L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 3, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystGood afternoon, everyone. My name is Sheila Kahyaoglu with the Jefferies Aerospace & Defense equity research team. We have the L3Harris team with us today supporting our aerospace conference. We have Chris Kubasik, who's Vice Chair and CEO of L3Harris Technologies; as well as Jay Malave, who's SVP and CEO -- CFO; and Rajeev Lalwani of Investor Relations. Thank you all for being here.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystYou've reported earnings this morning, so I know it's a hectic day for you. But Chris, maybe just to start, you transitioned to CEO in late June. There's no doubt you've had your thoughts all throughout the process. What changes do you think we should expect from your leadership? And what would you like to reinforce as a key priority for you?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. First of all, thanks for the invite. It's great to be here. You're right. It's a little bit of a busy day, but it's always good to talk to you, Sheila, and spend some time with you. I was involved from day 1 with the merger and setting the strategies and the priorities. And any changes that come probably aren't really as a result of the individual leading the company, more of the maturity and where we are in the market. So I think, hopefully, people appreciate that the integration has gone better than expected. We've exceeded our metrics. We've exceeded the time line. And I know some people still believe that's a risk, but I can assure you, the integration has gone better than expected and pretty much we're going to wrap that up at the end of this calendar year. The divestitures we talked about, that's essentially done as well. So it really comes down to the top line organic growth, continuing to get the team and the strategy focused on opening the aperture to pursue opportunities where we can prime and understanding our customers' needs and challenges. So probably a little more focus on top line revenue growth and continuing with the culture we've built, one of operational excellence and more of an operating company than a holding company and continued focus and interaction with our customers. So those are the areas that we'll be accelerating in -- or focus on in the months ahead.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat sounds like a plan. And you reported results this morning, pretty solid results across the board. What should we take away from these results? And how does it reinforce the LHX story?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. I mean everybody has seen the release and the numbers. I'll just highlight it. It's just -- it has been 2 years, but it just continually reinforces the strategic rationale for the merger. I mean we thought it made a lot of sense a couple of years ago, but it's good to see a couple of years later what we had envisioned is actually occurring, and the team has been delivering and operating on all cylinders. So I think that's important to kind of go back and reflect on that decision. I mentioned it, but it might have been subtle. All 4 segments grew the top line organically. So we have a pretty diverse portfolio. We've talked about presence in all 5 domains. So it was good to see the growth was across the board versus just 1 or 2 segments carrying the rest of the company. And we talked a little bit about -- in the Q&A and my prepared remarks about being this trusted disruptor, just trying to thread the needle between the big primes and the new entrants, taking the best attributes of both and trying to use our knowledge of the mission and our agility and creativity to thread the needle and grow the company.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystAnd JADC2 is one program a lot of contractors have been talking about and it's focused within the DoD. How are you thinking about LHX's role on this program?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveAll right. Well, that's a great question because I'm sure you've heard a lot about this from different customers and different industries. And as have I, it seems that everybody has maybe a potentially different opinion or a different perspective in this area. And it's not just one program, it's going to be a bunch of programs. So I looked at the DoD definition, 1 of many, but their definition of JADC2 is basically 3 steps: sense, make sense and act. So when I look at it from that perspective or kind of break down that framework, when you're talking about sensing, it's all about sensors. And I look at our portfolio, we have EO sensors, IR sensors, SIGINT, radar and domain awareness capabilities. So when I look at the sensor side, we have the sensors and we're well positioned there. The make sense of all this data because it's ultimately about data is fusing the data that the sensors get and we have that capability, either airborne or in space on the platforms, we can also do it on the ground. And then you have to act on the data, and that's either an EW or a weapon or a fiber or a directed energy effect. And we have varying involvement in each of those potential actions. So that's at a high level how I think about it. And then ultimately, you have to be able to connect or communicate. And that's where we talk about our resilient communications and all the wave forms we have, more waveforms than I think any other company. Ours are truly LPI/LPD. So if you believe in modular open system architecture and software-defined everything, I think we have the portfolio, the skill sets, and now it's our job to find how best to convert this to revenue and earnings and cash. And I think it's going to take time, and it's going to be through a lot of different contracts. And at the end of the day, I don't think there's going to be a JADC2 contract or an ABMS contract or anything like that. There are going to be contracts that are going to connect these different products, maybe change some of these platforms. And we'll try to identify those and let you know how they all link together. But that's how I look at JADC2 and I like the position we're in, and there will be more to come in the quarters ahead.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat sounds great. And then maybe turning to supply chain, just given we've seen a few folks report on the defense side, some disruptions in the supply chain, with sales getting pushed to the right, what are you seeing in terms of your availability?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. Look, that's a great question. And we're not immune from the supply chain disruption. I think every company, this industry and even other industries as we've all seen and read about are impacted by the supply chain. And it's really one on lead times. The demand is greater than the supply. And a lot of these microelectronic components and chips are taken longer to get. To date, we've been successful in mitigating this risk. It's an area we focus on, on a regular basis. And we're taking actions to try to mitigate the risk and adjust accordingly. I'll say it's a dynamic area, and it kind of goes day-to-day, but it's something I'm personally watching and the team's watching. And so far, we've been fortunate to be able to meet our commitments. Maybe Jay can give a little more color on this.
