegetables. Even -- if you see the vegetables also we are growing. Vegetables is round the year that basically comes from quarter 3 and quarter 4.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#32

Yes. So hence, I was just trying to understand because, traditionally, what we understand, when you say rabi or spring maize, the MNCs are the ones who typically have a very strong hold on those markets. And in the past, various players, including us, have tried to launch, but there's been very limited gains in terms of market share. So just trying to get a flavor in terms of how is the traction begin actually?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#33

So that's very much visible in the sales this year. Basically, if you recollect our calls in the last 3 or 4 years, we are always saying that we are targeting in newer markets where we are launching the hybrids. That hybrids is -- the growth in those hybrids, which we've launched in the last 2 to 3 seasons is actually reflecting now, and we further feel that there is a huge scope to grow in those areas because hybrids are doing well. As rightly said, these are all dominated by some of the MNCs. And if you say, we are the only company in India who are giving -- we are competing with the MNCs in these crops, and that's how we stand differently from the other companies -- other domestic companies. And as a company, we are basically focusing on the south conditions, basically in the rain-fed conditions. In the last 7, 8 years, we have started focusing not more -- a little more than 7, 8 years, close to, I can say, 10 years, we've started focusing on the rabi in these market. Now slowly, we are getting hybrids in those markets. As you know, it's very difficult to get a launch in the first go. So we took some time to get the gains in this market. And now we are pretty confident by seeing the pipeline and by seeing the existing hybrids that we'll grow. For example, like we said, like we are launching some hybrids in spring market, which we have never done earlier, even though we are strong, we have never done -- we're almost there in the top 3 players, in maize they never targeted this type of markets. Now we are launching these hybrids. That's the reason we strongly believe that we will grow in these markets. And the effort what we kept -- what we have gone in the last 5, 7 years in terms of the maize trading, we have spent a lot in R&D to develop these type of hybrids. And that's where you see the product mix also. That's where this is changing. These are high markets and high-price and high-margin markets. That's the reason we want to target this. But now I think we are in line to do this.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#34

So of the overall maize market...

Operator

operator
#35

Excuse me, sir, I'm sorry to interrupt. May I please request you to rejoin the question queue for your follow up? Next question is from the line of Karthi Keyan from Suyash Advisors.

Karthi Keyan;Suyash Advisors;Sr. Investment Analyst

analyst
#36

How's the cotton outlook for next season? What is the seed inventory you're looking at?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#37

I think the cotton acreages will be stable. I don't see much of a moment compared to this year because the commodity price -- the cotton commodity price is good. And later half, we have seen some impact due to pink bollworm in terms of the yields at the commercial level, but I don't think the sentiment is bad with the farming community. These areas should remain. Here and there are some areas where we think like, for example, in Gujarat, we think it might go down to some extent next year. But in Telangana and Maharashtra, it may remain same. So overall, I think it should remain in the -- at least sideways here and there.

Karthi Keyan;Suyash Advisors;Sr. Investment Analyst

analyst
#38

And how is your preparation in terms of inventory?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#39

We have built up inventory for the next year. We are -- I think, at least, as we suggested earlier, 10% to 15% growth. We are -- what we are anticipating, and we are in line with those. As of now, with the present condition, we think we can grow at that 10% to 15%, for sure. And to [ better ] that, we have enough inventory what we have produced. The inventory is still at the arrival stage, but the plan what we have taken, I think we'll have enough stock to do that.

Karthi Keyan;Suyash Advisors;Sr. Investment Analyst

analyst
#40

And there was no impact on seed output for you or for the industry because of these untimely rains and so on?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#41

There will be some, but basically a plan in advance. So we have some sort of buffering to do it. So by seeing the present conditions, yes. Even our crop has been impacted, especially by pink bollworm and the untimely rain, but some 5% to 10% loss will be there for sure, but we have that buffering -- that's how we plan for entire crops. Sometimes we get more, sometimes we get lower, but we have that buffering plan. But by seeing the present conditions, the PAT already has arrived into the system. And I think we will have enough stock. We should not stock -- inventory should not be a concern for our growth rate.

