Mahindra Lifespace Developers Limited (532313) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
July 24, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood afternoon, everyone, and a very warm welcome. I would like to thank everyone for joining this conference call. We have with us today Mr. [indiscernible], Managing Director and CEO; Mr. [indiscernible], CEO [indiscernible], Mr. Vikram Goel, CBO Investors; Mr. Sriram Kumar, Chief Financial Officer. Today's meeting will -- I will begin with a brief presentation covering our operational and financial highlights following which we can refer to the question last. I would now like to hand over the conference to Mr. [indiscernible], and Managing Director and Senior Mahindra Lifespace Developers Limited. And [indiscernible], over to you.
Unknown Executive
executiveSo okay. I hope you can all see this [indiscernible] as we go for the next 20, 30 minutes without knowing.
Unknown Executive
executiveYou're fine.
Unknown Executive
executiveOkay. Okay. Good. So I'll go ahead with key highlights. I think from the presentation, we go the next page. [Presentation]
Unknown Executive
executiveAnd this [indiscernible], think we're showing it for the first time. Have you shown this before? No. This is about the Phase 1 of Mahindra for is [indiscernible]. So we are Mahindra Marines contract. So there's a big size, Olympic length swimming pool, lots of amenities, lots of [indiscernible]. Phase 1 is part of the broader residential. The product [indiscernible]recover. It will be a forest that will have enough [indiscernible] acres, and we share the details when we have the day approval for those sales. So let me quickly cover some highlights for us in this quarter. I think I will not spend time, but we continue to have clarity on what strategy we are pursuing across all these themes, portfolio choices, business development engines superior customer experience, making sure the project execution is first time right, excellent, maximizing value from [indiscernible]. And then across all of our efforts, making sure that we have very robust financial discipline. Key highlights, I think resi business, [indiscernible] INR 925 crores successful launch of [ Rain Forest ]. We got maybe 2 to 3 weeks of sale time in this quarter. As you know, this quarter had the impact of Iran war. The obviously, March was practically slow for many, but it was very limited footfall may recovery happened. So our sales and marketing effort really started on May and June, [indiscernible], we started [ netting ] and that's what you see here reflected here. It has done well for us. And we're still in the launch phase. I think we are seeing the momentum continue with us in July. Sustain [indiscernible] sales contributed 42% of sales. So [indiscernible]. Those are our [ sustain ] same contributors. There are 5 more launches planned later this year. [indiscernible] here, we have the final stages of approvals, Lakeport [indiscernible], [ Saibaba and Navratras ] are expected in H2 of this year, second half. We have also received 3 OCs even Phase 2, [indiscernible] phase, the branding number to us Phase 2's first part is building, right? That's the 2.18. Sustained [ BD ] momentum, we had a major deal announcement in candidly roughly 15-acre land parcel INR 5,600 crores of GDV, total GDV of INR 50,000 crores, which is very healthy for us. I see in [indiscernible] side very good news yesterday or day before when we signed a partnership with [ Sumitomo ]. As you know, Sumitomo partnership was signed first phase in 2015, '16, second on November 2024 and now Phase IIb. So they continue to be an important partner with us. We have a strong pipeline heading into Q2. Q1 was a little bit lumpy this business for Q1 was shorter in terms of conversions. We see a significant pipeline for Q2. We are expecting our land aggregation in [indiscernible] and we'll make headway in the medium part of this year. Financials, [indiscernible] will cover them in detail. But overall, between resi and I see INR 966 crores, 70% year-on-year growth at 67% of INR 36 crores, [indiscernible] collections healthy more work for us to do, but because the sales were a little bit back ended in the quarter, big part of sales will come in Q2. And I see collections tend to be a very big contributor for us is also should happen longer. Prudent, robust balance sheet, net debt to equity of minus 0.2%. So we have more healthy task across our subsidiary and our debt, all the debt is mostly ICD with the group some CPs that we have at the back right. So that's the key highlights. So we move to the next page in terms of the [ close ]. Yes, roughly INR 50,000 crores GDV. I'll point to the middle column. Blue [indiscernible] K2 fund has been added INR 5,600 crores. So that's a meaningful addition this year -- many of you have asked us what is our target for GDV this year. I think we have had 2 successful years of INR 15,000 crores each. We want