Mahindra EPC Irrigation Limited ($523754)
Earnings Call Transcript · April 22, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
OperatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Mahindra EPC Irrigation Investors Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director, Mahindra EPC. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesThank you, and a very good afternoon to all our listeners. On behalf of Mahindra EPC, I would like to sincerely thank you for joining this call. Thank you also for continuing to take a keen interest in your company. As is customary in my introduction, I'll start by touching upon some key insights and developments in the micro-irrigation industry, our industry understanding as well as some points on the company's approach to address challenges and opportunities. And following my introduction, we can have our Q&A session. So let me start with a macro view of the micro-irrigation industry in India. As there might be some first-time attendees, I will take up points related to the macro environment, which you may have heard before and which may be of repetitive nature, but are important, nevertheless, to set up the context. India continues to demonstrate resilience as one of the fastest-growing large economies, supported by strong domestic demand, sustained public capital expenditure and policy continuity. We all know agriculture continues to be the backbone of our nation, engaging nearly 65% of India's population and contributing around 18% to India's gross value added, the GVA. As per the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, the first advanced estimates of the GVA, the real GVA of agriculture and allied sector has been estimated to grow by 2.4% during FY '26 as compared to 3.8% witnessed during the last year, which is FY '25. Apart from meeting domestic requirements, India has also rapidly emerged as a net exporter of agricultural products in recent years. And in the last couple of years, the exports of agricultural products from India have been in the range of $48 billion to $53 billion. The rural economy during FY '26 continued to remain influenced by 3 things: extended monsoon distribution and intensity, input cost dynamics, inputs in terms of fertilizers, power, labor as well as government support mechanisms. Rising cultivation costs and climate-related risks are increasing the relevance of solutions that improve input efficiency and productivity and micro-irrigation by enabling savings in water, in fertilizer, in energy and labor, while at the same time, improving yields continues to be viewed as a value-enhancing investment by farmers rather than a mere capital expense. The global outlook for the micro irrigation and agri solutions sector over FY '27 and beyond indicates a few critical areas. Firstly, structural demand drivers that arise from water stress, climate adaptation and food security concerns. Secondly, near-term volatility in energy, polymer and logistics costs driven by geopolitical developments. Thirdly, increasing policy and institutional support for water use efficiency and sustainable agriculture; and fourthly, greater emphasis on productivity-enhancing investments in emerging economies. While cost pressures may create short-term challenges, the IMF's assessment indicates that investment in water-efficient agricultural infrastructure is likely to accelerate globally, creating sustained opportunities for players with technology, scale and execution capabilities. However, with 18% of the world's population, India has access only to 4% of global freshwater resources. Agriculture alone consumes over 80% of India's freshwater withdrawals. As per current estimates, per capita water availability in India is expected to drop from 1,545 cubic meters in 2011 to 1,140 cubic meters by 2050, which would then classify India as a potentially water scarce nation. Additionally, India is likely to see faster growth rates in the secondary and tertiary sectors, including manufacturing, construction, electricity, utilities, et cetera. And to support the actual rates of growth and the required rates of growth in these sectors, a larger share of water available in India needs to be provided to these sectors. Since there is a natural limit on sources of water, a lot of the water required for these sectors needs to come from reduced water consumption in agriculture. This reduction will come from all types of water, all types of surface water, groundwater conservation and recharge projects, but also it will come from on-farm water management, which is where micro irrigation comes in and which includes farm water use efficiency improvement. And this context puts micro irrigation at the very heart of India's sustainability and economic transformation initiatives. The micro irrigation addresses 3 of India's 4 goals: first, water use efficiency; second, productivity improvement; and third, doubling of farmers' income. As I have mentioned in previous investor calls, there are various studies clearly proving that micro irrigation benefits the farmer by saving costs such as fertilizer, labor and electricity in the range of 20% to 30%, while at the same time, improving productivity by 30% to 40%. With this background, as we look at the potential and the existing penetration of micro irrigation in India, we see only about 17% to 18% penetration of the total identified current potential for micro irrigation, which is 72 million hectares. This estimated potential is based mostly on groundwater