Karthi Keyan;Suyash Advisors;Sr. Investment Analyst

analyst
#42

Growth. Oh, wonderful. And what's the outlook for advances?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#43

We have just -- for the -- basically, for the advances for the cotton, we have started a bit delayed compared to previous year, usually we used to start in the month of December. But we have postponed that in the month of December, end of February. Cautiously, we have taken that note because as we are taking more advances, we need to give more discounts to our dealers. So we have just postponed by 2 months. Now we are taking the advances. But if you take the advances by 31st March compared to previous year 31st March, it should be in line with that.

Operator

operator
#44

Next question is from the line of Abhijit Akella from IIFL.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#45

Congrats on a good quarter. On the quarter, one question was about the subsidiaries performance. We've seem to have seen a significant improvement in profit from the subsidiaries. So if you could comment on whether this was in the seed subsidiaries or is it the micronutrients business?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#46

Abhijit, thanks. Thanks. If you see the -- in the subsidiary business, all -- even though it's small, like, for example, the Aditya and Microtek both have contributed to some extent for our profitability. Even though a bit small, but if you see the Aditya sale, we are up by 30% to 40% in that. And in terms of the Microtek profitability, we are up by another 40% in that -- 30% to 40%. So even it's a smaller base, that's the reason the percentages looks higher. But even now going forward, we think -- even the subsidiaries contributes much because we have stabilized the entire business. As the business grows, because most of the expenses are the same, the profitability should increase.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#47

Okay. Got it. And within the standalone business, this quarter's revenues, other than maize, rice and cotton, it seems like there's INR 36 crores coming from all the other seeds put together. So if you could give some color on which are the major categories from which this has come, vegetables or any other?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#48

See, basically, cotton, maize and vegetables have contributed to the majority of it. For example, if you take Paddy, maize, cotton and vegetables have contributed close to INR 73 crores, INR 74 crores. The other crops have, like Sunflower, a bit of Bajra and a bit of pulses, mustard, wheat and everything and some production sales are also there in it. So these all contributed to INR 25 crores. But if you take out of -- if you take the other income, the total sales for this quarter stood at INR 98 crores, out of which close to INR 54 crores is contributed by maize alone and vegetables contributed close to INR 7 crores.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#49

Okay. Got it. And on a full year basis, how much vegetable sales are we sort of hoping to achieve?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#50

Last year, we have done around INR 14 crores, if I'm right, roughly around INR 14 crores. This time, we think that, at least, we've already done close to INR 15.5 crores, INR 16 crores. And fourth quarter usually is a better quarter for vegetables in the crop where we operate, especially like Okra. So we think that we'll grow at least in between that INR 25 crores -- in and around that INR 25 crores.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#51

Okay. INR 25 crores for this year?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#52

Yes. Against INR 13 crores -- INR 14 crores last year, we should end up in between INR 22 crores and INR 25 crores. And we are very good -- we are hoping better results in vegetables, but it's too early to predict on that, but we have very good hybrids. We are working really hard in vegetables. And we have stabilized in market also now, and we have identified hybrids. We have launched many new hybrids. We'll definitely -- going forward in the next 3 to 5 years, vegetables should be a very meaningful, I mean to say, contribution to the bottom line as the margins are pretty high in vegetables.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#53

Yes. That's great. And one other thing. Hybrid rice prices, you mentioned in your opening remarks that they are up 57% YTD, if I'm not mistaken?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#54

Not -- sorry, if I don't -- I said the volumes are up by 57%, not the price.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#55

Oh, I see. Okay. So out of the 65% revenue growth we've seen, 57% is from volumes?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#56

Basically, majority of that is from volume. And usually, every year, we increase the price by 1% or 2%. So for hybrid rice, majority is from the volume growth.

