Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 8, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Atif Malik
analystOkay. Welcome to Day 1 of Citi Virtual Technology Conference. My name is Atif Malik. I cover U.S. semiconductors and equipment stock here at Citi. It's my pleasure to welcome YJ Kim, CEO of MagnaChip; as well as Young-Soo, CFO at MagnaChip. I'll open it up with my questions first, and then we'll have the audience type in their questions via Zoom chat. Welcome, YJ.
Atif Malik
analystYJ, MagnaChip completed the sales of Foundry Services Group last week. Can you remind us with the financial details of the transaction?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveYes, thank you. So we announced the successful completion of Foundry business and fared for sale on September 1. The purchase price, approximately $350.6 million including working capital adjustment of approximately $5.9 million. Buyer assumed all severance liabilities of approximately $100 million relating to the transfer of the employees. We also announced our plan to use $227.4 million of the net proceeds to fully redeem all of its outstanding 6.625% senior notes due 2021.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. YJ, it's a truly transformative change to sell foundry business, which will help unlock significant earnings power for the company in the long run. And how does it look like once the impact is fully reflected?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveWith our new sharp focus as a pure-play product company with fabless and fab-light model and an improved balance sheet, we are repositioning the company that will deliver sustainable and profitable growth. From 2020 to 2023, our goal is to achieve double-digit CAGR growth in revenue, above 30% gross margin and above 10% adjusted operating income margin. In addition, by Q1 of 2021, we will eliminate $21 million of interest expense. We have been communicating some pro forma items as we gain visibility quarter after quarter. We will continue to do so in the next earning call. By the Analyst Day, we plan to share key pro forma metrics and details on strategies.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. And Young-Soo, one for you. It looks like that you can pay off the debt and your business model can generate a steady cash flow. What is the plan on capital allocation?
Young-Soo Woo
executiveCurrently, our board and management are evaluating all available options to maximize our shared value, whether it is investing in the organic growth or adding inorganic growth opportunities and returning to shareholders. We are starting the cash use with delevering our balance sheet. And also, we are establishing our Fab 3 with some capacity expansion. And we will share more details of our plan, how we are going to use the cash during our Analyst Day, which is scheduled on November 12.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. And YJ, if you could add more color on growing at double-digit compound annual growth rate from 2023 and what are the biggest drivers of that growth.
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSuppose our Display and Power business are well-positioned in the attractive markets where secular growth trend is a tailwind. For display, the OLED, DDIC, Sam is projected to grow at 15% from 2020 to 2023, driven by continued OLED adoption in smartphones and OLED penetration into new applications such as automotive, TV, wearables and PC and tablets. For the power business, we plan to further expand high-growth applications including industrial, automotive with our premium products. Also, there is a tremendous opportunity in China as our market share is only less than 2%. In addition, we are open for any options to layer additional growth opportunity. We may consider inorganic growth options that are synergistic and gross margin and EPS-accretive if the right opportunities present itself.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. And maybe let's start with your Display segment first. What do you see in the smartphone market today as we recover from COVID-19 from both supply and demand disruption? Are you seeing an impact from second and third waves of COVID-19 to your customers' demand? Or is the worst behind us?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveI mean I cannot tell how the market will shape, especially with COVID-19 second waves or so on. But I can assure you that as a socially responsible global corporate citizen, MagnaChip has implemented critical measures to protect employees' well-being and secure our supply continuity for our customers. In terms of smartphone demand, in July, we said we experienced an upswing in demand, which is outstripping our supply capability in Q3 because of insufficient lead time. Our standard OLED DDIC lead time is 2.5 to 3 months. Typically, Q3 is the peak season, followed by a softer Q4. However, if this rise in demand continues, we may see a stronger than typical Q4. We will see how it progresses for the next few months.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. And then speaking about the smartphone demand, how do you see the recent Huawei export ban or the U.S.-China trade tensions in the semiconductor impact your business at all. Over the weekend, we heard that the U.S. might put SMIC on the entity list, which will prevent it from getting equipment. So how does the China dynamics impact your business?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSo first of all, we sell drive IC to Korean panel makers who then embed our DDIC to their panels and provide them to multiple smartphone makers. Although Huawei is not our direct customer, it has a big part of smartphone ecosystem, which makes the near-term smartphone market even more uncertain. Consequently, we have seen reports forecasting other Chinese makers like Xiaomi, Oppo, Vivo to start gaining share in China and maybe in 2021 onwards. We also see Korean phone makers regaining the momentum. All of these makers are using panels with our chip for some of their smartphone models. The market will eventually adjust and balance with share shift. Beyond the near term uncertainty, the OLED smartphone market remains very attractive. And as a technology leader and long-term viable supplier, we are well-positioned to capitalize on the secular market trend.