KDDL Limited (532054) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 17, 2020

BSE Limited IN Consumer Discretionary Textiles, Apparel and Luxury Goods earnings 69 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to KDDL Limited Q3 FY '20 Earnings Conference Call. This conference call may contain forward-looking statements about the company, which are based on beliefs, opinions and expectations of the company as on the date of this call. These statements are not the guarantees of future performance and involves risk and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Yasho Saboo, CEO, for his opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#2

Thank you, and good afternoon, and welcome, everybody, for our Q3 and 9-Month FY '20 Earnings Conference Call. I am joined by Mr. Sanjeev Masown, CFO of KDDL; and SGA, our Investor Relations advisers. Mr. Raja Sekhar, CFO of Ethos, is away on a study program, but he will be joining us on phone. I hope everyone has gone through our updated investor presentation meanwhile. Let me start with the consolidated numbers. Consolidated revenue for Q3 FY '20 rose by 18.7% year-on-year to INR 203.7 crores. For the 9-month period, it grew by 8.5% to INR 515 crores. Consolidated gross profit for both Q3 and the 9-month period FY '20 was up by 9.8% to INR 79 crores and INR 215.5 crores, respectively. Consolidated EBITDA for Q3 FY '20 was up by 6.7% to INR 26 crores and for 9 months, it was up by 21.9% to INR 62 crores. Please remember that the growth in EBITDA is significantly impacted due to changes in accounting standards with the applicability of Ind AS 116 standards. These new norms has impacted the accounting for other expenses, depreciation and finance costs for the company. As a result, the consolidated adjusted EBITDA on like-to-like basis for 9 months FY '20 has de-grown by 28% to INR 36.5 crores. This is mainly on account of higher other expenses due to new store openings in our retail business. Consolidated PBT for Q3 FY '20 and 9 months FY '20 stood at INR 8.1 crores and INR 10.1 crores, respectively. I will now discuss the business-wise updates. Our manufacturing business performance was lower compared to the previous quarter. There was a decline in revenue and operating expenses were relatively higher. A change in revenue mix was also weighing down the profitability of the business for the quarter. We have seen a continuous decline in Swiss watch business globally, especially in the segment of watches priced below CHF 3,000 or USD 3,000. Swiss watch exports for the year 2019 as a whole, in value terms, grew by only 2.6% as compared to 6.2% in 2018. So there's been a marked slowdown in the growth. More important, in the segment below CHF 3,000, there has been a marked decline. The lower-priced segment consists mainly of Quartz watches, which de-grew by 6.2%, while the segment of mechanical watches, which is mainly concentrated above the CHF 3,000 price point, it grew by 4.5%. The challenges in the Hong Kong market and slowdown in the Middle East are some of the important reasons, besides the impact of the smart watch, owing to which the watches in the lower-priced segments have de-grown. The decline of Swiss watches in the lower-priced segment is a trend witnessed for many quarters and is expected to continue for a bit longer. We have been conscious of these market developments and have accordingly moved up the value chain, reducing our dependence on lower price point watches. The encouraging part for us was that the domestic market continues to witness traction and is growing. We are strengthening our position there. In the last few weeks, the coronavirus threat has been impacting this business. This will have a significant impact on the Swiss exports in the immediate future as the markets of China and the Far East are very important for Swiss watches. Also, Chinese and Far East Asian travelers buy watches when they travel abroad. Therefore, this segment is likely to be impacted in the immediate future. However, it will also provide us additional opportunities to make important inroads into other customers who want -- who will want to derisk supplies from China. We believe this is going to be a very important opportunity for us after the immediate impact of the coronavirus wears out. Our manufacturing revenue for the quarter was recorded at INR 42 crores, similar to the levels recorded in corresponding quarter of last year. And for the 9-month period, it grew by 6.6% year-on-year to INR 140 crores. EBITDA [Audio Gap] FY '20 stood at INR 6.4 crores, down by 7% year-on-year, and EBITDA for 9 months stood at INR 23.7 crores, up by 2% year-on-year. EBITDA margins came in at 15.1% for quarter 3 as compared to 16.1% in quarter 3 of previous year, while EBITDA margins for the 9-month period was 17% in the current year versus 17.7% in the same period of last year. The marginal reduction in EBITDA is due to change in the revenue mix of different business segments. Profit after tax for Q3 for the current year stood at INR 1.6 crores and for 9 months at INR 8.6 crores. The watch components business witnessed a decline of 15% in Q3 over the revenue of the previous quarter. The 9-month period, however, the watch component business registered a growth of 5% over the previous year. This segment registered revenue of INR 30 crores in Q3 and INR 100 crores for the 9-month period of the current year. Precision engineering business, the revenue in Q3 FY '20 was INR 10.6 crores, higher by 17% compared to Q3 of last year. However, it declined by 12% if compared with Q2. The decline in revenue for the quarter was mainly due to economic slowdown in the domestic market across various segments, including automotive segment and electrical and electronics. We are continuously realigning the capabilities in line with the market expectations and developments. We are confident that our initiatives for improving operational efficiencies, realigning the product mix and strengthening of the teams will help in healthy growth and sustainable profits for the company. At Estima AG, the company that