Kyntra Bio, Inc. (KYNB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 25, 2021

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 31 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#1

Good afternoon, everybody, and welcome to our next company presentation here at the Global Healthcare Conference. I'm joined by Enrique Conterno, who's the Chief Executive Officer of FibroGen; and Mike Tung from the Investor Relations group of FibroGen. Enrique and Mike, thank you for joining us today.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#2

Now thank you very much for the invitation, Geoff. Pleasure to be here. Thanks, Geoff.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#3

I look to chatting as it's a very exciting time for FibroGen, Enrique. So maybe you could give us a sense of what you're all focused on, what the activities that are engaging your leadership team and the rest of the company right now.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#4

Yes. No, clearly, I've been now a little bit over a year here at FibroGen. And I -- you may recall when we first spoke. I talked about what the priorities would be. Of course, over time, we've refined some of those, but the themes are generally the same. We are very much about ensuring the regulatory and commercial success of roxadustat, number one. Number two is about advancing pamrevlumab as fast as we can in our high-value indications, IPF, LAPC, locally advanced unresectable pancreatic cancer and DMD. And finally, number three is basically strengthening our preclinical and clinical portfolio beyond what we have on roxa and pam. And to do that, as you know, we've recruited, I think, a first-class science team, and we're building that up, and we're very excited with our progress there.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#5

Okay. Great. So I know that you are directly responsible or FibroGen is not directly responsible for commercialization of roxadustat. But I understand you're working pretty closely with your partners. So could you talk a little bit about what's going on in terms of preparing for the product approval?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#6

Yes. Clearly, first, I think it is that our relationship with AstraZeneca, I think, it's going very well. I think we have a strong partnership. And clearly, as part of that, it is AstraZeneca that is leading those commercial efforts. FibroGen is collaborating in a number of different ways in areas there where we can collaborate. One of them, for example, is the area of publications. We intend to basically have the key pivotal primary publications done as soon as possible and primary publications for the U.S. will be each one of the key trials. So we have 3 trials in NDD, so each one of those, but also the pool studies from a CV perspective, DD, NDD and also incident dialysis. We've already published 5 of those and more are coming pretty soon. So I think we are excited about our data being out there. And as you know, that's critical for launch. In addition to that, we've been working on our Phase IIIB studies with the LDOs. And those, I think, have gone extremely well, but I think that's going to be critical as well. And so those are 2 very specific areas. For example, where FibroGen maybe takes the lead. For the most part, it's really AstraZeneca, and they've been basically looking at all elements of our launch. Of course, reimbursement is key. It's -- we need to get -- make sure that we get that right. And as part of that, they've been working on both TDAPA and discussions with the LDO. But also on the NDD side, working with payers to make sure that we have -- patients have access to the product.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#7

So can we talk about TDAPA? Because there's been some controversy there. There's been a number of citizens' petitions against granting TDAPA, declaring that the product is ineligible. How confident are you that roxa really is eligible for TDAPA coverage?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#8

Yes. We are confident that we believe that roxa will be eligible. Clearly, we've had discussions with CMS about eligibility. The way that it would work is once we have -- get approval, we basically would be submitting for TDAPA eligibility. And then -- TDAPA eligibility, one CMS makes a decision, it is effective, basically, the first day of the next calendar quarter. That -- TDAPA is a framework that allows innovative products to be utilized in a dialysis setting. Because, as you know, today, in -- dialysis is reimbursed under a bundle. So TDAPA basically allows for an additional payment to be made for the utilization of a product in this particular case, roxadustat, over and above the bundle. And during these 2 years, that TDAPA is expected to last, basically, CMS will study the performance of the product. And basically, we try to incorporate the product in the bundle into the future.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#9

Okay. But isn't the argument that TDAPA is for products where there isn't an equivalent in the bundle? And so this -- since CMS would see that there's already EPO in the bundle, that it's up to the providers to substitute roxa for EPO and keep it under the bundle. I mean, that's sort of the argument that I keep hearing.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#10

