Kuantum Papers Limited (532937) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
July 28, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Q1 FY '24 Conference Call of Kuantum Papers Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Purvangi Jain from Valorem Advisors. Thank you, and over to you, ma'am.
Purvangi Jain
attendeeGood morning, everyone. My name is Purvangi Jain from Valorem Advisors. We represent the Investor Relations for Kuantum Papers Limited. On behalf of the company, I would like to thank you all for participating in the company's earnings call for the first quarter of the financial year 2024. Before we begin, let me mention a short cautionary statement. Some of the statements made in today's earnings call may be forward-looking in nature. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those anticipated. Such statements are based on management's belief as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to the management. Audiences are cautioned not to place any undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any investment decisions. The purpose of today's earnings call is probably to educate and bring awareness about the company's fundamental business and financial quarter under review. Now let me introduce you to the management participating with us in today's earnings call and hand it over to them for opening remarks. We have with us Mr. Pavan Khaitan, Vice Chairman and Managing Director; and Mr. Roshan Garg, Chief Financial Officer. Without any further delay, I request Mr. Pavan Khaitan to start with his opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveThank you, Purvangi. Good morning, everyone. It's a pleasure to connect with all of you again, and welcome to this earnings conference to discuss the company's Q1 financial year 2024 earnings. I'm delighted to report that despite a decrease in net sales realization in the overall paper industry, we had a good year-on-year growth in Q1, and we also achieved an all-time high EBITDA margin of 35% during this quarter due to a better product mix and cost efficiencies. Furthermore, on other operational highlights, we successfully optimized the machine speeds of both PM4 and PM3, resulting in an increase in our operational efficiencies and paper production. In line with our sustainability efforts, we have installed a Sedicell at the Effluent Treatment Plant for further improvement in the quality of effluent, which will lead to reduction in overall water consumption. We also installed a Dust Suppression System for agro-raw material handling section, which will effectively minimize fugitive dust emissions. Additionally, we have expanded our production capacity for clonal saplings by 8 lakhs at our in-house clonal propagation center, as part of the Social Farm Forestry program. On the financial strength side, I would like to inform that we started last year June with a complete restructured debt of close to INR 600 crores, which after prepayment of such debt is now standing at a total debt of only INR 350 crores, out of which the restructured part is only 50% at INR 175 crores and INR 175 crores is a new loan. So there is a substantial reduction in the restructured debt from INR 600 crores to INR 175 crores today. Also, our external credit rating has increased handsomely quarter-on-quarter, 3 quarters we have been upgraded in our external rating, and it stands today at an A stable. Now I will request Mr. Roshan Garg, our CFO, giving a brief about the quarterly financials.
Roshan Garg
executiveThank you, Pavan, and good morning to all participants. I would like to provide an overview of our financial performance for the first quarter of the financial year 2024. During the year and under review, our revenue was reported at INR 313 crores, representing a 14% year-on-year increase. Our EBITDA is INR 110 crores, which is an 80% increase compared to the same period last year, and EBITDA margin stood at 35%. The significant improvement in absolute EBITDA and EBITDA margins were supported by cost reduction in agro pulp and wood pulp, which decreased by 16% and 17%, respectively, compared to the previous quarter due to lower prices of wheat straw, wood chips and veneer waste. Moreover, we effectively manage the cost of chemicals such as caustic, quick lime, sulphur and sulphur dioxide, which contributed to improved margins during Q1. Additionally, our focus on efficiency projects at the power plant resulted in noteworthy reduction of 16% in fuel consumption per tonne of paper compared to the previous quarter. As a result of these efforts, our net profit for the quarter was INR 65 crores with PAT margin of 20.8%. Thank you. With this, we open -- now open the floor to the questions and answers session.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Imran from Longbow India Capital.
Imran Khan
analystSir, can you please maybe tell us how has been the pricing for, let's say, your copier paper and the other uncoated paper category?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveINR 1,000 per tonne in this quarter...
