LG Chem, Ltd. (051910.KS) Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 29, 2026

KOSE KR Materials Chemicals Earnings Calls 64 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Hyun-suk Yoon

Executives
#1

[Interpreted] Good afternoon. We'll now start LG Chem's 2025 Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. This is Hyun-suk Yoon, Head of IR at LG Chem. Thank you for taking interest in LG Chem and taking the time to join us today amidst your busy schedules. We will begin with a brief overview of the 2025 Q4 earnings performance. Then our CFO will review the company's performance in 2025 and outline the strategic direction for 2026. This will be followed by 2026 revenue targets, and each business division's strategy lead will then provide a more detailed overview of performance and outlook. We will conclude with a Q&A session. Please note that the presentations will be interpreted simultaneously, while the Q&A will be interpreted consecutively. For those with web access, the materials presented during this conference call can be viewed online and are also available for download from our corporate website. Let's begin today's call with the introduction of the management team. We have CFO, Dong Seok Cha; Cheol-Ho Yang from Petrochemicals; Young-suk Lee from Advanced Materials; and Su-Hee Yoon from Life Sciences. First, an overview of our financial highlights for the fourth quarter. On Page 3, consolidated Q4 sales and P&L. Q4 sales was KRW 11.197 trillion. We recorded an operating loss of KRW 413 billion, resulting in a return to a loss position and net loss for the period totaled KRW 1.573 trillion. Turning to Page 4, the company's full year performance for 2025. Full year sales revenue in 2025 declined by approximately 6% year-on-year to KRW 45.900 trillion. Operating profit amounted to KRW 1.181 trillion, an increase year-on-year despite weak market conditions in petrochemicals and battery materials, driven by LG Energy Solutions expanded ESS sales and improvements in product mix. Next, Page 5, consolidated financial status. As of the end of 2025, assets were around KRW 101 trillion, liabilities were around KRW 54 trillion, and capital was around KRW 47.100 trillion. The debt ratio increased Y-o-Y to 114.5%. Next, performance and outlook by business division. Page 6, Petrochemicals division. 2025 Q4 Petrochem business sales was KRW 3.947 trillion, and operating loss was KRW 239 billion. Due to margin compression, driven by the release of additional regional capacity and the recognition of one-off costs at overseas operation, a loss was recorded. Next, Advanced Materials. In Q4, Advanced Materials sales was KRW 725 billion, and operating loss was KRW 50 billion. Due to customer year-end inventory adjustment, shipment volumes of battery materials declined. In addition, seasonal off-peak effects in electronics and engineering materials led to a quarter-on-quarter decline in revenue and profitability. Next, Life Sciences. In Q4, sales was KRW 356 billion, and operating profit was KRW 16 billion. Due to base effects of the recognition of upfront proceeds from the license out agreements for rare obesity treatment in the previous quarter, sales and operating profit declined. Next, Farm Hannong. Q4 sales was KRW 185 billion, and operating profit was KRW 14 billion, making a return to profitability. Driven by expanded domestic and overseas sales of crop protection products, both revenue and profitability improved. Lastly, LG Energy Solutions. This morning, LG Energy Solutions presented their performance in detail during its earnings call. However, we will briefly present its performance here. In Q4, Energy Solutions sales was KRW 6.142 trillion, and operating loss was of KRW 122 billion. Despite an increase in ESS sales volume in North America, a loss was recorded due to product mix deterioration stemming from a decline in EV-related sales in North America as well as initial cost burdens associated to the additional ramp-up in ESS production. Next, CFO, Dong Seok Cha, will present the 2025 performance review and key focus areas for 2026.