No, I think clearly, I -- TDAPA is there to, basically, allow for a -- the innovation to be able to be utilized. In this particular case, actually, TDAPA looks to -- you need to utilize this concept of functional equivalence for TDAPA to actually work for roxadustat because that roxadustat is an oral product. But that's really the understanding there. So based on our discussions with CMS, we do believe that it is eligible, and therefore, would be outside of the bundle.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#11

Okay. And just to follow-up on the timing question, having studied all of the examples or most of the examples of TDAPA, what is the latest date of approval that could get you TDAPA by the, I think, July 1 time line?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#12

Yes. It's -- that's not really an easy question to answer, of course, because it is -- there's not a lot of presence, and we are dependent on CMS basically processing our submission. But assuming a March 20 date, July 1 would be an appropriate time line for -- could then be an appropriate time for eligibility.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#13

Okay. And March 20, is still a month away. So if the approval occurred earlier, what's the likelihood that you could get that TDAPA by April 1?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#14

The closer, of course, that you get to the end of the quarter, the more difficult it is, right, because there's not that many days to be able to process that. Because we need the approval before we can basically submit the application. We also have to make a submission for the [ HIF-PHI's ] code. And then CMS needs to make the formal assessment and declare the eligibility of the product.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#15

Okay. Okay. So can we pivot and talk a bit about roxa in other markets? First, how is it going in China? I mean, maybe you'd explain the change in your relationship with Astra in China, the joint venture there and how that's now structured, and what that means for your financial results, what it means from how you'll be reporting and future value.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#16

Sure. So we've had a relationship with AstraZeneca in China for quite some time. And we launched in -- roxadustat in China in 2019. But really, 2020 was the first year where we basically started with reimbursement. And I think we saw the launch post reimbursement go extremely well in China. And I think that continues to be the case. I think the 2 metrics that we've been quite focused on has been, of course, the revenue uptake as well as the listings that we basically have, what percentage of the overall market can we access through the hospital listings. My sense is our position in China, I think is very strong, and the product continues to do extremely well. We will be reporting our results on Monday. As in the middle of last year, we basically updated our agreement with AstraZeneca. The agreement with AstraZeneca is a 50-50 profit share relationship in China. And we upgraded our agreement that the profit share continues to be 50-50, but we added a few additional elements to the agreement, the mix and the profitability for FibroGen, more predictable and improved. So one of the things in this agreement, for example, is now we have a cap on the overall marketing and sales expenses over time. So it's -- I believe it was a win-win for both parties. As part of that, we created a joint distribution entity in China that basically will be the main vehicle that we basically sell to distributors and also pay for the commercial expenses by AstraZeneca as well as AstraZeneca's profit share. That used to come before those commercial expenses, for example, used to be paid by FibroGen directly before. As a result of that now, when you have these -- FibroGen will be selling to distribution entity, clearly at a transfer price that should account for, right, the fact that the distribution entity is going to be paying for the commercial expenses as well as AstraZeneca's profit share.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#17

Okay. So, I mean...

Enrique Conterno

executive
#18

But at the end of the day, I think what's important is to look at the overall product, how the product is performing. And then at the end, we know that, basically, the profit share for us continues to be 50-50.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#19

Okay. But then, does FibroGen have to consolidate that joint distribution company's results? Or will you just report the expenses you incur? How will that work?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#20

Yes. We -- yes, we will not -- we basically think, for example, on the revenue side, what we will be reporting would be -- we will be reporting the sales to that distribution entity, which will be the great majority of sales as well as the sales -- FibroGen will continue to make some direct sales, not through distribution or anything but -- as FibroGen, but that's going to be the great minority, maybe about 5%. So the great majority is going to be through distribution and mix. Those will be our reported sales. We will not be consolidating the distribution entity. AstraZeneca is expected to be the one who will be consolidating distribution.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#21

Okay. Okay. And then you'll have a separate line for profit sharing back from the distribution entity? Or will the profit sharing all be encompassed in that transfer price of the product that you supply?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#22

Yes. So clearly, given that the distribution entity would be paying for the commercial expenses and for the profit share of AstraZeneca, then there are some expenses that FibroGen also has that are part of the overall calculation of FibroGen share. And we will be discussing a little bit more and providing some guidance on this during our earnings call. So just stay put. We'll give you a little more detail.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#23