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. YJ, recent third-party report showed more than 30% share in the OLED smartphone, DDIC non-captive market, which is a first for MagnaChip. Can you give us more color on the market share data?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSure. The most recent market data published by Omdia indicated we are #1 non-captive OLED smartphone driver IC maker in the unit basis in Q1 2020 with 33% market share. However, the #1 was Samsung, who took the majority number of -- majority market share, which leaves very little for the other makers. Now thanks to our strong relationship with the key customers, our share has been growing continuously: 24% in Q2 '19, 27% in Q3 and 32% in Q4 in 2019. In the dollar basis, though, our market share is lower than 33%, which provides us with additional growth opportunity in terms of dollar, if we get into better high-end models. With our market leadership and technology advancement, we can benefit from continued OLED adoption in the smartphones.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. What has driven your success in this market? What is MagnaChip's competitive advantage and -- in the OLED driver market, particularly? Because if I look at your history, you've had success in Korea in the past, but now you're making more inroads in China. And what makes it sticky this time?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveWell, so as you said, we are the pioneer in the OLED DDIC since 2003. That's -- we're kind of Samsung and LSI internal supplier. And so we have a very strong record of technology. At the same time, because of our early lead and the design capability, we can design the analog portions more than anyone else. So what does that mean is that if you design the same chip in the same process node, our die is smallest, which turns to best power consumption. On top of that, the Samsung and MagnaChip have their own IP in terms of the process. So what this means is that when we actually qualify foundry externally, we actually send out process engineers to optimize the OLED process. We also understand the OLED panel manufacturing because we've been doing this for almost 20 years. And along with that, we have a patent granted by Korean government to be the best patent in 2015 that optimize the OLED design cell at the smallest level. So combination of 10 to 17 years of OLED technology, design know-how and customer relationship with superior engineering, that translate to our competitive advantages. And our success is definitely driven by clear mission that is empowering our customer by accelerating our technology advancement.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. You recently mentioned reestablishing your Fab 3. Can you provide some detail on what is required in terms of CapEx and what customers and outcome are you expecting?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSo before we sold the Foundry business, our next-gen R&D and QRA lab was for -- in Fab 4, because we had share of the Fab 4 for both Foundry as well as product business. And at the same time, the data center was in the R&D building next to the Fab 4. Now we will be dedicating Fab 3 for our products, especially Power business. So as part of the separation, we now have to reestablish the data center and QRA lab for the Power business and also establish the Power process R&D to Fab 3. So that will require $21 million onetime investment this year. And adding the recurring maintenance level of about $13 million to $14 million annually, so total CapEx this year will be about $35 million. Next year, we plan to completely reestablish Power and Fab 3 for full and expansion of Fab 3 output. This will require special onetime investment of $22 million. And with the recurring CapEx, $13 million, $14 million, total CapEx next year will be also around $35 million. This investment allow us to pursue a revenue potential that equates to a payback period of less than 3 years. One of the key segments we are targeting is automotive, as you know. That also requires your own fab, and therefore, the Fab 3 is very strategic and critical. And customers expect us to have that fab for both the automotive as well as our premium Power Display product lines. In addition, we will consider external foundry services once we reach our full capacity as well as other product that is purely fabless like Power IC.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. YJ, a question on the pricing. We have been hearing that the panel pricing is going up perhaps because of the supply tightness. Can you talk about your pricing dynamics in terms of flexible drivers or rigid OLED? What are you seeing in the pricing dynamics?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveWe don't really monitor the panel prices. But I can say you that in July, we had more demand than what we can supply for Q3. So we've been working hard with our suppliers, try to meet some of the robust demand. So -- but as far as the panel prices of that, that's not in our domain. So -- but I can tell you what's happening to us.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. And then on the -- in terms of the drivers, I think one driver that you have highlighted in the past has been gaming in the smartphone market where you require 120 gigahertz speed. Can you talk about gaming being a driver for not only smartphone market but as well as OLED adoption?