Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc (KNSA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 8, 2024

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 33 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Anupam Rama

analyst
#1

All righty. Let's go ahead and get started. Welcome, everyone, to the 46th -- 42nd Annual JPMorgan Healthcare Conference. My name is Anupam Rama. I'm one of the senior biotech analysts here at JPMorgan. I'm joined by my squad, Malcolm Kuno, Priyanka Grover and LaRhea Hall. Our next presenting company is Kiniksa and presenting on behalf of the company, we have CEO, Sanj Patel. Sanj?

Sanj Patel

executive
#2

Thank you, Anupam. Always a pleasure, and thank you to JPMorgan for hosting us today. It's good to be here and see all of you in person. I'm joined by a fabulous team, I must say, that helped us position ourselves to both near and long-term growth. Today, I'll provide a corporate overview, also our strategy moving forward, our commercial execution with ARCALYST as well as give you an overview of our portfolio. Please note, I will be making forward-looking statements today that are subject to risks and uncertainties. A review of those statements and risk factors are found on this slide as well as on the heading of Risk Factors in our SEC filings. This is what Kiniksa is all about. The patient on this slide is Ana, and she suffers from recurrent pericarditis. It's our goal to help many more patients like her by providing life-changing therapies. I'm going to show you a short video of just some of the patients that we've been able to help to date as well as just how serious and debilitating this disease is. [Presentation]

