Kyntra Bio, Inc. (KYNB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 19, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Michael Yee
analystHello, everyone, and welcome to another great session at the Jefferies Virtual Global Healthcare Conference in London. I am doing this fireside chat from London bridge is here behind me. And Enrique, my good friend at FibroGen, Chief Executive Officer, Enrique Conterno, is there at the headquarters in San Francisco, hard at work in bringing forward roxadustat. I just wanted to turn it over to Enrique and maybe take a step back and ask you an important year, this year, of course, culminated with the potential PDUFA date and then even more important 2021 as you go out and try and execute on a commercial launch.
Michael Yee
analystSo I wanted to start by asking you, what are you most focused on here, as we get into the end of the year, certainly, regulatory discussions is one of them. How are you thinking about the evolution of the regulatory discussions and the results, and how you're thinking about preparing for 2021?
Enrique Conterno
executiveWell, first, Michael, great to see you, and thank you very much for the invitation. This is no doubt a very exciting time for FibroGen with the PDUFA date coming up quickly. Now there's a lot of attention, of course, on roxadustat. But not just the regulatory process, but also the commercial preparations in the U.S. because we want to make sure that we can have an outstanding launch. Now you asked about the broader priorities, but clearly, roxadustat is also being developed in 2 additional indications, MDS, in Phase III and CIA in Phase II. We expect beta for CIA in the second half of next year, likely maybe spilling into the first half. So that's also pretty exciting. And clearly, we have the China launch, which is, I would describe it as going extremely well. Moving to our second important asset is pamrevlumab Phase III studies, very much focused on execution on this important indications of high unmet needs in IPF, DMD and LAPC. So important work that we're doing, and we can have a discussion. And finally, I think something that we have not discussed a lot, but we are quite focused right now on reenergizing our research efforts. And I'm very excited about some of the progress that I see us, how we're thinking about it, as you know, we brought in a new Chief Scientific Officer, Percy Carter and excited that he's leading those efforts.
Michael Yee
analystFantastic. Well, I can't wait till you tease us with a new compound.
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes, very good.
Michael Yee
analystVery good. All right. Well, before we get to talk about that, we need to make sure you execute on roxadustat first. I don't want to get into the details specifically about the interactions. My question ultimately is, as you get here towards the end of the PDUFA, what -- or how will you help investors out, thinking about the 2 or 3 different scenarios. One of those scenarios is approval with a clean, very, very, very clean broad label. One of those scenarios is approval, but maybe it looks a little more like an EPO label and one of them could be a delay. Things happen. It's COVID, I'm not sure. But talk about those different scenarios. And what are the implications of each one of those?
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. Clearly, we have a high level of conviction on the overall submission, the strength of our data, so what I'm going to focus on is basically thinking about really the bookends of maybe what the label will look like. And on one hand, I think you have a label -- and I know there's a lot of focus on the box warning, but our label that doesn't have a box warning. On the other hand, you have basically, on the other bookend, a label that has a box warning that looks like the EPO box warning. There are, of course, a number of scenarios in between. The wording of the box -- of a potential box warning would be important, including what populations are included in that box warning. So clearly, I'm unable to comment on our current interactions with the FDA, but I think the cadence is good. And we expect, quite frankly, approval by the -- or an action by the PDUFA date.
Michael Yee
analystCan I -- that's really important. That's great. And I think that's helpful because actually, I've gotten a lot of investor questions about how it may not just be as simple as black box or no black box. Are you implying that if you go look at different classes, different black boxes, say different things, you could actually have comments in a black box only on a specific indication, but on a different indication because I've actually never really seen that. But help me out, now those -- all those are different things. So I need to -- if there is one. I need to read it and then look at that?
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. I think we need to wait, of course, for our particular scenario. I'm not implying that we will have that, but all of those are possibilities. Clearly, I think the -- when we look at our data, we continue to feel that the data basically offers a very favorable risk-benefit profile for patients across the continuum. Now one comment on any details at this stage. But yes, I think key is going to be for us, for us to look at the entire label, if there is a box warning, and that needs to be put into the context. And what is the rest of the label also say. So we of course, as you can imagine, we think about all scenarios from a planning perspective, and now we're prepared for all scenarios and prepared to execute.