Operator

operator
#57

We take the next question from the line of Chirag Dagli from HDFC Asset Management.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#58

Sir, how has profitability in cotton moved for this year versus, say, a couple of years back?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#59

Chirag, cotton, in terms of the per packet margin, it all remains same, slightly up by INR 10 or INR 20 -- INR 10 or INR 15. But as we are increasing the volume, the profitability in the cotton crop is also going up because all the other expenses are same. Basically, the plant operation and everything that's the reason to see it combined as a whole, if it only talk about the EBITDA margin, it has grown much better than the top line. So...

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#60

Versus say, in the past, when we were selling about 1 crore packets, and now we are selling much less.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#61

We can't compare, like, apple-to-apple and when -- see, we need to see the points like where the price was around INR 930, the royalty was around INR 170-odd. Now the price itself is close to INR 730. So the margins are definitely squeezed from 3 years back to now. The margins have definitely come down and considerably down in terms of cotton. Cotton was a very lucrative business than 4 years back. It's not right now. But if you see compared to previous year to this year, we have slightly improved our margins.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#62

And the reason for that is, cost of production has come down?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#63

One, one -- not exactly production. One, royalty is down compared to previous year by INR 8, INR 9. And the distributor discount has also -- we have given lower discounts. That's the reason if you say, in one of the questions I answered saying that we have postponed advance bookings for cotton. Because we -- once we take the amount, we need to give more discounts. We know that the product will definitely sell. And if we take advances even the dealers -- the channel will not be satisfied if you take advance and don't give discounts. So we've just postponed it. So we are trying in all the ways to increase the profitability in cotton. Whereas other crops, we enjoy margins, that's not a worry at all. Here, we are trying in all -- even in production, also, we are trying techniques where we can decrease the cost.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#64

And the noncotton piece continues to be higher margin than company average, sir? That is a...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#65

Yes, yes, yes. Because cotton is driving the margins. If you take cotton out, noncotton will have very good margins.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#66

Has better margins. All right. And the second question was on the R&D bit, sir. If you can just talk a little bit about what you're doing now in -- especially in biotech, et cetera? What R&D effort is going on? And how soon can we see results?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#67

We've already invested a lot in R&D and still we have -- we continue to invest in that. If you see our hiring is something more than 160 people as of now, more than 160, close to 170. Every day, we are hiring in R&D. And we -- recently we have launched biotech plant because the breeding techniques have moved on, and we want to combine the tradition breeding in the biotechnology. So we are already working on this. And now you see the results also. And we are adding many crops in that. For example, in the last, we were talking about 6, 7 years back we're talking about where we intensified other vegetable breeding activity. Later, we said maize breeding activity. Now we are launching new hybrids in rice -- within the rice, within new segments. So everywhere, we are increasing our scope, and we are doing excellent work in R&D. And we are pretty confident that we'll be coming up with some new products going forward. So...

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#68

You said, sir, 160 people in R&D?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#69

Yes. More than 160.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#70

Versus, say, a couple of years back, where would this number?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#71

It was around 110, 115.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#72

110. Okay. Okay. And what is our R&D...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#73

And some few numbers here and there, but 110, 115, definitely, we are up by 30%, 40% in the last 3, 4 years.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#74

Okay. Okay. And what is our annual spend, sir, on R&D now that we've got this fully-blown biotech center as well?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#75

So there are 2 aspects in that. One is the recurring and one is the capital thing. So if you take the capital expenditure last, we invested close to INR 10 crores to INR 12 crores in the biotechnology lab. But most of the assets are our own, that's the reason that will not reflect in the actual capital spending. For example, land for our own lands. The building where we have constructed the entire -- there was a huge land within the plant premises only we have constructed the biotech lab. If you want to construct that plant by taking the land and everything, it should be close to INR 40-odd crores. So if you take out the capital expenses, which we can't compare because anyhow it's our company-owned asset, so we don't do it. But the actual money spent in providing -- getting the lab is close to INR 10 crores to INR 12 crores. And moreover that the R&D expenses are close to around INR 23 crores or INR 25 crores, I just need to get back to those exact numbers, but we are considerably increasing the R&D spend year-on-year.