Imran Khan
analystSorry, sir, I think there was some disturbance in the line, maybe my line. Can you please repeat?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveYes. So pricing of copier has been in the range of INR 85,000 to INR 86,000 per tonne in this quarter. And for the uncoated varieties, it is closer to about INR 87,000, INR 8,000 per tonne.
Imran Khan
analystRight. And sir, this is, I think, significantly higher if you compare, let's say, 1.5 years back when commodity prices were not very, very high. So do you see this pricing maybe coming down in the coming quarters?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo maybe in the short term, in the very next quarter, we might see a reduction and -- but that is a historical change because this is considered to be the lean season. The Q2 of every year is always the lean season where demand goes down and so does the pricing of all grades of paper. But Q3, we are again expecting the [ oil ] prices to go up again and reach nearer to current levels.
Imran Khan
analystSir, can you please also maybe enlighten us what would be the imported uncoated and copier paper prices and how they have been behaving the current new normal?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo imported copier is in the range of about $750 to $800 per tonne. And -- but we are seeing an uptrend in them, and we are witnessing an increase of almost $20 per tonne on incoming imports of copier paper.
Imran Khan
analystRight. And this is significantly lower on what you have told me the pricing that you get, so INR 85 versus INR 65 or INR 70 a kg. Why is there such a high difference in the 2 same commodities?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo it's with the marketing strength that we have in run, and we've been able to create this pan-India. We've got these about 85 to 90 dealers working for us, and we've created a market pull for all our products and including copier and it's a product mix that we sort of maintain for ourselves between the entire range of products that we make, which is copier, uncoated and specialty grades.
Imran Khan
analystRight. I get it. I hope I'm not in between other participants who want to ask questions. I just wanted to check with the operator.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveNo, no, carry on, please.
Operator
operatorSir, you may continue.
Imran Khan
analystOkay. Okay. And sir, one -- just one more thing on this copier paper side. So can you please also highlight how much per kg or per tonne transportation cost you have to pay, let's say, when you move 100 or 200 kilometers from the factory.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveWell, normally, we take -- we give supplies in truckloads. We are not distributing in the kind of quantities that may be being suggested. But even over a span of 100 or 200 kilometers, we have, in fact, invested in our own trucks now and which will cover these shorter distances. But entire truckloads will go and the logistics cost will be close to about INR 1,500 to INR 2,000 per tonne.
Imran Khan
analystINR 1,500 to INR 2,000. And I'm assuming, let's say, the competitors -- not competitors, but the people who are importing, they will first get the product to the coastal areas. And then from there, do they use road transportation or they go for railways because railways is a much cheaper mode of transportation, right? So what is your sense, sir, how they are doing the business, the imported paper guy?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo you're right there. They first need to land on the coastal regions and then the normal road transport is a normal course of transporting all these goods because railways, if you say, even though it's more effective, but the entire load becomes much more, the MOQs are much more there for railways. So it's much more efficient to transport all these materials through road.
Imran Khan
analystAnd if somebody is, let's say, importing from -- taking the material from Gujarat to, let's say, Delhi, I think that's a decent travel time and distance. So about 1,200 kilometers. So are they spending INR 6,400 on the product plus INR 20 on the transportation. This is how the math works?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveNo. So the transportation costs will be close to about INR 4,000 to INR 5,000 per tonne depending on how effectively they are able to arrange transport. And you can add about INR 4,000 per tonne as handling charges for this material at the port. So all in all, about INR 8,000 per tonne is what you can add to the original basic price of INR 64,000, INR 65,000 per tonne.
Imran Khan
analystRight, right. And sir, the raw material that we use, is it locally sourced for the uncoated and the other categories? Or do you also import some of the raw materials?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo Imran, all our material is sourced locally within the states of Punjab, Himachal and Haryana, and all our agro material comes from these states and even the wood is sourced locally. So all of this constitutes about almost 95% of our pulp requirement, about 4% to 5% is what we use as imported wood pulp, which is required. The softwood pulp is required to be added to maintain the dimensional stability of the paper that we produce. That's important.
Imran Khan
analystThat's right. And the chemicals, they are also within India or you import chemicals?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveAll are sourced within India.