It sounds like it's going to be another long FibroGen conference call next week.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#24

No, no. I don't believe so. I think you -- we will be sharing some more specifics.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#25

Okay. So could you talk a little bit about Japan? We never hear about Japan for roxadustat. It's on the market. It's been on the market for a while. You have some competitors. What's actually happening in Japan, both with the overall HIF market and then also with roxa specifically?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#26

Yes. As you know, in Japan, differently than China, in Japan, our initial submission was DD, not NDD -- so we had DD for the first year or so, but we just recently also got approved NDD in Japan. So now we have both indications. Japan has a peculiarity in that market where whenever you launch a product like roxadustat protocolized, for the first year, you basically have a limitation on the prescription size. So there's what is called a 14-day prescription limitation. That basically means that procurers are more limited in size, and therefore, physicians are not as willing to prescribe the product. That prescription limitation actually was just lifted December 1. So now we don't have any prescription limitations on the DD side or in the NDD side that we just got approved. So we are now -- and what we basically have seen is a significant acceleration. And I think you -- clearly, it's Astellas that reports some of those figures. But we are pleased with the acceleration that we've seen.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#27

Okay. And do you have any sense of your relative market share compared to your 3 competitors there?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#28

We do. And I believe Astellas will be potentially sharing some of the information.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#29

Okay. Okay. That will be...

Enrique Conterno

executive
#30

We are -- clearly, we launched ahead. And the other competitors do not have the prescription limitation lifted. So I think our performance is as it is. We are the market leader, I think, by a good amount.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#31

Okay. And just remind us, FibroGen has a royalty on, I think low 20s royalty on all revenue in Japan, is that correct?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#32

That is correct. So we have -- outside of China, where it's a 50-50 for different geographies, in some cases, through Astellas, in some cases, through AstraZeneca. We have royalties in the low 20s.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#33

Okay. And could you tell us what's going on in Europe? When do you think that you can launch in Europe? How do you see the opportunity shaping up in the major markets there?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#34

Yes. Clearly, we're working through the regulatory process in Europe. I think what we've guided towards is basically a decision by -- in Europe by the middle of the year. So that's what's expected. And we are -- Astellas is planning to basically launch after, of course, we get an approval. As you know, in Europe, each different market, while it's -- we talk about Europe, which different market has different reimbursement conditions. In some markets you can launch right away, like Germany, while you continue to negotiate the price, maybe the U.K.. In other markets, you really wait for -- to get that reimbursement before you actually fully launch. And those plans are basically in place.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#35

Okay. And just to go back to the situation in China and Japan. Given what you are seeing in terms of the adoption of the HIFs, I mean, I know they're very markets. But fundamentally, people are the same and kidney failure is the same. So what does that suggest about the market in the U.S. and how it could evolve?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#36

Clearly, and I think what we said in China is that we view just the CKD anemia opportunity for roxadustat, basically, with revenues north of $0.5 billion, right? Not $0.5 billion, but north of $0.5 billion. That's what we basically have said. That's -- now clearly, that's what we can achieve in China, I think one can do projections outside of China. Clearly, the opportunity is pretty massive. The one learning, I think, that we got in China, which I think is very important is we are -- we basically see -- I see an NDD opportunity that is coming faster than maybe I expected because, of course, in NDD, patients, sometimes, are not treated. So you need a little more time to build the market. And clearly, that's a great sign for us, right? As we think about what that opportunity could be in the U.S. and other markets. Because what we typically have said is that we view the DD as a fast uptake opportunity, and that's the case across the world. And NDD, while larger, much larger over time, we will -- we had expected that the uptake will be slower building it up. But already in China, NDD is 40% of our revenue roughly, which is much better than what we had expected when we launched the product.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#37

Okay. And what about use -- relative use in PD versus hemodialysis? Are you finding that the product particularly resonates with individuals who either on home dialysis or peritoneal dialysis?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#38