we acquired in Switzerland, we are witnessing a growth -- a good response from the new customers, and we expect to capture an additional market share in the European market for the mid- and high priced segment, which would otherwise prove impossible to capture working out of India. We continue to believe that the SWISS ORIGIN regulations will help us in growing our watch component business through Estima, and our presence in Switzerland will be a major stepping stone for capturing additional market share. I will now discuss our retailing business, Ethos. The domestic watch business picked up well in the third quarter on the back of a festive season buoyancy. Our strategy of offering the widest variety of watches to the Indian consumers at the best possible price is playing out well with stable gross profit margins and a steady growth in revenue. We believe the best consumer experiences backed by a strong digital marketing approach, trust and authenticity of our retail stores, our pan India presence, will continue to help us to outperform the competition and gain market share as indeed we have done in the current year too. It is heartening to see the response of brands to associate more readily with Ethos, the case in point being our takeover of existing boutiques of Omega and Rado in Jaipur, and also opening the first and only Hublot brand exclusive boutique on joint venture basis at Mumbai. We continue to build complementary verticals for our watch retailing business, the latest being the launch of a dedicated independent website for the sale of certified pre-owned watches which is fully supported by our state-of-the-art service center. Our goal is to make Ethos the customers' first and only choice for luxury watches. Exclusive brands or house brands are an important part of our strategy, and we are happy to report that our partnerships continue to gain immense traction. We have 15 brands on an exclusive basis across varying price points that help us to offer a differentiated buying experience to the end consumer with significantly higher margin for us. Over the last few years, we have focused mainly on the price segment between INR 50,000 and INR 5,00,000 for the exclusive brands. Recently, however, we have extended this strategy to higher-priced watches. This extension allows us to add newer brands to our portfolio and to cater to the super luxury segment which is the fastest-growing price segment globally and also in India. On the new stores front, with the addition of the Rado and Omega exclusive boutiques in Jaipur, our total store count is now 55. Both the new stores are approximately 400 square feet each. Let me give you some financial highlights for Ethos. Our billings for Q3 FY '20 grew by 20.7% year-on-year to INR 179 crores, while for the 9-month period, it grew by 6.6% to INR 420 crores. Billings of exclusive brands grew faster at 48% year-on-year to almost INR 40 crores in quarter 3. For the 9-month period, the growth was nearly 51% year-on-year to nearly INR 95 crores. Same-store growth for quarter 3 of FY '20 stood at around 7%. Exclusive brands contributed 22.1% to the Q3 top line and 22.6% to the 9-month period top line. Consolidated Ethos revenue for quarter 3 posted a strong growth of 23% year-on-year to INR 160 crores, while for the 9-month period, it was up 7.9% year-on-year to about INR 369 crores. Consolidated gross profit grew by 17.2% in Q3 and 11.5% in 9-month period year-on-year. Gross profit margins for Q3 stood at 28.5% as compared to 29.9% last year same quarter on account of slight increase in discounting, which happened due to an additional but very successful sales in quarter 3. For the 9-month period, it stood at 28.5%, an increase over 27.6% during the same period last year. Reported EBITDA for Q3 rose by 25% year-on-year and for the 9-month period by 58.6% year-on-year. As also mentioned previously, the EBITDA again reflect changes in accounting standards. Adjusted for Ind AS 116, consolidated EBITDA for 9-month de-grew by 19.3% year-on-year to INR 25.2 crores due to higher other expenses on account of the new flagship store openings. In this connection, I would like to stress on this a little bit more. As most of you are already informed, during the last 6 months, we have opened some very important flagship stores, which are the cornerstones of our new strategy. This includes the Kolkata store, the large flagship store in Hyderabad, the ultra-luxury collector's store at Chanakya Mall in Delhi as well as the luxury stores in Chanakya and in Pune. So collectively, these 5 or 6 flagship stores, which opened during the period June to around October, they have added a lot to the other expenses by way of rent, salaries, manpower cost and launch expenses. However, the full impact of their revenue is not being felt. I'm happy to report that in all these stores, we are seeing a huge traction and the entry of Ethos into price segments that we were not before. We are selling more in the luxury segment, and we are establishing in each of these cities, Ethos as the #1 retailer of premium and luxury watches. The adjusted EBITDA margins for the 9-month period stood at 6.8% compared to 9.1% in the previous year. Consolidated profit after tax in Q3 came in at INR 4.7 crores, while for the 9-month, it stood at INR 1.9 crores versus INR 12.2 crores in the same period last year. Stock carrying months at the end of December 31 is about 8.2 months. This is also higher than the previous year, mainly, again, on account of the fast-paced store rollout. As you understand, the stock in the new stores shows up in the overall stocking while the sales is still only for a few months and not the full year. We are very confident that over the next year, we will see the stock in terms of number of months go down to the original projected levels as the sales from these stores starts to kick in, which it already is. At Ethos, we remain buoyant on our strategy and expect to grow faster as the economy turns around, and we expect a more solid growth for the economy as a whole. I now welcome your questions and participation.