to maintain the momentum but we want to sign the right deals. And I want to make sure that the deals are aligned with our strategic aspiration and the [indiscernible]. So anyway, I expect anywhere from 10,000, 20,000 to happen in this year? Obviously, the lumpier looking for large size but try deal product. So we'll keep hearing about them as we win some of these new deals. Launches, I think you see this is an nice chart shows our trajectory for multiple years. We are hoping to maintain the trajectory a good set of launches plants in the rest of the year, and they will contribute very well to our expectations of presales on the residential side. You have seen this slide in the past, we continue to fine-tune this, especially the new acquisitions in FY [ '20, ] and we expect [indiscernible] project -- we have started the approval process already behind our discussions under way. So hopefully, we'll be able to launch within the next 12 to 15 months. And then you see the rest of the phase, which covers which projects are getting added to our overall new launch pipeline as well as subscriber. I see business, I think we did exceedingly well in terms of last year, a huge growth, amazing profitability. [indiscernible] being lumpy. I think quarter 1 has been I would say, a little bit low, but we have a good healthy pipeline for Q2 closure. So we'll stay tuned with. [indiscernible] and I will continue to provide update on that -- you've seen this slide before. The guidance from IC business is always on INR 400 crores to INR 500 crores of business annually from IC business, which would give us INR 100 crores to INR 150 crores of PAT on an annual basis, our share. So that's our IC business. Then I hand over to Sriram for the financial highlights.
Sriram Kumar
executiveThanks, [ Amit ]. I'll take the financial highlights. On the residential side, we did about INR 925 crores of sales, as Amit highlighted. That represents almost 106% growth over prior year. On the IT side, it's been a little [indiscernible], but Q2 is expected to be -- is where we are [indiscernible] has really helped us to get to about INR 5,600 crores of GDV in this quarter. Residential collections have been at INR 527 crores is healthy. Here, there are -- given the [indiscernible] for us launch in terms of the CP and happened towards June, we had little time to collect. So all the rain forest collections will -- is expected to come in Q2. And you will see that reflecting in the next quarter. The net debt to equity continues to be [indiscernible] negative 0.2%. So our cost of debt is at 7.5% compared to 8. 1%. Moving on to the financials. This is the segment reporting that we do on the resi and the IC side. On the residential side, we -- of the INR 86 crores at for the year. The residential side has contributed to INR 76 crores and I see 10 cars. A lot of questions last time on the margins of the completed projects. So this year, on the residential side, we had OCs for [ Eden Phase II and Lumina ] which contributed to the overall profitability. Happy to report the PBT margins from these 2 projects are at around 26% which is one of the questions that we [ feel ] that in the last call. On the IC side, it's expected to pick up as we move into Q2. On the cash flow side, a healthy cash position is over almost INR 1,100 crores of company-wide cash available. The operating cash flow, we are at INR 134 crores, which is expected to pick up as we see more residential collections and the action from IC happen in Q2. On the cash flow from projects, I think last time when we reported, we were at around INR 14,500 crores. This time, we added [indiscernible] many deals that we just announced. And you have some projects that move out of the system, like [indiscernible] and [ Lumina ] moving out of the system. So you will have the connections and kind of construction costs [indiscernible]. So effectively, a INR 15,300 crores of cash expectations from our current project portfolio. And this does not include [indiscernible] residential and [indiscernible] land available. On the financial comparison, as we reported in Q1, we had revenue from operations of INR 962 crores basically reflecting Eden Phase II and [ Luminar]. And PAT level, we are at INR 86 crores compared to INR 51 crores last year, roughly a 67% growth over prior year. And the profitability even in Q4 was about INR 90 crores. So we are maintaining that trajectory. And in FY '26, we reported INR 298 crores of overall tax. On the balance sheet side, no significant movement. It reflects in a very healthy position across our assets and liability side. On the inventories, you will notice that the inventory sort of balance has come down a little. That's primarily reflecting the completion of the projects where [ Luminare ] has moved out, and that needs to be taken out of the inventory and otherwise, from a balance sheet position, it is reminding [indiscernible]. Maybe we'll take questions now.