Chirag Dagli

analyst
#76

And this INR 25 crores should grow meaningfully up from here as well or do you think now it is stable?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#77

It will go. It will go, but -- see, in the last 3, 4 years, it has gone up much than what we are grown in the -- as a top line. But going forward, as we are increasing more, it should not be proportionally there because as most of the assets is our own, asset bought aside. And only the manpower cost we need to add it. So manpower cost should be negligible, but I mean to say, definitely, there will be increase in the spend. And as I said that we don't work on the gene technology, which is not capital expenses. Most of the work is -- what we do is like breeding activity, which is not that high, I mean to say, it doesn't take much capital or expenditure. It's only cost is the employee cost. That should be in proportion to that.

Operator

operator
#78

Next question is from the line of Rohit Nagraj from Sunidhi Securities.

Rohit Nagraj

analyst
#79

Congrats for a good set of numbers. Sir, on the vegetables front, you just mentioned that this year, we may touch about say INR 25 crores, which change year-on-year growth rate of about 70%. How do you foresee a growth for FY '21 and onwards given that the base has now increased to INR 25 crores?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#80

See, basically, because of the small base, it's reflects 60%, 70%. But if you take INR 25 crores as a base, definitely, we think that we can go in between 30-plus percent year-on-year for the next 3 to 5 years. Because vegetable market is a very big market, and we have very good products. And the products, the hybrids, where we are -- the segment where we are operating like hot pepper or hybrid tomato or okra, these are the major contributors of the vegetable market. And we have very good pipeline hybrids in those segments. So 30% with the baseline of INR 25 crores year-on-year in vegetables should not be an issue for the next 3 to 5 years.

Rohit Nagraj

analyst
#81

Yes, that seems very good. Sir, on the cotton front, you have said that there are 2 cotton hybrids which are currently under demonstration. So any idea about how the results have been? And when those would be commercialized? Any potential or...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#82

Cotton is in initial stages, but initial looks are good, that's the reason we are saying that where we have demonstrated. The -- I mean, that the feedback is really good. But we need to test that in volumes, which are pretty confident that we'll do that. Basically, these hybrids are for the Northern India, where we are not present. So definitely, we think that it will have some sort of an impact in the next 2 to 3 years in terms of these new launches.

Rohit Nagraj

analyst
#83

Right. And on a strategy perspective. So the last 3 years, we have taken buyback to reward the shareholders and from next year onwards, again, our cash flows will be stronger. So from a relatively longer-term strategy, what is our thought process that will be going only for buyback or maybe for acquisition or diversification? So just a broader strategy from the management perspective.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#84

Basically, we were saying the same thing for the last 5 years, as we said that we require INR 300 crores of [ watches ] and more -- and over and above that, whatever is earned, we want to reward it to shareholders that we are continuing it. Here's 1 point, if you see, if you really see any meaningful business, any capital in the plant definitely we'll do it. But as of now, we don't have anything to deploy it. And as a business, it's not that capital expense and most of the infrastructure is already there. We can almost -- with a few crores of rupees year-on-year at the most, for example, yearly INR 20 crores to INR 30 crores of CapEx year-on-year. Some were more or less compared to year-on-year, we think that we can grow our business by 15% to 20% year-on-year. So I don't think as a company, we don't require much cash. And as we were continuing to give the -- rewarding the shareholders might be in terms of the buyback of the dividend, I think, as of now, still, our intention is to rewards to shareholders. That is subjected to the board's decision. But we -- in principle, we want to reward, we don't have any much use of this cash.

Rohit Nagraj

analyst
#85

Just last question on FY '21 guidance. So does the guidance versus 15%, 20% overall revenue growth, and for the cotton will be 10% to 15%?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#86

Yes. We still stick to the same guidance of 15% to 20% growth with cotton between 10% to 15% and noncotton 20% to 25%.