Michael Yee
analystOkay. So let me talk about, regardless of what the label says, we have to go about and launch. And can you remind us in the United States first, since this is the country we're talking about. Who takes the lead? Is it -- how does it work? What are your economics? What is your involvement in the things? First of all, talk about that first.
Enrique Conterno
executiveSure. So clearly, we have a great partner in AstraZeneca that has taken the lead in the United States. FibroGen, I think contributes to the launch efforts in the U.S., with the things that we can do well, which is, of course, providing the rationale behind the science and medical affairs. So for example, when it comes to publications and when it comes to running the Phase IIIb studies, right now, with the LDOs those are things that FibroGen has taken the lead on. So we are excited about our preparations. As you mentioned, I think the economics for FibroGen, we do not -- outside of China, we are fully reimbursed for all of our expenses when it comes to commercial efforts and development efforts. So the economics for us is basically that we are getting a royalty in the low 20s in the U.S.
Michael Yee
analystYes. All right. So since they will have the commercial sales force. But importantly, how does it work for dialysis? And how does it work for nondialysis? In dialysis, we all know that there's 2 big major players Fresenius, DaVita, if I can believe Fresenius was at our conference. They didn't say anything yet because I don't think it's anything to say yet. But -- and then there's a smaller mom-and-pop type dialysis. Do you need to get contracts at those centers? Are they studying your drug right now as we speak in a study? Would they be ready to go? And could you get contracts pretty quickly? How does that work in the dialysis?
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. Clearly, we have 2 very different segments in dialysis, nondialysis, not just the patients, but clearly who we are contracting with are different players, right? As you mentioned, when it comes to dialysis, of course, it's the dialysis organizations. And this segment is highly concentrated. For us, I think one of the key catalysts for the broad use of roxadustat is going to be basically getting reimbursement. And that applies to both dialysis and nondialysis. In the dialysis setting, that catalyst is driven by the event of having TDAPA eligibility, if the roxadustat is eligible for TDAPA and we're going to make efforts to try to submit as soon as we get approval to be able to ask CMS, make the submission and ask for that inclusion of roxadustat into TDAPA. In terms of timing, the way we think about it is, we believe that it is possible, but it's also the earliest date that we could get TDAPA affective for roxa would be April 1 of 2021. I think that's a reasonable date, but it's also the earliest date because the effective date for TDAPA is typically at the start of each quarter. And when it comes to the discussions with LDOs, clearly, we've worked with the large dialysis organization for quite some time. They were part of our Phase III trials. They are conducting Phase IIIb studies as we speak. Basically trying to -- clearly, the roxadustat's efficacy and safety is well documented now. But now they're starting it within their setting, which I think is going to be very helpful. And now clearly, there are discussions, right, when it comes to thinking about the preparation for roxa to come into the market and which includes, of course, also contracting. AstraZeneca really takes the lead on those contracting discussions. FibroGen takes the lead on the discussion when it comes to the Phase IIIb studies. And clearly, we have excellent relationships with the large dialysis organization.
Michael Yee
analystOkay. So you have excellent relationships. They're testing the drug out in their own setting. Now there's trial programs going on. They're studying it to see how it impacts their flow. And they're aware of it. I think there's confusion or head scratching going on because people know that, for example, DaVita has a contract, supply contract, publicly with Amgen, and Fresenius is a large Mircera user. But you feel comfortable that there will be not 100% market share, but say, but there would be deals that can be in place so that you will see revenues there.
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. I base my confidence on the strength of that data, right? So if we think about roxadustat, there -- if we just take -- look at the number of patients on dialysis, we have to start that there are a number of those patients in dialysis. Most of them are treated for anemia, but we have about 15%, 20% of those patients that are hyporesponsive, right? So where ESAs are really not working very well. Roxadustat -- and they are in very high doses. roxadustat will be an excellent option there, okay? What about the incident dialysis population, where we basically showed a very significant benefit when it comes to MACE and MACE+. So when we think about those, we believe that roxadustat, this is not a -- has -- is a very important option, I think, for the...
Michael Yee
analystThere's 2 populations there that logically makes sense. And the strength of the data alone, which is hyporesponders, which, by the way, we confirm with our own doctor checks that those guys are loss-making for the LDOs, by the way, right? You agree with that. They're loss-making.
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. That's right because there are very high doses. The payment is capitated.