Imran Khan
analystAll right. I'm done with my questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Hemant Nahata from YES Securities.
Hemant Nahata
analystSir, I had a question on our CapEx plans. So as I'm aware that we are upgrading some of our machines. Just wanted to know whether this will disrupt any volume in Q2, Q3 or Q4 going forward? Have you made some calculation, what kind of volume disruptions this will have?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveYes, Hemant, thank you for that question. Yes, we are in this current quarter, which is Q2, we will be upgrading both our PM1 and PM2 one after the other. And there will be a downtime of about 18-odd days, 18, 20 days on each machine. So yes, correctly assessed by you, there will be a certain downtime on these machines, which will lead to a disruption. But what we've done is that we have made our PM3 and 4 more efficient in the meantime, helping us offset a substantial part of this reduction, which comes in from PM1 and 2. So PM1 and 2 are our smaller machines, where the capacities are limited, and PM3 and 4 are our bigger machines and will be able to offset a large part of these capacity reductions.
Hemant Nahata
analystSo sir, as the calculation has to be made, we will be able to achieve at least what we have achieved as a volume during the previous year, correct sir?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveYes, we will try and maintain those kind of volumes.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Satyan Wadhwa from Profusion Investment.
Satyan Wadhwa
analystCan you share some light on what sort of volume you are expecting to do this year, given the second quarter might be a little bit softer. So what should one then expect for the second half and the full year? And how should one be thinking in terms of what the volume would be like for next year post expansion? And also what is the sustainable EBITDA per tonne that you think in terms of as a margin that you can typically intake?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo thank you for these questions. Despite this downtime, which we are going to sort of incur on upgradation of PM1 and 2. Post upgradations, there will be an increase of 50 tonnes per day on these machines. So at the year-end, we expect our increase to be in the range of -- or we will sort of close the year at about 1,62,000 or 1,64,000 tonnes at the year-end. And post completion of upgradation of our PM3 and 4, which will happen next year, we are planning to touch 2 lakh tonnes per annum.
Satyan Wadhwa
analystThat 2 lakh tonnes would be potentially achieved in FY '25? Or will that spill over into FY '26?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveNo. FY '25-'26, we will achieve because the upgradations on PM3 and 4 will be commissioned -- I mean, the commissioning will happen sometime next year by November or December.
Satyan Wadhwa
analystRight. Okay. Okay. Fine. So basically, next year, volume will be somewhere in the middle then, I guess, probably 1.7 to 1.8 or something like that.
Operator
operatorSatyan, sorry to interrupt, your voice is not coming clear.
Satyan Wadhwa
analystSorry, I was saying, so FY '25, one should work with maybe 1.7 lakh tonnes to 1.8 lakh tonnes. Is that reasonable?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveFY '25, yes, that I would say, yes, that would be a reasonable figure. We will try and achieve certainly 1.75 lakh tonnes is on the table for sure.
Satyan Wadhwa
analystOkay. Okay. And in terms of margin, given the commodity and prices go up and down, but also at some point, it becomes unviable for the marginal producers. So what would you kind of -- and given your cost advantages, what would you think is a sustainable sort of longer term when margin to assume in terms of rupees per kg or rupees per tonne as your EBITDA margin.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveI think going forward, we clearly see the current EBITDA levels are close to about INR 32,000 per tonne. I'm sure that we can maintain upwards of INR 27,000, INR 28,000 per tonne, primarily on the back of the fact that when the new education policy comes into execution, there will be a huge demand for printing requirements all across India. All entire syllabus for all classes in schools are under revision and which will require to be printed in all of the 22 languages of the country. So there will be a huge demand pull for paper products, and that is going to keep the pricing of paper products on a higher side than otherwise. So I'm very sure that a level of INR 27,000, INR 28,000 per tonne is something which is reasonably achievable.
Satyan Wadhwa
analystAnd these reprints will be required in FY '25?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveYes. The education year '24-'25.
Satyan Wadhwa
analyst'24-'25, right? Okay. So starting next year.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveYes. So the work for that will start in about September, October of this year when all the printers and publishers will start printing these books, keeping them ready for the next education year.