Dong Seok Cha

Executives
#2

[Interpreted] Good afternoon. I'm Dong Seok Cha, CFO of LG Chem. I'd like to express my sincere appreciation to all shareholders and investors for your great interest and participation in our earnings presentation. First, looking back at 2025. Amid continued capacity expansion in the petrochemical sector and shifts in eco-friendly policy directions across major countries, it was a year of heightened global uncertainty. Under this backdrop, we exerted company-wide efforts to expand the sales of high value-added and high-margin products as well as to reduce unit costs and fixed cost savings, however, did not achieve meaningful performance achievements. However, we actively restructured Petrochem's low-margin commodity businesses and divested Water Solutions and aesthetics businesses to upgrade our business portfolio to a certain degree. Furthermore, through selective CapEx based on rigorous economic analysis alongside asset monetization, we have maintained positive cash flow, thereby strengthening our financial soundness. Looking ahead to 2026, as domestically oriented policy trends expand and geopolitical uncertainties persist, market volatility and competitive intensity across industries are expected to continue to increase, while visibility on demand recovery is likely to remain limited. Against this backdrop, we aim to position 2026 as a critical turning point by accelerating portfolio optimization and focusing on securing future growth engines, thereby solidifying the foundation for a transition to a high value-added industrial structure. In Petrochemicals. While prioritizing business structure restructuring, we will strengthen the identification of new opportunities in high value-added segments. Over the mid- to long term, we plan to achieve sustained annual growth of high value-added revenue of 20% or more and expand the segment into a core growth business. In battery materials, shipments to new customers secured last year are expected to ramp up in earnest from 2026, and we anticipate stable volume growth through customer diversification. In addition, in response to weakening downstream demand, we are developing cathode materials for mid- to low-price solution applications. Among these, we are accelerating the development in LFP for ESS, high-voltage mid-nickel and sodium-ion batteries with commercialization targeted for 2027. In electronics materials, leveraging our proprietary substrate and film materials technologies, including materials for AI semiconductors and e-mobility applications, we plan to explore new items and evaluate various strategic options to expand into high-growth, high-functionality areas. In Life Sciences, we will continue to strengthen our oncology pipeline, including head and neck cancer treatment, currently in global Phase III trials, as well as a novel renal cancer drug candidate licensed in from U.S.-based HiberCell in November 2025. Along with efforts to strengthen our business competitiveness, I'd like to share with you our capital allocation plan. Since announcing our plan to raise the company's corporate value last November, we carefully listened to the views from our shareholders and investors. As such, in respect to our plan regarding our shares in LG Energy Solutions, we have disclosed today our detailed mid- to long-term shareholder return policy. For the next 5 years, we will gradually monetize our equity stake in LG Energy Solutions to 70% level, and the proceeds from such sale will be used for growth, financial soundness and shareholder return. To overcome extreme business volatility and to secure mid- to long-term growth foundation for the foreseeable future, LG Chem will have priority in investing for future growth and maintain sound fiscal stance. Also, out of the funds secured from the sale of LG Energy Solutions shares, 10% is planned for shareholder return. Going forward, with full swing earnings improved in our core businesses and improved competitiveness, we will secure stable funds and based on this, pursue greater payout ratio and flexible fund operation to gradually expand our shareholder return. Dear shareholders and investors, despite a challenging business environment, we remain fully committed to advancing business restructuring and strengthening future competitiveness to enhance long-term corporate and shareholder value. We appreciate your continued support and interest. Thank you.

Hyun-suk Yoon

Executives
#3

[Interpreted] Next, I'll walk you through the 2026 business targets on Page 11, excluding LG Energy Solutions. As disclosed earlier in our forward-looking guidance, the company's revenue target this year on an Energy Solution-excluded basis is approximately KRW 23 trillion. Please note, however, that the actual sales revenue level may vary depending on future operating performance and the overall business environment. We will then proceed with a more detailed discussion of performance and outlook by each business division. First, from the Petrochemicals division, Cheol-Ho Yang, Head of Business Strategy, will present.

Cheol-Ho Yang

Executives
#4

[Interpreted] Good afternoon. I'm Cheol-Ho Yang, Head of Business Strategy from the Petrochemicals division. I will present the 2025 performance review of the Petrochemicals business, followed by the 2026 business outlook and strategic direction. First, review of 2025. In 2025, amid prolonged market weakness driven by sluggish demand resulting from both internal and external factors as well as severe oversupply originating from China, profitability of major products declined. To overcome this challenging business environment, we pursued a profitability enhancement strategy by improving the efficiency of low-margin businesses, including the Gimcheon SAP operation and by expanding sales of high value-added application products. Turning to the outlook for 2026. Due to continued domestic new supply and additional capacity expansion centered in China, a favorable market recovery remains difficult to anticipate. However, there are also expectations of supply reduction, particularly among less competitive facilities in regional and European markets. In line with government-led petrochemical industry restructuring, we will focus not only on proactive collaboration with refining companies, including our own internal restructuring initiatives, but also on improving overall divisional profitability through cost reduction efforts and the expansion of new and high value-added businesses. We plan to further enhance our portfolio toward high value-added products by continuing to grow sales of IPA for semiconductors and SSBR for electronic vehicles, while dedicating our efforts to improving profitability through strengthening the competitiveness of our new HVO business. Thank you.