Sanj Patel

executive
#3

Thank you for watching that. We are building a generational company by acquiring, developing and commercializing our assets. The company was formed just 8 years ago, and we focused on creating significant optionality. We acquired programs that had differentiated mechanisms and all with the aim of helping those patients with debilitating diseases. Fast forward to today, we have a commercial asset called ARCALYST that has growing revenues. We also have a pipeline program called KPL-404 or abiprubart or abi for short that we just had results announced last week. Our corporate strategy has allowed us to really focus in on capital allocation. And looking to the future, we plan to increase value by focusing on the following key areas, and that's continuing to build the recurrent pericarditis market with ARCALYST, completing the Phase II study of abiprubart and announcing next steps for that program, maintaining a strong financial position and allocating capital to the greatest value drivers. Kiniksa offers a unique and compelling value proposition, and we're well positioned for significant growth. We're in a position of financial strength that's largely driven by the growing ARCALYST revenues. And it's thanks to our thoughtful investments in the commercial infrastructure that the ARCALYST collaboration was profitable after only 3 quarters after launch. Our near and midterm financial priorities are: to continue the solid double-digit revenue growth from ARCALYST; increasing the collaboration profit; and importantly, self-funding our pipeline growth. The 2 pillars of the company are the cardiovascular and the emerging autoimmune franchise. I'll focus on the cardiovascular side first with ARCALYST, which is an IL-1 alpha and IL-1 beta inhibited -- inhibitor. In just 3.5 years, we ran both a Phase II study, a Phase III study, got Breakthrough Therapy designation, Orphan Drug designation and attained FDA approval in March of '20, 2021. In fact, it is the only FDA-approved therapy for recurrent pericarditis. And since launch, we've been establishing ARCALYST as the standard of care for this disease. And it's certainly our goal to reach as many more recurrent pericarditis patients as possible. And we're doing that by having a strong focus on sales force excellent. In fact, since launch, our field teams have been working diligently to reach those patients with the highest unmet need. They initially focused on the approximately 14,000 patients that suffer from 2 or more recurrent pericarditis events every year. But on top of those 14,000, there's another approximately 26,000 patients that are on their first recurrence. And thanks to the broad ARCALYST label, we're already seeing some physicians prescribing for those additional patients. It's the registry and other initiatives that are allowing us to continue to expand the knowledge both around ARCALYST and recurrent pericarditis. And we have a personalized treatment support program that is called Kiniksa OneConnect that is helping patients through their journey. Slide 8 shows our unaudited net revenue numbers. Q4 represented another quarter of consistent growth for ARCALYST. The net revenue number of $71 million represents roughly 78% annual growth versus the fourth quarter of 2022. Our full year net revenue for '23 was $233 million. And our most recent guidance was $220 million to $230 million. At the end of Q4, we've penetrated roughly 9% into the target patient population. And our goal is to increase that number significantly going forward. Slide 9. So we've already made tremendous progress towards that additional growth, and we're already seeing increasing patient and physician adoption. In fact, thanks to the experience we've had to date as well as the data that we've generated to date, we've outlined some core priorities to help us achieve that future additional growth. And this includes ensuring that physicians have a proactive mindset when identifying and treating patients with recurrent pericarditis. It's overall increasing the awareness around ARCALYST, advancing the steroid-sparing treatment paradigm and educating the entire community on the duration of disease and the treatment duration. It's because of all of those and the importance of face-to-face interactions with physicians that we've recently expanded our sales force. We're now starting 2024 with roughly 85 representatives. And our goal here is to increase the number of patient enrollments starting this year. So Slide 10 shows you that we've had tremendous growth with ARCALYST since we launched in April of 2021. And it's thanks to that execution as well as our projections for future growth that we anticipate that our net revenue for 2024 will be between $360 million and $380 million. Slide 11 and moving on to the advancing autoimmune franchise. And that's now particularly with KPL-404, or abiprubart or abi. This is a monoclonal antibody that inhibits the signaling between CD40 and CD154. And I mentioned that we announced data last week from the Phase II study. That study was designed to evaluate the efficacy, dose response, PK and the safety of chronic subcu dosing over a period of 12 weeks. Slide 12 gives you an overview of that data. We saw a meaningful clinical effect in the 3 doses reported so far. In cohorts 1 and 2, multiple doses of abiprubart were well tolerated and supported the advancement to cohort 3, which is the proof of concept portion. In that cohort, the primary efficacy was statistically significant at the 5 mg per kg weekly dose level. However, owing to a notably high placebo rate, the 5 mg per kg biweekly dose level was not statistically significant. And in terms of safety overall, abi was well tolerated and there were no dose-related adverse events reported. In terms of target engagement, abiprubart significantly reduced rheumatoid factor by over 40% in both dose levels of cohort 3. And this is an important clinical marker of disease activity as well as an autoantibody PD marker. Overall, the data demonstrates that abiprubart showed strong biological activity and the potential to reduce autoantibody production in autoimmune disease. Obviously, we're looking now forward to the cohort 4 data that we anticipate in Q2 of this year. We'll look at the totality of the data and then determine the next steps for the program. Obviously, very excited about that while, as always, being credibly data-driven and thoughtful about our capital allocation. So as you can see, we've made a lot of progress over the last few years with both ARCALYST and abiprubart. Kiniksa also has a molecule called mavrilimumab. This is an anti-GM-CSF molecule that we've taken through successful studies and, in fact, through Phase II studies now in RA and giant cell arteritis. We're now positioned and looking for potential partnerships because we believe that mavrilimumab has a number of indications that it could be -- have an impact on. We, in fact, do have an existing strategic license agreement with Huadong Medicine, and that's to develop and commercialize both ARCALYST and mavrilimumab across the Asia Pacific region, excluding Japan. We also have a license agreement with Roche/Genentech to develop and commercialize vixarelimab. This is an anti-IL-31 and oncostatin M antibody that we developed through Phase IIb in prurigo nodularis. Our execution has laid the path for continued commercial success and advancing our portfolio in 2024. Obviously, very excited about the growing ARCALYST revenues and the pipeline in general. But business development is also a key part of our overall corporate strategy, and we continue to look for molecules that have strong biologic rationale and validated mechanisms. We're particularly interested in late-stage immunology products and cardiology products where we could leverage our existing specialty field force. Importantly, we are well financed, and our cash flow and cash reserves allow us to operating our business into at least 2027 and gives us immense optionality to invest in our business. Ultimately, we're also very excited about the future. I'll start -- I will end how I started, which is that we're determined to produce more life-changing therapies to help patients and to also building sustainable value. So with that, I want to thank you all for being here and listening in. I'll hand you back to Anupam for the Q&A session, and so will the team members may join me on stage. Thank you.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#4

Thanks, Sanj. So like I've said in other sessions, there's kind of 3 things I want to highlight. There are 3 ways to ask a question, right? So old-school, raise your hand, and I'll call on you. There's the portal. You can submit your question in the portal, it'll show up on the iPad, and I'll ask it for you. Or there's like an intermediate route where you can just e-mail me. So -- and I'll ask your question. But we do actually have a couple of e-mail questions that came to me. So I'll ask them. But -- so there have been no U.S.-based American guidelines for recurrent pericarditis. With the efficacy that you've seen with ARCALYST, how is the company working with KOLs to get guidelines in place?

Sanj Patel

executive
#5

Sounds like a great John question to me.