availability and some portion of surface water. If most of the surface water is also assumed to be available for agriculture, then the potential for micro irrigation will just double from the 72 million hectares. In other words, there is a big upside for this industry. Let me now share some key trends and observations from CRISIL. The first is on policy-driven demand. Demand for micro irrigation is heavily guided by state and central government subsidies and budgetary allocations. While the sector has seen long-term growth, short-term demand can be volatile and impacted by election cycles, example, in fiscal 2025, and it can also be impacted by agricultural policy changes. The second observation from CRISIL is on working capital intensity. Companies in this sector, including key players, face high working capital requirements due to delayed payments from state governments, resulting in high receivables. The third observation they make is on industry restructuring. Leading firms are shifting focus towards cash and carry models, reducing dependence on EPC projects with long payment cycles and expanding into nonsubsidy-based products to improve their liquidity, which exactly is what your company is doing. The fourth observation is on operating margins. Profitability is sensitive to fluctuations in raw material prices and the ability to pass on cost increases to government bodies. But as your company is demonstrating, there are ways to manage this through product mix and market mix. The fourth (sic) [ fifth ] observation is on market position. CRISIL highlights a strong market position for key players with established dealer networks and strong parent support, and your company is a good example of one of them. With this in background, the government of India has, therefore, set an ambitious target of 2 million hectares annually, aiming to cover 10 million hectares over the next 5 years. The commitment of the central government is evident from the fact that in FY '26, for the first time, the central government has issued 43% of its annual fund allocations to the states in the form of mother sanctions and that too by the month of May 2025. The same trend is likely to continue in FY '27 as well with a possible improvement. However, it is important to note that achieving this requires not just central government push and central government policy, but consistent state-level execution, availability of state funding and also price mechanisms that are linked to input costs. synchronization of all these priorities at the central and state levels will show a positive impact. Let's now talk about FY '26. This year, as we know, was a year of La Nina and hence, the Southwest monsoon saw an above-normal rainfall. 107.9% of LPA to be precise. While this meant better groundwater availability in the longer term and assured a better Rabi season for FY '26, it has, however, posed challenges for the micro irrigation business in the first half of FY '26. The impressing rains from May as late as October impacted micro irrigation demand as well as micro irrigation installations. On the other hand, H2 saw better industry demand, which your company took full advantage of. That said, H2 was negatively impacted by challenges on fund release by certain key states. And also in the last 2 months of FY '26, the industry was impacted by extreme geopolitical disturbances. Specifically in Q4 FY '26, raw material prices suddenly shot up riding on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. And just to illustrate the magnitude, in February 2026, on average, the PE pipe grades saw a 58%, 59% price increase. Additionally, at this high price, availability was also an issue with limited supplies at OEMs, the industry had to resort to traders for spot buying. Various OEMs have indicated the shift of priorities to LPG and other essential petroleum products. Despite all these challenges, your company registered its highest ever revenue in FY '26. This is a consequence of specific choices made by your company and outlined in earlier investor calls, including its diversification to shorter collection cycle revenue streams such as irrigation projects and non-subsidy business as well as its focus on certain key subsidy states. In what we estimate as an industry that may register a growth of 6% to 7% versus FY '25, your company registered a growth of 14.8% with a INR 315.8 crores revenue versus FY '25 revenue of INR 275.1 crores. This growth was despite challenges faced in Q4 FY '26, a quarter which saw the highest ever raw material price in March, accompanied by the challenge of certain key states not releasing funds as planned. In the face of this, your company registered a Q4 growth of about 11%. Coming to the full year bottom line. Your company significantly improved bottom line and delivered a PBT of INR 17 crores for FY '26 versus INR 10.7 crores in FY '25. This was despite the additional provision of personnel cost of INR 2.1 crores towards past service costs owing to notification of The Code on Social Security 2020. The improvement in bottom line came through improved revenues, a slight improvement in variable margins, riding on a 1% saving on material cost, which primarily came from an improved rate mix, product mix and business mix. A couple of words on the bottom line of Q4 FY '26, where the company registered a INR 6.4 crore PBT versus INR 9.4 crore last Q4. This is impacted by the steep rise of raw material prices in March as well as the heavy revenue skew of