LuxExperience B.V. (LUXE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
January 13, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Matthew Boss
analystOkay. Great. It's Matt Boss, retailing here at JPMorgan. I'm really happy to be joined by Michael Kliger, CEO of Mytheresa for today's fireside chat. Just on background, Mytheresa is a leading luxury multi-brand digital platform, shipping today to over 130 countries worldwide with over EUR 900 million GMV, and since 2019 has grown at a CAGR of nearly 20%. So maybe with that, I'll kick it over to Michael for some opening remarks, and then we'll progress with the fireside.
Michael Kliger
executiveThank you, Matt, and very happy to be here. I think it's a very interesting moment in the luxury sector, anyone that followed over the last 18 months, there was a constant news flow. And for me, looking at our business, but also looking at the sector, it feels like we are following perfect textbook of what happens after boom and a sudden slowdown, which the luxury sector enlarge had experienced. And we clearly hit the trough last year. And with that consolidation is happening. We are participating actively in the consolidation with some of the big players in the U.S. are consolidating also on the brand side. And so I think we are getting into a healthier and more disciplined step from which to grow again. Our numbers have turned as of the new fiscal year. We always started in summer. We have grown again. We are profitable again. We are on the trend to improved numbers. And so it's a really pivotal moment in the industry, and quite exciting also in the insight.
Matthew Boss
analystWell, I wanted to jump right on the pivotal moment. I mean there's clearly a lot of consolidation, a lot of fragmentation right now in the luxury landscape. What does that mean for Mytheresa? How does that position you?
Michael Kliger
executiveI mean I think in luxury, there is a sense of scale that is different from many other industries. Scale per se, is not offering all the big advantages that it does under more capacity driven. But what it is, is relevance. Relevance is really an asset in this industry. And on the expected completion of our acquisition of YOOX NET-A-PORTER, we will be the most relevant digital luxury player in the world, largest global reach, you talked about, we shipped to 135 markets. We have a huge customer base in Europe, but with the acquisition of YNAP huge customer base in the U.S. We have a strong business in Southeast Asia. We carry all the major luxury brands, and we are seen as the most luxurious digital player. And that puts us into a very strong spot from where to grow, from where to partner even more, it is retail. It all depends on execution, but we feel very comfortable based on the consolidation that we've seen that we are -- will be operating in more healthier industry, let's call it that.
Matthew Boss
analystAnd maybe with that, as we think about the customer cohort that you're catering to, what are you seeing with new customer acquisition? And maybe just overall health of that high-net-worth clients, what are you seeing globally?
Michael Kliger
executiveI mean right now, the last quarters have been clearly characterized and you saw in our numbers is the top is super healthy. I mean the average spend of our top customers, which account for close to 40% in the last quarter grew by 17%. So big spenders that spend already last year grew again per capita by 17%. The acquisition of new clients is where it is slower. We are acquiring a ton of new customers, but we are not growing the number of new customers constantly, which we did in the more boom time. And I think as we move into the next phase, those extremes will normalize. So you won't see 17% growth per top customer every quarter, we're normalizing it to 5% to 8%, but you will see new customers, new cohorts coming in. And I always say, growing the customer file is very important, but it's most important the quality. If they don't come back, so it's the repurchase rates. And we always put out the repurchase rates in our investor presentation because that's where you can gauge. I can pump up the file, but it won't be very economical if that's onetime visitors, onetime shoppers.
Matthew Boss
analystRight. And on quality of sales. What does the channel look like today across luxury. From an inventory perspective, I think you talked about an inflection, but it seems like it wasn't just top line, it seems like it was also from a profitability perspective.
Michael Kliger
executiveDefinitely. The sharp slowdown of demand in '23, the outcome was clear too much inventory in the market, brands, retailers that drives promotions, that drives down full price selling and whatever you lose on the margin trickles down to the bottom line. And so 12 months later, if I compare the situation of fall winter '24 to fall winter '23, less promotions, high or full price, how our gross margin has increased again in the last quarter, we'll continue to do so in the next coming quarters. And that now on the positive side, also trickles down and that drives the profitability. We are back in the black with this new fiscal year that also will continue. And what you see in our numbers is also a reflection of the total industry.
Matthew Boss
analystMichael, are you seeing anything interesting in terms of maybe changing customer behaviors, whether it's here in the U.S. or in Europe? I know here in the U.S., our economists have projected nearly 60 trillion of wealth creation since 2019. So as you said, high income consumers seems like they're in a very good place. But any changes whether it's handbags, accessories, ready-to-wear, just maybe across categories that you thought were more relevant or maybe changing even as more recent as the holiday?