Operator

operator
#3

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of [ Priyanka Singh from Atidhan Securities ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#4

I have few -- couple of questions. So how many stores are expected to be launched in the next quarter and subsequently in the next financial year?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#5

Okay. Why don't you ask all your questions, I'll be able to answer them?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#6

Sure, sure. And what is your CapEx plan for the next year for manufacturing as well as for the retail business? And has the supply situation of Rolex watches improved?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#7

So CapEx for Ethos as well as for manufacturing?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#8

Yes.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#9

Okay. And the third question was, sorry? Let me just note it.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#10

What is the supply situation for Rolex watches?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#11

Okay. Let me answer all the 3 questions. I'll start with the shortest answer, which is the third one, the supply situation for Rolex. In the quarter 3, I can tell you that the supply situation with Rolex did improve, and that is one of the reasons why we achieved the fair same-store growth despite, obviously, overall macroeconomic situation and consumer sentiment [indiscernible]. So we are hoping that the improvement in the supply situation in Rolex will continue. I must tell you, however, that worldwide, Rolex demand has gone through the roof, and you know that we can't really take anything for granted. Given the fact that the markets in China will probably remain challenged for the next couple of months on account of coronavirus, I do believe that supply of Rolex watches to India should be actually much better than previous year. So that's on the Rolex situation. For the next year, in terms of new stores, we have basically planned 3 new stores. One of them is a flagship store which is at Mumbai at the new mall coming up in BKC. That is expected to be launched in the first quarter of next year. 2 other new stores, 1 in Bangalore and 1 in Delhi. Bangalore, in the area of Whitefield, where we've not been present, that is not a flagship store, it's an Ethos store. And similarly, a new geography in Delhi, where we are not present. It's a new mall, Vegas Mall. These are the 2 stores. They will also be launched in the first quarter of next fiscal. We have not planned any other store launch other than that. There is a mono-brand boutique of Omega, which we will launch at Palladium in Mumbai, probably in quarter 3. This is going to be the first and only boutique for Omega in Mumbai, and we are really looking forward to doing this. It's going to be very, very important for us. So these are 4 stores that we have planned in the next year. However, we have also planned about 4 closures of stores. In fact, there may be 5 closures of stores, mainly smaller stores where we do not see enough traction. As you know, we are -- our strategy is to go in for larger stores instead of smaller stores, and stores which do not fit in that plan and are approaching the end of the lease, we plan to close them. So overall, the store count is not going to go up. The -- your last question was CapEx for Ethos and for manufacturing. In manufacturing, overall across all the manufacturing businesses, we are looking at a CapEx of between INR 10 crores to INR 11 crores. Much of it is for some machines and some tools, but there's also upgradation at our dial factory in Parwanoo, which is in need of upgradation of some section. Other than that, it's mainly routine CapEx. And in Ethos, we are expecting a CapEx of about INR 6 crores to INR 7 crores, most of it being in these 3 stores and a couple of renovations.

Operator

operator
#12

The next question is from the line of Shalini Gupta from Quantum Securities.

Shalini Gupta

analyst
#13

Sir, just wanted to check if you could talk about the SSG for Ethos during the quarter?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#14

Yes. So SSG during the quarter, just hold-on, if I'm not mistaken, SSG stood at about 7%. Can you just hold-on a minute, please?

Shalini Gupta

analyst
#15

Yes.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#16

Yes. So the same-store growth was actually 7.7%, which, in the previous year was actually minus 5%. So we've seen [Technical Difficulty] in the same-store growth during quarter 3. You'll remember actually that in the first 2 quarters, same-store growth was actually negative. And I'm not sure, Shalini, if you were on the earlier earnings calls, but this was significantly due to the sharp reduction in supply of some key brands such as Rolex. And as I mentioned, as an answer to the last question from Priyanka, the Rolex supply situation has improved. But not only that, I think we saw a lot of traction coming from the additional sales that -- the end of year sales that was launched in December, which was successful for us, and December was a good month. Of course, it was at the cost of slightly higher discounting, but the same-store growth did perk up. Does that answer your question, Shalini?

Shalini Gupta

analyst
#17

Yes, yes, sir. And by -- I mean, by your this thing, we should be seeing a substantial jump in Ethos EBITDA next year, given that these stores will -- the new stores will start delivering more. Is that correct?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#18

That's absolutely right. That's absolutely right. We expect to see a sharp jump in EBITDA due to the full operation of these new stores. And as I've mentioned, we are already seeing a fabulous traction in most of these stores. I would not say all, because in 1 or 2 stores, we are looking at some challenges, and we are addressing them through a very focused marketing and digital marketing campaign. But the main stores such as Kolkata, Hyderabad, even Chennai and the Chanakya in Delhi, they are turning out a fabulous performance and traction.

Shalini Gupta

analyst
#19

So sir, if you could just give -- I'm not asking for a guidance but some kind of understanding as to how much the EBITDA margin -- I mean, on an adjusted basis, how much we should -- what kind of EBITDA margin we should see in Ethos?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#20

So we had said -- 2 years ago, we had said that our target is that by '21, '22, when we'd outlined the plan, we should hit a EBITDA margin of 9% to 10%, right? I believe this current year is a bit of a gap in that, mainly because of the depressed consumer sentiment and coinciding with these new traction. However, we remain online to hit this 9% to 10% EBITDA margin for the year as a whole by '21, '22. And to hit this, we should -- we would probably be just somewhere between where we are today and this 9% to 10% in the next year, so that is FY '21 and hit the 9% to 10% by FY '22. That's our goal.