Michael Yee
analystYes, they're losing money on the bundle. And second of all, incident dialysis where there's strong cardiovascular data.
Enrique Conterno
executiveThat's right. So this is just to say that we need to create a situation that is going to be a win-win for both the dialysis organization and of course, for the right patients to use roxadustat.
Michael Yee
analystHow confident are you that it will get it to TDAPA? I mean is that like that's straightforward like getting fast track or priority review? Or like, is there like a whole bunch of stuff that could happen and that's why, I don't think that's actually a huge breakthrough. Like what do we -- how do you explain that to somebody?
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes, there's a very clear process how to apply for TDAPA, and we had the discussions with CMS. We think that we're going to be eligible. Of course, there's not a lot of presence for drugs that have gone through this process, which is different, maybe from a breakthrough designations or something like that. But we feel that the process is pretty clear. We think it's straightforward.
Michael Yee
analystOkay. I'm going to go read the documents online and figure this out. Okay. And how is it reimbursed? Like how does that workflow happen? So in the dialysis center, Sally comes in, she's at Fresenius, she used to get treated for the anemia, does the script and the prescription all get done there? Or does she get it at Walgreens? And how does all that work?
Enrique Conterno
executiveClearly, when it comes to the dialysis organization, you basically have a highly integrated system, right, with important protocols and so forth. The -- one of the things that is important to understand, when we think about TDAPA, first of all, you basically have a system, there is a bundle. And keep in mind that the patient actually has a copay for that bundle of about 20%. TDAPA represents an additional payment, right, to the dialysis organization for the use, in this case, of roxadustat. The patient will also have a copay on TDAPA of 20%.
Michael Yee
analystSo I know the bundle is about $250 per treatment. If they want to get roxa, the dialysis company will purchase the bottle. And they will get reimbursed for that bottle using TDAPA.
Enrique Conterno
executiveThat is correct. The reimbursement is basically 100% of the ASP price, at the average selling price. And when this is dispensed to the patient, the patient is responsible for 20% of that.
Michael Yee
analystMakes sense. Okay, great. So that's helpful because, again, we're not -- nobody on Wall Street is particularly used to how that works. We're used to getting drugs either at the hospital into Medicare Part B or it's a Medicare Part D, which is at the pharmacy level. So -- okay, that's great. Now how about nondialysis? How is that going to work? How does reimbursement work there? That's not to doubt, all right? Is that different situation. It's COVID, right? You have a nephrologist who's taking care of you. Maybe you just forget the script at the pharmacy. How is that different?
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes, that is different because those patients basically will be getting their prescriptions, like you said, at the pharmacy, and you have very -- 3 different segments. I expect that in the case of roxadustat, about a little bit of north of 50%, it will be basically Medicare. So Part D, about 30% Commercial and then the rest Medicaid.
Michael Yee
analystMedicaid, yes.
Enrique Conterno
executiveSo those patients, yes, they will see their nephrologist. Keep in mind that those nephrologists also are basically part of treating patients with dialysis as well, right? So they have different types of patients, patients that are dialysis dependent and patients that are nondialysis dependent. So the experience on one setting, it's going to complement the other, right? So it's -- and this particular case was going to be important, like I said, reimbursement is key. So we need to make sure that we are -- patients are going to have access. There are many ways that patients can have access, but longer term, clearly, formulary, having a formulary placement, I think, is key. Clearly, Part D works differently from commercial and Medicaid, but I feel that we have a great partner that is going -- has been focusing on thinking about this and try to ensure that patients do have access and that we have the right formulary placement as soon as possible and the position as well for the patient.
Michael Yee
analystWhy -- I asked on this, the dynamic is different. Because it's not a bundled stuff, stuff like that. This is up straight for Medicare Part D. It should be no different than a cancer drug like Revlimid, you take at the pharmacy, you take it home. You pay your copay. And if it's commercial, you should be covered and there's a copay. That's just a formulary thing. You got to work to get the formulary contracts. What I worry about is a COVID environment where patients may or may not be coming in as much if they're not on dialysis, right? How often do they see their doctors? Is there an urgency to get them on as quickly as in, or there's probably not going to be swapping, so it's more just -- maybe just talk a little bit about that and if there is -- is there less reason to have a black box there or more? Maybe is this somewhat challenging than dialysis?