Q4 FY '26 towards March. I'd like to explain the impact of raw material prices in a little more detail as it might be on some of your minds. While raw material prices have been favorable for most of the year, except March 2026, the sharp increase in raw material prices in March, amplified by our revenue skew towards March did impact the full year. However, it was compensated for by the softer raw material prices for the major part of the year. Net-net, the net increase in material costs that we saw on account of all these factors coming together were also mitigated by our strategic sourcing initiatives and our conscious work on the state mix and the product mix. And all this put together helped us manage the raw material cost increase in March. And overall, for the full year versus last full year, we delivered a material cost saving of 1% expressed as a percentage of revenue. In Q4, though, our material costs did go up by 2% versus last Q4 because of the steep surge in raw material prices in March versus February. A few words on receivables. As you know, this was an exceptional year from a receivables perspective, where despite a smoother process of the mother sanction released by the government of India, key states took longer time to release the state mandatory funds and the state top-up funds. Because of this, this led to a pile up of receivables for the industry in FY '26, which significantly increased over the opening -- FY '25 opening status for receivables. Further, your company demonstrated high revenue growth of 20% in the last 4 months of FY '26, which has also impacted the closing balance of its receivables, taking your company's closing balance to a higher level than the previous year. Your company did well to mitigate this number from increasing even further by improving the non-subsidy share of its business to an all-time high of 35%. Overall, while high receivables in key states is an industry-wide phenomenon, your company is happy to report that as per the past trends as well as, as per current health checks of receivables, most of these receivables have been acknowledged and are at final disbursement stages in these respective states. This endorses its recoverability as and when the funds are made available by the states. The overall performance to sum up in FY '26 was delivered through a combination of growth in irrigation projects business, number two, improved performance in certain key opportunity states; number three, improvement in product mix; number four, good commercial discipline; and number five, good cost controls. Let me switch back to the state of the industry for a little bit. We do think that the industry is nearing an inflection point. After the challenges and slow-paced growth that we saw some years ago, some encouraging trends are visible. Number one, once these geopolitical crisis get over, the raw material price environment is expected to stay balanced, though these may not be enough to take us to FY '20 material cost levels, they are likely to stay range bound. The only caveat here is that geopolitical events are difficult to predict. And hence, we see reason to be cautious on this front for Q1 FY '27. Second, further, though FY '27 is predicted by some agencies as an El Nino year, there is still a possibility of near-normal monsoon in FY '27. And with the groundwater situation improved on account of successive years of good monsoon in the recent past, FY '27 should not be very challenging on account of water availability for micro-irrigation-led crops. Third, riding on efforts by government and industry as well as the visible benefits of micro irrigation, we do believe that an increased number of farmers are getting aware of the benefits of micro irrigation, and that may lead to improved demand. Fourthly, increasing sustainability awareness in urban regions will lead to improved usage of micro irrigation and is likely to improve demand in retail markets as well. Fifthly, the policy environment is showing some encouraging signs. And to give you a couple of examples, the Honorable Prime Minister is pushing for 1 crore hectares, 10 million hectares to be covered in the next 5 years, which translates to an average of 2 million hectares a year versus what we saw in FY '25 of 1 million hectares. Also key states such as Andhra Pradesh may get additional assistance to cover larger areas under micro-irrigation over the next 4 years, starting in financial year '27. And also several of the currently active states like AP, Telangana, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu are active, giving a positive push to the industry. We also think that the recent GST changes such as the reduction of GST from 12% to 5% is likely to have a positive demand impact in the medium term to the long term. The sixth point is that industry bodies are pursuing with the government of India and key states for reforms in the fund disbursement process. The effect of this, we started to see from F '26 with a smooth release of the Government of India mother sanctions to the states, and this will be pursued further for better central and state government synchronization. So all in all, putting these points together, we see early signs of a positive environment. However, to unlock the opportunity, we also need strong coordination between the central governments and the state governments and the regularizing of fund disbursement. And as the business environment gets favorable, we do believe the industry could show good