Hyun-suk Yoon

Executives
#5

[Interpreted] Next, from the Advanced Materials division, Young-suk Lee, Head of Business Strategy, will present.

Young-suk Lee

Executives
#6

[Interpreted] Good afternoon. From the Advanced Materials division, I'm Young-suk Lee, Head of Business Strategy. In 2025, sales was KRW 4.1 trillion, and operating margin was 3.6%. Amid an uncertain business environment driven by volatility in global environmental policies and the U.S.-China trade dispute, both sales and profit declined compared with 2024. The electronics materials and engineering materials businesses maintained solid profitability, supported by expanded sales of high value-added products, including semiconductor materials and e-mobility materials. In contrast, in the battery materials business, our core North American market contracted, leading to a sharp decline in shipment volumes and a return to a loss. In 2026, the electronic materials and engineering materials businesses will focus on expanding into new high-functionality materials such as AI semiconductor materials and e-mobility materials. Based on these initiatives, profitability is expected to remain solid and broadly in line with the prior year. In battery materials, due to factors such as IRA subsidy and the repeal of carbon regulations, challenging conditions in the North American EV downstream market are expected to persist. However, performance is expected to improve meaningfully starting in the second half of this year, driven by increasing shipment volumes from newly secured orders with Toyota in North America. Overall, the Advanced Materials division, supported by increased cathode materials volume and earnings improvement, driven by higher metal prices, plans to achieve sales of KRW 4.5 trillion in 2026. Operating margin is also expected to improve year-on-year.

Hyun-suk Yoon

Executives
#7

[Interpreted] Next, from Life Science division, the Su-Hee Yoon, Head of Business Strategy, will present.

Su-Hee Yoon

Executives
#8

[Interpreted] Good afternoon. I'm Su-Hee Yoon, Head of Business Strategy from the Life Science division. I will now present the 2025 performance and 2026 outlook for the Life Science division. In 2025, driven by sales growth of our core products, sales amounted to KRW 1,353.2 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 4%. Also, we secured approximately KRW 54 billion in incremental revenue from the license out of rare obesity treatment. Revenue growth was supported by the continued strengthening of market leadership positions across key products, including Zemiglo and Eutropin product families. Profitability also improved, underpinned by solid sales of high-margin products and ongoing cost efficiency. Furthermore, in 2025, as part of our strategy to reinforce our pharmaceutical-focused businesses and sharpen portfolio prioritization, we decided to divest the aesthetics business and to terminate early the Phase III clinical trial for [ GA ] program. Through this strategic realignment, we are concentrating resources on core businesses with higher profitability and market growth potential as well as an oncology-focused novel drug development. With the goal of launching global innovative drugs, key oncology pipelines are currently progressing through clinical development, including Phase III trial for the head and neck cancer treatment, Phase Ib and II trial for hematologic cancer treatment and Phase I trial for immuno-oncology therapy. Looking ahead to 2026, we expect 6% Y-o-Y revenue growth driven by strengthened market position of major domestic products in diabetes, growth hormone and infertility, expanded overseas sales and the normalization of boosting business. Building on our stable business growth, the division will continue to invest in global innovative drug development and strengthening of its product portfolio, thereby being a solid foundation for its evolution into a global pharmaceutical company. This concludes the overview of the division. Thank you.

Hyun-suk Yoon

Executives
#9

[Interpreted] This concludes our presentation, and we'll now proceed to the Q&A session.

Operator

Operator
#10

[Interpreted] [Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Yu-Jin Jeon from iM Securities.

Yu-Jin Jeon

Analysts
#11

[Interpreted] There are 2 questions that I would like to ask you. First is with regards to your Advanced Materials business. If you look at Page 13 of the presentation, I do believe that you are talking about a 10% increase in the top line in terms of the overall guidance for the year. So in light of that, could you discuss what your overall expectations would be in terms of the shipment volumes for the cathodes that you have? And also, I do believe that there would be some impact from the decrease on the GM side. So if that is something that you could mention together, that would be appreciated. The second question that I have is about your Petrochemicals business. I do believe that you have submitted your overall plans for restructuring going forward. And this is also mentioned in the presentation. So with regards to the restructuring efforts that are going on at the Ulsan and also Yeosu and also Daesan Complex, how is that progress going? And in terms of the timing, when do you believe -- or if you could talk about the schedule, that would be appreciated also.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#12