Jesus Malave
executiveSure. Sheila, maybe I'll pick up where Chris is speaking in terms of actions. We certainly have increased our supplier engagement and would provide them continue to provide them with longer visibility with these [ 2 new free ] communications as well as just some longer purchase commitments. So that we have a little bit more certain outlook to what's expected from us. We're also just running some buffer stock. And we've also, where we could, increased the source of supply with new and alternative suppliers where it's possible. As Chris mentioned, it is certainly a dynamic environment. It's something that I mentioned today is a watch item for us for the year. Our year-to-date performance has -- as within -- it's been the case we've managed it quite well. And to the extent that we would see any type of impact, it would be one of timing. The nature of our contracts are such that we're pretty much the source on a particular contract. It still is possible something gets pushed to the right, to the left foot of this. I think the key thing as well is that -- our guidance range. We believe our guidance range before any type of pressure that we're seeing from our supply chain. But again, it is a daily monitoring exercise for us. And certainly, there's more to come.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat's helpful. And then in terms of -- turning to revenue synergies, where are you guys in terms of that? I think you mentioned $700 million on the call today of awards, thus far, with a 70% win rate. Any pursuits, larger ones to keep an eye out for? And how are you thinking about longevity of growth? How could this change the growth profile for LHX?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. I think revenue synergies has been one of the positive surprises. We always knew there was this potential. But again, it seems to be working a little sooner than we might have expected. Just in the second quarter, we submitted 28 proposals that met our definition of revenue synergy. We won 8 of 11, and 17 are still being decided. So a little over $300 million of orders just in Q2. And as you said, since the merger, $700 million out of 111 different submissions. Some of these are small and start with DARPA, some are a little more substantial. There's some classified space opportunities, some sixth-gen product opportunities that are going to be coming down the pike here in the months ahead. There's also been some international synergy on the call. I mentioned that yesterday, we signed a contract for a Mid-East country for our first phase of a multiyear next-gen SDR, standardization program of software-defined radio. And that also falls under the bucket of revenue synergy based on the way we structured and won that. So more to come on that. But it's going well and it's been a pleasant surprise. We talk about it as an additional point of growth organically year-over-year. And we've seen that to date, and we expect it to continue going forward.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat's great. And then turning to space, how are you thinking about the shifts in space procurement playing into LHX's strengths? How do you think about what's budget-driven growth versus share pickup?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveI think it's a combination of both. We've started several years ago with a focus on responsive sets. You've heard us talk about 20 months from getting the contract to launch. In that addressable market, we're acting as a prime. A lot of that's driven by our mission knowledge, our payloads and the ability to integrate and go quickly. On the exquisite sats, we have some incredible payload capabilities in there we tend to sub to some of the larger primes. And there was a question about some of these new entrants. And we've been meeting with them at the C-suite level and trying to figure out how best to team and partner with them like we have with the prime. So I would say probably half of it or so is due to budget growth and the other half is we're bidding and winning things that we wouldn't have done 3 to 5 years ago. So the 2 are contributing. And again, it further supports the rationale for the merger in moving up the food chain. I mentioned, but just to repeat, we've won 10 prime awards in the last 18 months when we opened a new market by getting into missile defense. So couldn't be more pleased with the strategy and the execution in this space.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystAnd then your space business also houses avionics and electronic warfare. Sorry, that's plumbing in my 1894 apartment here. But can you talk about some of the drivers of what you're seeing in that business? I think you mentioned on the call today, some slowdown in F-35 and F-16.
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. No, I think you said it well. In the air domain, we're on the F-16, the F-18, the F-35, the B-52s. And then I'll let Jay give you a little more color. But in some cases, we're transitioning from development into production, and that's causing a little bit of a flatness until we get the ramp up. But it's a good portfolio, and we're well positioned. And maybe, Jay, I'll let you give a little more.