My -- we are seeing use everywhere. So whether it's peritoneal dialysis or whether it's in a dialysis center or -- as I just mentioned, in NDD. I think it's -- it is pretty clear that the peritoneal dialysis opportunity seems to be quite attractive for roxa, so we see significant news there. We see significant news also, of course, in incident dialysis because of the data. And also -- and as expected in patients that are hyper-responsive to ESAs, right? So those are the opportunities. In the U.S., as you know, the area of home dialysis is included, increasing. Right now, it's what is maybe roughly about 15% of the overall dialysis is conducted at home by increasing fast. And we think that the profile of roxadustat, I think it's a great profile as well for that setting.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#39

Okay. Okay. Now can we just talk about other indications?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#40

Yes. Just to add to that, we do have -- we do -- as you know, as part of our clinical trials, we included PD patients in our clinical trials, and our data was very impressive, very consistent with the overall data, very impressive data.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#41

And can you pull that out and put that in a publication and put it in front of physicians?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#42

Yes. Well, it has been already shared. In fact, there was -- a poster shared at ASM with some of these data, yes, and we intend to continue to mine our data and share our data and publish our data.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#43

Okay. Great. Can we move to other indications? You're exploring MDS and CIA as well. Could you talk about the magnitude of those opportunities and what the path to market might be?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#44

Yes. It's -- we are firmly pursuing those opportunities. In particular, MDS is a Phase III study, and we are expecting a readout in the first half of next year. So it's a very attractive opportunity. It's huge unmet needs. And right now, luspa is doing extremely well. So with -- that's encouraging. Keep in mind that we are pursuing both R positive and R negative patients, which makes -- and also, without regard to it's a failure and so forth. So the opportunity, as we see it, I think, is significantly larger for roxadustat in terms of number of patients. Clearly, the price point of luspa is different from the price that we have in CKD. We have not commented on pricing, of course, whether it's on CKD or in MDS. When it comes to CIA, the chemo-induced anemia opportunity. That opportunity, I think, in terms of size is almost comparable to the opportunity that I see in CKD anemia. Very, very significant opportunity. Clearly, we need to see the data from the Phase II study, and we'll be able to see it midyear of this year. So we're excited about that to be able to show the data in the second half of this year. And then I think work with the FDA to try to progress in our clinical trials. But we don't have -- we have not seen the data, and we need to see that before we can progress that particular indication, but the opportunity is very significant.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#45

Okay. And just back to MDS. I mean, I think that you have said that you don't have an obvious way to price per indication. But your intention is to have one price in the market regardless of indication. Is that still your operating assumption?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#46

No. I think what I would say -- I think what we said is clearly the price in CKD is very different from the prices that you see on MDS for therapies. No, I'm excluding. So very -- 2 very different price points. And any type of pricing that we would try to do, of course, to price by indications could be a challenge. But that's not something that we've discussed.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#47

Okay, okay. And then in terms of your approach to MDS, is it your expectation that you will be superior to ESA in MDS as you were in CKD?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#48

I think what we're looking for in MDS is basically to look at, so you know, transfusion independence, right? And we basically want to see, basically, rates that are -- for the product to be competitive, there are going to be somewhat comparable to what we shared already in some of our open blind data that are -- that could be comparable to what Losartan to basically showing. Because at the end of the day, I think this is a pretty serious condition, huge unmet needs. Products are going to be utilized, and we need to make sure that we have a therapy that is effective in that setting, which is very challenging. We feel good about our chances there, and we need to be thinking about, like you have suggested, is how to make sure that we capture as much of the value that this product's offering in that indication by thinking creatively about pricing and so forth.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#49

Okay. So it sounds as though we could be starting to see the MDS revenue materialize sometimes next year and then CIA is still several years away. Is that a reasonable simplification.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#50

Well, I think we have not provided any time what milestones other than the readout of MDS next year, right? And if you have a readout next year, I think from the readout, you need a submission. And so I -- revenue next year, I don't think it's due for MDS.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#51

Okay.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#52

I think what we've guided towards is basically when the riddle will happen. And I think, in the case of CIA, clearly, it is -- we need to look at the data, but we expect the data this year in the second half of this year. And then at that point in time, we will have a discussion with the FDA. As you know, in this particular population, the design of the trial matters. So we need to look at the data, have the discussion with the FDA, and then we'd be able to properly guide towards what we think would be an appropriate Phase III trial? And what could that mean for us to be able to get to the market?