[Interpreted] So maybe I can talk about the first question that you have asked with regards to our overall cathode volume in terms of shipments going forward. I do think that in 2026, because of the base effect that we have seen and also because of new customers going forward, we do expect that there will be an increase in our overall volume. So for the full year, I think that the overall growth that we're expecting would be around 40%. In addition to that, if you look at the first half of the year, some of our customers will actually be suspending some of their operations. So we do think that there would be some adjustments in the overall volume because of that. However, with regard to the -- and as a result, if we look at the growth on the actual shipment side, there may be some limitations. However, going towards the second half of the year, we actually do believe that the situation will improve. And as a result of that, we do think that the overall trend will represent a lower first half and higher second half of the year.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#13

[Interpreted] So maybe I can go on to the second question that you have with regards to our overall plans going forward. As you have mentioned, we have submitted the overall plans for our restructuring. And from the end of the year, there is cooperation that we're trying to achieve with various refineries. So this is something in terms of plans that we have already submitted to the government. In terms of the actual time line going forward, this is something that is still under discussion with our partner company and also with the government in itself. So therefore, with regards to the details about that and also the discussion going forward or the process going forward, that is something that we still need to discuss. However, that has been said, in terms of the actual scope of what we're looking at right now, both the Yeosu and also Daesan plant are part of the overall discussions. However, in terms of when there would be a shutdown and what is being done, that's also included, of course, in those plans. However, as mentioned before, for the actual execution timing, that is still a discussion that we are having with our various partners. So once we have more concrete ideas about the time line itself, we will make sure to discuss that with you.

Operator

Operator
#14

[Interpreted] The next question is from the line of [indiscernible] from Shinhan Securities.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#15

[Interpreted] There are 2 questions that I would like to ask you. First, with regards to your Advanced Materials business, I do think that what I would be interested in is with regards to the cathode business that you have. The EV market right now is in a slowdown. And therefore, I would like to know if there is any change to the plans that you have to build out your cathode capacity in Tennessee. In addition to that, if you look at the EV order book recently, there has been some cancellations that we have heard about. So it does seem to be that the overall demand is a bit lackluster. So for this situation, how is the company planning to deal with this going forward? The second question that I would like to ask is about your Petrochemical business. What I would be interested in hearing about would be the key outlook for the market in terms of the main products that you have. In addition to that, in terms of the turnaround in the market, when do you actually believe that, that would be possible?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#16

[Interpreted] So maybe I can address your question first about the overall Tennessee plant that we have. Right now, in North America for Tennessee, the overall plans that we have are going ahead smoothly without any issues. However, with regards to the specific timing of when we will start the operations of the plant, it's still something that is not determined yet. In addition to that, in terms of the overall ramp-up of full operations after we initially start the commercial production, this is something that we are looking at to be flexible about in line with the overall stance that the OEMs have towards the market going forward. So with regards to more detail, I do think that this is something that we can share with you when the adjustments are actually made and when we have more color on this. However, that have been said, under the existing conditions that we have already agreed with, with regards to the OEMs for supply going forward, I do think that our efforts will be focusing on minimizing our losses as much as possible.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#17

[Interpreted] So maybe I can take on the second question that you asked about our Petrochemical business and the overall outlook that we had for the year. First, to talk about the industry as a whole because there continues to be new additions that are coming in from Southeast Asia or Northeast Asia actually. And in addition to that, we actually believe because of that situation that it would be difficult to see an overall full recovery within the market. So it would be -- the recovery would be somewhat limited. However, we are going to continue to focus our efforts on high value-added and also higher-end price products that we have so that we can increase our overall sales and also optimize the overall line operations that we have. So by optimizing the line operations, we will continue to try to save on our costs to improve the overall profitability. So maybe to elaborate in a bit more detail about some of the products that we have. First, starting with ABS. If you look at the ABS market, right now, in 2026, we do believe that the oversupply situation will continue in China. And also, there is somewhat of a concern about -- or some challenging environments that we do see in terms of the overall global recovery in demand taking place. However, in the U.S. and EU, we are maintaining sales in high-margin products. And as a result of that, we are strengthening our overall portfolio to focus on more of the high value-added products. So as a result of that, we are trying to solidify the profitability or the margins that we're able to achieve. Secondly, to talk about the HPM market, I think that on the downstream side, focused on SUV-related HPM, we do see that for the larger inches and also high-performance tires, there continues to be a revival of demand in that area. So accordingly, for the high-performance SSBR demand, we do think that this is something that will continue to be very strong. And as a result of that, we do believe that we will be able to maintain a high level of profitability from this business. For the C3 IPA, right now, because of the AI-focused semiconductor, very strong market that is out there, the overall IPA for semiconductor purposes in terms of the demand is still very solid. Therefore, we want to fully utilize or fully leverage the opportunity that we have presented to maximize the profitability here as much as possible. And lastly, to talk about PVC. PVC in terms of the overall performance has been a bit sluggish, and we do think that this is a situation in terms of the demand weakness that will continue going forward. However, that have been said at the beginning of this year, there has been some changes that are taking place, such as in China, the VAT refunds have been abolished. And then on the India side, also the ADD measures were somewhat withdrawn. So we do think that uncertainty will continue to increase going forward. As a result of that, we're currently monitoring the situation very closely and trying to look at the sales opportunities that we have within such a market backdrop.