Jesus Malave
executiveSure. Yes. Let me go to electronic warfare for a moment, Sheila. There, we've got a strong presence on the F-16. You may know that Lockheed has a pretty strong backlog on aircraft, over 100 aircraft internationally. And we're set to provide an advanced electronic warfare system, what we call Viper Shield on Block 70 aircraft. It's something that's in development. So we've essentially transitioned down on that program for production back into development and then look back into production over the next few years. On F-18, we've got a pretty steady business there as well with a growth on that. But again, in this quarter, we actually saw a decline. Part of that was just production schedule on the F-18. So we'll see some -- figure out the growth in the back half. So there's other opportunities that we're working with and developing. On B-52, we're also on a modernization program there, that is also in development. So a number of modernization opportunities that we're working on. It's just a, really, transition phase in that business. And of course, there's other things down the line, whether they're gen 6 type of aircraft that -- of course, we're going to be competing on developing technology for that. And Chris, I think, mentioned on Mission Avionics just F-35 were on Tech Refresh 3 program, same thing. We're coming really right now in the midst of the test and qualification program and now getting ready to provide a cut-in on Lot 15 there. So same thing, we're dealing with a little bit of a pause in production as we transition from development into production of businesses.
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes, Sheila, I'll just chime in. I mentioned the revenue synergy, and Jay mentioned sixth gen. And again, what we can say is when we look at our SIGINT capabilities, our IR situational awareness, the comms, the EW, the digital apertures, the multifunction processors, I know it sounds like a bunch of buzzwords there, we have all those capabilities, and we're able to bundle and put these together and I think it positions us well for any future platforms. So that's probably a little more detail, but we're excited about the portfolio and the technology, and we see long-term growth for certain.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat all sounds great. And then turning to communications. This is another business with lots of buzz. The budget seems to have a nice tailwind. But where are you in terms of modernization, whether the Army, SOCOM or some of the other opportunities?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. Maybe I'll take the domestic piece, and I'll give Jay the international piece. But when we look at the Army and SOCOM on a combined basis, we continue to see a greater than 360,000 requirement for modernization for new radios. And what's been awarded as of today is just over 50,000. So you can look at it and say, well, 14% of the way through. Now SOCOM's a little further ahead at [ 60,000 ], and the Army is lower than that, which is how we get 14% in total. There's some awards coming up in the third and fourth quarter for the Army, the HMS Manpack, HMS leader radio. Even the Marines have a handheld competition, which we hopefully will hear in the fourth quarter, maybe that slips to '22. So I feel like we're well positioned. We have a lot of momentum. You're right, the budget was all good news, and there's a lot of runway in front of us, and the team just has to continue to deliver, and they've been doing a good job so far, and I expect that to continue going forward. So you want to talk international, Jay?
Jesus Malave
executiveSure. Sheila, we talked a little bit about international this morning. And there's just continues to be a lot of opportunity here. And again, it's really tied into -- very similar to the U.S. where we're seeing modernization. We're talking billion dollar programs individually in some of these countries. In the Middle East country were a significant program, we won a recent award, so well positioned, we believe, that we will be a key player on that $1 billion program, okay? U.K. is going to be replacing its Bowman program with [ what we call ] Morpheus. And we see ourselves being able to really play a significant piece and part of that modernization program. Again, another $1 billion program there. Australia is another significant area where we see modernization take place. We're providing modernization as we speak today on a program that has a multiyear tail to it as well. There's a number of other countries in Europe and really other Middle East countries as well. We see just a tremendous amount of opportunity to modernize and interoperate with -- particularly with the U.S. That's where we see the -- really the requirement of the community in a resilient manner, and that's what the modernization really is going for. That's really it as well as internationally. So we see a nice tail to this over the next few years.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat's great. And then maybe just turning to IMS. We talked about it a little bit this morning, and it is lumpy just given the project pipeline for it. But can you maybe talk about what some of the larger international programs could be? How much of an opportunity is there for LHX given double-digit growth in Q2?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes, we continue to see those opportunities. I mean I'll take it in the 3 major sectors that we talk about. I mean ISR with the G550 portfolio. I mean Jay and I were looking at some things just the other day. I think we have 19 G550s in some form or fashion in our production house being modified. Just to give you an idea of the breadth of that program, whether it's Compass Call, Peregrine, the NATO program or some other countries. So yes, we continue to see that as an opportunity. But it's even broader than the Gulf Stream. We have the ability to go down the food chain, if you will, to say a King Air 350. We also have the Airseeker equivalent in the U.K. and upgrades there going through the 2035 time frame. So I think the whole ISR portfolio has a lot of legs in it. And when you look internationally, you talk to the customers that really provides some situational awareness. And that's something that, clearly, they have an interest in. The Maritime business continues to do quite well. And we've been pretty successful there with opportunities in Taiwan and Australia. And of course, there's a growing need for more maritime assets, and I think we're well positioned there on a variety of platforms. And even our EO/IR business, we call it WESCAM, is a great technology. And again, relative to my earlier comments on JADC2 and having sensors, there's a desire and a need for some of their products. So overall, this is probably our highest percentage of international revenues in the IMS portfolio, and we see that continuing. And we have a good reputation, and we've been able to partner and team globally, and we expect that to continue.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystYou might be able to sell those 550s -- those 19 550s out-of-profit assets, but we'll let you do your thing. In terms of Aviation Systems, there's been a lot of change there given that's in the focus of divestitures thus far. How do we kind of think about the growth profile of this business and just segment margins, the impact segment margins?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. Go ahead, Jay. You want to give detail?