John Paolini

executive
#6

Thanks, Anupam, and I appreciate the question. So as you know, professional guidelines, whether they're coming from the American Heart Association, American College of Cardiology, are initiated by those by those organizations. And so in that sense, they take the initiative. What we can say is that the last -- our guidelines that were taken up were in 2015, and those were the European Society of Cardiology guidelines. Those predated pretty much all activity in the space. The American Heart Association, American College of Cardiology have picked up on those, and those are the guidelines that are out there. But I think importantly, these European guidelines because they predated a lot of this work, positioned interleukin-1 pathway inhibition after failure for NSAIDs and colchicine as well as corticosteroids. And so what we're seeing is initiative on the part of individual academic investigators, who are writing in the literature their thoughts about the management of recurrent pericarditis and the advancement or the evolution of that treatment paradigm with the availability of ARCALYST as the only approved therapy of recurrent pericarditis, and specifically pointing out that the data from RHAPSODY point -- a steroid-sparing paradigm, as Sanj mentioned, meaning the idea here is not only in taking patients who are dependent upon corticosteroids and helping them to come off of that with monotherapy rilonacept or ARCALYST but also advancing the treatment paradigm such that patients who are failing NSAIDs and colchicine could be started on ARCALYST instead of going to corticosteroids, and thus, the 2 manifestations of corticosteroid sparing. And so that approach in the literature is where the academic community is at this point in providing guidance other clinicians about how to manage the disease.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#7

Another e-mailed question we have is what are the range of scenarios that are -- that come to fruition for KPL-404.

Sanj Patel

executive
#8

Well, first of all, we're very excited about the molecule. And I think what we've learned from Phase II across all cohorts is that we have a very active molecule. Obviously, very pleased with what we've seen so far. Clearly, I did say, though, that there was a notably high placebo rate, which unfortunately meant that the 5 mg per kg dose level didn't meet statistical significance at the biweekly level, but certainly met at the weekly. But having said that, certainly pleased with the activity level. I think there are a number of next steps. There will be a next step. I think we will look forward to the full dataset, and what we've shown so far is the top line data. But once we've seen the totality of the data together with the data from cohort 4, I think the plan is elucidate next steps, and I'm sure there will be a clinical trial plan that we hope to -- we expect to announce that shortly after seeing the cohort 4 data. What that exactly will be remains to be seen. I think we'll look, obviously, the dosing dynamics, which is very important to ensure we're designing the next trial correctly. Obviously, the big question on everyone's list is what's the indication. And we look forward to announcing that shortly after the cohort 4 data. Anything to add, John?

John Paolini

executive
#9

[ It's a great time ].

Anupam Rama

analyst
#10

Questions from the audience?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#11

Just on cohort 3, the statistics on that? Or would you have any statistics you could do with a placebo arm or to a prior placebo arm or something along those lines?

John Paolini

executive
#12

Right. So the analysis that was undertaken first shows a change from baseline. And so in that sense, using the model that are just for baseline characteristics, it shows a very strong effect, if you will, in both the weekly and the biweekly dose. And then, of course, then there's the placebo adjustment that took place. And so while numerically similar in terms of the weekly and the biweekly, it was only the weekly dose that achieved statistical significance in that. As Sanj mentioned, it is due in part to a high placebo effect. In terms of looking into the statistical analysis further to understand -- we have not seen so far any particular markers that point to why that result might be the case. It is what it is. We can always speculate a bit. But one thing that we have noted, of course, is that the nature of that portion of the clinical trial was that there was weekly intervention, if you will. The patients came in for dosing either placebo every week, active drug every week or alternating active and placebo. And so sometimes in clinical trials, when you have a high-touch environment, that can increase the placebo effect. It can also increase the compliance with oral medications that patients are taking in the background. And there are a number of different factors. I think at the end of the day, it is what it is. I think one other piece that we can distill from the dataset beyond the DAS28-CRP is to look at responder analyses as well as to look at the ACR results, which again point to a similarity in response between the weekly and the biweekly dose. So maybe that's helpful.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#13

Cohort 3 in the second quarter -- am I...

John Paolini

executive
#14

Cohort 4.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#15

Sorry, cohort 4. What would be the statistics you would use in that press release?

John Paolini

executive
#16

Well, let me just tell you about the design of the study. So the design here is a 3:2 randomization of 400 milligrams given subcutaneously monthly after a loading dose. And it's a similar 12-week DAS28-CRP end point. The difference in the trial design, however, is that it's a lesser-touch intervention, if you will, and that patients are coming in only every month for their clinical dosing. And so in that sense, it more replicates, for example, clinical practice. Whether that -- how that plays out into the actual dataset, we just simply have to see, but it's similarly powered to be able to discern a difference between active and placebo.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#17

Questions from the audience?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#18

Can you talk about where you think the therapy that you're developing for rheumatoid arthritis would fit in? There's lots of drugs in that disease. But clearly, you've chosen to do this because you think it's going to be additive. Or in some way, how do you see that?