Shalini Gupta

analyst
#21

Okay. And sir, just one last question. On the borrowings, I mean, do you see borrowings going up? Or what is the outlook on borrowings?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#22

We don't expect borrowings to go up significantly at all. We are -- most of our stores are now generating cash. So if at all, borrowings may go up by a few crores. I don't expect any significant increase in borrowings. What is happening is, and I'm glad to report that, I sort of didn't mention that in my speech, we are signing on some exclusive brands in some of the high-priced segments. One of the brands, which is actually a major coup is a brand called Girard-Perregaux, GP. It's one of the most well-known and most historic brands in the high-priced segment. We've signed it on exclusively and other brands like this are also in the pipeline or have been signed. So we will need a -- perhaps a bit of extra borrowing to finance the rapid growth of these. But as I mentioned, I don't believe the borrowings will be significant. And our internal generation is quite capable of taking care of the growth in the watch segment.

Operator

operator
#23

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Vikram Suryavanshi from PhillipCapital.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#24

Sir, just wanted to know about Estima AG, how much -- what is the revenue in this quarter or 9-month, would it be possible? Or was it consolidated in our consol Ethos revenue? I just wanted clarity on that front. And how was the profitability for this quarter or 9-month, if you can share?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#25

Just hold-on a minute. Vikram, the revenues and -- are included in the results. The revenue at Estima for the year was about CHF 1.5 million. It's lower than what we had -- it's significantly lower than what we had budgeted. Mainly, I think I had explained in the last time that we had to go in for a substantial renovation of the factory, and much of this revenue actually started to come up after the renovation was over.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#26

Yes. And how was the profitability? And...

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#27

We had a loss of about CHF 1.3 million, which includes a depreciation loss which in previous periods was not being provided by Estima. In their previous years, Estima was not providing any depreciation, which apparently is allowed under Swiss law. However, now we have started to provide the full depreciation, including some backlogs of the past. And it was a loss of CHF 1.3 million.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#28

And by when we can see a turnaround? Any plan for that?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#29

Vikram, we have -- so I'm very hopeful that in the second half of the current fiscal, we would start to see a turnaround in terms of a profit and generally a cash breakeven in this year. We still need to make some more investments in Estima. And the reason is the following. It's actually linked to what I said in my speech. Estima was mainly focused on the mid-price segment in Switzerland, which is the price segment between $500 to $3,000 watches. As I'd mentioned, this segment is actually declining steadily, whereas the growth is happening in the segment above $3,000. Our strategy has been actually to focus on the segment above $3,000 and Estima is going to help us to focus there. But this requires a significant increase and improvement in the quality and offering of the product from Estima. Part of the investments were done last year and some investments are planned in this year, so I -- which are already actually in process. And I expect that in the second half of the current year or second half of the next fiscal, we will start to see a sharp turnaround in Estima. I can say this because we have extremely interesting leads from customers, which we have no chance to get in India. I'm talking in -- about brands in the price segment of -- and I'm not mentioning these as specific brands, only as price segments, but in the price segments of Omega, Cartier and similar brands which will never buy from India, they will never buy from Asia, and we have a very enthusiastic response from them to buy from Estima. So we are very hopeful that in -- within the next 6 months or so, we will start to see a very handsome turnaround.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#30

Got it, yes. And second, sir, this precision engineering, how was the revenue for this quarter or 9-month? And how is the outlook, given the challenge in economy?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#31

So in the -- I'll let Sanjeev -- he has the figures. I'll let Sanjeev answer this one, and I'll get back to you on the -- on how we see the prospects for this business.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#32

Sure, sir.

Sanjeev Masown

executive
#33

Vikram, during the current year, the revenue has grown by almost 12%, 13%. Last year, for the 9 months, the revenue was around INR 30 crore, whereas this year, in this period, we have reported around INR 34 crores of revenue. Whereas, if you just see for the quarter, quarter-on-quarter, there is a growth. But from previous quarter, there is a decline. From quarter 2 of this year to the quarter 3, there is a decline of around 10% revenue.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#34

And how we're seeing this export? Is there -- are there any interesting export orders and how is that outcome?

Sanjeev Masown

executive
#35

So export order position, basically, our focus is on the aerospace segment, where it takes longer time for the product approvals, but once product approvals comes, then there is some kind of lock in and it continues for a very long period. So in the -- during the current year, we have been successful in making inroads and store opening with some of the big accounts, which we are hopeful that from the coming year, the major growth of revenue from those segments may happen.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#36

Vikram, you asked a question about future prospects. I have to be -- we've been reviewing this business very closely because, frankly, it has not grown as we had expected it to over the last 12 months. Part of it is, of course, due to the slowdown in the economy, the electrical and electronics segment as well as the auto components segment. These 2 segments, we all know, have slowed down. And as a result, the demand or interest in new products offered by us or new products required, that is slow, and also existing orders are being postponed. So that is one of the impacts, but that is not the only thing. We need to reassess which are the most profitable segments. Some of the growth that has happened over the last 3 or 4 quarters has actually been in low contribution segments, and we are addressing that very actively. We are now focusing on 3 or 4 segments that actually bring us high contribution. And of course, one of them is the aerospace segment. It has a longer lead time, but we are stepping up our efforts to actually focus very intensively on this, besides, of course, continuing with the auto components and the electrical and electricals segment. We expect that in the next fiscal, even in the first half, we will see a growth in the top line, but more importantly, there will be an improvement in the EBITDA and the profitability, overall margins. From the second half of next fiscal, I think the real growth in top line will also kick in based on some of the new leads and customers that we are getting. So it's still going to be, let's say, a steady growth. There's not going to be a very sharp growth expected in the next 3 to 6 months. But from September of this year, we should start to see a growth not only in the bottom line, but also in the top line.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#37

And do we have any meaningful exposure to auto segment from this division?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#38

Sorry?