Operator
operatorThe first question is from Mr. [indiscernible]. The question is about the projects which are completed in Q1. And what are the margins which are booked for those projects in Q1?
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you. I'll request Sriram to jump into that.
Sriram Kumar
executiveYes. So 2 projects, as I said, we had [ Eden ] Phase 2 and Lumina completed -- both these projects are very profitable. And the PBT margins from these projects were approximately 26% and that is reflected in our financials currently.
Unknown Executive
executiveTo be complete, we also had 1 tower of [ Palko ] finished [indiscernible] project site and Motion. So that was also compared with us.
Operator
operatorSo next question is from Mr. [indiscernible]. The question is, given our guidance of INR 4,500 crores to INR 5,000 crores of presales in FY '27, and we are expecting a sustainable mix of percentage, do we have the inventory in our current projects to achieve INR 3,000 crores of preserving at FY '27?
Unknown Executive
executiveI didn't understand. INR 3,000 crores? What is meant [indiscernible] but let me address that [indiscernible] question. I think if you look at the launches that we expect this year, roughly INR 7,000 crores, somewhere INR 6700 crore to INR 6,500 crores to INR 7,000 crores. And we didn't sell any of the rain forest last year. So the entire INR 3,000 crores [indiscernible] to us. So roughly INR 10,000 crores, maybe a little bit more with hoping more launches will happen. And of that, we're expecting that plus the inventory we had from prior years, like [indiscernible] and then a few others and [indiscernible], these are big, big projects for us, a decent amount of inventory is there. So between all these [indiscernible] projects as well as current year project, we should have enough inventory to achieve our aspiration of INR 4,500 crores to INR 5,000 crores. And a 1,000 has already happened. So now a little bit less to be achieved in the remaining 9 months. Hopefully, we answer the question, but if you have any more you can probably [indiscernible].
Operator
operatorSir, the third question is from Mr. [ Bhatia ] of [ Sund Management ]. The question is what is the progress on [indiscernible] and when the project is likely to be launched. These are the 2 questions.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. So let me take that. I think -- and [indiscernible], you can jump in. I think [ origin ] may very simple. We are still finishing land aggregation. We are trying to create a healthy size of industrial part. So it will take some time for us to complete that, let -- we'll keep you updated on the progress [indiscernible] is no issue with client aggregation. It's a commercial finding the right commercial client. And I think our desire is not to have first client, which is small. We want it to be the inside anchor client. So that's something that we are awaiting. We also feel that with the new data center policy that has been announced, the land parcel like [indiscernible] become valuable. But this land is a little bit outside the base we are aware of, and we are patient about being the right client, hoping that it will happen in the next few quarters or years, we are patiently awaiting the price pack at [indiscernible]. You had a question on that [indiscernible] likely to be launched. The year has been received. The prelaunch activities have already started sales and marketing. I think we have -- we had our channel partner meet just on Tuesday, right, right [ impact ]. So in a way, we are in the launch prelaunch effort. I think the first sale will start to happen. I think by end of this month or next early days for ports, yes. And we mention August is when we expect to start the selling part to start at [indiscernible]. So that's number tonight.
Operator
operatorYes. The next question is also from [indiscernible]. The question is what is the update on records as it is completed and as it is compared to 100 percentage and [indiscernible] in terms of completion. The second question from [indiscernible]. How is [indiscernible] revenuew recognized in the financials and our revenue from the [indiscernible] project when it will get recognized? There is one more question from them. What is the total residential development residential and commercial risk for the channel?