Sanj Patel

executive
#19

Yes. Maybe I'll start, and then John, you can take over. Actually, the Phase IIb in RA was primarily because RA is a well-characterized disease and it would be a very good proxy or a good marker of disease activity. And so the idea was always that we would do that Phase II trial, understand the data and really apply it to other indications that are more suited to a company of our size that could potentially commercialize that really well. So really, RA -- now not to say that potentially, there is a path forward in RA with partnerships and larger companies. Obviously remains to be seen on the totality of the data. And as John mentioned, this is a highly active drug. And there was, as I showed in the presentation, a very significant reduction in rheumatoid factor, over 40% in both dose levels of cohort 3. But really, RA was chosen as a sort of first step into smaller indications. And those are -- that indication would be announced after cohort 4.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#20

Good. That makes good sense.

Sanj Patel

executive
#21

Yes. Thank you.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#22

Questions from the audience? Oh, there's one right there.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#23

How should we think about the peak sales opportunity in recurrent pericarditis?

Sanj Patel

executive
#24

Yes. We've not -- I mean, I'm sure I'll let Ross say a few words as well, but we've not discussed the peak sales opportunity. Suffice to say that we have said that we believe it's a great opportunity with ARCALYST as the right drug, as I mentioned earlier on. We've said that we're now around 9% penetration in the target patient population. That's up from 5% last announced, which tells you that there is significant room for us to penetrate with ARCALYST. But yes, we're very pleased. I mean we're obviously investing in the infrastructure. We've said that we've increased our sales force from 50 now to around 85. That tells you, again, we're willing to invest in that, and we believe that we can have a positive return. But as far as the peak, it remains to be seen.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#25

On the guidance that you gave for ARCALYST, $360 million to $380 million, that came in I think around $20 million ahead of consensus at the bottom end. What were the key metrics and levers that were underpinning this guidance?

Ross Moat

executive
#26

Yes. Thanks, Anupam. So I'm happy to take that one. Yes, we were happy to share that the final revenue for the close of the year was $233.1 million, which is a 90% year-on-year growth, and then guide into 2024 $360 million to $380 million. And our ability to do that is ultimately through the underlying fundamentals of the commercialization. So whether we look at the prescriber rates and the number of prescribers that we have, we ended 2023 with more than 1,700 prescribers, which is up more than double from the year previously. If you look at the compliance rates on therapy, we've got a strong, robust compliance rate of around 85%. The payer approval rate continues to remain very strong across the board, across all the different payer mixes of greater than 90%. And then if you look at duration of therapy, that has continued to elongate since the time of our launch, most recently going up from an average around 20 months of treatment duration per patient to now around 23 months. So I think with those underlying fundamentals that we have across the business as well as the expansion of the field team that Sanj mentioned and the fact that we ended last year with around 9% penetration into the 14,000 patient population, which is those with multiple recurrences, and also acknowledging that on top of that, there's another 26,000 patients on their first recurrence of pericarditis, that gives us the belief and the trajectory to get towards the guidance we provided for this year.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#27

And you mentioned duration. So that seems to be driven by about the 45%-or-so patients that restart, right? And how do you expect duration would be -- would evolve? And what about those 50% of patients that don't restart? I mean the data suggests that the symptoms return quickly from RHAPSODY. So like what's stopping them from restarting therapy?

Ross Moat

executive
#28

Yes. Maybe I'll take that one as well. John, feel free to add anything if you wish. So when we look at the duration of therapy, firstly, we look at the initial duration of therapy. So once someone starts on ARCALYST, we see that they usually stay on ARCALYST for an average of around 15 months for the initial duration of therapy. Then we've seen, as you alluded to, around a 45% restart rate. So that's the total number of restarts versus all those that have stopped regardless of how long they were on ARCALYST treatment for in the first place. And that percentage has stayed stable throughout the time since launch, coming up towards 3 years now. And then if you look at the total duration, that's growing through to 23 months on average. So for those patients who have restarted, the 45%, that's showing us that some patients are having treatment throughout the course of the disease. And when you stop therapy, if there's underlying auto-inflammation still present, it's assuring that the disease will come back and the patients will continue to suffer from recurrent pericarditis and go back on to treatment. And if they are not going back on to treatment, then they've probably been treated throughout their disease course. So a big part of our job is around the education of recurrent pericarditis, the natural history of the disease. And now that we see in the commercial setting that the average duration is around 23 months, we're getting more towards the clinical setting that's showed in the long-term extension of our RHAPSODY Phase III study. The median duration was 24 months. So we're edging closer towards that. And then also acknowledging that the natural history of the disease shows that there's a median duration of disease of around 3 years and still 1/3 of the patients are suffering from the disease at 5 years out from the initial flare. So we're making progress on that, but we stay very, very focused around the education of the natural history to try to make sure the patients are firstly identified as early as possible and then they stay on ARCALYST throughout the course of the disease. So in an ideal world, we'd actually like to see the restart rates go down and patients be treated throughout the course of disease.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#29