Operator

Operator
#18

[Interpreted] The next question is from the line of Hyunryul Cho from Samsung Securities.

Hyunryul Cho

Analysts
#19

[Interpreted] Yes. There are 2 questions that I would like to ask you. First is about the overall investment plan of the company. And the second would be with regards to the Advanced Materials cathodes business. First, in terms of investments, if we look at 2026, what would be the CapEx and maybe also the CapEx for the next 2 to 3 years in terms of your plans going forward? And in light with -- of that CapEx plan, are there any plans to raise any financing? The second plan -- or a question that I would like to ask you is about the mid- to low-end solutions that you have, specifically for cathodes. I do believe that you mentioned somewhat about the LFP cathodes that you are planning to develop going forward. What is that development, like today? And when do you think you would be in a position to commercially produce such cathodes. In addition to that, outside of the LFP area, are there any other technologies that you are developing for the mid- to low end and solutions there? And if so, what is the time line there that you are looking at?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#20

[Interpreted] So maybe I can address the first question about our CapEx plan for this year and also with regards to any financing that we have planned, in relation to that. So maybe just to talk about the overall CapEx-related stance that we have on a full company basis. As mentioned before, because the downstream market right now is somewhat sluggish, we do think that there are -- and in addition to that, because there are various uncertainties within the business environment, we do think that at this time, it's very critical for us to maintain our financial soundness and also be able to be cash flow positive. So as a result, for the overall company CapEx that we have for this year, the overall plan is to be very strict in terms -- and prudent in terms of the management of that so that we can invest within the available resources that we have for investment. So in 2025, if you look at our CapEx, we ended the year with KRW 2.9 trillion that we executed. And if you look at the main areas where this was used, it was for the Tennessee factory and also for the build-out of the HVO factory in terms of the capacity there. For 2026, the overall plan would be that we do believe that there will be a peak out in the CapEx that is required in Tennessee. So therefore, the overall plan that we have budgeted is a CapEx of around KRW 1.7 trillion for the year. Going forward, for the next 2 to 3 years, we also believe that, as mentioned, our priority would first be on having and maintaining strong cash flow. In addition to that, strengthening our overall financial soundness. So as of now, the overall plan is on a per year basis to maintain a CapEx that would be less than KRW 2 trillion. And in terms of the funding for that, for the overall CapEx size, we do think that by utilizing the EBITDA generation capabilities that we currently have and other available resources, that for this year, that we would not have any additional requirement to raise funding.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#21

[Interpreted] So maybe we can talk about our overall time line for LFP cathode development and what our plans are going forward. So on the LFP cathode side right now, we are trying to build out an overall technology or supply capabilities that would enable us to build, or not depend upon, our Chinese-related materials. So as of now, the overall focus is to ensure that we are able to provide products that provide high density and also other very strong features. So with regards to the ESS-related cathodes that we would require on the LFP side, the overall plan for commercialization would be within the 2027 guideline or the 2027 goal. So right now, we do believe that under that overall target, we're trying to ensure that we minimize the CapEx that is required for that by seeing if the existing lines that we have in place can be utilized. In addition to that, on the mid- to low-end side, we also have solutions that we are providing and that we are trying to develop. For example, we're trying to develop manganese-rich LMRs. In addition to that, we're looking at high-voltage mid-nickel products and also sodium batteries that would be for the future. So of those different products in the case of the LMRs for the mangan-rich side. And also for the high-voltage mid-nickel products and the LFP products, the overall target for commercialization would be for 2027. In addition, in the case of EV or ESS-related technology, that would support higher voltages and also longer life of materials. The commercialization that we're looking at would be for 2029.