Unknown Executive
executiveOkay. So let me cover the first 2, and [indiscernible] request you for the [indiscernible]. So [ Lakewoods ] has multiple phases, right? We have delivered AVC, the 5 towers have been delivered in 2 phases, right? And the edge NI is launched, fully sold out, is being constructed right now. F&G is something that we are likely to launch this quarter, which just waiting for a final set of approvals. So -- and then typically, you can't -- these are not high rise, you are mid-rise. So maybe you can take 2.5 to 3 years for it to be completed.
Operator
operatorBut you've seen a big swing in the fortunes of reports with last phase and both the towers were sold out in 1 day, entire all the apartments with 1 large customer. How the looking revenue is recognized as the mention of revenue for the [indiscernible]? You want to take that?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. So as I said, on Luminare, we bought out our partner in the [indiscernible] Mahindra Homes Private Limited, and we are now consolidating 100% of a -- so 100% of the profits for [ Luminar ] is something will be recognized right now. So this -- in this quarter, we had roughly revenues coming in from Lumina and recognize the profitability. And as I said, it's been a very profitable project. Between [ Eden ] and [ Luminar ], we had recognized close 26% of PBT margins. And I think what you recognize part of that has been even you bought out -- so [indiscernible] profitably reflected in [indiscernible] last year, we had some gains where we bought out access also reflects the higher profit -- the part of the profitability aluminum. And on top of that, we had the [indiscernible], and we got 100% of that. That's what's at --
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. On [indiscernible], we are expecting the [ OC ] to come pretty soon. [indiscernible]. [ ACO ] had 5 towers in we received OC last year, and it has been recognized in the profit last year. Two towers we are expecting OC to come very soon.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. The [ ACO ] is a revenue share or area share agreement with the land owners. So that's how it's recognized, right? We recognize our on-forward portion in that project within the [indiscernible] to address the total residential and commercial development potential for signing.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. Yes. So everyone -- so [indiscernible], we are currently at the planning stage is obviously a large bulk for us. In terms of the split, the way we are looking at it is because this location is [indiscernible] road anyway. Roughly, say, 20% to 25% of the [indiscernible] say, commercial given the way a lot of the business opportunities and is also trading in any city and the balance around the 7%, 75% we're looking at residential. So that's the broad level mix. Also, we have multiple options in terms of underway to go for the approval but that we will evaluate prudently and then get back to you.
Operator
operatorSo I hope [indiscernible] is your question on timing. Value-wise, right now, we accounted INR 7,500 crores. Values currently the GDV is INR 7,500 crores. Yes, but we have more at the site, right?
Unknown Executive
executiveSo it depends on [indiscernible] I just depending on what kind of products we want to do, and we want to do a great job and make it a landmark given that we have a large contiguous land here in a way that -- and the thought is and how can we make that as the most market location of cane. And as you would know, a lot of infrastructure projects currently going on [indiscernible] which are also enhancing the connectivity, which are also announcing the overall visibility and the value proposition of [indiscernible] and the city and very specifically about our location because it's -- it is very close to where the tunnel for [indiscernible] being done. So that will -- that really [indiscernible] well for this particular destination in the future.
Operator
operatorYes. So the next question is inventory month has rose from 13 to 15 months. What is the current scenario? Also, could you share the city price for [indiscernible] separately. And addition to this question is, given the IT cycle [indiscernible], are you seeing any challenges in [indiscernible] conversion ratios or cancellations, specifically in [indiscernible] over last 2 quarters. And this is [indiscernible] on this question. This is from Mr. [indiscernible].