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#53

Okay. A few minutes left, so I'd just like to quickly pivot to pamrevlumab. First, one of your competitors who would advance to Phase III very quickly recently had a disappointment in IPF. And I know that's totally different mechanisms of action and that sort of thing. But I'm curious about the confidence you have in your Phase II evidence compared to the confidence that you would have in the competitor's Phase II evidence. Is there something in your data, the data set, the size of the trial that cause -- that investors should refer to, to have more confidence in your Phase III in this indication than your competitors.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#54

Yes. Clearly, when you look at our data in Phase II, and you look at the competitors' data that you're referring to in Phase II. I think this is -- I assume you're referring to the Galapagos product. Clearly, the effect size that we have was significantly larger than what they showed. Keep in mind, we met our primary endpoint. If I recall correctly, they did not meet their primary end point in Phase II. There -- so we were -- I really like our chances. I think the data set that we have, I think, is very, very compelling. So I have a high degree of conviction on our ability to show that the product works, we know that it's effective. We also need to show that it's going to be safe. And so far, I think we've seen that the product is very tolerable. So I have -- I feel very good about that problem. The challenge with -- has been because of COVID, in particular, has been enrollment. How, as a result of the Galapagos failure. I think what happens is now we have a number of sites that are now maybe available to us and accessible to us. So we've been already in discussions with many of those sites and also patients, right, that could be eligible to enroll in a trial. So the combination of both 2 things, I think, are important -- could be important for our enrollment, and we are executing in addition to everything else that we had, including expansion in other geographies like China, where we intend to recruit a sizable number of patients and so forth, it should really help our enrollment. So the key here is how well can we enroll and how quickly we can enroll. And we have a number of actions to try to accelerate that as much as possible, noting the challenges that the COVID pandemic has caused. And by the way, that's also improving, right? So we also see that improving. So there are a number of maybe tailwinds relative to where we've been in the last 12 months that I think is going to be very helpful.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#55

Okay. And do you think that you will have an opportunity to update us on the guided timing for that result? Is there a possibility that, that could move forward with a change in the trajectory of enrollment?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#56

Yes. So we have not guided on IPF. We've guided for every single other one of our trials. We expect to guide on IPF as soon as we have a little more clarity when it comes to the overall pandemic, and we see basically the -- basically, a narrower bracket in terms of the enrollment time line. We've discussed, both LAPC and DNB, where we basically have shared that we expect to basically report out in the second half of next year.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#57

Okay. Last question then. As usual, FibroGen has tons of cash, and you're presumably still getting some more milestone payments in the relatively near future. And you kind of have a portfolio of programs that are coming to market. So how are you going to deploy that cash? What are your business development priorities?

Enrique Conterno

executive
#58

Yes. It's a great question. We -- clearly, one of the key things, and I spoke this third leg of the stool, if you wish, about basically advancing our preclinical candidates. So we are making internal investments on areas where we have scientific expertise. But also, we're looking externally, of course, at areas that might be of interest to us. And as part of that, of course, oncology and fibrosis are key areas where we've looked, we are -- we try to be highly disciplined in our approach, that's why you have not seen a deal from us. It's not that we're not active or looking, but we want to make sure that the sign is to be compelling at the value also has to be right for us. But we're definitely interested. And I think we're going to need both. We're going to need to our internal pipeline, but we also will need to supplement that with external research.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#59

Great. All right. Well, I've used up more time than we were even allotted. This is a very interesting time for FibroGen, Enrique. Thank you so much for your time today. Look forward to seeing you again soon, hearing about earnings and hopefully getting towards that PDUFA date. So good luck with everything.

Enrique Conterno

executive
#60

Thank you very much, Geoff.

Geoffrey Porges

analyst
#61

All right. Good to catch up. Thanks, Bye.

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