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveYes, so if you recall some of our remarks in the earnings call, we have 5 products that have been shipped in terms of the -- our chip that is capable of delivering 120 hertz or 144 hertz, which we call high frame rate, HFR products. That is becoming a very standard feature for the high-end phone. If you look at the all -- the new S20 and Note 20 product line, has 120 hertz. And we think this is a new moment in the OLED phones. And that also allows a smartphone to be used nicely for the gaming, as well as a much sharper display.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. Switching to the Power business, it is good to hear that you are strengthening your power group with sharpened focus and R&D. Can you tell us about your view on the Power business?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveYes. So if you look at our Power business, we really turned around a few years ago recently. Three, 4 years ago, the margin used to be single-digit for Power. Through our product optimization and a better technology development, we increased the margin by double-digit percentage points. At the same time, now with the improved quality and design, we are known as one of the best-in-class MOSFET technical company in Asia. And we compete with global suppliers in the U.S. as well as the European names. And our revenue mostly comes from Asia, and Korea and China are the key 2 regions. And as I said before, our market share in China is less than 2%, a lot of room to grow. And I think because we are Korean IP supplier. We are very well-positioned to support China customers as well as support them and meet an escalated U.S.-China tension.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. Who do you see as your competitors in the Power segment? And what is your competitive advantage?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveYes. So I think I spoke about that. So I think the -- in Asia, I think we are known as the key supplier. And in the technical front, we compete such as on semi and Infineon in those, where in Asia, they would like to compare our quality to their level. And as I said, China, it's a very growing market. And one of our products that's coming is automotive, where we are in the 10,000-hour [ call ]. So we expect to have some limited production by second half next year. And that's going to make our product line more competitive and address the China market as well as the automotive market. And we will strengthen our competitive advantage with the next-generation products on the MV MOSFET to Super Junction and IGBT. We just hired a new GM, and he's going to accelerate the road map. And then we just hired a China sales guy who is going to help out growing in China. So we think that's going to create more competitive advantage for us.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. And then switching on to the financial model. You mentioned about reaching above 30% gross margins by 2023. What are the margin initiatives in Display and Power businesses?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSo if we break into Display, we will expand into other OLED application for like TVs and automotive. You see a lot of the efforts on the OLED TV, whether it's W-based or RGB or quantum dot. We see the post application start to show the revenue from next year. We taped out the first OLED, auto-DDIC to customer in Q2. And we'll see a margin expansion opportunity when, also, other panel makers become a meaningful player in the market. In terms of Power, we are really gearing up the next-generation platform with the new GM. He brings more than 35 years of the technical background and experience in the power from the name brands. And he will accelerate as well as improve the performance where you're going to see a significant reduction in the die size or layer reduction that's going to improve the [ post ] performance and the margin. We are also growing power IC product line where we used to be only in the TV LED. And now we expand to solid-state as well as in the IT. So I think all these will be creating a margin expansion. At the same time, we're also open for any gross margin-accretive acquisition if the opportunity presents itself.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. There has been a talk about Huawei entering the DDIC market. Do you have any comments on that, YJ?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveWe see also speculation article like that. But at the same time, I think the article also mentioned they will get into LCD first and then OLED. But at the same time, with the bar on the SMIC potentially, you have to wonder where they're going to get the foundry sourcing. Also the OLED process technology is not something that every foundry has. Maybe LCD is, OLED is not. So how you're going to have access to that will be also questionable. As I said before, we will send our process engineer and enable this medium voltage process in the foundry. But where would people like Huawei get access to? So there will be some -- a lot of learning curve as well as barrier. But at the same time, if they're successful, look, we compete very well as the first supplier. We do that at Samsung. We also do that at LG with their internal house, and still gain a decent market share. So we will also welcome that opportunity even if that becomes the case.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. And can you specifically talk about the China OLED panel market, BOE? How is that growing and the potential impact on your business?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSo we've been very clear that the -- there's a shortage of the OLED engineers. We actually have to train them about 3 years after college before we use them to design OLED DDIC. So we actually have more opportunity than what we can handle. So -- but if they -- any panel maker, they -- becomes a very good business opportunity, then we have a better chance to look at the ROI opportunity and see whether we can support them or not. So it's better -- it's a business decision and business ROI decision. So -- but again, we are focused on making our OLED solution very attractive and competitive. And we'll be happy to support the customer and have a win-win situation.