Unknown Executive
executiveOkay. very good. [indiscernible], great set of questions. I think let me attempt to address them. So you're right, the inventory months have gone up. And especially for last quarter, I think from the analyst reports, research report what we found is that we saw a significant slowdown in March, but it's captured in the previous financial year. But the ones are practically was from most of the real estate players, right? It didn't have a lot of -- it's driven by some of what is going to happen all along the world will last. All those things come into play. Things started to move up in May. But June was, I think, as I learned from one of the reports is that was one of the best months in the last, I think, 1 to 2 years, somewhere around that. So [indiscernible] demand of, let's say, April, May came to like conclusion and [indiscernible]. So that's what we have seen. And that is reflected in the overall inventory month index that you see. And while June was [indiscernible], but overall, you'll see some kind of slowdown until this word situation finds a conclusion. I think every day, we wake up to some new news about [indiscernible] and Iran in U.S. and oil prices and foreign currency and it has impact on our financial market, which has an impact on sentiment, which have an impact on real estate purchases. So I think -- that's how the 13% to 15% has happened, and we think we'll take maybe the quarter or 2 quarters for it to stabilize the right level. As you know, real estate is a cyclical industry. It has always had great years and then it has some tough years. I think we've seen the best years in the last 4, 5. I think the next few months, maybe a few quarters may be slower than past -- but the good news is that the players who are well established branded players as the trust of customers will continue to gain share from less [indiscernible] builders, developers who are less established or we've not delivered great products of literally new to market. So the branded players, listed players are likely to gain share, and we are hoping to be one of the beneficiaries. So that's -- that will -- given the inventory overhang might increase, but [indiscernible] is a flight to quality towards better bidders will help us. For [indiscernible] and Bangalore, Sriram, you have the data, inventory months.
Sriram Kumar
executivePretty much is around 16, 16.5 months of inventory it's still healthy to where the past was. And on the MMO [indiscernible] and backlog side, the inventory overhang is actually much better. I think one in Bangalore ranges at around 8 to 10 months. And it's in a very healthy position compared to the overall update to the -- so as you can see, these are the 3 cities we are participating.
Unknown Executive
executiveSo one is on the average higher value. The other 2 of which are slightly lower ticket size are better. But then if you go to, let's say, [indiscernible], Hyderabad and some of the other markets, you'll see probably lower than the average. So the overall average is around 16%. Luckily and touch wood that we are playing in those markets that are slightly better from a portfolio perspective, and we hope to capitalize on the momentum that we still have in these markets. Your second part of the question was given the slowdown in IT sector due to the headwinds that we see the AI challenge that we see, I think we didn't see the IT-related slowdown as much as we saw [indiscernible] dwater challenged, especially in Mumbai, right? Yes, we didn't see anything and also we had a blockbuster launch in last quarter in quarter 4 in Mahindra [indiscernible], which was not affected by [indiscernible] sentiment. We had second [indiscernible] launch currently going on in [indiscernible] and I think they have a very good footfall so far. This would serve. So that's been okay for us. But we are watching the market sentiment segments which are lucrative for us to pursue very carefully. And so far, it's not been major from an IT perspective, but we will keep our eyes and ears open. And conversion ratios, no major change. Cancellations, I think, electively, we never had a high level of cancellations. We are very small, less than 1%, right? So it continues to be good over the last 2 quarters have been similar.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, nothing out of -- Yes, nothing.
Operator
operatorSo next question is from [indiscernible]. Three questions. I will go one by one. The first question is what are the plans for [indiscernible]? Next question. Let me clearly come back to see -- how is the response [indiscernible]? And the third one, can you give some more color on [indiscernible] for rest of the year at what kind of [ deal sizes ] are you seeing in, [indiscernible]?