Jesus Malave
executiveIf we look at it, a focus may be on the commercial aviation because that's kind of front and center, I think, right now. Just again maybe take the commercial business to where we're at this quarter and what we expect for the balance of the year. We had 20% growth in Q2. We're expecting about 30% growth in the back half of the year as part of the air traffic recovery. So everything that we've seen, thus far, as I mentioned earlier today, on the first month of the third quarter is consistent with our expectations [ for the first half ]. Our Avionics business is about a $250 million business. It's well positioned. It's -- really enjoyed the growth that we're seeing thus far on the OEMs. We're seeing the MRO pick up as well. So that business is well positioned. It's a good margin business and seeing some solid prospects there. We talked a little bit about the training this morning as well. And there's just 3 elements to it. There's simulators, there's pilot training and cadet training in getting pilots. So in all 3 cases, we're really seeing an uptick in activity. And the one area of caution for us is that in certain areas we -- of our business, we operate in locations or regions that have been choppy as far as coming out of the COVID situation, some have come out and locked back down. So it's just a watch item. But so far, what we're seeing, again, is really a recovery, it's consistent with the traffic recovery. And so that's what we expect over the medium term in that business as well. The other business we have is the FAA business where we manage their telecommunications network and their infrastructure. So that one is probably a low grower, a low single-digit type of grower. It's a good business, decent margin business for us, and we enjoy it. So it provides a solid base of business for us. I think probably low single digit is probably the way to think about it going forward. And we have an expense aviation business, which probably does a lot of classified work for these technologies, a lot of it on contract for the customer. This is where we have our agile engineering, really new technologies. This is actually a very exciting business because it's something that is -- really, we view as a source of growth, not only in that segment but across the portfolio in L3Harris. It's really a technology incubator for us. We would expect that just to continue to grow probably mid- to high single digit. We don't really speak about it as much, but it's because of the classified nature of what they do, but really an exciting business that we have in for us.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat's helpful, Jay. And maybe 1 or 2 more questions as we wrap it up. This -- margins has been a big focus of the LHX story. You raised guidance to the upper end at $18.5 billion. As we think about past 2021, how do we think about margin opportunity, whether that's E3 or mix and getting closer to that 20% target -- 20% rate?
Christopher Kubasik
executiveYes. So we'll try to give you a short answer and you can get more questions. And look, we completed the first phase, the headquarter consolidation, the segment consolidation, benefits shared services. We've talked a lot about that. We still believe there's additional opportunity in facilities and supply chain, overhead efficiencies, just the whole operations on productivity, cutting the cost of poor quality, improving the yields, even getting better EH&S metrics all contribute to a more effective factory of production. And I mentioned today, the IT, we talked about the ERP systems. We have 75. We're on our way to get to 20 on 3 different core platforms. All those things are going to take time, and all those things are going to generate increased opportunities. I don't know, Jay, if you want to add.
Jesus Malave
executiveYes. Maybe at a high level, Sheila, when you look at our direct labor, that includes the factory labor, includes direct-charging engineers and direct-charging program people. We spend over $4.5 billion of cost there. In our supply chain, both direct and indirect, it's well over $7.5 billion. There's plenty of opportunity. When you think about what we've accomplished in the past 2 years, it's been extraordinary as far as delivered synergies. That's not the end of the story. It's just that cost base is so significant. There's a lot of opportunities for factory productivity, [ draw on ] our programs better. And what we've been doing is equipping our program managers to better run their programs so they can unlock and reduce risk in the program and unlock the value that they could see in the fixed-price contract. On the supply chain, there's tremendous opportunity to continue with value engineering in that area. And so to be honest, what we've accomplished in synergy period, it's just the beginning of a long tail of opportunity that we have in the company in a pretty significant cost base. So we're pretty excited about this. We think that it's going to continue to deliver benefits. And that's really the source of why we believe we can continue to drive margin expansion over the medium term in spite of what we see, the mix headwinds.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThat's super helpful. And thank you both. We're excited to see what you guys have to offer both on the top line and keeping it profitable as well. And we want to keep you guys on time, so we appreciate you joining. And that should conclude our webcast, everyone.
Christopher Kubasik
executiveOkay, Sheila, thanks. It's great to participate, and we look forward to some more meetings with your participants. So we'll sign off. Thanks.
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analystThanks, guys.
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