Operator

operator
#87

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Nandan Vartak from Wealth Managers.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#88

So my question is on rice market. So if you could give some number or size of volume or value, which ever is available or -- which would be helpful.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#89

Yes. The hybrid rice market should be close to around that 45,000 tonne to 50,000 tonne market as of now.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#90

45,000 tonnes to 50,000 tonnes.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#91

45,000 tonnes to 50,000 tonnes.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#92

Okay. And what would be that percentage...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#93

I'm talking about the hybrid rice market, not the entire market.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#94

Yes. Yes. Yes. Right. Right. So what would be selection rice total market? So what I'm trying to understand is percentage of hybridization currently?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#95

So if you take out that one, the total hybrid -- sorry, the total rice market is close to 43 million hectares, out of which roughly around 3.2 million hectares to 3.5 million hectares is hybridized. If you take in that way, it goes to 40 million hectares still to get under assets.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#96

Okay. And our seed requirement under a hybrid and selection, it is similar to each other? Or is there a major difference between...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#97

It's different. It's different from -- based on the areas they do it, but the seed rates and seed required per acre are altogether different.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#98

Okay. Can you quantify a bit?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#99

That all depends like. In some areas, they -- for normal varieties, some go with 30 kg, some go with 10 kg, some go with 6 kg. Hybrid rice usually we prefer 3 kg. So it all depends.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#100

Okay. Okay. That's helpful. And if you could just give idea about total vegetable seed market. So you said that it is a big market. So what would be the range of market size?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#101

The vegetable seed market should be in between INR 2,500 crores to INR 3,000 crores and it's increasing year-on-year. There are many companies who operate in vegetables. There are many smaller companies who do operate in these vegetables. That's the reason there should be a slight, a difference in the market calculation, but we think it should be in between INR 2,500 crores to INR 3,000 crores. I'm just talking about the hybrid vegetable market.

Nandan Vartak;Wealth Managers (India) Pvt Ltd;Equity Research Analyst

analyst
#102

Okay. And hybridization would be higher in vegetables?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#103

It's much lower. In some crops it's higher, in some crops it's very low.

Operator

operator
#104

We take the next question from the line of Nihal Jham from Edelweiss.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#105

Mithun, [ Rohan ] here, [ Rohan ]. Mithun, just first question is on the change in industry structure, you was talking about that now, you have postponed the sale to the distributor and waiting more closer to the season, while earlier, historically, this business has been more driven by the distributor booking in the month of November, December and that used to drive cash flows for the company and also used to ensure the sale in the mid-season. As now there's a change in the strategy. I understand that you are doing this to go away with the cash discount, which you used to offer to the dealers and distributor, but that also increases the risk in terms of market penetration or in the peak season, we may losing out on sales if the product is not rightly placed in market. So do you see there is a change in the business strategy or that becomes -- or that involves more risk if the season is volatile?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#106

I'll just correct your statement, saying that we have not postponed the sale. We have only postponed taking of advances. See, as I said, 3 or 4 years back, cotton seed was very lucrative for the companies and for the distributors, and we were taking advances and they were willing to pay in advance to book the seeds because they get the majority of the discount. In the last 3, 4 years, what we are seeing is that even though whether you take advance or not, farmer is picking up the seed and we will have the guaranteed sales. In that segment, yes, to some extent, I agree with you, we need to book with the dealer to -- I mean to say, to safeguard our business. That's what we just postponed the taking of advances by 2 months. Now we start taking -- already started taking advances now. And we are doing it. It's not only from our end, but most of the industry players are also coming in the same direction, leaving about 1 or 2 companies, most of them are coming, they're coming, doing in the same direction. And if you recollect my first answer, I said that, as on 31st March, the advances what we have collected last year should be comparable in this year. And only -- this is the strategy only for cotton, whereas noncotton crops, we have already launched it, we are doing it like what we have done in the previous years.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#107

So in this way, that do -- that margins are likely to shift from the hands of distributor to the companies across the...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#108

No. Actually, we have already seized the entire margins. We are -- if you see, even though the prices are down by so much and -- the production cost has gone up, our margins still have better when compared to the industry even in cotton because we are not giving too much of margins like other players, because seed is in demand and farmer is ready to accept the seed and pay for it.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#109