Unknown Executive
executiveOkay. Got it. So I think [indiscernible], thank you for these questions. I think the first question, I think I will wait on [indiscernible] increase. My -- this is the first time I've given guidance for our residential presales in our nonrecent history, that may have been more in the past, but for us to achieve this target is a way to demonstrate that we can execute well and meet our commitments externally, right? Although what sentiments are not suitable [ optimum ], but still we have a good set of launches planned. We hope to achieve our aspiration targets for this year. Once we achieve that, then [indiscernible] are meaningful enough in this market and where the opportunities are. And in the [ NCIB ] market or should we double down another market? That is also a consideration for us. As you can -- with the new government in [ Eastern ], in Kolkata, is that a market that you should consider? Or should we consider Chennai because [indiscernible] has created a great name in the volatile name for itself or should be focused on [indiscernible] where we will have a number of [indiscernible] and we have a huge piece of land under [indiscernible]. So I think we're evaluating these 3, 4 choices that we have. But I think this year is all about execution on the sales side and making sure we continue to demonstrate profitability and execution on the ground. So [ NCR ] will -- I think we'll take this question again in a few months. So that's first. I think the second is a [indiscernible] for us. I think [indiscernible] was one of our biggest bets to transform Mahindra Lifespaces upgrade from affordable mindset, central suburbs, great location, very large projects, very well located. I think I would say that despite some of the war-related sentiments, we have done well. I think we couldn't capture all the sales that happened as of 30th of June because quarter ended. But in the, I would say, month, maybe 5 weeks of sales opening, we have done close to INR 600 crores, which is, as we understand, one of the largest in that micro market. And this is only part of the year. We have still 9 months, 8 months to go. So we see again be a very successful project. notwithstanding some of the challenges of the [indiscernible], which we saw in the early part of previous quarter, hoping that they don't affect the morale and sentiment for further buy. And I mean just to add, you come these [indiscernible]. By commanding a premium on the pricing side relative to all other players in that particular micro market I thought that's also potential. We have done good volumes at total value.
Operator
operatorIn terms of the pricing?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, pricing Yes. And I think the people have really taken the projects where the number of walk-ins are very, very strong, and you will see the numbers going from Tier 1. And the third question was BD, right? Business development, right? And there are certain elements within that, which cities? Yes. I think our BD will continue to be strong, as I mentioned in my opening remarks, we have done finish 3 years site. So we've done 18, 18 and 4,000 stock types. So it's been roughly more than 40,000 [ crores ] that has been done and we had early -- some of the earlier inventory and projects that were already there with us, right? [indiscernible], which was already there and a couple of others are there sellers are already there and then [indiscernible] also part of our 50,000. So we have made a big stride in our GDV. And good news is that you've done it in a versatile manner, right? Some are rail fees, some are [ GDA], some are society redevelopment and we are leveraging our capital strength adequately. We feel that when the market slows down, there will be more opportunities for somebody like us who has been very focused on execution, but also managing a healthy balance sheet with practically no debt, right? So something that we want to leverage as we enter this slightly slower pace. Since [indiscernible] last 2 years of 18,000, we're already done 5,600 this year. We expect, I think, somewhere between 10,000 to 20,000. So let me just put it broader. And the reason I gave a broad guideline because I don't want to say the number. I want to say my team is fully aligned in doing the [ IGs ] rather than all the right deal is, it should be financial and returns to our shareholders. These should have more upside than downside, especially as we enter the slowdown, you cannot have low cost assumption and high price expectations. So we will always, in our underwriting under price and over cost, so that we have upsides on both sides in terms of the actual execution. So that's our plan, 10,000 to 20,000, but no specific number, but we will hopefully continue to show growth. A big part of that has already happened. In terms of portfolio, it will be 60%, 20%, 20%. 60% will be Mumbai, 20% Pune, 20% would be Bangalore. And I think we have a healthy pipeline for us to achieve that. So those are 3 questions from the [indiscernible].
Operator
operatorThere's one more question.
Unknown Executive
executiveOne more question.