Michael Kliger
executiveYes. I mean I think one big part of the luxury slowdown is, of course, what happens with the Chinese consumer. We are not as exposed as some of the brands to that. So our strong big markets are in North America, largest market for us today and Europe. And what we have seen has an ongoing and still continuing trend is our luxury consumers spend more and more on luxury experiences. The vacation sector, if you go into the big market reports, luxury hospitality is the one growing sector by large. And therefore, I think the boom times were very much characterized by single product success. The Balenciaga Triple S, everyone wanted it. It's more now connected to lifestyles to occasions. We started in November, our Vacation Shop cruise. We went into the activewear Edit. We went into skiwear and again, this is Gucci activewear, Gucci ski Edit. Moncler Grenoble is really tied to all these experiences, activities that our customer base is going after. And therefore, I mean, we are present in China. The success we have in ski Edit, there are 25 million skiers in China. It's very few people that the sheer size of the country, of course, it's a booming spare time activity in China ski.
Matthew Boss
analystYes. Maybe even if we take a step back, as we think about the market share opportunity and a fragmented landscape. What would you say makes Mytheresa different? I know the service element is a big part of it. The curated model is another part. But just maybe for those more new to the model. Maybe just what do you think differentiates the model overall?
Michael Kliger
executiveI mean we have, from the starting point to find our core customer as the wardrobe building big spending shopper, which has different components in it already. High share ready-to-wear is a big characteristic. Over 50% of our business is ready to wear. That drives the desire of newness but that drives also recurring customers because what you bought and ready-to-wear last season, you want something new. Whereas businesses that are more on the accessory on the bag side, you need new customers coming in because once you have the Andiamo, the Hop, the successful bag styles from Bottega, and I can name many more, you don't need another one. Some people do need another one, but it's not as big. So that's one part. Then really focusing on the high end. I mean, we have consistently grown our AOV over the last quarters. And again, there is margin is a big driver of profitability, but then unit economics. So if you have more valuable products, more valuable orders, all the costs tied to packaging, shipping all these transactional costs, of course, are percentage-wise going down. And so this customer is our core customer, and they want newness. They want special, they want money can buy experiences. That's our sort of glue for the loyalty for the stickiness. And you saw some examples in our video. I mean, we invited 40 of our best customers for a 2-day experience on the Christina O yacht, the original yacht from [indiscernible] or we invited. We will start in 2 weeks' time, our pop-up in Aspen with Bemelmans, an invitation-only pop-up of the Bemelmans Bar, first time they ever left the Carlyle in New York, and 40 people will be hosted every evening. That's also part of this audience that we are carrying. And I think this focus on a special segment on a lucrative segment, high return rate -- not return rates, repurchase rates, high AUV drove the success of Mytheresa in a nutshell, you could argue one of the very not only player that made money always on digital luxury.
Matthew Boss
analystAnd as we think about this potential inflection, both on the top and the bottom line, maybe just if you could elaborate on the strategic rationale behind why now from an acquisition perspective? What's the opportunity? And maybe I know you've outlined a 3-year playbook, but maybe just some of the highlights on that road map?
Michael Kliger
executiveThe fundamental logic of the acquisition is our belief that to be successful luxury, you need to be very precise, you need to have a clear personality as a shop, inspiration, curation. If that is true to take a bigger share of the market, you need different brands to take different corners of the market. You cannot with one brand to cover the whole market, that runs the risk of brand dilution. And within the YNAP company, you have NET-A-PORTER, you have MR PORTER, you have THE OUTNET, you have YOOX, brands that have been around for decades, pioneers of the luxury industry in our research still very strong brands, and that was the rationale. The rationale, of course, does require back-end restructuring, back-end integration will drive back and synergies. But the fundamental logic is if we can cover more of the market with highly profiled businesses, we can replicate the success of Mytheresa and not run the risk of dilution. And with the acquisition, which is expected to complete in the next 3 months, we will, from day one be a EUR 3 billion company with the addition of the YOOX NET-A-PORTER business. As I said, there's back-of-housework to be done, a massive task. I won't diminish that. We are buying a cash burning business. That's why part of the deal was a cash infusion from day one of EUR 555 million from the seller. But we are looking at a 5-year plan of creating a EUR 4 billion digital luxury business worldwide with an expected EBITDA of 8% and more. And we will have the largest and best customer file in digital luxury in the world. No one will even come close to that, and that comes back to my point about relevance.