Atif Malik
analyst5G adoption is a long-term secular growth theme for the semiconductor market. We hear about 200 million-odd units of 5G phones this year. Migration of OLEDs to low, mid-range phones. Within that 200 million, we keep on hearing that the phones are going to be -- the 5G sweet spot is moving down to low- to mid-end phones. What is MagnaChip's view on the smartphone adoption in terms of low- to mid-end phones? And how are Chinese smartphone manufacturers able to add OLED display to low- and mid-tier phones in a cost-effective manner?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSo we see that as a great opportunity, by the way. So if you look at our OLED into 5G penetration based on our data, it was around 20% in first half, which is slightly higher than the total 5G phone that market research shows. So what that means is that there's more adoption in OLED screen on the 5G phone. Why? There are multiple reasons. A, 5G smartphone tend to be more expensive than the 4G phone; second, the 5G smartphone consume more power. So what does that mean? You have to mitigate the power consumption. So the OLED panel becomes a more key player. Now going beyond your question also to address, we see that there are multiple things that's going to happen. I think if you look at the all foldable phone, which is ultimate high end, it's all -- it has to be OLED because it's flexible. The second, the high end phone has been -- the market share has been staying flat or slightly down, especially during COVID. So what does that mean? There will be more price-sensitive phones and more price-sensitive 5G phones. And I think some of that will be mitigated with the rigid OLED smartphones. And as you know, we have a very good market share in technology and products on the rigid panel as part of our sales.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. And how are you positioned on micro LEDs?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveSo micro LED, I see that as a niche market at this point. And as we shared before, we have world's first active metrics micro LED TV controller, DDIC. It's 1 chip integrated with the OLED drive IC technology, power IC technology, discrete power into one. And it's a scalable solution. And our customers have already demonstrated very large TV with 8K capability using 256 of our devices. I'm sure that in the future, that will come back -- come with much better solution from us. But to make this story short, I think the micro LED TV may come out, but it's very -- going to be very expensive. It's going to be a niche. It's like the OLED TV when it came out 7 years ago. And I'm hoping that the micro LED will grow like that, OLED, but at the high end. And the other opportunity we see is the micro LED in wearable, where if you want the best, brightest screen on wearable, the micro LEDs go. So I see that as another opportunity in the future.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. Let's see if our audience have any questions for the MagnaChip team. You can type it on the Zoom or you can e-mail the question to myself. It's atif.malik@citi.com. MagnaChip team, do you see any questions on Zoom?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveNo.
Atif Malik
analystOkay. One last one for me, YJ. There's a lot of news in OLED DDIC and OLED TDDI. How would you view them? Or how would you characterize the competitive landscape?
Young-Joon Kim
executiveYes. I think there's a misconception on the TDDI. TDDI was actually for LCD using in-cell technology. But OLED, as you know, is an on-cell. So unless if the panel maker changes the technology in-cell, the TDDI does not bring any benefit in terms of costs. In fact, it creates more challenging in-design. It creates more noise immunity, so forth. So I think there's misconception there. The only -- where I see a TDDI, it's really niche high-end smartphone. But again, that's going to be very unlikely with the panel makers because the panel makers have also learned. In the LCD, LCD is a varied commodity. So when you turn to TDDI, then people can use TDDI with multiple panel makers. This time, I don't think the panel makers want to do that for the market. So -- and right now, as you know, only a few people are the leading edge in terms of the OLED panel making. And I don't think they want to allow things to happen like LCD, what they've seen. And since there's no cost benefit in terms of module or things, they're not going to do that. Also, I can tell you, if from a chip perspective, doing TDDI is more expensive than the current OLED driver plus touch chip. The OLED is evolving every day. So you need a new IP all the time and a new chip, while in touch, it's not. So I thought I can leave it at that.
Atif Malik
analystGreat. Thank you, YJ. Thank you, Young-Soo, for joining us, and have a great day in your one-on-ones. Thank you.
Young-Joon Kim
executiveThank you.
Young-Soo Woo
executiveThank you.
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