Operator
operatorSo your question is what is the initial response [indiscernible]? Are this you are taking up versus the [indiscernible] or taking up? My sense that you did -- do you want to answer this?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, yes. [indiscernible]. So in terms of we just did a channel partner [ beat ] this week itself actually, and that's how we formally introduced a project to the market. The initial response has been very good, very encouraging. As you know, this is basically -- if you have seen our ad we have said, it's on coming for minorities in [indiscernible]. So in the past, we had done 2 projects. And -- but after a long, long time, we are doing a project in [indiscernible] and all the feedback from the channel partners and the customers we have worked in has been very, very positive. I will not be able to give you a very specific number, given that we are in a current billing phase. But I can tell you that it's been seen very well. The other thing is it's a very conscious strategy and cautious choice. We said that it's not that we have are too many units to sell in this particular project. And hence, we want to command a significant premium in that particular micro market again. So from that perspective, we are very well positioned and we have a project at a higher pricing compared to the micro market. And in spite of that, given a very strong brand pull that we have we have seen, some great interest which has got converted into UI as well. And hopefully, we should be able to start the netting costs somewhere in the first week of August as [indiscernible] mentioned earlier. So what [indiscernible] of our boards management.
Operator
operatorThe next question is on Luxury segment. What would be the share of [indiscernible] projects going forward from who -- or it is from?
Unknown Executive
executiveOkay. Let [indiscernible] think we -- [indiscernible] a very tricky one, what happens is you increase price, you have a higher price and higher size to become ticket size becomes very large. And we want to be careful about participating in those segments. We are anxiously looking at familiar [indiscernible] sell-out or a response. And that's Beacon Hill West [indiscernible], a couple of other projects like [indiscernible] there in the price segment of INR 50,000 to INR 60,000 per square foot, [indiscernible] on loan [indiscernible]? This is an interesting location. And these will be the highest price point products per square foot wise, we would have done.
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. I think the selling is different. The product design is a [indiscernible], the deliveries, the trend, the time lines are very different. I think this should give us enough learning and confidence to do more. I think as you've seen our Mahindra cars, SUVs have really pushed the boundaries on premiumness. Many times, we call it lucky cars at a market placement price, right? And I think that's the value creation that happens that's the value we offer to the customers, and we hope to deliver the same thing. You give a great product at a very good price. That's why you will gain share in the market. So we are not chasing luxury right now, but we're chasing success of some of these projects. Once we have the success of the learnings, we'll hopefully be able to pursue other projects where we can say that this is better than any other project that you may have seen from our peer group. So no specific [indiscernible] plan, but we are making our progress towards achieving a premium positioning in the market.
Operator
operatorThe next question is, how will we control expect a significant rise in construction cost for scale size, concrete, glass and other materials, given the current situation of [indiscernible]?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. I think is, I mentioned it earlier, we are contributing our financial planning. We overcost and under price. So I think we have taken a healthy contingency healthy escalation helping healthy, many of the [ CER ] and all those things, all those requirements. And as you noted, the cost will go up a little bit for certain commodities like aluminum will go [indiscernible] will go up it's 10% of our cost structure. But what happens is we don't award all 100% in year 1, especially in the year when things are tough. We awarded some part, let's say, 25%, 30% in year 1, other 20%, year 2, 20%, 20% [indiscernible]. So roughly 20% each is what we award. So what you see is an uptick this year may get normalized next year. So we are careful. Our calculation, Sriram and our team, have done the analysis, I think we have taken additional contingencies. I think it's on top of what we had already assumed roughly just under 1% because you'll not give all the contracts today. We'll do it in the next 2 years. So that's why we have additionally created a reserve for us, which will give us the opportunity to tap into any kind of cost increases we have. And we feel that should give us enough cushion. But we'll stay tuned. But I also understand this is an industry. India is a country where the wage inflation is somewhere been 8% to 10%, right? And the pricing growth in real estate, we have assumed to right? And the cost increase needs to be below that, right? Like in 1 year, it might go up, but overall, it will be 4% to 6%. So think of it. We have a little bit of -- it's a natural end that happens. Inflation of wages, inflation of housing prices and inflation of costs, they're kind of hedged to each other, right, naturally. So hopefully -- and not 100% of cost is getting increasing like steel prices actually came down, right? Actually, slightly, right. So the aluminum is up, concrete is slightly up, right? Some of the other commodities are okay. But as the demand contractile the supply also is there. So we'll also see some benefits on the purchase in fact. So carefully looking at that equation, our goal is to deliver great quality products to our customers on time, right? And if that leaves a little bit of cost here and there.