No, I was asking that in terms of advanced booking, which earlier used to be paid by the distributors and they used to take a heavy volume discount by paying money in 2 months in advance, that 5% to 10% extra margin, which they were pocketing, is that...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#110

No. We already cutdown those type of margins in the last 2 to 3 years. And we were not giving such margins. That's the reason even the distributors were saying that you are taking advance and not giving margins. That's the reason we have taken this.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#111

Okay. And by the end of March, you were saying that the total money collected from the distributor will almost remain the same that what it is was the last year?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#112

Yes. Yes. Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#113

So it is just only postponement of probably 1 or 2 months of taking advances?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#114

Yes. That's it. And we have taken the step keeping in mind -- we have taken a very cautious step. We have analyzed everything, saying that our demand will not have any impact by doing this. In fact, the dealers will be very happy to sell our seeds, because he is not paying advances and he'll get seed and it's -- will get much better margin without paying it.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#115

Okay. Sir, second question is on that -- we have seen that this year, kharif was poor, but rabi has well started on time and ample availability of water, so rabi is likely to go smooth. Do you see that some impact of this next year kharif also -- that kharif season will start on time? Or any crop rotation you see from current changes which you're seeing on rabi?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#116

Basically, if you -- at this point of time, I don't see any major changes, but the farmer sentiment is really positive because of the good monsoon last year, the groundwater levels are up, most of the dams are full. So the sentiment is very good. But yes, end of the day, it all depends on the monsoon arrival. If the monsoon arrived in time, everything will go right. If it is -- if it gets delayed or if it is preponed, then there might be a slight shift in the cropping pattern, which we can't predict as of now. But at this present juncture, we think that crops to be remain same.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#117

So you see that still as far as the kharif is concerned, they still remains on the -- I mean, dependency still remains on the next year monsoon. So like some people or some companies are mentioning that there is enough water availability, so that even kharif sowing can start on time, you do not see that trend happening?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#118

No, usually that is not the case because you require most of the Indian conditions, most of the kharif crops in the rain-fed crops. So they need to have enough moisture. After the rainfall only, they will have moisture and then sow it. This is true for those who have -- who are doing cultivation under wells or tanks. They can go -- especially for crops like paddy, they can go for nursery and then transplant after the good rainfall. But for crops like maize and all cotton or some other crops which are dependent on the kharif, they definitely need to wait for the monsoon, and then only they can sow it. As you know that most of the Indian cultivation is only under rain-fed conditions, not under the irrigation segment.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#119

And then just last question. Then I will jump back in queue.

Operator

operator
#120

Excuse me, sir. I'm so sorry to interrupt. May I please request you to rejoin the question queue for your follow-up. Next question is from the line of Chetan Thacker from ASK Investment.

Chetan Thacker

analyst
#121

Sir, just 1 question on the cost outlook for cotton for the ensuing season. Will we see any benefits from the [indiscernible] process?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#122

Sorry.

Chetan Thacker

analyst
#123

The cost outlook on the cotton seed business?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#124

See the cost should -- for sure the cost should not go up compared to previous year. In terms of the -- what you're saying, you're talking about the production cost or selling price?

Chetan Thacker

analyst
#125

Sir, production cost.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#126

For sure, it should not go up from the previous year, where we have did some new techniques this year, where should -- I think the cost should reduce, but it's too early for me to, because as I have not received the entire stock, I couldn't comment on it. But as of now, it looks like it should not go up, it should only go down.

Chetan Thacker

analyst
#127

And from a medium-term point of view, because of the new process introduced, next year should be a lower cost compared to this year?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#128

Yes, that's it.

Chetan Thacker

analyst
#129

So given the ensuing years. So that is kharif 2021?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#130

For kharif 2021 only. I mean to say, kharif 2021, in the terms, like you're talking about June '20 or June '21?