Operator

Operator
#22

[Interpreted] The next question is from the line of Woo-Je Chun from KB Securities.

Woo Jae Chun

Analysts
#23

[Interpreted] There are 2 questions that I would like to ask you. First, if you look at Page 15 of the presentation on the nonoperating side, it does seem to be that there was a significant loss that you generated there. Were there any specific issues that related -- that are related to? That would be the first question. And the second is with regards to the Life Science business. For that business up until maybe 2030, in terms of horizon, what would be the new product development pipeline that you're looking at? And with regards to any clinical trials that are ongoing, if you could provide an update for that, that would also be appreciated.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#24

[Interpreted] So maybe I can address the first question with regards to the loss on the nonoperating side and what the conditions were that led to such situation. So if you look at the fourth quarter of 2025, in terms of -- on a consolidated basis, we did see a nonoperating loss of around KRW 2 trillion. If we look at the drivers behind that, first, on the Petrochemical side and also in terms of the EV and also EV battery and battery materials side, we actually did do a reassessment of our forecasting for these key businesses. So some of the adjustment is related to that. And also, we have made some strategic directional shifts. So that was also incorporated, which has led to an overall impairment of tangible and intangible assets of around KRW 1.9 trillion. So in the case of our Petrochemical business, some of the more commodity type products that we have, have been experiencing a low profit margin for a very long period of time. So accordingly, we have taken preemptive measures to adjust some of the utilization of that accordingly or preemptively. And on the separator side, if you look at our key customers, which are located in the North American market, the overall backdrop there has deteriorated and also the overall competition for prices and the overall -- oversupply drag that is within the market has deepened. So in light of that downstream situation, we also recognized some impairment losses there. the.

Su-Hee Yoon

Executives
#25

[Interpreted] So maybe to take your second question about our new drug development pipeline. In terms of the projects that we have ongoing right now, there are 5 different projects. First, with regards to the new drug material that is currently being developed by AVEO, the overall plan is that for this, we do want to achieve approval in the U.S. by 2030 and also be able to see a launch of that product. So right now, with regards to the head and neck cancer patients that we have, we are seeing a clinical Phase III trial that is ongoing. And for blood cancer, in 2025, there was a clinical trial Ib that we have launched. And right now, the target there was to -- is to have an accelerated approval. In addition, in 2024, we did actually export the technology to the U.S. Rhythm -- the U.S. company, Rhythm, with regards to the rare obesity treatment. And therefore, right now, we have completed the clinical trial Phase II. And this year, we will actually be launching a Phase III global clinical trial. So we do expect that by 2030, we would be able to receive approval in the U.S. market. In addition to that, in the Chinese market, with regards to China's Innovent company, we did have a gout treatment that was licensed out. And therefore, this year, we are planning to start the Phase III clinical trial in China related to that.

Operator

Operator
#26

[Interpreted] The next question is from the line of Hyun-hee Jung from Daiwa Capital Markets.

Hyun-hee Jung

Analysts
#27

[Interpreted] There are 2 questions that I would like to ask. First is, in China, with regards to the anti-involution policies that the government is actually adopting right now. If you look at the detailed policies, there's also the government abolishing VAT-related returns or refunds and also levying various consumption taxes on naphtha prices. So how are these details affecting the company? Are we benefiting from that? Or what would be the impact? And the second question that I would like to ask is about your overall outlook for metal prices this year. Recently, we have seen a surge in lithium prices. So how is that impacting the bottom line that we have for our cathodes?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#28