Matthew Boss
analystMichael, maybe prior to the pandemic, I know you had projections out there of the global luxury digital market and the annual growth rate. How would you think about today going forward? And then if we think about the combined density post-acquisition, is market share capture the opportunity?
Michael Kliger
executiveIt's market share capture in a growing market because digital is still growing. The trend is still fully intact. Yes, probably there was a 1, 2, 2-year reset. But it's a growing sector. It's driven by changing consumer needs, consumer behavior. So there is a market share grab opportunity in a growing market, and that what makes us very comfortable with our top line outlook.
Matthew Boss
analystAnd maybe from a balance sheet perspective, just your comfort with overall balance sheet overall metrics in light of the acquisition as we look forward.
Michael Kliger
executiveSo Mytheresa is a debt-free company. We will acquire a debt-free company with EUR 555 million cash from day one sitting on the balance sheet. We will acquire all the stock in the business. So this comes for free for better words. We will have to work through that stock and old stock does not drive future sales. You need new stock. But the balance sheet is very clean in that sense. Everything that was spent on IT was spent, and we will decide whether we will keep those assets or not, but they have been cash for. The policy of Mytheresa has always been IT is OpEx, not CapEx because it's ongoing, and we will continue to work on that assumption. We are looking at a recovery plan that brings the business back into positive cash flow within 3 years of YNAP. As long as our business has grown, we have been slightly cash positive, but again, we grew from EUR 100 million to close to EUR 1 billion in 10 years without any debt, self-funded growth in a business that buys inventory. So to grow next year, we need to increase working capital. But our ratios are in much better shape than a year ago. The industry was overflown with inventories we were. We have decreased inventory as a business, even though we have grown. We went down from a DIO of 290 days to 250 days and still see room to improve further.
Matthew Boss
analystAnd maybe just long-term post-acquisition integration. I mean, what do you see as the right profile for the company, whether it's top line down to bottom-line, I think you cited high single-digit EBITDA margins. But what do you see is the right top and bottom line profile for the integrated company longer term?
Michael Kliger
executiveOn the top line, driven by the changing consumer, we see clearly an ongoing growth of 15% to 20%. Again, we hope to be a EUR 4 billion company. In a total market that is over 150, if it grows further 175. So we are not maxing out. But a healthy growth rate that we have in the past, you've quoted our CAGR achieved. And bottom line, I think it is healthy to go for this 8% EBITDA, which we have even in boom times achieved 10. We have come around 7 to 8 historically, that's a very good number to feed the growth. We are not -- we don't want to cash out. We want to continue to grow and grab market share, and therefore, an 8% EBITDA is a good profile.
Matthew Boss
analystI think this was fantastic. At that point, I don't know if there's any questions from the audience, but otherwise, thanks for your time.
Unknown Analyst
analyst[indiscernible]
Michael Kliger
executiveVery good question. And coming back to the rationale, we want to keep them autonomous because we want to cover different parts of the market. So as announced in our investor presentation, we will have different buying teams. We have different marketing teams. We will have different personal shopping teams, where we will integrate is on the back end. And I always say, yes, I need 35 additional buyers, but 35 additional buyers versus a clear profile and the opportunity to grab a different share of market to touch different customers, is enormously profitable investment. And so autonomy on the brand side, but one platform on the tech side, one platform on the logistics side, for the luxury part, the fashion or the outlet part needs its own stack. It's a very different business. You cannot serve luxury and outlets with the same stack, something will give. Either you have something too expensive for the outlet or not good enough for the luxury part.
Unknown Analyst
analystFollow on...
Michael Kliger
executiveWith a spin, I don't see us as great operators for ongoing stores. I mean we have a store for historic reasons in Munich that's where the company was founded. So year-round store, no. But coming back to my example about lifestyle and being present when our customer is there, we are ongoingly and increasingly go into markets and locations with physical presence. We were 6 weeks present in the Hamptons with a pop up. We will be 2 weeks in Aspen with a pop-up, we had physical presence all summer in Europe, in beach clubs that way absolutely and great opportunity. But year round, I don't see us as the best operators of stores.
Matthew Boss
analystGreat. Maybe we'll close it there. Thank you.
Michael Kliger
executiveThank you very much. Thanks, Matt.
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