Chetan Thacker

analyst
#131

June '21.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#132

June 21. Definitely these are the techniques which we follow. And definitely, we are trying to decrease our cost -- production cost. And again, I can only comment on the year-end because that all depends on the rainfall and everything. So our techniques are that -- we have introduced them to whereas we can reduce the production cost that we are witnessing this year. That will reflect in June 20 sale.

Operator

operator
#133

We take the next question from the line of Amit Vora from PCS Securities.

Amit Vora

analyst
#134

Congrats on good set of numbers, Mithun. One question is on any write-offs that we have had during the quarter? I'm sorry if I'm repeating this.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#135

No. Every year, we have a continuous thing, every quarter we write-off. The cost of goods includes the write-off also.

Amit Vora

analyst
#136

So what would be that in this quarter, because last quarter, you had given that number?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#137

See, I don't have the exact number, but it should be something close to INR 4 crores to INR 5 crores. That's our regular activity what we do for the quarter basis and it's comparable previous year.

Amit Vora

analyst
#138

Okay. Okay. Okay. And what is the cotton inventory that we are standing on right now for the coming season?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#139

As I have answered this question earlier also, but again, I will repeat. We are still in the process of getting the inventory. We'll have enough inventory for that. We should be in between 9 million to 10 million packets.

Amit Vora

analyst
#140

9 million to 10 million. And is there -- what is the...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#141

That's 10% to 15% subject to the available. As of now, we think that there should be no issues with the inventory.

Amit Vora

analyst
#142

Yes. Sorry, I joined the call a bit late. That's why I'm repeating this.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#143

Yes. No issue. No issue.

Amit Vora

analyst
#144

One bit on -- what is the impact of pink bollworm? How has it been after the harvest and everything?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#145

We have seen a pink bollworm issue in the later half, not in the first half, as it was continuously raining. Even the farmers not at the production level also, even at the commercial level, they were unable to spray the field, pesticides to control that. There's some impact on it, but any how, not a major impact. But for sure, there's some impact on the pink bollworm.

Amit Vora

analyst
#146

Okay. But you don't see that escalating in the coming kharif?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#147

Kharif in the sense, pink bollworm issues, in the coming kharif?

Amit Vora

analyst
#148

Yes. Yes, Yes.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#149

The farmers are very much aware about the pink bollworm and are already made their mindset to control by spraying pesticides. So I think they are very much aware and it can be controlled. It should not be like a surprise for them.

Operator

operator
#150

Next question is from the line of Viraj Kacharia from Securities Investment Management.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#151

I just had 2 questions. On maize, was there any impact of fall armyworm in terms of sowing or anything for?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#152

Not much compared to previous year, not much, but there has been some instance here and there. But if you really -- literally ask like what it has been last year, no.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#153

Okay. And how...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#154

And farmers also, I said like, how the farmer is now spraying for pink bollworm, he is willing to spray for fall armyworm.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#155

Okay. Okay. And how -- of the total maize market, how -- what is your share or the size of spring and rabi maize, some interest to get a color?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#156

You should take that way 50-50 is the volume. 50% comes in the first half and 50% comes in the second half, for maize.

Viraj Kacharia

analyst
#157

Sizable difference in terms of realization, right?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#158

Realization -- because usually, when you're talking about the rabi crop, it's most of the control conditions, like control in the sense, like you are not dependent on the rainfall because you have enough water source, you have -- most of that will do under the irrigation segment. So you know, so -- and you -- it goes for a high yield, and it spends a lot on that. Whereas kharif crop, basically, they depend on the rainfall, they don't know about the rainfall and they just anticipate a good monsoon and do it. So the yields are also lower in kharif when compared to rabi.