[Interpreted] So with regards to the first question that you asked in terms of the impact that we would have, if you look at the overall motivation behind why the government is introducing this anti-involution policy, it is to limit the local companies in China from engaging in various cut through, should we see an unnecessary type of competition. So as a result of that, it is trying to cut back on the benefits that is being provided and strengthen also the overall regulations so that for the companies that are not able to survive that they would be outed from the market. So over the mid- to longer term, we do think that there will be a benefit that we would be able to see from that because the overall impact would be that, that will drive down the overall supply. However, in the short term, we actually believe that it can lead to a situation in which the overall competition dynamics within the region would actually strengthen or heat up. So with regards to, for example, the VAT refund that has been provided for PVC exports, there would be an abolishment of that overall VAT refund. However, the way that it impacts the overall carbide-based PVC and ethylene-based PVC is a bit different. So in the past, the carbide-based PVCs actually saw double the amount of VAT refunds that they have been able to enjoy than the ethylene-based PVCs. So as these refunds would be abolished, then that would mean that the overall price difference between the 2 would decrease. And we have also seen as a result of that, the overall international prices increasing accordingly. However, right now, the full VAT abolishment is not overall being executed yet. So until the actual regulation goes into effect, we do think that there could be a lot of supply that is pushed out within the market. So we're closely monitoring such situation and trying to flexibly deal with the overall market, that is -- the market dynamics as takes place. In addition to that, the government is also saying that it will levy a consumption tax on naphtha. So if that is to happen, then I do think that for the Chinese players, some of the players would see a deterioration in their overall cost structure. So therefore, that would mean that, right now, in terms of the Korean players and ourselves, with regards to the product, the overall prices that we see and the gap in actuality, there could be a decrease in the price gap in itself. However, for this policy, the specifics are not something that the government has yet decided upon. So until they come out with a more detailed plan, we do continue to monitor the situation, and we will be flexible in terms of our stance accordingly.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#29

[Interpreted] So to talk about metal prices, if you look at the recent developments that we have seen for lithium, what is taking place is that there is an increasing demand related to the ESS market being more robust. In addition to that, some of the projects have been suspended or also pushed back. So that is a factor that is taking place. In addition to that, for lithium, there has been expectations released by various institutions that there will be a shortage in 2026. And also the Chinese VAT refund is being abolished. So there is stronger demand that we see in China. So all of this has been driving the current surge in prices that we have seen within the lithium market. However, we do not believe that this short-term surge is something that can be sustained going forward. So going into Q2, we do think that in terms of the overall trends, the amount of increases that we see in lithium prices, we do expect to be somewhat more limited. In addition to that, if we look at the impact of the recent surge of lithium prices on our overall performance, there is somewhat of a positive lagging effect that we do enjoy. So we do think that it will contribute for us to enjoy stronger profitability in the first half.

Operator

Operator
#30

[Interpreted] We will be getting the last question. The last question is from the line of Jin-Myung Lee from Shinhan Securities.

Jin-Myung Lee

Analysts
#31

[Interpreted] The question that I would actually like to ask is, before I think that -- it's only one question that I actually have and what it would actually be is that for the LG Energy Solutions stake, you did say that there would be resources that you would be able to secure going forward and that this would be something that you would be able to invest into future projects that you would have for growth. So if you could elaborate a bit more about what those projects would actually be. And in addition to that, there is around 10% that you have allocated for total shareholder return. If you could actually talk about the reason for that? And also if there is a possibility that, that would be less in the future?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#32

[Interpreted] So maybe I can talk about why we have allocated around 10% of the LGES-related resources to total shareholder return. If you look at the current situation that the company is in, with regards to the EBITDA generation capabilities that we have had, recently, we actually have seen a decline in those capabilities. And as a result of that, on our credit rating, there has been a weakening of that position also. We do think that for now, there is a need to be able to defend the credit rating that we enjoy. So that is why within the scope that we have available for total shareholder return within this position, we think that, that would be within the 10% that we have already allocated. However, that have been said, going forward, if our EBITDA generation capabilities would recover, then the overall plan would be to use that stronger EBITDA generation capabilities to cover the day-to-day investments that we need to make. And then for any resources that we are able to generate utilizing the LGES stake, we do think that a higher amount could be allocated for TSR.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#33

[Interpreted] In addition to talk about the future growth items that we would be looking at to utilize the resources in, I think that basically, the stance that we have in terms of putting top priority on the 4 growth drivers for the future that we have identified in terms of our stance there, there's no change. So that is something that we want to maintain. However, added to that, in the market right now, we do see very explosive growth taking place with regards to EV material, e-mobility-related material and also some of the semiconductor material-related markets such as adhesives. So if there is an opportunity that arises, then I do think that if possible, we would like to look at, and we do think that it would be necessary for us to pursue investments in this area, which may include inorganic investments.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#34

[Interpreted] So thank you very much. With this, we would like to wrap up the fourth quarter earnings conference call for LG Chem. In addition to that, if there are any questions that you still have or any questions that you need to follow-up upon, please do not hesitate to contact our IR team. And we would like to thank you once again for participating in today's call. [Portions of this transcript that are marked [Interpreted] were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]

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