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. I think it's a good question for us to think about COVID. I think we have a few things that are working in our favor. So I'm going to call them important tailwinds, when it comes -- keep in mind that, number one, that AstraZeneca has a renal presence already, okay? And that renal presence -- so they already have a sales force. They have presence, including the renal presence, with a presence in the dialysis organization. So that is hugely important because keep in mind of those relationships exist with the customers, right? That's very different from trying to have a new sales force, establish new relationships during COVID time. So...
Michael Yee
analystThey're very good, and that's why you did that partnership. I have too many small biotechs that are struggling right now during cover. Yes. So yes, that is AstraZeneca that will be doing that. Okay. That's number one.
Enrique Conterno
executiveCorrect. So now clearly, one of the things that we need to -- when it comes to patients in the NDD setting, we need to create an urgency for treating anemia because today, this is very much undertreated. I know people ask me, well, are we going to convert patients from ESAs and so forth. Keep in mind that the number of patients that are being treated is a very -- it's really in single digits, when it comes to the overall potential addressable market. So for us...
Michael Yee
analystThis is not $1 billion, though. Just -- dollar-wise, it's about $1 billion. I think it's about $1 billion it checked my market model. But the number of patients is small relative to the size, but it is doing about $1 billion.
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes, it is still significant. But think about what the potential market is. And I -- you asked about how to create that urgency. Clearly, one of the things that we've shown with our data is a very significant decrease in transfusions -- blood transfusions. This is extremely important for patients. You talk to a patient, and you ask, clearly, avoiding that is very important. And we didn't have just a small decrease. We basically -- when we look at time to transfusion, we basically -- the hazard ratio was 0.26 very, very significant benefit. In addition, you asked me about this as well. But as you know, we basically, recently shared some data around roxadustat and how you basically see different levels of hemoglobin achievement and correlating that to making it.
Michael Yee
analystYes.
Enrique Conterno
executiveAnd what we saw was basically that for low levels of hemoglobin, below 8 and even below 10, you basically see a much higher mass events and you really -- as you correct and maintain that, you start seeing a much lower level of events. So that's another, I think, important aspect because I think the importance of the data is, it's important to treat anemia. You are basically trying to reduce blood transfusions and so forth, but it is pretty clear when the hemoglobin is way too low, people are going to be at much higher risk of mass events.
Michael Yee
analystDo you think you'll see some swapping? Is that the lower hanging fruit? Or do you think it's new patients coming on to you -- didn't want EPO? Maybe talk about that. If you had it, yes, a year or 12 months from now.
Enrique Conterno
executiveI think in the NDD setting, you will see some swapping just because roxadustat is going to be -- all of the benefits, but it's also so much more convenient for patients.
Michael Yee
analystRight, yes.
Enrique Conterno
executiveBut honestly, I don't see that as the long-term reason where we should feel confident about what we could achieve. I think what we need to look at is not just are we converting those patients. But how we're raising the treatment rates because at the end, that's really the long-term opportunity that we see. Keep in mind that when we think about those segments, DD and NDD, we always say that DD should be up to a faster uptick, a lot of control from protocol perspective, from dialysis organizations, that they can basically roll out. But when it comes to NDD, while the uptick might be slower, so we expect more than 50% of our revenues initially to come from DD. Longer term, I view NDD as larger, including, I would say, much larger than DD, but we need to do the work to basically build that market.
Michael Yee
analystOkay. Well, this is why people are positive in the long term, but they also -- you know how Wall Street works, the first 3 or 4 quarters where people get a look at what you're telling me. Are you telling me it's big Enrique, why are the sales not big? So that's the test that people put you up in the first few quarters.
Enrique Conterno
executiveWell, we got a -- there's no future without the present. So you got to deliver in the near-term and in the long term.
Michael Yee
analystOne other question, too, that I think is important in nondialysis and dialysis is what you can get in the label. Can you get secondary endpoint things like incident dialysis, cardiovascular benefit? Can you get time to transfusion? I look at a lot of labels. I rarely see secondary endpoints in there.
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. So clearly, this is part of the discussion with the FDA, I think, from FibroGen's perspective, the more of our clinical data that we can include in the label, that's positive for us, right? So -- but I won't be able to comment beyond that until we basically have the label.