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#39

Sir, do we have any meaningful exposure to auto sector from this division?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#40

To the auto segment? Yes, we do. Yes, we do. We...

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#41

That also has...

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#42

Yes. So that has been obviously slow. So we are supplying a lot to the auto electricals, the electrical business of the automobile industry, their connectors and so on. So that has been a significant part. And obviously, it has -- there's been a marked slowdown over there. We're not seeing a very specific turnaround there. There seems to be a turnaround in the electronics and electrical segment, slow turnaround. Yes. And in the aerospace segment, again, I don't think the Make in India part is taking off soon. But there we are focusing much more on direct exports.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#43

And last question, sir, about this watch component. Similarly, if you can give a comment in terms of quarter or 9-month revenue? And how is the outlook for hands and dial?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#44

So on the hands and dials, as I mentioned, a lot of our hands and dial business in the past has been focused on brands in the segment below this $3,000. We have gained market share significantly in this segment, but the fact is that this segment is declining. I mentioned, we have gained market share in the Indian producers, which have grown. So Titan has grown, Timex has grown, Fossil Group has grown, and we've gained market share in that. But the profitability and margins in the supply to the Indian segment are lower than export to Switzerland. And therefore, that is one reason why even though top line has grown, some margins have declined a bit. That is because of the change in the product mix. Going forward, our strategy is to reduce our dependence on the price points below $3,000 and increase our business in the price points of watches above $3,000. This is already happening, as I'm speaking, and the inclusion of Estima is further actually enabling us to go more into this segment. We believe that both the watch component business, dials and hands, they will continue to see a growth in the top line and the profitability, which has declined slightly in the last [Technical Difficulty] will be revived. I do want to add that we are anticipating a impact of this coronavirus. In the short run, it may hurt us because a lot of brands depend on Chinese vendors for some components. They also depend on sales in China and to Chinese people. So if the sales falls or the component supply, their supply chain is disturbed, the production and sale of Swiss watches in this segment will fall, the sale and the production. And we are starting to see some impact in terms of delays of -- postponements of deliveries and so on. I believe this will last for a couple of months. We are all hopeful that in the next 6 to 8 weeks, this coronavirus spread will be halted. The long-term impact of this coronavirus scare is going to be extremely beneficial for us. Let me explain how. For the last 3, 4 years, we've been hearing about brands wanting to de-risk from China. They have too much exposure to sourcing in China, and they want to spread their risks by starting to buy in other countries. We are standing by and waiting for this opportunity to come to us. Unfortunately, it has not happened fully. It has happened a bit, but not fully because brands hesitate to change from the supply chain that is already established in China. China logistics is better. They have their purchasing offices in China. They have to travel to China more frequently because it's a larger market. India is seen as a little bit more complicated. Logistics is not that easy. Shipments out of India take a little bit more time due to customs procedures and so on. So they have not really made the full effort to derisk from China. Now with the impact of this coronavirus, I think at the top management levels, in all the brands, we are hearing of this tremor, this -- it's like almost like a Tsunami. And they're saying that we cannot be so dependent on China that both our market and our supply chain can be jeopardized at the same time. So we believe that whether it is Swiss brands, whether it is Japanese brands like Citizen, Seiko, Casio, or whether it is American fashion brands like Timex and Fossil, all of which are active in India, they will look much more actively in sourcing out of India. We believe that the positive impact of this will start to be felt already in the next fiscal year, from quarter 2 onwards from the next fiscal.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#45

Okay. That was really helpful. Just for housekeeping, if you can just share, how was the absolute number for this quarter and 9 months from overall watch component, excluding precision engineering?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#46

So the watch component in this -- year-to-year for the -- year-to-date, it has grown by 5%, just the watch component business. And in this quarter, it has declined by 5% compared to quarter 3 of last year. But for the year -- so in this quarter, there is a decline of 5%. For the year as a whole, there's an increase of 5%.

Vikram Suryavanshi

analyst
#47

And what was the absolute revenue in this quarter?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#48

The absolute revenue in watch component in this quarter was about INR 30 crores, INR 29.95 crores.

Operator

operator
#49

The next question is from the line of Govind Saboo from IndiaNivesh PMS.

Govind Saboo

analyst
#50

Sir, just an update on the corporate holding structure of Ethos? Any development on that front?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#51

In what sense, Govind? There has not been a [Audio Gap] Are you talking in terms of the demerger?

