Kyntra Bio, Inc. (KYNB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 25, 2020

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 26 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#1

Relatively recently appointed CEO, Enrique Conterno, and other members of the FibroGen team. Hi, Peony. So welcome to GHC this year.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#2

Thank you, Geoff.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#3

Your first GHC, how is it going?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#4

I think it's going awesome. We had a packed agenda today, met with a number of investors. Very good.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#5

Good.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#6

Yes. So let's jump right in. You mentioned a lot of questions about the launch in China. How's the launch in China going? Are you actually commercial at this point? Great news on the NRDL, but that was last year's news. So how are things going this year?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#7

Well, the NRDL was an important achievement. It was last year's news, but it was effective as of January 1. We are very much tracking, I think, and we're very encouraged with what we're seeing when it comes to both hospital listings and demand on those hospital listings. Honestly, I'm pretty impressed with what the team has achieved. Of course, we also have the coronavirus right now in China, which has meant that it is difficult to, if not impossible, to access any hospitals, and clearly, that has a bit of an impact. Roxa has a bit of a unique position in China for a number of different reasons. But as an oral product, clearly, you really don't need to go to the hospital. So when it comes to, for example, PD patients and so forth, it represents an interesting alternative for patients that really don't want to go into the hospital at this point in time. So far, I think we are very pleased with what we're seeing despite the fact that we have the coronavirus.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#8

Okay. And how is it actually working? I mean, I think your price was $2,100 or something like that and obviously equivalent in local currency. And how much of a discount are you required to take once you get the local or provincial reimbursement? And then could you talk about, in the initial demand, how patients are -- do they have significant out-of-pocket burden? Can you kind of cover that out-of-pocket burden?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#9

Sure. So I think what we've shared is that the net price that we estimate would be, getting for a patient for a full year in China, is about $1,500. The out-of-pocket is going to be dependent on the different provinces and also whether it's a dialysis patient or an NDD patient. But I think it's -- we're still in the early stages. Keep in mind that provinces were given through Q1 to be able to implement the reimbursement system. But so far, I think we are pleased with the demand. But we have to -- it's very early, I think, in the stages of the launch for us to make too many assessments in terms of what is the exact out-of-pocket that patients are paying.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#10

Okay. And are you finding that you're getting more traction in the dialysis patients or the nondialysis patients? Very much a very different context.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#11

Yes. It's difficult to say at this stage. But clearly, dialysis is a pretty big focus for us, given that those patients are treated for anemia. So -- and there is a pretty big opportunity. So that's really where the initial focus and the uptick that we expect initially is going to be, keeping in mind that the NDD opportunity also in China is a very significant one from a [ patient's ] perspective.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#12

Yes, it's obviously large. Now one of the questions that keeps coming up is the question of the ownership of the Chinese joint venture. Could you talk about the option of spinning that out or capitalizing that independently? How -- who makes the decision on that? How you might come to a decision about that?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#13

Yes. Clearly, as we think about China, there are many options the company have. At this point in time, I'm not commenting on our -- the options that we have for our Chinese business. I think my focus, and appropriately so right now as we're launching the product, have to be ensuring that we are getting the fundamentals right and that we can build and create a very significant ongoing business. I think I want to make sure that there is the focus on the task at hand right now.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#14

Okay. Now is there any intention, for example, to licensing complementary renal products or anything into that entity that you have there?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#15

We're always open to think about those opportunities, but it's not a focus for us right now. I think our focus is, once again, to grow roxa to be the type of transformational medicine that it can be. It's a pretty unique opportunity to have this type of medicine, and China represents a very significant market. Keep in mind, it is the largest dialysis market in the world and we want to -- and we have achieved reimbursement across CKD anemia and a reasonable price. So we need to make sure that we capitalize in the hand that we have right now. We're always open to look at additional opportunity, in particular, complementary opportunity, but I think it's fair to say that, that is not the focus today.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#16

Okay. Let's just pivot to talk about the U.S. market. Is your expectation that you will get essentially the same labeling and market opportunity in the U.S. as you've been given in China?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#17

Yes. So clearly, in the U.S., we submitted our application at the end of last year. We've been -- our filing has been accepted, and we have a PDUFA date of December 20 of this year. We submitted for both, dialysis-dependent and nondialysis-dependent patients, patients with anemia. So we are planning to basically pursue both opportunities. Just to give a sense of the magnitude of the opportunity. As you know, in the U.S., there's about 600,000 patients on dialysis. About 90% of those patients are treated for anemia. That gives you about 5,500 patients -- sorry...