Michael Yee
analystAll right. I just -- I really see much secondary endpoints. That's also -- I'm hopeful, but I don't know. Okay. So one last step because you did mention at the beginning of this. I think it's important, let's say, a 12 and 18-month view that MDS could be a pretty large opportunity. Now frame it for people because the Phase III is going on in MDS. I thought that the data is in '21, but I think it's '22, but correct me if I'm wrong. And is it literally, do I need to track luspatercept sales from Acceleron like -- or is that actually under representing what you could do because they're only, I believe, in are as positive patients. So are you telling me your drug could basically be used in front of -- instead of luspatercept, they're doing $800 million a year, annualized?
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes. I -- so clearly, that speaks, I think, the need in this particular setting for these patients. We expect to have the readout in the first half of 2022, that's -- we think that's an important opportunity. Clearly, this is an important Phase III study, is the next indication for roxa. You're right, we are basically studying patients irrespective of sideroblast status. So we will be basically looking at all of those low-risk MDS patients. When we think about luspa, they are basically doing well, but they do have -- they're going after a much smaller segment. That might be, maybe 30%, 40% of the overall opportunity that we will go after. Now there's a pretty big difference between them and us, and that is, we're going to be bound by some of our pricing that we have in CKD, right? So the price level is going to be quite different.
Michael Yee
analystNow, how different is that? That's important. Thank you for clarifying that.
Enrique Conterno
executiveYes, it is pretty significant. I don't recall the exact price of luspa, but it might be in the 150,000 plus per year, right? So now we still believe this is an important opportunity, relative to CKD is much smaller. The opportunity that is more comparable to CKD is the opportunity in CIA, chemo-induced anemia, a very significant opportunity. We expect data, as I mentioned, in the second half of -- for our Phase II of next year, potentially spilling into the first half. So we're excited about that data. We will assume that is positive, we will start a Phase III trial immediately. But that opportunity, I think of it from a size perspective is almost as large as CKD.
Michael Yee
analystYes. I need to think about that a bit because I think Amgen got in trouble because they were actually running survival studies. I mean, is it still -- is EPO used at all in CIA or no?
Enrique Conterno
executiveVery little. Clearly, so that the use in CIA for ESA is used to be very significant. At some point in time, it might have been a $4 billion market. That use today is significantly below that.
Michael Yee
analystRight. So just to be clear, because you use chemotherapy, which is still billions of dollars, everyone of those people get anemia, they were giving EPO to treat that. Not because of any kidney problems because of the chemo, and people were doing that. When they ran the survival studies and showed as a negative impact on survival in cancer, people thought, well, why would I be giving this drug to cancer patients to treat the chemotherapy-induced anemia, could be actually feeding more oxygen to the tumor. So isn't that a problem? Just to be clear.
Enrique Conterno
executiveClearly, we need to run the studies. But as you know, our roxadustat has a very different mechanism than EPO. So we think it's a much more natural way for the body to basically respond, right? So we are excited, we're conducting the Phase II. We'll look at the Phase II data, of course, and we'll decide based on the data. But it is pretty clear that investigators are extremely interested or at least this is the case.
Michael Yee
analystFantastic. Well, so I want to ask one last question, and we'll save pamrevlumab for a different discussion because, obviously, we have a lot of roxa stuff coming up. But we have a PDUFA date at the end of the year. So we're just waiting on an announcement for that. And then whenever you get something, you'll let us know?
Enrique Conterno
executiveAbsolutely. We're very excited. As I mentioned, we are -- FibroGen has been working on roxadustat for quite some time. So this is an incredibly important milestone for the company. We just need to make sure that we do our part to be prepared for a very successful launch. So that as many patients can benefit.
Michael Yee
analystWho handles the NDA, who is -- is that Astra that's handling, or that's you handling the NDA. Who actually is handling the paperwork?
Enrique Conterno
executiveIt is FibroGen. So FibroGen is the sponsor of the NDA. Eventually, that will go to AstraZeneca post approval.
Michael Yee
analystOkay. All right. Well, I look forward to it. I'll be checking my e-mail every day between now and December 20, and wishing you good luck. So thank you, Enrique, for being here with us. Good luck, and in the end of the year we'll be here with you, and thank you for being here with us.
Enrique Conterno
executiveThank you very much, Michael. I appreciate the invitation.
Michael Yee
analystThanks, Enrique.
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