growth. While that is good for the long-term prospects of the industry, how are we, as Mahindra EPC geared to tap these opportunities? As we have mentioned in previous investor calls, your company is learning from the past and working on shockproofing itself by reshaping its business. In the last 24 months, the industry has seen many events such as the election code of conduct, the temporary market impact of GST change, unseasonal and extended rain-imposed challenges, geopolitical crisis, et cetera. In fact, the industry was a bit subdued and pegged at 1 million hectares in FY '25 versus 1.1 million hectares in FY '24. This, of course, is estimated to improve by about 6% to 7% in FY '26. Despite these challenges, your company has shown consistent growth, better than industry, both on the top line as well as the bottom line with a 14% compounded annual growth in the last 4 years and solid bottom line improvement. Steadily improving the foundation of the business, leading to consistency and predictability is very important for us. And so we've done a lot of groundwork in the following areas. First of all, in the subsidy business, we have recalibrated our presence in various states to reduce business concentration risks. Secondly, as an internal effort to make growth smoother, we have strengthened processes and defined a tighter commercial policy for optimizing revenue, profitability and working capital. Thirdly, we have continued to improve cost efficiency and productivity. To quote a few examples, manpower cost in the last 4 years has gone up only at a compounded growth rate of 5.3% versus a 14% revenue growth despite inflation. Also manufacturing rejections are at sub-2% levels, which is much better than industry average. Fourthly, for a better control over freight and processing costs over the last few years, we've been efficiently managing distributed manufacturing with satellite units, while our main unit continues to be in Nashik, and this has also improved our asset utilization. Firstly, we have started improving our coverage in emerging markets such as the north of India, where we have seen some early success in states like UP. And here, I would like to mention that after an exploratory 2 years, we now have a stable base in the state of UP, and we've grown by about 28% in the financial year '26 versus last year. Sixth, we have strengthened internal capabilities to address non-subsidy segments, such as the thin-wall business, institutional sales and irrigation projects of the small and middle size. In fact, you will be happy to note that we've reached a 35% contribution of non-subsidy business for FY '26 from a mere 3% in FY '20. Today, we have an unrecognized work order pipeline of about INR 53 crores for irrigation projects with a further upside of about INR 20 crores. And besides this, we are also exploring exports markets in coordination with Mahindra & Mahindra's tractor business' international operations. As we create a more stable, more consistent and steadily growing revenue base, we will also look at margins. With the improvement in the subsidy business, no doubt our margins will improve, particularly to our business in the higher-margin states. And in the non-subsidy business, as our brand gets more established, like it is in the subsidy business, we will also start finding a better price and better margins. As I come to the end of my information sharing session, I'd like to briefly touch upon one more point, and that is the M&M heritage of Mahindra EPC. As you know, M&M is a blue-chip company with the highest standards of corporate governance and transparency, which we, as Mahindra EPC benefit from. M&M also has a strong track record of manufacturing and marketing excellence, which will benefit your company over the next few years. And recently, we have developed a few projects also in collaboration with M&M Sustainability as well as our CSR teams. We are further exploring agri EV projects on similar lines. To summarize and conclude, we feel that the micro-irrigation industry will, like any industry, go through some ups and downs, but the long-term outlook is compelling. And in the medium term, we, as Mahindra EPC, are well placed to take advantage of both our unique advantages as well as emerging opportunities to deliver above industry performance. And that brings me to the end of my session. Thank you very much for listening patiently. I will now open this up to questions.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] We take our first question from the line of [ Disha Chordiya ] from Sapphire Capital.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsAm I audible, sir?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes, I can hear you.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsSir, firstly, coming on to this raw material price increase. So although this year, we only saw this impact for only 1 month for March, but this remaining year, what sort of expected price increase -- what sort of price increase are you expecting? And just wanted to get a sense on how much of that we will be able to pass on? And what sort of impact will it have on our EBITDA margins?
Operator
OperatorI'm sorry to interrupt, Disha, can you use your handset mode, please? Your audio is coming muffled.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsAm I audible now?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. You're audible.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsYes, should I repeat the question?