Govind Saboo

analyst
#52

Yes, demerger, merger, there are a lot of options which are being talked about in the past.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#53

Yes. So there's not much of a change from the previous quarter. We are -- I mean, we have looked at all the options that have been presented to us by the advisers that we had appointed for it. Obviously, the most preferred option is the direct demerger and -- or the demerger and direct listing of Ethos. That cannot be achieved with SAIF Partners remaining as a shareholder in KDDL because they will not be allowed to hold shares in Ethos being a multi-brand retail company. We are in discussion with SAIF to find a solution, either if they can shift this shareholding to a compliance body or they had once hinted that they might be interested to take an exit. We are in discussion, and we are waiting for them to come back with options. The other options which were presented, which was to list through another holding company, to separate from the manufacturing company but to create a holding company for retail and to list under that, is not seen as very beneficial because, in the end, it will not achieve what we want to. The value discovery will not happen if what you do is just list with another holding company. So it's really -- we are in discussion with SAIF Partners, and we are hopeful that in the next -- over the next quarter, we will have a clear line of action on how to go about it. We are very aware that this demerger and value discovery for shareholders is extremely important. It is also important for the business because we have goals, and we have a vision to grow this business not only in the watch business to -- as I mentioned, our goal was to grow to a number of INR 1,000 crores in top line, but actually also pursue opportunities outside the watch business. And we believe that the value discovery and the recognition of the potential of our business is extremely important and the deal is -- and the direct listing of the company is important for that.

Govind Saboo

analyst
#54

Great, sir. Great for an update. Just a small question regarding the capital plan for Ethos. So I believe that since most of the expansion is now done with and the future expansion, as you told over the call earlier, it is limited to 3, 4 stores in the next year. So we are not -- is it fair to assume that there will be no more dilution in Ethos? Or there would be no more capital raise in Ethos?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#55

Yes. We have no intention of diluting for starting new stores or for any of this.

Operator

operator
#56

The next question is from the line of [ Aarush Seth from VDV Securities ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#57

I have certain set of questions. So the first one is that the other expense has been rising sharply. When do you expect the store throughput to increase?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#58

Okay. Why don't you ask all your questions, [ Aarush ] then we can answer them all?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#59

Okay. So first one was this one. And the second 1 is, the -- I would like to know the gross debt figures for KDDL stand-alone and Ethos business as on 31st December?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#60

Sorry, say that again, please. The gross?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#61

Gross debt figures for KDDL stand-alone and Ethos business as on 31st December?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#62

I'm not able to figure out. You want the gross margin, the gross profit, what...

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#63

Debt, debt. Gross -- your debt.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#64

Gross debt, debt, okay.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#65

Yes, debt, debt.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#66

Okay. Gross debt, okay.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#67

Okay. And the third one is that, how has been the traction of after-sales service segment and the secondhand watches business?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#68

Okay. So let me start by answering the last one first, which actually is an extremely exciting story. There's been a lot of effort which has gone into the after-sales service and connected to that, the pre-owned -- certified pre-owned business. On the 1st of February, we launched an independent website for the pre-owned business. It's called Second Time Zone, and I would invite you to actually go and visit it. It's Second Time Zone powered by Ethos. We are seeing a great traction in the pre-owned watch business and this is only possible because of the support of the service center. We -- just 1 minute, let me try to give you some figures here.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#69

Okay.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#70

Hang-on just a minute.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#71

Yes, sir.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#72

I'm just going to get back to you on the service and pre-owned business in [Technical Difficulty] figures of the gross debt, Sanjeev, will give them to you.

Sanjeev Masown

executive
#73

In KDDL, our debt is INR 50 crores. This is including the deposits which we take from the members. And in addition to that, the working capital borrowings is around INR 20 crores. This is the figure from December end. And for the Ethos, the gross debt, which is mainly the working capital, around INR 72 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#74

Okay. Sir, and the first question?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#75

And the other -- first question, so other expenses, yes, it's true, other expenses have gone up. This is due to 3 main reasons. First, of course, is the rent and running expenses of the 6 flagship stores. And the revenues from these stores are still growing -- are still building up. So this is the first impact. Second is, a lot of the growth in the existing stores have happened in the duty-free stores, Delhi and a bit in Bangalore, and these are stores with quite a heavy revenue share. So obviously, it has led to a good profit, but overall expenses of rent go up quite substantially because of the growth in the duty-free stores. And third, the entire vertical of pre-owned watches and service centers, in fact, we are having to expand our service center to cater to the needs of the pre-owned segment. There also, expenses have gone up and the revenues are still to come through. You asked a question as to when the revenues will start to kick in. You will start to see the revenue kicking in from -- you will start to see the margins being impacted very positively already from this quarter and the revenues to start kicking in from the next quarter. Why is there a difference? Let me explain. In this quarter, we have taken the -- we've taken a position of actually focusing on gross margin by a very strong control on overall discounts. You will notice that in quarter 3 of last year, although the top line went up a lot of same-store growth, but the margin didn't go up because the overall gross -- sorry, the discount, consumer discount went up due to the sales that we had done. We're now backing down on that. And we are bringing discounts down, which is also supported heavily by the brands. They want to see lower discounts. And this is already happening. So we will actually see a jump in the gross margin during this quarter and a sharp rise in the top line starting from next quarter as the sales of the new stores start to pick up. On the after sales service, I'm not able to get the figures readily. Sekhar is not here, unfortunately. But if you don't mind, I'll get back to you by tomorrow or someone will get back to you on the figures of aftersales service and pre-owned watches.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#76

No problem, sir.