Operator

operator
#159

Next question is from the line of Abhijit Akella from IIFL.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#160

The employee cost in the stand-alone P&L is up sharply this quarter, almost INR 19.5 crores. So what's driving that big increase there?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#161

Basically, this quarter, we have given the incentives and increments in this quarter. Usually, we do it in previous quarters. But this year, we are a bit late and we have done this year. That's the reason there's a onetime impact on the employee cost. And the other part is that definitely, the employee cost has gone up because we added more people in this year. So if you take technically, every quarter, it should be between that INR 14 crores to INR 15 crores going forward for the next year, starting from fourth quarter.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#162

Okay. Understood.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#163

That INR 19 crores should be INR 14 crores or INR 15 crores. I mean to say, in the quarter 1 and quarter 2, if you give some, quarter 4 for sure, INR 14 crores or INR 15 crores. Quarter 1 and 2, if we do implement that will add. Otherwise, it should not be INR 19 crores because we have given most of the things in this quarter. That's the reason, there's a huge pricing. That's a one-time thing.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#164

Yes, but will every year's third quarter then have a...

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#165

Usually not, usually not. Usually, we give in the first or second quarter itself. But this time it got delayed in this quarter.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#166

Okay. And in terms of the cotton seed, regulatory scenario. There has been some talk about some demands on the government to cut the cotton seed price again for upcoming kharif. While the industry, on the other side has been lobbying for a price increase in cotton seeds. So what's your scenario? And what is happening out there?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#167

That's always there. As an industry, we want to increase. And as a government, they want to decrease. So it's always there. But it's like too early or I don't have any input to comment on it. Again, that will be a mutual committee, which will take a decision. We are a part of that discussions that will come out most probably by February -- before February.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#168

Okay. And lastly, the new production technique you mentioned for cotton. If you could just comment on exactly how it is different? And how much reduction it can lead to in terms of cost per packet?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#169

So basically, we are going with the DMS technology, wherein the cost of production is lower, basically, in terms of the pollination segment. Those are the new techniques, and we have introduced some of innovative techniques like proper crop care, proactive control. I mean to say like, educating farmers proactively, taking proactive steps, and it's a combination of 6 or 7 process of what we are doing, including choosing of locations. We have done enough research where we can get a good yield compared to the present production area. So it's a combination of all those things, it's slowly translating into the actual cost reduction. That will continue for next 2 to 3 years. This year will be a slight decrease and overall that will continue for next 2 to 3 years. And still, we are continuing on many other yields, we are trying on many of the techniques where it can further cutdown the cost.

Abhijit Akella

analyst
#170

Yes. So I mean, your production cost is probably in the range of maybe INR 350 or INR 400 a packet today. So how much lower can it trend down as a result of all these initiatives?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#171

We're still trying it, but for sure that is INR 10 plus, INR 10 to INR 15 plus, if you further go down.

Operator

operator
#172

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Deepak Kolhe from B&K Research.

Deepak Kolhe

analyst
#173

Congratulations for a good set of number. Sir, how we are seeing cotton and noncotton trade mix going forward?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#174

I wish, as of now it's like, last year it is 52 off 48 -- 52 of cotton, 48 of noncotton. This year, it should be 50-50. And going forward, in the next 2 to 3 years, we said that like 40 from cotton and 60 from noncotton. And by the hybrids and by the areas where we are operating, it is -- we think we can achieve it.

Deepak Kolhe

analyst
#175

When you say that noncotton will be higher in the coming year. So the share of vegetable to go up? Or you will concentrate more on the rice side or paddy?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#176

Every, every hybrid. Everything apart from cotton, we are concentrating on it. That is where we are including vegetables, maize, rice, bajra and all other crops.

Deepak Kolhe

analyst
#177

Okay. And sir, what is the CapEx plan for the next year, if you can give us?

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#178

As I told earlier, year-on-year INR 20 crores to INR 30 crores should be enough for us for the next 2 to 3 years. We don't see major CapEx plans.

Operator

operator
#179

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the floor back to the management for closing comments.

Chennameneni Chand

executive
#180

It has been a pleasure interacting with you over the call. We thank you for taking time out and engaging with us today. We value your continued interest and support. If you have any further questions or if you would like to know more about the company, kindly reach our Investor Relations desk. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#181

Thank you. On behalf of Kaveri Seed Company Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

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