Operator
OperatorSir, do you want her to repeat her question?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesI don't think I need her to repeat her question. Disha, just tell me if I got it right. Your question was the impact of higher raw material prices in the coming year, given that in the FY '26, we experienced it only for 1 month. Is that your question?
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsYes, yes. And just like what sort of impact would it have on our margins? Yes.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So we definitely see the volatility in raw material prices as one of the risks for FY '27. There are ways in which we are looking to mitigate the risk by way of our own company strategy in terms of which specific products we focus on within our mix, which particular markets we can selectively look at price increases in, how and when do we procure raw material, et cetera. But overall, we do think that raw material prices is an industry risk. As a result, the Industry Irrigation Association has also made a representation to the government requesting for a price increase, and the government is considering the industry's representation. I hope that answers your question.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. So you mentioned that we are looking for some specific products that we're targeting in some markets. Could you just elaborate a bit more on that?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So I mean, as our business and every business will have its own dynamics, we have a range of products, and we are selling in multiple states with a strong presence in the South and the West of the country. And if you look at our product portfolio and you look at our geography portfolio, there will be areas where our margins are higher, specific products in specific geographies. So we will look very carefully at what is the right mix for us to pursue given the inflated level of raw material prices, and we will structure our approach in the coming months to maximize our margin opportunities at the same time, drive our top line as well. So I think that is something that every company will form its own approach on. And ours looks like what I just described. So product mix intelligently chosen, geography mix intelligently chosen and the timing of our raw material prices also chosen carefully.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsSo any sort of number as to what EBITDA margin you will be targeting? Will we be able to maintain what we have done in FY '26?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesSo Disha, we don't tend to give outlooks. I mean, as of now, what we would say is that our approach will broadly follow the lines that I described. We don't have a control on what happens to raw material prices. But as an organization, we will use the levers at our disposal to manage our business and deliver the best results we can in these circumstances. And we are positive that we have identified some levers that we can manage, but we do see raw material prices as a risk.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. Okay. Fair enough, sir. And just the last question on -- we saw a huge jump in the other expense. What was the reason for that?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesSorry, can you please repeat? We saw a huge jump in?
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOther expenses.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So that has a few components. The other expenses has a few components, as you know. So if I were to just look at some of the things that went into it, the first is project expenses. So in our revenue mix, like I said earlier, we have a subsidy revenue stream. We have a non-subsidy revenue stream. And the non-subsidy revenue stream, the largest contributor of the non-subsidy revenue stream is our projects revenue stream, projects being government projects that we -- that are tendered and that we win. Now in that revenue stream, which is the projects revenue stream, the collection cycles are better for us and the revenue volatility is also lower. That has a higher level of variable expenses. And when we sell more as part of our total revenue in projects, then we tend to see lower raw material costs because they have lower raw material costs, but we tend to see higher variable expenses. So a large part of our other expenses is really the fact that the mix of business in Q4 veered towards projects. So that's the #1 reason. And we have also increased some costs in terms of manufacturing fixed and manufacturing variable. But the primary cost has come from the mix of projects revenue stream to the total revenues of the business.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Aditya Shah from Vikram Advisory Services.
Aditya Shah
AnalystsThe initial remarks, sir, you gave in your opening speech were great. It was very informative. But there are certain things that I want to ask. One is CRISIL obviously made great observations, which obviously anybody in the industry would know, these are the burning issues of the industry. But I would like to point out one more thing with it is that if we see our company on a 1-year, 2-year or even 5-year basis in terms of cash flow -- free cash flow, operating free cash flow generation, it is still negative. Let's say, if I say 3 years, last 3 years, it's minus INR 18 crores. Last 4 years, its total is 0. And even 5 years, if I were to take, it's negative INR 22 crores. So now unless we address this issue, even though the margins look great and everything is fine and becoming more stable, how do we plan to make this part of the business stable, which will keep us more cash and not be borrowing more and more?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So yes, Aditya, thank you for your question, and good to hear from you. It is a good question. And no doubt, as MEIL, we are also focused very much on that goal. The pressure on cash flows, as you know, in this industry is almost entirely due to receivables. And while we have managed our working capital very actively through tighter inventory control, receivable buildup has tended to happen in a few key states where the margins are good. There is a lot of demand in terms of farmer level demand as well as in terms of the state push and where in the period from FY '25, '26, '27, there has been a real buildup of the tendency. And we are seeing a lot of coordinated efforts at both the central level as well as the state level. As an industry, we're making concerted representations. As M&M, we are making concerted representations. And there is a positive feedback coming from those states. And there's also a possibility of some centrally funded interventions, NABARD interventions to release funds. So we do believe that as collections normalize, the cash flows will improve. But I think as things stand, we do acknowledge that in this industry, investment in working capital is required to drive growth. And what is important and the way we are looking at it is to balance the business across revenue streams, which might have higher margin, but more requirement for working capital and other revenue streams, which might require lower working capital, but might offer lower margins. So I think this is about getting the balance of your revenue streams, and that is something that will evolve over time.