Operator

operator
#77

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Lalaram Singh from Vibrant Securities.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#78

I was wondering where were you.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#79

Last in queue.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#80

Always good to talk to you. Welcome.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#81

Sir, first question is on Ethos. We have not seen a proportionate increase in the employee expense. It's showing INR 8.1 crores in this quarter. In the previous quarter, it was INR 8.7 crores. So they've actually gone down. So may I understand what's happening there?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#82

Okay. Any other questions?

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#83

Second question is, in the light of current macro environment, I was surprised to see such a strong growth. So may I know at what rate would the industry would have grown in this quarter to get a sense of how much market share we have gained? Third question, I wanted to understand in the pre-owned watch business, how does the mechanics work in the sense that the customers would be scattered across the country, so do they have to ship their watches to the service center or we collect from their home or whichever location they want to, and then we ship them in the center and then we give a code, so to understand the exact mechanics? Or is it that we also put those watches on sale in our stores across pan India level? How does that -- stocking of those watches happen? If you can just explain that process, that'll be helpful?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#84

Okay. Okay. So let me answer the -- all of them. Sorry, the first one was?

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#85

Employee expense at Ethos.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#86

Employee expense, right. So there are 2 reasons for that, Lalaram. One is, of course, we have been very cognizant of employee expenses having gone up. And so there has been a control on that. Second, there were some provisions made in Q2 for variable pay based on overall profit. And since the overall performance for the year is now likely to be less than the budget that what we had provided with, so there has been a reversal of that. So these are the two reasons for variable pay and the provisions for variable pay and overall a reduction as well. So that is one. Second, on the market share. So what is interesting is that for the year, the Swiss watch export to India...

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#87

Has reduced.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#88

Has reduced. It's a decline of about 2.5%, if I'm not mistaken.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#89

Right. Around 149 million, yes.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#90

Correct. It's about 2.5%, whereas we have gone up by about 7 -- and what's the overall growth? Just 1 minute. In Ethos, overall YTD growth is about 8% higher, right? So 8% higher growth in Ethos versus a 2.5% reduction in Swiss watch exports, and we are basically concerned with Swiss watches. We are not really talking about watches of fashion brands which are not Swiss. That's anywhere a small portion of what we are dealing. So overall, we have gained market share. Now we can work back and see what is the gain in market share. But the fact that we have grown 8%, while the overall market seems to have declined a bit marginally by 1% or 2% or 3%, shows that we have gained traction. Now I'm coming to the point about the pre-owned watches and let me explain how it works. So first of all, right now, obviously, the main attention is in Delhi where we have the service center, and Bombay. Anyway, Delhi and Bombay are the 2 main areas where we find people interested in selling their watches. These watches, first of all, they are -- the discussion happens over phone with our pre-owned watch consultants. We've got 3 senior consultants. If the watch appears to be interesting and genuine, then we -- the collection is arranged through our local stores, whichever is closest to the customer and are brought to the service center. The service center examines them to check; a, whether they are genuine; b, whether they have the requisite documentation; and c, whether -- as to their salability. And that is when -- so if everything looks okay, then we take it on and put it on the website. We are not planning to -- as of now, we are not planning to sell or display any of these watches at any of our existing stores. They are mainly featured only on the website, and the sale will happen through the website. Delivery could be organized through our existing stores, but as of now, there is no plan to display these pre-owned watches at any of the stores. There is a potential conflict that might arise by displaying these stores at the current -- by displaying these watches at the current stores. So for the moment, we are not planning to do that. There is a plan, perhaps to create a dedicated physical store in Delhi and eventually in Mumbai for pre-owned watches, which will not be connected to the stores for the new watches.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#91

Understood. And these will be branded as Second Time Zone or we have not thought about that aspect?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#92

Well, the website is Second Time Zone powered by Ethos. And that is somehow in line with trends across the board, where in the pre-owned watch segment and in fact, pre-owned other luxury products as well, there are other websites, websites that have been purchased by large brands. So I think a distinction between the identity for new products and for pre-owned products is in line with global trends also.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#93

Got it. One more question, was around -- in terms of the sales for Ethos, what percentage would be based on EMIs? Is it -- that number?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#94

I'll have to get back to you on that, Lalaram. But I have to tell you that it's not very significant. We have been wanting to focus a bit on this. But right now, even with this, the problems with NBFCs and the imperative has really been to grow the ultra-luxury segment with the flagship stores. So I think that has taken a bit of a back seat, but we do believe that's an important direction in the future, and the revival of the NBFC, I think, will also help for that.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#95

But is it a common phenomenon globally, wherein people use finance borrowings to buy watches? I think it's a question of culture, and -- that it's not a question of availability of credit I think, because I think...