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#18

550,000.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#19

550,000 patients that, in terms of patients, that is the addressable opportunity with roxadustat. If we think about NDD, the opportunity -- the addressable opportunity is about 10x as large. We're looking at an opportunity of about 5 million addressable patients. Keep in mind that the number of patients treated in this segment is basically in the low double digits. So you -- we are thinking about...

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#20

Sorry. As a percentage of that total treated for anemia?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#21

Correct.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#22

Okay. That's what I thought you said.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#23

So we are looking at basically an opportunity, yes, patients that are treated, but also, I think it's going to be important here, the significant expansion opportunity to be able to reach more patients for -- and for those patients to be treated. Let's keep in mind that before EPO had some of the issues and they received a black box, the rate of treatment of anemia in this population was significantly higher, right?

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#24

Yes. How high did it get? From recollection, it was in the high 20s, something like that?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#25

That is correct. I think the figures that I've seen is, when you look at the prior 12 months of going into dialysis, up to 30% of those patients used to be treated. That number today is closer to 14%.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#26

And how many do you think are actually sufficiently anemic to qualify for the label that you expect to get?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#27

Well, I think it's -- there are several questions there, a question on the label. But I do think that's the addressable population. So I'm giving you the number of the addressable population that we basically expect. It is not, to me, as much a matter of whether those patients need to be treated, but how do we ensure that we convey the right messages and the benefits of treating some of those patients. And maybe we can speak a little bit about that because there are significant benefits. Of course, when we look at -- and just to recap, we basically, for our U.S. submission, when it comes to NDD, we have, based on our agreement with the FDA, we have 3 pivotal trials: ANDES, ALPS and OLYMPUS. They comprise over 4,000 patients. And across all the studies, we reached our primary efficacy endpoint of raising hemoglobin. But I don't think the story ends there. I think it is interesting to see the effectiveness -- the efficacy of the product across a broad range of patients, all right, that today don't have as many options whether they are hyper-responders, or in some cases, maybe don't tolerate well EPO, or in some cases, they need much higher EPO doses over time. I think we have a product here with a very nice profile, and importantly, I think in NDD, we basically saw much less transfusions. So if I recall the numbers, it's 15% of transfusions for patients that were on placebo. We only saw about 5% for patients that were on roxadustat. To me, I think that is a significant benefit, a significant benefit to the patient, but also to the payer and to the system. And then, of course, there is this question of, well, how does the cardiovascular safety look like. As you're aware, I've had a chance to conduct and be part of a number of cardiovascular studies in my previous role, and I believe that the data that we have on cardiovascular safety is very compelling. We have agreed with the agency on both the post studies. So what are the studies that are going to be included as part of the analysis as well as the methodology that we will be utilizing for this particular segment we basically intend to treat, a statistical plan methodology. And when we look at the data, basically -- we basically show to be comparable to placebo. And importantly, when we look at the subcomponents of MACE, we had, of course, MI and stroke and death and...