Aditya Shah
AnalystsCorrect, sir. No, I appreciate that, sir. But the pain point, the real big pain point is that, okay, we can understand that 1 year or 2 years can be negative, but entire 5 years being negative. So if we were to project the future 5 years, so like as an investor, if I have to think, if the company is still making negative cash flow 5 years from now, I will never get returns. So even the business will never get returns because ultimately, cash is the thing which the business needs to make to use it for growth. Currently, what looks like is that the last 5 years, even previously, I'm sure that it's nothing to do with you or your company, it's the industry, I appreciate that. But what I'm asking is that when do we see the subsidy part going or the ratio inversing, like, let's say, it's 35% now, the non-subsidy part. When do we see the subsidy going to 35% because that is a dragger. That's a very important question for me. Second is out of the trade receivables of this INR 217 crores, how much of it is attributed to non-subsidy business?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So good questions, Aditya. The first question is in terms of the business mix. As you know, and as we shared on this call, and we're very proud of it and shared in previous calls as well, our share of the non-subsidy business has increased from 2% in FY '20 to 35% in FY '26. And this is a conscious choice that the business has made, followed by some very good execution on part of the team on the ground. And this is broad-based, the non-subsidy revenue, while a larger part of it comes from our projects business, which we see as a good growth opportunity for your company in the years to come. Some of it also comes from selling ISI-grade products to farmers who buy outside the subsidy. Some of it comes from sales to institutions. So it is a more broad-based revenue stream, and it has grown significantly in the last 5 or 6 years. And we are very focused on continuing with that journey. So without giving you a date, what I will say is that you have essentially summarized the strategy of our company, which is to increase the contribution of the non-subsidy revenue stream in the total. What I will also say is, again, without putting a timing to it, that there is cyclicality in payments. And as with some of the 2 states in the South and 1 state in the West, as they start regularizing their payments and start paying, which we expect imminently, then we will see good cash flows. And while at the same time, our revenue mix will also be improving. So we do see possibilities of going back to some of the earlier years where there was a positive cash flow. But I mean, in summary, that is our focus and our strategy as well.
Aditya Shah
AnalystsThat's good to hear, sir. Thank you for that. But the first question that I asked about was how much of the INR 217 crores receivable is attributed to non-subsidy?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. Sorry, I forgot to answer that question. Yes, you did ask 2 questions. And the second question was how much of our total outstandings comes from the subsidy and the non-subsidy business. So I would say that about 80% to 90% of it comes -- 85% to 90% of it comes from the subsidy business. So it is predominantly coming from our subsidy business.
Aditya Shah
AnalystsCorrect. So it looks like the strategy that we are doing has played out because if 65% of revenue contributes 90% of outstanding, then yes, obviously, the trajectory is fine. So yes, let's hope that this 35% reaches 50% next year and onward from there.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. No, that is exactly the strategy in a nutshell, which I will give the management team credit for. And the credibility comes from the fact that the needle has moved from 2% to 35%, which is not an easy thing to do in the last 5 or 6 years despite all the challenges. And the business is fully focused on continuing that trajectory with all its positive consequences.