Questions from the audience?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#30

Sanj, you mentioned 9% of the approximately 14,000 sort of multiple recurrent pericarditis patients have been penetrated by ARCALYST to date, right, which is double what you almost did last year. So are there any trends in the phenotypes of patients that have tried ARCALYST to date? And how do patients segment sort of -- physicians segment the sort of multiple recurrence market? Are the most severe patients going on? Like how -- what trends do you have?

Sanj Patel

executive
#31

Yes. I think it varies a lot. So we're still relatively early in the launch period to really sort of understand that. But I don't know, Ross, maybe you want to talk about some of the trends we've seen.

Ross Moat

executive
#32

Yes. I think the most important point is the majority of the patients that we have on treatment with ARCALYST are those that are coming from within the 14,000 patient population, so those that have had 2 or more recurrences. And that's where we're really focused as a commercial organization, where there's the clearest call to action for physicians to treat those patients and identify them, and it's what's most closely associated with what we saw from the clinical trial as well. Acknowledging that there are patients earlier on than that as well, and we are indeed seeing some patients to just do a less of an extent being treated though just on their first recurrence as well. I think the other dynamic is that we have a split between those patients that are actively in a flare versus those that are not in a flare, but it's being used as a preventative medication to, again, treat throughout the course of the disease to try and make sure those patients don't flare. So we see a 60% split of those patients that are actively in a flare when ARCALYST is prescribed and 40% where they're not. So both of those elements are very important. But we're really targeted within that 14,000 patient population.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#33

Questions from the audience?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#34

Maybe we'll switch gears from ARCALYST, but -- what do you think the Street is missing on the KPL-404 update in RA? Are there trial design differences? You did mention placebo factors worth considering when we look at the totality of the known data.

Ross Moat

executive
#35

Yes. Maybe I'll make a few comments. John, feel free to jump in. I think, obviously, our plan to elucidate next steps is going to be important. So it's tough to be able to react because they don't actually know what our next steps are. And we really are looking for the totality of the data before we elucidate that. I think that's a big piece of it. I think RA, as we've said, has always been our approach to understand the molecule, understand the power of the molecule. I think that's the big thing. Of course, it's unfortunate that high placebo rate confounded the data somewhat. But I think overall, we're really pleased. This is obviously a highly effective drug. I think it's important for us to define next steps. And I think we'll do that in a very careful, as I said, sort of capital allocation-driven and measured way.

John Paolini

executive
#36

That's great.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#37

For mavrilimumab, you've transitioned the program to now more of a partnership focus versus maybe doing like investigator-sponsored study in a trial fashion to see what the drug can do in sort of rare cardio indications. Why the strategic switch there?

Sanj Patel

executive
#38

I think it goes back to capital allocation. I think we're still very excited about mavrilimumab and the potential across a number of indications, including some of the more rare cardiac indications. But obviously, as a company, we've shown that we could do innovative deals. I mentioned the 2 other deals we've done with Huadong Medicine and also the deal with Roche/Genentech for vixarelimab. I think at the end of the day, it comes down to priorities. We feel that, that development from here will be better in somebody else's hand and allow us to continue to focus on really building the recurrent pericarditis market for ARCALYST and really then undertaking next steps with KPL-404, abiprubart. So I often say you can do anything, but you can't do everything. But it's important that what we do, do, we do well. And so that's the focus.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#39

Any final questions from the audience?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#40

Maybe a final one for me. You noted cash into 2027. I'm assuming that cash position includes at least one indication for KPL-404.

Sanj Patel

executive
#41

I mean, certainly, development and next steps for KPL-404, abiprubart, are included in our cash runway. But as I said earlier, it just gives us an awful lot of optionality to be able to invest in the business, both commercially and from a development standpoint. So without a doubt, next steps for KPL-404 are definitely within that guidance.

Anupam Rama

analyst
#42

Okay. Any final questions? All right. Thanks, Sanj and team.

Sanj Patel

executive
#43

Smashing. Thank you. Thank you so much.

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