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#96

It depends -- it varies. For example, in the U.S., it's reasonably common. Outside the U.S., it's not very popular.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#97

Got it. Can I pitch in 1 more question?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#98

Yes. Go ahead.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#99

Yes. So with the current footprint which is around 72,000 square feet, if I'm wrong, what is the kind of sales which we think we should do to justify this current retail footprint?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#100

I believe that there's not going to be a great increase in the store count in the future. If I consider INR 1,000 crores as a kind of benchmark that we've sort of aimed at and I believe it is possible to reach this figure over the next, I would say, 2 to 3 years, right, I don't believe that we need to increase the store count from the current level of 55 stores. Maybe it will go to about 60, 62, but earlier, we used to talk about 80 and 85 stores, I don't think that's necessary. What will happen is that some smaller stores will close down and we will rather go towards larger stores but fewer stores. So in terms of square footage, I think it will go up probably by another, I could say, probably by another 10,000 square feet or so. We know that in Mumbai, there's going to be a large flagship store coming up. Maybe in Delhi, there's going to be another large flagship store. Other than that, there'll be a few smaller stores. But I don't expect that the square footage is going to go up by more than 10% to 12%, 15% over the next 3, 4 years, or let's say, 2 or 3 years, whereas, I believe that we should be able to step up billings to between INR 900 crores to INR 1,000 crores within this period.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#101

So effectively you're saying that around 80,000 square feet would be enough to support the billings of INR 900 crores to INR 1,000 crores?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#102

Correct.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#103

So that implies that we'll be increasing our revenue per square feet beyond INR 1 lakh, which is the kind of peak, which we have seen in the last 3, 4 years. So you'll be moving beyond that?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#104

Definitely, we -- this will be impacted not only because of better throughput, but also because the average price point of what we are dealing is also starting to go up. And we are seeing that stores in which we deal with higher price points actually deliver a much greater throughput per square foot and also greater profitability.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#105

May I know the average ticket size in this quarter?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#106

Let me just check if we have it. We have it? The average ticket size in this quarter? Just give me a minute. Lalaram, let me get back to you on the exact per unit billing.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#107

Okay. No issues. There were a couple of numbers which I wanted to confirm, which I missed. The gross profit share for exclusive brands, which you mentioned, can you please repeat that for me?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#108

So exclusive brands contributed 22.1%.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#109

On the revenue side?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#110

On the revenue side and 22.6% for 9 months. Only talking exclusive brands. We don't have the contribution of exclusive brands here. Do we have it here? Just hold-on. You want this for the quarter or 9-month period?

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#111

For the quarter.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#112

For the quarter, okay. Just hold-on. Sorry, it's about 33%, 32.8% for the quarter.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#113

32.8%.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#114

Of the gross margin. So 22.1% for the top line and 32.8% for the gross margin.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#115

Understood. And for the Estima, you had mentioned the losses were CHF 1.3 million, is it?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#116

Correct.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#117

That was for 9-month period or for this quarter?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#118

For the 12-month period. It's 12-month period.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#119

12 month ending December.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#120

Ending December, correct.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#121

Okay. Okay. Got it. And one final question is, in light of the slowdown in the entire economic -- economy and maybe consumption as well in other sectors, are we seeing any good prices for rental locking -- to lock prices for our rents in stores, new stores? Or...

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#122

Most -- so the 3 new stores that we are going to do, those were negotiated and agreed already about 12, 15 months ago. We are not really signing up any new stores for the moment.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#123

Got it.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#124

And -- yes. So I'm not really very sure whether we are going to be able to do that.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#125

Got it, got it.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#126

If, I think, are coming up for -- I think what is going to happen is that there are some stores which are coming up for renewal of lease. Typically, at the renewal of lease, there's a 20%, 25% increase that happens. We're probably going to be able to negotiate that down a bit.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#127

Got it, got it.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#128

The thing is that top locations, there's always people who want to take up the top locations.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#129

Yes, so they're unaffected by the general macro.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#130

Yes. And B class locations, we are not even interested to renew them. So we are actually walking out of some of them.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#131

And those 5 stores which you plan to close, how much would they contribute in terms of revenues, around INR 10 crores, around that figure or less or significantly more than that?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#132

I think it would be around INR 10 crores, maybe a little bit more. One of them -- so these are typically stores that are not yielding profits, that are not throwing out cash, and they don't really have much impact -- they're not of much strategic impact either. If they lock in a lot of cash, a lot of working capital which we can actually better utilize stocks which can be better utilized in other stores, and also, they're not providing any sort of great strategic value, these are the stores that we are planning to close.

Lalaram Singh

analyst
#133

Okay. And in the largest stores, how is the inventory turnover which you feel is possible because you had mentioned that the rental and other expenses as a percentage of sales would definitely be lower because of higher throughput? But the inventory days, do you see that there is -- it is significantly better on a steady-state basis?

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#134

What happens is that initially, the stock turn at these stores is a little bit low. And the reason is that part of the whole flagship offering is that not only is it a large store with a lot of brands, but it also offers a large variety within each brand. And that is why it becomes a destination for shoppers. But what happens is that over time, these stores continue to grow strongly, whereas smaller stores starts to peter off. A good case in point was the first 12, 13 years of our store in Chandigarh, the first store that we had opened which we have now closed down because it was replaced by the new store at Elante Mall, but this store being a 2,500 square feet store, much larger than normal stores for its time, for 12 to 13 years, it continued to show a same-store growth of 10% to 12%. So in the later periods, these flagship stores actually become destinations when they turn out a lot more profit without an increase in turnover. So their operating leverage really kicks in. So it's -- in the initial period, stock turn is low, but over time, it improves and your overall throughput is much better.

Operator

operator
#135

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I now hand the conference over to the management for the closing comments.

Yashovardhan Saboo

executive
#136

With this, we come to an end of today's conference call, and I wish to thank all participants for being here with us and sharing your comments and questions. Thank you very much.

Operator

operator
#137

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of KDDL Limited, that concludes this conference call. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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