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#28

Unstable angina.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#29

Hospitalization for heart failure and hospitalization for unstable angina. We -- when we look at all those, in each -- for each one of the subcomponents, that confidence interval actually encompassed one which makes our data extremely clean in -- from a -- from my perspective when it comes to cardiovascular safety.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#30

Enrique, sorry, can I just interrupt a moment. But from your prior experience, I think the FDA has pretty much said that up above the confidence interval of 1.3. And are you below that 1.3 for the subcomponents of MACE or just for overall MACE?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#31

Yes. Keep in mind that the guidance that the FDA has provided is strictly for diabetes medicines, and the guidance for diabetes medicines is a 1.3 upper bound. So that means to -- we want to make sure -- the FDA wants make sure that products can exclude more than 30% risk of MACE events -- increased risk of MACE events. There is no such guidance for CKD anemia, which means that the FDA will have a -- this will become a product review issue when they look at the benefit/risk profile of the product. Now in the case of the diabetes products, just to go back, the FDA looks at MACE, so the 3 components. They don't look at the subcomponents when it comes to the upper bound because the numbers are a lot slower. So the confidence intervals tend to be a lot wider. Now in our trial, when we look at the pooled analysis of ANDES, ALPS and OLYMPUS, we do basically see hazard ratios, about one -- slightly higher than one, but the upper bound in each one of these cases, is below 1.3. I do want to make the point the 1.3 number is an arbitrary number, okay? It was arbitrary for diabetes, and it's just a number. So at the end, I think it's a question of looking at what are the options. Keep in mind that the option today for those patients in NDD is really the EPOs actually have a black box and actually had a demonstration of -- sorry, a further trial. When we look at the stroke data, actually stroke itself have a confidence interval to the right of one, so -- which is a statistically significant finding for higher stroke. So I...

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#32

For EPO?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#33

For the erythropoietin, yes. So I find that our data, for all those reasons, is highly compelling. There are not many options, and we have a trial that, in my view, basically, shows safety against what I think is a very high hurdle of placebo. It will be different if maybe we were in this particular population using another comparator, but I do like, and this question also comes quite a bit, which is why did you choose a trial against placebo instead of a trial against EPO.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#34

Yes. Comes up.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#35

Clearly, both choices are available, but I like the decision that we have made at FibroGen. This decision, of course, was made way before my time, but I think it gives you the best chance for a completely clean label because you are comparing yourself relative to placebo. And then, I think if you look at the data on its face, I do not believe that the data warrants a black box. Now there's a lot of context when we discuss a black box, and of course, there's a black box for EPO agents in the class. I get that, and the FDA takes many considerations. But I do think that it is a pretty high standard, and I'm very excited and delighted with the results that we got in -- out of cardiovascular safety.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#36

Okay. A lot of pieces there. But -- so your base case assumption is that you do get the broad label presumably, and that potentially you don't get a black box for any of these cardiovascular events?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#37

Yes. I think of -- it is the base case is, yes, that we have a broad label. And I think the base case for me is also that we get a black box, but we have the optionality of an upside of not be able to get one, given the data that we have. But that is an upside, I think, to our current plans. We can be extremely successful. This would be a transformational medicine, regardless. Given the opportunity that we have, as we talked about 0.5 million patients on the DD side and 5 million patients on the NDD side and how do we ensure that as many of those patients are appropriately treated, I think, is going to be key. Clearly, we are already thinking about our commercial plans. I already started discussions in many different forums with our partner, AZ in the U.S. I'm delighted to be working with AstraZeneca and I think it's going to be key for us to have a very strong launch.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#38

Sorry, I'm conscious of time. So there's a bunch of things I want to try and get to, Enrique. First, do you expect an Adcom or not?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#39

I think it's difficult to say. As you know, one, when you receive an acceptance of the filing, it is a typical time when you can get notice that you're going to receive an Adcom. We have received no indication at this stage of an Adcom. It doesn't mean that this is not a possibility, it could happen. We are preparing for an Adcom regardless. I think that -- because once they tell you, you have, I think, 45 business days to...

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#40

Subscribe.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#41

Yes. So we've got to prepare ahead of time and we're doing so right now.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#42

Okay. Reimbursement under the ESRD, whatever it is, reimbursement. So when do you apply for the NTAP, I think it is?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#43

TDAPA?