Aditya Shah
AnalystsGreat to hear that, sir. Last one suggestion before I end is, can the company think on the lines of some new product or probably related product in the field, which gives you good cash flows? Just food for thought, please do think about it because there are certain products in the segment -- in the irrigation segment, which are cash and carry and give good cash flows, so which will take care of the -- so our borrowings are not needed. And while we are winding down the allocation to -- from subsidy to non-subsidy, this will enable it faster is what my suggestion is, do consider it if you think it is right.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesNo, definitely. And I think that you always make very pointed and valuable suggestions, and this is something that we fully take on board. We have developed thin-wall products, which sell in the non-subsidy part of our business and have better cash flows. We also sell mulch sheets, which is also something which is a related product, but gives us better cash flows. And we do have other ideas in terms of products that we should introduce in time to come to both increase our top line as well as improve our cash flow and balance...
Aditya Shah
AnalystsThat is exactly what, sir, I'm targeting. Thank you, I'm happy to hear that.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. No, definitely. So I think that we take your points very seriously and work is ongoing and will continue.
Aditya Shah
AnalystsAnd last observation is it's good to see onboarding of Ms. Mehta and the other person from this...
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesBalram Yadav.
Aditya Shah
AnalystsYes, Balram Yadav, yes. So it looks like we are diversifying our Board for a bigger agri play is what it looks like. The indication looks good.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So we are -- we welcome them and their representation on the Board. They come as people with deep industry experience and they will definitely add value to our discussions and our approach going forward. So thank you for acknowledging that.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions]
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesOkay. I think that we are done with questions as far as I can tell. So...
Operator
OperatorSir, we have one. Should I go ahead and take it? Yes, we have 2 more.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesWe can take those 2 more questions and then we can close.
Operator
OperatorThe next question is from the line of Milan Shah, an individual investor.
Milan Shah
AnalystsSo I wanted to know about any CapEx plans for FY '27?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes, I can hear you. Milan, you asked about whether we have any CapEx plans for FY '27. Is that correct?
Milan Shah
AnalystsYes. Yes, it's correct.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesOkay. Yes. So we do have CapEx plans. We have CapEx plans every year. And then obviously, we manage our CapEx planning basis the requirements of the business, the financial requirements of the business. Most of our CapEx plans are to -- are focused on improving productivity and on capacity expansion. They're focused on current product lines, and we choose them carefully. So for example, we made an investment in a power surge equipment, which has delivered immediate benefits by way of savings in our electricity. And so when we look at CapEx, we obviously have plans for the year, which we go through with basis the considerations of the business. But whatever we do execute like the power surge solution that we executed in FY '26 have strong business cases. So there will be an expectation that we get quick payback on whatever we spend. And as the other product lines improve, our new product lines that we were talking about earlier in the call, definitely, investment will follow.
Operator
OperatorNext question is from the line of Rajan Shah, an individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesSir, I have a few questions actually. The first question was on the employee cost, sir. It's up 20% in this quarter. So normally, whenever we see employee cost going up, it gives us an indication that the company has recruited a lot of people and is aiming for higher growth. So is my analysis correct?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesWell, I mean, your point that the company is looking for higher growth is absolutely correct, but not by hiring more employees. So I'll just explain. So the employee costs have not gone up because we have hired a lot of people, and it has also not gone up because we have increased any kind of variable pay. It is largely attributed to the labor code, the new labor code. So it's largely attributable to the contractual alignment of the employee benefits in anticipation of the wage code. So this is really a direct impact of the new labor code.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesOkay. Right. And sir, this year, there's a prediction of below normal monsoon. They are talking about 90%, 92% of normal monsoon. So will it affect the demand? Or is it that because of poor monsoon, probably farmers may go in for this system to see that their farm fields get proper water. So is it -- I mean, is good monsoon good for the industry? Yes, we understand. But is it a below normal monsoon also equally good for the industry? Or will it affect demand?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesSo we see the impact play out more in the second half of the year. And it's something obviously that we will watch very carefully. For strong sales in micro-irrigation, one tends to see that it happens best when there's a certain combination of easy availability of groundwater and at the same time, uncertainty in terms of rainfall. So when these 2 things come together, along with an immediacy that the farmer has for irrigation. If it is at a critical phase in the crop cycle where irrigation is a must, rainfall is uncertain, groundwater is easily accessible, then there tend to be good conditions for the micro-irrigation industry. So when all these things align is what is best. So right now, we see an impact if it does happen more in the second half of the year. And it's something that we will continuously and very carefully monitor.