Satyan Wadhwa
analystAll right. That's why you were saying that third quarter onwards pricing will pick up again.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSure.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Mayur Liman from Profitmart Securities.
Mayur Liman
analystCongratulations on a good set of numbers. Sir, I just want to understand that now the agro pulp and the wood pulp cost reduced and the cost of chemical also reduced, which are the regions will drive the price of the chemical, agro pulp and wood pulp? And what kind of impact we can see after the reduction? If you provide some kind of a numeric data, it would be helpful.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo Mayur, the reduction has happened because of a reset on input pricing. The price of our main agro material, which is wheat straw, has come down from a high of about INR 10,000 per tonne to a low of about INR 5,500 per tonne today. And that's a huge reduction. On wood, the input raw material pricing has come down by about INR 2,000 per tonne. Chemicals also, there is a reset and about 10%, 12% reduction in cost of input of chemicals is also being observed. And so all this has led to a reduction of about between 15% to 17%, depending on the way we use these and optimize the efficient use of these materials. So that is what has been impacting and impacting favorably our cost of production.
Mayur Liman
analystOkay, sir. And could you please provide some kind of the outlook and the expectation for the next quarter, next 1 to 2 quarters?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveThat I think would be a forward-looking statement directly on financial results. I would want to refrain from that. But yes, we will be trying to maintain our kind of profitability that we have been doing. But the seasonal variations of cost will impact. For instance, Q2 normally is a quarter which is lower in terms of demand and pricing. So that will have some kind of impact. But Q3 onwards, we hope to see a revision upwards again.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of [ Yash Dalvi ], an Individual Investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeCongratulations on the great set of results. So I had 2 questions, sir. So what would be the time line for releasing our pledge shares and reducing the high interest rate that we have as of now?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo the proposal for release and de-pledge of shares is already with the banks. We are very hopeful that it will happen within the month of August. And the high -- as I said, the restructured debt [ already ] stands reduced from a high of INR 600 crores to today at a level of INR 175 crores only. And post this, so all -- even the revision in the interest rates for these term debt is under proposal with the banks. You will see a reduction of close to about 200 basis points or thereabouts in these costs as well.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay, sir. And another question is any updates on the INR 285 crore CapEx plan? So can you provide some insights on that?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo we are actually with this very additional and healthy inflow of sort of operational cash flows, we are relooking and reconsidering that entire capital outlay. There could be an increase there. CB upgradation of all our machines, whether we not only restricting it to machines, even our pulp mill upgradation is up for -- we are going to incur an expenditure there as well. So we will be finalizing that plan very soon. Hopefully, in the next quarter, we will finalize that and come back to the authorities and the various stakeholders with what our real plan is going forward. But yes, the INR 285 crore is possibly going to get upgraded and to be made more effective in terms of taking the entire operation more efficient.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of [ Resti Shah ], Individual Investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeCongratulations on a great set of numbers. I have a couple of questions. First one regarding the revenue mix between the writing and printing paper as compared to specialty paper and how the margins are playing out in each of these 3 verticals?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo we do about 22% to 25% on the specialty segment and the rest is all writing, printing paper distributed between copier and uncoated varieties and maplitho grades. So the margins on specialty paper are about INR 2,000 per tonne more than the other grades. Copier is about INR 2,000 lesser than the maplitho grades. And between cream wove and maplitho, maplitho is about INR 1,500 per tonne more than the cream wove grades.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeUnderstood. Second question being, how are we strategically positioning ourselves regarding paper dumping by China and the oversupply?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo the government has put in a PIMS scheme, which is Price Import Monitoring Scheme way back in September of last year, where each and every trader has to declare upfront, what is the quantity and price of material that he is going to import under each and every category. So clearly, with this -- with this condition in place, the imports of all kinds of paper is actually getting monitored and there is no sort of large-scale dumping of paper that is being observed in India. Whatever is coming in is very, very normal sort of volumes. And also the major volumes that are coming in is of a coated variety, which is not really impacting the grades of paper that we produce. We are not into the coated varieties at all. And whatever is getting imported doesn't really impact our operations.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeGot it. Got it. And last question, sir, should we expect EBITDA margins on the similar lines for the coming quarter?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveWell, there is clearly a reduction in terms of pricing for the next quarter, which will have some kind of impact for sure. But we will try and offset that by a reduction in our costs and improvement in our efficiencies. But I think Q3, we should be back into business and should be able to return EBITDA levels similar to what we are doing now.