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#44

TDAPA, yes. When do you apply for that? And when will you get an indication if you don't have access to that?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#45

So TDAPA is an add-on payment for products they're going to be setting into the dialysis centers. Otherwise, they would be in the bundle, right? It's a policy basically incentivize so that innovation can come in and can be utilized. We believe that roxa meets all the requirements and conditions for TDAPA. So I say that is our base case for us is to be given an add-on payment, which would be outside of this capitated payments that these organizations receive. The process is, once you get approval, you have the opportunity to submit for TDAPA. And typically, that process takes somewhere within the next -- within 3 months, and you're able to basically be able to get the reimbursement or not. But we feel good about that we meet the conditions and I think this can be very helpful for us to be included.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#46

And TDAPA is to be realized how long, 2 years?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#47

Yes. It will be -- it's a 2-year payment. And then I think the idea is that the product will be then included in the bundle of hemodialysis.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#48

Okay. And during those 2 years, let's just hypothetically say that it's, I don't know, I'll pick a number say, $300 a month is the cost to CMS for roxa. So they would pay the dialysis centers an extra $300 a month for every patient they put on to roxa. And would they leave the capitated rate the same regardless of the fact that they're paying for EPO?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#49

It's -- you're asking lots of questions. You know this TDAPA has been evolving and there are new guidelines even as of late last year, November. We have to see how all this is going to play out, but if you read how this is supposed to be implemented, yes, it is an add-on payment to whatever capitated payment there is. It doesn't mean that they couldn't adjust the capitated payments, but the add-on payment will be based on the average selling price plus 0, so it's a net 0 average selling price and so 100% of the average selling price. And this will be the payment that would be provided for those organizations to be -- for patients that are -- based on the number of patients that are basically on roxadustat.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#50

Okay. So this is important. So what do you think the likelihood is that they lower the bundled rate? I mean I'm just of the impression that changing the bundled rate is a complicated process with a lot of inputs and everything. It would seem to me to be pretty hard to lower the bundled rate at the same time they give you access to TDAPA reimbursement.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#51

Yes. It's difficult to say how things are going to play out. I don't think that's the intent. I think the intent is to provide truly an add-on payment. But it's difficult to predict how things are going to play out. Regardless, though, whether they lower the capitated payment or not, the -- how the add-on payment is calculated is pretty clear.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#52

Yes. No, that's clear. The add-on is clear.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#53

So -- but that's really something that we think about, and of course, is concerning to roxadustat, making sure that we can get an acceptable price and making sure that there are incentives in the system so that they can basically include valuable innovation as part of the overall dialysis system.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#54

Okay. Sorry I keep asking questions about this. But do we have examples where oral analogs of injectable medicines have been added via TDAPA?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#55

I am not familiar with this. Clearly -- and I think you're asking this question for -- due to this language in TDAPA of the oral-only language.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#56

Yes.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#57

The way we think about this is that, in this particular case, the reason that roxa can meet the criteria is because we need to be thinking of anemia functionally, and as part of that, of course, there are injectable alternatives to treat anemia. So we do believe that we could be included in TDAPA. That's the assumption that we're making right now.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#58

Yes. Okay. Terrific. So last couple of seconds. Why doesn't anyone care about pamrevlumab? You're doing 3 Phase III trials.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#59

We're not only doing 3 Phase III trials, but I view this as -- this is another jewel, and we have 3 trials on indications that are of high unmet medical need. If we think about IPF, pulmonary fibrosis, the effect size that we saw in Phase II, I think, is very impressive, not just when it comes to looking at forced vital capacity, but more importantly also, looking at some of the markers that we had when it comes to disease progression. Individually, that indication is very important.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#60

Yes.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#61

But now we also have pancreatic cancer, another very significant indication. And we -- those 2 trials Phase III programs are ongoing, and we're now starting DMD this year. Collectively -- I think the message is that, collectively, those indications are massive opportunity for a company the size of FibroGen. So very excited. The key for us is to accelerate our enrollment time lines, and we are working to ensure that is the case and that we can reach patients as quickly as possible.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#62

Great. Okay. We've reached the end of our allotted time. So thank you very much, Enrique. Really appreciate it. Glad to see you here.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#63

Yes. Thank you. Thank you.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#64

Thank you for joining us.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#65

Very good.

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