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesOkay. Sir, you also mentioned in your opening remarks that the industry has made a representation to the government for taking up a price hike because of the 40%, 50% rise in the raw material cost. So when can we expect the government to act, sir, because last time they took a long time. And in that process, we had suffered a huge loss also. So can we expect it in the next 3 months or something like do we get some indication that when can we expect that?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. That is something that is work in progress, honestly, Rajanji, and from an industry association perspective, it is happening every day in various different forums at various different levels, top to bottom. And it's something that is a daily matter of discussion to be quite honest. Difficult to call a point in time when the discussions will conclude. But I can assure you that this is something which is a top priority for pretty much everybody who is operating in this industry, including us.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesOkay. So this will basically, sir, impact the 65% of revenue, right? 35% is non-subsidy. So there we can take a price hike on our own. We don't need government approval for that.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So the way it would work is that there is the government, which is the price giver in the case of the subsidy market. And obviously, that depends on the government. But in the non-subsidy part, it is the farmer who will decide what is the right price. So -- and this is not just in the case of micro-irrigation industry, but in all industries, wherever there's going to be a raw material price increase, the question is how much of that raw material price increase will be comfortably absorbed by the consumer. And that question applies to our industry as well. And so we have to do it in a judicious way. So yes, we will selectively take price increases, but we have to do that in a way that is calibrated.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesOkay. And sir, projects, we have been taking projects of INR 5 crores, INR 10 crores, INR 15 crores, INR 20 crores, any plans to go a little higher, INR 35 crores, INR 50 crores, INR 100 crores, something like that?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes. So that's a good question, Rajanji, and it is something that has been discussed internally for some time. And we are preparing for maybe not a significant increase in the size of projects that we manage, but for a sort of step-up from where we are. It requires us to have -- to align certain internal capabilities, have certain types of experience, and we're building on that.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesFine. And sir, last question. The project business is currently how much of the subsidy business? 65% is subsidy business, right? So how much is the project business of the total turnover of INR 315 crores?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesSo it would be about 1/4 of our total business.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesSo about INR 75 crores is project business. Okay.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesYes, and that's further grown in that sort of range.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesAnd what is the order book position, sir, today as of now? I mean last year, we had disclosed that I think it was INR 73 crores or something. So this year, do we...
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesSo this year, we have an opening pipeline of about INR 55 crores. And we see a further upside. So that is very clear to us that INR 55 crores, and then we see a possible upside of another INR 20 crores on top of that as we start the year.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesSo around INR 75 crores by the end of this month, we can expect?
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesThere is definitely visibility for the INR 55 crores. It's actually INR 54 crores. And the remaining upside is in process and will sort of get clearer in the next few weeks.
Unknown Attendee
AttendeesFine, sir. It was very informative opening remarks. And we look forward to a year where we report at least INR 350 crores, INR 360 crores of top line. And with a little bit of price hike, we are in profit for the year because last time in '21, '22, I think we reported about INR 12 crores of loss because of crude going up to $100. So this time, if we can just break even also for this year, my expectations are a little low, but at least if we can report good top line and breakeven and maybe report a little nominal profit, that would be good.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesFirst of all, thank you for your very insightful questions and comments. And thank you also for your good wishes. We definitely want to -- with your good wishes, we will definitely deliver numbers that are something that make everybody happy. So that's our focus.
Operator
OperatorAs there are no further questions from the participants, I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director, for closing comments. Over to you, sir.
Ramesh Ramachandran
ExecutivesThank you for all the questions to the investor community. We look forward to speaking to you again in a few months' time. Until then, all the best. Thank you. Bye-bye.
Operator
OperatorThank you, sir. On behalf of Mahindra EPC Irrigation Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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