Operator
operatorNext question is from the line of [ Vineet Jain from Wise Investments ].
Unknown Analyst
analystI wanted to understand what is the geographic revenue mix for this quarter?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo Vineet, almost 40% to 45% of our sales happens in the Northern part of our country, which is primarily Delhi. About 25% comes from the East part of our country and about 15-odd percent each -- 10% to 15% each from the West and South.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So are you trying to work out in a way where there is a balance across India?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveThis is what works good for us because one is that Delhi is the prime segment and the prime market for India as a country where 40% of the country's consumption happens here because of the establishment of a large number of printers and publishers in and around Delhi. So we are quite following the country trend, and we are well placed to serve that need because we are getting a locational advantage being close to Delhi. There are transportation and logistics costs are under control and more efficiently handled. So I think, by and large, we are very happy with this, and we are concentrating on maintaining this kind of product mix and geographical mix for ourselves.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And another question was on the expansion, like across the geographies.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveYes. So the fact is that we are working at 100% capacities today, and our existing dealer network itself is very capable of handling the increased volumes that we are going to produce of about 50,000 tonnes annually. They are very, very well capable. Each of them even today would like to take more product from us, but we distribute our products on a sort of quota basis to all our dealers, and we are encouraging all our dealers to partake in the production volumes and the operations that we do.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of [ Dhiren Pahuja ], Individual Investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo just one question on raw material side. So I mean, recently, we have seen a substantial cost reduction in raw material prices. So these prices look sustainable?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveYes, they do look sustainable, and we are seeing that the average cost for the main raw material, which is wheat straw is likely to be in this INR 5,500 to INR 6,000 per tonne only. Last year, they had gone up substantially because there was a lot of outflow of material to the neighboring states which had witnessed a kind of a drought situation, so which is not there this year. There is enough rain and the fodder availability, which is happening in the neighboring states.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeGot it. Got it. And how do you see the price trend for the paper prices for the coming quarters?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo historically, the Q2 is kind of a dampener where demand goes lower compared to other quarters. So with the demand getting lower, it obviously impacts pricing. Pricing is likely to reduce in the next quarter. But Q3 onwards with the implementation of NEP and with the advent of preparing for the next education year, there is going to be a demand pull for paper products across the country, just going to pull back and strengthen the pricing yet again. Q3 and Q4, we're going to see a witness a price rise again in all paper products.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Anup Kulkarni from PineBridge Investments.
Anup Kulkarni
analystI have a question regarding the energy cost. So could you explain that in terms of per tonne basis, what is the energy requirement? And what are the fuels which we use and what would be our per unit generation cost?
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo fuel and energy costs have come down substantially compared to corresponding quarter. Coal, which was ruling at about INR 14,000 to INR 15,000 per tonne is coming -- has come down and is now sort of priced at about INR 7,000 to INR 8,000 per tonne. Power that we are producing with the efficient use of our turbines is costing us about INR 4.2 per unit. So we are very, very efficiently handling our steam and power production. And the power usage per tonne of paper is in the range of about 1,400 units per tonne of paper. So that is what I hope I've been able to answer your question.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference to Mr. Pavan Khaitan from Kuantum Papers Limited for closing comments.
Pavan Khaitan
executiveSo thank you all for participating on this earnings con call. I hope we were able to answer all your questions satisfactorily, and at the same time, offer insights into our business. If you have any further questions or would like to know more about the company, please reach out to our Investor Relations managers at Valorem Advisors. Thank you, and good day.
Operator
operatorThank you very much. On behalf of Kuantum Papers Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.
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