Operator
operatorI think we'll be able to will have one question. So -- this is some -- this is no [indiscernible]. The question is we are targeting 15 million paid for [indiscernible] IC business over 4, 5 years, how much that translate to [indiscernible]?
Unknown Executive
executive15 million?
Unknown Executive
executiveINR 1,500 crores of PAT, which we are expecting over the next few years in, I'll give that. In the IC business, we had put out that we'll have about INR 1,500 crores of back coming from our uses over the next few years. So typically, this [indiscernible] to even between INR 150 crores to INR 200 crores of PAT every year. But in terms of cash flow, in the land cost and some of the initial infrastructure cost is already incurred in our [indiscernible], especially [indiscernible] and Chennai, it tends to have a cash flow potential of close to INR 200 crores to INR 250 crores per [indiscernible]. Anything you want to add?
Unknown Executive
executiveNo, I was just saying that we do it on the receivables business side. So we only account for the income but the cash is in place. So in this case, when we talk about the revenue, it's the entire revenue, which is in cash flow and the plant is available for us to use.
Operator
operatorOne last question. The question is, what is the look on the current residential market given the geopolitical insets we have in the world?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. I think we are -- we have seen the best of the current cycle in the last 3, 4 years, right? The next, at least 2 years will not be as high in terms -- especially on the pricing growth side, right? It will be moderate and driven by the demand at [indiscernible] I would say, the investor demand will just go away. The end user demand will continue. And India is a large country with a large end user demand. Just to give you an example, in Mumbai, 40% of the population still rents apartment. 30% lives with family or rents or some relative owned and lived, right? So there is a -- in a way, it's 40% for sure, but totally 70% of the current residents are prospects for us to sell our apartments. And overall, India wide, we don't have enough volumes, right? So the big question is how do we match the needs of these customers with the right segment, right value proposition, right pricing, right? And that's where the most developers are focusing on we feel that the volume will continue to be there, but at the right price. And that's why we have positioned our products at mid-premium. We feel that the pricing growth will be sort of 7%, 8% or 20% that we saw in the past years will be around 4% to 6%. And if -- and that is just to cover, let's say, the inflation on the cost side, if we did. So a little bit of slowdown, I would say. But -- the counter to that is those developers who have great trust, great brand, they will gain share from other developers who may or may not have because the smaller developers can't have price premium, right? The cost of debt they take is probably 50% higher or 100% higher, [indiscernible] 10%, 12%, 15% right time. So -- and then the cost structure may be a little bit lower, but it cannot be so low that they can absorb lower price and higher cost of fund side, so they will find a difficult financial year. And we operate with -- if they can't make 25% return on their capital, we will not participate in this market. So a lot of that capital that came in the last few years to pursue real estate may just go away or may not exist in future. So there will be a share gain for -- I'm hoping for some of the well-established developers, including us. So the whatever slowdown that you might expect might get made up in the share gain for better quality players, and we will hope to be one of them. So that is our view on the market. And also, we're playing in the right set of market, don't play in all the markets. Some of the markets are slowing down. We are focusing on as we discuss inventory overhang where that's at average or below average, which is good for us because the velocity will continue to help us in terms of achieving our target guidance for this year as well as [indiscernible].
Operator
operatorNice. Yes. That's all for my questions.
Unknown Executive
executiveWell, with that, thank you so much, all colleagues on the phone, on the [indiscernible]. We really appreciate your questions, starts. We are all here in case of any suggestions, anything that you have, and we'll follow up please let [indiscernible], myself, Sriram and [indiscernible] any other question that you have, happy to set up a call for a follow-up discussion. Thank you. Thank you, everyone, for joining.
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